Crypto World
Bitcoin and Ethereum drop as Iran raises Hormuz war risk
Two Chinese container ships linked to Cosco briefly moved toward the Strait of Hormuz on Friday before turning back near Iranian waters, adding to market concern over shipping access in the Gulf.
Summary
- Two Chinese-linked ships turned back near Hormuz as Iran enforced stricter control over vessel movements.
- Iran warned certain ships against transit, calling the strait closed to its stated enemies.
- Bitcoin and Ethereum fell as geopolitical tension increased and uncertainty spread across global financial markets.
Meanwhile, the moves came as Iran’s Revolutionary Guard repeated that traffic tied to countries aligned with the United States and Israel would not be allowed through the waterway, according to a Bloomberg report.
The CSCL Indian Ocean and CSCL Arctic Ocean headed northeast from waters near Dubai before making U-turns close to Larak and Qeshm islands, near the narrow entrance to the Strait of Hormuz. The vessels are linked to China’s state-owned Cosco Shipping.
Iran turned back two Chinese ships on Friday, while the IRGC said it had forced three container ships of different nationalities to withdraw. The guard also said the strait was “closed” for shipping to and from ports tied to Iran’s “Zionist-American enemies.”
The Associated Press reported that Iran has been operating what analysts described as a de facto control system for vessels moving through Hormuz. Under that system, some ships have been required to pass through Iranian-controlled routes or seek approval before transit.
Reuters also reported that the UAE is now willing to support an international force to help reopen the strait. That report followed a wider drop in shipping traffic and growing concern over energy flows through one of the world’s most important oil chokepoints.
Crypto market falls as traders react to war risk
Bitcoin and Ethereum both traded lower on Friday as investors responded to renewed Middle East risk. Bitcoin last traded at $66,619, down about 4.0% on the day, while Ethereum traded at $1,990, also down about 3.9%.
Some social media posts claimed Iran had destroyed another tanker in Hormuz, but Reuters results reviewed here did not confirm that specific claim.
Crypto World
ECB Study Concludes DeFi DAOs Aren’t as Decentralized as They Claim
A new working paper from the European Central Bank examined four major protocols and found that a small number of actors control the bulk of governance token holdings.
A European Central Bank working paper challenges the notion that decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) deliver on their promise of distributed governance, finding that token holdings and voting power across four major DeFi protocols are heavily concentrated among a handful of actors.
The study examined governance structures at Aave, MakerDAO, Ampleforth, and Uniswap using data from late 2022 and mid-2023. The researchers analyzed the top 100 token holders and top 20 voters for each protocol, reviewed 248 governance proposals, and attempted to trace the real-world identities behind pseudonymous blockchain addresses.
The findings land at a moment when governance disputes are roiling some of the very protocols examined in the study, and DeFi projects more broadly are grappling with whether the Labs-plus-DAO structure is fit for purpose.
Top 100 Holders Command Over 80% of Supply
Across all four protocols, the top 100 holders controlled more than 80% of the total governance token supply during both snapshot periods. At Aave and Uniswap, the top five accounted for roughly half of all holdings. MakerDAO was the relative outlier, with the top five holding around 36%.
The concentration proved sticky over time, with distributions remaining largely unchanged between October 2022 and May 2023.
When the researchers dug into who sits behind the top addresses, they found that for most protocols, roughly half or more of holdings traced to addresses associated with the protocols themselves — encompassing treasuries, founders, and developer allocations — or to centralized and decentralized exchanges.
Protocol-associated addresses held 43% of Uniswap’s UNI supply. Centralized exchange holdings were particularly notable at Aave (16%) and Ampleforth (19%). Binance emerged as the dominant exchange holder across all four protocols, with holdings ranging from 2% to 15% of total supply.
The researchers cautioned that available data doesn’t distinguish between tokens held by exchanges on their own behalf versus those held in custody for customers.
Delegates Dominate Voting
The most active voters on governance proposals turned out to be predominantly delegates — entities to whom smaller token holders assign their voting power. This dynamic has long been a known issue in DAO governance, where low voter turnout and outsized whale participation leave a small group of recurring participants shaping protocol decisions.
The top voter at Uniswap in both snapshots was a16z, the venture capital firm, which saw its delegator count grow from 100 to 125 over the study period. At Aave, the protocol’s own smart contracts held the top-voter position.
Of the 68 top voters identified across all protocols, the researchers could not determine the identities of roughly one-third to nearly half of them. Among those they could identify, individuals made up about 21%, followed by Web3 companies at 19%, university blockchain societies, and VC firms.
Uniswap had the highest delegation rate at 27%, with its top 18 voters holding more than half the delegated power.
The ECB team also systematically categorized the 248 proposals and found that “risk parameters” — covering loan-to-value ratios, liquidation thresholds, borrowing rates, and debt ceilings — were the most common, accounting for 28%. Asset listing proposals made up 23%.
Implications for Regulation
The findings carry direct implications for the ongoing policy debate over how to regulate DeFi. The EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets regulation exempts services provided in a “fully decentralized manner,” but the ECB researchers argue the protocols they studied fall well short of that standard.
Governance token holders, protocol developers, and centralized exchanges have frequently been proposed as potential regulatory entry points. However, the researchers concluded that the ambiguity surrounding who actually controls governance makes all three difficult to use in practice.
“It is not always clear who in the end is responsible or can be held accountable based on publicly available data,” the authors wrote.
The paper also drew parallels between DeFi governance and traditional corporate shareholder governance, noting that both systems suffer from low voter turnout and outsized influence by a small number of recurring participants.
But DeFi lacks the institutional safeguards — proxy voting rules, stewardship codes, disclosure requirements, and fiduciary obligations — that help mitigate those dynamics in public companies. As DAOs increasingly adopt formal legal structures, the researchers suggested that hybrid models integrating traditional legal frameworks with blockchain-based governance may ultimately be needed.
This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.
Crypto World
Vietnam Probes Major Crypto Fraud Case Involving Vemanti Group
- Vietnam is investigating a huge crypto fraud involving Vemanti Group.
- As crypto use grows, Vietnam is increasing rules and oversight.
- Nearby countries are also cracking down on online financial scams.
Hanoi, Vietnam — Authorities in Vietnam have initiated what officials believe to be one of the biggest online crime cases involving online assets, as more regions strive to counter online financial fraud.
Vemanti Group Becomes Focus of Public Attention
According to a state-related Vietnamnet source, police believe there is a large-scale scheme that drew billions of US dollars from investors. Although authorities have not released a precise assessment of the overall losses, initial reports indicate the financial impact could be substantial.
The inquiry has made Vemanti Group the center of attention, as it was reported only after the Ministry of Public Security publicly announced the case and local media subsequently covered it.
The company said that its board chairman Nhan Vuong and board member Chien Tran have been indicted in connection with the case.
In a statement, Vemanti argued that authorities in any jurisdiction had not informed it before the indictments were released. The firm said it has engaged U.S. legal representation as it evaluates the case and decides its next steps.
Vemanti also linked the probe to ONUS Pro, a digital-asset site identified as the center of the alleged scheme.
Vietnam Crypto Market Growth Draws Increased Scrutiny
The case comes as Vietnam remains one of the world’s most active cryptocurrency markets. The case comes as Vietnam remains one of the world’s most active cryptocurrency markets. Chainalysis reported that Vietnam ranked fourth in its 2025 Global Crypto Adoption Index, and digital assets are widely used at the grassroots level.
That authorities are paying more attention to fraud signals a broader shift toward a more restrictive approach as cryptocurrencies grow in popularity.
Regional Crackdown Expands Beyond Vietnam Borders
Vietnam is not the only country seeing a crackdown. The Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) of neighboring India recently arrested a suspect in Mumbai who helped traffic people into scams in Myanmar.
Investigators claim that the victims were coerced into taking part in internet fraudulent schemes, such as cryptocurrency investment scams and international user romance scams.
The events underscore rising cooperation in the region with governments trying to stem cyber-enabled financial crimes related to digital assets.
CBI Arrests Kingpin of Transnational Cyber Slavery Network pic.twitter.com/15Yc1YLO4D
— Central Bureau of Investigation (India) (@CBIHeadquarters) March 26, 2026
Crypto World
Solana price drops as BTC, ETH slip amid oil surge to $110
- Solana price dropped 5% to near $83 on Friday.
- The altcoin fell as Bitcoin and Ethereum declined to $66,500 and below $1,990, respectively.
- Risk assets sank as Brent oil surged to $110 amid Iran war concerns.
Solana (SOL) price has slipped more than 5% as altcoins mirror declines in Bitcoin (BTC).
The downturn coincided with a dramatic surge in oil prices to $110 per barrel, fueled by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with President Donald Trump’s announcement of a deadline extension for Iran seemingly not assuaging sellers.
Iran has largely dismissed US claims that talks have shown progress.
Solana drops to $83 amid crypto dip on oil surge
Solana’s price plunged to a low of $83 during Friday’s session, marking a decline of over 5% within 24 hours.
This aligned with the broader crypto market’s vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks, with Bitcoin sliding to below $66,500.
BTC’s drop below $67k marks the first time bulls have seen these levels since March 9.
Losses triggered massive long liquidations across top altcoins.
The sharp decline for BTC came as oil prices topped $110 despite US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 10-day extension to the deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz.
Trump had paused the move to strike Iran’s energy infrastructure by 5 days, but even then, the additional five days appear to have done little to soothe supply concerns.
US stocks faltered as the international benchmark Brent crude futures rose 2.7% to $110.94 a barrel.
Crude gains reversed earlier losses following the early March spike, which also saw BTC prices sink to support.
As risk appetite got a fresh bump, Solana’s trading volume spiked 13% to over $4.1 billion.
The surge in intraday volume across major exchanges signals panic, as the unwinding of leveraged positions has led to significant losses for long positions.
Solana price outlook
From a technical standpoint, Solana’s descent to $83 breached the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $87.50, a critical support that now risks further erosion toward the 200-day EMA near $78.
The relative strength index (RSI) flashed oversold territory at 28, hinting at a potential short-term rebound if oil volatility eases.
However, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) histogram remains deeply negative, confirming bearish momentum tied to the BTC correlation, which stands at 0.92 over the past month.
A sustained oil price above $110 could push SOL toward $75, but a de-escalation in Hormuz tensions might spark a relief rally back to the $95-$100 level.
Investors might also be looking to monitor US inflation data, with this likely to dictate the crypto market’s next move.
Crypto World
Retail FUD Sentiment Rises as Bitcoin Falls Below $70,000: What Are The Implications?
After a brief improvement in sentiment, fear has returned to the crypto market and continues to dominate social discussions. Bitcoin has dropped back below $70,000, raising concerns among retail investors.
Although negative sentiment is spreading across social media, on-chain data paints a more complex picture of retail investors’ actual role.
Retail FUD Sentiment Surges. Will Bitcoin Recover?
Blockchain analytics platform Santiment recently recorded a spike in negative Bitcoin-related keywords on social media.
Terms such as “dip” and “crash” appear frequently in BTC discussions. This reflects a significantly elevated level of FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) among retail investors.
Santiment notes that extreme pessimism among retail investors often serves as a contrarian signal. When negativity becomes overwhelming, the market tends to recover as selling pressure nears exhaustion.
“Words like #dip, #pullback, #rejection, #crash, or #bloodbath, it’s usually a safe time to BUY,” Santiment stated.
Santiment’s chart illustrates this logic over the past year.
However, the picture goes beyond sentiment alone. A report from CryptoQuant reveals a concerning divergence between trading volume and the actual market share of retail investors.
Zizcrypto, an analyst at CryptoQuant, reported that the 30-day average small trade volume (0–$1,000) from retail stands at $96 million. This level aligns with the market bottom in early 2023.
Meanwhile, retail trading share (0–$10,000) has steadily declined since early 2023. It has dropped from over 2.4% to ~0.7% and has now stabilized.
The divergence between trading volume and market share suggests that retail investors remain active, but their structural role in the market is no longer expanding.
“In this context, retail participation is primarily concentrated in short-term reactive flows rather than sustained engagement,” Zizcrypto stated.
Therefore, Santiment’s view may hold in the short term. However, it is difficult to use it as a basis for predicting a reversal similar to early 2023.
The latest analysis from BeInCrypto indicates that if Bitcoin closes a daily candle below $68,930, the price could continue to decline toward $65,550.
The post Retail FUD Sentiment Rises as Bitcoin Falls Below $70,000: What Are The Implications? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
NYSE Owner ICE Pours Another $600 Million Into Polymarket
Intercontinental Exchange has now deployed nearly $2 billion into the onchain prediction market, underscoring Wall Street’s growing conviction that event-based trading is here to stay.
Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, on Friday announced a new $600 million direct cash investment in Polymarket, completing the exchange operator’s structured investment arrangement with the prediction market platform.
The investment is part of a broader equity capital fundraise by Polymarket, according to a press release from ICE. The company also expects to purchase up to $40 million in Polymarket securities from existing holders, which would close out its obligations under the deal first announced in October 2025. The valuation of Friday’s investment is expected to be disclosed after Polymarket completes its fundraising.
ICE made an initial $1 billion direct investment in Polymarket at that time, in what was the largest single investment ever made in a prediction market company. That deal valued Polymarket at roughly $8 billion pre-investment and established ICE as a global distributor of Polymarket’s event-driven data.
ICE’s interest in Polymarket extends beyond a passive equity stake. In February, ICE launched the Polymarket Signals and Sentiment Tool, a product that normalizes real-time and historical prediction market data into structured feeds for institutional traders. The tool packages Polymarket’s crowd-sourced probability assessments as market signals alongside traditional financial instruments.
Prediction Market Arms Race
The capital injection comes amid an unprecedented wave of institutional investment into prediction markets. Rival platform Kalshi raised approximately $1 billion at a $22 billion valuation earlier this month in a round led by Coatue Management. Polymarket is reportedly targeting a valuation of around $20 billion in its current round, according to The Wall Street Journal.
Prediction market monthly volumes have grown 130-fold since early 2024, making it one of the fastest-growing categories in finance. Open interest across platforms crossed $1 billion for the first time in February.
Regulatory Crosswinds
The investment arrives against a complex regulatory backdrop. The CFTC recently issued an advance notice of proposed rulemaking signaling its intent to build a comprehensive regulatory framework for prediction markets. Meanwhile, some lawmakers have introduced legislation that would block prediction markets from offering contracts on war and sports outcomes.
At the state level, regulators continue to challenge the industry — Arizona’s attorney general recently filed criminal charges against Kalshi, alleging it operates an illegal gambling business in the state.
Still, institutional capital appears undeterred by the regulatory uncertainty. For ICE, the completion of its nearly $2 billion investment arrangement signals that one of the world’s largest market infrastructure operators views prediction markets not as a passing novelty but as a category that may eventually sit alongside equities, futures, and fixed income.
This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Slumps on Oil Fears as March Monthly Close Risks Deeper Sell-Off
Bitcoin grabbed downside liquidity as oil-supply pressure sent BTC price action below $66,500 to its lowest levels since March 9.
Bitcoin (BTC) neared three-week lows into Friday’s Wall Street open amid reports of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz oil route.
Key points:
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Bitcoin reacts badly to fresh oil-supply threats ahead of Friday’s Wall Street open.
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BTC price action hunts bid liquidity, continuing a week of low-time frame liquidity grabs.
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Another bear flag threatens to send the market below $50,000, analysis says.
Bitcoin eyes range lows into monthly close
Data from TradingView showed BTC price action slipping below $66,500 ahead of the Wall Street open.

US stocks futures trended down and US WTI crude oil eyed $97 per barrel as geopolitical tensions refused to let up.
Data from CoinGlass showed BTC/USD eating into a ladder of bid liquidity extending down to $65,000, with a wall of asks keeping price pinned below the $70,000 mark.

“$70-71k confirmed as resistance again,” trader Jelle wrote in analysis on X the day prior.
“Still a bunch of liquidity built up below, generally not what you see at market bottoms. Expecting that liquidity to be taken out; sooner or later.”

The latest market moves continued a theme of liquidity grabs seen throughout the week.
Continuing, crypto trader Michaël Van de Poppe said that he would not be “surprised” about further BTC price weakness into the March monthly candle close.
“Especially given that we’re currently anticipating a potential sweep of the lows,” he told X followers on the day.
“In that case, I remain to be interested to be buying in the lower $60K regions.”

BTC price gets $41,000 “measured target”
On longer time frames, market participants focused on a potential bearish support breakdown from Bitcoin’s second bear flag construction of 2026.
Related: US recession odds near 50%: Can Bitcoin copy 2020 comeback gains?
Previously occurring in January, the current bear flag has produced targets below $50,000.
“Bitcoin setting up for a rising wedge sell signal,” veteran trader Peter Brandt warned on Wednesday, joining those calls.

In his own X update, trader and educator Aaron Dishner continued the bearish tone around the flag structure.
“BTC is doing exactly what the bear flag setup called for. Price broke below the cloud yesterday on the daily, and today opened below it – currently down just 0.32% but that’s not a recovery, that’s hesitation,” he commented.
“The measured target from the January 14th high to the February 6th low, applied to the current flag structure, puts the downside at $41K.”
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Crypto World
Trump crypto czar David Sacks exits role after 130 days
The US government’s crypto and AI czar, David Sacks, is stepping down from his special government employee (SGE) role to join Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg and Nvidia’s Jensen Huang on Donald Trump’s new tech council.
Sacks announced his departure in an Interview with Bloomberg that also covered the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST).
Sacks told Bloomberg, “In the first year of the Trump administration, I had that role as an SGE. I had 130 days.”
“We’ve now used up that time,” Sacks said, adding that his role as co-chair of PCAST means he’ll now “make recommendations on not just AI, but an expansive range of technology topics.”
Read more: David Sacks promised ‘market structure bill in 100 days’ a year ago
The council has been created to guide tech policies within government, and counts major tech executives such as Marc Andreessen and Sergey Brin among its ranks.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk was also a SGE under Trump’s administration, and also stepped down from the role after 130 days. He won’t be part of the tech council, however.
Sacks’ time as crypto czar was bittersweet
Under Sacks’ stewardship, the US administration loosened its grip on crypto regulations, the president launched a memecoin, and the government promised to implement a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR).
During this time, it gained a reputation for intense profiteering and crypto corruption. Indeed, Trump’s son Eric boasted very publicly about his family making profits of $1 billion from its various crypto enterprises.
Sacks promised in February last year that the market structures bill, aka the CLARITY Act, and stablecoin legislation, also known as the GENIUS Act, would have been passed through the Senate and House within 100 days.
While the GENIUS Act was passed, albeit well beyond the self-imposed deadline, the CLARITY Act is still struggling to join it.
Sacks was revealed by the New York Times to have held over 400 investments in various crypto and AI firms while still maintaining his SGE role in Trump’s administration, raising concerns about a potential conflict of interest.
The administration also signed into existence the SBR but it was watered down significantly when officials revealed that the US wouldn’t be buying any BTC to contribute to the it and would instead rely on the coins it had already seized and forfeited.
An audit of crypto assets intended for both the SBR and Digital Asset Stockpile was supposed to be complete by April 5, 2025. However, no such review has been published almost 356 days after the deadline.
Read more: David Sacks sends silly legal threat to the New York Times
Crypto traders happy about David Sacks crypto czar departure
Upon discovering Sacks’ departure yesterday, X users have remarked on the less-than-stellar effect he had on the crypto market.
Venture capitalist Adam Cochran mocked Bitcoiners who voted for Trump, asking “How’d that bitcoin reserve work out for you? Remember those day one promises?”
“Remember how Trump and Sacks promised you the world, and you told us we had TDS when we told you that you were getting played?” he added.
Others pointed to today’s BTC price of $66,600, and how it’s down 34% from the day Sacks was inaugurated as crypto czar.
Read more: US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve audit now 172 days overdue
Traders have also complained that under Sacks’ role, nothing was actually achieved, adding that he’s “the single most useless person of Trump administration [sic] (right there with Trump).”
Eleanor Terrett reports that it’s unclear whether or not Sacks’ crypto czar role will be replaced while major crypto legislation, such as the CLARITY Act, continues to work its way through the Senate.
If the Trump administration does decide to hire a replacement, at least one willing candidate has already thrown their hat into the ring on X. Despite currently serving a 25-year prison sentence, FTX fraudster Sam Bankman-Fried posted simply “dibs.”
Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on X, Bluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.
Crypto World
ECB Study Questions How Decentralized DeFi Governance Really is
The European Central Bank published a working paper on March 26, finding that governance in four major DeFi protocols was heavily concentrated.
The staff paper looks at Aave, MakerDAO, Ampleforth and Uniswap, and finds that while governance tokens are held across tens of thousands of addresses, the top 100 holders control more than 80% of the supply in each protocol.
Based on holdings snapshots from November 2022 and May 2023, the authors found that a large share of governance tokens could be linked either to the protocols themselves or to centralized and decentralized exchanges, with Binance the largest identified centralized exchange holder across the four protocols.
The authors said the findings challenge the idea that decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) are inherently decentralized, raising questions about accountability and complicating efforts to identify possible regulatory anchor points under the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) framework. MiCA currently excludes “fully decentralised” services from its scope.
Top token holders dominate governance
The authors also look at who actually votes on key proposals, concluding that top voters are mostly delegates who wield delegated voting power from smaller token holders.
The top 20 voters in Ampleforth control 96% of delegated voting power, while the top 10 voters in MakerDAO hold 66% of delegated votes, and the top 18 in Uniswap hold 52%. Around one-third of top voters cannot be publicly identified, and among those that can, the largest groups are individuals and Web3 companies, followed by university blockchain societies and venture firms.
Related: DAOs may need to ditch decentralization to court institutions

Cointelegraph reached out to Aave, Uniswap, MakerDAO, and Ampleforth, but had not received a response by publication.
Kavi Jain, senior research associate at Bitwise, told Cointelegraph that many large DeFi protocols were not as decentralized in practice as they might appear, especially in the earlier stages, where a small group still has “meaningful influence over decisions.”
He pointed to the recent Aave governance debate that highlighted how, even with a DAO structure, voting power can “still be concentrated among a few participants.”
MiCA faces DeFi accountability problem
The paper catalogues what governance actually decides, finding that the largest share of proposals relates to “risk parameters” that shape the protocols’ risk profiles. That raises further questions about accountability, especially given that it is “not possible” to tell from public data whether protocol-linked holdings belong to founders, developers or treasuries, or whether exchange wallets are voting their own positions or those of customers.
Related: How a 2.85% price error triggered $27M in liquidations on Aave
There are some caveats with the methodology, and the paper itself warns that it does not capture the “full scope of the DeFi ecosystem,” due to insufficient data.
The paper also stresses that it reflects the authors’ views rather than official ECB policy, however, it warns that the difficulty of reliably identifying who controls major protocols makes it harder to lean on popular entry points such as governance token holders, developers or centralized exchanges, and says that the relevant anchor may differ protocol by protocol and require information that is not publicly available.
Its findings echo earlier warnings from the Financial Stability Board and others, cited in the paper, that DeFi’s promise of disintermediation often masks new forms of concentration and governance risk that resemble, and sometimes amplify, those seen in traditional finance.
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Crypto World
ICE Adds $600M to Polymarket Investment Despite US Regulatory Scrutiny
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), said Friday it completed a new $600 million direct cash investment in Polymarket, deepening its bet on prediction markets as a new area of growth for exchange operators.
The company also said it expects to purchase up to $40 million of Polymarket securities from existing holders, adding to its previously announced investment commitment made in October 2025.
In that earlier deal, ICE said it would invest up to $2 billion in Polymarket, marking one of the largest institutional moves into the prediction market sector. The latest transaction advances that arrangement, though terms for the new investment, including valuation, were not disclosed.
The deal signals ICE’s intention to expand its exposure to prediction markets, even as the sector faces evolving US regulatory scrutiny.
Polygon Labs says Polymarket scaling highlights infrastructure role
Aishwary Gupta, global head of business at Polygon Labs, said ICE’s latest investment reflects institutional attention toward onchain market platforms.
Gupta told Cointelegraph that Polymarket’s growth on Polygon shows how blockchain infrastructure is being used to support high-frequency, real-time market activity.
Related: Lawmakers push another bill to curb prediction market insider trading
“Intercontinental Exchange’s investment in Polymarket highlights the growing institutional interest in onchain market platforms,” Gupta said.
He said Polymarket’s growth on Polygon shows how blockchain infrastructure can support high levels of real-time market activity at scale.
Regulators in 11 states made moves against prediction markets
The news comes as prediction markets face increasing regulatory pressure across the US.
At least 11 states are pursuing legal action against prediction market platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Nevada has issued a temporary ban on Polymarket competitor Kalshi, while Arizona filed criminal charges alleging the platform operated an illegal gambling business. Several other states have sent cease-and-desist orders or are considering new legislation.
Polymarket recently updated its rules to more clearly prohibit trading on confidential information as lawmakers and critics raise concerns that prediction markets can be vulnerable to insider-style activity, especially around politics, sports and geopolitics.
Magazine: Banks want to run Vietnam’s crypto exchanges, Boyaa’s $70M BTC plan: Asia Express
Crypto World
Bitcoin, Coinbase, Strategy, Gemini, Galaxy swept up in market rout
Crypto stocks are getting hit hard Friday as weakness in U.S. equities rippled through high-risk assets, driving bitcoin below $66,000.
Crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) and digital asset conglomerate Galaxy (GLXY) dropped nearly 7%, while exchange Gemini (GEMI) slid almost 9%, marking one of the steepest losses in the group. Crypto-friendly broker Robinhood (HOOD) also fell nearly 6% as increasing its stock buyback pace offered little help in arresting the downtrend.
Bitcoin-linked balance sheet plays also moved lower. Strategy (MSTR) and Twenty One Capital (XXI) plunged about 6%. Ethereum-focused treasury names such as Bitmine Immersion (BMNR) and Sharplink Gaming (SBET) were down roughly 5%.
Miners — many of which trade as leveraged bets on both bitcoin and AI infrastructure — extended their declines. Riot Platforms (RIOT), CleanSpark (CLSK), IREN (IREN), HIVE Digital (HIVE) and Hut 8 (HUT) all posted 5%-8% losses.
Even MARA (MARA) and Bitdeer (BTDR), which outperformed Thursday, have given back all their gains and were down 6% and 8%, respectively, joining the sector-wide plunge.
$17 trillion wipe-out
The Federal Reserve faces an increasingly complicated backdrop, weighing renewed inflation pressure from rising oil prices against signs of a deteriorating labor market.
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin warned that higher gas costs could dent consumer spending while describing hiring conditions as “fragile.” Meanwhile, Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson said the war in Iran created “new risks to both inflation and growth.”
The 10-year Treasury bond yield, which hit nearly 4.5% earlier Friday, erased today’s rise following the central bankers’ remarks. The two-year yield, which is more sensitive to Fed policy, fell all the way back to 3.91% after earlier rising to 4.03%.
Still, investors have turned from predominantly expecting rate cuts this year to consider the central bank hiking rates in face of rising inflation.
The selloff over the past months has been broad across equities, with roughly $17 trillion in market cap wiped out from peak levels across the Magnificent Seven — the seven largest tech stocks, including Nvidia (NVDA), Google (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT) — gold, silver, and bitcoin .
Bitcoin reached its all-time high in early October at $126,000, while gold, silver and U.S. equities peaked in late January before reversing sharply. Since then, bitcoin is down around 45%, silver has fallen 45%, gold roughly 20%, and the Magnificent Seven have all entered double digit drawdowns from their peaks.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index has now entered correction territory, trading more than 10% off its January all time high. The broad-based S&P 500 is inching closer to a correction, too, currently down 8.5%.
While bonds have also been hit hard, global fixed-income markets remain under broad pressure, with the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) down around 0.3% on Friday and 5% over the past month since the conflict began.
Over the same period, the S&P 500 has fallen roughly 6%, highlighting the underperformance of the traditional 60/40 portfolio as global yields continue to rise, weighing on sovereign debt markets.
Monday relief, Friday risk-off
This week has followed a familiar playbook seen since the Middle East conflict started in late February, with strong gains on Monday, partly driven by relief that “Black Monday” scenario did not occur, averaging around 3%, followed by steady profit taking into weakness as the week progresses, particularly as optimism fades around the Strait of Hormuz fully reopening.
By Thursday and Friday, performance typically deteriorates further as investors reduce risk ahead of the weekend amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.

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