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Bitcoin at $68K triggers nearly $400M in crypto liquidations.

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Bitcoin (BTC) traded just below the $69,000 mark as traders braced for a pivotal weekly candle close, with prices hovering near the long-term line around $68,300. After a weekend slide, the setup underscores a tug-of-war between a fragile near-term outlook and the possibility of a contrarian move, even as analysts debate the significance of a fresh technical signal.

Historically, the 200-week exponential moving average has anchored multi-year cycles, but this year its reliability has been questioned. Cointelegraph has noted that the long-term EMA has failed to act as a clear support in 2026, complicating investor expectations for a durable bottom or renewed upside. As BTC approached the $68,300 region, traders watched to see whether the weekly close would restore any confidence in the metric or amplify the lingering bearish bias.

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin remained under $69,000, testing the 200-week EMA near $68,300 as a critical reference point for the weekly close.

  • Market psychology tilted toward caution, with substantial liquidations signaling risk-off dynamics over the past 24 hours.

  • A fresh bullish tempo appeared with a golden cross developing between the 21-day and 50-day moving averages, but durability remains uncertain.

  • Analysts split on the path forward: some warn of continued macro downside even as near-term momentum offers a potential relief rally.

Weekend test of the long-term line

Trading data show BTC price action around the 200-week trend line, a level that has historically framed major cycles even as the asset wobbled through the weekend. The immediate vicinity of $68,300 serves as a focal point for whether bulls can sustain a bid above entrenched resistance or if sellers reassert control as the weekly close approaches.

Extended downside pressure in the days leading into the close produced notable liquidations across the market. CoinGlass reported that more than $300 million in long positions were liquidated, with roughly $100 million in shorts also liquidating in the same window. The liquidation profile underscores a risk-off environment in which traders are shrinking risk exposure into key technical junctures.

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From a chart perspective, BTC’s motion around the 200-week EMA has reinvigorated debate about whether this line can again offer a meaningful foothold. In a broader 2026 context, some analysts have warned that the EMA’s traditional role as a durable support may be waning, complicating the interpretation of daily moves around this level.

Liquidity pressure and trader sentiment

The weekend action underscored a broader mood among market participants: risk appetite remains fragile as macro uncertainties persist. With a large portion of the futures market liquidated into the close, traders may adopt a cautious stance, awaiting a clearer directional cue from the weekly close and any subsequent macro catalysts.

In such a regime, the key question is whether the counter-move, if it occurs, can sustain momentum beyond a relief rally. The balance between safe-haven flows and renewed appetite for risk will likely define BTC’s trajectory over the coming sessions, particularly as market participants await more concrete signals from on-chain data, derivatives activity, and broader market liquidity conditions.

Momentum flicker: the Golden Cross and what it may imply

On the technical front, a visible positive signal emerged as the 21-day simple moving average crossed above the 50-day moving average, a formation often interpreted as a short-term momentum cue. Proponents of the setup cautioned that the cross could herald a temporary lift, though they emphasized that durability would hinge on subsequent price action.

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Keith Alan, cofounder of trading resource Material Indicators, commented on the potential implications, saying the Golden Cross “will likely deliver some short term bullish momentum. Must watch to see if it develops into something durable.” He added a more cautious note, reflecting the prevailing sentiment: “For now…the range game continues.”

These near-term signals come after March saw two “death crosses” on BTC’s daily chart, a pattern historically associated with renewed downside pressure. The market’s interpretation of a Golden Cross in the current environment remains mixed: a possible spark for a bounce, but no guarantee of a sustained breakout without follow-through from higher timeframes.

Bearish undertones persist in higher timeframes

Several well-known traders have stressed that longer-horizon momentum remains skewed to the downside. A prominent analyst reiterated a bearish thesis for the macro cycle, highlighting ongoing fragility in higher timeframes despite any short-term bullish cues. The tension between near-term momentum signals and longer-term risk remains a defining feature of the BTC narrative as the market approaches another pivotal weekly close.

“There are still 0 signs of bear market exhaustion on HTF. No divs, no bear PA exhaustion, no momentum loss, etc.” He also noted a continued outlook for lower prices, saying, “I still have high confidence in seeing 50k and likely a bit lower.”

That sentiment sits alongside reminders from earlier periods that the market can swing on a few data points, even as long-run structural factors weigh on price discovery. The debate over whether BTC can muster a sustained recovery or slide toward new macro-driven lows remains unresolved, with bulls awaiting confirmation from price action and bears watching for any renewed downside momentum.

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What readers should watch next

The immediate focus for BTC markets is the weekly candle close and how price behaves in the aftermath. If the price can hold above key support near the 200-week EMA and demonstrate follow-through above near-term moving averages, a cautious upside tilt could emerge. Conversely, failure to defend the region around $68,000–$68,300 may invite renewed selling pressure and retesting of lower support bands.

Investors should also monitor liquidity patterns and derivatives activity as they often foreshadow the next directional move. In addition, traders will be paying close attention to any shifts in macro sentiment or changes in the risk-on/risk-off appetite that can influence Bitcoin’s risk premium and its correlation with broader markets.

This ongoing narrative—between a fragile near-term bounce and the weight of higher-timeframe bears—will likely shape price action in the weeks ahead. As always, readers are advised to conduct their own research and consider how these developments fit their risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Crypto World

NYSE Lifts Crypto Options Cap Across 11 BTC and ETH ETFs

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Two NYSE-affiliated venues have scrapped the 25,000-contract cap on options tied to 11 crypto ETF options, a move the exchanges filed with the Federal Register on March 10. The Securities and Exchange Commission acknowledged the rule alterations on Sunday by waiving the standard 30-day waiting period, meaning the changes are now in effect. The initiative removes price-discovery restrictions and the position-limit cap that had governed crypto ETF options since their November 2024 debut.

The policy shift ushers crypto ETF options closer to the regime applied to other commodity ETFs, potentially boosting institutional trading flexibility, liquidity, and ease of entry and exit. The development also paves the way for FLEX options—customizable terms such as non-standard strike prices, expiration dates, and exercise styles—to be applied to crypto ETF options.

Among the 11 crypto ETF options affected are major listings from BlackRock, Fidelity, and ARK, including BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC), and ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB). The notice also covers Bitcoin and Ether ETFs issued by Bitwise and Grayscale, expanding a footprint that has grown since the initial option-limits regime was put in place.

In parallel, the SEC’s acknowledgment of the rule changes adds a note of continuity to an ongoing regulatory arc around crypto ETF products. The latest action follows a July decision that removed the 25,000-contract limit for the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC), signaling a broader regulatory openness to easing constraints on crypto-derived derivatives.

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Beyond the NYSE venues, another development looms: Nasdaq’s options arm, Nasdaq International Securities Exchange, has filed to raise the contract position limit for BlackRock’s IBIT to 1 million. That proposal remains under review by the SEC as of a February 27 notice, underscoring an industry-wide interest in expanding capacity for crypto-based hedging and trading instruments.

The shift comes against a backdrop of heightened attention to liquidity and transparency in crypto markets, with exchanges and issuers seeking to improve price discovery and provide more robust hedging tools for institutional participants. While the core economics of crypto ETFs and their options remain subject to market forces, removing artificial caps can enhance capital efficiency for institutions, market-makers, and sophisticated retail participants alike.

Key takeaways

  • The NYSE Arca and NYSE American have removed the 25,000-contract limit and price-discovery restrictions on options linked to 11 crypto ETF options, effective after SEC’s waiver of the standard 30-day waiting period.
  • The change brings crypto ETF options closer to the handling of traditional commodity ETF options and enables FLEX options with customizable terms.
  • 11 crypto ETF options are affected, including BlackRock’s IBIT, Fidelity’s FBTC, and ARK’s ARKB, with Bitwise and Grayscale’s BTC-related offerings also covered.
  • The development follows earlier regulatory moves, including the SEC’s July decision to remove the 25,000-contract cap for GBTC, signaling a gradual easing of previous constraints.
  • Nasdaq ISE is seeking to lift its own cap for IBIT to 1 million contracts, a proposal still under SEC review as of late February.

Regulatory steps and what changed

NYSE Arca Inc. and NYSE American LLC filed three rule changes with the Federal Register on March 10 to eliminate the 25,000-contract position limit and price-discovery restrictions on options tied to 11 crypto ETF products listed on their exchanges. The actions mark a notable shift from the framework established when crypto ETF options first began trading in November 2024, when broad caps were designed to curb market manipulation and volatility.

The SEC’s decision to waive the usual 30-day waiting period means the amendments are now in effect. This waiver eliminates a standard cooling-off period that typically gives market participants time to react to regulatory changes, accelerating the practical impact of the rules for exchanges, brokers, and traders.

From a structural perspective, the moves align crypto ETF options with the broader approach applied to commodity ETF options, potentially improving liquidity by enabling more complete hedging and arb opportunities. The removal of the cap also dovetails with a push to offer more flexible trading tools, including FLEX options, which permit non-standard strike prices and expiration dates and more diverse exercise styles.

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Which products are affected and why it matters

While the notice does not list every instrument in detail, it confirms that 11 crypto ETF options are covered. The set includes high-profile offerings from BlackRock, Fidelity, and ARK, notably the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC), and ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB). The scope also extends to Bitcoin- and Ether-focused ETFs issued by Bitwise and Grayscale, underscoring a broadening ensemble of crypto-linked options now subject to a more permissive regime.

For investors, the implications are tangible. Fewer constraints on contract size and governance around price discovery can translate into deeper liquidity and more efficient entry and exit for complex hedging strategies. Market-makers gain additional flexibility in pricing and risk management, which could reduce spreads and improve execution quality in volatile periods. Traders who rely on precise volatility hedges or sophisticated spreads may find the availability of FLEX options particularly advantageous, enabling strategies that were previously constrained by standard exchange rules.

From an issuer perspective, these changes could support more robust options markets around crypto ETFs, enhancing the attractiveness of listed products for institutions that require scalable hedging and leverage management. The broader regulatory signal—easing limits while maintaining oversight—also matters for credibility and institutional onboarding within the crypto asset space.

Nevertheless, observers should note that the crypto ETF landscape remains a function of evolving market structure, regulatory sentiment, and product demand. While the caps are lifting, liquidity will still hinge on actual trading volumes, market-making capacity, and the availability of reliable underlying data for price discovery. The market will likely watch volumes and bid-ask dynamics closely in the coming quarters to gauge the real-world impact of the change.

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Broader context and what to watch next

The SEC’s posture toward crypto-based options continues to unfold. The Nasdaq ISE’s bid to raise IBIT’s position limit to 1 million contracts illustrates a broader ambition to expand trading capability for crypto ETFs beyond the NYSE-anchored venues. As regulators weigh these proposals, the interaction between rule changes, liquidity, and market integrity will be a focal point for investors and issuers alike.

Market participants should also monitor how providers respond to the new FLEX options framework. Customizable terms could unlock nuanced hedging structures that align with institutional risk management needs, but they may also introduce additional complexity that requires careful governance and risk controls.

In short, the current move by NYSE Arca and NYSE American marks a meaningful step toward normalizing crypto ETF options with traditional derivatives markets. If liquidity improves as anticipated, more investors may incorporate crypto ETF options into diversified hedging programs, potentially deepening the role of listed crypto products in mainstream portfolios. The coming months will reveal how the market consumes these changes and whether further regulatory shifts follow.

Readers should keep an eye on trading data for IBIT, FBTC, ARKB, and related Bitwise and Grayscale ETFs as well as any developments from the SEC or Nasdaq ISE regarding contract limits, price-discovery mechanics, and the broader trajectory of crypto derivatives regulation.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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NYSE Exchanges Remove Cap Limiting Crypto Options

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NYSE Exchanges Remove Cap Limiting Crypto Options

Two New York Stock Exchange-affiliated exchanges have removed the 25,000 contract position limit on options tied to 11 crypto exchange-traded funds.

NYSE Arca and NYSE American each filed three rule changes in the Federal Register on March 10 to remove contract position limits and price discovery restrictions for options linked to Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) ETFs listed on their exchanges.

These were acknowledged by the Securities and Exchange Commission on Sunday, with the SEC waiving the standard 30-day waiting period for both sets of proposed rule changes, meaning they are now in effect.

11 crypto ETFs are impacted by the options rules changes on NYSE Arca and NYSE American. Source: SEC

The limits were imposed when crypto ETF options first started trading in November 2024. Limits of this nature are typically imposed to prevent market manipulation and volatility. T

The removal of those limits now puts them closer to how other commodity ETF options are treated, and gives institutions greater trading flexibility while also potentially boosting liquidity and making it easier to enter and exit positions. 

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It also allows the crypto options to be traded as FLEX options, which include customizable terms such as non-standard strike prices, expiration dates and exercise styles.

Related: Scaramucci says BTC’s 4-year cycle still in play, forecasts rise in Q4 

A total of 11 crypto ETF options are affected by the rule changes, including BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) and ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB).

Bitcoin and Ether ETFs issued by Bitwise and Grayscale are also affected.

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