Connect with us
DAPA Banner

Crypto World

Bitcoin (BTC) holds ground as precious metals slide on ETF outflows and liquidity strains, JPMorgan says

Published

on

What next for bitcoin as BTC nears $68,000 on fresh US-Iran tensions

Bitcoin is proving more resilient than traditional safe-haven assets as gold and silver come under pressure from outflows, positioning unwinds and deteriorating liquidity, according to Wall Street investment bank JPMorgan.

“The deterioration in liquidity conditions in gold has seen its market breadth
decline below that of bitcoin currently,” analysts led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, wrote in the Wednesday report.

Bitcoin has shown relative resilience in recent weeks following the outbreak of war in Iran, even after a steep correction from its October all-time highs.

The cryptocurrency initially dropped sharply alongside broader risk assets, briefly falling into the low-$60,000 range and triggering large liquidations as investors rushed to de-risk amid geopolitical uncertainty.

Advertisement

But the sell-off proved short-lived. Prices have since stabilized in the high-$60,000 to low-$70,000 range, even as tensions persist and oil prices surge above $100 a barrel.

The price action suggests bitcoin is behaving less like a pure safe haven in the immediate shock phase and more like a high-beta macro asset, selling off initially, then finding support as flows return and longer-term holders step in once panic subsides.

Gold has fallen roughly 15% month to date, reversing a crowded rally that pushed prices to record highs near $5,500 in January. Silver, which peaked near $120, has followed a similar path lower. JPMorgan analysts attributed the sell-off to rising interest rates, a stronger U.S. dollar and broad profit-taking by both retail and institutional investors.

Flows data reinforce the shift. Gold ETFs saw nearly $11 billion in outflows in the first three weeks of March, while silver ETF inflows built since last summer have been unwound, the report said. In contrast, bitcoin funds have continued to attract net inflows over the same period.

Advertisement

Positioning data tells a similar story. JPMorgan’s proxy for institutional activity, based on Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) futures open interest, shows a sharp buildup in gold and silver exposure through late 2025 into early 2026, followed by a steep decline since January as investors cut positions. Bitcoin futures positioning, by comparison, has remained relatively stable in recent weeks.

Momentum signals also diverge. The bank noted that trend-following investors, such as Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs), have aggressively reduced exposure to gold and silver, with indicators swinging from overbought to below-neutral levels. That positioning shift has likely amplified recent price declines. Bitcoin momentum, meanwhile, is recovering from oversold conditions toward neutral, suggesting selling pressure may be easing.

Liquidity conditions further highlight the divergence. Gold’s market breadth has deteriorated to the point where it now trails bitcoin, a reversal of the typical relationship. Silver’s liquidity has weakened further, with thinner market depth exacerbating recent price moves, the report added.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency was trading around $69,000 at the time of publication. Gold was trading around $4,450/oz, and silver $69/oz.

Advertisement

Read more: Wall Street broker Bernstein calls bitcoin bottom, keeps $150,000 year-end target

Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

Nvidia Faces Class Action Over Crypto Mining Revenue Disclosure Gaps

Published

on

Nvidia Faces Class Action Over Crypto Mining Revenue Disclosure Gaps

Nvidia is being sued for hiding how much of its gaming GPU revenue came from crypto miners.

The class action covers fiscal 2018, a period when quarterly revenue surged 52% and 25% year-over-year. Shareholders allege the company deliberately obscured the fact that Ethereum mining demand was driving those numbers, not gaming.

The stakes extend beyond Nvidia. As the primary infrastructure-layer supplier to the GPU mining ecosystem, any regulatory cloud over its disclosure practices ripples into how investors price exposure across the entire supply chain.

Now the Supreme Court has entered the picture. It is reviewing the 9th Circuit’s decision allowing the suit to proceed, turning a corporate disclosure dispute into a potential landmark ruling on securities pleading standards.

Advertisement

This just got a lot bigger than one company’s accounting.

Key Takeaways:

  • Case detail: Nvidia settled a parallel SEC enforcement action in May 2022 for $5.5 million after regulators found it failed to disclose crypto mining’s material impact on gaming GPU revenue in fiscal Q2 and Q3 2018.
  • Legal mechanism: The class action turns on PSLRA pleading standards — plaintiffs lack internal documents proving CEO Jensen Huang knew exact mining revenue shares, but argue employee-level crypto trend tracking constitutes constructive knowledge sufficient to survive dismissal.
  • Market implication: A Supreme Court ruling that loosens PSLRA pleading thresholds would expand litigation exposure for any public company with material crypto-derived revenue — a direct risk vector for mining hardware suppliers and adjacent equities.

The Allegation: Crypto Revenue Classified as Gaming Demand

Nvidia told investors its gaming GPU revenue growth reflected gamer demand. It did not. Cryptocurrency miners were bulk-buying GeForce cards to mine Ethereum during the 2017 boom cycle.

When Bitcoin crashed in 2018 and mining economics collapsed, GPU demand evaporated and gaming revenue fell sharply. The revenue base was never what Nvidia said it was.

Advertisement

The internal awareness is what makes this difficult to defend. During the 2 quarters with 52% and 25% year-over-year spikes, Nvidia’s own employees were actively tracking crypto market trends and their correlation with GPU sales.

Plaintiffs argue that makes executive statements attributing growth to gaming not just incomplete but knowingly misleading.

Nvidia’s own Q4 FY2019 results did the damage retroactively. The company explicitly linked the gaming and OEM revenue decline to cryptocurrency mining downturns. That admission directly contradicts the earlier framing.

Advertisement

The SEC already agreed something went wrong. Enforcement Division Crypto Assets and Cyber Unit Chief Kristina Littman stated that Nvidia’s disclosure failures deprived investors of critical information to evaluate the company’s business in a key market. Nvidia paid $5.5 million and signed a cease-and-desist without admitting wrongdoing.

That settlement structure is the core of the civil case now. Nvidia preserved its technical defense by not admitting fault. But the SEC finding functionally validates the factual allegation. The class action is not relitigating whether the disclosure failure happened. It is litigating who bears the financial consequences.

The Strategic Signal: Infrastructure-Layer Risk for Mining Markets

Nvidia supplies the dominant share of discrete GPUs used in proof-of-work mining operations. Mining companies — whether publicly listed operators or sovereign-scale entities like Bhutan’s state mining program liquidating Bitcoin holdings into Binance — depend on Nvidia hardware pricing and availability as a primary cost input.

Advertisement

Any sustained legal or regulatory uncertainty over Nvidia’s disclosure practices introduces a new variable into GPU procurement planning and equity valuation models for mining-adjacent companies.

The channel through which the lawsuit affects sentiment is investor trust, not GPU pricing directly. If the Supreme Court tightens PSLRA standards and dismisses the case, it effectively insulates tech companies from class actions built on circumstantial inference, reducing securities litigation risk across the sector.

If the Court upholds the 9th Circuit and the class action proceeds to discovery, plaintiffs gain access to internal communications, which historically is where these cases settle expensively.

Mining equities like Bitmine, currently accumulating ETH as a strategic reserve asset, carry indirect exposure through Nvidia’s role as GPU supplier — a guilty verdict or major settlement reframes how the market prices crypto-hardware dependency risk across the board.

Ethereum’s Merge in September 2022 already eliminated GPU-based ETH mining as a demand driver, and Nvidia’s 2021 launch of dedicated Cryptocurrency Mining Processor (CMP) products with hash rate limiters on GeForce cards was a deliberate structural separation of markets. The litigation relitigates a period that no longer operationally exists — but the precedent it sets for revenue source disclosure requirements is entirely forward-looking.

Advertisement

Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

The post Nvidia Faces Class Action Over Crypto Mining Revenue Disclosure Gaps appeared first on Cryptonews.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

XRP spot ETFs defy crypto slump with $1.4B in inflows as Bitcoin, gold and silver funds see outflows, JPMorgan says

Published

on

XRP Price Glitch Sends XRP to $126 on CNBC Broadcast

XRP exchange-traded funds are pulling in fresh capital at a pace that puts them at odds with the rest of the market, as investors rotate out of gold and silver ETFs while keeping steady allocations to Bitcoin products amid geopolitical tensions and higher rates.

Summary

  • XRP spot ETFs have amassed about $1.4 billion in net inflows since launch in November 2025, even as XRP’s price slid more than 30% from recent highs.
  • By contrast, gold ETFs have seen nearly $11 billion in outflows in three weeks, while silver products also bled capital as rising rates and a stronger dollar pressured precious metals.
  • JPMorgan says Bitcoin ETFs are holding net inflows and showing “greater resilience” than gold and silver, underscoring a shift in how investors hedge geopolitical and macro risk.

Since their launch in November 2025, XRP (XRP)-linked ETFs have attracted more than $1.4 billion in cumulative net inflows, according to data highlighted by Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart, even as XRP has dropped roughly 33% over the past 90 days and 24% year-to-date to around $1.38. JPMorgan, meanwhile, reports that gold ETFs have suffered close to $11 billion in outflows over a three‑week stretch leading into March, with silver products seeing similarly heavy withdrawals as rising interest rates and a stronger dollar undercut the traditional safe havens.

In a recent note on ETF flows, Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, managing director at JPMorgan, said Bitcoin spot funds “have attracted approximately 1.5% in new assets” since the latest Middle East flare‑up began, while the largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), “has experienced outflows totaling about 2.7% of its assets under management.” He argued this divergence “represents a significant departure from historical patterns where investors typically flock to gold during geopolitical uncertainty,” suggesting that BTC is increasingly viewed as “a viable alternative to traditional safe‑haven assets.” According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin briefly fell into the $60,000 range alongside other risk assets at the onset of the conflict but quickly stabilized and is now trading between $68,000 and $70,000, a range JPMorgan reads as evidence that “long‑term capital is re‑entering the market to support prices after the panic.”

Advertisement

For XRP, the contrast between price action and ETF demand has become increasingly stark. Data compiled by SoSoValue and cited by Seyffart show cumulative XRP ETF inflows climbing from roughly $150 million in mid‑November to about $1.44 billion by early March, even as the token slid from recent peaks toward the low‑$1.30s. Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas called the performance “really impressive given these launched into a brutal 45% drawdown,” adding that such consistent buying is rare for newly listed products trading through a “reverse shiny object moment.” “My guess is this is largely XRP super fans vs casual retail,” Balchunas wrote, pointing to concentrated conviction rather than broad speculative froth.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has framed the flows as a structural shift in how investors access the token, saying the ETFs are “a sign of XRP’s long‑term payments potential” after the company’s courtroom win against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission unlocked the path for regulated products. According to a previous crypto.news story, spot XRP ETFs neared $1 billion in assets after just 13 days of consecutive inflows, following patterns seen after the approval of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. That momentum has since pushed cumulative net inflows to around $1.4 billion, with February alone contributing between $58 million and $106.8 million depending on the dataset, even as the broader crypto complex cooled.

JPMorgan’s latest work on cross‑asset positioning suggests that institutional traders have been steadily cutting exposure to gold and silver while leaving Bitcoin allocations broadly intact. The bank notes that positions in precious‑metal futures have “significantly declined since the beginning of the year,” with trend‑following funds flipping from “overbought” to “below neutral,” which has “exacerbated their downward pressure” as ETF outflows accelerated. Bitcoin, by comparison, has moved out of an “oversold” momentum regime, and selling pressure has eased as ETF demand stabilized, helping support the $68,000–$70,000 trading band.

Advertisement

Liquidity indicators in JPMorgan’s framework now show market breadth in gold slipping below that of Bitcoin, while silver liquidity has weakened even further, a reversal of the typical hierarchy in traditional macro stress episodes. The bank argues that this shift “highlights Bitcoin’s gradually emerging performance characteristics that differ from traditional safe‑haven assets in the current macro and geopolitical environment,” with deeper ETF markets and institutional participation helping compress volatility relative to earlier cycles.

XRP’s ETF complex, though far smaller in absolute terms, appears to be tracking a similar institutionalization arc. By mid‑March, total net assets across XRP ETFs sat just under $1 billion, representing roughly 1.16% of the token’s market capitalization, while some estimates suggest custodians are removing close to 1% of circulating supply from exchanges each month to back new creations. An earlier crypto.news story on XRP ETFs noted that 13 straight days of inflows pulled nearly $900 million into the products within weeks of launch, underscoring how quickly regulated wrappers can tighten free‑float supply once they catch on with allocators.

For JPMorgan, the ETF flow divergence sits atop a macro mix that still looks hostile to precious metals. The bank points to rising real yields and a firmer dollar as key reasons why gold and silver have struggled to hold recent highs, even as geopolitical risk flared. CoinMarketCap data cited in the note show gold correcting from a record peak while SPDR Gold Shares shed about 2.7% of its assets over the crisis window, against positive net inflows for BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust of roughly 1.5% of AUM. In aggregate, gold ETFs have lost nearly $11 billion over three weeks, JPMorgan estimates, with silver funds recording “significant” redemptions as well.

Bitcoin’s ability to stabilize after an initial risk‑off impulse, and to keep pulling capital into ETFs, has led JPMorgan to reiterate its long‑term price target of $266,000, derived from a volatility‑adjusted comparison to gold’s market structure. While XRP lacks that kind of formal target, the resilience of its ETF flows relative to price has drawn similar interpretations from market participants who see regulated products as a bridge for institutional money. In previous crypto.news coverage, analysts noted that XRP’s ETF trajectory and the post‑SEC‑case regulatory clarity could help the token close its underperformance gap versus peers if macro headwinds ease and capital rotates back into higher‑beta assets.

Advertisement

Amid ETF outflows from gold and silver, deteriorating liquidity in those markets, and continued institutional deleveraging, JPMorgan’s takeaway is blunt: Bitcoin is holding up better than traditional safe havens, and regulated crypto wrappers are no longer a sideshow. For XRP, the early data suggest that even in a choppy tape, a committed ETF bid can quietly rewire the supply‑demand balance — and position the token as one of the key beneficiaries if risk appetite returns.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

XRP Risks 50% Crash as Goldman Sachs ETF Exposure Fails to Lift Price

Published

on

XRP Risks 50% Crash as Goldman Sachs ETF Exposure Fails to Lift Price

XRP (XRP) traded at $1.37 after a 3.5% decline in the last 24 hours, shrugging off Goldman Sachs’ disclosure of exposure to spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

While this highlights long-term institutional confidence, it comes amid fragile risk sentiment and a typical breakdown from a bearish setup.

Key takeaways:

  • Goldman Sachs disclosed $152.17 million in spot XRP ETF holdings across four funds, making it the largest institutional holder in this segment.

  • XRP maintains its bear pennant breakdown setup targeting $0.72.

Goldman Sachs discloses $152 million exposure to XRP ETFs

Goldman Sachs has emerged as the largest disclosed institutional holder of US spot XRP ETFs, revealing a $152 million position in its Q4 2025 13F filing with the SEC. 

Advertisement

Related: XRP treasury Evernorth files with SEC to list shares on Nasdaq

The $3.5 trillion asset manager has spread its exposure across four funds: $39.8 million in Bitwise XRP ETF, $38.5 million in Franklin XRP Trust, $38 million in Grayscale XRP ETF, and $35.9 million in 21Shares XRP ETF. 

Goldman isn’t alone. Its allocation accounts for roughly 73% of the about $211 million held by the top 30 institutional investors in XRP ETFs, according to Bloomberg Senior ETF analyst James  Seyffart.

Top 30 institutional spot XRP investors. Source: X/James/Seyffart

While this institutional move highlights long-term confidence, XRP price remains 25% below its yearly open around $1.84, driven by slowing ETF inflows and macro headwinds.

Cumulative net inflows into US-based XRP ETFs crossed the $1 billion mark within the first few months of trading, peaking at $1.28 billion on Jan. 16. The pace has since cooled to $1.21 billion today.

Advertisement

Total assets under management peaked around $1.65 billion in early January but have dropped to roughly $995 billion, dragged down by XRP’s price decline and a stretch of net outflows, according to data from SoSoValue.

XRP ETFs recorded a total of $56.5 million in net outflows between March 3 and March 16. Since then, the daily inflows have been muted below $5 million. 

Spot XRP ETF flows chart. Source: SoSoValue

XRP bear pennant breakdown underway

XRP price broke down from its prevailing bear pennant when it dropped below the lower trend line of the pattern at $1.40 on Thursday. The price could retest the lower trend line as new resistance, a move that could confirm the breakdown.

XRP/USD weekly chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bull pennants form when price consolidates inside a triangle following a steep decline. Once the price breaks below that triangle, it triggers another massive downward move.

For XRP, the measured target of the bear pennant is $0.72, roughly 48% below the current price. 

As Cointelegraph reported, a break below $1.27 would suggest that the bears are still in control, fueling XRP/USD drop toward $1.

Advertisement

Declining XRP volatility hints at “sharp” price move next

XRP’s volatility metrics are warning of an imminent massive price move.

The 30-day Realized Volatility (RV 30D) has dropped to around 0.5266, marking the lowest level for 2026. 

Meanwhile, the Volatility Z-Score is at -0.9048, “reflecting a clear decline in volatility compared to the historical average,” CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain said in a recent Quicktake note, adding:

“This type of volatility contraction is commonly referred to as volatility compression, a phase that often precedes a sharp price movement in either direction.”

XRP realized volatility on Binance