Key takeaways

• XMR is down 2% and could record further losses in the near term
• The Fed’s hawkishness weighs on the broader crypto market.

Privacy coins remain under pressure amid weak risk appetite

Monero (XMR) continued its downward trajectory on Friday as bearish sentiment persisted across the cryptocurrency market. 

XMR slipped for a third consecutive session, remaining below the $330 level. 

The broader crypto market came under renewed pressure following remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh during his first post-meeting press conference on Wednesday.

While the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left interest rates unchanged, in line with market expectations, investors reacted negatively to the central bank’s hawkish tone. 

Policymakers emphasized their commitment to restoring inflation to the long-term 2% target, prioritizing price stability over near-term monetary easing.

Warsh’s comments suggested the Fed remains comfortable maintaining its current policy stance and is not yet considering interest-rate cuts. Market participants have even begun pricing in the possibility of another rate increase, with current expectations implying a 30% probability of a hike at an upcoming policy meeting.

Risk appetite weakened further as the Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell to 15 on Thursday from 22 a day earlier, keeping the market firmly in the “Extreme Fear” zone. The decline highlights growing investor caution and reduced exposure to risk assets.

Monero price outlook: Correction continues below key resistance levels

Monero remains trapped below the Bollinger Bands middle line near $340 and all major Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). 

The 50-day EMA sits around $359, while the 100-day and 200-day EMAs cluster near $366, creating a significant resistance zone overhead.

Despite the ongoing correction, technical indicators show signs of improving momentum. 

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram remains positive, while the Money Flow Index (MFI) near 65 suggests steady capital inflows. 

However, these signals currently point to corrective rebounds rather than a broader trend reversal as long as XMR remains beneath key resistance levels.

Immediate resistance is located around the Bollinger Bands’ middle line at $340, followed by the 50-day EMA near $359. 

A stronger resistance zone emerges around $367, where the 100-day and 200-day EMAs converge. Beyond that, the upper Bollinger Band near $389 represents the next major hurdle for buyers.

On the downside, support is found near the lower Bollinger Band at approximately $291. A breakdown below this level could accelerate losses and trigger a deeper retracement despite the recent improvement in momentum indicators.

Monero remains vulnerable to further downside as macroeconomic uncertainty and restrictive monetary policy continue to weigh on investor sentiment. 

While technical indicators suggest some underlying buying interest, the privacy coins must reclaim key resistance levels before a more sustained recovery can take shape.

Key Takeaways

• Micron’s fiscal Q3 earnings are scheduled for after-hours Wednesday, June 24
• Wall Street expects EPS of $20.70 (versus $1.71 last year) and revenue of $35.56 billion (versus $9.30 billion)
• Shares have skyrocketed 817% over the trailing twelve months and 298% in 2025
• The company has exceeded earnings expectations for 12 consecutive quarters, yet shares declined following 7 of those announcements
• AI infrastructure spending from major technology firms is projected to surpass $700 billion in 2025, sustaining robust chip demand

Micron Technology shares have delivered extraordinary gains over the past year, surging 817%. However, Wednesday’s earnings announcement may present a challenge — regardless of how impressive the results prove to be.

Micron Technology, Inc., MU

The memory chip manufacturer will unveil its fiscal third-quarter performance after market hours on June 24. Shares were trading approximately 8.70% higher in anticipation of the disclosure.

Analysts are projecting a substantial year-over-year improvement. The consensus calls for adjusted earnings per share of $20.70, a dramatic increase from $1.71 in the corresponding period last year. Revenue projections stand at $35.56 billion, compared to just $9.30 billion twelve months prior, based on FactSet estimates.

These figures represent exceptional growth. However, historical patterns suggest that surpassing expectations doesn’t guarantee share price appreciation.

Micron has exceeded earnings projections for twelve consecutive quarters. Despite this streak, the stock has finished lower in the trading session immediately after seven of those announcements, data from Dow Jones Market Data reveals.

The latest instance occurred in March, when Micron delivered its largest earnings surprise relative to forecasts in two years. Nevertheless, shares declined 3.8% the following trading day.

That being said, MU has rallied 168% since that March announcement. A single-day decline obviously doesn’t capture the complete investment narrative.

AI Infrastructure Investment Context

The broader environment is critical to understanding Micron’s position. Investors are monitoring the company’s performance as an indicator of overall semiconductor demand and whether the artificial intelligence investment wave maintains its strength.

Major technology corporations are anticipated to allocate over $700 billion toward AI infrastructure in the current year, up from $400 billion in 2025. This extraordinary capital deployment has been instrumental in driving memory chip consumption.

“The demand is just through the roof in relation to chip capacity,” noted Steve Kolano, chief investment officer at Integrated Partners, characterizing Micron’s situation as “a classic positive feedback loop.”

The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor Index reached a new record high this week, advancing 7% over the five-trading-day period. Major U.S. equity benchmarks are similarly positioned near all-time peaks, buoyed by robust corporate profits and diminished geopolitical tensions.

Critical Factors for Investors

Beyond the topline financial metrics, market participants will scrutinize Micron’s forward guidance and any remarks regarding data center demand patterns.

Valuation multiples throughout the semiconductor sector have expanded considerably, prompting some investors to question whether the AI-driven rally has become overextended. Micron’s quarterly report offers one of the most direct methods to assess whether underlying demand justifies current market enthusiasm.

The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge and the final first-quarter GDP revision are also scheduled for release next week, introducing additional macroeconomic variables into the equation.

Barron’s has previously contended that Micron and several chip industry counterparts remain attractively valued relative to AI server hardware requirements.

Second-quarter earnings expansion for the S&P 500 is estimated at 22.9%, declining from 29.3% in the first quarter, according to LSEG research.

Presently, the Wall Street consensus maintains that AI-related momentum continues unabated. SpaceX’s recent public market debut and Nasdaq’s inclusion of AI infrastructure companies such as Astera Labs and CoreWeave have generated additional institutional buying activity from passive index strategies.

Micron is scheduled to announce results after Wednesday’s market close on June 24.

Key takeaways

• ZEC is still struggling under the $477-$500 zone. 
• Although momentum indicators show signs of stabilization, Zcash remains vulnerable to further downside as investors react to persistent macroeconomic uncertainty and rising rate-hike expectations. 

Zcash (ZEC) remains under pressure on Thursday as bearish sentiment continued to dominate the cryptocurrency market. ZEC is facing mounting resistance beneath the $500 mark as investors reduce exposure to risk assets.

Fed’s policy stance causes a negative market reaction

The broader crypto market weakened following remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh during his first post-meeting press conference on Wednesday.

Although the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept interest rates unchanged, in line with expectations, investors reacted negatively to the central bank’s firm commitment to bringing inflation back to its long-term 2% target. The Fed’s emphasis on price stability signaled that policymakers are not yet prepared to pivot toward monetary easing.

Warsh’s comments reinforced expectations that higher interest rates could remain in place for longer. Market participants are even assigning a roughly 30% probability to a future rate hike, reviving concerns about tighter financial conditions and reduced liquidity for risk assets.

Investor confidence weakened further as the Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell to 15 on Thursday from 22 a day earlier, remaining firmly within the “Extreme Fear” zone. The reading highlights growing caution among traders and suggests subdued market participation in the near term.

ZEC price forecast: Zcash faces growing downside risks

Zcash has also remained on the defensive, recording three straight days of losses while trading below its 50-day EMA near $477. 

The continued inability to reclaim this level has reinforced bearish sentiment and increased the likelihood of further downside.

A sustained move lower could encourage additional de-risking among traders, placing the spotlight on key support zones near $434 and $376.

While the MACD histogram remains marginally positive, suggesting some recovery attempts may be forming, the Money Flow Index remains in the mid-40s, indicating relatively weak buying momentum compared with Monero.

The immediate resistance level remains the 50-day EMA at approximately $477. If buyers manage to regain control, attention could shift toward the upper boundary of the descending channel near $549.

On the downside, support is located near the 100-day EMA around $434, followed by the 200-day EMA near $376. 

Should bearish pressure intensify, the lower boundary of the descending channel near $279 could emerge as a critical medium-term support zone.

If approved, the ETFs could begin trading as early as September. While regulatory approval is not guaranteed, the filing signals growing institutional comfort with marrying traditional equities and cryptocurrency in regulated wrappers.

These filings follow the recent debut of BlackRock’s Income ETF, which allows institutions to monetize cryptocurrency’s volatility. The 11 spot bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. have pulled in more than $53 billion in investor capital since their inception in 2024, according to SoSoValue data.

Taken together, these developments point to continued institutional appetite for bitcoin despite the bear market. The BTC price peaked at $126,000 in October last year and was recently trading below $62,500.

The price has dropped by over 2% in the past 24 hours.

“The bulls still have some hope, as a formal break of the trend would require the price to settle below previous lows near $61.5K. Even in this scenario, the price decline could stall in the $59–60K range, which represents this year’s most critical support level,” Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at the FxPPro said in an email.

A market holiday in the U.S. on Friday for Juneteenth may lead to thin liquidity and erratic price moves. Stay alert!

Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today . For a comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead.”

• Real Finance launches REAL Competition for the $ASSET ecosystem.
• Users can earn points by trading, staking and holding $ASSET.
• A $3400 raffle pool gives more community members a chance to win.

Real Finance has launched the REAL Competition, a community rewards campaign aimed at increasing participation across the $ASSET ecosystem.

The Sofia-based company said the campaign will allow users to earn points through trading, staking and holding $ASSET, with top participants eligible for up to $20,000 in USDC rewards.

The competition also includes an additional raffle prize pool, broadening the reward structure beyond the highest-ranked users.

Real Finance said the campaign is designed to recognise sustained on-chain engagement rather than simply rewarding short-term trading volume.

Points system targets wider ecosystem activity

The REAL Competition introduces a points-based model that tracks qualifying activity involving $ASSET.

Participants can earn points by trading, staking and holding the token, with all activity monitored on-chain through the competition dashboard.

The structure is designed to give users multiple ways to participate.

Active traders can build points through qualifying transactions, while long-term holders and stakers can also improve their standing through sustained participation.

Real Finance said participants will move through a 13-level rewards structure during the campaign.

This approach marks a shift from conventional trading competitions, which often focus mainly on volume.

By including staking and holding activity, the REAL Competition is intended to reward broader involvement across the $ASSET ecosystem.

Leaderboard rewards backed by raffle prizes

The campaign’s main prize structure includes fixed rewards for the top-ranked participants, with total rewards of up to $20,000 in USDC available through the competition.

Real Finance will also distribute rewards through a broader pool based on final point totals.

This means participants outside the highest leaderboard positions may still be eligible for rewards, depending on their accumulated score.

In addition, the company said it will offer a separate raffle reward pool worth $3,400.

The raffle is designed to give more community members a chance to win prizes, even if they do not finish among the top-ranked participants.

“The REAL Competition is designed to reward meaningful participation across our ecosystem,” said Ivo Georgiev, CEO of Real Finance.

Whether users are actively trading, staking for the long term, or steadily building their position in $ASSET, we want to recognize the community members helping drive the growth of the network. By combining leaderboard rewards with raffle prizes, we’re creating opportunities for a broader range of participants to benefit from the campaign.

Campaign to run over coming months

Participants can join the REAL Competition by connecting a supported wallet and completing qualifying $ASSET transactions or staking activities.

Real Finance said users will be able to track their points, leaderboard ranking and unlocked multipliers through the campaign dashboard.

The company said the competition is now live and will run through the coming months, with rewards to be distributed after the campaign concludes.

The REAL Competition is scheduled to go live at 11 AM UTC.

Bitcoin (BTC) could reach its new “macro bottom” by September, as price action continues to surprise traders.

Key points:

• Bitcoin may “front run” exchange order-book liquidity to produce a bear-market low between $50,000 and $60,000.
• A trader sees “complete disbelief” if price reverses with only a partial liquidity grab.
• “Aggressive” shorting from Binance traders returns on low time frames.

BTC price bottom could spark “complete disbelief”

New analysis from pseudonymous trader Killa on Friday focuses on a sub-$60,000 liquidity grab next quarter.

Crypto exchange order-book liquidity is key to short-term price moves, as large-volume traders coerce the market into wiping nearby positions, causing volatility.

Killa, however, is looking at the longer-term picture — many expect BTC/USD to drop as low as $50,000 to take liquidity before bouncing, data shows.

“At some point, $BTC is going to front run major HTF liquidity,” he told followers in a post on X. 

“Just like the market front ran the 140K liquidity above, it can do the exact same thing on the downside, leaving many in complete disbelief.”

Bitcoin order-book liquidity data. Source: Killa/X

An accompanying chart from CoinGlass shows the main area of interest between $50,000 and $60,000. If it gets taken, Killa argues, it would lay the foundation for the end of the bear market.

“I’m not saying we won’t sweep below 60K, but it’s something worth considering. Markets have a habit of front running the levels everyone is focused on,” they continued. 

“Because if this particular liquidity below 60K gets grabbed, there’s a very good chance the next major pool that forms between July and September never gets filled, marking the macro bottom.”

Binance BTC shorts become “aggressive”

As Cointelegraph reported, others have questioned the staying power of current support around the $60,000 mark.

Related: Bitcoin market cap rebound to take ‘5-10 years’ after dropping 10 places since mid-2025

Traders are poised for a snap collapse, with Daan Crypto Trades warning that the situation could “get ugly” if nearby trend lines fail to hold.

“Bulls need to hold that $61K-$62K region otherwise things get ugly real quick I think. But for now, still at support,” he summarized on X.

BTC/USD perpetual swap contract four-hour chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

On Thursday, commentator Exitpump flagged “aggressive” short positioning by traders on Binance, saying that the short-term price outlooks “looks bearish” as a result.

BTC/USD 10-minute chart with order-book data (Binance). Source: Exitpump/X