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Bitcoin Investors Should Watch These US Economic Signals

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This Week's Major US Economic Reports & Fed Speakers

Bitcoin traders are heading into a macro-heavy week, with four US economic events expected to shape sentiment across crypto markets.

With Bitcoin trading in a volatile range and macro narratives dominating market psychology, traders are increasingly treating economic releases as short-term catalysts that can trigger sharp moves in both directions.

Which US Economic Signals Should Bitcoin and Crypto Investors Watch This Week?

A Federal Reserve (Fed) governor’s media appearance, key labor-market data, weekly unemployment claims, and January inflation figures could all influence expectations around interest rates and liquidity—two of the strongest drivers of Bitcoin’s price cycles.

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This Week's Major US Economic Reports & Fed Speakers
This Week’s Major US Economic Reports & Fed Speakers. Source: MarketWatch

Fed Governor Stephen Miran Interview in Focus

Markets will first look to comments from Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran, who is scheduled to appear in a podcast interview on Monday, February 9. Ahead of the 5:00 p.m. ET. appearance, there is already mixed sentiment across the crypto community, especially amid broader market caution.  

Some market participants point to Miran’s relatively constructive view on stablecoins, arguing that regulatory clarity and dollar-linked digital assets could indirectly support Bitcoin by strengthening the broader crypto ecosystem and institutional participation.

Others see risk. Speculation that Miran could play a larger role in future Fed leadership has already coincided with bouts of volatility in both precious metals and crypto. This reflects fears that tighter policy could weigh on inflation-hedge narratives.

At the same time, some macro analysts have described Miran as more dovish than many of his peers, citing past arguments in favor of substantial rate cuts to support the labor market.

Any signals in that direction could lift sentiment in risk assets, particularly Bitcoin, which remains highly sensitive to liquidity expectations.

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US Employment Report Could Drive “Bad News Is Good News” Narrative

Attention will shift on Wednesday, February 11, to the US employment report, one of the most closely watched indicators of economic health and monetary-policy direction.

Forecasts suggest relatively modest job growth, potentially reaching 55,000 from the previous 50,000. Weaker-than-expected data could paradoxically support Bitcoin. Cooling labor conditions would increase pressure on the Fed to ease policy, potentially improving liquidity conditions for risk assets.

Recent labor-market indicators have already pointed to signs of slowing. Reports of rising layoffs and a slowdown in hiring have strengthened expectations that rate cuts could arrive sooner than previously anticipated.

Interest Rate Cut Probabilities
Interest Rate Cut Probabilities. Source: CME FedWatch Tool

However, the employment report also carries downside risk. A sharp deterioration in job data could spark broader growth fears, prompting investors to move toward defensive positions. Such an outcome could trigger short-term selloffs in crypto, as seen during previous macro shocks.

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Jobless Claims May Reinforce or Challenge the Trend

Thursday’s initial jobless claims release will provide a more immediate snapshot of labor-market conditions. As such, it could reinforce the narrative set by the employment and unemployment reports on Wednesday.

Recent spikes in claims have coincided with risk-off reactions in crypto markets, including liquidation events and rapid price swings. Some traders interpret rising claims as a signal that economic conditions are weakening enough to force monetary easing, a longer-term positive for Bitcoin.

Others warn that in the short term, deteriorating employment data can unsettle markets, especially when liquidity is thin and leverage is elevated.

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That dynamic has made jobless-claims releases a growing source of volatility, even though they rarely move markets in isolation.

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CPI and Core CPI Seen as the Week’s Decisive Catalyst

The most consequential data point may arrive on Friday, February 13, with the release of January’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Core CPI figures.

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Inflation data remains the primary driver of Fed policy expectations and, therefore, a key determinant of crypto market sentiment.

Cooler-than-expected readings in recent months have supported risk assets by weakening the “higher for longer” rate narrative.

Another soft inflation print could accelerate expectations for rate cuts in 2026, potentially reinforcing bullish momentum in Bitcoin and strengthening the case for a move toward six-figure price levels over time.

However, sticky or rising inflation would likely have the opposite effect, pushing Treasury yields higher and pressuring speculative assets, including cryptocurrencies.

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“If data comes in hot, rates will likely stay higher, and risk assets may struggle. If data cools, rate cut expectations could return, and markets may breathe. This week will tell us what comes next,” remarked analyst Kyle Chasse.

Taken together, the week’s events represent a concentrated test of the macro narratives currently driving Bitcoin: inflation, employment, and the timing of monetary easing.

While long-term adoption trends, such as ETF flows, institutional participation, and stablecoin growth, continue to underpin bullish projections, short-term price action remains closely tied to economic data.

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Crypto World

Strategy Makes Another Bitcoin Purchase as Unrealized Losses Mount

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Strategy Makes Another Bitcoin Purchase as Unrealized Losses Mount


The company’s latest purchase raised some eyebrows due to the poor timing.

Michael Saylor, the Bitcoin champion behind Strategy’s BTC accumulation strategy, announced minutes ago the latest acquisition made by the company, in which it spent $90 million to accumulate 1,142 units.

Consequently, the firm’s total stash has grown to 714,644 BTC, acquired at an average price of $76,056 for a total of $54.35 billion. Thus, Strategy’s bitcoin holdings continue to be in the red as the asset trades below $70,000 at press time.

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Given the cryptocurrency’s adverse movements over the past week or so, the average price of $78,815 per BTC means that Strategy completed its acquisition on Monday or Tuesday. After all, the asset plunged hard in the following days and hasn’t traded at such high prices for a week now.

This raised some questions within the cryptocurrency community, including Satoshi Flipper, who indicated that buying BTC at these levels, even with DCA, makes these purchases “beyond silly.”

Interestingly, Strategy’s stock prices ended the previous week on a high note, skyrocketing by over 26% to $135. However, MSTR has dropped by nearly 4% in pre-market trading today. On a monthly scale, MSTR’s price is down by 14% despite Friday’s bounce.

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XRP Price Crash To 15-Month Low Inspires $2.2 Billion Whale Buying

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XRP Whale Holding

XRP recently suffered a sharp sell-off that dragged the price close to the $1.00 level, marking its lowest point in nearly 15 months. The decline shook market confidence and triggered widespread fear among short-term holders. 

However, XRP avoided a deeper breakdown at the last moment. The key question now is whether downside pressure will resume or stabilize.

XRP Holders Exhibit Mixed Signals

Large XRP holders have returned to accumulation mode during the downturn. Wallets holding between 100 million and 1 billion XRP acquired more than 1.6 billion tokens over the past week. At current prices, this buying exceeds $2.24 billion, signaling renewed interest from influential market participants.

This accumulation helped support XRP’s bounce from recent lows. Whale buying often absorbs sell-side pressure and stabilizes price during volatile phases. While it does not guarantee immediate recovery, such activity improves liquidity conditions and provides a foundation for short-term price resilience.

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Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

XRP Whale Holding
XRP Whale Holding. Source: Santiment

Long-term holders remain cautious despite whale accumulation. The recent crash appears to have weakened confidence built over the prior weeks. XRP’s Liveliness indicator spiked during the decline, signaling increased movement of long-held tokens back into circulation.

A rising Liveliness reading suggests long-term holders are shifting from accumulation to distribution. This behavior is concerning because long-term investors typically anchor market stability. If their selling continues, it could offset whale demand and limit XRP’s ability to sustain a recovery rally.

XRP Liveliness
XRP Liveliness. Source: Glassnode

XRP Traders Under Pressure

Derivatives positioning highlights a bearish bias in XRP’s broader market structure. Liquidation data shows roughly $399 million in short exposure compared with $152 million in long positions. This imbalance suggests traders are positioning for further downside rather than a sustained rebound.

XRP is particularly vulnerable if the price revisits the $1.00 level. A breakdown below that threshold could trigger cascading liquidations. Such an event would amplify volatility and accelerate selling, reinforcing bearish momentum in the futures market.

XRP Liquidation Map
XRP Liquidation Map. Source: Coinglass

XRP Price Is Holding Support

XRP is trading near $1.44 at the time of writing, holding above the $1.42 support level. On the weekly chart, the token briefly dipped to $1.11 before rebounding. This move marked XRP’s lowest level in 15 months, stopping just above the critical $1.00 psychological zone.

Given current conditions, a retest of lower support remains possible. Weak long-term holder confidence and bearish derivatives positioning increase downside risk. A loss of $1.42 could send XRP back toward $1.11, where buyers would need to defend aggressively to prevent further losses.

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XRP Price Analysis
XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

A bullish alternative exists if selling pressure fades. Continued whale accumulation could help XRP regain momentum. A push toward $1.91 would mark a significant recovery. Breaking that resistance could lift the price toward $2.00, invalidating the bearish thesis and restoring market confidence.

The post XRP Price Crash To 15-Month Low Inspires $2.2 Billion Whale Buying appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Crypto News & Price Indexes

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Bitcoin, Ethereum, Crypto News & Price Indexes

Michael Saylor’s Strategy, the world’s largest public holder of Bitcoin, added another tranche of BTC last week, expanding its holdings without pushing its overall cost basis lower.

Strategy acquired 1,142 Bitcoin (BTC) for $90 million last week, according to a US Securities and Exchange Commission filing on Monday.

The acquisitions were made at an average price of $78,815 per BTC despite Bitcoin trading below that level for most of the week and briefly touching $60,000 on Coinbase last Thursday.

Source: SEC

The latest buy brought Strategy’s total Bitcoin holdings to 714,644 BTC, purchased for around $54.35 billion at an average price of $76,056 per coin.

Strategy misses the Bitcoin dip?

By buying Bitcoin at close to $79,000 per coin, Strategy avoided lowering the average cost basis of its existing holdings.

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Bitcoin, however, has traded well below that level for almost a week. The price fell sharply below $78,000 last Tuesday and has not climbed above the $72,000 mark since, according to Coinbase data.

Bitcoin price versus Strategy’s average purchase price. Source: SaylorTracker

The purchase marks Strategy’s second Bitcoin acquisition as the cryptocurrency trades below the company’s average acquisition price of $76,056.

Strategy faced a similar situation in 2022 when Bitcoin fell below $30,000 while its average purchase price stood at about $30,600. At the time, Strategy significantly slowed the pace of its buying, though it continued to make smaller purchases even at prices below its cost basis.

Related: Bitcoin Sharpe ratio slides to levels seen in previous market bottoms

In the lead-up to the purchase, some market participants speculated that Strategy would try to avoid buying below its average cost this cycle, given the optics around unrealized losses.

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Some users joked that Michael Saylor might instead announce another purchase at much higher levels.

“Saylor on Monday: We’ve added another 1,000 bitcoins at an average price of $95,000,” one market observer joked in an X post on Friday.

Bitcoin Price, Shares, MicroStrategy, Michael Saylor
Source: Breadman

Strategy (MSTR) shares have mirrored Bitcoin’s volatility, dropping to around $107 last Thursday, according to TradingView data.

In line with a minor rebound on crypto markets, the stock started rising on Friday, posting a spike of 26% to close at around $135.

Magazine: Bitcoin difficulty plunges, Buterin sells off Ethereum: Hodler’s Digest, Feb. 1 – 7

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