Crypto World
Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Selloff Drops to 19-Month Low
Bitcoin “long-term” holders appear to be stepping back from selling, with on-chain data suggesting that the most patient cohort is now moving far less BTC than it did during earlier rally-driven waves. At the same time, multiple market analysts are pointing to a recurring halving-cycle timing model and to possible downside liquidity levels that could shape where the next bottom forms.
According to CryptoQuant data cited by analyst Darkfost, BTC spending by holders who acquired their coins more than five years ago has dropped to a 90-day average of 962 BTC—the lowest level since November 2024. Darkfost also described earlier peaks in this measure, including a high of 3,860 BTC in May 2024.
Key takeaways
- CryptoQuant data shows long-term holder “spending” fell to a 90-day average of 962 BTC, the lowest since November 2024.
- Darkfost identified three major selling/spending waves since the prior two years’ rallies, with the largest peak in May 2024.
- Axel Adler Jr. argues the weakness is concentrated more in newer holders: ST h realized cap reportedly shrank while LTH drawdown stayed limited.
- Two analysts are also using cycle timing and chart structure to frame a potential bottoming window in early September, depending on how BTC trades into July.
Long-term “OG” holders ease net pressure
Darkfost’s analysis tracks spent transaction outputs (STXO), a metric commonly used to observe how much BTC has moved on-chain. The dataset focuses on investors who have held Bitcoin for more than five years, often referred to as long-term or “OG” holders.
In the period following strong rallies, Darkfost described three major spending waves: a 90-day moving average that peaked at 3,860 BTC in May 2024, then rose again to 3,200 BTC in February 2025, and later to 2,360 BTC in September 2025. While averages peaked in the thousands, individual sessions were far more extreme. Darkfost cited days in which output exceeded 10,000 BTC, 30,000 BTC, and even 142,000 BTC.
What stands out in the current read is the sharp cooling in that trend. Darkfost said the 90-day average has fallen to 962 BTC, representing the lowest level in 19 months. He also noted that the most expensive coins in this cohort were acquired around $63,200—close to where the market was trading at the time the analysis was made. The implication for traders is straightforward: when long-term holders’ cost basis aligns with current prices, the willingness to sell appears to reduce, at least as measured by STXO movement.
LTH resilience vs STH strain
Another layer of interpretation comes from Bitcoin Researcher Axel Adler Jr., who highlighted a divergence between newer and older investors using adjusted net unrealized profit/loss (aNUPL) alongside realized capital measures for short-term holders (STH) and long-term holders (LTH).
Adler Jr. said Bitcoin’s aNUPL has moved down to -0.14 from near zero a month earlier, reflecting that the average position may be back in unrealized loss territory as BTC traded near $62,500. He also drew attention to the relative behavior of different holding cohorts, arguing that newer holders are absorbing the damage rather than long-term participants broadening selling pressure.
“STH capital has shrunk by -56%, while LTH capital has barely drawn down. Weak hands are capitulating. Strong hands have not even flinched.”
In Adler Jr.’s framing, the key point is not merely that drawdowns exist, but that they appear unevenly distributed. He added that spent value for short-term holders has spent nearly half of the past three months below zero—an indication of persistent pressure on the participants most likely to have purchased closer to the current market range, rather than a sweeping capitulation across long-term holders.
For readers tracking whether the market is approaching a durable base, this distinction matters. If LTH activity continues to quiet while STH realized positions deteriorate, it can imply that distribution is being concentrated among less patient buyers—potentially setting up conditions for stabilization once those participants reduce forced or emotional selling.
Halving-cycle timing points to an early September window
Beyond on-chain cohort behavior, some analysts are tying the current drawdown to a pattern observed around prior halving cycles. Crypto analyst LP highlighted a recurring timeline: in the prior bear market, a “final capitulation” phase arrived about 826 days after the halving, followed by a period of consolidation lasting roughly 70 to 110 days.
For the current cycle, LP said the 826-day marker lands on July 6. Using the same timing logic, the trader suggested a potential bottoming window in early September. LP also indicated that the scenario becomes more relevant if Bitcoin continues to push higher into early July—essentially linking the probability of a timeline-based bottom to how the market trades in the remaining weeks.
While cycle models are not guarantees, this approach offers one practical takeaway: traders often watch whether price action begins to show stabilization behavior after periods of increased capitulation and whether consolidation extends into the modeled window.
Chart-level downside liquidity remains in focus
Another analyst, Titan (referencing work shared via X), emphasized downside levels on the quarterly chart. Titan pointed to an untapped low near $58,900 and described an open fair value gap between roughly $49,000 and $58,900.
According to the trader’s explanation, leaving the quarterly low untouched through September may draw renewed attention to that liquidity zone. From there, Titan argued that a market bottom could form between Q3 and Q4, effectively treating the $58,900 area—and the broader gap beneath—as a key “magnet” for order flow if price weakens further.
Importantly for investors and active traders, this complements the on-chain narrative rather than contradicting it. If long-term holder spending continues to cool, but short-term selling pressure persists, price can still drift lower enough to revisit liquidity pockets—especially if broader market conditions remain fragile.
Going forward, the market’s next signal may come from whether long-term holder spending stays subdued while aNUPL and realized capital metrics stabilize for newer cohorts. Traders should also watch whether BTC’s path into early July matches the assumptions embedded in the halving-cycle timing models—since that appears to be a key condition for the suggested early-September bottom window.
Crypto World
Chainlink Lands Major Banking Deal Across Europe and South Korea: Why Isn’t LINK Crypto Price Moving?
Chainlink just secured one of the most structurally significant banking partnerships in its history, but LINK barely flinched. The token is trading slightly higher on the day, holding a tight, quiet range.
The Project Pangea brings together more than 50 financial institutions. The deal itself includes some of the biggest names, Qivalis, a euro stablecoin consortium backed by 37 European banks, and UniKA, a South Korean banking alliance anchored by Shinhan Bank and Kbank, collectively managing over $10 trillion in assets across a $150 billion annual EUR/KRW trade corridor.
The initiative targets T+0 atomic settlement of FX transactions, compressing the current T+2 cycle to near-real-time PvP swaps via regulated stablecoins on a dedicated Pangea Layer-1 chain. Industry coverage frames this as Chainlink embedding itself into international banking plumbing with structural demand. But why LINK stalls?
Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio
Why is Chainlink Price Stuck in Range?
Let’s start from the chart perspective. LINK is consolidating in a horizontal range following its most recent swing higher, a pattern that reflects broad market indecision rather than outright distribution.
Volume on the Project Pangea announcement was modest relative to prior catalyst-driven sessions. This is not surprising as it typically signals that large participants aren’t aggressively positioning ahead of confirmed revenue flows from the deal. The 12-month timeline to live transactions means no near-term fee generation is yet hitting Chainlink’s economic model.
On the technical structure, immediate support sits in the mid-range of the current consolidation band at $7.50, with a stronger demand zone below that has held across multiple retests. Resistance overhead is clustered at the prior swing high at $9 a level that has capped two recovery attempts. Momentum indicators remain neutral, neither overbought nor generating a fresh bearish signal, which keeps the range intact rather than flagging imminent breakdown.
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A confirmed pilot transaction announcement or disclosed fee model could trigger a breakout above $9 resistance, opening a measured move toward the upper $10 range. But a loss of near-term support below $7 on elevated sell volume would expose the lower demand zone and materially delay any breakout thesis.
Discover: The Best Token Presales
LiquidChain Targets Early Mover Upside as Link Tests Key Levels
LINK’s range-bound behavior after a genuinely significant fundamental event illustrates a recurring pattern: by the time institutional adoption is confirmed and priced in, the asymmetric upside has already compressed. That’s the structural argument for looking one layer earlier in the stack at infrastructure projects still in presale, before market cap expands.
LiquidChain ($LIQUID) is a Layer 3 infrastructure project positioning itself as the cross-chain liquidity layer, fusing Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana liquidity into a single execution environment through its Unified Liquidity Layer architecture.
With Liquid, developers deploy once and access all three ecosystems; settlement is verifiable; execution is single-step. The presale is currently priced at $0.01473 with $860K raised to date. That fundraising number signals early traction without the liquidity overhang that comes after a public listing.
Research LiquidChain before the presale ends.
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The post Chainlink Lands Major Banking Deal Across Europe and South Korea: Why Isn’t LINK Crypto Price Moving? appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Ripple (XRP) News Today: June 24
The company recently secured a key regulatory approval, which is vital for its operations in the European Union, while institutional interest in XRP remains solid.
Despite these positive developments, Ripple’s cross-border token hasn’t managed to rebound and is down nearly 70% from its all-time high registered last summer.
The License in Europe
Earlier this week, Ripple obtained preliminary approval for a Crypto Asset Service Provider (CASP) license from Luxembourg’s Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier under the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation.
It was granted through a Green Light Letter and remains subject to final conditions. If fully confirmed, it would enable the company to offer regulated cryptocurrency services across the entire EEA, which consists of 30 countries. Commenting on the matter was Cassie Craddock, Managing Director, UK & Europe at Ripple, who said:
“Financial market infrastructure is moving on-chain – from cross-border payments and settlement to collateral management and tokenized assets – and banks and fintechs are actively building the digital asset capabilities they need to remain competitive. With our growing European presence, regulatory track record and institutional-grade infrastructure, we’re ready to meet the moment and support that transition at scale.”
The ETF Front
Over the past several weeks, institutional investors have drastically reduced their exposure to Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). However, this is not the case for Ripple’s native token, which continues to attract substantial capital.
SoSoValue’s data shows that inflows into spot XRP ETFs have surpassed outflows, with the last red day being March 6. The financial giants offering such products include Canary Capital, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, 21Shares, and Grayscale, while the cumulative net inflow generated to date exceeds $1.45 billion.

XRP Price Outlook
The inflows into spot ETFs require the issuers of these investment vehicles to purchase real XRP on the market, which could positively impact the price.
Nonetheless, the asset remains heavily suppressed during the prolonged bear market and currently trades at around $1.10, representing a 20% decline on a monthly scale and a whopping 70% crash from the historic peak reached in 2025.
It’s worth noting that the steep decline hasn’t dampened the strong optimism shared by some analysts. A few days ago, X user Tom claimed that the token has formed a pattern similar to its 2024 run, which took the price from $0.50 to $3.30. This time, though, it could result in a major upswing to $8.42.
JAVON MARKS was even more bullish, arguing that “XRP’s breakout stands, which means the measured move target near $17 does as well.”
The post Ripple (XRP) News Today: June 24 appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Qualcomm (QCOM) Acquires AI Software Company Modular in $4 Billion Deal
TLDR
- Qualcomm confirmed its acquisition of AI infrastructure software provider Modular, with the transaction reportedly valued at approximately $4 billion according to Bloomberg.
- The acquisition brings software capabilities that enable AI model deployment across various hardware platforms, supporting Qualcomm’s data center ambitions.
- Modular’s valuation has surged significantly from $1.6 billion following a $250 million funding round completed nine months prior.
- Shares of QCOM gained 1.1% in premarket hours following an 8% decline Tuesday, with the stock posting 57% gains over the last three-month period.
- The acquisition announcement coincided with Qualcomm’s investor day Wednesday, where the company planned to reveal a major data center chip partnership and unveil next-gen processor details.
Qualcomm (QCOM) announced its agreement to purchase Modular, a company specializing in AI infrastructure software, in a transaction that Bloomberg sources estimate at roughly $4 billion. The chipmaker has not publicly disclosed the official acquisition price.
Shares of QCOM advanced 1.1% during premarket Wednesday trading, rebounding from an 8% slide in the previous session. The semiconductor company’s stock has surged 57% during the past three-month timeframe.
Established in 2022, Modular has secured $380 million in total capital, with its most recent financing being a $250 million investment round completed in September 2025. The company carried a $1.6 billion valuation following that funding round — meaning the reported $4 billion purchase price represents more than a 2.5-fold increase in less than twelve months.
Qualcomm indicated the transaction should finalize during the latter half of 2026.
Modular’s technology provides software infrastructure that allows developers and enterprises to deploy AI models with optimized performance across diverse hardware architectures. This cross-platform compatibility represents a strategic asset for Qualcomm’s broader objectives.
“The acquisition is expected to strengthen Qualcomm Technologies’ ability to deliver a more optimized AI compute layer across a broad range of platforms and use cases,” Qualcomm said in a statement.
The company added that it “deepens the software foundation for Qualcomm Technologies’ data center strategy.”
The chipmaker has intensified its data center expansion efforts as part of a strategy to diversify beyond the smartphone chip sector, which experiences significant market fluctuations.
What Analysts Are Saying
Patrick Moorhead, an analyst at Moor Insights & Strategy, provided commentary on the transaction, highlighting the difference between Qualcomm‘s existing strengths and Modular’s complementary capabilities.
“Qualcomm is very good at edge enabling software, but that’s not the same as data center software capability,” Moorhead said. “Strategically, this could help to better answer the data center question.”
The observation holds merit. While Qualcomm has established strong AI chip positioning in edge computing applications — including smartphones, personal computers, and automotive systems — the data center segment presents distinct challenges, and Modular’s technology addresses that capability gap.
Investor Day in Focus
Qualcomm’s investor day also took place Wednesday, an event drawing significant market attention as analysts anticipated the company would identify a major data center chip client.
Information regarding Qualcomm’s upcoming processor architecture was also expected to be shared, further heightening investor attention surrounding the stock.
In separate reporting, The Information indicated that Qualcomm is pursuing discussions to acquire AI chip developer Tenstorrent in a transaction estimated between $8 billion and $10 billion. Neither company has confirmed those negotiations.
Qualcomm has not publicly revealed the financial terms of the Modular acquisition, and company representatives declined to provide pricing details when approached by Barron’s.
Crypto World
Binance Makes a New Push to Secure EU Approval
The world’s largest crypto exchange has recently faced significant regulatory challenges that could ultimately force it to stop serving clients in the European Union.
Earlier this month, Reuters reported that the company’s application through Greece’s Hellenic Capital Market Commission (HCMC) is expected to fall short: a development that may strip Binance of the license it needs to stay in the bloc after the June 30 deadline.
The firm assured that it remains fully committed to securing the necessary MiCA approval. Speaking on the matter was CEO Richard Teng, who said:
“Binance is dedicated to Europe. We are committed to our European users and to operating under a clear, fair, and harmonized MiCA framework. We are dedicated to securing our MiCA license and remain ready to operate under a fair, predictable, and genuinely harmonized European framework. We will continue to keep users updated as we make progress.”
Just recently, Reuters revealed that the exchange will make a fresh push for permission to operate in the EU. Gillian Lynch, Binance’s head of Europe and the United Kingdom, reportedly said that the firm “may just have a different pathway to being authorized,” adding that “if it is not Greece, I’m looking at other alternatives.”
According to the media, Binance has already held talks with regulators in Ireland, Latvia, and Greece but has been rejected in all three nations due to concerns such as the company’s past penalties for money laundering and its complex international structure.
Lynch said the exchange had contacted several regulators in the European Union but made only one application, to Greece. She is unaware why the Greek authorities refused approval, arguing that Binance has no outstanding issues related to the filing.
The post Binance Makes a New Push to Secure EU Approval appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
KuCoin Pay expands crypto payments across Bangladesh, Mexico, Zambia
- KuCoin Pay expands crypto payments to Bangladesh, Mexico, and Zambia.
- Platform links stablecoins with local banks and mobile money rails.
- KuCoin targets real-world crypto use in high-growth emerging markets.
KuCoin Pay, the cryptocurrency payment platform developed by KuCoin, has expanded its transfer-based payment capabilities across Bangladesh, Mexico, and Zambia.
The move aims to connect digital assets with widely used local payment systems in high-growth markets.
The rollout integrates cryptocurrencies and stablecoins with established banking and payment networks across the three markets.
These include the bKash and Nagad mobile payment platforms in Bangladesh, SPEI-compatible bank transfer routes in Mexico, and mobile money services offered by MTN Group and Airtel Africa in Zambia.
The expansion reflects the growing role of local bank transfers and mobile money services in emerging economies, where consumers increasingly rely on these systems for salary payments, remittances, merchant transactions, and peer-to-peer transfers.
Integration with local financial infrastructure
KuCoin Pay said its platform is designed to integrate digital assets with familiar financial systems, reducing the complexity often associated with moving cryptocurrencies into everyday financial activity.
The company noted that its technology supports localized payment routing through deep integration with local banking and payment rails.
Rather than requiring users to navigate complex backend processes, the platform identifies appropriate payment routes through a unified technical interface.
According to the company, this approach allows digital asset transactions to function more like traditional e-wallets, mobile money services, or local bank transfer tools.
By connecting cryptocurrencies and stablecoins with existing financial infrastructure, KuCoin Pay aims to make digital assets more practical for real-world use cases while reducing friction and simplifying the transfer process.
Focus on practical crypto applications
KuCoin executives said payments represent one of the most important pathways for digital assets to gain broader utility within the real economy.
“Crypto is emerging as a new asset class with growing relevance in the real economy, and payments are one of the most important ways for this value to reach users,” said Alicia Kao, Managing Director of KuCoin.
“Through KuCoin Pay, we are building trusted and localized connections between digital assets and existing banking, mobile money and transfer rails. By integrating crypto with the financial systems people already use, we are helping digital assets move beyond holding and trading into practical financial activity, while supporting more inclusive and future-ready financial ecosystems in high-growth markets.”
The company said the expansion is intended to improve accessibility to digital assets by enabling users to interact with cryptocurrencies through payment systems they already use in their daily lives.
Further expansion planned
Looking ahead, KuCoin Pay said it plans to continue expanding compatibility with local banking and payment systems in additional markets.
The company also intends to improve technical response speeds and broaden practical cryptocurrency payment applications across supported regions worldwide.
The latest expansion underscores a broader industry trend toward integrating digital assets with existing financial infrastructure, particularly in emerging markets where mobile money and local transfer networks play an increasingly central role in everyday commerce and financial inclusion.
Crypto World
Dormant Wallet Tied to HashFlare Fraud Moves 10,600 ETH Worth $18.5M

An Ethereum address linked to the HashFlare cloud-mining fraud transferred 10,600 ETH worth about $18.5 million on Monday morning after sitting idle for roughly three and a half years. Blockchain investigator ZachXBT flagged the movement, the first activity tied to the address since the… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
CZ, Binance founder, wants to clear up ‘misunderstandings’ about who he is
“Binance.US has a CEO, Binance.com has two co-CEOs,” he said. “They almost never talk to each other. Actually, I don’t think they ever talk to each other. So, yes, two independent teams. Binance.US does license the product and technology from Binance Global, but they have a licensing agreement.”
CZ can’t see himself running the U.S. business, he said, adding that he did not think he was the best candidate to run a U.S. platform. “It needs to be somebody local; it needs to be somebody who’s on the ground,” he said.
The other companies CZ is heavily invested in — Giggle Academy and YZi Labs — are similarly independent, he said.
This independence extends to CZ’s personal life, he said. Yi He, one of Binance’s co-CEOs, is CZ’s partner, and the two share a home in the United Arab Emirates. Despite this, CZ said they do not talk about Binance at home, and the two keep their respective work lives separate.
“To be very frank, even when I was CEO of the company, she had a lot of strategic input into the company,” he said. “She was probably giving me more instructions even when I was CEO. So now, [after] stepping down, she’s running it. Our conversations at the max would be like ‘oh two days ago the bitcoin price dropped because of this policy,’ but we don’t even talk about that anymore.”
Crypto World
CBOE Debuts Prediction Market with S&P 500 Contracts
Market operator Cboe Global Markets has entered the prediction markets business with the launch of Cboe Predicts, a platform debuting with binary contracts tied to the S&P 500.
The contracts are now available through Interactive Brokers and are expected to launch at Charles Schwab and other retail brokerage platforms in the coming months, according to a Tuesday press release.
The contracts allow traders to take “yes” or “no” positions on whether the S&P 500 will close above or below a specified price level.
Cboe is the latest traditional finance firm to expand into prediction markets as investor interest in outcome-based contracts grows. The launch comes days after reports that Charles Schwab was seeking to enter the sector through a partnership with Cboe that would offer customers similar S&P 500-linked contracts.
Contracts tied to the S&P 500’s daily closing price are already available on prediction market platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi.

Cboe launches XSP Binary Options in prediction markets offering. Source: Cboe
Traders seek more binary event contracts
Cboe’s customers are showing more demand for shorter-dated, outcome-based trading opportunities, which led to the debut of the prediction market offering, according to JJ Kinahan, head of retail expansion and alternative investment products at Cboe.
Cboe’s new contracts are security options that will trade within the same regulatory framework as US-listed options, providing “institutional-grade liquidity” and transparency, Cboe said.
Related: Kalshi adds India to growing list of restricted jurisdictions
Meanwhile, prediction market platforms have drawn increased regulatory scrutiny over political betting and sports-related event contracts.
Kentucky was the latest state to sue five prediction market platforms, including Kalshi and Polymarket, accusing them of “operating unlicensed and illegal sports betting and gambling platforms,” as Cointelegraph reported on Thursday.
In January, US lawmakers proposed legislation aimed at restricting political prediction market trading by government officials after a Polymarket user netted over $400,000 on a contract related to the removal of then-Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, fueling insider trading concerns.
Magazine: Should users be allowed to bet on war and death in prediction markets?
Crypto World
Jaredfromsubway.eth, Ethereum's Most Active Sandwich Bot, Drained for $7.5M Over the Weekend

An attacker drained more than $7.5 million from jaredfromsubway.eth, the Ethereum address widely considered the single most-active sandwich-attack operator on the network, over the weekend. The loss is a rare public setback for an MEV bot that has run as one of Ethereum's largest priority-fee… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
SecondFi Traces Cardano Wallet Exploit to Address-Level Issue
A vulnerability in Cardano-based wallet SecondFi allowed attackers to drain user funds, resulting in major losses.
SecondFi on Wednesday confirmed it had identified the root cause of the exploit and is now engaging with Cardano ecosystem platforms and blockchain investigators to address the issue.
The company also said it triggered emergency measures that secured roughly 129 million ADA, which is being transferred to an independent third-party custodian and held for affected users pending verification.
The platform on Tuesday estimated that around 16 million ADA, or $2.4 million, was affected across 374 addresses.
Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson said SecondFi is not an Input Output Global product and stressed that there is no ownership, control, or business relationship between the wallet and IOG.
SecondFi traces exploit to an address-level issue
SecondFi has not released a comprehensive post-mortem as of publication, but has issued multiple statements confirming a security breach caused by a vulnerability in its Cardano web wallet generation software.
It said the root cause of the incident was an issue at the address level that affects users when they sign transactions.

Source: SecondFi
“SecondFi’s wallet software exposed the private keys it generated,” Mitchell Amador, CEO of security company Immunefi, told Cointelegraph.
Amador said that while the blockchain remained secure, the code that generates the keys is the “part nobody audits like a contract.” He added that attackers have increasingly shifted focus toward infrastructure that creates or stores crypto keys rather than blockchain protocols.
Related: AI models led to a ‘vulnerability apocalypse’ in crypto security: Immunefi CEO
“Recovery to another platform or wallet does not mitigate the risk,” SecondFi said, advising users not to restore their recovery phrases into new Cardano wallets. The guidance differed from recommendations by some community members, who urged users to migrate affected wallets and move funds to newly created addresses.
“We didn’t write the code,” says Hoskinson
SecondFi is a self-custodial platform built on Cardano that rebranded from the Yoroi wallet in April 2026. Yoroi was developed by Emurgo, which describes itself as the “for-profit arm of Cardano,” and was launched as the first open-source light wallet for the Cardano blockchain.
Hoskinson said IOG’s incident response team has been in contact with SecondFi since Monday and that the platform requested an independent security audit.

Source: Charles Hoskinson
In a Tuesday video posted on X, Hoskinson stressed that IOG “is not Emurgo,” adding that the company has no influence over Emurgo and cannot speak on its behalf regarding the exploit.
“We didn’t write the code and we’re not connected to it,” he said.
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