Crypto World
Bitcoin, Nasdaq investors are celebrating, while U.S. consumers turn gloomy.
Major financial assets and the American consumer are moving in opposite directions, telling two very different stories about the U.S. economy.
Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency by market value and a macro asset, jumped 11.8% last month, the largest gain since April 2025 and has since extended the rally by nearly 6% to $80,700, CoinDesk data show.
This upswing has come alongside record risk-taking on Wall Street, as the tech-heavy Nasdaq index has jumped 22% since April 1, hitting a lifetime high of 23,235 points. The broader index, S&P 500, has rallied over 12% to 7,398 points, according to data source TradingView.
The combined rally in stocks and crypto is normally expected to lift the spirits of the American consumer, who is known to invest in both assets. Reports suggest approximately 30% of American adults, or 70.4 million people, own cryptocurrency. Further, on average, 62% of adults have owned stocks since 2023.
But that’s not the case, as highlighted by the University of Michigan’s closely watched survey of consumers released Friday. The survey posted a preliminary record-low reading of 48.2 points, down 7.7% from a year ago and extending the decline from April’s reading of 49.8 points.
In simple terms, the American consumer is more downbeat than ever, and it’s mainly due to inflation fears. One-third of respondents cited gas prices as the biggest concern, and another one-third cited tariffs.
The growing disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street reflects two very different economic realities, according to Alvin Kan, COO at Bitget Wallet.
“Institutional capital continues flowing into AI, semiconductors, and digital assets, pushing the Nasdaq and Bitcoin higher as markets price in long-term productivity growth and technological transformation. At the same time, consumer confidence remains weak as households continue dealing with inflation, high living costs, and economic uncertainty. In effect, markets are trading the future while consumers are still focused on present-day financial pressure,” Kan told CoinDesk.
An AI capex boom and strong corporate earnings from mega-cap tech companies have driven the Nasdaq rally, stoking demand for other emerging technologies such as bitcoin. The U.S.-listed spot ETFs have pulled in billions in recent weeks amid the Nasdaq rally.
“This divergence is being driven by strong tech earnings, sustained ETF and institutional inflows into Bitcoin, and the growing role of digital assets as both growth and diversification plays. It also shows how crypto is increasingly tied to macro liquidity and innovation cycles instead of purely retail sentiment,” Kan said.
Bitcoin and Nasdaq are known to share a strong positive correlation. The crypto market began as a grassroots movement, often moving independently of Wall Street and traditional financial markets. But the rapid institutionalization following the launch of spot ETFs two years ago has made its price action increasingly correlated with broader equity markets.
That shift in how investors view BTC, decoupling it from Main Street sentiment, is evidence of the fading promise of financial democratization, according to Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research.
“The democratization of finance was once one of crypto’s defining promises, yet reality has moved in the opposite direction. Wealth remains heavily concentrated in the hands of a small minority, a trend that is even more pronounced in the US stock market, where gains have increasingly accrued to the wealthiest participants,” Thielen told CoinDesk.
What next?
When rising costs squeeze households, it may seem natural to expect markets to align with the dour sentiment on Main Street. But that’s not necessarily promised.
“This gap is expected to persist,” Gracy Chen, CEO of Bitget, said.
She added that digital assets are increasingly diverging from traditional cycles and attracting fresh capital seeking asymmetric returns, suggesting promising long-term structural growth.
“While risks such as monetary policy tightening, geopolitical macro events, or regulatory shifts could add near-term pressure. However, the emerging ecosystem is maturing and becoming a core tool for diversification and active risk management in volatile markets,” she noted.
Crypto World
Trump Mobile buyers stuck without phones as TRUMP token sits 97% below peak
Two Trump-branded ventures aimed at retail buyers are both in difficult positions months after their debuts, though for different reasons.
Roughly 600,000 buyers have paid $100 deposits for the gold-colored Trump Mobile T1 phone since its initial announcement, putting around $60 million into a venture that has not delivered a single confirmed device as of May 2026, per Moneywise.
Deposits were paid to Trump Mobile’s registered company T1 Mobile LLC, which uses a limited liability agreement from DTTM Operations, LLC – the company that manages intellectual property, trademarks, and likeness on merchandise associated to U.S. president Donald Trump.
Wow those Gold Trump phones that 590,000 people paid a $100 deposit on still haven’t been delivered after told they would be by September so NBC who bought one tried to call the Company & there’s no phone number only a email.They asked if they could get a refund & were told NO!😂 pic.twitter.com/EucWcjyorm
— Suzie rizzio (@Suzierizzo1) November 26, 2025
Promised delivery dates have slipped from late summer 2025 to November, then to December, and finally to first-quarter 2026, before being removed from the website entirely.
According to IBTimes reporting, the company updated its terms of service in April to clarify that deposits represent a “conditional opportunity” to buy the device if the company chooses to sell it, removing any binding contract. (CoinDesk has not independently reviewed the previous version of the terms.)
Trump Mobile did not respond to a request for comment send by email as of publication time.
The TRUMP memecoin, a separately structured venture, has had its own difficult run. The token launched in January 2025 at $1.21, zoomed to $73 within 48 hours as retail speculators piled in around the inauguration, and has spent the 16 months since grinding lower.
TRUMP traded at $2.45 on Monday, down roughly 97% from its peak and 82% on the year, CoinGecko data show. Chainalysis estimated retail investors in TRUMP have collectively lost roughly $2 billion since its introduction.
TRUMP launched with 80% of supply held by Trump-affiliated entities CIC Digital and Fight Fight Fight, with those tokens scheduled to unlock at approximately $500,000 worth per day (at current prices) through mid-2028. The schedule was disclosed as part of the token’s launch terms, but has produced sustained sell-side supply during a period of declining buyer interest.
TRUMP’s daily DEX trading volume has dropped from a January 20, 2025 peak of nearly $7 billion across roughly 400,000 traders to about $16 million across just 4,200 traders on May 5, 2026, per Dune Analytics data tracked by user @seoul.
That is a 99% drop in both daily turnover and unique daily participants. Average trade size has fallen from around $2,700 to $260 over the same period, suggesting the remaining buyers are smaller retail accounts rather than the larger speculators who drove the original launch.
The share of TRUMP holders with more than $1,000 in the token has collapsed from roughly 19% at launch to about 2% today, meaning almost every remaining wallet now holds less than $1,000 worth of TRUMP. The token has effectively settled into a long tail of small bag-holders with no large position holders left to drive meaningful price action.

For TRUMP holders, the onchain math suggests that a return to launch-era valuations is becoming increasingly unlikely. At current prices, the remaining insider token unlocks represent more than $2.5 billion in potential supply overhang.
Absorbing that supply would require a demand event larger than anything the token has seen since launch, with the token down 13.6% over the past 30 days and roughly 0.1% on the day.
A dinner hosted by Trump for the top 220 token holders at his Virginia golf club in May 2025 produced a rally that faded within weeks. Tron founder Justin Sun pledged $100 million in TRUMP purchases ahead of the July 2025 unlock, with the token continuing to drift lower in the months that followed.
A separate Mar-a-Lago Crypto & Business Conference on April 25, 2026, limited to the top 297 TRUMP token holders with VIP access for the top 29, drew a letter from Senators Warren, Adam Schiff (Democrat, California), and Richard Blumenthal (Democrat, Connecticut) requesting documents about the President’s role in promoting the event.
While Trump tokens and the mobile ventures have different structures and mechanisms, they debuted on the back of front-loaded political enthusiasm, and have struggled in the months since to translate that initial momentum into either delivered product or sustained price support.
Crypto World
Ripple Prime lands $200M Neuberger facility to boost margin trading
Ripple’s prime-brokerage unit has secured up to $200 million in financing from Neuberger Berman to expand margin services for institutional investors.
Summary
- Ripple Prime can draw up to $200 million based on institutional client borrowing demand across markets.
- The Neuberger facility supports margin trading across crypto, equities, fixed income, and foreign exchange.
- The deal follows Ripple’s Hidden Road acquisition and wider push into institutional brokerage services.
The facility was arranged through Neuberger Berman’s specialty finance group, according to Bloomberg.
The funding is designed to support trading across traditional and digital markets. Ripple Prime can draw on the facility based on client borrowing demand across equities, fixed income, foreign exchange, and crypto assets.
Meanwhile, Prime brokers provide financing, custody, clearing, and trading support to large clients. In this case, Ripple Prime plans to use the debt facility to increase the margin it can offer investors trading across multiple asset classes.
Ripple Prime President Noel Kimmel said, “The future of prime finance is supporting all major asset classes through a single structure and credit line.” That remains Ripple Prime’s position, while the actual use of the facility will depend on client demand and market conditions.
Hidden Road deal set up Ripple Prime
The move follows Ripple’s $1.25 billion acquisition of Hidden Road, which closed in October 2025. After the deal closed, Ripple renamed the multi-asset prime brokerage business Ripple Prime.
That transaction gave Ripple a larger role in institutional trading. Hidden Road already served clients across digital assets, foreign exchange, derivatives, and fixed income before becoming part of Ripple’s wider finance stack.
Moreover, Ripple has also moved Ripple Prime deeper into U.S. digital asset trading. In November 2025, the company launched digital asset spot prime brokerage for U.S. institutional clients, including over-the-counter spot access for XRP and RLUSD.
The institutional push continued in April, when Ripple Prime connected clients to Bullish’s regulated Bitcoin options market. That deal gave clients direct access to a crypto-settled BTC options venue while Ripple and OKX also worked to expand RLUSD access in compliant markets.
Credit line adds to Wall Street strategy
The Neuberger Berman facility gives Ripple Prime more capacity at a time when crypto firms are trying to serve institutional investors with products that resemble traditional finance. The structure also links credit, margin, and multi-asset trading under one brokerage platform.
Ripple’s wider expansion has included custody, treasury, stablecoin, and wallet infrastructure. In November 2025, the company acquired Palisade, adding another institutional custody and wallet business to a year of dealmaking.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bitcoin Is Coiling Below $83,000: Can CME’s New Volatility Futures Push BTC to $85,000 This Week?
Bitcoin price is clinging to the $81,000 zone right now, but the chart whispers a far more dramatic prediction than that flat headline suggests.
BTC has already slipped roughly 2% from its recent multi-month peak above $82,800, and the big question is whether this tight consolidation will hold—or if stretched oscillators will drag it into a sharper unwind.
One level towers over the entire setup: the $83K mark, home to the 200-day simple moving average that bulls must reclaim to reignite momentum. Fresh institutional infrastructure is arriving fast.
CME Group recently announced Bitcoin Volatility futures, set to launch June 1 (pending regulatory approval).
This marks a game-changing shift, letting big players hedge or speculate on BTC swings without touching the spot market itself, pure volatility exposure in a regulated wrapper.
ETF flows paint a nuanced picture of conviction mixed with caution. Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin Trust has shown strong early traction with solid inflows since its debut, while Grayscale’s vehicle has posted net positives in recent sessions.

Yet selective profit-taking persists—BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC have seen mixed action, with some days of outflows (e.g., around May 8) amid broader choppiness, even as the complex logged strong multi-week inflow streaks earlier in May totaling billions.
Corporate buying marches on undeterred. Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) continues its legendary accumulation, now holding over 818,000 BTC, close to 4% of total supply, with relentless quarterly additions that dwarf many ETF flows.
Public company Bitcoin treasuries keep climbing overall, underscoring a structural bid from balance sheets even as retail and some institutions rotate.

Macro crosswinds add spice. Lingering US-Iran tensions and stalled peace talks have injected risk-off vibes, propping up oil while keeping Bitcoin range-bound despite the building institutional scaffolding beneath it.
The next big directional cue will likely come from a decisive weekly close outside this consolidation zon, either breaking higher on fresh catalysts or testing lower supports if geopolitics or profit-taking intensify.
The setup is tense but loaded with potential: technical hurdles at $83K, volatility tools on the horizon, selective ETF appetite, and corporate giants still stacking. Bitcoin isn’t just holding ground, it’s coiling.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can BTC Price Hit $85,000 This Week?
Bitcoin is trading at $80,849, sitting above its SMA-20 at $78,658 and SMA-50 at $73,922. The structure is technically constructive but pinned below the SMA-200 at $82,755, which has capped every rally attempt this week.
The 24-hour range has been tight between $80,525 and $82,303. Daily volume at $18.3 billion shows engagement but not the explosive buying pressure that typically precedes breakouts.
Momentum is mixed. MACD and ADX lean bullish on the daily chart, but oscillators are flashing caution. RSI at 68, Stoch RSI at 94, and CCI at 140 are all approaching or inside overbought territory.
Sporadic lower-timeframe selling has already appeared.
One level defines everything right now. The SMA-200 at $82,755.
Clear it on a daily close, and the path toward $85,000 opens up, with CoinCodex projecting further upside toward $92,800 in an extended range.
Fail to break it, and Bitcoin grinds sideways between $77,000 and $82,755 as overbought conditions normalize. Polymarket currently assigns 60% odds to BTC trading in the $80,000 to $82,000 band near-term.
Lose $78,000 to $78,500, near the Ichimoku Kijun at $78,079, and selling accelerates as oscillators unwind. Key supports stack at $79,700 and $79,300. The 5-day probability of a meaningful upward move from that level is assessed at less than 20%.
Longer-term targets of $120,000 remain in play for analysts focused on macro tailwinds. But the near-term picture demands patience. A close above $82,755 changes everything. A break below $78,000 confirms the retracement.
The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bitcoin Is Coiling Below $83,000: Can CME’s New Volatility Futures Push BTC to $85,000 This Week? appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
XRP Price Outperforms ETH and BTC: $2 Next Target as Ripple Token Eyes $10
XRP price is trading at $1.46, up 2% in 24 hours, and quietly outpacing both Bitcoin and Ethereum on a relative basis. The move builds on a breakout through $1.43 resistance that held traders hostage for weeks, and the volume behind it was anything but big.
The breakout accelerated yesterday when volume surged above $3.6 billion and forced the price through the $1.43 ceiling. XRP briefly tagged $1.50 before profit-taking pulled it back toward $1.45.
Meanwhile, network activity and institutional adoption metrics have been accelerating in parallel, adding structural weight to the technical setup.
Bitcoin sits at $81,000, and Ethereum is stalling at $2,330. Both are consolidating, and both also need triple-digit percentage gains to reach analyst targets.
Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with
Can XRP Price Hit $2 Short-Term, and Is $10 A Realistic Target?
XRP is holding above the prior breakout zone at $1.44–$1.45, which has flipped from resistance to support. As long as the price stays above it, the bullish thesis remains intact. Immediate resistance sits at $1.50, where sellers returned aggressively after the session high. A sustained close above $1.50 reopens momentum toward $1.60 first, then the $1.80 zone.
The scenario map breaks down cleanly. If XRP absorbs the $1.50 rejection, it could consolidate in a tight range to reclaim $1.50 on volume, which targets $1.80 and eventually $2.35 resistance. In this scenario, a breakout at that level points toward $3–$5.
We place the $10 trajectory in the context of XRP’s 580% surge from $0.50 to $3.40 between late 2024 and January 2025, a move that established the asset’s capacity for violent repricing. The $10 target is not fringe. A trader consensus is building around $10 before 2026 closes, citing regulatory clarity post-SEC settlement, RippleNet expansion, and Ripple Payments adoption by firms including Rakuten.
Discover: The best pre-launch token sales
LiquidChain Presale Approaches $750K as Cross-Chain Infrastructure Gains Attention
XRP’s outperformance reflects a market rotation into assets with clear utility narratives and institutional catalysts. But now, already more than 200% above its 2024 pre-surge levels, the asymmetric upside available to late entrants is structurally compressed compared to what early holders captured. That gap is driving renewed interest in early-stage infrastructure plays where price discovery has barely begun.
LiquidChain is one project attracting that attention. Positioned as a Layer 3 cross-chain infrastructure layer, it fuses Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana liquidity into a single execution environment. It is here, solving the fragmentation problem that forces traders and developers to manage separate positions across disconnected ecosystems.
The presale is currently priced at $0.01458 per $LIQUID token, with $750K raised to date, and 1470% APY staking bonus. Key architecture features include a Unified Liquidity Layer, Single-Step Execution, Verifiable Settlement, and a Deploy-Once Architecture that lets developers access BTC, ETH, and SOL ecosystems without redeployment overhead.
Explore LiquidChain’s presale details here.
The post XRP Price Outperforms ETH and BTC: $2 Next Target as Ripple Token Eyes $10 appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
More to Strategy Than Just Bitcoin: Phong Le
Strategy CEO Phong Le believes there is more to the company than the Bitcoin (BTC) on its balance sheet. Le stressed that the company’s enterprise business model remains a key part of operations after it posted its strongest financial quarter in a decade.
Enterprise Software Remains a Core Part
Le believes that its enterprise software business remains a crucial part of the company’s long-term plans. The software business serves over 3,000 customers and 500,000 active users, along with Fortune 500 companies, leading banks, healthcare companies, retailers, and government agencies.
According to Le, the software side of Strategy’s business, comprising engineers, enterprise customers, cloud teams, compliance systems, and global operations, gives the company an edge over other digital asset firms. However, Le’s arguments can only hold if the software side of Strategy’s business continues growing while competing with its Bitcoin strategy for investor attention.
Record Financial Quarter
Le highlighted Strategy’s stellar Q1 2026 performance to back his argument. The Bitcoin treasury company reported $124.3 million in total Q1 2026 revenue, up 12% from $111.1 million a year earlier. Strategy also reported $83.4 million in gross profit with a 67.1% gross margin. Le stated that Q1 2026 was the company’s strongest quarter in over a decade, supported by a 12% revenue growth and a 59% growth in cloud revenue. Controllable margin increased by 27%, helping Strategy fund its Bitcoin operations.
Bitcoin Strategy Under Scrutiny
Strategy’s Bitcoin strategy has come under intense scrutiny in recent months as debt and losses mount. The company reported a $12.54 billion net loss, significantly higher than the $4.22 billion loss in the same period last year. Strategy raised over $25 billion in 2025 to fund its Bitcoin operations. Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor recently said during an earnings call that the company could strategically sell some of its Bitcoin holdings to fund dividend obligations. Saylor’s comments have worried investors about the impact of such a move on the asset’s price.
Le sought to calm market jitters, clarifying that the company will sell BTC only in specific cases, adding that it will sell a small portion of its holdings to pay dividends on its Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock (STRC) and to offset taxes. The STRC pays 11.5% dividend to holders. Strategy currently holds 818,334 BTC, valued at around $66 billion.
Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.
Crypto World
Bitcoin (BTC) funds capture $700 million as institutions place their bets: Crypto Daily
This is an excerpt from CoinDesk newsletter ‘Daybook.’ Sign up here, if you haven’t already.
Institutional demand for crypto is real, and suggests there may be a sustained bitcoin price move above its pivotal 200-day simple moving average (SMA).
Investors poured $858 million into crypto funds issued by asset managers like BlackRock and 21Shares last week, extending a five-week inflow streak and marking the strongest weekly total since late April, according to CoinShares.
More importantly, bitcoin funds alone pulled in over $700 million, taking year-to-date flows to $4.9 billion. Talk about the demand for the leading cryptocurrency. The catalyst? Improving sentiment around the Clarity Act, according to CoinShares’ head of research, James Butterfill.
Bitcoin recently traded at $81,000, having narrowly missed the 200-day SMA positioned above $82,000 late Sunday. That’s the second such near miss since last week. Prices remain above $80,000, indicating that bulls are simply taking a breather, not retreating.
Analysts say the next big leg higher could unfold once prices top $82,000, effectively rising above the 200-day SMA, which is largely seen as a barometer of long-term trends.
“The clean next step is a daily close above $82,000 with steady spot demand. Without that, it can chop between $79,000 and $82,000 while macro sets the tone,” analysts at Marex said.
On the downside, immediate support is seen around $80,400, and the broader demand zone remains between $78,200 and $78,600., according to Vikram Subburaj, CEO of India-based Giottus.com, said in an email.
In the broader market, Sui blockchain’s SUI has surged 12% to $1.26 in 24 hours. The rally comes as developers behind the blockchain look to foray into privacy. Adeniyi Abiodun, co-founder and chief product officer of Mysten Labs, the development team behind Sui, posted on X that confidential transactions on Sui will be introduced this year, enabling fee-free privacy-preserving payments at scale.
Last week, Nasdaq-listed Sui Group Holdings (SUIG) said that it had staked most of the $108.7 million worth of SUI tokens in its treasury, removing roughly 2.7% of supply from the active market. That likely greased the bullish momentum.
The other major gainer is XDC Network’s XDC token, which climbed over 10%. Several other tokens, such as KAS, HASH and ATOM , have gained 5% or more in 24 hours.
In traditional markets, U.S. Treasury yields rose as dimming hopes of U.S.-Iran peace deal kept oil prices elevated. Stay alert!
Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today . For a comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead.”
What’s trending
Today’s signal

The chart shows ether’s (ETH) daily price swings in candlestick format since late 2025. Overlaid are Bollinger Bands, which are volatility bands placed two standard deviations around the 20-day moving average of the price.
The gap between upper and lower bands is currently the narrowest since late 2023. In other words, at their tightest in 2.5 years, signaling an extended period of compressed volatility.
Such tightening typically reflects a market in equilibrium, with both buyers and sellers unwilling to lead the price action. Such low-volatility phases tend not to persist for long, often resolving into sharper directional moves once bulls or bears reassert dominance.
In short: Watch out for a large directional move ahead.
Crypto World
Bitcoin News: $40M Dormant BTC Whale Making A Move After 13 Years
A Bitcoin whale wallet that has been dormant since November 2013 is making huge news. The wallet moved 500 BTC, worth $40 million, to a new address at 19:16 UTC on Sunday, triggering a panic, although the destination address is not linked to any known exchange.
The transfer originated from address 1KAA8GGhVjjUjVTz1HKAjCyGNzAKQd882j, funded in late 2013 with probable mining rewards per Blockchair data, and landed at bc1qm6m6d33d02edr0k8yj9jgt027zl6dvx6thjrxy, a Bech32 native SegWit address created just the previous day on May 10, 2026. Freshly generated destination address, decade-old source wallet.

However, the transaction fee was 0.0001 BTC, or just $8 at current prices. For context, typical BTC exchange inflow transactions have average fees that are 10 times higher, according to Chainalysis’s 2026 Crypto Crime Report. Low fees signal non-urgent intent, with the whale not racing to hit a bid on a centralized exchange before the market moves.
Arkham Intelligence’s address labeling flags the destination format as consistent with custodial OTC desk infrastructure, matching patterns used by institutional counterparties for privacy-preserving large transfers.
The coins in this wallet qualify as a genuine Satoshi Era holding. The whale acquired when BTC traded under $100, now worth $40 million at $80,700 spot.
Discover: The best pre-launch token sales
Bitcoin News: Exchange Dump or OTC Absorption?
If this resolves as an OTC transaction, the sale is absorbed off-book, order-book depth is unaffected, and the spot price impact is minimal. If the coins route to a centralized exchange hot wallet, that is a different conversation entirely.
Ki Young Ju of CryptoQuant called it plainly on May 10: “Classic OTC prep, not dump pressure, low fees and non-CEX destination scream institutional.”
Lookonchain data reinforces that read: 72% of 2026 whale moves involving BTC dormant more than seven years resolved as OTC within 48 hours, per their tracking dashboard. T
A comparable November 2025 event, 500 BTC moved from a 2012 wallet to a Wintermute-linked address, was later confirmed OTC by the firm’s executives directly. The structural fingerprints here are nearly identical: aged UTXO, fresh SegWit destination, minimal fee, no exchange association. The data points toward OTC, not exchange sell pressure.
OTC desks typically distribute 10–25% of a position daily to avoid slippage. If outflows from that address begin routing toward known exchange deposit wallets, the thesis flips. Glassnode’s Exchange Inflow Multiple report, due May 14, will provide the aggregate view on whether dormant supply is hitting order books at scale.
Bitcoin was trading at $80,700, down just over 1% since midnight, as the market absorbed geopolitical headwinds that have kept BTC range-bound below the $83,000 resistance cluster.
Discover: The best pre-launch token sales
The post Bitcoin News: $40M Dormant BTC Whale Making A Move After 13 Years appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Crypto traders paid 8,700% annualized fees to bet on Anthropic
Crypto traders paid annualized fees of 8,700% to service a leveraged, synthetic bet on the valuation of Anthropic.
Even as the privately-held AI giant neared a $1 trillion valuation, some paid 1% per hour, imputing an expected Anthropic rally to $88 trillion within a year, just to cover the cost of their leveraged long.
For context, the most valuable publicly-traded company in the world today, Nvidia, has a market capitalization of $5.2 trillion.
Worse, the market they selected doesn’t actually deliver real Anthropic shares.
A combination of arcane terminology and abbreviations, off-page terms of service, a small open interest cap, and a simplified interface for trading compressed those disturbing realities into an easy-to-click “Buy” button alongside a flickering price chart.
Normally, short-sellers pay their brokers for the privilege of loaning out shares to sell first, with the hopes of buying back cheaper later.
In the topsy-turvy world of crypto, buying long exposure to Anthropic was even more expensive than shorting over the weekend.
Paying 8,700% annualized fees to bet on Anthropic
Because Anthropic isn’t publicly traded, crypto exchange Hyperliquid lists a USDH-denominated contract using the Ventuals deployer on $7.5 million worth of Anthropic open interest partially based on Notice’s estimate of Anthropic’s valuation.
If you didn’t understand the above sentence, you haven’t read the full terms of service for ANTHROPIC on Hyperliquid and are probably no different than many traders who bought it anyway.
USDH calls itself a stablecoin, even though it’s traded between $0.72 and $1.11 over the past year.
In addition, Notice doesn’t actually know the real-time value of Anthropic.
Moreover, the whole artifice relies on two proprietary altcoins plus innumerable service provider risks.
Despite these stratospheric risks, traders paid up to 1% per hour to use 3x leverage on Anthropic’s private valuation.
For most of the past two days, the contract traded well above the Notice oracle’s reference price, forcing longs to pay hourly funding rates to shorts. Those payouts briefly made shorting one of the most-hyped AI companies a de facto, high-yield income strategy.
Don’t worry, funding is capped at 4% per hour
Incredibly, Hyperliquid settles funding rates hourly and caps them not at 1% but at 4% per hour.
On Hyperliquid’s ANTHROPIC, the hourly rate exceeded 1.5% over the weekend, equivalent to annualized fees in the five-digit percentages.
Across a 48-hour period this weekend, longs paid shorts over 15% of their position size in funding alone. That isn’t a typo. A $10,000 long with no Anthropic valuation movement at all would have bled $1,500 to the short side within two days.
Disclosures explaining these losses exist on off-webpage disclosures. In essence, the gap between the contract’s mark price and Notice’s oracle reference drives the funding rates on Ventuals contracts on Hyperliquid.
On the ANTHROPIC Ventuals contract, Notice’s oracle sat near $934 while Hyperliquid Ventuals traders paid over $1,060.
Each unit on Ventuals represents $1 billion of valuation, so those numbers translate to a $934 billion oracle-implied valuation relative to a $1.06 trillion Hyperliquid exponential moving average or “mark” valuation.
That 13.6% premium of mark over oracle, which varied by the hour, is what generated the lavish payouts to anyone willing to short Anthropic.
Read more: Sam Bankman-Fried’s $500M stake in AI startup ‘irrelevant’, prosecutors say
Fake shares in a real Anthropic
In February 2026, Anthropic closed a $30 billion Series G led by GIC and Coatue at a $380 billion post-money valuation. Annualized revenue then increased from $9 billion at year-end 2025 to $30 billion by April.
Forge Global’s CEO Kelly Rodriques told Business Insider that secondaries had pushed the implied price near $1 trillion within three months.
Bloomberg and the Financial Times have since reported that a fresh round near $900 billion is being lined up with Dragoneer, General Catalyst, and Lightspeed.
Notice is a private-market data vendor. Its algorithm folds private-market trade prints, bids and offers, fresh funding announcements, valuation marks of funds, appraisals, and a peer basket of listed companies, all into a single number.
Notice publishes its number with a three-second refresh.
Ventuals on Hyperliquid also discloses its lack of equity transference directly. “When you have a position in a company on Ventuals, you do not have any underlying economic ownership in the company – you’re merely speculating on its valuation change.”
Its documentation reiterates, traders “trade valuations, not shares.”
Although Anthropic funding rates on Hyperliquid annualized in the four- and even five-digit percentages over the weekend, they’ve settled down to triple- and double-digit rates as of publication time.
As funding rates fluctuate by the hour, no Anthropic shares ever need to change hands for bearish traders to be paid by exuberant bulls.
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Crypto World
Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) Q1 Earnings Preview: What Investors Need to Know
Key Takeaways
- Hims & Hers Health delivers Q1 2026 financial results following Monday’s market close on May 11
- Wall Street forecasts revenue between $616M and $619M, representing merely 5.2% annual growth — a dramatic slowdown from the 111% expansion witnessed in Q1 2025
- The telehealth platform secured an agreement with Novo Nordisk in March, obtaining authorization to distribute branded Wegovy and Ozempic — however, sales commenced March 26, limiting first-quarter financial contribution
- Earnings per share projections land at 3–4 cents, reflecting an approximately 90% decline compared to last year’s results
- Shares have surged nearly 50% during the previous month despite substantial short interest exceeding 35% and a predominantly neutral analyst consensus from 17 Wall Street firms
Heading into Monday’s quarterly disclosure, Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) trades at $28.46, posting gains of roughly 32% across the last 30 days and climbing approximately 77% from its February 27 fifty-two-week bottom. Yet the telehealth stock remains underwater for 2026, declining more than 23% year-to-date.
Hims & Hers Health, Inc., HIMS
Analysts characterize this upcoming report as a “transitional quarter.” Revenue projections cluster around the $616M–$619M range, translating to merely 5.2% year-over-year advancement. This marks a significant deceleration from the exceptional 111% revenue expansion HIMS achieved during the comparable period last year.
The dominant narrative surrounding this earnings release centers on the company’s strategic transition from compounded GLP-1 weight-management medications to branded Novo Nordisk alternatives. Following Novo Nordisk’s withdrawal of its patent litigation on March 9, both organizations finalized an arrangement granting HIMS distribution rights for Wegovy and Ozempic via its digital healthcare platform.
Timing presents a complication, however. These branded pharmaceutical products became available through the platform starting March 26. Since the first quarter concluded March 31, meaningful revenue contribution will probably materialize in Q2 reporting instead.
Subscription Metrics Under Close Examination
Wall Street will scrutinize subscriber acquisition and retention metrics carefully. HIMS surpassed 2.5 million active subscribers approaching the conclusion of 2025 — representing 16% growth from the 2.2 million subscriber count recorded at 2024’s end, and substantially exceeding the 1.5 million subscribers from late 2023.
Customer retention carries equal importance. Approximately 82% of platform users continue their subscriptions past the three-month threshold, while roughly 90% of recurring revenues originate from the established customer cohort. Should HIMS demonstrate stable or expanding subscriber figures, it reinforces confidence in full-year financial projections.
Profitability expectations remain modest — consensus estimates place earnings per share at just 3 to 4 cents, marking roughly a 90% annual contraction. While this deterioration may already factor into current valuations, any downward surprise could intensify selling pressure in a security already experiencing significant short-seller activity.
Wall Street Maintains Reserved Outlook
Among the 17 analysts providing HIMS coverage, four assign Buy ratings, 12 recommend Hold positions, and one issues a Sell rating. The consensus twelve-month price objective stands at $31.86 — approximately 12% above Friday’s closing price of $28.46.
Short interest positioning remains substantially elevated above 35% of available float, equating to approximately 70 million shares held short. With a volatility beta of 2.43, this equity demonstrates pronounced price movements in either direction.
Institutional accumulation accelerated during Q1, with institutional selling activity 88% below buying volume — marking a significant reversal from the considerable institutional outflows observed throughout Q4 2025.
The Food and Drug Administration has additionally proposed eliminating semaglutide, tirzepatide, and liraglutide from its 503B bulks inventory, which would retrospectively validate HIMS’s strategic decision to abandon the compounded GLP-1 segment.
HIMS has fallen short of Wall Street’s revenue projections on multiple occasions throughout the previous twenty-four months. Financial results are scheduled for release following Monday’s trading session on May 11.
Crypto World
Strategy has already sold bitcoin before for tax loss harvesting in December 2022
Disclosure: The author of this story owns shares in Strategy (MSTR).
When executive chairman Michael Saylor confirmed on Strategy’s (MSTR) Q1 2026 earnings call on May 6 that the company was prepared to sell bitcoin, it appeared to mark a shift for the world’s largest publicly traded corporate holder of the cryptocurrency. But the move would not be unprecedented. In December 2022, Strategy sold bitcoin for tax-loss harvesting purposes — the same rationale the company now appears to be signaling to the market once again.
On Dec. 22, 2022, Strategy sold 704 bitcoin for approximately $11.8 million at $16,776 per coin, but immediately repurchased 810 bitcoin two days later.
The sale was designed to carry back capital losses against previous gains and generate a tax benefit. A tax loss harvesting event.
“MicroStrategy plans to carry back the capital losses resulting from this transaction against previous capital gains, to the extent such carrybacks are available under the federal income tax laws currently in effect, which may generate a tax benefit”.
Bitcoin fell 23% in Q1 2026, from $87,500 to $67,700. Under FASB fair value accounting rules adopted Jan 1, 2025, Strategy marks its entire bitcoin holdings to market every quarter, in Q1 posted a $12.54 billion loss which pushed unrealized losses directly through the income statement and generating a $2.2 billion deferred tax asset across its higher cost basis holdings.
According to the MSTR earnings call, assuming an $80,000 bitcoin price, Strategy has purchased over 434,000 BTC above $80,000 generating a $7.6 billion unrealized loss and a $2.2 billion deferred tax asset at a 29% tax rate.

If bitcoin recovers and Strategy sells appreciated bitcoins, that $2.2 billion tax can offsets future gains.
The primary goal for the company is to increase “bitcoin per share” which is the ratio of Strategy’s total bitcoin holdings divided by its total diluted shares outstanding.
The use of proceeds from the bitcoin sale is to retire the $8.2 billion in convertible debt, purchase MSTR common stock when the multiple to net asset value falls below 1.22x or fund $1.5 billion in annual dividend obligations from its perpetual preferred stock Stretch (STRC).
MSTR is up 1% in pre-market trading, while bitcoin trades above $81,000.
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