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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Has the BTC Bear Market Ended After 45 Weeks?

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Bitcoin closes above its 50-day moving average after 45 weeks, a signal tied to past bear-market bottoms, driving a bullish price prediction.

Bitcoin is trading at $81,600, up by a huge 6% since the start of last week, and the number that matters for its price prediction just flipped bullish for the first time in nearly a year. After 45 straight weeks of failing to close above its 50-week moving average, BTC finally flipped it.

Bitcoin closed the last week above the 50-day MA for the first time since November 2025, following a 29% rebound over 35 days. Galaxy Research head Alex Thorn called the close an “important confirmation” that the bear phase may have run its course. The weekly close is roughly 3% above the moving average, sitting at $78,800, and nearly 24% above the 200-week MA at $65,500.

Bitcoin closes above its 50-day moving average after 45 weeks, a signal tied to past bear-market bottoms, driving a bullish price prediction.
BTC USD, 50, 100, 200-day MA, TradingView

This technical confirmation has historically lined up with prior cycle bottoms. Whether this one holds depends on what happens at the resistance shelf just overhead, a level Bitcoin has already tested and failed to clear once this week.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can BTC Hold the 50-Day MA and Push Toward $85,000?

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Bitcoin’s current $81,600 print sits comfortably above both the 50 and 200-day moving averages, a structural setup technicians typically flag as early-bull-market territory rather than dead-cat bounce. Our pivot data shows layered resistance at $82,900, then $83,430–$84,775, with a stretch target near $88,162 if momentum extends.

Support has clustered around $78,845 and $77,895, with a firmer floor near $76,000–$76,700 that’s already been tested once this month. A weekly close above $82,956 confirms the breakout and opens the path toward $88,000+, consistent with Elliott Wave counts circulating in recent technical analysis.

The most likely scenario for now is to see BTC grind between $78,800 and $83,000 while the market digests the moving-average flip. However, A weekly close back below the 50-day MA at $78,800 would invalidate the signal and drag price toward the $76,000 line in the sand. Traders watching this setup should track the weekly close, not intraday noise.

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Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as Bitcoin Tests Key Levels

A 45-week-overdue moving average flip is exactly the kind of headline that gets long-term holders nodding along, but at an $81,000 handle, Bitcoin’s percentage upside from here is a different animal than it was at $16,000. Doubling from here means a $1.6 trillion market cap addition.

That math is why traders chasing asymmetric returns are increasingly looking one layer down, toward infrastructure being built directly on top of Bitcoin’s network.

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Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning itself as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with full SVM integration. Hyper is running smart contracts at speeds it claims outpace Solana itself, while settling back to Bitcoin’s base chain for security. The presale has raised $33 million at a current token price of just $0.0136865, with staking rewards offered at a high 30% APY.

Its Decentralized Canonical Bridge aims to solve BTC’s two biggest structural gaps: near-zero programmability and sluggish, expensive transaction throughput.

Research Bitcoin Hyper directly before deciding.

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The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: Has the BTC Bear Market Ended After 45 Weeks? appeared first on Cryptonews.




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Hyperliquid launches trailing stops across perpetual markets

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Hyperliquid plans permissionless HIP 4 prediction market deployment

Hyperliquid has added trailing stop orders to its perpetual futures markets, giving traders a way to move their trigger price automatically as a position moves in their favor.

Summary

  • Hyperliquid has introduced trailing stops for perpetual markets, with trigger prices moving automatically as positions move in traders’ favor.
  • Long positions track the highest mark price after activation, while short positions follow the lowest before triggering on a selected retracement.
  • Traders can set an activation price or begin tracking immediately, with triggered stops executing as market orders.

According to Hyperliquid, the new order type tracks the mark price after activation and triggers a market order when the price pulls back from its best level by a distance or percentage selected by the trader.

For a long position, the trailing stop follows the highest mark price reached after tracking begins. For a short position, it follows the lowest mark price. Traders can set an activation price to determine when tracking starts or leave the field empty to begin tracking immediately from the current mark price.

The feature expands Hyperliquid’s existing set of conditional order tools as activity across its perpetual futures platform continues to grow.

Hyperliquid trailing stops follow the mark price

Unlike a fixed stop price, Hyperliquid’s trailing stop adjusts when the market moves in favor of an open position.

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For example, a trailing stop attached to a long position will follow the highest mark price reached after activation. If the mark price continues rising, the trigger moves with it. Once the market retreats by the distance or percentage chosen by the trader, the order is triggered.

Short positions work in the opposite direction. The trigger follows the lowest mark price reached since activation and executes once the price rebounds by the configured amount.

Hyperliquid said traders can choose between a fixed distance and a percentage when setting the retracement threshold. An optional activation price lets the user delay tracking until the market reaches a specified level. Without an activation price, the current mark price becomes the starting point.

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Once the retracement condition is met, the trailing stop triggers a market order for the selected quantity. Hyperliquid’s existing take profit and stop loss system similarly uses the mark price to determine when conditional orders are triggered, according to the platform’s documentation.

Existing market TP and SL orders carry a 10% slippage tolerance, while limit versions allow traders to specify a limit price to control potential slippage. Hyperliquid warns in its support documentation that the trigger price and actual execution price can differ because the mark price triggers the order before it is filled against available liquidity.

The platform already supports market, limit, stop market, stop limit, take market, take limit, scale and TWAP orders. Its TWAP system breaks larger orders into smaller transactions sent at 30 second intervals, with each suborder subject to a maximum slippage setting.

Perpetual markets have expanded through HIP 3

The trading update follows several changes to Hyperliquid’s perpetual futures infrastructure over the past few months.

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In September, Hyperliquid introduced a preliminary testnet upgrade that allows independent HIP 3 deployers to operate permissioned perpetual markets using onchain allowlists. Deployers can manage access themselves or assign the task to sub deployers, while the permissioning system remains optional for HIP 3 markets.

HIP 3 allows outside teams to deploy and operate perpetual markets using Hyperliquid’s infrastructure. The framework has increasingly been used to extend the types of assets and market structures available through the network.

Crypto.news previously reported that Kraken parent Payward has outlined plans to bring regulated Hyperliquid perpetuals to eligible U.S. clients through Bitnomial, subject to regulatory approval.

Under the proposed structure, CFTC regulated Bitnomial would deploy, administer, clear and settle the HIP 3 contracts. NinjaTrader Clearing would carry customer accounts, with access limited to users approved by the participating entities.

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The plan followed earlier discussions involving Hyperliquid Labs and Payward over a structure that could make selected perpetual contracts available to U.S. traders without providing direct access to Hyperliquid’s decentralized trading platform.

Hyperliquid Policy Center and trade[XYZ] have pursued a separate regulatory path for commodity linked contracts. In August, the groups asked the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to permit regulated energy perpetuals tied to WTI crude, Brent crude and Henry Hub natural gas.

Their filing said trade[XYZ] had operated perpetual markets on Hyperliquid since October 2025, with cumulative volume exceeding $500 billion. The proposed framework included stablecoin margin, leverage limits and regulated onchain trading infrastructure.

Hyperliquid trading activity remains elevated

Hyperliquid’s derivatives business has continued to generate substantial trading activity as new products and integrations have reached users.

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Coinbase brought more than 290 perpetual markets to its Base App through Hyperliquid in August. Eligible users can trade contracts linked to cryptocurrencies, stocks and commodities while remaining inside their existing wallets, with leverage reaching as high as 50 times on supported markets.

Users in the United States, United Kingdom and Canada were excluded from the product when the integration was announced.

Hyperliquid’s revenue has grown alongside trading activity. CoinGecko data published on Sept. 21 showed the platform generated $429.04 million in revenue between Jan. 1 and Sept. 15, accounting for 12.62% of the $3.40 billion revenue pool in the research firm’s adjusted comparison of crypto projects.

The platform’s fee structure directs part of trading revenue toward its Assistance Fund, which purchases HYPE on the open market. Hyperliquid’s documentation lists maker rebates reaching negative 0.003% for qualifying high volume market makers, while accounts linked to more than 500,000 HYPE in staking can receive a 40% trading fee discount.

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HYPE has traded near record levels during the expansion. CoinGecko data on Sept. 21 placed the token near $94 after it reached a record $92.56 on Sept. 18 and subsequently moved higher.

The Sept. 18 move coincided with Hyperliquid introducing manual borrowing that lets users supply HYPE or Bitcoin as collateral and borrow USDC or USDT. HYPE carries a 65% loan to value ratio under the system, compared with 50% for Bitcoin.



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X sues its own users for running a fake bitcoin news bot farm

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X sues its own users for running a fake bitcoin news bot farm

X is suing two men for allegedly building a network of fake bitcoin news accounts to farm payouts from X’s own creator fund.

The lawsuit names Vivek Kumar Sen and Zmyang Sherpa as the alleged masterminds behind the scheme, with law firm Lewis Silkin LLP representing the platform. At stake is at least 207,000 pounds ($277,000) in disputed creator-fund payouts. Costs for further damages from investigations and remediation are still unquantified.

The lawsuit named nine accounts as part of the alleged network: @Vivek4real_, @Bitcoin_Teddy, @saylordocs, @TrendingBitcoin, @Kalshibacktest, @PolyBackTest, @BTC_Vibes, @MrSuperBitcoin and @Laserlump. These accounts circulated fake “breaking” news headlines that often matched word for word and appeared on X just seconds apart.

Most of these posts made unsubstantiated, unverified claims involving big players in finance to draw mass attention, such as claiming Goldman Sachs’ CEO was pushing a crypto bill or saying Citibank had bought $12.6 million in bitcoin.

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The lawsuit further alleges that defendants operated accounts that repeatedly liked, replied to, and reposted these posts to create a facade of false engagement.



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We Need to Stop Talking Like Climate Change Is Partisan

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We Need to Stop Talking Like Climate Change Is Partisan

Given this contraction in public climate conversations, we wanted to learn from those who are still doing climate communication. What’s working, and how can we amplify it? Here’s what we found.

The first and most important lesson is that talking about climate change means talking about everyday life. When we asked climate newsletter writers, podcast hosts, people who regularly post on social media, and those building climate content for non-profits, their response was clear. Their first priority is to connect the climate crisis to other concerns people face: our jobs, our health, the places we love. They don’t set up climate change as a rival to those worries. Instead, they understand that climate change is already shaping the things people worry about. When we connect the dots between what we love and how climate change threatens it, it becomes obvious that nearly all of us have our own reasons to care and act. 



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Apple Pay Crypto Hiring Fuels New Stablecoin Speculation

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Apple posted a U.S.-based Apple Pay Financial Product Strategy Lead role, listing a base-pay range of $149,700 to $280,000 and listing familiarity with stablecoins, tokenized deposits, and crypto technology among its desired skills. Google, meanwhile, is recruiting an Industry Principal Architect, Web3, in Hong Kong to support institutional digital-asset projects across Asia-Pacific.

The Apple Card and Apple Cash team focuses on consumer credit cards, peer-to-peer transfers, stored value, and other consumer financial products. The hire will help develop long-term strategy, assess growth opportunities, build business cases, and evaluate products and partnerships across Wallets, Payments, and Commerce.

Google’s posting is focused on infrastructure and customer engagement. The Hong Kong-based architect is expected to bring production-grade Web3 systems experience and work with Google Cloud’s strategic Web3 engagements across Asia-Pacific. The role involves advising blockchain foundations, institutional exchanges, digital-asset custodians, and financial institutions on technical decisions.

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Also on Google, preferred experience includes real-world-asset tokenization, stablecoin rails, tokenized deposits, and digital-asset custody, as well as multi-party computation, hardware security modules, transaction-signing architecture, and confidential computing.

The role also covers blockchain node infrastructure, indexing layers, validator networks, and key management. Google says the architect will act as a bridge between customers and its product and engineering organizations, with common architectural issues helping inform reusable reference architectures and the company’s Web3 product roadmap.

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Apple Pay Crypto Stablecoins Payment Coming?

Google Cloud already provides infrastructure aimed at tokenized payments and blockchains. Its Universal Ledger is intended for financial institutions developing tokenized assets and digital representations of commercial bank money, while its Agent Payments Protocol is built for stablecoins and cryptocurrencies.

This existing product footprint places the Hong Kong role within Google’s enterprise infrastructure work rather than establishing plans for a Google-issued token.

Apple Pay and Google are hiring for stablecoin, tokenized-deposit, and crypto roles. Big things coming from the two giants?

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Hong Kong’s regulatory setting provides additional context for the location. The Stablecoins Ordinance came into force in August 2025 and requires issuers of fiat-pegged stablecoins to be licensed in Hong Kong. Google’s role includes advising customers on security, risk, and compliance under regional regulations, including those of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and the SFC.

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Apple Pay listing does not set out a crypto or stablecoin product. Its existing financial products are supported by traditional payment rails, while the job advertisement presents digital-asset experience as part of a wider financial-product strategy.

Taken together, the postings show Apple and Google seeking expertise in stablecoins, tokenized deposits, and blockchain-related infrastructure. Neither company has announced plans to issue a stablecoin yet. But it could be coming.

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The post Apple Pay Crypto Hiring Fuels New Stablecoin Speculation appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Bitcoin Tops $84,000 for the First Time Since January, Liquidating $262 Million in Shorts

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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Performance.

Bitcoin (BTC) briefly crossed $84,000 on September 21, its first trip to that level since January 31. The move liquidated $262.30 million of short positions in a single hour, according to CoinGlass.

The asset changed hands at $83,869 at the time of writing, a gain of 3.18% on the day.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Performance.
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Performance. Source: TradingView

Bitcoin Rallies to Eight-Month High, Wiping Out Shorts

CoinGlass recorded $271.83 million of total liquidations across the crypto market in the hour. Long positions accounted for only $9.53 million of that.

Bitcoin carried $218.55 million of the hourly figure. Ethereum (ETH) followed with $26.47 million, while Solana (SOL) added $8.92 million.

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The pressure held over longer windows. Liquidations reached $433.67 million over 12 hours and $599.15 million over 24 hours, hitting 127,304 traders. The largest single order was a Binance Bitcoin perpetual worth $11.29 million.

Crypto Liquidations.
Crypto Liquidations. Source: CoinGlass

The rally reached the wider market. XRP rose 7.04% over 24 hours, and Solana gained 6.67%, while Zcash (ZEC) led the top 10 with a 33.50% weekly gain.

The milestone came after Bitcoin recorded its first weekly close above a 50-week moving average in 45 weeks. The asset ended the week of September 20 at $81,159, around 3% above the average near $78,786.

Alex Thorn, head of firmwide research at Galaxy, reads the close as a key signal that the bear market low is in.

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The post Bitcoin Tops $84,000 for the First Time Since January, Liquidating $262 Million in Shorts appeared first on BeInCrypto.



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Bitcoin (BTC) Skyrockets to 8-Month High Above $84K as Altcoins Mark Big Gains: Market Watch

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Despite last week’s developments and the escalating tension in the Middle East, as well as on the Russia-Ukraine front, bitcoin’s price rebounded from the dip to $80,000 and surged past $84,000 earlier today for the first time since the end of January.

The altcoins are in the green as well, with ETH touching $2,700 earlier today and XRP bouncing to $1.45. XMR, NEAR, and AVAX have posted the most gains among the larger caps.

BTC Sees New 8-Month High

The previous week didn’t go well for the primary cryptocurrency, at least on a macro level. On Tuesday, the US Senate voted against advancing the key CLARITY Act. A day later, the US Federal Reserve hiked interest rates for the first time since July 2023.

BTC reacted to both developments with expected volatility, dipping to a multi-week low of $75,000. However, it rebounded swiftly by Friday when it surged past $80,000. It kept climbing on Saturday and neared $82,000. However, it was halted there as the tension in the Middle East escalated while Ukraine and Russia carried out more violent attacks against each other.

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Monday, though, has been entirely the opposite so far. BTC bounced off the $80,000 support after it had reclaimed the 50-week MA, and rocketed to just over $84,000 minutes ago to mark an eight-month high.

It remains above $83,000 as of now, with its market cap surging to $1.670 trillion on CMC. Its dominance over the alts remains inches below 59%.

BTCUSD September 21. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD September 21. Source: TradingView

Alts Back in Green

Ethereum has rocketed to a multi-week peak of its own at just over $2,700. Ripple’s XRP rebounded from the $1.40 support and now sits well above the next key level at $1.45. SOL has climbed to $115, while BNB is up to $780. Even more impressive gains are evident from the likes of DOGE, ADA, XLM, BCH, and LINK.

XMR, AVAX, TAO, NEAR, SUI, BTW, and MORPHO have stolen the show from the larger-cap alts, posting double-digit gains.

The cumulative market cap of all crypto assets has added $70 billion in a day and is up to $2.810 trillion on CMC.

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Cryptocurrency Market Overview September 21. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview September 21. Source: QuantifyCrypto

The post Bitcoin (BTC) Skyrockets to 8-Month High Above $84K as Altcoins Mark Big Gains: Market Watch appeared first on CryptoPotato.



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X Sues Bitcoin Account Operators Over Alleged $278K Payout Fraud

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X Sues Bitcoin Account Operators Over Alleged $278K Payout Fraud

Elon Musk-owned social media platform X has sued the alleged operators of a network of Bitcoin-focused accounts, seeking to recover at least $278,000 in creator payouts it says they obtained by manipulating engagement.

X filed a lawsuit in the High Court of England and Wales on Thursday against Vivek Kumar Sen, Zamyang Sherpa and unidentified account operators, alleging they fraudulently obtained at least 207,384 British pounds ($278,000) from its creator revenue-sharing program. The court filing is available on X’s Transparency Center.

The company claims the defendants coordinated multiple accounts to boost engagement by reposting and liking one another’s content and publishing identical or substantially similar posts, creating what the company described as a “false appearance of genuine, human communication and interaction.”

X suspended the accounts on Aug. 18 over what it called creator revenue-sharing fraud and platform manipulation.

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X links six accounts to two defendants

The lawsuit identifies six accounts enrolled in X’s revenue-sharing program: @Vivek4real_, @Bitcoin_Teddy, @saylordocs, @TrendingBitcoin, @Kalshibacktest and @PolyBackTest.

The filing links Stripe accounts associated with the first three profiles to Sen and those associated with the other three to Sherpa. The accounts joined the program between August 2023 and February 2026.

Six X accounts and their associated Stripe account names listed in the court filing. Source: X

The network allegedly extended beyond those six accounts. X named @BTC_Vibes, @MrSuperBitcoin and @Laserlump, claiming they repeatedly liked, replied to and reposted content from the defendants’ accounts to manufacture engagement.

How the alleged scheme generated money

Under X’s former creator revenue-sharing program, eligible creators received a share of the platform’s revenue based on the engagement their posts generated from other users.

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The filing cites an Aug. 5 example in which @Vivek4real_ and @TrendingBitcoin allegedly published substantially similar posts within 11 seconds of each other.

X retired the revenue-sharing program on Sept. 7 and began rolling out access to its replacement, Original Content Rewards, the following day.

Related: Cardano’s IOG warns users to avoid YouTube channel amid apparent hijack

In addition to the alleged fraudulent payouts, X says it expects at least 75,000 British pounds ($100,000) in investigation and remediation costs, bringing its claimed and projected losses to at least 282,384 pounds before interest and legal costs.

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Cointelegraph sought comment through an email address linked to Sen in the filing but had not received a response by publication. Sherpa could not be reached for comment.

Magazine: Who needs CLARITY anyway? ARB could see 70X increase: Hodler’s Digest



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Crypto resilient post-Fed rate hike: Crypto Week Ahead

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Crypto resilient post-Fed rate hike: Crypto Week Ahead

Crypto markets are demonstrating robust resilience to start the week, with bitcoin approaching the $84,000 threshold, for the time being at least shrugging off the immediate hawkish sentiment from last week’s Federal Reserve rate hike, which pushed the benchmark target to 4.00%.

The macro calendar centers on midweek U.S. jobless claims and housing and durable goods figures. Meanwhile, cross-asset markets continue to digest the policy path following recent rate decisions from the Bank of Japan and Bank of England.

On the market structure front, attention centers on the SEC opening its tokenized securities pilot framework.

What to Watch

(All times ET)

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  • Crypto
    • Sept. 22: The SEC’s conditional 5-year exemption window opens, allowing select institutional venues to begin pilot trading of tokenized stocks directly on public blockchains.
  • Macro
    • Sept. 24, 8:30 a.m.: Canada Retail Sales MoM for August est. -0.8% (Prev. 0.6%)
    • Sept. 24, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for period ending Sept. 19 est. 201K (Prev. 196K)
    • Sept. 24, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. New Home Sales for August est. 700K (Prev. 739K)
    • Sept. 25, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. Durable Goods Orders MoM for August est. -0.3% (Prev. 1.1%)
    • Sept. 25, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Final for September est. 47.8 (Prev. 51.7)
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ICE Shooting of Immigrant in Texas Under Investigation: What to Know

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ICE Shooting of Immigrant in Texas Under Investigation: What to Know

But Nolen said that before the state troopers arrived, an ICE agent had shot a man, and upon the troopers’ arrival, they treated the driver of the Toyota Corolla. 

Austin-Travis County EMS received notification from city police of a shooting around 12:56 p.m. CT, according to its chief Rob Luckritz. They identified a man who sustained a gunshot wound to the torso, with Austin Police Chief Lisa Davis adding that preliminary information pointed to a “small foot pursuit” happening before the shooting.

Authorities then added that the man was transferred to the Dell Seton Medical Center in stable condition.

What do we know about the people involved?

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Kate Lincoln-Goldfinch, an Austin immigration lawyer who said she had been hired to represent the man who was shot and his wife, identified the man who was shot as a 28-year-old Venezuelan named Wilber Rafael Garces Perez. 

The Tribune reported, citing Lincoln-Goldfinch, that Perez had a work permit and had entered the U.S. legally. According to Lincoln-Goldfinch, Perez was delivering for DoorDash when the shooting occurred.



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Binance Wallet opens $4.8M pPOLY Pre-Access event

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Binance adds GENIUS as 65th HODLer airdrop

Paimon Finance’s pPOLY has become the first token selected for PancakeSwap’s Pre-Access program, opening a $4.8 million subscription campaign at $15.50 per token on Sept. 21 before trading starts Sept. 24.

Summary

  • pPOLY is priced at $15.50 with a $4.8 million total offering through PancakeSwap’s Pre-Access campaign.
  • Subscriptions run for 72 hours before claims, refunds and pPOLY trading begin officially September 24.
  • Binance Wallet provides technical access while PancakeSwap and third parties control campaign operations and settlement.
  • pPOLY offers indirect private-market exposure without granting direct Polymarket shares, voting rights, or dividend rights.
  • Users need at least $100 per deposit and may subscribe using U or USDC only.

Binance Wallet said the 72-hour campaign runs from Sept. 21 at 9:00 a.m. UTC until Sept. 24 at 9:00 a.m. UTC on BNB Smart Chain, with pPOLY claims, returns of unallocated funds and trading scheduled to begin when the subscription period ends.

The announcement identifies Paimon Finance as the token issuer and PancakeSwap as the provider of the Pre-Access campaign. Binance Wallet provides eligible users with a route to the event through its self-custodial Keyless Wallet interface but says it does not issue pPOLY or operate the sale.

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pPOLY opens PancakeSwap’s first Pre-Access campaign

PancakeSwap introduced Pre-Access on Sept. 20 as a time-limited subscription system designed to provide indirect tokenized exposure to selected private companies before a possible public listing. Its official announcement said third-party providers arrange the underlying exposure while PancakeSwap hosts the campaign and subscription process.

The first project was not named when the portal was announced. One day later, PancakeSwap revealed pPOLY, a token issued by Paimon Finance, as the inaugural campaign. The official portal is now the campaign access point.

For pPOLY, Binance Wallet set the subscription price at $15.50 and the total offering size at $4.8 million. The $4.8 million figure describes the amount offered through the campaign; it should not be treated as pPOLY’s market capitalization or as a valuation of Polymarket.

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Paimon Finance operates a private-market tokenization platform covering private credit and private-company exposure. Its official website describes its Pre-Access products as structures designed to give users economic exposure to private-market assets through tokenized arrangements.

The product is being presented as Paimon Polymarket SPV Token, linking its reference exposure to Polymarket. The available campaign materials do not make pPOLY an official Polymarket token, and no evidence reviewed shows that holding it places a buyer directly on Polymarket’s shareholder register.

Binance Wallet sets $100 minimum for subscriptions

Participation through Binance Wallet requires a Binance Keyless Wallet. In a second Sept. 21 post, the wallet provider said users can reach the campaign through either its homepage banner or Discover section.

Participants can deposit either U, issued by United Stables, or USDC on BNB Chain. The minimum amount is $100 for each deposit, and a participant must select one of the two supported subscription assets.

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The pPOLY allocation formula places weight on the user’s Binance Alpha Points tier at the time of the campaign announcement and the user’s bStocks on-chain activity tier. For bStocks, Binance Wallet is measuring holdings and trading activity, including Stock Memes, during the 15-day period from Sept. 6 at 00:00 UTC through Sept. 20 at 23:59:59 UTC. Higher qualifying tiers can unlock larger subscription quotas.

Users holding Alpha Points are eligible to subscribe without having those points deducted, according to the campaign announcement. A subscription does not guarantee that a participant receives the entire amount requested because allocations remain subject to the campaign rules and available offering size.

Binance’s general Pre-Access FAQ says oversubscribed campaigns can result in allocations being reduced, prorated, rejected, delayed or canceled under the relevant PancakeSwap rules and smart-contract processes.

Ascrypto.news reported when Pre-Access was introduced, Binance Wallet serves as a technical access point while PancakeSwap and third-party providers control subscriptions, allocation rules, claims, refunds and settlement.

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pPOLY does not give holders Polymarket shares

The Pre-Access label requires a distinction from a conventional initial public offering. Binance’s FAQ says these third-party tokens can provide contractual, synthetic or indirect economic exposure to a private company or related asset, but they do not constitute direct ownership of the underlying company’s shares, fund units or SPV interests.

Holders therefore do not automatically receive voting rights, dividend rights, shareholder information rights, governance rights or a direct legal claim against the referenced private company.

Binance Wallet placed a similar warning directly in its pPOLY announcement, stating that Pre-Access tokens are supplied by third parties and “do not represent equity or IPO rights.” It further cautioned that neither a future IPO nor investment returns are guaranteed.

A future public listing would not automatically turn pPOLY into listed Polymarket stock. Binance’s terms say a Pre-Access token may continue trading separately after a target company goes public and could trade at either a premium or discount to the listed shares. Conversion or another settlement mechanism may be delayed, restricted or never become available.

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Polymarket itself has been linked to capital-raising discussions, but a financing round should not be confused with an IPO filing. Polymarket was reportedly pursuing approximately $1 billion at a $21 billion valuation, with 1789 Capital expected to contribute around $300 million. The reported transaction was a private funding round.

No public registration statement establishing an imminent Polymarket IPO was identified in the materials reviewed for this report. Binance Wallet’s language consequently describes pPOLY as exposure ahead of a potential public listing, not a confirmed IPO.

September 24 starts pPOLY claims and trading

The subscription window remains open for 72 hours, ending at 9:00 a.m. UTC on Sept. 24. PancakeSwap’s Pre-Access design resolves campaigns after the subscription period, when eligible users receive their allocated tokens or applicable refunds under the campaign terms.

For pPOLY, Binance Wallet says three processes begin at the Sept. 24 deadline: participants can claim their pPOLY allocations, unallocated subscription funds start being returned, and pPOLY trading opens.

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No verified pPOLY secondary-market price exists from the official campaign before trading begins. The $15.50 figure is the subscription price, and Binance warns that it can differ materially from any subsequent market, redemption, conversion or settlement value.

The same rules leave liquidity dependent on product terms and available third-party markets. Tokens may face transfer restrictions, lockups, counterparty issues, regulatory requirements or smart-contract risks, while redemption and conversion mechanisms are not guaranteed.

Paimon’s general legal disclosures state that its tokenized private-market products have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act and may not be offered or sold in the United States or to U.S. persons unless registration or an applicable exemption is available. Its disclosures impose separate eligibility restrictions in other jurisdictions.

Binance Wallet says it does not independently guarantee the campaign price, third-party performance, future liquidity, settlement or recovery if the underlying exposure cannot be delivered. The pPOLY campaign is scheduled to close at 9:00 a.m. UTC on Sept. 24, when PancakeSwap is due to begin allocations, refunds and secondary trading.

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