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Bitcoin Rebound Fades as Range Highs Crumble: Why BTC Is Volatile

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin, the trailblazer of the crypto markets, extended a three-day retreat after failing to sustain a breakthrough above $70,000, briefly slipping under $66,000 during the New York session. The move comes as liquidity in spot markets appears thinner, with on-chain signals pointing to the possibility that selling pressure on dominant venue Binance is guiding the short-term trajectory. While the setup has drawn comparisons to prior pullbacks, the current dynamics show subdued US participation and a reluctance among traders to redeploy capital at current levels. Investors are watching whether the price can establish a more durable bottom or if the weakness spills into the broader risk-on spectrum, given the sensitivity of Bitcoin to macro risk sentiment, ETF flows, and spot demand signals.

Key takeaways

  • The Coinbase premium index has dipped below zero, signaling muted US spot demand at current price levels.
  • Cumulative volume delta (CVD) on Binance has remained negative, underscoring persistent net selling pressure rather than accumulation.
  • The 30-day new money flow has flipped to negative territory, around –$2.8 billion, suggesting weaker fresh capital entering the market.
  • Open interest has declined to about $17.6 billion, indicating a unwind of leverage rather than new long exposure.
  • The “young supply” metric (coins moved in the last 0–1 month) has cooled to roughly 13%, pointing to thinner speculative participation compared with prior rallies.

Tickers mentioned: $BTC

Sentiment: Bearish

Price impact: Negative. The failure to sustain above $70,000 and the renewed downside move below $66,000 reflect renewed selling pressure and a cautious posture among traders.

Trading idea (Not Financial Advice): Hold. The lack of robust spot demand and waning open interest suggest patience until on-chain signals and price action align for a nearer-term reversal.

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Market context: The current pullback follows a period of net selling pressure on Binance with a subdued US participation backdrop, as the Coinbase premium remains negative and on-chain metrics trend softer than in prior upswings.

Why it matters

The latest data paints a picture of a market that is trading with caution rather than enthusiasm. Bitcoin’s price action near the $66,000 level coincides with several on-chain indicators that have historically presaged slower bullish inflows rather than renewed buying interest. The negative CVD on Binance, coupled with a muted Coinbase premium, suggests that spot-led demand—the fuel for a sustained upmove—has cooled at these price levels. In practical terms, the market is testing whether investors will step in at lower levels or if the liquidity tap remains largely off, complicating any attempt to stage a durable rally in the near term.

From a leverage perspective, the steady decline in open interest implies that traders are closing positions rather than initiating new long bets. This is important because it signals a risk-tolerant environment is not currently driving new exposures; instead, participants are digesting the recent price action and awaiting clearer catalysts. The combined effect of shrinking leverage and muted new money flow reduces the odds of a rapid, self-sustaining rebound in Bitcoin prices without a shift in the broader liquidity backdrop or a fresh wave of buying momentum from major players.

Looking at the supply-side signals, the “young supply” share has cooled toward the lower end of its range, suggesting a lull in speculative participation from newer entrants. When the youth supply shrinks, it often accompanies a lack of capitulation-driven liquidity rather than the exuberance seen in stronger uptrends. In the current context, the market atmosphere resembles a phase of consolidation with a cautious tilt, rather than a momentum-driven breakout. The data also underlines the interplay between spot demand and the efficiency of price discovery in a market where futures and ETFs can influence the pace and direction of moves, even as spot liquidity remains fragile.

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For readers tracking cross-corridors of influence, the ongoing discussion around spot Bitcoin ETFs and their inflows remains relevant. Related reporting has highlighted that spot Bitcoin ETFs added significant inflows recently, underscoring how new vehicles can alter risk appetite and liquidity dynamics even as spot markets grapple with a cooler demand cycle. This backdrop reinforces the notion that any sustained upside will likely hinge on a combination of improved on-chain demand, favorable macro conditions, and constructive ETF or futures flows that re-energize liquidity in the ecosystem.

Additional on-chain context comes from CryptoQuant data, which continues to emphasize the absence of robust spot demand below the $70,000 threshold. The 30-day money flow is negative, hovering near –$2.8 billion, with daily readings around the mid-to-high single-digit hundreds of millions of dollars in the red. In this environment, weaker inflows reduce the likelihood of a fast-paced re-acceleration, even as the market eyes any sign of a structural shift or a change in the ratio of bids to asks that could spark renewed buying interest.

All told, the market appears to be navigating a transitional phase: price discovery is proceeding in a backdrop of thinning liquidity, a cautious stance among buyers, and on-chain signals that favor restraint over aggression. While some traders will remain hopeful for a fast revival, others may choose to observe the next few sessions for clearer confirmation that demand is returning with conviction, not merely oscillating around a key price threshold.

Related: Spot Bitcoin ETFs add $167M, nearly erase last week’s outflows

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CryptoQuant data further reinforces the lack of spot demand below $70,000. The 30-day cumulative new money flow has turned negative, near -$2.8 billion, while recent daily readings remain subdued around -$239 million. Unlike prior uptrends where price pullbacks drew meaningful inflows, the current price slide has not sparked a corresponding surge of capital into the market.

The “young supply” share (0–1 month), which tracks coins moved recently, has also cooled toward the lower end of its recent range, hovering near 13%. This pattern points to reduced speculative participation from newer traders, a characteristic frequently observed before the formation of a new base rather than during a fresh leg higher. Strong rallies in the past have been accompanied by rising young supply, expanding capital inflows, and increasing open interest—none of which are evident in the current phase, adding to the cautioned tone around near-term price prospects.

Related: Rare Bitcoin signal flashes: Will a 220percent BTC price rally follow?

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Nvidia Faces Class Action Over Crypto Mining Revenue Disclosure Gaps

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Nvidia Faces Class Action Over Crypto Mining Revenue Disclosure Gaps

Nvidia is being sued for hiding how much of its gaming GPU revenue came from crypto miners.

The class action covers fiscal 2018, a period when quarterly revenue surged 52% and 25% year-over-year. Shareholders allege the company deliberately obscured the fact that Ethereum mining demand was driving those numbers, not gaming.

The stakes extend beyond Nvidia. As the primary infrastructure-layer supplier to the GPU mining ecosystem, any regulatory cloud over its disclosure practices ripples into how investors price exposure across the entire supply chain.

Now the Supreme Court has entered the picture. It is reviewing the 9th Circuit’s decision allowing the suit to proceed, turning a corporate disclosure dispute into a potential landmark ruling on securities pleading standards.

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This just got a lot bigger than one company’s accounting.

Key Takeaways:

  • Case detail: Nvidia settled a parallel SEC enforcement action in May 2022 for $5.5 million after regulators found it failed to disclose crypto mining’s material impact on gaming GPU revenue in fiscal Q2 and Q3 2018.
  • Legal mechanism: The class action turns on PSLRA pleading standards — plaintiffs lack internal documents proving CEO Jensen Huang knew exact mining revenue shares, but argue employee-level crypto trend tracking constitutes constructive knowledge sufficient to survive dismissal.
  • Market implication: A Supreme Court ruling that loosens PSLRA pleading thresholds would expand litigation exposure for any public company with material crypto-derived revenue — a direct risk vector for mining hardware suppliers and adjacent equities.

The Allegation: Crypto Revenue Classified as Gaming Demand

Nvidia told investors its gaming GPU revenue growth reflected gamer demand. It did not. Cryptocurrency miners were bulk-buying GeForce cards to mine Ethereum during the 2017 boom cycle.

When Bitcoin crashed in 2018 and mining economics collapsed, GPU demand evaporated and gaming revenue fell sharply. The revenue base was never what Nvidia said it was.

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The internal awareness is what makes this difficult to defend. During the 2 quarters with 52% and 25% year-over-year spikes, Nvidia’s own employees were actively tracking crypto market trends and their correlation with GPU sales.

Plaintiffs argue that makes executive statements attributing growth to gaming not just incomplete but knowingly misleading.

Nvidia’s own Q4 FY2019 results did the damage retroactively. The company explicitly linked the gaming and OEM revenue decline to cryptocurrency mining downturns. That admission directly contradicts the earlier framing.

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The SEC already agreed something went wrong. Enforcement Division Crypto Assets and Cyber Unit Chief Kristina Littman stated that Nvidia’s disclosure failures deprived investors of critical information to evaluate the company’s business in a key market. Nvidia paid $5.5 million and signed a cease-and-desist without admitting wrongdoing.

That settlement structure is the core of the civil case now. Nvidia preserved its technical defense by not admitting fault. But the SEC finding functionally validates the factual allegation. The class action is not relitigating whether the disclosure failure happened. It is litigating who bears the financial consequences.

The Strategic Signal: Infrastructure-Layer Risk for Mining Markets

Nvidia supplies the dominant share of discrete GPUs used in proof-of-work mining operations. Mining companies — whether publicly listed operators or sovereign-scale entities like Bhutan’s state mining program liquidating Bitcoin holdings into Binance — depend on Nvidia hardware pricing and availability as a primary cost input.

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Any sustained legal or regulatory uncertainty over Nvidia’s disclosure practices introduces a new variable into GPU procurement planning and equity valuation models for mining-adjacent companies.

The channel through which the lawsuit affects sentiment is investor trust, not GPU pricing directly. If the Supreme Court tightens PSLRA standards and dismisses the case, it effectively insulates tech companies from class actions built on circumstantial inference, reducing securities litigation risk across the sector.

If the Court upholds the 9th Circuit and the class action proceeds to discovery, plaintiffs gain access to internal communications, which historically is where these cases settle expensively.

Mining equities like Bitmine, currently accumulating ETH as a strategic reserve asset, carry indirect exposure through Nvidia’s role as GPU supplier — a guilty verdict or major settlement reframes how the market prices crypto-hardware dependency risk across the board.

Ethereum’s Merge in September 2022 already eliminated GPU-based ETH mining as a demand driver, and Nvidia’s 2021 launch of dedicated Cryptocurrency Mining Processor (CMP) products with hash rate limiters on GeForce cards was a deliberate structural separation of markets. The litigation relitigates a period that no longer operationally exists — but the precedent it sets for revenue source disclosure requirements is entirely forward-looking.

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Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

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XRP spot ETFs defy crypto slump with $1.4B in inflows as Bitcoin, gold and silver funds see outflows, JPMorgan says

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XRP Price Glitch Sends XRP to $126 on CNBC Broadcast

XRP exchange-traded funds are pulling in fresh capital at a pace that puts them at odds with the rest of the market, as investors rotate out of gold and silver ETFs while keeping steady allocations to Bitcoin products amid geopolitical tensions and higher rates.

Summary

  • XRP spot ETFs have amassed about $1.4 billion in net inflows since launch in November 2025, even as XRP’s price slid more than 30% from recent highs.
  • By contrast, gold ETFs have seen nearly $11 billion in outflows in three weeks, while silver products also bled capital as rising rates and a stronger dollar pressured precious metals.
  • JPMorgan says Bitcoin ETFs are holding net inflows and showing “greater resilience” than gold and silver, underscoring a shift in how investors hedge geopolitical and macro risk.

Since their launch in November 2025, XRP (XRP)-linked ETFs have attracted more than $1.4 billion in cumulative net inflows, according to data highlighted by Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart, even as XRP has dropped roughly 33% over the past 90 days and 24% year-to-date to around $1.38. JPMorgan, meanwhile, reports that gold ETFs have suffered close to $11 billion in outflows over a three‑week stretch leading into March, with silver products seeing similarly heavy withdrawals as rising interest rates and a stronger dollar undercut the traditional safe havens.

In a recent note on ETF flows, Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, managing director at JPMorgan, said Bitcoin spot funds “have attracted approximately 1.5% in new assets” since the latest Middle East flare‑up began, while the largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), “has experienced outflows totaling about 2.7% of its assets under management.” He argued this divergence “represents a significant departure from historical patterns where investors typically flock to gold during geopolitical uncertainty,” suggesting that BTC is increasingly viewed as “a viable alternative to traditional safe‑haven assets.” According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin briefly fell into the $60,000 range alongside other risk assets at the onset of the conflict but quickly stabilized and is now trading between $68,000 and $70,000, a range JPMorgan reads as evidence that “long‑term capital is re‑entering the market to support prices after the panic.”

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For XRP, the contrast between price action and ETF demand has become increasingly stark. Data compiled by SoSoValue and cited by Seyffart show cumulative XRP ETF inflows climbing from roughly $150 million in mid‑November to about $1.44 billion by early March, even as the token slid from recent peaks toward the low‑$1.30s. Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas called the performance “really impressive given these launched into a brutal 45% drawdown,” adding that such consistent buying is rare for newly listed products trading through a “reverse shiny object moment.” “My guess is this is largely XRP super fans vs casual retail,” Balchunas wrote, pointing to concentrated conviction rather than broad speculative froth.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has framed the flows as a structural shift in how investors access the token, saying the ETFs are “a sign of XRP’s long‑term payments potential” after the company’s courtroom win against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission unlocked the path for regulated products. According to a previous crypto.news story, spot XRP ETFs neared $1 billion in assets after just 13 days of consecutive inflows, following patterns seen after the approval of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. That momentum has since pushed cumulative net inflows to around $1.4 billion, with February alone contributing between $58 million and $106.8 million depending on the dataset, even as the broader crypto complex cooled.

JPMorgan’s latest work on cross‑asset positioning suggests that institutional traders have been steadily cutting exposure to gold and silver while leaving Bitcoin allocations broadly intact. The bank notes that positions in precious‑metal futures have “significantly declined since the beginning of the year,” with trend‑following funds flipping from “overbought” to “below neutral,” which has “exacerbated their downward pressure” as ETF outflows accelerated. Bitcoin, by comparison, has moved out of an “oversold” momentum regime, and selling pressure has eased as ETF demand stabilized, helping support the $68,000–$70,000 trading band.

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Liquidity indicators in JPMorgan’s framework now show market breadth in gold slipping below that of Bitcoin, while silver liquidity has weakened even further, a reversal of the typical hierarchy in traditional macro stress episodes. The bank argues that this shift “highlights Bitcoin’s gradually emerging performance characteristics that differ from traditional safe‑haven assets in the current macro and geopolitical environment,” with deeper ETF markets and institutional participation helping compress volatility relative to earlier cycles.

XRP’s ETF complex, though far smaller in absolute terms, appears to be tracking a similar institutionalization arc. By mid‑March, total net assets across XRP ETFs sat just under $1 billion, representing roughly 1.16% of the token’s market capitalization, while some estimates suggest custodians are removing close to 1% of circulating supply from exchanges each month to back new creations. An earlier crypto.news story on XRP ETFs noted that 13 straight days of inflows pulled nearly $900 million into the products within weeks of launch, underscoring how quickly regulated wrappers can tighten free‑float supply once they catch on with allocators.

For JPMorgan, the ETF flow divergence sits atop a macro mix that still looks hostile to precious metals. The bank points to rising real yields and a firmer dollar as key reasons why gold and silver have struggled to hold recent highs, even as geopolitical risk flared. CoinMarketCap data cited in the note show gold correcting from a record peak while SPDR Gold Shares shed about 2.7% of its assets over the crisis window, against positive net inflows for BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust of roughly 1.5% of AUM. In aggregate, gold ETFs have lost nearly $11 billion over three weeks, JPMorgan estimates, with silver funds recording “significant” redemptions as well.

Bitcoin’s ability to stabilize after an initial risk‑off impulse, and to keep pulling capital into ETFs, has led JPMorgan to reiterate its long‑term price target of $266,000, derived from a volatility‑adjusted comparison to gold’s market structure. While XRP lacks that kind of formal target, the resilience of its ETF flows relative to price has drawn similar interpretations from market participants who see regulated products as a bridge for institutional money. In previous crypto.news coverage, analysts noted that XRP’s ETF trajectory and the post‑SEC‑case regulatory clarity could help the token close its underperformance gap versus peers if macro headwinds ease and capital rotates back into higher‑beta assets.

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Amid ETF outflows from gold and silver, deteriorating liquidity in those markets, and continued institutional deleveraging, JPMorgan’s takeaway is blunt: Bitcoin is holding up better than traditional safe havens, and regulated crypto wrappers are no longer a sideshow. For XRP, the early data suggest that even in a choppy tape, a committed ETF bid can quietly rewire the supply‑demand balance — and position the token as one of the key beneficiaries if risk appetite returns.

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XRP Risks 50% Crash as Goldman Sachs ETF Exposure Fails to Lift Price

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XRP Risks 50% Crash as Goldman Sachs ETF Exposure Fails to Lift Price

XRP (XRP) traded at $1.37 after a 3.5% decline in the last 24 hours, shrugging off Goldman Sachs’ disclosure of exposure to spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

While this highlights long-term institutional confidence, it comes amid fragile risk sentiment and a typical breakdown from a bearish setup.

Key takeaways:

  • Goldman Sachs disclosed $152.17 million in spot XRP ETF holdings across four funds, making it the largest institutional holder in this segment.

  • XRP maintains its bear pennant breakdown setup targeting $0.72.

Goldman Sachs discloses $152 million exposure to XRP ETFs

Goldman Sachs has emerged as the largest disclosed institutional holder of US spot XRP ETFs, revealing a $152 million position in its Q4 2025 13F filing with the SEC. 

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Related: XRP treasury Evernorth files with SEC to list shares on Nasdaq

The $3.5 trillion asset manager has spread its exposure across four funds: $39.8 million in Bitwise XRP ETF, $38.5 million in Franklin XRP Trust, $38 million in Grayscale XRP ETF, and $35.9 million in 21Shares XRP ETF. 

Goldman isn’t alone. Its allocation accounts for roughly 73% of the about $211 million held by the top 30 institutional investors in XRP ETFs, according to Bloomberg Senior ETF analyst James  Seyffart.

Top 30 institutional spot XRP investors. Source: X/James/Seyffart

While this institutional move highlights long-term confidence, XRP price remains 25% below its yearly open around $1.84, driven by slowing ETF inflows and macro headwinds.

Cumulative net inflows into US-based XRP ETFs crossed the $1 billion mark within the first few months of trading, peaking at $1.28 billion on Jan. 16. The pace has since cooled to $1.21 billion today.

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Total assets under management peaked around $1.65 billion in early January but have dropped to roughly $995 billion, dragged down by XRP’s price decline and a stretch of net outflows, according to data from SoSoValue.

XRP ETFs recorded a total of $56.5 million in net outflows between March 3 and March 16. Since then, the daily inflows have been muted below $5 million. 

Spot XRP ETF flows chart. Source: SoSoValue

XRP bear pennant breakdown underway

XRP price broke down from its prevailing bear pennant when it dropped below the lower trend line of the pattern at $1.40 on Thursday. The price could retest the lower trend line as new resistance, a move that could confirm the breakdown.

XRP/USD weekly chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bull pennants form when price consolidates inside a triangle following a steep decline. Once the price breaks below that triangle, it triggers another massive downward move.

For XRP, the measured target of the bear pennant is $0.72, roughly 48% below the current price. 

As Cointelegraph reported, a break below $1.27 would suggest that the bears are still in control, fueling XRP/USD drop toward $1.

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Declining XRP volatility hints at “sharp” price move next

XRP’s volatility metrics are warning of an imminent massive price move.

The 30-day Realized Volatility (RV 30D) has dropped to around 0.5266, marking the lowest level for 2026. 

Meanwhile, the Volatility Z-Score is at -0.9048, “reflecting a clear decline in volatility compared to the historical average,” CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain said in a recent Quicktake note, adding:

“This type of volatility contraction is commonly referred to as volatility compression, a phase that often precedes a sharp price movement in either direction.”

XRP realized volatility on Binance