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Bitcoin Sell-Off Drags IBIT Investor Returns Into the Red, CIO Says

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin’s weekend retreat has amplified a sell-off in the largest spot crypto ETF, with investors in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) confronting a challenging reset in the fund’s performance metrics. As BTC traded in the mid-$70,000s after a run to fresh highs earlier in the season, the aggregate, dollar-weighted returns for IBIT slipped into negative territory by late January. The dislocation underscores how quickly price moves feed through to ETF-based exposure and how the timing of inflows can dictate whether gains are preserved or erased. In this environment, even the earliest participants in the fund can face headwinds when the price trajectory turns south and outflows accelerate.

Key takeaways

  • The aggregate, dollar-weighted returns for IBIT turned negative as of late January, even though some early investors may still be in profit.
  • Bitcoin’s price drop into the mid-$70,000s coincided with eroding performance for the fund and a shift in investor sentiment around digital-asset exposure.
  • IBIT achieved a notable milestone as the fastest BlackRock ETF to reach $70 billion in assets under management, highlighting its early, outsized popularity among mainstream investors.
  • Crypto fund outflows intensified in the week ended Jan. 25, with about $1.1 billion exiting Bitcoin funds and total crypto fund outflows around $1.73 billion, driven primarily by U.S. investors.
  • On the broader side, gold has ongoing strength, and while Bitcoin remains a candidate for a “debasement” hedge, flow dynamics have not replicated gold’s sustained inflows.

Tickers mentioned: $BTC, $IBIT

Sentiment: Bearish

Price impact: Negative. The combined effect of a sharp price pullback and outflows into crypto funds has pushed dollar-weighted returns into negative territory for IBIT.

Trading idea (Not Financial Advice): Hold. The near-term backdrop is conflicted by caution on risk assets and ongoing ETF flow dynamics, suggesting patience while assessing macro momentum and on-chain signals.

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Market context: The pullback in crypto investment products mirrors a broader risk-off tone in financial markets, with investors re-evaluating exposure as price momentum cools and rate-cut prospects shift.

Why it matters

IBIT’s trajectory matters because it acts as a litmus test for the mainstream adoption of crypto assets through regulated vehicles. The fund’s rapid ascent to $70 billion in assets under management underscored a surge of institutional interest in a familiar, regulated wrapper for exposure to Bitcoin. Yet the recent decline in net asset value (NAV) and the turn in dollar-weighted returns illuminate how sensitive ETF performance is to both price action and flow dynamics. If the price continues to lag or if inflows fail to keep pace with selling pressure, the prospect of sustained outflows could weigh on liquidity and bid-ask spreads for the vehicle.

The broader fund-flow landscape compounds the significance. CoinShares reported a week of outsized redemptions across crypto funds, with roughly $1.1 billion leaving Bitcoin products in the week to Jan. 25 and total crypto fund outflows of $1.73 billion—the largest weekly retreat since mid-November. The concentration of these withdrawals in the United States signals a shift in regional appetite and risk tolerance, potentially foreshadowing a broader reassessment of crypto exposure among U.S. investors as macro headlines evolve. The trend aligns with commentary that waning expectations for near-term rate cuts, negative price momentum, and a perception that digital assets have not yet meaningfully participated in inflation hedging narratives are driving selling pressure.

While the field remains hopeful that digital assets can fulfill a “debasement trade” thesis—as a fixed-supply store of value—Bitcoin has not yet drawn the same breadth of inflows as a traditional hedge like gold, even after a recent pullback. Gold has persisted in an uptrend, recently trading at record highs above $5,400 per troy ounce, highlighting divergent risk-on/risk-off dynamics across asset classes. The juxtaposition of crypto fund outflows with gold’s strength underscores the evolving risk sentiment and the evolving role of regulated vehicles in enabling real-money participation in this space.

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What to watch next

  • Next CoinShares fund-flow update for the week following Jan. 25 to gauge whether outflow momentum persists or abates.
  • Movement in IBIT’s NAV and any shifts in assets under management as Bitcoin’s price tests key levels around the $70,000 region.
  • Updated performance signals from Yahoo Finance on IBIT’s NAV and fee structure, which can influence investor perceptions of value during a downside phase.
  • Any regulation-driven commentary or policy signals that could affect crypto ETF flows, particularly in the United States, where outflows have been concentrated.

Sources & verification

  • Bob Elliott’s tweet and chart showing aggregate, dollar-weighted returns turning negative as of late January: https://x.com/BobEUnlimited/status/2017944185140134033
  • IBIT’s milestone as the fastest BlackRock ETF to $70 billion in assets under management: https://cointelegraph.com/news/blackrock-bitcoin-etf-fastest-70-billion-assets-under-management
  • Fees data indicating IBIT generated about $25 million more in fees than the next-closest ETF: https://cointelegraph.com/news/blackrock-s-most-profitable-etf-is-now-a-hair-away-from-100b
  • Yahoo Finance data showing IBIT NAV decline and related performance: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/IBIT/performance/
  • CoinShares weekly fund-flow data for the week ending Jan. 26: https://coinshares.com/us/insights/research-data/fund-flows-26-01-26/

Market reaction and key details

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) rallied into late 2023 and into the first half of 2024 on a wave of institutional interest and macro uncertainty. Yet the most recent weekend move renewed focus on how ETF instruments translate price action into tradable performance. The iShares Bitcoin Trust, IBIT, has been at the center of that discussion, acting as a barometer of how well regulated wrappers capture and reflect evolving investor sentiment toward digital assets. The first-quarter picture shows a divergence: while the technology and infrastructure around crypto custody and settlement have matured, investor appetite for risk assets through exchange-traded vehicles remains highly contingent on price momentum and macro cues.

The first major signal comes from the price action itself. BTC’s retreat into the mid-$70,000s has translated into a dampened NAV trajectory for IBIT, consistent with the broader Bitcoin sell-off. The fund’s dollar-weighted returns—an indicator that takes into account when money actually flows into or out of the vehicle—have moved into negative territory for the period, a development highlighted by investor-relations chatter and independent observations. The narrative is not purely about price; it’s about how inflows at higher price points can amplify drawdown when the market reverses, erasing a portion of the gains accrued since launch.

Historical context helps frame the current environment. IBIT’s early popularity was underscored by its outsized assets under management, leading the charge as the fastest BlackRock ETF to reach $70 billion in AUM. That milestone was documented alongside broader profitability metrics for BlackRock’s crypto lineup, including reports indicating the fund’s fence is generally higher on fee generation than its peers. Taken together, these data points reveal a strong initial reception that is now navigating a more cautious, price-driven reality. The latest asset- and performance metrics align with a broader pattern of crypto investment products facing retrenchment as prices pull back and investment prospects shift in response to evolving macro and regulatory signals.

From a market-structure perspective, the flow dynamics are telling. CoinShares data show that the week-to-date outflows from Bitcoin-focused funds were sizeable, contributing to a total weekly withdrawal tally across crypto funds that reached the largest post-November cadence. The explanation offered by the research firm points to a combination of diminished near-term rate-cut expectations, negative price momentum, and a sentiment shift away from assets that have not demonstrated robust participation in inflation-hedging narratives. While Bitcoin is still widely discussed as a potential store of value due to its capped supply, the immediate reaction in funds confirms that the path from narrative to real-world flows remains fragile, particularly in a U.S.-focused investor base that has shouldered much of the outflow weight.

Beyond the crypto-native discussion, the broader commodity regime provides another frame. Gold has continued its own bull run and reached record or near-record levels in recent weeks, illustrating a classic “risk-off vs. risk-on” dynamic where traditional safe-haven assets and digital assets pull in different directions depending on the macro mood. The ongoing debate around whether Bitcoin can qualify as a durable inflation hedge—versus a risk-on risk-off play within a diversified portfolio—continues to unfold in real-time as ETF inflows and investor expectations evolve. The current moment is a reminder that the crypto market remains susceptible to cyclical shifts in risk appetite, even as structural elements like fixed supply and improved infrastructure persist as long-term attractions.

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What to watch next

  • Next CoinShares fund-flow update to confirm whether the outflow trend accelerates, stabilizes, or reverses.
  • IBIT NAV and AUM movements as Bitcoin prices test next resistance levels near the $70k mark.
  • Regulatory and policy developments that could influence the appetite for crypto ETFs, particularly in the U.S.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Tether Pulls Back on $20B Fundraising Plans After Investor Pushback (Report)

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Tether Pulls Back on $20B Fundraising Plans After Investor Pushback (Report)


Tether has scaled back fundraising talks to about $5B after investors pushed back on a proposed $500B valuation.

Tether has reportedly scaled back its planned multibillion-dollar fundraising target after facing resistance from investors.

According to a report from the Financial Times on February 4, advisers for the stablecoin issuer are now examining the possibility of raising at least $5 billion, down from the $15 billion to $20 billion figure circulated during early talks in 2025.

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Lower Target Follows Valuation Concerns

The original range, first reported by Bloomberg in September 2025, was linked to a valuation of roughly $500 billion, placing Tether among the world’s most valuable private companies. However, the number has reportedly proven difficult to justify for several prospective investors.

In comments cited by the FT, Paolo Ardoino, Tether’s chief executive, said the higher figure was never a firm target. According to the executive, the amount discussed was only the maximum the company would consider selling. “If we were selling zero, we would be very happy as well,” Ardoino said, noting that the firm is profitable and does not urgently need external capital.

Tether is the issuer of USDT, the world’s largest dollar-pegged stablecoin, with about $185 billion in circulation. The company has generated strong earnings from returns on reserves backing USDT, mainly U.S. Treasuries. Ardoino said Tether made around $10 billion in profit last year, a figure that has featured prominently in valuation discussions.

Despite that profitability, some investors have taken a cautious stance, with the FT reporting that concerns centered on how the $500 billion valuation was calculated and whether it reflects realistic growth expectations in the current market environment.

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Nonetheless, fundraising talks are still in the early stages, and no decision has been made on the size or timing of any raise.

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Profitability, Reserves, and Lingering Skepticism

Tether’s capital plans have come against a backdrop of mixed sentiment around the stablecoin issuer. The firm has expanded beyond cash-like reserves in recent years, building large positions in Bitcoin and gold. Earlier in the year, Ardoino confirmed that the company bought about $779 million worth of Bitcoin in the fourth quarter of 2025, lifting its holdings to more than 96,000 BTC.

At the same time, scrutiny around transparency has not faded, especially considering that S&P Global Ratings assigned USDT its lowest score on the agency’s stablecoin stability scale in November 2025, citing gaps in disclosure and a higher share of assets such as Bitcoin, gold, and secured loans. Ardoino publicly criticized the rating, arguing that traditional frameworks fail to capture Tether’s business model.

The reduced fundraising target suggests Tether is adjusting to market feedback rather than pressing ahead with an aggressive valuation. Whether the company proceeds with a smaller raise or pauses altogether will likely depend on investor appetite and broader conditions in crypto markets over the coming months.

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Crypto’s Point of No Return: Institutions are Finally Here, with Brett Tejpaul

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Crypto’s Point of No Return: Institutions are Finally Here, with Brett Tejpaul


In this episode, Brett Tejpaul, head of Coinbase Institutional, sits down with Camila Russo to explain why institutional adoption accelerated last year.

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IREN favors AI cloud in high-stakes break from Bitcoin roots

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IREN favors AI cloud in high-stakes break from Bitcoin roots

IREN Ltd., once known for mining Bitcoin, is undergoing a dramatic reinvention as an AI infrastructure provider—a transformation that will face a critical test when the company reports second-quarter earnings on Thursday.

Summary

  • IREN has pivoted from Bitcoin mining to AI cloud infrastructure, repurposing its energy sites into data centers and securing a $9.7 billion partnership with Microsoft to support next-generation compute.
  • Shares have sold off sharply ahead of Q2 earnings as investors focus on dilution risk.
  • The upcoming earnings report has investors concerned over whether funding roughly 140,000 GPUs by year-end could require equity issuance.

Formerly Iris Energy, IREN has shifted away from crypto mining and into what it calls a “Neocloud” model, repurposing its stranded-energy Bitcoin sites into large-scale data centers designed to support artificial intelligence workloads.

A $9.7 billion partnership with Microsoft helped position IREN as a potential player in the race to supply next-generation compute capacity.

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The ambition has not come cheap

Ahead of earnings, IREN shares have tumbled, falling nearly 19% intraday on Wednesday and down about 28% over the past five days, as investors worry that funding the company’s GPU-heavy cloud expansion could require dilutive equity issuance.

After a 314% rally over the past year, the pullback underscores growing skepticism about whether IREN can scale its AI cloud business without eroding shareholder value.

The upcoming earnings report represents a clear break from the company’s Bitcoin mining past, shifting attention to cloud execution, financing discipline, and competition with established players like Amazon and Oracle—making it a critical test of the company’s pivot.

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IREN isn’t alone

Other companies have attempted comparable transformations—some successfully, others less so:

  • Core Scientific – Transitioned from pure Bitcoin mining to offering high-performance computing and AI colocation services after emerging from bankruptcy, leveraging existing infrastructure to attract AI customers.
  • Hut 8 – Expanded beyond crypto mining into HPC and data center services, pitching its energy assets as ideal for AI workloads.
  • Northern Data – Repositioned itself as a European AI and cloud infrastructure provider, shifting investor focus from Bitcoin exposure to GPU-based compute capacity.
  • Nvidia (earlier era) – While not a crypto miner, Nvidia successfully pivoted from gaming-focused GPUs to becoming the backbone of AI compute, showing how infrastructure players can redefine their identity through demand shifts.
  • IBM – Moved from legacy hardware to cloud and AI services over the past decade, using partnerships and hybrid infrastructure to reinvent its growth narrative.

IREN now joins this list at a moment when AI infrastructure demand is booming—but capital markets patience is thinning. Whether it becomes a case study in smart reinvention or costly overreach may hinge on what it delivers this earnings season.

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$2.9B Bitcoin ETF Outflow, Bearish Futures Data Project More BTC Downside

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$2.9B Bitcoin ETF Outflow, Bearish Futures Data Project More BTC Downside

Key takeaways:

  • Heavy outflows from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds and massive liquidations show that the market is purging highly leveraged buyers.

  • Bitcoin options metrics reveal that pro traders are hedging for further price drops amid a tech stock sell-off.

Bitcoin (BTC) slid below $73,000 on Wednesday after briefly retesting the $79,500 level on Tuesday. This downturn mirrored a decline in the tech-heavy Nasdaq Index, driven by a weak sales outlook from chipmaker AMD (AMD US) and disappointing United States employment data. 

Traders now fear further Bitcoin price pressure as spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded over $2.9 billion in outflows across twelve trading days.

Bitcoin spot ETFs daily net flows, USD. Source: CoinGlass

The average $243 million daily net outflow from the US-listed Bitcoin ETFs since Jan. 16 nearly coincides with Bitcoin’s rejection at $98,000 on Jan. 14. The subsequent 26% correction over three weeks triggered $3.25 billion in liquidations for leveraged long BTC futures. Unless buyers deposited additional margin, any leverage exceeding 4x has already been wiped out.

Some market participants blamed the recent crash on the lingering aftermath of the $19 billion liquidation on Oct. 10, 2025. That incident was reportedly triggered by a performance glitch in database queries at Binance exchange, resulting in delayed transfers and incorrect data feeds. The exchange admitted fault and disbursed over $283 million in compensation to affected users.

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According to Haseeb Qureshi, managing partner at Dragonfly, huge liquidations at Binance “could not get filled, but liquidation engines keep firing regardless. This caused market makers to get wiped out, and they were unable to pick up the pieces.” Qureshi added that the October 2025 crash did not permanently “break the market,” but noted that market makers “will need time to recover.”

Source: X/hosseeb

The analysis suggests that cryptocurrency exchanges’ liquidation mechanisms “are not designed to be self-stabilizing the way that TradFi mechanisms are (circuit breakers, etc.)” and instead focus solely on minimizing insolvency risks. Qureshi notes that cryptocurrencies are a “long series” of “bad things” happening, but historically, the market eventually recovers.

BTC options skew signals traders doubt $72,100 bottom

To determine if professional traders flipped bearish after the crash, one should assess BTC options markets. During periods of stress, demand for put (sell) instruments surges, pushing the delta skew metric above the 6% neutral threshold. Excess demand for downside protection typically signals a lack of confidence from bulls.

BTC 30-day options 25% delta skew (put-call) at Deribit. Source: laevitas.ch

The BTC options delta skew reached 13% on Wednesday, a clear indication that professional traders are not convinced Bitcoin’s price has found a bottom at $72,100. This skepticism stems partly from fears that the tech sector could suffer from increased competition as Google (GOOG US) and AMD roll out proprietary artificial intelligence chips.

Related: Bitcoin open interest falls by $55B in 30 days–What’s next for BTC price?

Another source of discomfort for Bitcoin holders involves two unrelated and unfounded rumors. First, a $9 billion Bitcoin sale by a Galaxy Digital customer in 2025 was previously attributed to quantum computing risks. However, Alex Thorn, Galaxy’s head of research, denied those rumors in an X post on Tuesday.

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The second speculation involves Binance’s solvency, which gained traction after the exchange faced technical issues that temporarily halted withdrawals on Tuesday. Current onchain metrics suggest that Bitcoin deposits at Binance remain relatively stable.

Given the current uncertainty in macroeconomic trends, many traders have opted to exit cryptocurrency markets. This shift makes it difficult to predict whether Bitcoin spot ETF outflows will continue to apply downward pressure on the price.