Japanese financial conglomerate SBI Holdings plans to acquire a stake in Bitbank, one of the country’s largest crypto exchanges.

The Tokyo-based broker submitted a letter of intent to Bitbank Co., Ltd. regarding the purchase of the exchange’s shares with the goal of turning it into a consolidated subsidiary, according to an announcement on Friday.

SBI frames the Bitbank move as part of its broader strategy to expand its crypto footprint and strengthen its position ahead of potential regulatory changes in Japan.

Japan’s cabinet approved a draft amendment last month that would classify cryptocurrencies as financial products, bringing crypto assets under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act, which is used for stocks and other securities. If passed during the current parliament session, the law could take effect as early as fiscal 2027.

SBI already absorbed Bitpoint, a regulated Japanese crypto exchange that offers spot trading and has offered an onchain bond from which investors can receive rewards in XRP.

The move is also part of SBI’s broader regional expansion push, having disclosed plans to acquire a majority stake in Singapore-based Coinhako, a MAS-regulated digital asset platform in February.

SBI has also commenced a Visa partnership to launch credit cards that automatically convert spending rewards into crypto (BTC, ETH, or XRP), enabling users to accumulate digital assets through everyday purchases, according to a separate announcement on Friday.

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Bitcoin climbed to $77,400, turning higher with other risk assets after earnings reports from the largest U.S. tech companies helped steady markets.

The gains came after Apple (AAPL) joined peers with an earnings report that improved sentiment across the industry. The companies, which include Google parent Alphabet (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Meta (META) and Amazon (AMZN), all reported double-digit revenue growth earlier this week.

The earnings reports helped risk assets rise as renewed confidence in the AI growth story pulled investors back into equities and crypto, though the bounce so far reflects relief buying rather than conviction that a new rally has begun.

In a note shared with CoinDesk, crypto exchange Mercado Bitcoin said the market is dealing with “short-term pressure with still-mixed structural factors,” including reduced rate-cut hopes, ETF outflows and higher geopolitical risk.

Crypto prices held this week even as oil surged and spot bitcoin ETFs saw more than $400 million of outflows as April came to a close.

Oil remains a key factor. Higher crude prices from the Iran conflict and disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could feed inflation, making central banks less willing to cut interest rates. That can weigh on crypto and other risk assets by making cash and bonds more attractive.

The Federal Reserve kept rates at 3.50% to 3.75% this week, though the four dissenting voices are the most since 1992. Mercado Bitcoin said the decision and the absence of clear rate-cut signals led markets to reprice policy expectations.

“In the short term, the market should remain volatile and highly reactive to economic data,” the company’s head of research, Rony Szuster, said. “In the medium term, the structure remains dependent on the stabilization of institutional flows and the path of global monetary policy.”

Jerome Powell’s chairmanship at the Fed ends on May 15, and Kevin Warsh is expected to chair the June FOMC meeting,which could induce volatility given Warsh’s favor for tightening monetary policy.

The key test remains at $80,000. A break could draw new buyers, while a failed move may trigger selling if leveraged longs unwind. Stay alert!

Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today. For a comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead.”

What’s trending

Today’s signal

The weekly plot of the bitcoin price is testing rejection at the $80,000 resistance zone, with RSI showing early signs of a bullish divergence — the price printed a lower low while the RSI held higher — though unconfirmed on a weekly close.

A failure to break above keeps the price range-bound between the 200-day exponential moving average of about $68,000 and that level.

SBI Holdings has moved to expand its crypto presence by opening talks with Bitbank on a possible share acquisition. The planned deal could bring Bitbank under SBI as a consolidated subsidiary, strengthening its exchange network in Japan.

While key terms remain undecided, the discussions come soon after SBI’s Bitpoint merger, signaling faster consolidation in the country’s digital asset market as firms prepare for regulatory changes.

Move Follows SBI’s Bitpoint Merger

The talks come soon after another SBI crypto move. In April 2026, SBI VC Trade absorbed Bitpoint Japan through a merger.

That deal added another exchange business to SBI’s crypto operations. The Bitbank talks now show further expansion in the same market.

Japan’s crypto sector is also moving through a period of change. Regulators are discussing how crypto assets should be handled under financial market rules.

SBI’s latest step comes as large firms prepare for tighter oversight. It may also help the group combine exchange services under one structure.

If the deal is completed, SBI would control several major crypto platforms. That would increase its presence in Japan’s digital asset market.

Bitbank’s IPO Path Remains in Focus

Bitbank had earlier prepared for a Tokyo Stock Exchange listing. Reports said the company aimed to list by mid-2025.

The company also raised about 7 billion yen in 2021. That funding came through a capital and business alliance with Mixi.

Mixi became a major shareholder with a 26.2% stake. The investment helped Bitbank build an independent growth plan.

The new SBI talks may affect Bitbank’s listing path. Investors will watch how the share talks develop from here.

Bitbank has also promoted its security record since its founding. The company has said it has had zero hacking incidents.

Its stated vision is “realizing an open and fair society.” SBI may see that record as useful for wider financial services.

JPX is moving closer to a possible crypto ETF launch in Japan, with 2027 seen as the earliest target. CEO Hiromi Yamaji said preparations can begin once legal reforms and tax rules become clear.

The move comes as Japan reviews how crypto assets are classified and taxed, while asset managers show growing interest in regulated crypto investment products.

Jpx Waits for Legal Clarity Before Etf Launch

Japan Exchange Group may move ahead with crypto ETFs once the legal process is complete. The company operates Japan’s main securities markets. So, its role could shape future crypto investment products.

Yamaji told Bloomberg that JPX is ready to prepare when laws and taxes are clear. He said, ‘If the legal framework is in place and tax treatment is clear, it can be done anytime.’

The earliest listing could happen in 2027. However, the timing may shift to 2028 if law changes take longer.

Japan has not yet approved spot crypto ETFs in the same way as some other markets. For that reason, market operators are waiting for clear rules before listing such products.

Japan Reviews Crypto Tax Treatment

Japan is also reviewing how crypto gains should be taxed. Current rules treat many crypto gains as miscellaneous income. That can lead to tax rates as high as 55%.

A new tax proposal may place some crypto assets under financial product rules. If passed, certain gains could face a flat 20% tax rate. This would be closer to the system used for stocks.

The proposal may also allow losses to be carried forward for up to three years. That rule already applies to some financial products in Japan. It could help investors manage losses from market swings.

However, the plan may not cover every crypto activity. Staking, lending rewards, and NFTs may still need separate treatment. Final details will depend on future legislation.

Asset Managers Show Interest in Crypto ETFs

Yamaji said many asset managers have shown interest in crypto ETFs. These funds could give investors exposure to crypto through regulated markets. They may also offer a familiar structure for retail and institutional buyers.

Japan’s Financial Services Agency has supported wider debate on crypto reclassification. The move could bring crypto closer to traditional financial products. It may also support rules on market abuse and investor protection.

Still, the process remains unfinished. Lawmakers must decide how crypto assets should be defined and taxed. Regulators must also decide which assets can qualify for ETF products.

JPX is now watching the pace of reform. A 2027 launch remains possible, but the schedule depends on final rules. The next stage will decide how Japan opens its listed market to crypto ETFs.

Brazil’s central bank, Banco Central do Brasil (BCB), has barred the use of virtual assets in certain regulated international payment and transfer services, tightening rules for cross-border payment providers operating under the country’s eFX framework.

On Thursday, BCB published Resolution BCB No. 561, amending existing rules for eFX, a regulated category covering international payments and transfers. The resolution states that payments or receipts between an eFX provider and its foreign counterparty must be carried out exclusively through a foreign exchange transaction or movement in a non-resident Brazilian real account, with the use of virtual assets prohibited.

The restriction also applies under transitional rules for eFX providers that are not yet listed among approved provider categories. Those firms may continue providing eFX only if they apply for authorization from the central bank by May 31, 2027, but their payments and receipts must still use foreign exchange transactions or non-resident real accounts, not virtual assets. 

The rule does not amount to a blanket ban on crypto transfers in Brazil. Instead, it closes off the use of crypto and stablecoins inside the regulated eFX channel, reinforcing the central bank’s effort to keep cross-border payment flows within supervised foreign exchange rails.

English translated excerpt of the BCB Resolution No. 561. Source: BCB 

Brazil tightens oversight of crypto-linked cross-border flows

Brazil has been moving to fold virtual assets into its financial and foreign exchange rulebook as stablecoins become a larger part of the country’s crypto activity. 

In November 2025, the central bank detailed new rules for virtual asset service providers, including authorization requirements and rules for services involving virtual assets in the foreign-exchange market.

The central bank’s push follows concern over the use of stablecoins for payments and cross-border transfers. In February, Reuters reported that BCB Governor Gabriel Galipolo said that crypto use had surged in the country over the previous two to three years, with about 90% of flows linked to stablecoins. He said that raised concerns around taxation, money laundering and asset backing.

Related: Spain emerges as leading EURC retail market in Europe, Brighty data shows

The eFX rule comes as Brazil’s central bank has also signaled concern over stablecoins issued by companies outside its regulatory perimeter. In a technical note sent to Congress and seen by Cointelegraph Brasil, the central bank said stablecoins issued by entities not subject to BCB supervision could face a ban or strict conditions in the domestic market.

The document said real-denominated stablecoins issued outside BCB supervision may pose risks to regulatory equality and monetary sovereignty, while foreign-currency stablecoins raise concerns around jurisdiction, capital flows and fragmentation of the payments system. 

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TLDR

• Japan Exchange Group aims for 2027 cryptocurrency ETF debut contingent on regulatory completion
• FIEA reform positions digital assets as financial instruments enabling ETF framework
• Growing institutional appetite drives expansion of crypto ETF product lineup
• Bitcoin ETF products attract capital while Ethereum offerings face redemptions
• Japan Exchange Group mirrors worldwide institutional adoption patterns

Japan Exchange Group is pushing forward with cryptocurrency ETF development plans, establishing 2027 as its deployment target while regulatory transformations continue. This effort signals rising institutional appetite for compliant digital asset investment vehicles throughout Japan. Simultaneously, policymakers are refining taxation structures and legal parameters necessary for domestic exchange crypto ETF listings.

Legal Framework Development Influences Crypto ETF Schedule

Japan Exchange Group is synchronizing its cryptocurrency ETF blueprint with emerging legal and taxation policy changes. The bourse operator intends to roll out crypto ETF offerings following complete regulatory framework establishment. Nonetheless, launch schedules remain adaptable based on legislative processes and governmental policy modifications.

The Financial Instruments and Exchange Act currently classifies digital currencies as regulated financial instruments. This regulatory evolution establishes the foundational legal infrastructure necessary for cryptocurrency ETF deployment in Japan. As such, oversight bodies can now incorporate crypto ETF mechanisms into established securities regulatory systems.

Taxation frameworks represent another pivotal element affecting cryptocurrency ETF authorization schedules. Government officials are continuously evaluating appropriate tax treatment for crypto ETF investment returns among domestic market participants. Accordingly, conclusive taxation policy determinations will significantly impact cryptocurrency ETF market availability timing.

Strategic Vision Propels Crypto ETF Portfolio Growth

Japan Exchange Group has embedded cryptocurrency ETF innovation into its mid-range strategic roadmap. This blueprint emphasizes portfolio diversification extending past conventional stock listings and futures contracts. Consequently, the exchange seeks to reinforce its competitive standing across international capital markets.

Investment management firms have already demonstrated considerable enthusiasm for introducing crypto ETF investment vehicles. Such enthusiasm underscores escalating institutional requirements for regulated digital currency market access. The bourse has established operational capabilities supporting crypto ETF onboarding following regulatory green lights.

The cryptocurrency ETF initiative additionally complements objectives for income stream diversification. Japan Exchange Group persistently develops emerging investment categories to sustain market competitiveness. Introducing crypto ETF instruments may boost investor engagement and transaction activity levels.

International Patterns Reinforce Crypto ETF Development

Worldwide cryptocurrency ETF investment flows demonstrate varied yet substantial participation throughout principal financial centers. Bitcoin-focused investment products lately attracted fresh capital, demonstrating revitalized investor confidence in crypto ETF vehicles. Ethereum-associated funds encountered persistent withdrawals, revealing divergent market attitudes.

Such international dynamics inform Japan’s cryptocurrency ETF preparation initiatives. Regulatory authorities seek to introduce crypto ETF products within secure and supervised market conditions. Japan’s methodology represents equilibrium between financial innovation encouragement and system-wide stability preservation.

Institutional participation momentum persistently fuels crypto ETF expansion across global markets. Japan Exchange Group aims to capitalize on this movement through local cryptocurrency ETF offerings. Should regulatory modernization advance according to projections, inaugural crypto ETF products may arrive by 2027.

Ethereum traded at $2,280.47 at press time, with 24-hour volume at $10.18 billion, according to crypto.news data. 

ETH gained 0.75% in the past day but remained down 1.56% over the last seven days. Its market cap stood at $275.23 billion, based on a circulating supply of 120 million ETH. 

The price action comes as analysts track opposing signals from exchange supply and derivatives data.

Exchange supply ratio signals dip risk

CryptoQuant analyst PelinayPA said Ethereum may still face downside risk. The analyst pointed to a sharp fall in the exchange supply ratio.

In past cycles, a falling ratio often appeared near price bottoms. Lower exchange supply can mean reduced selling pressure, but the analyst said the current setup shows a gap.

PelinayPA said the ratio has dropped to low levels, but ETH has not formed a matching price bottom. The analyst said this could mean the market has not fully priced in the supply move.

The analyst added that “a delayed downward move” remains possible. The view suggests ETH may still need to close the gap between price and exchange supply behavior.

Negative funding raises squeeze debate

Another CryptoQuant analyst, Darkfost, gave a different view. The analyst said Ethereum’s short-side positioning has become crowded.

According to the analysis, Binance funding rates have stayed negative for an extended period. Darkfost compared the duration of negative funding to levels last seen during the FTX collapse period in November 2022.

The analyst said Ethereum has recovered more than 30% from its February 6 low. Still, many traders continue to hold short positions despite the rebound.

Darkfost said the monthly average Binance funding rate stands at -0.0018. This points to strong demand for downside bets among traders.

Short liquidations may support recovery

Darkfost said rising short liquidations show that some bearish traders are already under pressure. If ETH keeps moving higher, more short positions may close.

Forced short closures can add buying pressure in the market. This can support price recovery when many traders hold the same bearish position.

However, this setup does not remove downside risk. Ethereum still faces a mixed market structure, with spot supply data warning of a possible dip.

The current Ethereum outlook remains divided. One on-chain signal points to a possible delayed move lower, while derivatives data shows the risk of a short squeeze.