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Bitcoin Surges 3% as Gold Divergence Signals Major Upside

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) traded toward the $66,000 level as US equities regained ground, signaling renewed risk appetite after a softer spell for crypto markets. The move followed a broad market rally led by technology and AI names, with the Nasdaq posting modest gains and the S&P 500 edging higher. Observers said the resilience reflects a combination of regained liquidity, regulated access via spot BTC ETFs, and a return of domestic buyers. Data points include Tuesday’s net inflows of roughly $258 million into spot BTC funds and a positive swing in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index, a sign that US demand is re-emerging after weeks of caution. Longer-term narratives around BTC’s role as a hedge and its place within diversified portfolios continue to persist even as near-term price moves respond to liquidity shifts.

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin climbed toward the $66,000 mark as US stock markets recovered, signaling renewed demand for BTC alongside broad market strength.
  • The Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index flipped to positive territory, aligning with notable ETF inflows into spot BTC products.
  • BTC’s correlation with stocks and gold has weakened to levels not seen since 2022, though analysts expect reversion during risk-on cycles.
  • Crypto-linked equities rose modestly, with Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) and MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) posting gains as liquidity returned.
  • On-chain and liquidity narratives point to BTC remaining a long-run inflation hedge and collateral narrative, even as near-term flows swing with risk appetite.

Tickers mentioned: $BTC, $COIN, $MSTR

Sentiment: Bullish

Price impact: Positive. The combination of BTC’s price uptick, ETF inflows and renewed US demand supports a constructive near-term bias.

Trading idea (Not Financial Advice): Hold. With market liquidity improving but macro risks still present, maintain balanced exposure and avoid aggressive positioning on a single catalyst.

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Market context: The latest move ties BTC to broader market liquidity and risk sentiment, with renewed appetite for regulated access to crypto exposure through ETFs and a visible return of US buyers. The dynamic comes as traders reassess macro risk, liquidity conditions and the evolving landscape for crypto products in traditional financial channels.

Why it matters

The recent price action underscores a maturation in the crypto market’s relationship with traditional asset classes. After a period of decoupling or weaker cross-asset correlations, BTC has shown episodes of co-movement with equities when liquidity and risk appetite rise, while still maintaining a distinct narrative as a potential inflation hedge and a form of collateral. The inflows into spot BTC ETFs and the renewed US demand flagged by the Coinbase Premium Index together suggest that investors are seeking regulated, transparent routes to gain exposure to Bitcoin’s upside while managing counterparty risk.

Analysts framing the longer-term picture argue that the current dislocation between stocks, gold and BTC could revert to historical patterns during moments of liquidity expansion. Santiment recently highlighted that when BTC diverges significantly from stocks and gold, the longer-term bias tends to tilt toward upside for Bitcoin and altcoins once liquidity returns. While such reversion is not guaranteed, the historical tendency is to see BTC catch up with equities during growth phases, a view echoed by market observers who see liquidity as the primary driver of BTC’s near-term trajectory.

Additionally, industry voices emphasize that the present dynamics are less about Bitcoin’s price alone and more about market structure and availability of capital for crypto exposure. Darius Sit, founder and CIO of QCP Capital, has argued that the BTC-versus-gold narrative can obscure the true driver: liquidity. He notes that Bitcoin’s longer-term narrative as a hedge persists even as near-term price action can be influenced by hedging costs, leverage unwinds and shifts in risk tolerance. In this light, BTC’s resilience and the appetite for regulated access could reinforce its status as a mature asset class for institutional and strategic investors alike.

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For investors tracking adoption, the trend remains one of broad institutional participation. Bitcoin’s maturation—spurred by greater adoption among financial institutions, banks, merchants and even some public-sector actors—continues to support a structural case for BTC beyond speculative trading. Cointelegraph has documented how adoption expanded in 2025, reinforcing the narrative of Bitcoin as a credible, long-term asset rather than a purely cyclical play. This backdrop helps explain why even as prices fluctuate, structural demand remains a persistent force behind BTC’s trajectory.

The near-term implications hinge on continued liquidity and the durability of US demand. If ETF inflows persist and the Coinbase Premium Index sustains its positive tilt, BTC could consolidate above key levels and test new resistance zones as market participants reassess risk. Conversely, any rolling back of liquidity or a shift back toward risk-off posture could curtail the immediate upside. Still, the framework described by market observers points to a scenario where BTC’s trajectory is increasingly tethered to market-wide liquidity dynamics rather than isolated crypto-specific catalysts.

“Historically, when an asset that is usually correlated breaks away in this dramatic fashion, it typically does not stay disconnected forever. In the long term, this unusual separation actually argues for significant upside for Bitcoin and altcoins.”

The ongoing discussion around BTC’s price discovery and its role within asset allocations remains central for traders and institutions alike. As adoption accelerates and regulated access grows, the market is likely to price in both the structural case for Bitcoin as a reserve-like asset and the cyclical demand tied to macro liquidity conditions. In this environment, a decisive shift in risk appetite or regulatory clarity could tilt BTC back toward a more pronounced correlation with risk-on cycles, potentially delivering meaningful upside if fundamentals align with liquidity conditions.

What to watch next

  • Continued ETF inflows into spot BTC products—monitor next week’s data for signs of sustained demand.
  • BTC trading near the $66k level and testing for persistence above the level as liquidity conditions evolve.
  • Updates to the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index and other on-chain indicators for signs of durable US buying interest.
  • Liquidity dynamics and leverage flows in risk assets that could influence BTC’s near-term trajectory.
  • Regulatory or product-launch developments that could improve or constrain access to BTC exposure via regulated vehicles.

Sources & verification

  • ETF inflows: Spot Bitcoin ETFs drew about $258 million in net inflows on Tuesday. (Source material references a Cointelegraph report on ETFs.)
  • Coinbase Premium Index: Data showing the index turning positive, indicating renewed US demand. (Source: CoinGlass data referenced in the original article.)
  • Correlation and on-chain analysis: Santiment’s notes on BTC’s correlation with stocks and gold. (Source: Santiment’s posts cited in the article.)
  • Liquidity and market structure comments: Darius Sit of QCP Capital discussing liquidity as a primary driver for BTC movement. (Source: QCP Capital insights.)
  • Adoption narrative: BTC adoption growth among institutions and broad market participants. (Source: Cointelegraph’s reporting on Bitcoin adoption.)

Bitcoin price action and institutional demand: toward 66k, ETF inflows revive risk appetite

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) moved back toward the $66,000 threshold as a renewed bid for risk assets underpinned the move, aligning BTC with the day’s broader market strength in U.S. equities. The rally followed a period of softness earlier in the week and came as investors rotated into higher-yielding assets and defensive hedges alike, suggesting a cautious but constructive stance among market participants. The move above $66k is notable given the backdrop of mixed macro signals and ongoing debates about liquidity, making BTC a focal point for traders watching how crypto assets interact with traditional markets.

Institutional demand appeared to re-emerge, with spot BTC exchange-traded products and related vehicles drawing renewed attention. Reports indicated around $258 million in net inflows flowed into spot BTC ETFs on Tuesday, signaling that regulated pathways for price exposure are gaining traction again as investors seek transparent access to Bitcoin’s upside potential. The inflows also support a broader comeback in regulated crypto products that had faced headwinds in the prior quarters.

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Meanwhile, the Coinbase Premium Index, a gauge of price gaps between major exchanges, shifted into positive territory for the first time since Jan. 15, implying that buyers in the United States were returning to the market. Market observers cautioned that the premium’s durability matters; a sustained positive reading would indicate ongoing demand, whereas a quick reversal could signal exhaustion and prompt a retreat. The index’s turn to positive aligns with the broader risk-on posture and with spot-btc inflows, but it does not guarantee a sustained rally on its own.

In equities, tech-focused names continued to lead, with the Nasdaq rising around 1% on the day and the S&P 500 gaining roughly 0.7%. The general market bid helped ease risk-off pressure on crypto, enabling BTC to recover some of the losses incurred during prior sessions. Crypto-related equities also benefited, with Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) edging higher and MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) posting modest gains as investors recalibrated exposure to the broader technology and financial services ecosystem. The cross-asset bid reinforced the view that liquidity and risk appetite largely drive BTC’s near-term trajectory rather than a pure crypto-specific dynamic.

From a broader perspective, BTC’s recent decoupling from the stock and gold markets has drawn attention from researchers and traders. Data from on-chain analytics provider Santiment shows the daily correlation between BTC and the S&P 500 slipping toward its weakest levels since the FTX era’s upheavals, while correlation with gold has also cooled. The firm’s analysts observed that when such a dramatic separation occurs, the longer-term bias tends to tilt toward upside for Bitcoin and altcoins once liquidity returns. In practical terms, this could mean more upside for BTC if liquidity conditions permit, even if macro headwinds persist in the near term. Cointelegraph has documented Bitcoin adoption as a booming trend, reinforcing the narrative of a maturing asset class with broader institutional resonance.

The ongoing discussion around BTC’s price discovery and its role within asset allocations remains central for traders and institutions alike. As adoption accelerates and regulated access grows, the market is likely to price in both the structural case for Bitcoin as a reserve-like asset and the cyclical demand tied to macro liquidity conditions. In this environment, a decisive shift in risk appetite or regulatory clarity could tilt BTC back toward a more pronounced correlation with risk-on cycles, potentially delivering meaningful upside if fundamentals align with liquidity conditions.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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‘Gensler and Biden were just better for crypto,’ says Tally CEO as DAO governance platform shuts down

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'Gensler and Biden were just better for crypto,' says Tally CEO as DAO governance platform shuts down

The CEO of crypto’s largest Decentralized Autonomous Organization (DAO) governance platform says the Biden administration was better for his industry than its successor — and is shutting down his company to prove the point.

Tally, which powered on-chain governance for Arbitrum, Uniswap, ENS, and more than 500 other DAOs, will wind down operations after six years, CEO Dennison Bertram announced today in a blog post.

Crypto protocols are governed not by executives or boards, but by decentralized autonomous organizations, or DAOs, where token holders vote on everything from fee structures to software upgrades.

In practice, participation is often low and decision-making slow, leaving a small group of active voters to steer billion-dollar systems. Tally built the infrastructure that made crypto democracy possible, providing the voting rails, delegation tools, and dashboards used by major DAOs like Uniswap and Arbitrum to run their governance processes.

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In an interview with CoinDesk, Bertram said the twin forces that sustained demand for governance tooling — regulatory threat and a growing ecosystem of decentralized applications — have both disappeared.

Across Protocol recently proposed dissolving its DAO entirely and converting into a U.S. C-corp, arguing the token structure was actively impeding institutional partnerships. Its ACX token surged 80% on the news.

Last year, Solana-based exchange Jupiter and NFT conglomerate Yuga Labs both abandoned their DAO structures, with Yuga CEO Greg Solano calling his project’s governance “sluggish, noisy and often unserious governance theater.

“There’s a natural tension between building a collaborative, decentralized system and then founding it upon crypto economics,” Bertram said. “The crypto economics implies we can find some sort of stasis because everyone is going to pursue their own personal best interest, which is kind of a zero-sum, profit-maximizing mentality.

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Gensler forced decentralization. His absence is undoing it

Under the SEC’s Gary Gensler-era interpretation of securities law, a token risked being classified as a security if a clearly identifiable group was making managerial decisions that drove its value, one of the key prongs of the Howey Test.

The industry’s response was to push decision-making outward through DAOs, distributing control across thousands of wallets so no single entity could be said to run the network. Governance systems and tools like Tally weren’t just features — they were part of a legal strategy.

Bertram sees this as the end of his company: if teams no longer believe they will be penalized for operating like traditional companies, decentralization stops being a requirement and becomes optional, many teams choose not to pay for it.

“The [Trump] administration is loudly signaling that you’re not in trouble, go forth and do what you wish,” Bertrain said. “That gives an enormous amount of leeway for existing organizations. It’s not actually clear if you need decentralization, or what decentralization looks like.”

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The garden isn’t infinite

The regulatory shift alone didn’t kill Tally. The company’s business model was built on a second bet: that the Ethereum ecosystem would produce a vast, infinite garden of protocols and applications, each needing governance infrastructure.

“For Tally and organizations like Tally to exist, it’s not enough to have a Uniswap, an Aave, one or two L2s, and that’s it,” Bertram said. “That’s a very different kind of enterprise consultancy business.”

That infinite garden thesis was central to Tally’s $8 million fundraise last year.

“A big part of our thesis in our last round was, look, there are going to be thousands of L2s, which was an idea that no one pushed back on,” he said. “There are not, in the near term, thousands of L2s. And there may never be.”

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Instead, the industry consolidated around a handful of dominant protocols.

Crypto found product-market fit in payments and speculation like prediction markets, Bertram said, but the rich consumer application layer that would have sustained a governance infrastructure business never developed.

“There isn’t a venture-backed business in governance tooling for decentralized protocols,” he wrote in a blog post announcing the shutdown. “At least not yet.”

Retail doesn’t care about crypto

Beyond the governance crisis, Bertram sees a more existential problem for the industry.

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“AI has really become the new narrative of the future, and its narrative is actually much larger and much more encompassing than crypto,” he said. “What that does is it sucks away the best and the brightest. The most exciting opportunity is not here, so we don’t get the most exciting founders, we don’t get the most exciting builders.”

Bertram said he still believes in the industry but no longer buys the argument that it is early.

“People always say, it’s still early,” he said. “I’ve been in this since 2011. I don’t know. It doesn’t feel early.”

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Vietnam eyeing ban on overseas crypto trading: report

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Vietnam eyeing ban on overseas crypto trading: report

Vietnam is reportedly looking to tighten restrictions on overseas cryptocurrency trading as authorities move to bring more activity under domestic oversight.

Summary

  • Vietnam is preparing rules to restrict overseas crypto trading, with authorities aiming to curb capital outflows and tighten oversight of digital asset activity.
  • Five firms, including affiliates of Techcombank, VPBank, and LPBank, have cleared an initial round to participate in the country’s pilot licensing program for domestic crypto exchanges.

According to a Reuters report, Vietnam’s finance ministry is drafting rules that would prevent local residents from trading on foreign crypto platforms, in a bid to curb capital outflows and improve regulatory control.

Vietnam currently maintains strict restrictions on cross-border capital flows, even though it does not explicitly ban owning cryptocurrencies or trading them. However, digital assets are not recognized as money or a legal means of payment under existing laws.

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As such, locals are often known to rely on overseas centralized exchanges such as Binance, OKX, and Bybit, the report said.

Vietnam is among the most active crypto markets globally and ranks as the fourth-largest market in the Global Crypto Adoption Index compiled by Chainalysis.

Regulators are concerned that the growing use of cryptocurrencies and stablecoins could lead to uncontrolled capital outflows, particularly in a market where domestic investment channels remain limited.

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Local crypto exchanges seek licenses

Last month, crypto.news reported that Vietnam had begun a pilot licensing program for cryptocurrency exchanges, with oversight to be handled by the State Securities Commission.

Authorities plan to establish a regulated framework for locally operated exchanges that will allow approved firms to run compliant trading platforms within the country.

According to a Finance Ministry document dated March 12, cited in the report, five companies have passed an initial qualification round for Vietnam’s pilot licensing program.

Among the companies involved are affiliates of three Vietnamese private banks, Techcombank, VPBank, and LPBank, alongside VIX Securities, which has already moved to develop its own crypto asset exchange infrastructure, and Sun Group, one of the country’s largest private conglomerates.

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Industry stakeholders believe the rollout of licensed domestic exchanges could help keep transaction fees within the country while supporting the growth of Vietnam’s digital financial ecosystem.

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Robinhood’s new venture fund just snapped up stakes in Stripe and ElevenLabs

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Robinhood’s new venture fund just snapped up stakes in Stripe and ElevenLabs

Robinhood’s (HOOD) newly launched venture fund has added stakes in Stripe and ElevenLabs, marking its first disclosed investments since beginning trading earlier this month.

Robinhood Ventures Fund I (RVI), a closed-end fund designed to give retail investors exposure to private companies, said it purchased roughly $14.6 million in Stripe shares and $20 million in ElevenLabs preferred stock in transactions completed in March.

The fund began trading on the New York Stock Exchange on March 6, part of Robinhood’s broader push to open private markets to everyday investors. Shares of the fund can be bought and sold like a traditional stock, offering access to companies that are typically limited to institutional investors and the wealthy.

Stripe, founded in 2010, provides payments and financial software used by businesses ranging from startups to large enterprises. The investment was made through a secondary transaction, meaning Robinhood bought shares from existing holders rather than directly from the company.

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ElevenLabs, a London-based artificial intelligence firm founded in 2022, focuses on voice and audio technology. Its tools allow businesses and developers to generate speech, build conversational agents and create media content across dozens of languages. Robinhood’s investment was part of a primary funding round, meaning the capital goes directly to the company.

The additions expand a portfolio that already includes private companies such as Databricks, Revolut, Ramp and Oura, with more investments expected over time.

Robinhood has positioned the fund as a response to a shift in capital markets. The number of publicly listed companies in the U.S. has declined over the past two decades, while private markets have grown to an estimated $10 trillion, limiting access for retail investors.

“For decades, wealthy people and institutions have invested in private companies while retail investors have been locked out,” CEO Vlad Tenev said previously.

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Unlike traditional venture funds, Robinhood’s vehicle does not require investors to be accredited and does not charge performance fees, lowering the barrier to entry.

The strategy follows earlier efforts by the company to offer private market exposure, including tokenized shares in high-profile firms for users in Europe, an initiative that drew scrutiny over how those products were structured.

With the latest investments, Robinhood is signaling that it plans to keep building a portfolio of private companies across fintech and artificial intelligence, two sectors that continue to attract strong investor interest ahead of potential public listings.

Shares of HOOD were up 2% Tuesday trading at $76.78. RVI was lower by 0.4%.

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Vietnam pushes local crypto exchanges as Hanoi moves to block offshore trading: Reuters

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Vietnam pushes local crypto exchanges as Hanoi moves to block offshore trading: Reuters

Vietnamese firms are racing to secure licences for the country’s first domestic cryptocurrency exchanges as Hanoi moves to restrict trading on foreign platforms.

A government resolution issued in February calls for a pilot program for locally run digital asset exchanges, with a rollout possible as soon as March.

A March 12 Finance Ministry document showed that five companies cleared an initial screening round, Reuters reported. These include affiliates of three private banks in the country including Techcombank, VPBank and LPBank, along with VIX Securities and the Sun Group conglomerate.

The move could reshape a market that has grown fast with little formal oversight. Vietnam has ranked fourth in Chainalysis’ latest Global Crypto Adoption Index, with Vietnamese users having moved an estimated $200 billion in crypto in the year through June 2025.

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Officials are concerned that heavy use of crypto and stablecoins could weaken control over capital flows. Vietnam already limits cross-border transfers, and many households have few places to put savings beyond gold and property.

That has helped drive gold prices above global levels and fueled waves of housing speculation, the report points out. Vietnam passed a landmark law officially recognizing digital and crypto assets early last year, outlining a broad framework for managing crypto and fostering innovation in the sector.

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World launches agentkit with Coinbase-backed x402 to verify human identity behind AI agents

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World launches agentkit with Coinbase-backed x402 to verify human identity behind AI agents

As AI agents increasingly transact, shop, and act autonomously online — a market that can reach $3 trillion to $5 trillion by 2030 — a key issue comes into focus: how to verify that a real person is behind the activity.

Sam Altman–backed identity project World (formerly WorldCoin) says it has the solution.

On Tuesday, the company rolled out AgentKit, a developer toolkit that allows AI agents to carry cryptographic proof that they are backed by a unique human, using its World ID system. The product works with x402, a protocol developed by Coinbase and Cloudflare that enables “agentic payments” by embedding stablecoin micropayments into the internet’s communication layer so AI Agents and software can pay each other without human intervention.

“Payments are the ‘how’ of agentic commerce, but identity is the ‘who,’” said Erik Reppel, head of engineering at Coinbase Developer Platform and founder of x402. “This is a massive step toward a web where agents aren’t just seen as automated traffic, but as legitimate economic participants.”

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The move comes as AI agents are rapidly evolving, handling time-consuming and often frustrating tasks from booking reservations to surfing e-commerce marketplaces for the best deals. Some estimates suggest agentic commerce could reach $3 trillion to $5 trillion by 2030, with agents accounting for up to 25% of U.S. e-commerce, World said.

Coinbase founder Brian Armstrong said he believes “very soon” there will be more AI agents than humans making transactions. Binance founder Changpeng Zhao went further, predicting agents will make one million times more payments than people, “and they will use crypto.”

The missing piece

However, as the agentic commerce market expands, its widespread use creates a problem that payments alone cannot solve: identity.

“One person could run thousands of agents that all pay small fees,” said DC Builder, a research engineer at the World Foundation. “Proof of Human addresses this gap.”

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The World spokesperson explained that AgentKit addresses this by linking multiple agents to a single verified human, which allows platforms to impose limits at the identity level.

“AgentKit allows developers to link multiple agents to the same verified human,” the spokesperson said. “This means a platform can allow someone to run several agents while still enforcing limits based on the underlying person.”

That could enable services to cap usage, such as one free trial or a fixed number of bookings per day per human, regardless of how many agents are deployed, the spokesperson added.

Another problem with agentic commerce is that most websites treat automated traffic as suspicious and even block bots outright. That approach, designed to stop abuse, is increasingly at odds with a world in which legitimate software agents are gradually acting on user’s behalf.

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AgentKit allows users to delegate their World ID, a privacy-preserving proof that they are a unique human, to AI agents acting on their behalf. And World is positioning this not as a replacement for other identity systems, but as a foundational layer.

“This isn’t necessarily an either-or choice,” a World spokesperson told CoinDesk. “World ID is designed to be a proof of human layer that developers can use on their own or alongside other identity systems.”

The system uses zero-knowledge proofs so platforms can verify that an agent represents a real person without collecting or storing personal data, a design World claims is required for scaling identity in an AI-driven web.

Beyond Orb verification

AgentKit, which is currently in beta version, relies on Orb-based biometric verification, the World’s most controversial component.

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But the company says it plans to expand the system to include additional credentials. That will include NFC-enabled passports and IDs via “World ID Credentials,” allowing users to prove attributes about themselves without revealing personal information.

“Beyond the beta, we plan to expand AgentKit alongside the next generation of the World ID protocol,” the spokesperson said.

With the world’s real-time human verification meter reading at 17,912,203 at the time of writing, its networks rank among the largest proof-of-personhood globally. It also makes their broader ambition clear: to become the identity layer for an internet increasingly populated not just by people, but by the AI agents acting on their behalf.

Read more: Visa is ready for AI agents. So is Coinbase. They’re building very different internets

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Facing a crisis, Bitcoin treasury companies need to pivot to survive

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Facing a crisis, Bitcoin treasury companies need to pivot to survive

For much of the last three years, a predictable cycle dominated the market: companies announced their intentions to purchase massive volumes of Bitcoin, watched their stock prices soar to a premium and issued new shares to buy more Bitcoin. This feedback loop made Bitcoin accumulation look like an “infinite money glitch”: a guaranteed way for public companies to manufacture shareholder value out of thin air.

As we move through the first quarter of 2026, that cycle has broken. Recent data shows that roughly 40% of publicly traded Bitcoin treasuries are now trading at a discount to their net asset value (NAV). In plain terms, the market now values these companies as a liability, worth less than the market price of the Bitcoin they hold.

This collapse in valuation has invited blistering criticism from institutional veterans. Jan van Eck, CEO of VanEck, recently dismissed the sector as a publicity-driven trend, while veteran analyst Herb Greenberg has characterized the most prominent player, Strategy, as a “quasi-Ponzi scheme.”

These critiques point to a failure in how many of these firms are managed. To remain viable, Bitcoin treasury companies must accept that accretive dilution is no longer a sustainable strategy. They must move beyond holding passively and operate as disciplined asset managers.

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Competing philosophies: the promoter vs. the asset manager

Today, most Bitcoin treasury companies are divided into two camps, representing fundamentally different philosophies of corporate management: “Promoters” and “Asset Managers.”

Promoters treat Bitcoin as a passive asset to be hoarded. In this model, the company’s primary job is two-fold. First, the firm must act as an aggressive advocate for the underlying currency and its ecosystem. By investing in community projects and maintaining a constant presence in public discourse, the Promoter works to drive the token price higher and capitalize on gains from its existing holdings. Second, the Promoter must market its own stock to maintain a high premium. When the market values the company significantly higher than the Bitcoin it actually holds, the company can sell new shares at that inflated price to buy more Bitcoin at the normal market rate. This calculated financial maneuver is called accretive dilution.

Together, these strategies create a feedback loop of hype. The Promoter needs the price of Bitcoin to rise to increase its net asset value, and it needs the equity premium to be maintained to continue its accumulation strategy. However, this model is fragile because it relies entirely on external sentiment. If the price of BTC stalls or the equity premium vanishes — as we are seeing across the board in 2026 — the Promoter is left with an unproductive balance sheet and no internal mechanism for growth.

In contrast, asset managers view Bitcoin as a productive commodity akin to “digital oil.” In the physical world, an oil major like Exxon or Shell does not simply sit on reserves and hope for a price rally. They are sophisticated financial operators who treat their inventory as a productive asset. They trade the futures curve to capture premiums and monetize market volatility.

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Asset Manager-style treasuries apply this same industrial rigor to the digital realm. By using their balance sheet to generate real, Bitcoin-denominated returns, they ensure growth is driven by operational skill, rather than a byproduct of crypto market sentiment. By treating Bitcoin as a commodity to be managed, the asset manager generates real yield from the skilled management of the asset, not from the continuous issuance of new stock to the public.

The era of accretive dilution is over

The distinction between these two models is no longer academic. One of them has stopped working.

The Promoter approach — relying on equity issuance to finance Bitcoin accumulation — is no longer a viable growth strategy. What once passed as financial sophistication was, in practice, a tactic that depended on unusually favorable market conditions.

Issuing shares at a premium can temporarily increase Bitcoin per share, but it does not create an economic return. It generates no cash flow, no operational advantage and no durable compounding mechanism. It exists entirely at the discretion of new investors. When that demand weakens, the strategy collapses.

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For much of 2025, this reality was easy to ignore. Rising Bitcoin prices and abundant liquidity made accumulation strategies look interchangeable. Capital flowed freely, equity premiums expanded, and dozens of treasury companies adopted the same playbook: buy Bitcoin, promote the narrative, raise more equity, repeat. In that environment, differentiation didn’t matter.

It does now.

As the market matures, Bitcoin treasuries that rely solely on passive accumulation face a hard constraint: they lack an internal mechanism for growth. When every firm owns the same asset, holds it the same way and depends on the same equity-market dynamics, there is no basis for sustained outperformance. The model has become commoditized — and investors are growing sick of it.

Only the most prominent players — those with exceptional scale, brand recognition, and Michael Saylor-level fame — will be able to sustain this approach. For most treasury companies, passive accumulation without active management offers no path to differentiation, resilience, or long-term relevance.

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Markets are already reflecting this reality. Nearly half of Bitcoin treasury companies have fallen below mNAV, and most won’t recover without a drastic pivot.

Transitioning from passive storage to active management

To transition from a promoter to an asset manager, companies must move beyond the simple HODL strategy and put the balance sheet to work. This means adopting the tools of professional commodity trading.

One primary tool is the basis trade, in which a firm exploits the price difference between the spot price of Bitcoin and the futures contract price. By capturing this spread, a company can grow its Bitcoin holdings even when the asset’s price is flat or declining. Furthermore, a Bitcoin asset manager uses dynamic options strategies to turn market turbulence into income.

This approach provides a “real yield” that does not rely on selling more stock or finding new investors. It transforms the treasury from a cost center into a profit center. Most importantly, it provides a clear path to increasing Bitcoin-per-share through operational excellence rather than capital market maneuvers.

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Treasury companies also need to adjust the way they communicate with investors. Too many treasury CEOs posture as low-budget Michael Saylor impersonators — focusing on narrative amplification, public advocacy and symbolic accumulation. It’s an approach designed to generate hype, not project careful financial stewardship.

As investor scrutiny intensifies, CEOs will need to project credibility by explaining how risk is managed, how exposure is structured, and how returns are generated across a range of market conditions. The market will not reward Bitcoin’s loudest cheerleaders; it will reward the firms that deploy their holdings most productively.

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Will Pi Network price crash to $1.5 as charts confirm a bearish crossover?

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Pi Network price has confirmed a bearish MACD crossover on the daily chart.

Pi Network price has fallen by over 38% as investors sold the Kraken listing news.

Summary

  • Pi Network price has fallen over 10% in the past 24 hours and about 38% from its recent peak as bearish technical indicators signal further downside risk.
  • A confirmed MACD bearish crossover and weakening momentum suggest sellers have gained control while the token approaches key support near $0.1900.
  • Investor sentiment has also turned cautious ahead of a scheduled unlock of roughly 17 million PI tokens, which could increase supply pressure.

Pi Network (PI) price has dropped over 10% over the past 24 hours and 38% from its highest point on Friday, March 13. 

It remains at risk of more downside as technical indicators present a bearish outlook for the coming sessions.

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On the 24-hour/USDT price chart, the PI price has confirmed a MACD crossover, which happens when the MACD line crosses below the signal line. When such a bearish crossover forms, an asset has historically signaled a period of consolidation or further price declines as momentum shifts in favour of the sellers.

Pi Network price has confirmed a bearish MACD crossover on the daily chart.
Pi Network price has confirmed a bearish MACD crossover on the daily chart — March 17 | Source: crypto.news

Additionally, the Pi Network price is closing in on the 50-day SMA, which had been serving as key support for the token during its recent recovery phase. A drop below the $0.176 level could trigger a sharp sell-off, potentially leading to a significant price decline toward the next psychological floor. 

At the same time, the Money Flow Index is closing in on neutral territory, a sign that the intense buying and selling pressure in the market is starting to balance out after the recent volatility. 

Based on the confluence of bearish technicals, the Pi Network risks a drop to its Feb. 23 low of $0.1560 with no immediate support to cushion the fall if current levels fail to hold. 

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Pi Network’s recent downtrend began after its listing on crypto exchange Kraken on March 13. Investors likely sold the news as they booked profits after the token surged nearly 30% after the listing

A more recent bearish development that has turned investors cautious is the token unlock event scheduled for later today. Notably, about 17 million PI tokens will be entering circulation following the event, which adds to the existing supply overhead. 

Investors are likely reducing exposure to the token as they expect that the market will not be immediately able to absorb the newly released tokens, which tends to reduce scarcity and put downward pressure on the price.

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Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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TeraWulf (WULF) Stock Soars 12% Following $500M Morgan Stanley Financing Deal

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WULF Stock Card

TLDR

  • WULF shares climbed 11.86% during Monday’s trading session, finishing at $16.41
  • Morgan Stanley provided a $500M delayed-draw bridge credit facility to the company
  • Capital will finance a new data center facility in Hawesville, Kentucky
  • The Kentucky location features 480 MW of existing power capacity with expansion potential
  • Institutional investors hold 62.49% of shares, while analyst consensus leans Moderate Buy

TeraWulf (WULF) posted impressive gains on Monday, with shares climbing 11.86% to settle at $16.41. The surge came after the company announced a $500 million credit facility with Morgan Stanley designated for data center construction in Hawesville, Kentucky.


WULF Stock Card
TeraWulf Inc., WULF

The financing arrangement takes the form of a delayed-draw bridge credit facility, allowing TeraWulf to access capital incrementally as construction and development proceed at the new location.

Under the agreement’s terms, TeraWulf has two interest rate structures available. The first option uses SOFR with a 2.75% spread. The alternative base rate option uses the greater of: the federal funds rate plus 0.50%, Morgan Stanley’s prime lending rate, one-month SOFR, or 1% with a 1.75% spread added.

The Kentucky location brings substantial infrastructure advantages. The former industrial property encompasses 250 developable acres and includes high-voltage transmission infrastructure, an existing substation facility, and direct grid connectivity. The site currently supports 480 MW of power with staged expansion capabilities planned.

This credit agreement builds on last month’s disclosure that TeraWulf acquired two separate land parcels — one located in Kentucky and another in Maryland — supporting its strategic data center expansion initiative. The Kentucky acquisition represents the Hawesville location now receiving development funding.

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Institutional and Analyst Interest

Beyond the financing announcement, WULF has attracted considerable institutional investor activity. Multiple institutional players established fresh positions during the third quarter of last year.

Fortress Investment Group initiated a position valued at approximately $1.71 million. Azora Capital topped institutional buyers with an $11.89 million new stake. Boothbay Fund Management expanded its holdings by 129.6%. Institutional investors collectively control 62.49% of outstanding shares.

Company insiders maintain a 19.90% ownership stake. Director Michael Bucella purchased 3,171 additional shares on March 4th at $15.78 per share, increasing his total position to 270,129 shares.

Analyst Ratings

Wall Street coverage remains predominantly bullish. Morgan Stanley initiated research coverage in February with an Overweight recommendation and $37 price target — substantially above current trading levels. Cantor Fitzgerald elevated its price objective from $18 to $24. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods made a modest reduction from $24 to $23 while maintaining an Outperform stance.

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Rosenblatt Securities increased its price target from $20 to $23 alongside a Buy recommendation. Among 14 covering analysts, the consensus stands at Moderate Buy with a mean price target of $20.62. The rating distribution shows 12 Buy ratings, 1 Hold, and 1 Sell.

WULF began Monday’s session at $14.67 before advancing to higher levels. The stock’s 52-week trading range spans $2.06 to $18.51, illustrating significant appreciation from lows. The 50-day moving average stands at $14.72, while the 200-day average registers $13.35.

The company maintains a market capitalization near $6.22 billion with a beta coefficient of 3.66 — indicating substantial price volatility. The price-to-earnings ratio currently sits at -9.00, reflecting ongoing operational losses.

Shares concluded Monday’s trading at $16.41 following the credit facility disclosure.

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The post TeraWulf (WULF) Stock Soars 12% Following $500M Morgan Stanley Financing Deal appeared first on Blockonomi.

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MSTR’s latest BTC purchase offers insight into its evolving funding model

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Michael Saylor hints at another bitcoin purchase despite market turmoil

Strategy (MSTR) has, for the first time last week, used its perpetual preferred stock as the primary vehicle to accumulate bitcoin, marking a potential shift in how the company funds its bitcoin strategy.

The company Monday announced it purchased 22,337 BTC in the preceding week, its fifth-largest acquisition on record.

Issuance through its STRC perpetual preferred stock was $1.18 billion, equivalent to roughly 16,800 BTC at the average price of $70,000, far exceeding the $396 million raised via its common stock at-the-market (ATM) program, which had historically been the primary tool used to build its bitcoin holdings, now totaling 761,068 BTC.

At STRC’s current 11.5% dividend rate, the $1.18 billion issuance implies roughly $135 million in annual dividend obligations. This has pushed the company’s total annual dividend burden above $1 billion.

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That said, the company has set aside approximately $2.25 billion in USD reserves to fund these obligations, providing a buffer amid rising capital costs.

With the company’s common stock down more than 70%, it appears incentivized to support a higher share price without further dilution.

As a result, common equity may be used more selectively, primarily when mNAV (multiple to net asset value) is meaningfully above 1 or when the company looks to build USD reserves. In practice, this suggests reduced reliance on common stock sales, while leaning more heavily on STRC, which avoids issuing new common shares.

Taken together, Strategy is increasingly funding bitcoin accumulation through its preferred capital base, with STRC now at the center of that approach.

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Another dividend increase incoming?

STRC is showing early signs of pricing pressure. The preferred has now spent three consecutive days trading below its $100 par value following its March 15 ex-dividend date. With its one-month volume-weighted average price below par, the company may look to increase the dividend by a further 25 basis points to support the price.

Read More: The math behind Strategy’s path to 1 million bitcoin by the end of 2026

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What If Bitcoin Everlight Shards Unlock Your BTC Earnings Today?

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There’s a specific type of crypto participant who doesn’t chase price charts. They look for infrastructure. They look for systems that generate Bitcoin — not promises of Bitcoin, not tokens that might convert to Bitcoin someday — but actual BTC, flowing from real network activity.

That participant is exactly who Bitcoin Everlight was built for.

And right now, during an open presale window, those participants are beginning to activate shards.

The question worth asking isn’t whether Bitcoin validation infrastructure is interesting. It clearly is. The question is whether this particular platform has built something worth getting into early — and what “early” actually looks like in practice.

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A Network That Pays You in the Only Coin That Matters

Strip away the terminology for a moment and Bitcoin Everlight is doing something genuinely simple: it runs a distributed Transaction Validation Node network, and it shares the fees that network generates with the people who participate in it.

Those fees are paid in BTC.

Not in a governance token. Not in a project-native coin whose value depends entirely on whether the project succeeds. In Bitcoin — the asset that has been the benchmark for the entire crypto industry for over a decade.

The platform introduced Everlight Shards as its participation layer: a simplified activation model sitting on top of the validation node framework. Everlight users don’t need a technical background or a rack of mining equipment. They acquire BTCL tokens, hit a tier threshold, and the shard activates — pulling them into the network automatically.

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The project completed dual smart contract audits through Spywolf and Solidproof, alongside dual KYC verifications through Spywolf and Vital Block — all completed before the presale opened.

From First Token to First Reward — The Actual Process

The path from zero to active shard is four steps long, and none of them require anything technical.

You acquire BTCL tokens. The presale is live right now at $0.0008 per token, with entry points beginning at $50 — meaning the barrier to getting a position in this network is quite low.

Once your holdings reach a tier threshold, your shard activates automatically based on the USD value committed at the time of purchase. There’s no manual trigger, no application, no waiting for approval.

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From that point, your activated shard participates in validation through the distributed infrastructure — passively, continuously, without any ongoing management on your end.

Rewards begin flowing immediately upon activation. During the presale phase, those rewards are paid in BTCL at a fixed rate tied to your tier. After mainnet launches, the model transitions to performance-based BTC distribution — meaning what you earn scales with how much real transaction activity moves through the network.

How the Shard Tiers Are Structured

The shard tier structure is built around three activation levels, each one carrying a different reward rate and a different level of network participation:

Azure Shard activates at $500 and earns up to 12% APY in BTCL during the presale phase, transitioning to BTC earnings at mainnet.

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Violet Shard activates at $1,500 and earns up to 20% APY during presale — the mid-tier entry point for participants looking to deepen their position in the network.

Radiant Shard activates at $3,000 with up to 28% APY during presale, representing the highest participation tier currently available.

Users who hold tokens below any threshold aren’t locked out — they hold a dormant shard position that activates the moment their balance crosses the next tier. The system is designed to reward genuine alignment with the network instead of short-term speculation.

The Thing Most Crypto Reward Systems Get Wrong

The vast majority of passive reward models in crypto share one structural flaw: the reward is the same token you already own. Your earnings are denominated in the project’s own asset, which means their real-world value is completely circular — it depends on whether other people keep buying the same thing you bought.

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Bitcoin Everlight breaks that loop. Post-mainnet rewards come from BTC-denominated transaction routing fees generated by actual network usage. Participation isn’t rewarded with inflation. It’s rewarded with a share of real economic activity, paid in an asset that doesn’t depend on the platform’s own price performance to have value.

That’s the structural difference. And for participants thinking beyond the presale phase — thinking about what they’re holding a year from now — it’s the part worth paying attention to.

Six Days. Phase 1 Pricing. Then It Changes.

Bitcoin Everlight’s Phase 1 presale has 472,500,000 tokens remaining at $0.0008 per token. The window is approximately six days from today.

When Phase 1 closes, the pricing available right now closes with it. Shards activated during this phase lock in at the earliest available entry point — and the BTCL rewards begin accumulating from the moment of activation, not from some future launch date.

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As Bitcoin Everlight continues expanding its validation infrastructure, early participants are beginning to explore what the shard activation model means for their own BTC exposure strategy.

Users interested in understanding how Everlight Shards work — and what the activation process looks like — can explore the platform directly here.

Disclaimer: The above article is sponsored content; it’s written by a third party. CryptoPotato doesn’t endorse or assume responsibility for the content, advertising, products, quality, accuracy, or other materials on this page. Nothing in it should be construed as financial advice. Readers are strongly advised to verify the information independently and carefully before engaging with any company or project mentioned and to do their own research. Investing in cryptocurrencies carries a risk of capital loss, and readers are also advised to consult a professional before making any decisions that may or may not be based on the above-sponsored content.

Readers are also advised to read CryptoPotato’s full disclaimer.

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