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Bitcoin’s (BTC) 50% drawdown may have marked a bottom as on-chain signals turn bullish

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Bitcoin’s (BTC) 50% drawdown may have marked a bottom as on-chain signals turn bullish

The RHODL ratio, by Glassnode, a key on-chain metric tracking the balance between long-term and short-term bitcoin holders, is flashing signals more consistent with a market bottom than a cycle top, after hitting a ratio of 4.5.

Currently sitting at its third highest level on record, the indicator shows that wealth is increasingly concentrated in older coins, as younger, more speculative holdings have been largely flushed out during the 50% correction in bitcoin over the past six months.

The ratio compares the value of coins held by longer-term investors, typically those holding for six months to three years, against coins held by short-term participants, defined as one day to three months. By measuring this balance, it offers insight into whether the market is dominated by seasoned holders or fresh demand from new entrants.

A rising ratio often reflects coins aging and a decline in speculative activity, rather than an influx of new buyers. This dynamic typically emerges after sharp corrections which can be seen in 2015, 2019 and 2022.

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There are two occasions where the RHODL ratio has been higher than now, is 2015 (ratio of 5) and 2022 (ratio of 7), both cycle lows, which could suggest there is further downside for bitcoin.

However, pushing to even higher levels typically requires an even deeper collapse in short-term holder activity and near-complete demand exhaustion, conditions that are less evident today given the 25% price recovery from the February lows, negative perpetual funding rates and broader macro risk environment which has seen S&P 500 hit new all-time highs.

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Crypto World

Circle Launches USDC Bridge For Native Cross-Chain Transfers

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Circle Launches USDC Bridge For Native Cross-Chain Transfers

Stablecoin issuer Circle has launched USDC Bridge, a new user interface built on top of the Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP) that seeks to simplify native cross-chain transfers of the USDC stablecoin.

On Friday, Circle’s USDC X account said the bridge allows users to move the USDC (USDC) stablecoin in a “predictable, transparent way,” citing a native burn-and-mint transfer mechanism and no bridge complexities.

Gas fees will be handled automatically, fees will be shown upfront, and live status updates will be provided throughout the transfer, Circle added.

Source: Circle

The USDC Bridge builds on Circle’s CCTP, which was introduced in April 2023 and facilitates hundreds of millions of stablecoin transfers each day.

CCTP eliminated the need for wrapped and synthetic versions of USDC.

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Cross-chain bridges seek to make the broader crypto ecosystem interoperable, functioning as a unified network rather than a collection of fragmented, isolated blockchains.

Making bridges as simple and easy to use as possible has been an area of focus for many crypto infrastructure firms. 

In the past, bridges have confused users and arguably slowed crypto adoption, especially for beginners struggling to navigate bridge interfaces, trade routes and gas fees.

USDC Bridge supports over a dozen blockchains

Cointelegraph found that USDC Bridge supports USDC transfers between at least 17 Ethereum Virtual Machine-compatible blockchains, including Ethereum, Avalanche, Arbitrum, Base, Monad, Optimism, Polygon, Sonic and World Network.

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Circle’s CCTP supports a broader number of blockchains, including Solana, Sui and Aptos, which are not natively EVM compatible.

On Wednesday, Circle was hit with a class action for failing to freeze around $230 million worth of USDC that moved through its CCTP from the Drift Protocol exploit on April 1.

Circle is accused of aiding and abetting conversion and negligence. 

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More than 100 members are involved in the class action. The law firm representing them, Mira Gibb, is seeking damages, with the final amount to be determined at trial.

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