Connect with us
DAPA Banner
DAPA Coin
DAPA
COIN PAYMENT ASSET
PRIVACY · BLOCKDAG · HOMOMORPHIC ENCRYPTION · RUST
ElGamal Encrypted MINE DAPA
🚫 GENESIS SOLD OUT
DAPAPAY COMING

Crypto World

Canaccord cuts Strategy price target despite backing Bitcoin thesis

Published

on

Strategy $12B underwater, STRC cracks: model breaking?

Strategy has received another Wall Street price target cut after Canaccord lowered its valuation on the company while maintaining that Bitcoin’s long-term investment case remains intact.

Summary

  • Canaccord cut Strategy’s price target to $130 but said its long-term Bitcoin investment thesis remains unchanged.
  • The brokerage believes Strategy’s Bitcoin-focused business model is still viable if Bitcoin posts moderate annual gains.
  • Other analysts, including TD Cowen, Cantor Fitzgerald, and Benchmark, continue backing Strategy despite lowering or maintaining price targets.

Bitcoin outlook remains intact despite lower valuation

According to a research note from Canaccord, the brokerage reduced its price target for Strategy to $130 from $163, citing the company’s prolonged share price decline rather than any change in its long-term view on Bitcoin. The revision comes as Strategy stock has struggled for months, even though the firm said its underlying investment thesis for the cryptocurrency remains unchanged.

Strategy shares closed the previous trading session at $86.93, only slightly above their 52-week low of $81.81 and roughly 77% below where they traded a year ago. The stock later rebounded 8.12% to $93.96 after the company introduced its new Digital Credit Capital Framework.

Canaccord said Bitcoin continues to benefit from limited supply and growing adoption of blockchain technology. The brokerage added that the cryptocurrency has become more established within financial markets and is no longer facing the same uncertainty over whether it should be viewed primarily as a speculative asset or a long-term store of value.

The firm also maintained that Strategy’s Bitcoin-focused corporate model remains workable as long as Bitcoin delivers moderate annual appreciation. At the same time, Canaccord acknowledged that recent market performance has fallen short of those expectations.

Advertisement

“We think there is nothing broken here, either in the company’s model or in bitcoin, which suggests a pendulum swing back makes sense sometime over the medium term.”

Separately, data cited in the report showed Strategy’s Relative Strength Index has moved into oversold territory, while Fair Value analysis suggested the shares could be trading below their estimated intrinsic value.

Capital strategy continues to receive support from analysts

The latest revision follows another recent target cut from TD Cowen, which, as previously reported by crypto.news, lowered its price target on Strategy to $260 from $400 while keeping a “buy” rating. According to TD Cowen, the lower valuation was driven by a more conservative long-term Bitcoin price forecast rather than concerns about Strategy’s newly introduced Digital Credit Capital Framework.

TD Cowen said its revised target still implies roughly 200% upside from current trading levels. The brokerage also described the new capital framework as a constructive step that could improve Strategy’s financial flexibility, even after the stock surrendered part of its initial gains following the announcement.

Advertisement

In a regulatory filing dated June 29, Strategy disclosed that its Digital Credit Capital Framework allows the company to raise up to $1.25 billion through Bitcoin sales if needed. According to the filing, those proceeds may be used to maintain U.S. dollar reserves, fund preferred dividend payments, meet interest obligations, strengthen cash balances, and finance future share repurchases.

The same filing also authorized up to $1 billion in repurchases of the company’s Digital Credit Securities, including STRC, STRF, STRD, and STRK, when management determines buybacks would improve the firm’s capital structure. Strategy further disclosed that it has paused additional Bitcoin purchases while selling about $1.15 billion worth of MSTR shares as part of its capital management plan.

Elsewhere on Wall Street, Cantor Fitzgerald reaffirmed its Overweight rating and $212 price target, citing confidence in Strategy’s liquidity plans. Benchmark also reiterated its Buy rating and maintained its $570 price target, noting that although the company’s preferred shares have weakened in recent months, Strategy has continued adding Bitcoin to its balance sheet.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

Robinhood Rolls out Public Blockchain, Plans Crypto Trading for UK Residents

Published

on

Robinhood Rolls out Public Blockchain, Plans Crypto Trading for UK Residents

Stock and cryptocurrency trading platform Robinhood announced the launch of its public mainnet about four months after it began testing the network.

On Wednesday, the company said Robinhood Chain, a layer 2 (L2) blockchain built on Arbitrum, had officially launched after the network went live on testnet in February. The blockchain, which the company described as “AI-native and purpose-built for real-world assets,” comes amid Robinhood’s expansion of crypto- and decentralized finance-related services.

According to Robinhood, it plans to launch crypto trading in the UK soon. The company also said that its tokenized stock products were live and available through its wallet app to users in more than 120 countries. CEO Vlad Tenev called tokenized stocks “inevitable” in January, arguing that offering the products could help prevent trading freezes that sometimes occur on traditional exchanges.

Source: Robinhood

The launch of the public mainnet came just a few weeks after Tenev announced that Robinhood would cut 10% of its workforce as part of a restructuring move. The company is expected to announce its 2026 second-quarter results on July 29, but reported in April that its crypto transaction revenue dropped by almost 50% year-on-year, from $252 million to $134 million.

Advertisement

Related: Last-minute MiCA approvals mark end of EU transition period

The company also introduced Robinhood Earn, a decentralized product that allows users to lend USDG, a dollar-backed stablecoin, through a self-custody wallet at an estimated 7% annual percentage yield. Robinhood shares rose about 8% on Wednesday.

Base’s L2 network reports back-to-back outages

Robinhood is entering an increasingly competitive L2 market dominated by networks such as Base, the Coinbase-backed blockchain.

In June, Base experienced two outages within hours of each other, which the engineering team later reported had been the result of a sequencer bug. The mainnet is the second-largest layer 2 network by total value secured at about $11 billion.

Advertisement

Magazine: AI is banking the unbanked in Africa… faster than crypto

Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Kroger (KR) Stock Drops 2% Following $1.65 Billion Giant Eagle Acquisition Announcement

Published

on

KR Stock Card

TLDR

  • Kroger revealed plans to purchase Giant Eagle in a transaction valued at $1.65 billion, consisting of $1.25 billion cash and $400 million in liability assumption.
  • The acquisition brings approximately $9 billion in yearly revenue, 197 grocery locations, and 11 independent pharmacy outlets.
  • Shares of Kroger declined 2.12% during Wednesday’s session, adding to a year-to-date drop of 12.11%.
  • Transaction completion is anticipated in 2027, contingent upon regulatory clearance.
  • Analysts at Wolfe Research characterized the acquisition as evidence Kroger is operating “more offensively,” projecting approximately 6% revenue growth.

Shares of Kroger (KR) slipped 2.12% during Wednesday trading following the supermarket operator’s announcement that it would purchase family-run grocery chain Giant Eagle in a $1.65 billion transaction.


KR Stock Card
The Kroger Co., KR

The transaction structure includes $1.25 billion in cash consideration alongside $400 million in liability assumption. The Cincinnati-based retailer stated the purchase won’t push its net total debt to adjusted EBITDA multiple beyond its designated target corridor of 2.3 to 2.5 times.

Giant Eagle maintains a footprint of 197 grocery stores and 11 independent pharmacy locations throughout northern Ohio, western Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland, and Indiana—regions where Kroger maintains an established market position.

The regional chain generates approximately $9 billion in yearly sales—a substantial contribution to Kroger’s operations.

Greg Foran, Kroger’s Chief Executive Officer, characterized the transaction as an obvious “strategic fit,” highlighting Giant Eagle’s customer loyalty initiatives, pharmaceutical services, and proprietary brand offerings as valuable assets.

What the Numbers Look Like

Greg Badishkanian, an analyst at Wolfe Research, noted the purchase aligns with Kroger‘s leadership team’s “increased openness to do M&A” and will enable the retailer to strengthen its store concentration while expanding into neighboring territories.

Advertisement

Wolfe’s analysis suggests Giant Eagle’s EBIT margins fall within the 2.0–2.5% range—comparable to Albertsons—and anticipates an additional EBIT contribution between $200 million and $250 million.

With Kroger’s sales forecast to reach $151 billion by 2027, the acquisition would increase total revenue by approximately 6%, bringing it to roughly $160 billion. Badishkanian anticipates modest EPS accretion during the second complete year following transaction closure.

The 197 additional locations would expand Kroger’s total store portfolio by roughly 7% from its existing network of 2,739 stores.

When Does the Deal Close?

Kroger anticipates finalizing the Giant Eagle acquisition in 2027, pending regulatory approval and customary closing requirements.

Advertisement

The grocery retailer indicated the transaction will contribute positively to adjusted EPS during the second complete year post-closure—when excluding one-time transaction expenses and integration-related costs.

To reassure shareholders, the company reaffirmed its commitment to maintaining dividend distributions and continuing its $2 billion stock buyback initiative.

Wednesday’s trading volume registered approximately 1.86 million shares, significantly below Kroger’s three-month average daily volume of roughly 7.77 million.

KR shares have declined 12.11% year-to-date and dropped 20.93% over the trailing twelve-month period.

Advertisement

Analyst sentiment on KR reflects a Moderate Buy consensus, comprising six Buy recommendations and seven Hold ratings issued within the past three months. The mean price target stands at $69.33, suggesting potential upside of approximately 27.4% from present levels.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Tradeweb Completes Tokenized US Treasury Trade on Canton

Published

on

Tradeweb Completes Tokenized US Treasury Trade on Canton

Tradeweb, an institutional electronic trading platform, has executed an onchain transaction involving tokenized US Treasuries, with Franklin Templeton transferring a tokenized Treasury security to Virtu Financial in exchange for tokenized cash over the Canton Network.

Tradeweb provided execution and price discovery, while the Canton Network synchronized settlement between the tokenized Treasury and tokenized cash. The companies said the trade settled in real time, but did not disclose its size.

A Tradeweb spokesperson told Cointelegraph the deal marked the industry’s first real-time purchase and sale of a tokenized US Treasury settled against USDCx, a USDC-backed stablecoin issued on Canton. Participants included Blockdaemon, Digital Asset, Societe Generale, Franklin Templeton, Tradeweb and Virtu Financial.

According to the announcement, the transaction precedes the planned launch of the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) Tokenization Services later this year. DTCC said the service will allow participants to tokenize select stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and US Treasury securities while maintaining the same investor protections and ownership rights as traditional assets.

Advertisement

Related: Franklin Templeton launches dedicated crypto division after closing 250 Digital acquisition

The transaction is also the latest step in Franklin Templeton’s expansion into tokenized financial assets. Earlier this year, the asset manager partnered with Binance to let institutions use tokenized money market fund shares as trading collateral while the assets remained in regulated custody, and with Ondo Finance to bring tokenized ETFs onto blockchain networks.

Governments expand tokenized bond initiatives

Governments have also been expanding efforts to bring sovereign debt onto blockchain infrastructure. Several jurisdictions have launched digital bond programs to test blockchain-based issuance, settlement and market infrastructure.

Hong Kong was among the first jurisdictions to issue tokenized government bonds, launching its inaugural digital green bond in 2023. The government completed its third digital green bond issuance in November 2025, raising HK$10 billion ($1.3 billion) across four currencies, which it said was the world’s largest digital bond issuance at the time.

Advertisement

Last month, Hong Kong said it would build a digital asset platform through the Hong Kong Monetary Authority to support the issuance and settlement of tokenized bonds, with plans to expand the infrastructure to other digital assets and connect it with tokenization platforms across the region.

Elsewhere, the UK government appointed HSBC Orion to support its Digital Gilt Instrument pilot, which is designed to test blockchain-based issuance, settlement and secondary trading of government bonds.

Meanwhile, tokenized US Treasury products have grown into a $14.6 billion market, according to data from RWA.xyz. The sector spans 84 on-chain products and is the largest segment of the tokenized real-world asset market.

Tokenized US treasuries. Source: RWA.xyz

Magazine: Bitcoin decouples from tech stocks, Ether eyes ‘selling wave’: Market Moves

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Market Movers: Meta’s Cloud Ambitions, Warsh’s Inflation Update, and Nike’s China Troubles

Published

on

Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Takeaways

  • Meta is preparing to enter the AI cloud infrastructure space, positioning itself against established enterprise providers
  • Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh indicated that inflationary pressures are subsiding while maintaining commitment to the 2% objective
  • Major indexes including the S&P 500 and Dow Jones advanced as the second half of 2026 began
  • Nike stock declined following cautious guidance on China market performance, overshadowing positive earnings results
  • Crude oil values retreated as diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran reduced supply concern

Meta Prepares to Challenge Cloud Giants With AI Infrastructure Offering

Meta emerged as a standout performer following news that the technology giant is developing a standalone AI cloud infrastructure platform.

This strategic expansion would mark a significant departure from Meta’s traditional advertising-focused revenue model, positioning the company against entrenched cloud computing leaders serving artificial intelligence enterprise clients.

Market participants have demonstrated considerable enthusiasm for firms expanding AI infrastructure capabilities throughout this year. Meta’s substantial experience operating massive-scale AI systems across its social media ecosystem is viewed as a competitive advantage in penetrating this expanding market segment.

Warsh Signals Declining Inflation Threat at Federal Reserve

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh communicated to financial markets that inflationary threats have diminished, while emphasizing the central bank’s continued focus on achieving its 2% inflation benchmark.

His remarks preceded Thursday’s employment data for June, which market observers are scrutinizing for indicators regarding the trajectory of monetary policy adjustments.

Advertisement

For technology-oriented and expansion-focused equities, declining inflation expectations typically represent favorable conditions. Reduced borrowing costs generally enhance the present value of projected earnings, particularly benefiting companies in rapid-growth industries.

Equity Markets Maintain Upward Trajectory as New Half-Year Begins

U.S. stocks continued their positive momentum, with both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average recording advances on July’s opening trading session.

These gains follow what proved to be one of the most robust quarterly performances for equity markets since 2020. Market participants maintained their optimistic stance on long-term profit expansion despite persistent questions surrounding interest rate policy and economic conditions.

Semiconductor equities experienced modest headwinds throughout the trading day, though robust performance across industrial, healthcare, and consumer sectors provided sufficient support to keep broader market indices in positive territory.

Advertisement

Nike Shares Retreat Despite Earnings Success on China Market Concerns

Nike delivered quarterly financial results exceeding analyst projections, yet the stock declined following management’s cautious assessment of persistent challenges in the Chinese market.

Market participants concentrated on the company’s forward-looking statements rather than historical performance metrics. Leadership suggested the recovery timeline may extend beyond previous market expectations.

Nike’s quarterly performance serves as an important barometer for international consumer demand patterns. The market’s reaction to the report exemplifies a consistent theme throughout this earnings cycle — forward guidance carries greater weight than retrospective achievements.

Crude Oil Values Decline Following Diplomatic Progress With Iran

Crude oil prices retreated after diplomatic engagement between the United States and Iran alleviated concerns regarding potential interruptions to global supply chains.

Advertisement

Declining energy prices help moderate inflationary forces while reducing operational expenses for sectors including aviation, retail distribution, and manufacturing operations.

Given inflation remains a primary consideration for market participants, developments in energy markets will continue receiving significant attention alongside forthcoming economic indicators.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

CZ shrugs off ETF exodus with $1 million Bitcoin call

Published

on

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF daily flow table showing $222.64 million in net outflows on June 30, with cumulative inflows at $51.15 billion.

Bitcoin has remained under pressure after U.S. spot ETFs recorded $222.64 million in outflows, while Changpeng Zhao has reiterated his belief that the cryptocurrency can reach $1 million over the next decade.

Summary

  • Changpeng Zhao says Bitcoin could reach $1 million as global ownership remains below 1%.
  • U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $222.64 million in net outflows, led by BlackRock’s IBIT.
  • Bitcoin trades below key resistance, with $57.8K support and $63.7K–$65.3K as upside targets.

According to an interview Zhao gave to Block, the Binance founder argued that Bitcoin ownership remains extremely limited worldwide, with fewer than 1% of people currently holding the asset.

He said the low level of adoption leaves substantial room for future demand as more retail and institutional investors enter the market over multiple cycles.

Low ownership remains central to Zhao’s bullish outlook

Building on that argument, Zhao said Bitcoin could climb to around $600,000 during the next major market cycle, representing roughly a fivefold increase from current levels. He added that another cycle would only need to double that valuation for Bitcoin to reach the $1 million milestone, describing the scenario as achievable if adoption continues to expand.

Advertisement

Although Zhao acknowledged he could not predict exactly when those milestones would be reached, he maintained that long-term price appreciation would depend more on rising ownership than on short-term market speculation. He also noted that institutional participation, alongside continued retail adoption, could support Bitcoin’s value over time as ownership becomes more widespread.

Zhao’s comments come as long-term Bitcoin price forecasts remain a recurring topic across the digital asset industry, with several market participants continuing to argue that growing global acceptance could support higher valuations over the coming years.

Institutional demand pauses as technical resistance holds

While Zhao focused on Bitcoin’s long-term adoption story, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced a setback on June 30 after recording $222.64 million in net outflows. Data from SoSoValue showed BlackRock’s IBIT accounted for the largest withdrawal, posting $212.45 million in net outflows during the session.

Advertisement
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF daily flow table showing $222.64 million in net outflows on June 30, with cumulative inflows at $51.15 billion.
Source: SoSoValue

Even with the daily withdrawals, cumulative net inflows across U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs stood at $51.15 billion, while total net assets remained at $70.95 billion. Daily trading volume reached $2.53 billion, indicating that investors continued to trade actively despite the temporary pullback in fund flows.

The ETF withdrawals also coincided with Bitcoin struggling to reclaim key technical levels. On the 4-hour chart, the cryptocurrency traded near $60,100, just above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement around $60,065, while remaining below the Supertrend resistance near $60,900. A descending trendline connecting lower highs since mid-June continued to cap rallies, leaving sellers in control unless buyers reclaim nearby resistance.

Bitcoin 4-hour chart showing price below Supertrend resistance, testing the 23.6% Fibonacci level as a descending trendline caps the recovery.
Bitcoin 4-hour price chart — July 1 | Source: crypto.news

If buyers manage to break above the Supertrend and the descending trendline, Bitcoin could target the 38.2% Fibonacci level near $61,444, followed by $62,559 at the 50% retracement. A sustained move beyond those barriers would expose the 61.8% Fibonacci level around $63,673, with the 78.6% retracement near $65,261 becoming the next major upside objective.

On the downside, losing the $60,065 Fibonacci support could increase selling pressure toward the recent swing low around $57,835. A break below that level would invalidate the current rebound attempt and leave Bitcoin vulnerable to a deeper decline if buyers fail to step in.

Momentum indicators, however, hinted at improving conditions. The MACD histogram has turned positive and the MACD lines have started curling higher, suggesting bearish momentum is fading even though a confirmed bullish trend reversal has yet to develop.

For now, Bitcoin’s short-term direction may depend on whether institutional demand returns after the latest ETF outflows.

Advertisement

A recovery above nearby resistance could strengthen the case for a move toward the mid-$63,000 region, while another rejection may keep attention on support near $57,800. Zhao’s $1 million forecast, meanwhile, continues to rest on a much longer timeline driven by rising global Bitcoin ownership rather than short-term fund flows.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

Advertisement

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Crypto claws back some losses but derivatives markets point to more pain ahead: Crypto Markets Today

Published

on

Crypto claws back some losses but derivatives markets point to more pain ahead: Crypto Markets Today

Bitcoin rose 0.3% to $58,700 on Wednesday, showing a sliver of strength after spiking down to $57,700, the lowest point since September 2024, shortly after midnight UTC.

Ether (ETH) is at $1,580, having also experienced a slight relief bounce since 01:00 UTC.

U.S. equity index futures are lower since midnight UTC, with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures in the red by 0.2%-0.4%

Risk assets like crypto and tech stocks have been struggling in recent weeks as concerns of impending inflation have lifted the U.S. dollar and made traders cautious.

Advertisement

The altcoin market has been the hardest hit because it lacks the liquidity and demand to deal with precipitous moves to the downside and liquidation cascades.

Derivatives positioning

  • A total of $395 million worth of crypto futures bets have been liquidated in 24 hours, with bullish plays accounting for most of the tally. That’s hardly surprising given BTC’s dip to lows under $58,000 early in the day.
  • The real story is crude futures listed on crypto exchanges. They have seen liquidations worth $15 million, the fifth-largest tally among all tokens. The figure shows just how popular TradFi trading has become on crypto exchanges.
  • BTC’s futures open interest (OI) jumped to 768K BTC from 740K BTC a day ago. While the influx of money is encouraging, it’s unclear whether the bias is for bullish or bearish bets. For instance, the annualized funding rates hover near 5%, hinting at a bullish bias, while the 24-hour cumulative volume delta is negative, suggesting bears are being more aggressive and trading with market orders rather than passive limit orders.
  • Gold perpetual futures OI hit a record high of 222K XAU tokens. This comes as the metal’s spot price shows a bearish death cross, signaled by the 50-day simple moving average crossing below the 200-day SMA. Prominent gold ETFs are displaying a similar bearish pattern.
  • Bitcoin and ether’s 30-day implied volatility indexes are steady after June’s double-digit gains. Bitcoin’s index, BVIV, is now hemmed between the 200-day average as resistance and the 50-day as support. A break above the 200-day MA might mean new turbulence and a deeper price slide.
  • On Deribit, bitcoin and ether puts remain pricier than calls across all time frames as traders seek downside protection.
  • Key flows at over-the-counter desk Paradigm featured demand for the September expiry bitcoin put at the $50K strike price. This is a bet that prices could slide below $50K by the end of the third quarter. Meanwhile, someone lifted a SOL call option at the $86 strike. The token is currently trading around $75.

Token talk

  • While the broader altcoin market is struggling, Solana-based DeFi token jupiter (JUP) has posted a trend reversal, rising by 11% since midnight UTC with a 55% increase in daily trading volume.
  • The increase comes alongside a jump in total value locked (TVL), with the protocol, a decentralized exchange (DEX) aggregator. TVL has risen to more than 20 million SOL from 13.9 million in May.
  • Stellar lumens (XLM) extended gains, rising from $0.168 on Sunday to $0.196, an increase of 17%.
  • The strong performance of a select few altcoins kept CoinMarketCap’s “Altcoin Season” index sticky at around 48/100 after ending June little changed despite weakness across the sector.
  • AI tokens have been the recipient of that weakness. Bittensor (TAO) lost 2.5% on Wednesday and is now down by over 30% since June 15.

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Cloudflare Launches Monetization Gateway for Stablecoin Payments via x402

Published

on

Cloudflare Launches Monetization Gateway for Stablecoin Payments via x402


Cloudflare opened a waitlist Wednesday for its Monetization Gateway, a new tool letting customers charge for any web page, dataset, API or MCP tool sitting behind its network. Payments settle in stablecoins over the x402 protocol. The announcement came from Cloudflare's official X account Wednesday… Read the full story at The Defiant

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

CLARITY Act Faces Sub-50% Odds as Senate Clock Ticks Toward August

Published

on

CLARITY Act Faces Sub-50% Odds as Senate Clock Ticks Toward August

Jefferies analyst Andrew Moss and his team warned Monday that the CLARITY Act, the defining crypto regulation bill of this Congress, faces a compressing Senate window, with Polymarket odds of passage by end-2026 now sitting at 48%, down from 70% in mid-May.

The bank is flagging elevated near-term crypto volatility across both tokens and blockchain-related equities as the legislative outcome sharpens into a binary event.

The drop in prediction-market odds reflects three converging pressures: unresolved ethics provisions, outstanding disputes over illicit finance language, and a Senate floor calendar that offers roughly 20 legislative days before the August recess.

Miss that window and the market structure bill does not simply get rescheduled, it gets repriced entirely. “Failure to pass Clarity before the August recess could push the bill out to next year, or even later, if Democrats flip the Senate in November,” Moss and his colleagues said in the note.

Jefferies specifically flagged Coinbase (COIN), Circle (CRCL), and Bullish (BLSH) as the crypto-linked equities most exposed to legislative-driven swings, alongside select tokens.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

CLARITY Act: The August Recess Is the Real Deadline

Advertisement

The CLARITY Act cleared the Senate Banking Committee on May 14 in a 15-9 bipartisan vote, drawing all Republican members and two Democrats. That looks like momentum. The procedural math that follows does not.

Before any full Senate floor vote, lawmakers must reconcile two separate committee-passed versions, the Banking Committee’s bill and the Senate Agriculture Committee’s Digital Commodity Intermediaries Act, then align the merged text with the House-passed H.R. 3633 (which cleared 294-134 in July 2025), and clear a 60-vote cloture threshold to overcome a filibuster.

That is four distinct procedural gates, compressed into approximately 20 working legislative days before recess. First, the Banking and Agriculture versions contain substantively different approaches to CFTC jurisdiction over digital commodities, and no merged text has been published as of late June.

Advertisement

Second, the ethics provisions attached during committee markup have not found consensus, with some members seeking to strip them and others treating them as non-negotiable. Third, law enforcement agencies have raised objections to specific DeFi exemption language, adding another negotiating variable that could slow floor scheduling.

JPMorgan made a similar call earlier in June, warning that the crypto market structure bill may have only a limited window for passage this year as the congressional calendar tightens ahead of midterm elections.

The stablecoin yield debate, which Standard Chartered has estimated could redirect up to $500 billion in deposits if resolved permissively, remains an open variable that complicates any rushed compromise. If the bill slips past August, it re-enters a Senate environment potentially reshaped by November elections, at which point Democratic gains could shift the 60-vote calculus against it entirely.

Advertisement

What Jefferies Is Actually Flagging, And What Polymarket Already Priced In

The Jefferies note is not the first sell-side warning on this timeline, but the 22-point collapse in Polymarket odds since mid-May gives it harder backing than prior analyst commentary.

Galaxy Digital’s Alex Thorn cut his firm’s passage probability from 60% to 50% on June 26, citing calendar compression rather than policy disputes as the primary driver. Jefferies has now landed below that level on the prediction market, suggesting the street is converging on sub-50% as the base case.

What the Jefferies note adds is equity-specific granularity. For Coinbase, the exposure is direct: the exchange’s product suite, staking, lending, rewards on USDC holdings, operates in the regulatory gray zones the CLARITY Act would either sanction or constrain. A delay preserves the current ambiguity but also preserves enforcement risk, particularly with an SEC that has shown willingness to act on custody and yield products.

Advertisement
Source: Polymarket

For Circle, the situation is genuinely mixed: the current bill text would reportedly close the loophole enabling third parties like Coinbase to offer rewards on USDC, which could suppress USDC growth metrics, while a delay gives Circle more runway to diversify revenue beyond stablecoin reserve income before that provision lands.

The detail most readers are missing is the asymmetry in the delay scenario. Recent guidance from the SEC, CFTC, and OCC has improved the near-term operating environment for institutional crypto participants, but Jefferies is explicit that agency guidance is reversible.

A future administration can undo every no-action letter and staff bulletin without legislation. The CLARITY Act would create durable statutory clarity that agencies cannot unwind unilaterally, that distinction is what makes the bill material beyond a single news cycle.

Don’t Miss Out on Our $1,000 USDT Airdrop on ByBit

The post CLARITY Act Faces Sub-50% Odds as Senate Clock Ticks Toward August appeared first on Cryptonews.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Opendoor (OPEN) Stock Surges 9% Following Russell 3000 Addition and Options Activity

Published

on

OPEN Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • OPEN shares climbed more than 9% Wednesday, reaching approximately $5.05
  • Russell 3000 Index welcomed Opendoor, with inclusion taking effect June 26
  • Leadership compensation structure emphasizes performance metrics, attracting investor focus
  • Eric Jackson from EMJ Capital projects $82 per share by 2028 and $500 by 2033
  • Options traders showed strong conviction: 99,802 call contracts at double normal volume, Put/Call Ratio at 0.14

Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) shares surged over 9% during Wednesday’s session, reaching the $5.05 level, fueled by a combination of benchmark index entry, optimistic Wall Street commentary, and aggressive derivatives positioning in the proptech name.


OPEN Stock Card
Opendoor Technologies Inc., OPEN

The rally followed confirmation that Opendoor secured a spot in the Russell 3000 Index, officially taking effect at market close on June 26. Such benchmark additions typically trigger institutional buying from passive funds replicating the index composition.

Market participants have also taken note of CEO Kaz Nejatian’s compensation framework, which emphasizes performance-driven incentives. This structure demonstrates executive alignment with shareholder value creation over the long haul rather than guaranteed base compensation.

The most vocal optimist remains Eric Jackson from EMJ Capital, who has characterized Opendoor as experiencing “real estate’s Tesla moment.” Jackson projects the stock could reach $82 per share by 2028, with an ambitious long-range forecast of $500 by 2033.

Jackson’s investment case centers on Opendoor’s vertical integration strategy, asset class ownership, and possibilities around real estate tokenization. While extremely aggressive, the thesis has captured market attention.

Advertisement

Chart Analysis and Key Price Levels

Examining the technical picture, OPEN currently trades 12.7% above its 20-day simple moving average of $4.51 and 5.8% above its 50-day average at $4.81. This positioning indicates near-term momentum favors buyers.

The extended timeframe presents a more complicated scenario. Shares remain 14.6% beneath the 200-day moving average of $5.96, indicating the long-term trend hasn’t completely reversed course.

The MACD indicator sits above its signal line with positive histogram readings, suggesting strengthening momentum. However, the death cross formation from March — when the 50-day average dropped below the 200-day — remains a technical headwind signaling unresolved long-term weakness.

Critical resistance appears at $5.50, a psychological level where previous rallies have encountered selling pressure. Downside support emerges at $4.50, coinciding with the 20-day moving average zone.

Advertisement

Derivatives Activity Signals Bullish Positioning

The options arena delivered perhaps the most compelling signal Wednesday. Total call volume reached 99,802 contracts in OPEN, approximately double normal activity levels.

The most heavily traded positions included the July 2nd weekly $5 calls and $5.50 calls, combining for nearly 32,200 contracts. Implied volatility expanded more than 3 points to 85.43%.

The Put/Call Ratio registered just 0.14 — an extremely low reading indicating traders are predominantly positioned for continued upside movement in coming sessions.

Opendoor is scheduled to report quarterly earnings on August 6.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Venice Raises $65M Series A at $1B Valuation Led by Dragonfly

Published

on

Venice Raises $65M Series A at $1B Valuation Led by Dragonfly


Venice, a privacy-first AI platform founded by Erik Voorhees, raised a $65 million Series A at a $1 billion equity valuation in a round led by Dragonfly. It is the company's first outside capital since launching. Voorhees announced the round Wednesday morning, saying Venice hit profitability in the… Read the full story at The Defiant

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2025