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Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) best positioned in prediction market space, says Cantor

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Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) best positioned in prediction market space, says Cantor

Trading venues Robinhood (HOOD) and Coinbase (COIN) could emerge as the main public-market beneficiaries of the rapid rise in prediction markets, according to a new report from Cantor Fitzgerald.

The report argues that while leading platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket remain private, listed companies are already tapping into the trend by integrating event-based trading into their apps.

These markets let users buy contracts tied to real-world outcomes, from elections to economic data, with prices reflecting the crowd’s view of probability.

“Prediction markets have exploded onto the scene,” Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Ramsey El-Assal wrote, noting that contract volumes are expected to continue their “impressive recent growth trend.”

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For firms like Robinhood and Coinbase, the appeal is straightforward. Prediction markets generate revenue through trading activity, not by taking the other side of bets. That model mirrors equities and crypto trading, where both companies already operate at scale.

Robinhood, in particular, has seen strong early traction. The company launched its prediction markets hub following the 2024 U.S. election cycle, and the product quickly became one of its fastest-growing business lines by revenue. Since launch, users have traded billions of contracts tied to sports, politics and macro events.

Coinbase has taken a similar approach but is earlier in its rollout. Its prediction market offering, powered by Kalshi’s infrastructure, is now available across its user base. While still in its early stages, the product spans categories such as crypto, economics and global events.

Cantor frames the opportunity as a function of scale. Platforms with large retail audiences and existing trading infrastructure have a built-in advantage, allowing them to drive liquidity and participation quickly.

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The report also pushes back on the idea that prediction markets are simply gambling. “A common misunderstanding about prediction markets is that they are gambling platforms in disguise,” it said. Instead, users “trade against other participants by buying contracts they believe are ‘underpriced’ and selling ‘overpriced’ contracts,” similar to equities markets.

That structure means platforms earn fees from activity, not losses. Prices update in real time as new information enters the market, creating what the report describes as “continuously updated forecasts” driven by financial incentives.

Beyond retail use, Cantor sees longer-term applications in hedging and forecasting. “Prediction markets will emerge as a versatile tool for institutional investors,” the report said, pointing to potential use in risk management and macro hedging.

Still, regulation remains the key uncertainty. The report describes the current environment as “messy,” with federal and state authorities split on whether prediction markets fall under derivatives law or gambling rules.

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Cantor’s bottom line is that prediction markets are unlikely to fade. As the regulatory picture becomes clearer, firms with large user bases and strong distribution, such as Robinhood and Coinbase, could be in the best position to capitalize.

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Solana price forms symmetrical triangle amid MACD cross

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Will Solana price break out of its symmetrical triangle as a daily MACD crossover confirms? - 2

Solana price is at $83.37 on April 14, down 3.63% on the session, as a symmetrical triangle formed on the daily chart over the past two months continues to compress price action toward its apex. A daily MACD bullish crossover has now printed inside the pattern, adding a momentum signal to a setup that traders and analysts are watching closely for directional resolution.

Summary

  • Solana price is trading at $83.37 on April 14, down 3.63% on the session, as a symmetrical triangle forms on the daily chart with converging trendlines connecting the February highs near $110 and the February lows near $67.
  • The daily MACD (12,26,9) has printed a bullish crossover with the histogram positive at 0.45, confirming improving momentum inside the triangle while both lines remain below zero.
  • A triangle breakout above the SMA 50 at $85.61 opens a path toward $98.42; a daily close below $80 invalidates the bull case and exposes the lower trendline near $76.

Solana (SOL) price is trading at $83.37 on April 14 with 24-hour volume of $6.28 billion, as a symmetrical triangle tightens on the daily chart. The pattern has been compressing price since mid-February, with the upper descending trendline connecting the February highs and the lower ascending trendline running from the cycle lows. The MA ribbon sits entirely above price: SMA 20 at $82.74, SMA 50 at $85.61, SMA 100 at $98.42, and SMA 200 at $129.44, all acting as sequential overhead resistance. The MACD crossover inside the triangle narrows the window before a directional resolution is forced by the apex.

The symmetrical triangle on the daily chart is defined by two converging trendlines that reflect a standoff between sellers applying progressively lower resistance and buyers establishing a higher floor from the February lows. The pattern has been building since mid-February, with price oscillating inside the boundaries through the Iran-driven volatility in March and into April. Price is now within striking distance of the apex, where a breakout or breakdown is typically accelerated by the energy stored in the compression.

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Will Solana price break out of its symmetrical triangle as a daily MACD crossover confirms? - 2

The MACD (12,26,9) has printed a bullish crossover inside the triangle, with the MACD line at -0.72 crossing above the signal at -1.16 and the histogram expanding to a positive 0.45. Both lines remain below zero, which limits the strength of the signal, but the expanding positive histogram confirms that sellers are losing control of momentum. Symmetrical triangles resolved with a MACD crossover in the direction of the breakout have historically carried higher follow-through rates than pattern breakouts occurring on flat momentum.

A CoinMarketCap markets update on April 14 noted that analysts see $108 as the next major target for SOL if momentum holds above $87, with bulls defending the $80 structural floor. The same update flagged Solana’s total economic activity reaching $1.1 trillion in Q1 2026, a 6,558% increase from the prior quarter, as evidence that the network fundamentals are decoupled from the current price structure.

Key Levels: Support, Resistance, and Price Targets

The SMA 20 at $82.74 is the immediate support and the level price must hold on a daily close basis to avoid slipping into the lower trendline near $80. A daily close below the lower trendline near $76 would break the ascending floor of the symmetrical triangle and shift the bias decisively bearish.

On the upside, the SMA 50 at $85.61 is the immediate resistance and the level a confirmed triangle breakout must clear on a daily close basis to attract follow-through buying. A close above $85.61 opens $98.42 as the next resistance, where the SMA 100 sits. The extended bull case, consistent with the symmetrical triangle measured target using the pattern’s widest point, points toward $108 to $110.

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Invalidation: a daily close below $80.

On-Chain and Market Data Context

Solana open interest stands at $5.01 billion per Coinglass, with futures volume reaching $10.98 billion in the past 24 hours. The elevated futures volume relative to spot activity of $630 million confirms that derivatives participants are the dominant force at the current price level, and the symmetrical triangle breakout direction is likely to be amplified by a cascade of positions on the wrong side of the move. Approximately $8.1 million in Solana futures positions were liquidated in the same 24-hour window.

Bloomberg Intelligence analyst James Seyffart noted in March that roughly 30 institutional investors had accumulated approximately $540 million in Solana ETF exposure, led by Electric Capital and Goldman Sachs, providing a structural demand floor at current levels even as price action remains technically compressed.

If Solana holds $82.74 on a daily close basis and the MACD histogram continues to expand, a test of the SMA 50 at $85.61 becomes the nearterm base case. A confirmed daily close above it would trigger the symmetrical triangle breakout and open $98.42 as the primary target, with $108 as the extended objective.

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SETI telescope data goes onchain

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SETI telescope data goes onchain

Avalanche is moving beyond finance and into outer space, with a new network designed to verify telescope data in real time.

SkyMapper has introduced a dedicated Avalanche-based network that cryptographically records observations from telescopes around the world, turning each data point into a secure, verifiable digital record.

The new network, SkyMapper L1, collects data from a wide range of telescopes and sensors around the world and turns each observation into a secure digital record. The company calls this a “Proof of Space Observation” (POSO) — essentially a way to prove that a specific event in the sky was actually seen, when it happened, and that the data hasn’t been altered. These verified records can then be used by scientists, businesses or government agencies that need reliable space data.

The SETI Institute, known for its search for extraterrestrial intelligence, is contributing live observational data, marking one of the first production-scale integrations of institutional science into a blockchain-based verification system.

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SkyMapper’s pitch centers on a growing problem: the explosion of data from satellites, drones and space missions, and the difficulty of verifying that data hasn’t been altered or misattributed. The team argues that blockchain can help solve this by creating a permanent, tamper-resistant record of each observation that anyone can independently verify.

The system works by validating observations at the moment they are captured. When a telescope in the network records an event — such as a satellite pass or deep-space signal — the data is immediately cryptographically signed, effectively creating a unique fingerprint tied to that device. The observation is then time-stamped and transmitted through SkyMapper’s infrastructure.

Instead of keeping all the data in one central database, SkyMapper spreads it across a decentralized storage network. At the same time, it saves a kind of digital fingerprint of that data on the Avalanche blockchain. This fingerprint means anyone can later check it to confirm the data is real and hasn’t been changed.

The network uses smart contracts to check incoming data, organize it, and control who can access it. Some information — like sensitive government or defense data — can be kept private, while other data, such as scientific research, can be shared openly.

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The result is a system where each observation can be independently verified: users can check when and where it was recorded, confirm it hasn’t been tampered with, and trace it back to its source.

“We’re building blockchain infrastructure for real-world impact,” said Emin Gün Sirer, founder and CEO of Ava Labs. “SkyMapper’s work anchoring observatory data on Avalanche shows how this technology can transform science, providing tamper-proof, verifiable telescope records.”

Read more: FIFA Teams Up With Avalanche to Build Its Own Blockchain, Expanding Web3 Ambition

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WLFI Risks 20% Drop As World Liberty Financial Faces Insider Allegations

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Donald Trump, Price Analysis, Tech Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch

World Liberty Financial’s WLFI token risks dipping 20% in April, according to a mix of convincing technical and fundamental indicators.

Key takeaways:

Bear pennant hints at WLFI dip in April

As of Tuesday, WLFI was consolidating inside a classic bear flag, a continuation pattern that typically forms after a sharp decline.

In technical analysis, a bear flag typically resolves when the price breaks below the lower trendline alongside rising trading volumes and falls by as much as the structure’s maximum height.

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Donald Trump, Price Analysis, Tech Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch
WLFI/USDT four-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Applying this classic rule to WLFI’s chart brings its measured downside target to around $0.066 in April, down about 20% from the current price levels.

Conversely, a break below the upper trendline risks invalidating the bear flag setup, with the 20-day (green) and 50-day (red) exponential moving averages (EMAs) at around $0.081 and $0.085 serving as primary upside targets.

Insider activity, token unlock fears add pressure

Beyond technicals, WLFI faces mounting scrutiny that continues to weigh on sentiment.

On-chain data from Arkham Intelligence show wallets linked to the project deposited roughly 3–5 billion WLFI tokens—largely illiquid—as collateral on Dolomite to borrow about $75 million in stablecoins, including USD1 and USDC.

Source: X

Over $40 million was later moved to Coinbase Prime. The position pushed pool utilization to ~93%, restricting withdrawals and drawing criticism for “circular” liquidity extraction.

The structure is risky because it uses thinly traded internal tokens to borrow real liquidity, meaning any sharp WLFI price drop could trap depositors, trigger bad debt, and deepen selling pressure.

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Source: X

At the same time, markets are bracing for a proposed unlock of over 16 billion WLFI tied to still-locked public allocations, raising dilution risks.

Adding to the pressure, Tron founder Justin Sun, who reportedly invested ~$75 million and became an adviser, again accused WLFI of embedding a hidden backdoor blacklisting function in the smart contract.

Related: US President Trump faces renewed backlash as Trump-linked tokens crash

This allegedly allowed the team to unilaterally freeze his wallet/assets without notice or recourse, violating “decentralization” promises.

He called it a trap, denounced “token scandals,” claimed governance votes were rigged/non-transparent and demanded unlocks/transparency.

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