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Coinbase Misses Q4 Earnings; $667M Loss as Crypto Markets Slump

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Investors faced a sobering quarter as Coinbase reported a net loss for Q4 2025, snapping an eight-quarter streak of profitability as the crypto market cooled. The company posted earnings per share of 66 cents, missing consensus of 92 cents, while revenue slipped 21.5% year over year to $1.78 billion. A mixed revenue mix underscored the shift in the business: transaction-related revenue declined sharply, while subscriptions and services advanced, highlighting a bifurcated earnings trajectory in a tighter crypto ecosystem. The quarter arrived against a backdrop of a broader crypto price retreat, with Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) enduring meaningful pressure through the period and into year-end.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 2025 net loss of $667 million ends Coinbase’s run of eight straight profitable quarters, reflecting a weaker quarterly mix and softer market conditions.
  • Total revenue dropped to $1.78 billion, down 21.5% year over year, underscoring a broader demand slowdown in trading activity.
  • Transaction-related revenue tumbled nearly 37% year over year to $982.7 million, while subscription and services revenue rose more than 13% to $727.4 million, signaling a pivot toward non-transactional monetization.
  • Bitcoin price action contributed to the macro headwinds, with the leading crypto shedding roughly 30% from its October peak to year-end, illustrating why crypto market cycles continued to weigh on exchange earnings.
  • Despite the earnings miss, Coinbase’s stock (EXCHANGE: COIN) recovered in after-hours trading, gaining about 2.9% to $145.18 after a full trading day decline, reflecting a nuanced market reaction to the results and forward guidance.

Tickers mentioned: $BTC, $COIN

Sentiment: Neutral

Price impact: Positive. The stock rose in after-hours trading following the earnings release despite the quarterly miss, signaling a potential reassessment of near-term expectations.

Market context: The results arrive amid a broader macro environment for crypto assets where price volatility and trading volumes have remained central to revenue durability for major exchanges, and where investor focus has shifted toward product diversification and cost discipline.

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Why it matters

The quarterly print underscores the ongoing transition for a major crypto exchange from a revenue model heavily reliant on trading activity toward a more diversified mix anchored in subscriptions, services, and value-added offerings. Coinbase, in its Q4 2025 shareholder documentation, highlighted that 2025 was a “strong year” operationally and financially, with full-year revenues reaching $6.88 billion, up 9.4% from 2024. This indicates a strategy aimed at resilience in the face of cyclical downturns, leveraging product expansion and platform reach to sustain long-term profitability even when trading volumes ebb.

From a market structure perspective, the numbers reflect a clear divergence within the crypto economy: trading remains sensitive to price swings and risk sentiment, while an expanding suite of services—including custody, staking, and AI-enabled wallet products—offers revenue visibility beyond quarterly price moves. Coinbase’s leadership has stressed that more than 12% of all crypto globally resided on its platform in 2025, a stark data point that underscores the bankability of scale and network effects in this nascent asset class. The shift toward a steadier subscription and services revenue base could insulate the company from near-term volatility and set the stage for steadier long-run growth.

On the earnings call, CFO Aleshia Haas emphasized operational discipline, noting plans to keep technology, sales, and marketing expenses relatively flat in the near term while evaluating opportunities to deploy resources more efficiently. This stance signals a prioritization of cash-generative activities and careful investment in product development, a balance that may appeal to investors seeking a secular growth story within a still-fragile macro environment.

The quarter’s performance also touches on investor sentiment around cryptoasset risk and institutional flow. The broader market has experienced episodic stress, and the company’s performance appears tightly linked to the health of Bitcoin and other major assets as traders respond to global liquidity shifts, regulatory updates, and evolving market structure debates. In this context, Coinbase’s results offer a lens into how a large crypto exchange navigates a period of cyclical headwinds while pursuing a trajectory that relies less on trading volatility and more on recurring revenue streams and product expansion.

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What to watch next

  • Q4-25 shareholder letter release and detailed segment breakdown to assess how much the revenue mix shifted beyond transaction revenue.
  • Q1 outlook updates, including any revisions to subscription and services revenue guidance and the trajectory of transaction revenue as market conditions evolve.
  • Updates on product initiatives, especially any milestones around AI-enabled wallets or other services that broaden asset utility on the platform.
  • Bitcoin price trends in early 2026 and corresponding impact on trading volumes and fee-based revenue for Coinbase and similar exchanges.
  • Regulatory developments or macro signals that influence risk sentiment in the crypto market, which could affect liquidity and user activity on the platform.

Sources & verification

  • Coinbase Q4-25 Shareholder Letter (PDF) – official financial disclosure for the quarter and full-year 2025.
  • Q4 2025 earnings data and commentary – as described in the shareholder letter and accompanying materials.
  • Bitcoin price movements referenced in market coverage and related context articles linked in the report.
  • Post-earnings trading data for Coinbase (COIN) stock, including after-hours move to approximately $145.18 and intraday trade levels.
  • Related Coinbase product and strategy articles cited in the earnings narrative, including references to AI wallet initiatives and platform expansion.

Market reaction and key details

Coinbase’s quarterly results foreground a critical moment for the crypto exchange sector: profitability in a market that remains highly sensitive to both crypto price cycles and the intensity of trading activity. In the quarter, Coinbase’s total revenue of $1.78 billion reflected a decline in transactional income, even as the company advanced its services-based revenue. The shift aligns with a broader push in the industry to monetize platform usage beyond buy/sell activity, a move designed to stabilize earnings amid volatile asset prices.

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) endured a meaningful pullback during the quarter, illustrating the bidirectional relationship between asset prices and exchange revenues. The asset’s gradient—from highs near six figures to more subdued levels—has tangible implications for liquidity, trading volumes, and fee accrual on major platforms. While the exact trajectory of crypto price action is inherently uncertain, the quarter’s data points reinforce the importance of a diversified revenue model for exchanges seeking resilience during bear-to-bull transitions in the market.

What it means for users and the market

For users, the emphasis on subscriptions and services could translate into broader access to tools that help manage, secure, and optimize holdings beyond straightforward trading. The potential to link more products to user assets could deepen engagement and wallet utility, potentially driving retention and incremental revenue through non-transactional channels. For builders and investors, Coinbase’s approach underscores the importance of a scalable, multi-pronged business model in the crypto economy, particularly as regulatory clarity evolves and market structure debates continue to unfold.

What to watch next

  • Q4-25 investor communications with detailed breakdowns of revenue by services vs. transaction flows.
  • Near-term guidance updates, including subscription/services outlook and any changes to capital allocation strategy.
  • Progress updates on AI-enabled wallet initiatives and other product launches intended to expand asset use-cases on the platform.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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BlackRock Files $BITA for Bitcoin Income ETF Strategy

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • BlackRock assigned the ticker $BITA to its proposed iShares Bitcoin Premium Income ETF.
  • The company filed an amended S-1 registration statement for the new Bitcoin fund.
  • The ETF will combine spot Bitcoin exposure with a covered call options strategy.
  • Eric Balchunas said BlackRock has not set a management fee and estimated 38 basis points.
  • The fund plans to hold Bitcoin-linked assets, including shares of IBIT.

BlackRock has advanced its Bitcoin product range by assigning the ticker $BITA to a new income-focused ETF. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas confirmed the update on X and referenced an amended S-1 filing. The product will combine spot Bitcoin exposure with an options overlay strategy.

BlackRock Advances Bitcoin Premium Income Structure

BlackRock plans to list the fund as the iShares Bitcoin Premium Income ETF under the ticker $BITA. Eric Balchunas stated on X that the firm filed an amended S-1 registration statement. He described the fund as a sequel to the company’s existing Bitcoin ETF lineup.

He added that BlackRock has not set a management fee for the product. However, he placed his “over/under” estimate at 38 basis points. The company has not announced an official launch date.

The proposed ETF will hold Bitcoin-linked assets, including shares of the iShares Bitcoin Trust. The trust trades under the ticker IBIT and provides spot Bitcoin exposure. The new strategy will also write covered call options on those holdings to generate premium income.

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According to prior SEC filings, the structure aims to deliver income while tracking Bitcoin’s price performance. The fund will reflect Bitcoin returns net of expenses. BlackRock designed the ETF to expand beyond passive exposure into yield-based strategies.

The filing shows that the fund will combine direct exposure with an income-generating overlay. The approach mirrors covered call equity ETFs that seek steady option premiums. BlackRock continues to broaden its institutional crypto offerings through structured products.

Morgan Stanley Moves Forward With MSBT Listing

Morgan Stanley has progressed with its own spot Bitcoin ETF under the proposed ticker MSBT. The New York Stock Exchange issued a listing notice earlier this year. If approved, MSBT would mark the first spot Bitcoin ETF issued by a major U.S. bank.

The trust will hold Bitcoin in custody and allow brokerage clients to access spot exposure. Coinbase Custody will safeguard the Bitcoin in cold storage. BNY Mellon will manage administration, transfer agency services, and cash operations.

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Filings revealed that MSBT will carry a 0.14% annual expense ratio. That fee undercuts BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, which charges about 0.25%. The competitive pricing may support distribution within Morgan Stanley’s wealth platform.

Morgan Stanley oversees trillions in client assets across its advisory network. The firm plans to seed the ETF with about 50,000 shares valued at about $1million. The structure aligns with existing U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Recent data shows that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have attracted tens of billions in inflows since launch. Asset managers continue to compete on fees and product design. Regulators have not yet announced final approval dates for either $BITA or MSBT.

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Bitcoin Price Holds Firm Without Historic Profit Reset

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • Bitcoin price rose 3% in 24 hours and moved back above $68,000.
  • The 365-day average profitability remains high at 87.5%, showing no full market reset.
  • Analysts said past bear markets saw the long-term average drop near 63.8% before recovery.
  • Current data shows 66.4% of the Bitcoin supply remains in profit despite recent declines.
  • Bitcoin continues to trade above the $54,000 Realized Price level.

Bitcoin (BTC) price opened in April above $68,000 after a 3% daily gain, yet the broader trend remains downward. On-chain data shows long-term profitability remains elevated despite recent declines. Analysts state the market has not completed the deep reset seen in prior bear cycles.

Bitcoin Price Holds Above $68,000 as Long-Term Profitability Stays Elevated

Bitcoin price climbed 3% in 24 hours and traded above $68,000 at press time. However, price action still reflects a prevailing downtrend across higher time frames. Short-term rebounds continue, yet broader market pressure persists.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. said profitability metrics have not reached prior bear market lows. He stated that 66.4% of the Bitcoin supply remains in profit as of April 1, 2026. Meanwhile, the 30-day moving average stands at 69.1%, which reflects reduced short-term gains.

Adler highlighted the 365-day moving average, which remains elevated at 87.5%. He said previous cycles saw this metric fall sharply before full recovery phases began. In late 2017, the indicator reached 96% before dropping to 63.8% by May 2019.

He explained that this earlier decline confirmed a complete market reset. In contrast, the current 365-day average has not approached those historical lows. Therefore, long-term holders still retain strong profitability levels despite ongoing drawdowns.

Historical Reset Levels and Realized Price at $54,000 Remain Key Reference Points

Adler compared the current downturn with corrections in September 2023 and September 2024. He said those pullbacks weakened short-term profitability but left long-term averages intact. The 2026 decline pushed the metric down to 55.7%, while the 30-day average fell to 66.7%.

Despite deeper losses this year, the 365-day average remains near 87.5%. Adler stated, “As long as the 365DMA stays elevated, the market resembles an extended correction.” He added that a full capitulation phase would require a sharper long-term profitability drop.

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Separately, analyst Ardi reviewed Bitcoin’s seasonal performance trends since 2014. He reported that April ranks as the third-strongest month historically, with a 9.1% average return. However, he said market context matters because 2026 reflects bear market conditions.

Ardi cited April 2014, when Bitcoin declined 2%, and April 2022, when it fell 18.7%. He also referenced April 2018, which delivered a 35.7% rebound within a broader downturn. According to him, strong monthly averages do not override prevailing trends.

CryptoQuant analyst Tugce focused on Bitcoin’s Realized Price, currently near $54,000. She said Bitcoin historically falls below this level before forming major cycle bottoms. Tugce stated, “The $54,000 area represents a key historical threshold during bear phases.”

She added that price could trade below the Realized Price for an extended period. Historical data shows previous bear markets reached that stage before recovery began. Bitcoin continues to trade well above $54,000 as of the latest market update.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction Heats Up as Nakamoto Inc Sells $20M in BTC and Pepeto Eyes 100x Before Listing

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Bitcoin Price Prediction Heats Up as Nakamoto Inc Sells $20M in BTC and Pepeto Eyes 100x Before Listing

Nakamoto Inc, the bitcoin treasury firm chaired by entrepreneur David Bailey, quietly sold 284 BTC for $20 million during March at an average price of $70,422 per coin, a price Bitcoin has not touched since, while Strategy continues targeting one million BTC by year end with holdings now at 762,099 coins according to 99Bitcoins. The contrast between one treasury selling and another aggressively buying tells you everything about where conviction sits in this market.

Pepeto has pulled in more than $8.69 million during this exact fear window, locking early holders into a fixed entry before the approaching Binance listing shifts the price permanently, and this bitcoin price prediction breakdown shows where committed capital is flowing while the crowd waits.

Bitcoin Price Prediction Shifts as Strategy Targets 1 Million BTC While Nakamoto Inc Takes Profits

Strategy now controls 762,099 BTC and is targeting one million coins by the end of 2026, funded through $1.2 billion in perpetual preferred shares called STRC that hit $300 million in single-day trading volume according to FinanceFeeds.

Exchange reserves dropped to a six year low of 2.31 million BTC per BeInCrypto, and the Fear and Greed Index sits at 8, the lowest reading since October 2023, a level that has historically produced positive 14-day forward returns 78% of the time according to Blockchain Magazine.

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The Fear and Greed Index in single digits is a reading that only appeared a handful of times before, and each time preceded recoveries that turned the bitcoin price prediction from bearish to explosive for holders who bought while everyone else was selling.

BTC Forecast Meets Presale Positioning in the Fear Zone

Pepeto Builds What Pepe Never Had and the Presale Proves It

Traders tracking the bitcoin price prediction are looking past surface level forecasts, they want an entry that places them before returns are already priced in. Pepeto is where that entry forms right now, created by the cofounder who built the original Pepe coin to an $11 billion peak with zero exchange tools.

The smart capital wants positioning before exchange listing removes the presale price permanently. Pepeto sits at $0.000000186 with a Binance listing approaching, and analysts project 100x to 300x from current levels, a gap that disappears the moment trading opens. More than $8.69 million raised during extreme fear confirms conviction money entering while the broader market hesitates, and every week that number climbs higher while the entry you are reading about right now gets one round closer to disappearing.

Pepeto stands apart because its exchange platform already runs and earns from every direction the market moves. PepetoSwap processes trades at zero cost so the position you build stays larger than it would on any platform taking a cut from both sides. The risk scorer checks every contract before you buy, so the money you move in stays protected while others learn the hard way which tokens were built to drain them.

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Staking at 190% APY stacks a passive return while the listing approaches. Every day the presale stays open is one more day you could be inside earning, and the wallets entering now through Pepeto are building positions that listing day converts into returns everyone outside will wish they had secured when this price still existed.

Bitcoin Price Prediction Holds Near $68,839 as Exchange Supply Reaches Cycle Lows

Bitcoin trades near $68,839 according to CoinMarketCap after weeks of range-bound consolidation as geopolitical tensions keep capital in defensive positions.

The 46% decline from October’s $126,210 all time high leaves BTC between $66,000 and $70,000, with Bernstein maintaining a $150,000 year end target citing Q1 ETF inflows of $18.7 billion per CoinDesk.

Strategy now controls 762,099 BTC according to filings, the highest corporate holding on record, while Nakamoto Inc’s $20M sale at $70,422 shows not all treasuries share the same conviction. The math from $68,839 to $150,000 delivers roughly 119% over months, real money but a fraction of what presale entries return when a confirmed listing sits weeks away.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction and the Presale Window That Fear Built

The bitcoin price prediction reveals a market pinned between fear and institutional buying, with BTC showing real corporate backing despite short term weakness. These are tested assets with active capital behind them, but timing in crypto cycles decides everything. Early BTC holders turned a few hundred dollars into generational wealth, and all of them say they wish they had bought more when no one was paying attention.

That pattern is forming around Pepeto now, with more than $8.69 million locked by wallets that see the signal before the Binance listing removes the presale price permanently. The capital flowing through the Pepeto official website is choosing which side of the listing it lands on before the window shuts.

Click To Visit Pepeto Website To Enter The Presale

FAQs:

What Is the Latest Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2026?

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Analysts target $150,000 by year end as Strategy accumulates 762,099 BTC during extreme fear, with BTC holding near $68,839 and Q1 ETF inflows reaching $18.7 billion.

Why Do Investors Compare BTC Forecasts With Presale Entries?

BTC’s projected move to $150,000 represents 119% gain over months, while presale entries before a confirmed listing deliver wider returns in a shorter window through the Pepeto official website.

Is Pepeto a Strong Entry During This Fear Cycle?

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The bitcoin price prediction cycle rewards early positioning, and Pepeto with more than $8.69 million raised and a Binance listing approaching gives early holders a confirmed entry before the presale price disappears permanently.


Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.

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Fed’s Barr Calls for Balanced US Stablecoin Rules Under GENIUS Act

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Federal Reserve, Legislation, United States, Stablecoin, Genius Act

US Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr said Tuesday that clearer US stablecoin rules could speed the market’s growth, but warned that regulators still need to address money laundering risks, bank run risks and consumer safeguards as they implement the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act.

Speaking at a Federalist Society event on stablecoin regulation, Barr said the law provides “needed clarity” for issuers, but that “a great deal will depend on how federal and state regulators implement the statute.”

Barr said stablecoins are still used mainly for crypto trading and as a US dollar store of value in some foreign markets, though they could also lower remittance costs, speed up trade finance processing and help firms manage treasury operations. He also highlighted the risk of bad actors buying stablecoins in secondary markets without identity checks, and said issuers may be tempted to stretch for yield in reserve assets in ways that undermine confidence during stress.

Barr’s speech also cast the stablecoin debate in historical terms. He said private money has a “long and painful history” when safeguards are weak, pointing to the Free Banking Era in the US, the Panic of 1907, money market fund stress during the global financial crisis and COVID-19 shock, and more recent stablecoin valuation pressure as reasons to be cautious about any asset marketed as redeemable at par on demand.

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Barr’s remarks come as US agencies move from legislation to rule-writing. The US Treasury Department opened a second round of public comment on implementing the GENIUS Act in September 2025, saying the law must be translated into rules that both encourage innovation and address illicit finance, consumer protections and financial stability risks.

Federal Reserve, Legislation, United States, Stablecoin, Genius Act
Brief Remarks on Stablecoins. Source: Federal Reserve

Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman told lawmakers in February that banking regulators were already working on capital and liquidity rules for stablecoin issuers, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation chair Travis Hill said in March that the agency does not expect stablecoins to receive deposit insurance under the law.

Related: Who gets the yield? CLARITY Act becomes fight over onchain dollars

Barr warns GENIUS Act rollout will test stablecoin safeguards

Barr’s speech signals where the implementation fights may land. He flagged reserve asset rules, regulatory arbitrage, the scope of issuer activities beyond issuance, capital and liquidity requirements, Anti-Money Laundering (AML) checks and consumer protection standards as the key issues still to be settled.

The GENIUS Act, signed into law on July 18, 2025, created a federal framework for payment stablecoins in the United States. The law requires issuers to maintain one-to-one backing with reserve assets such as US dollars and Treasury bills, and is expected to take effect 18 months after signing or 120 days after final agency rules are completed.

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Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026