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Coinbase’s Armstrong says big banks are trying to choke off stablecoin yields

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Coinbase’s Armstrong says big banks are trying to choke off stablecoin yields

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong says big banks are “undermining” President Trump’s crypto agenda by pushing CLARITY Act language that would ban 4–5% stablecoin yields now fueling Coinbase’s $1.35b revenue line.

In a Fox Business interview, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong accused major U.S. banks of “trying to undermine the president’s crypto agenda” by pushing to strip Americans of the ability to earn yield on stablecoins. He described the latest Senate draft as a “giveaway to the banks” that would “ban their competition” by shutting down yield on digital dollars. Armstrong argued banks are “taking money out of the pockets of hardworking, average Americans and putting it into the coffers of big banks hitting record profits.”

Under the 2025 GENIUS Act, stablecoin issuers must fully back tokens with cash or short-term Treasuries and are barred from paying interest directly, but exchanges like Coinbase have been allowed to pass on roughly 4–5% Treasury returns to customers via rewards programs. A new CLARITY Act compromise circulating in Washington would prohibit stablecoin yield “directly, indirectly, and through anything economically or functionally equivalent to bank interest,” while allowing only activity-based rewards. Coinbase has told senators it “cannot support” the current text.

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Trump’s Support and the Banking Lobby’s Fears

President Donald Trump has publicly sided with crypto firms, accusing banks on Truth Social of “threatening and undermining” the GENIUS Act and “holding the CLARITY Act hostage” over stablecoin yield. “Americans should earn money on their money,” Trump wrote, urging Congress to move the market-structure bill “ASAP.” According to reporting from Bloomberg, banks have cited Treasury studies suggesting they could lose up to hundreds of billions in deposits if stablecoin yields are permitted, warning this could pressure smaller institutions and weaken loan funding.

The numbers at stake explain the intensity. Coinbase generated about $1.35 billion in stablecoin revenue in 2025, roughly 19% of its total, driven largely by interest on USDC reserves backed by U.S. Treasuries. Total stablecoin volume reached an estimated $33 trillion last year, with USDC accounting for around $18.3 trillion of that flow. Analysts at Bloomberg Intelligence have projected that if USDC payment adoption accelerates, Coinbase’s stablecoin revenue could grow two- to sevenfold from its 2025 base.

For now, the yield fight has become the fulcrum of U.S. crypto policy: banks lobbying to close what they call a “loophole,” crypto platforms lobbying to preserve a core revenue line and a 4–5% return for users. With Trump publicly pressuring banks and Armstrong warning of “regulatory capture,” the eventual shape of the GENIUS–CLARITY framework will determine whether stablecoins remain a high-yield alternative to bank deposits or revert to being low-yield digital cash.

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Retail FUD Sentiment Rises as Bitcoin Falls Below $70,000: What Are The Implications?

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After a brief improvement in sentiment, fear has returned to the crypto market and continues to dominate social discussions. Bitcoin has dropped back below $70,000, raising concerns among retail investors.

Although negative sentiment is spreading across social media, on-chain data paints a more complex picture of retail investors’ actual role.

Retail FUD Sentiment Surges. Will Bitcoin Recover?

Blockchain analytics platform Santiment recently recorded a spike in negative Bitcoin-related keywords on social media.

Terms such as “dip” and “crash” appear frequently in BTC discussions. This reflects a significantly elevated level of FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) among retail investors.

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Santiment notes that extreme pessimism among retail investors often serves as a contrarian signal. When negativity becomes overwhelming, the market tends to recover as selling pressure nears exhaustion.

“Words like #dip, #pullback, #rejection, #crash, or #bloodbath, it’s usually a safe time to BUY,” Santiment stated.

Bitcoin Price vs Retail Sentiment. Source: Santiment.
Bitcoin Price vs Retail Sentiment. Source: Santiment.

Santiment’s chart illustrates this logic over the past year.

However, the picture goes beyond sentiment alone. A report from CryptoQuant reveals a concerning divergence between trading volume and the actual market share of retail investors.

Zizcrypto, an analyst at CryptoQuant, reported that the 30-day average small trade volume (0–$1,000) from retail stands at $96 million. This level aligns with the market bottom in early 2023.

Meanwhile, retail trading share (0–$10,000) has steadily declined since early 2023. It has dropped from over 2.4% to ~0.7% and has now stabilized.

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The divergence between trading volume and market share suggests that retail investors remain active, but their structural role in the market is no longer expanding.

Bitcoin Retail Volume Tracker. Source: CryptoQuant.
Bitcoin Retail Volume Tracker. Source: CryptoQuant.

“In this context, retail participation is primarily concentrated in short-term reactive flows rather than sustained engagement,” Zizcrypto stated.

Therefore, Santiment’s view may hold in the short term. However, it is difficult to use it as a basis for predicting a reversal similar to early 2023.

The latest analysis from BeInCrypto indicates that if Bitcoin closes a daily candle below $68,930, the price could continue to decline toward $65,550.

The post Retail FUD Sentiment Rises as Bitcoin Falls Below $70,000: What Are The Implications? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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NYSE Owner ICE Pours Another $600 Million Into Polymarket

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NYSE Owner ICE Pours Another $600 Million Into Polymarket

Intercontinental Exchange has now deployed nearly $2 billion into the onchain prediction market, underscoring Wall Street’s growing conviction that event-based trading is here to stay.

Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, on Friday announced a new $600 million direct cash investment in Polymarket, completing the exchange operator’s structured investment arrangement with the prediction market platform.

The investment is part of a broader equity capital fundraise by Polymarket, according to a press release from ICE. The company also expects to purchase up to $40 million in Polymarket securities from existing holders, which would close out its obligations under the deal first announced in October 2025. The valuation of Friday’s investment is expected to be disclosed after Polymarket completes its fundraising.

ICE made an initial $1 billion direct investment in Polymarket at that time, in what was the largest single investment ever made in a prediction market company. That deal valued Polymarket at roughly $8 billion pre-investment and established ICE as a global distributor of Polymarket’s event-driven data.

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ICE’s interest in Polymarket extends beyond a passive equity stake. In February, ICE launched the Polymarket Signals and Sentiment Tool, a product that normalizes real-time and historical prediction market data into structured feeds for institutional traders. The tool packages Polymarket’s crowd-sourced probability assessments as market signals alongside traditional financial instruments.

Prediction Market Arms Race

The capital injection comes amid an unprecedented wave of institutional investment into prediction markets. Rival platform Kalshi raised approximately $1 billion at a $22 billion valuation earlier this month in a round led by Coatue Management. Polymarket is reportedly targeting a valuation of around $20 billion in its current round, according to The Wall Street Journal.

Prediction market monthly volumes have grown 130-fold since early 2024, making it one of the fastest-growing categories in finance. Open interest across platforms crossed $1 billion for the first time in February.

Regulatory Crosswinds

The investment arrives against a complex regulatory backdrop. The CFTC recently issued an advance notice of proposed rulemaking signaling its intent to build a comprehensive regulatory framework for prediction markets. Meanwhile, some lawmakers have introduced legislation that would block prediction markets from offering contracts on war and sports outcomes.

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At the state level, regulators continue to challenge the industry — Arizona’s attorney general recently filed criminal charges against Kalshi, alleging it operates an illegal gambling business in the state.

Still, institutional capital appears undeterred by the regulatory uncertainty. For ICE, the completion of its nearly $2 billion investment arrangement signals that one of the world’s largest market infrastructure operators views prediction markets not as a passing novelty but as a category that may eventually sit alongside equities, futures, and fixed income.

This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

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Bitcoin Slumps on Oil Fears as March Monthly Close Risks Deeper Sell-Off

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Bitcoin Slumps on Oil Fears as March Monthly Close Risks Deeper Sell-Off

Bitcoin grabbed downside liquidity as oil-supply pressure sent BTC price action below $66,500 to its lowest levels since March 9.

Bitcoin (BTC) neared three-week lows into Friday’s Wall Street open amid reports of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz oil route.

Key points:

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  • Bitcoin reacts badly to fresh oil-supply threats ahead of Friday’s Wall Street open.

  • BTC price action hunts bid liquidity, continuing a week of low-time frame liquidity grabs.

  • Another bear flag threatens to send the market below $50,000, analysis says.

Bitcoin eyes range lows into monthly close

Data from TradingView showed BTC price action slipping below $66,500 ahead of the Wall Street open.

BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

US stocks futures trended down and US WTI crude oil eyed $97 per barrel as geopolitical tensions refused to let up.

Data from CoinGlass showed BTC/USD eating into a ladder of bid liquidity extending down to $65,000, with a wall of asks keeping price pinned below the $70,000 mark.

BTC liquidation heatmap (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

“$70-71k confirmed as resistance again,” trader Jelle wrote in analysis on X the day prior. 

“Still a bunch of liquidity built up below, generally not what you see at market bottoms. Expecting that liquidity to be taken out; sooner or later.”

BTC/USD chart. Source: Jelle/X

The latest market moves continued a theme of liquidity grabs seen throughout the week.

Continuing, crypto trader Michaël Van de Poppe said that he would not be “surprised” about further BTC price weakness into the March monthly candle close.

“Especially given that we’re currently anticipating a potential sweep of the lows,” he told X followers on the day. 

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“In that case, I remain to be interested to be buying in the lower $60K regions.”

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Michaël Van de Poppe/X

BTC price gets $41,000 “measured target”

On longer time frames, market participants focused on a potential bearish support breakdown from Bitcoin’s second bear flag construction of 2026.

Related: US recession odds near 50%: Can Bitcoin copy 2020 comeback gains?

Previously occurring in January, the current bear flag has produced targets below $50,000.

“Bitcoin setting up for a rising wedge sell signal,” veteran trader Peter Brandt warned on Wednesday, joining those calls.

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Peter Brandt/X

In his own X update, trader and educator Aaron Dishner continued the bearish tone around the flag structure.

“BTC is doing exactly what the bear flag setup called for. Price broke below the cloud yesterday on the daily, and today opened below it – currently down just 0.32% but that’s not a recovery, that’s hesitation,” he commented. 

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“The measured target from the January 14th high to the February 6th low, applied to the current flag structure, puts the downside at $41K.”