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Crypto regains $60 billion lost on Trump’s power plant threat

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Crypto regains $60 billion lost on Trump’s power plant threat

Bitcoin (BTC) has this morning bounced back to over $71,000 after it lost $60 billion in total market capitalization over the weekend following US President Donald Trump’s threat to “obliterate” Iran’s power plants if the country’s military refused to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

In the 15 minutes following Trump’s threat on Saturday, BTC dropped from $70,100 to $68,200, a $37 billion wipeout for the world’s largest digital asset. Over $240 million in leveraged crypto trades were liquidated within the hour. 

By Sunday evening, total liquidations crossed $1 billion, with long positions accounting for 85% of the damage.

BTC failed to bounce, remaining near $68,200. Total crypto market cap sustained its losses.

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Total crypto market capitalization. Crosshairs highlight 7:44pm Truth Social post. Source: TradingView

Trump says war ending ‘very soon,’ then obliterates crypto markets

Less than 24 hours before threatening to blow up power plants, Trump had said the US was “considering winding down” the war.

Indeed, as Trump told ABC News on Saturday that he was planning peace talks with an end to the war “very soon,” BTC made a brief push toward $71,000 on the optimistic rhetoric.

Then, at 7:44pm New York time, Trump published his bearish post. Crypto traders who had positioned themselves with leveraged long positions suffered liquidations within minutes.

Read more: Bitcoin up, Dubai real estate down since Iran war began

Coinglass’ Crypto Fear and Greed Index fell to nine out of 100, deep into “Extreme Fear” territory.

Crypto, one of the only large and relatively liquid markets open during the announcement besides foreign exchange, bore the brunt of the initial losses. Stock exchanges, bond markets, and commodity futures were all closed at the time.

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Analysts have already estimated that Bitcoin’s hashrate has dropped roughly 100 EH/s since late February, mostly due to operational disruptions in Iran.

Luxor Technology’s Hashrate Index estimated that Gulf states, including Iran, represent 8-10% of global hashrate. Striking Iran’s power plants would physically knock the country’s remaining BTC miners offline, not to mention accelerating risk-off capital flight away from crypto investments.

As of Sunday evening, BTC was trading at a 23% year-to-date loss. Altcoins like Ethereum and XRP have lost 31% and 26% over the same time period, respectively.

Trump’s-48 hour deadline for a Strait of Hormuz deal expires today, Monday evening at 7:44pm New York time.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Traders Warn BTC Price Bear Market Is Set to Resume Toward $46K

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Market Analysis

Bitcoin’s (BTC) failure to close the week above the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) on Sunday put it at risk of another downward leg over the coming weeks or months.

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin price signals “structural weakness” with failure to close week above a key trend line.

  • Analysts say the next breakdown clears path for another sell-off toward $46,000.

  • The $47,000 level features as a deep structural support for Bitcoin. 

Bitcoin price weakness sparks sub-$50,000 targets

Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD trading at $71,190, or 6% higher than its intraday low of $67,300.

The pair had failed to produce a weekly close above the 200-weekly EMA on Sunday, currently at $68,300, suggesting that last week’s relief rally to $76,000 was a possible bull trap.

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Market Analysis
BTC/USD weekly chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

There is evidence of profit-taking every time Bitcoin rises to key accumulation levels, and commenting on the current market setup, many traders warned that any downside could snowball quickly.

Related: Bitcoin risks 50% drop as BTC’s positive correlation with US stocks grows

“$BTC broke down from the rising wedge over the weekend,” said analyst Jelle in a Monday post on X, adding:

“Consolidate here for a day or two, and those untapped lows look ripe for the taking.”

The analyst was referring to the area between the local low of $65,500 and the range low of $59,930 reached on Feb. 6.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: X/Jelle

“BTC has lost the EMA50 once again, and the global crisis feels more insecure today than it did 2 weeks ago,” fellow analyst Stockmoney Lizards said in the latest Bitcoin analysis on X.

Combined with the technical weakness, “it looks like we could be revisiting the sub-$60K area,” the analyst added.

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“Bitcoin is getting close to taking that next leg lower into the mid-$40Ks,” analyst Michael J. Kramer said, referring to the measured target of a bear flag around $46,600.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: Michael J. Kramer

These targets echo prediction market traders, who price in a 70% chance that Bitcoin drops below $55,000 in 2026, while placing the odds of a drop below $45,000 at 46%. 

“Deep structural” support for BTC is at $47,000

Bitcoin is trading near the 200-week EMA at $68,300, coinciding with the realized price of the “largest holder cohort (100-1K BTC),” according to CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr.

“As long as the price holds above $68K, the largest cohort remains near its cost basis and maintains a more resilient position,” Adler Jr. said in a Bitcoin analysis on Monday, adding:

“A move below this level would signal deteriorating structure and increase the likelihood of a more nervous reaction from large holders.”

Bitcoin realized price balance of 10-100 vs 100-1K. Source: CryptoQuant

Meanwhile, the realized price of the 10-100 BTC holder cohort sits notably lower around $46,700, forming a “deep structural threshold that would become meaningful only in the event of a full-scale deterioration in market regime,” the analyst added.