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CryptoQuant Breaks Down Current Bear Market Signals

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CryptoQuant Breaks Down Current Bear Market Signals


Bitcoin has fallen below its 365-day MA, spot and institutional demand have remained weak, and liquidity has tightened; all signs of a bear market.

The crypto market is currently in a bearish season, as confirmed by on-chain indicators. Demand has waned, liquidity is tightening, and technical structure shows downside risk.

The market research firm CryptoQuant has released a detailed assessment of the bear cycle, explaining just how much the bears have dominated.

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BTC Falls Below 365-Day MA

According to the report, the CryptoQuant Bull Score Index, which hovered around 80 (the bullish territory) as bitcoin (BTC) peaked at $126,000 in early October, is now sitting at zero. The index entered bearish territory after the October 10 liquidation event, which resulted in $19 billion in losses. BTC was still trading around $110,000 at the time; as the asset’s price hit $75,000, the index fell to zero.

At the time of writing, data from CoinMarketCap showed BTC changing hands below $68,000, with a 24-hour decline of at least 7%. Bitcoin’s price has declined 23% since it fell below its 365-day moving average (MA) on November 12, 2025. The last time BTC fell below this metric was in March 2022. Analysts say the asset’s current performance is worse than the early 2022 bear phase.

With technical structure confirming downside risk, BTC has fallen below the lower band of the Traders’ On-chain Realized Price. The level acted as the ultimate support during the bull market. The next support zone now lies between $70,000 and $60,000.

Demand Weakens, Liquidity Tightens

Amid the downturn in prices, spot and institutional demand have remained weak. The Coinbase Bitcoin Price Premium has been negative since mid-October, indicating weaker demand in the U.S. than in the rest of the world.

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Furthermore, the U.S. spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) market is witnessing a reversal in demand. This time last year, the products had loaded up more than 46,000 BTC; however, they are now net sellers, having offloaded about 15,000 BTC so far. Their sales have created a demand gap of more than 50,000 BTC, contributing to selling pressure.

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In the last four months, Bitcoin’s spot demand annual growth has fallen 93% from 1.1 million to 77,000 BTC. This shows that most of this cycle’s demand growth has passed.

On the liquidity front, the 60-day growth of Tether’s (USDT) market cap has turned negative (-$133 million) for the first time since October 2023. The stablecoin’s expansion peaked at $15.9 billion in late October 2025. The reversal is typical of bear market cycles.

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Can you still mine Bitcoin on a PC in 2026? Here is the reality

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Can you still mine Bitcoin on a PC in 2026? Here is the reality

Can you still mine Bitcoin on a PC in 2026? Here is the reality

Mining Bitcoin on a desktop in 2026 may sound simple, but is it profitable? Do rising network difficulty and energy costs mean the end of PCs as Bitcoin mining equipment?

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Circle (CRCL) shares continued their rally on Monday

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Circle (CRCL) shares continued their rally on Monday

Already on a tear ahead of the war in Iran, Circle (CRCL) might be an unlikely beneficiary of the conflict.

The stock rose 10% on Monday, outperforming other crypto-linked equities, with the shares now up by 86% over the past month, though they remain sharply lower since their peak post-IPO frenzy last summer.

Japanese bank Mizuho said part of the Circle rally reflects the jump in oil prices following the escalation in Middle East tensions. Higher crude prices could reignite inflationary pressures, potentially reducing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Other things being equal, stablecoin issuers are thought to benefit from higher interest rates as that means higher yields on their invested dollars.

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Indeed, oil prices have surged since hostilities erupted in the Gulf, with WTI crude up roughly 35% since Feb. 28. Higher energy prices tend to fuel inflation and can limit central banks’ ability to cut interest rates.

Positioning has surely played a role as well.

While the company reported solid growth in USDC supply in its fourth-quarter earnings, analysts say the magnitude of the move likely reflected a crowded short trade ahead of the release.

“The magnitude of the move wasn’t purely about the headline numbers. Positioning was the real catalyst,” said Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research.

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According to his data, hedge funds had accumulated sizable bearish bets ahead of the report. That setup created what Thielen described as a “high-probability short squeeze rather than a fundamental re-rating.”

Short interest currently stands at about 13% of the float, equivalent to roughly two days to cover, according to FactSet data.

Read more: Circle moves $68 million in just 30 minutes by using its own stablecoin for internal payments

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Blockchain.com Expands Crypto Trading Platform to Ghana

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Blockchain.com Expands Crypto Trading Platform to Ghana

Crypto brokerage company Blockchain.com is expanding into Ghana as part of a broader push to grow its presence across Africa, following rapid user growth in Nigeria over the past year.

The company said it plans to offer Ghanaian users access to its trading platform as it builds out regional infrastructure and explores additional African markets.

The expansion follows strong growth in Nigeria, where the company launched retail operations last year and reported more than a 700% increase in brokerage transaction volume. According to the company, the most traded assets on its platform in the country have been Bitcoin (BTC), Tether (USDT) and Tron (TRX).

The company said Ghana has also seen rising activity on its platform ahead of the formal launch, with active users increasing 140% over the past year and transaction volumes climbing 80%.

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“We are actively collaborating with Ghanaian officials and regulators to help build a regulatory framework and have already established local compliance representation in Ghana,” a Blockchain.com spokesperson said.