Crypto World
Delaware and New Jersey Move to Ban Crypto ATMs Over Fraud Concerns

Delaware and New Jersey each advanced bills this week to ban cryptocurrency ATMs statewide, citing mounting scam losses that have overwhelmingly hit older residents. Delaware's House Bill 441 cleared the House Economic Development Committee on Monday after Rep. Cyndie Romer, Chair of the House… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
Ethereum (ETH) Could Crash to This Level Before Next Bull Run, Says Analyst
Ethereum has bounced back after falling near the $1,500 support level, but the broader market trend for the leading crypto asset remains bearish.
In fact, ETH could still see further downside as an important on-chain metric is gearing up to revisit historically significant territory.
Bottom Signal
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez said Ethereum’s Delta Price metric, created by Alphractal, has successfully identified the last two major ETH market bottoms. The indicator is currently positioned near $700 and measures the relationship between investor cost basis and miner production costs.
According to Martinez, if previous market patterns repeat, Ethereum risks falling toward the $700 range again before beginning its next upward trend.
Despite rising negative sentiment around the asset’s recent price performance, Ethereum’s network growth has continued to accelerate. Data shared by Santiment revealed that the blockchain now has nearly 195 million non-empty wallets, around 230% more than Bitcoin’s 59 million wallets.
According to the analytics platform, the gap between the two networks has steadily expanded across multiple market cycles even as the crowd sentiment fell into extreme fear territory. Ethereum is now only about 5 million wallets away from reaching the 200 million milestone.
Santiment attributed much of the network’s growth to Ethereum’s strong presence in DeFi, staking, and broader on-chain activity, where users actively engage with applications instead of only holding tokens.
ETH OI On Binance
Meanwhile, derivatives market activity around Ethereum has also started showing signs of recovery. While Ethereum recently entered deeply oversold territory, some traders have viewed this as an opportunity and started increasing their exposure to the asset through futures markets. CryptoQuant observed that Binance recently recorded a new all-time high in Ethereum open interest measured in ETH terms, with nearly 3.7 million ETH currently tied to futures contracts on the exchange.
As a result, Binance now accounts for more than 44% of total Ethereum open interest. Meanwhile, Binance’s weekly average Taker Buy/Sell Ratio climbed from 0.95 to 1.0, which indicates that traders are gradually moving back toward buying activity after months of stronger selling pressure in Ethereum futures markets.
The post Ethereum (ETH) Could Crash to This Level Before Next Bull Run, Says Analyst appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Litecoin Faces Renewed Selling Pressure as Analysts Monitor Key Support Zones
TLDR:
- Litecoin has fallen over 20% in a week as traders monitor support near the $40 level.
- Joao Wedson says LTC lost key on-chain levels, with $34 and $29 now in focus.
- Futures open interest dropped from $411 million to $283 million, reflecting weaker trader activity.
- LitVM and Nexus Wallet developments continue attracting attention despite ongoing market weakness.
Litecoin (LTC) remains under pressure as the broader cryptocurrency market struggles with weak sentiment and declining investor participation.
The digital asset recently traded near $42.55, following a steep weekly decline of more than 20%. Market participants are closely watching whether current price levels represent an accumulation period or the beginning of a deeper correction.
Litecoin Technical Structure Remains Under Pressure
Recent market data points to growing bearish sentiment around Litecoin. Analysts have warned that the asset is approaching a critical area near the $40 level. A break below that zone could expose LTC to further downside in the near term.
Crypto analyst Joao Wedson addressed Litecoin’s market structure in a recent post on X. According to Wedson, LTC has underperformed most major altcoins and has already lost several important on-chain support levels. He noted that the next major areas of interest sit around $34 and $29.
Wedson also stated that large holders have increased short pressure on Litecoin during recent weeks. He added that LTC has historically experienced aggressive bear market cycles.
During those periods, the asset often traded below key support levels before entering longer accumulation phases.
At the same time, derivatives market activity continues to weaken. Litecoin futures open interest has dropped to approximately $283 million from a previous peak of $411 million. The decline suggests that many leveraged traders have reduced their exposure as market conditions deteriorated.
Market sentiment within derivatives platforms has also shifted. The long-to-short ratio recently fell to 0.88, indicating that bearish positions currently outweigh bullish ones. As a result, traders remain cautious while monitoring broader market movements.
Ecosystem Development Continues Despite Market Weakness
Although price action remains weak, Litecoin’s development ecosystem continues to attract attention. One of the most discussed initiatives is LitVM, a planned smart contract layer designed to bring decentralized finance functionality to the Litecoin network.
Supporters believe the project could expand Litecoin’s utility beyond payments. While the technology is still under development, community discussions surrounding LitVM remain active despite the current market downturn.
Meanwhile, Litecoin’s merged mining relationship with Dogecoin continues to provide network security benefits.
The arrangement allows miners to secure both networks simultaneously, helping maintain stable incentives for mining participants. Developers are also paying close attention to recent updates involving the Nexus Wallet.
The wallet improvements have generated renewed interest among community members who support Litecoin’s merchant-focused use cases. Those developments have helped maintain engagement even as market prices move lower.
For now, traders are focused on broader cryptocurrency market conditions. Litecoin’s near-term direction may depend heavily on Bitcoin’s ability to stabilize after recent volatility.
A stronger market environment could help support recovery efforts across major digital assets. Until clearer signals emerge, market participants are expected to remain focused on key support levels, derivatives activity, and ongoing ecosystem developments.
Those factors will likely shape Litecoin’s next major move as investors assess whether the current decline reflects an accumulation period or continued market weakness.
Crypto World
Important Ripple (XRP) Announcement, June 11
Ripple has announced an important development concerning users in South America.
The firm is expanding its partnership with Bitso to bring MXNB, Bitso’s Mexican peso-backed stablecoin, to the XRP Ledger for enterprise settlement.
As part of the collaboration, MXNB will be integrated into Ripple’s Payments on Decentralized Exchange infrastructure. The asset will work together with RLUSD – the firm’s dollar-backed stablecoin- and will support cross-border liquidity between the US dollar and the Mexican peso.
It also builds on Ripple and Bitso’s long-running payments relationship in Latin America, as Bitso now serves over 10 million users.
Stablecoin Liquidity Takes Center Stage
The main purpose of the collaboration is to make enterprise payments between the US and Mexico more efficient. MXNB is designed to give institutions peso-denominated liquidity on-chain, while RLUSD will provide the dollar side of the settlement.
Commenting on the matter was Silvio Pegado, Ripple’s Managing Director of Latam, who said:
“Ripple and Bitso have spent years building payment infrastructure that operates at real-world scale across Latin America. […] By bringing together RLUSD and MXNB on the XRPL Permissioned DEX, we’re helping create regulated, onchain liquidity infrastructure purpose-built for enterprise cross-border payments. This is the next evolution of how value moves between dollars and pesos.”
The development also provides RLUSD with additional real-world payment context. As CryptoPotato reported, Mastercard recently expanded its stablecoin strategy to include assets such as RLUSD, USDC, USDG, PYUSD, USDP, and more across networks including Ripple’s XRPL, Ethereum, Solana, Base, etc.
That broader push shows that stablecoins are being positioned for settlement and payment infrastructure more so than just crypto trading.
By the way, this is a point we discussed at length in our recent interview with BitGo’s COO. You can find it here.
XRPL Upgrade Gives More Ecosystem Context
It’s also worth noting that the announcement comes right as the XRPL Ledger approaches a notable technical upgrade – version 3.2.0.
It’s expected to reduce node memory usage by around 40%, improve network efficiency, and rebrand the core server software to “xrpld.”
The next thing to watch would be if more enterprises start using MXNB and RLUSD for live settlement flows across the US and Mexico.
The post Important Ripple (XRP) Announcement, June 11 appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Avalanche Treasury stock sinks 38% after Nasdaq debut under AVAT
Avalanche Treasury Co. had a weak first trading session on Nasdaq as its stock closed sharply lower under the ticker AVAT.
Summary
- AVAT closed 38.13% lower as investors priced Avalanche exposure through a new Nasdaq-listed treasury vehicle.
- Avalanche Treasury holds about 15 million AVAX while the token remains near early 2021 levels.
- AVAX traded at $6.64, with monthly losses keeping pressure on ecosystem-linked public market shares.
Avalanche Treasury Co. closed at $1.85 on Thursday, down 38.13% in its Nasdaq debut. Google Finance data showed the stock opened at $2.99, reached a high of $3.00, and fell as low as $1.75 during the session.
The stock later moved to $1.88 in after-hours trading, up 1.62%. Volume stood near 497,580 shares, while the company’s market value was listed at about $486.37 million.

The listing followed Avalanche Treasury’s merger with Mountain Lake Acquisition Corp., a SPAC transaction valued at about $675 million. The company now trades as a public market vehicle tied to the Avalanche ecosystem.
Company says it is not just holding AVAX
Avalanche Treasury Co. said it aims to give public market investors exposure to Avalanche without requiring them to hold the AVAX token directly. The company is structured as an operating company and digital asset treasury.
Chief Executive Bart Smith said the company plans to put capital to work across the Avalanche ecosystem. He said, “It is not a bet on price,” framing the company as an ecosystem investment vehicle rather than a passive token holder.
The company is backed by investors and industry names including Dragonfly, ParaFi Capital, VanEck, Galaxy Digital, Pantera Capital, CoinFund, Kraken, FalconX, and Borderless. Its board and advisory group also includes Ava Labs founder Emin Gün Sirer and Aave founder Stani Kulechov.
Avalanche Treasury holds about 15 million AVAX tokens, equal to roughly 3.5% of circulating supply. That gives the company direct exposure to AVAX price moves while also leaving room for staking, infrastructure, and ecosystem investments.
AVAX price remains under pressure
AVAX traded near $6.64 on June 12, according to crypto.news market data. The token was up 2.09% over 24 hours, but remained down 13.02% over seven days and 33.3% over the past month.

The token’s 24-hour trading volume stood at about $184.9 million, while its market cap was near $2.87 billion. AVAX traded between $6.48 and $6.67 over the latest 24-hour period.
The token remains far below its November 2021 all-time high of $144.96. Current data shows AVAX is still down more than 95% from that peak, keeping pressure on companies linked to its market value.
Earlier market reports showed AVAX had fallen to levels last seen in early 2021 after a wider crypto liquidation wave. That backdrop made AVAT’s first trading session harder, as investors weighed both the company’s structure and the token’s weak trend.
Treasury firms face a harder market
AVAT’s debut comes as digital asset treasury firms face a tougher market. These companies have tried to offer public equity exposure to crypto assets, but falling token prices have tested investor demand.
Recent crypto.news reporting also showed pressure around BitMine’s Ethereum treasury strategy. BitMine moved to raise $300 million through preferred stock while market conditions continued to challenge crypto-linked public companies.
Avalanche Treasury is trying to separate itself from simple token-holding vehicles. Its model depends on active capital use across the Avalanche network, not only the value of AVAX on its balance sheet.
The first trading session showed that investors remain cautious. AVAT now has to prove that a listed Avalanche treasury can create value during a weak altcoin market.
Crypto World
Jim Cramer Warns Spacex IPO Debut Could Trigger Extreme Valuation Surge
TLDR
- SpaceX set its IPO price at $135 per share.
- The IPO values SpaceX at about $1.77 trillion.
- Jim Cramer warned demand could push shares too high.
- Retail market orders may increase first-day volatility.
- Cramer said controlled trading would support a healthier debut.
SpaceX has entered public trading with demand far exceeding available shares, raising concerns about sharp early price swings. The company set its IPO price at $135 per share, giving it a valuation of $1.77 trillion. Heavy institutional interest and strong retail participation have placed the offering among the most anticipated market debuts this year.
Report Highlights Concerns Over Opening Day Demand
According to a report by CNBC, television host Jim Cramer said SpaceX could experience an unusually volatile first trading session. He said the stock may attract a combination of institutional buyers, retail traders, and future index-related demand.
As a result, he argued that share prices could move far beyond levels usually seen after major IPO launches. Cramer said extreme demand could temporarily push the company toward valuations rarely seen in public markets.
He explained that the strongest public offerings usually trade in a controlled manner after listing. Instead, SpaceX faces conditions that could create large price moves shortly after trading begins. Cramer said he worries about inexperienced traders placing market orders rather than limit orders. He described those buyers as “new, unguided missiles who can’t be controlled.”
Retail Participation And Index Demand Draw Attention
Cramer said retail enthusiasm may combine with institutional demand to create additional buying pressure. He stated that many traders could enter positions immediately after the opening bell. If enough orders arrive simultaneously, he said the stock could briefly challenge the valuations of the world’s largest companies. However, he stressed that such moves often prove difficult to maintain.
Speaking on his “Mad Money” program, Cramer raised the possibility of a temporary valuation between $4 trillion and $5 trillion. “Can a $4 to $5 trillion stock really be at hand?” he asked. He then answered, “For a few minutes perhaps, just as long as it takes to gaffe a marlin.” Cramer added that rapid gains can disappear quickly if buyers fail to support elevated prices.
The IPO has already attracted strong interest before trading began. Reports cited by CNBC said demand exceeded available shares by roughly four times. While oversubscription often signals confidence, Cramer argued that excessive demand can also contribute to unstable trading conditions. He said a measured opening would provide a healthier path for long-term performance.
Previous IPO Examples Remain Part Of The Discussion
To support his view, Cramer referred to recent public offerings that delivered strong early gains before retreating. He cited Figma, which went public in July 2025, as one example. He also mentioned Cerebras, which entered public markets in May. According to Cramer, both companies initially climbed higher before entering extended declines.
Cramer said the objective should not be an explosive first-day rally. Instead, he argued that newly listed companies benefit when prices rise gradually over time. He said orderly trading allows markets to establish sustainable valuations. “We want the deals to be under control because otherwise it can be disastrous,” Cramer said.
SpaceX begins trading with a fixed IPO price of $135 per share. That price values the company at approximately $1.77 trillion. Market participants will now watch how demand develops during its first session as a publicly traded company.
Crypto World
Japan Set For 30-Year Rate High: Leadership Turmoil Raises Uncertainty
The Bank of Japan is almost certain to raise its benchmark interest rate to 1% at its June 15-16 policy meeting, a level the country has not seen since 1995. But with Governor Kazuo Ueda hospitalized and unable to chair the meeting, the real question is what comes next.
A Reuters survey of 70 economists found 94% expect the rate to move by month’s end. The case is clear: wholesale prices rose 4.9% year-over-year in April, the yen has weakened past 160 per dollar, and Japan has spent 11.7 trillion yen ($73 billion) in currency intervention since late April to slow the decline.
A BOJ Rate Hike Without Its Architect
Ueda, 74, entered the hospital on June 10 for treatment of an infected liver cyst, according to CNBC. It marks the first time since 1998 that a BOJ governor has missed a policy-setting meeting. Nikkei Asia reported that Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino will chair in his place, while Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida, recently diagnosed with leukemia, will conduct the post-meeting press conference.
The BOJ rate hike itself is not in doubt, but concerns and questions linger about what comes next. Past BOJ meetings have shown that markets can move as sharply on post-meeting language as on the rate decision itself.
Mari Iwashita, executive rates strategist at Nomura Securities, told Reuters the BOJ may avoid clear signals on the future rate path:
“It’s also becoming more unclear on whether the BOJ would hike again this year.” Shigeto Nagai, head of Japan economics at Oxford Economics, framed the hike as defensive: “I interpret the coming rate hike as a defensive measure intended to prevent further yen depreciation.”
Beyond 1%: Who Drives the Next Phase
More than 75% of economists in a recent Reuters survey expect a follow-up hike to 1.25% in Q4 2026, with two-thirds forecasting 1.5% by mid-2027.
But the political calendar could slow that path. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, a proponent of loose fiscal and monetary policy, gains the power to reshape the BOJ board when two hawkish members’ terms expire in July 2027.
“Next year’s personnel shift could overhaul the balance within the board,” said Tsuyoshi Ueno, senior economist at NLI Research Institute. “The BOJ may find it difficult to do anything that could draw the government’s ire.”
The June hike is essentially decided. Whether Japan’s tightening cycle continues beyond it depends on economic conditions, the governor’s recovery, and the prime minister’s patience.
The post Japan Set For 30-Year Rate High: Leadership Turmoil Raises Uncertainty appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
XRP Price Risks Drop Below $1 as Bearish Patterns Intensify in June
TLDR
- XRP forms a head-and-shoulders pattern targeting a move near $0.99 if support breaks.
- Bear flag structure signals continuation risk toward $0.94 on lower timeframes.
- On-chain MVRV bands indicate a potential downside zone near $0.96 based on historical cycles.
- RSI remains below neutral levels, showing weak short-term momentum across charts.
- Key resistance levels sit near $1.12 to $1.15, where breakdown invalidation may occur.
XRP price moved under pressure as multiple bearish chart patterns emerged across short-term trading sessions in June market action. Traders observed head-and-shoulders formation and bear flag signals, while on-chain metrics indicated weakening demand and rising sell pressure across exchanges’ data flows. Weak momentum and technical breakdown risks suggested potential downside continuation as price action approached key support zones during current market conditions across multiple timeframes analysis.
XRP bearish chart signals pressure below $1
XRP chart structure shows repeated lower highs forming a bearish pressure pattern signal. Market participants watch support levels near the neckline after a recent decline, with continuation risk.
Head-and-shoulders formation continues to develop on lower timeframes across charts. Sellers increase activity as price fails to reclaim prior resistance zones tested.
Bear flag structure indicates consolidation after sharp downward movement in trading sessions. Momentum indicators remain weak with readings below the neutral threshold on chart analysis.
Four-hour chart highlights rejection near short-term moving average levels observed. Traders monitor potential breakdown below flag support for confirmation signal formation phase.
XRP price action continues hovering near key intraday support area levels tested. Sustained weakness increases the probability of further downside pressure in the sessions ahead.
Short-term momentum remains negative across intraday trading charts, signaling weakening. Market structure shows failure to sustain upward breakout attempts in the recent sessions’ analysis.
Support levels near the psychological zone attract repeated price testing behavior patterns. Breakdown confirmation depends on sustained close below critical support market reaction now.
XRP price faces breakdown risks from technical patterns
Bearish continuation patterns align with recent price rejection zones across observed timeframes. Market watchers identify potential downside targets near lower support band levels forming.
Four-hour chart breakdown signals increased selling pressure continuation near resistance zones. Technical indicators confirm weak momentum and limited upward strength on charts today.
Price structure forms repeated rejection near short-term moving averages, recent data. Volume patterns show declining participation during recovery attempts across trading sessions analysis.
Bear flag continuation signals remain active on intraday charts and market structure today. Support breakdown risk increases with sustained selling pressure during the sessions now phase.
On-chain metrics show weakening demand signals across trading activity data. Historical comparisons suggest similar patterns during prior correction phases of market cycles observed.
Liquidity zones around support levels attract repeated market attention to levels tested. Price action remains constrained within tight consolidation ranges across intraday charts.
Lower band projections indicate potential movement toward historical support zone levels. Trading activity continues near critical levels, with cautious positioning and market conditions stable.
Crypto World
Anthropic Is Worth $965 Billion and Still Needs Google to Pay Its Rent
Anthropic raised money at a $965 billion valuation last month and is heading toward a public stock listing. But to build the data centers, it needs to stay competitive. The AI company is reportedly asking Google, its most direct rival, to guarantee the bills.
Anthropic has signed more than a dozen preliminary agreements to lease US data centers with a combined capacity above 1 gigawatt. Executives at the company have also reportedly discussed an arrangement where Google would financially backstop those lease payments, with Apollo Global Management and Blackstone providing private credit as part of the wider financing structure.
Google Competes With Anthropic, and Also Funds It
Google’s Gemini competes directly with Anthropic’s Claude across AI assistants, coding tools, and enterprise software. Yet Google has committed up to $40 billion to Anthropic and co-designs some of the server chips the company plans to use in its new facilities.
The reported lease guarantee would deepen that entanglement: Google would stand behind Anthropic’s payments if the company cannot meet them.
Neither company addressed the specifics publicly. Google told Reuters it does not comment on rumors or speculation. Also, Anthropic did not respond to requests for comment.
Anthropic Data Centers and the IPO Push
Anthropic has historically relied on cloud providers, including Google Cloud, for compute capacity. Leasing and running its own facilities gives the company more control over costs and performance as it scales, and cuts its dependence on the same providers it competes with directly.
Anthropic confidentially filed for a US IPO earlier this month without disclosing the size or terms of the offering. Its most recent funding round, closed in late May, raised $65 billion at a post-money valuation of $965 billion, placing it ahead of OpenAI by implied market value.
The AI Race Runs on Mutual Dependence
Google’s interest in Anthropic’s success extends well beyond equity returns. A strong Anthropic keeps OpenAI from monopolizing the enterprise AI market and validates Google’s own AI infrastructure bets.
Meanwhile, Anthropic pays SpaceX, another competitor through xAI, $1.25 billion a month for AI compute, and these companies are both heading for IPOs. It is evidence of two more AI companies racing each other for the same institutional capital while being in business with each other.
The post Anthropic Is Worth $965 Billion and Still Needs Google to Pay Its Rent appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
3 Key Metrics Show Bitcoin Miners Are Under Mounting Pressure
Bitcoin miners are facing growing financial strain as falling prices and shrinking revenue push several key industry indicators into what analyst Axel Adler Jr. has described as a “stress zone.”
But while the pressure is building, the data suggests that the market has not yet reached the collapse-level extremes seen in 2018 or 2022.
What the Metrics Are Saying
According to Adler, the Puell Multiple 30-day moving average, which compares the current daily revenue of BTC miners to a 365-day average, fell 11% in ten days, moving from 0.83 at the end of May to 0.74 as of June 10.
The raw Puell Multiple is even lower, at 0.58. Values below 1.0, per the analyst, mean that current revenue is running below the annual norm, and the deeper that reading goes, the harder things become for mining operators.
For context, the Puell 30DMA hit a peak of 1.33 in July 2025 when BTC was trading above $120,000. The current 0.74 puts miners roughly where they were in mid-2024, right around the halving period when the flagship cryptocurrency was changing hands between $55,000 and $68,000.
At the 2022 cycle low, Adler says the same indicator fell to 0.45, while in December 2018 it reached 0.33. So judging by those, 0.74 is not exactly a crisis number.
But the issue, as the market observer pointed out, is that the 30DMA has been dropping for two straight weeks, and at that pace it could very well reach 0.50 by late June, a level that led to mass equipment shutdowns in 2022.
The second metric is the Price-to-Miner-Revenue Multiple, which measures how far above the annual revenue per BTC of miners the cryptocurrency’s price is trading.
According to Adler, a falling reading means the speculative premium over miner production costs is shrinking. The ratio is currently at 80, having tumbled from a high of 160 that it registered in 2025.
However, the analyst says that’s a “normalization zone,” and it has not yet hit undervaluation territory. For comparison, the 2022 bottom saw it hit 33, while it compressed as far as 15 in February 2019.
Lastly, Adler touched on the Miner Capitulation metric, which tracks the percentage change in Bitcoin’s price since the most recent Difficulty Bottom. Per his report, that drawdown was at -21% as of June 9, while it had been at -8 on June 1 and near zero toward the end of May.
Historically, deeper miner distress emerged when contractions pushed beyond -30%, with the worst reading on record coming in 2022 when it hit -39 and contributed to the forced selling and large-scale ASIC shutdowns seen in that year.
How Far From a True Bottom
Despite the pressure, Adler confirmed that miners have not yet fully capitulated, and for that to happen, the Puell Multiple would likely need to fall below 0.50, the Price-to-Miner-Revenue Multiple would need to compress toward the 30-40 range, and the dip from the Difficulty Bottom would need to be more than -30%.
Right now, all three metrics are running at about half the severity of those historical extremes. But the analyst said that they could deteriorate some more if BTC were to fall below $55,000 without a new downward difficulty adjustment.
The asset was trading a couple of hundred bucks below $63,000 at the time of writing, having bounced back from a brief drop toward $59,000 last Friday, which was its worst showing in nearly two years.
The post 3 Key Metrics Show Bitcoin Miners Are Under Mounting Pressure appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Coinbase Eyes World Cup Lift as Prediction Markets Surge, Bernstein
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is shaping up to be a pivotal moment for prediction markets, according to new analysis from Bernstein. The research argues that the expanded tournament schedule could unlock a surge in both sports betting and consumer prediction markets, turning what is traditionally a slow window for online wagering into a substantial revenue engine.
Bernstein’s forecasts center on a roughly month-long event spanning 104 matches, during which the industry could see more than $3 billion in incremental sports betting handle and between $5 billion and $10 billion in additional consumer prediction market volume. FIFA’s own outlook for the worldwide audience—about 6 billion viewers, up from an estimated 5 billion in 2022—only underscores the potential scale of engagement during the tournament. The analysts frame the World Cup as a test case for how large-scale, real-world events can accelerate participation in prediction markets beyond the traditional sports betting crowd.
Key takeaways
- The World Cup could convert a typically slow betting period into a major driver of both traditional betting and prediction-market activity, with potential incremental handles in the billions of dollars.
- Coinbase is highlighted as a standout player in the prediction-market space, having surpassed $100 million in annualized revenue by March after launching nationwide in partnership with Kalshi.
- Robinhood is anticipated to benefit as it rolls out Rothera, its CFTC-licensed prediction-market exchange and clearinghouse, positioning the firm for sizable incremental revenue in 2026.
- Broader market data point to robust growth in prediction markets, driven by retail participation and sports categories, supported by regulatory developments signaling cautious openness to built-out contract markets.
- Industry volumes are expanding rapidly, with retail traders comprising a large share of activity and sports accounting for a growing share of prediction-market volumes.
Prediction markets scale with a global sports event
Bernstein’s analysis emphasizes the World Cup as a catalyst for a broader shift in the prediction-market space. While sports and politics have traditionally driven spikes in activity, the report suggests that the 2026 tournament could unlock a sustained step-up in engagement across real-world outcomes. The forecasted incremental sports-betting handle of more than $3 billion, paired with an extra $5–$10 billion in consumer prediction-market volume, signals a potential re-rating of the market’s growth trajectory for the rest of the year and into 2027.
The market implication is twofold. First, operators with established pipelines into broad U.S. and global audiences stand to capture a larger share of recreational and casual bettors who are drawn to the predict-and-win format of markets tied to real events. Second, the event provides a proving ground for non-traditional prediction offerings—ranging from entertainment and culture to politics and sports—where a large, engaged audience can be monetized through event-driven contracts.
FIFA’s global viewership projection, which Bernstein cites as a driver of engagement, also highlights a key adoption tailwind: the more people tune in, the more people seek ways to participate beyond traditional watching or betting. That dynamic could help prediction-market products gain traction beyond crypto-native users and bring in more mainstream participants who are comfortable with contract-based outcomes.
Platform momentum and revenue signals
The analysis credits Coinbase with establishing a notable presence in the prediction-market landscape. Bernstein notes that Coinbase’s prediction-market offering exceeded $100 million in annualized revenue as of March—remarkable growth for a product launched just months earlier. The rollout, pursued through a nationwide arrangement with Kalshi, enables users in all 50 states to trade outcome-based contracts across sports, politics, culture, and other real-world events. This nationwide reach marks a significant expansion from earlier, more constrained access models and positions Coinbase as a benchmark for monetization in this space.
Coinbase’s move is complemented by Roger-friendly expansion from Robinhood. Bernstein flags that the brokerage is leveraging the World Cup period to introduce Rothera, its US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)-licensed exchange and clearinghouse for prediction markets. The forecast: the World Cup could be a major revenue driver for 2026, with Bernstein projecting roughly $586 million in prediction-market revenue for the year. If realized, this would underscore a broader trend of mainstream fintech platforms embracing prediction markets as a core product category rather than a niche experiment.
These platform dynamics echo a broader industry trend: established exchanges are increasingly partnering with payment rails and regulatory-compliant structures to unlock mass participation. The momentum also raises questions about how quickly other incumbents—both crypto-native and traditional fintechs—will pursue similar paths, and what the competitive landscape might look like as more players enter the space.
Market growth, retail dominance, and regulatory signals
Beyond individual platform moves, market research from Bitget Wallet and Polymarket provides a contemporaneous snapshot of growth, noting that monthly prediction-market trading volume reached about $26 billion in April, with retail traders comprising more than 80% of users. The report also highlighted a structural shift in user behavior: rather than rallying around single events like elections, prediction markets are increasingly retaining users across recurring categories, with sports emerging as the largest segment. In March, sports betting accounted for more than 39% of prediction-market volumes, according to Bitget Wallet and Polygon data.
Regulatory signals are also shaping the trajectory. The CFTC issued draft rules around prediction markets, signaling that sports-event contracts are generally not contrary to the public interest, even though federal law classifies them as “gaming.” The evolving policy framework is crucial for how quickly larger-scale, payment-enabled prediction markets can scale while maintaining compliance and consumer protections. For investors and builders, the regulatory environment remains a critical variable: clarity and workable licensing pathways could reinforce growth, while tightening rules could constrain new product formats or market access.
In parallel, industry chatter around valuations and fundraising remains active. Earlier coverage noted Kalshi and Polymarket eyeing substantial valuations as venture funds seek exposure to prediction-market platforms, illustrating how the space has evolved from niche experimentation to potential mainstream adoption through scalable, regulated products.
What readers should watch next
The World Cup’s impact on prediction markets will hinge on several moving parts. Actual revenue realization from Coinbase’s Kalshi partnership and Robinhood’s Rothera offering will be telling, as will user retention beyond the tournament window. Regulatory developments will continue to shape product designs, risk controls, and cross-border access for prediction-market platforms. Finally, sustained volume gains—particularly in sports- or entertainment-focused markets—will determine whether the World Cup represents a one-off surge or the start of a longer growth cycle for consumer prediction markets.
As the tournament unfolds, observers should monitor how incremental volumes compare with Bernstein’s projections and whether the retail-led momentum observed in early 2024 persists into late 2026. If the industry secures a stable regulatory footing and broadens access without compromising protections, the World Cup could become a defining milestone for prediction markets, catalyzing deeper participation from traders, investors, and builders alike.
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