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Ethena price stabilizes near $0.10 as token unlocks and leverage reshape flows

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Terraform bankruptcy administrator sues Jane Street over alleged insider trading

Ethena price hovers just under $0.10 as heavy futures leverage, whale withdrawals and a long unlock schedule reshape how ENA supply moves across DeFi.

Ethena (ENA), the governance token for the synthetic dollar protocol behind the USDe stablecoin, is changing hands at about $0.09831 today, with 24‑hour trading volume of $225.14 million and a market cap of $838.98 million. CoinMarketCap data show ENA’s unlocked market cap matches the headline figure at $838.98 million, while its fully diluted valuation is higher given a total and max supply of 15 billion tokens. The token’s volume‑to‑market‑cap ratio stands at 26.83%, indicating unusually brisk turnover relative to its size and pointing to active trading interest.

ENA sits at the intersection of DeFi and synthetic assets, with 8.22 billion tokens in circulation out of 15 billion total, and roughly 87.89 thousand on‑chain holders according to CoinMarketCap’s statistics page. The project is structured around USDe, a synthetic dollar instrument, and sENA, a staked token used for protocol governance and restaking‑style security, placing Ethena within the broader restaking and yield‑bearing DeFi sector rather than as a base layer or AI token. Coinbase data similarly frame ENA as part of a growing class of DeFi governance assets, with prior snapshots showing market capitalization above €2.11 billion when the token traded closer to €0.33.

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On the derivatives side, CoinGlass reports Ethena trading at $0.2422 in its futures overview, with 24‑hour futures volume of $832.15 million, spot volume of $66.99 million, market capitalization of $1.93 billion, and open interest of $392.29 million at that time. Coinalyze’s aggregated open interest dashboard shows ENA open interest at approximately $952.7 million, up 7.31% over 24 hours, capturing the notional value of both coin‑ and stablecoin‑margined contracts. Together, those figures underscore a derivatives‑heavy market structure where leverage plays a central role in short‑term price action.

Whale and unlock dynamics add another layer. CoinMarketCap’s latest Ethena updates highlight a whale withdrawal of $4 million in ENA from Binance on March 24, 2026, a move interpreted as accumulation and a potential reduction in immediately sellable exchange supply. A separate analysis of token unlocks from Yahoo Finance points to a March 2 unlock of 40.63 million ENA, worth about $4.21 million at the time, representing 0.53% of released supply and allocated to the Ethena Foundation. CoinMarketCap’s token‑unlock schedule confirms monthly unlocks running until April 2027, implying a persistent supply overhang that markets must absorb over time.

Ethena’s design, centered on creating a synthetic dollar yield product that behaves more like a fixed‑income instrument, sets it alongside other DeFi protocols bridging on‑chain and traditional‑style returns. CoinMarketCap’s AI summary notes roadmap items including development of an Ethena chain using USDe as gas and expanded restaking utility for sENA, both initiatives aimed at deepening protocol usage and fee generation. In parallel, token‑unlock tracking and derivatives statistics emphasize how ENA’s near‑term price will likely continue to be driven by the interplay between unlock supply, whale positioning, and leveraged futures activity, rather than purely spot investor flows.

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Charles Hoskinson: Bitcoin Quantum Upgrade Cannot Save Coins

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • Charles Hoskinson said Bitcoin’s quantum proposal would require a hard fork instead of a soft fork.
  • He argued that the plan would invalidate existing signature schemes used by current Bitcoin users.
  • Hoskinson stated that the proposal cannot recover about 1.7 million early mined bitcoin.
  • He said roughly 1.1 million of those coins belong to Satoshi Nakamoto.
  • The proposal suggests users could reclaim frozen funds through zero-knowledge proofs tied to BIP-39 seed phrases.

Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson challenged a new Bitcoin proposal that targets quantum threats. He said the plan would require a hard fork rather than a soft fork. He also argued that the change cannot recover early coins linked to Satoshi Nakamoto.

Bitcoin’s Quantum Proposal Faces Hard Fork Dispute

Bitcoin developers proposed BIP-361 to freeze addresses vulnerable to future quantum computers. They said the change would phase out old signature schemes and protect dormant funds. However, Hoskinson rejected the claim that the plan qualifies as a soft fork.

He stated, “To actually do this, you need a hard fork,” in a YouTube video. He argued that the proposal invalidates signature rules that users still rely on. Therefore, he said old software would stop working unless every participant upgrades.

Developers described BIP-361 as a rule tightening that older nodes could accept. In contrast, Hoskinson said the measure changes core validation standards. He added that Bitcoin culture has long opposed hard forks because they alter network history.

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BIP-361 co-author Jameson Lopp addressed the debate on X this week. He wrote that he does not like the proposal and hopes adoption never becomes necessary. He called it “a rough idea for a contingency plan” rather than a final plan.

Satoshi-era Holdings Remain Beyond Recovery

Hoskinson said the plan cannot protect about 1.7 million early bitcoin. He stated that around 1.1 million of those coins belong to Satoshi Nakamoto. He argued that those holdings predate modern wallet standards.

BIP-361 suggests that users could reclaim frozen funds through zero-knowledge proofs. The proof would tie ownership to a BIP-39 seed phrase used in newer wallets. However, Hoskinson said early wallets did not use seed phrases.

He explained that the original Bitcoin software relied on a local key pool. That system generated private keys without a deterministic seed phrase. Therefore, he said no proof based on BIP-39 can verify those older coins.

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He said, “1.7 million coins can’t do that. It’s not possible.” He added that migration would require cryptographic proof that early holders cannot produce. As a result, those coins would remain frozen under the proposal.

Lopp estimated that 5.6 million bitcoin sit dormant across the network. He argued that freezing them would prove safer than letting quantum attackers unlock them. He presented the freeze as a protective option rather than a finalized policy.

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After Kalshi Appeal, Prediction Markets Fight Could Head to Supreme Court

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Law, CFTC, Court, Kalshi, Prediction Markets

An appellate court is expected to reach a decision after hearing arguments from Kalshi and lawyers representing the state of Nevada.

Some legal experts speculated that the state vs. federal jurisdiction battle over regulating prediction markets companies could soon be headed to the United States Supreme Court.

On Thursday, the US Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit heard oral arguments from lawyers representing prediction markets platform Kalshi and Nevada authorities over the state’s ban on the prediction markets’ event contracts. The appeal was over a lower court decision preventing Kalshi from offering certain event-based contracts in Nevada, based on claims that the company needed a gaming license.

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Law, CFTC, Court, Kalshi, Prediction Markets
Thursday oral arguments by Kalshi and the State of Nevada. Source: US Court of Appeals, Ninth Circuit

The appellate judge overseeing Thursday’s oral arguments and the lawyer for Kalshi acknowledged that there had been several state-level enforcement actions against the company and other prediction market platforms, including criminal charges filed in Arizona. However, last week a federal court blocked Arizona authorities from enforcing the state’s gambling laws on Kalshi’s event contracts.

“I think the body of case law does demonstrate that what we really need to avoid here is having a state and a federal court considering exactly the same issue at exactly the same time and potentially reaching different outcomes,” said Colleen Sinzdak, representing Kalshi.

Related: CFTC probes oil futures trades tied to Trump’s moves in Iran: Report

Central to Kalshi’s argument was that the platform’s event contracts were “swaps” falling under the purview of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) rather than state gaming authorities. CFTC Chair Michael Selig has backed this position in the case of Crypto.com’s prediction markets against Nevada authorities.

The appellate court did not immediately announce a decision following oral arguments. Any ruling could affect how state courts treat prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket as policymakers come to terms with the growing market, expected to reach $1 trillion by 2030.

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Coinbase’s top lawyer weighs in on prediction market arguments

Coinbase chief legal officer Paul Grewal, whose company was not a party to the Kalshi proceedings but has a stake in the prediction markets fight, speculated that the case could go the US Supreme Court.

“The questions at oral argument are an unreliable signal in predicting the leanings of a court,” said Coinbase chief legal officer Paul Grewal in a Thursday X post following the oral arguments. “Either way, I stand by my longstanding prediction— the Supreme Court will resolve whether sports [contracts] on [Designated Contract Markets] are swaps subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of the CFTC.”

The US Supreme Court gave states the authority to regulate sports gambling in its 2018 decision in Murphy v. National Collegiate Athletic Association.

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Magazine: Should users be allowed to bet on war and death in prediction markets?