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Ethena price stabilizes near $0.10 as token unlocks and leverage reshape flows

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Terraform bankruptcy administrator sues Jane Street over alleged insider trading

Ethena price hovers just under $0.10 as heavy futures leverage, whale withdrawals and a long unlock schedule reshape how ENA supply moves across DeFi.

Ethena (ENA), the governance token for the synthetic dollar protocol behind the USDe stablecoin, is changing hands at about $0.09831 today, with 24‑hour trading volume of $225.14 million and a market cap of $838.98 million. CoinMarketCap data show ENA’s unlocked market cap matches the headline figure at $838.98 million, while its fully diluted valuation is higher given a total and max supply of 15 billion tokens. The token’s volume‑to‑market‑cap ratio stands at 26.83%, indicating unusually brisk turnover relative to its size and pointing to active trading interest.

ENA sits at the intersection of DeFi and synthetic assets, with 8.22 billion tokens in circulation out of 15 billion total, and roughly 87.89 thousand on‑chain holders according to CoinMarketCap’s statistics page. The project is structured around USDe, a synthetic dollar instrument, and sENA, a staked token used for protocol governance and restaking‑style security, placing Ethena within the broader restaking and yield‑bearing DeFi sector rather than as a base layer or AI token. Coinbase data similarly frame ENA as part of a growing class of DeFi governance assets, with prior snapshots showing market capitalization above €2.11 billion when the token traded closer to €0.33.

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On the derivatives side, CoinGlass reports Ethena trading at $0.2422 in its futures overview, with 24‑hour futures volume of $832.15 million, spot volume of $66.99 million, market capitalization of $1.93 billion, and open interest of $392.29 million at that time. Coinalyze’s aggregated open interest dashboard shows ENA open interest at approximately $952.7 million, up 7.31% over 24 hours, capturing the notional value of both coin‑ and stablecoin‑margined contracts. Together, those figures underscore a derivatives‑heavy market structure where leverage plays a central role in short‑term price action.

Whale and unlock dynamics add another layer. CoinMarketCap’s latest Ethena updates highlight a whale withdrawal of $4 million in ENA from Binance on March 24, 2026, a move interpreted as accumulation and a potential reduction in immediately sellable exchange supply. A separate analysis of token unlocks from Yahoo Finance points to a March 2 unlock of 40.63 million ENA, worth about $4.21 million at the time, representing 0.53% of released supply and allocated to the Ethena Foundation. CoinMarketCap’s token‑unlock schedule confirms monthly unlocks running until April 2027, implying a persistent supply overhang that markets must absorb over time.

Ethena’s design, centered on creating a synthetic dollar yield product that behaves more like a fixed‑income instrument, sets it alongside other DeFi protocols bridging on‑chain and traditional‑style returns. CoinMarketCap’s AI summary notes roadmap items including development of an Ethena chain using USDe as gas and expanded restaking utility for sENA, both initiatives aimed at deepening protocol usage and fee generation. In parallel, token‑unlock tracking and derivatives statistics emphasize how ENA’s near‑term price will likely continue to be driven by the interplay between unlock supply, whale positioning, and leveraged futures activity, rather than purely spot investor flows.

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Crypto World

Bittensor’s TAO Price May Plunge 40% Within Five Weeks: Fractal Data

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Bittensor's TAO Price May Plunge 40% Within Five Weeks: Fractal Data

The latest 160% rally in Bittensor (TAO) shows signs of exhaustion as it forms a golden-cross pattern on the chart that previously preceded steep corrections.

TAO/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

Key takeaways:

  • TAO prints a golden cross that has preceded 40% drawdown on average in the past.

  • Social volume for Bittensor is high, but retail euphoria remains muted.

TAO price risks 40% drawdown in the coming weeks

As of Thursday, March 26, TAO’s 20-day exponential moving average (20-day EMA, the green line) was crossing above its 200-day exponential moving average (200-day EMA, the blue wave).

Traders typically view a short-term average moving above a long-term one as a bullish signal. In TAO’s case, however, the pattern has often appeared near local tops, sometimes triggering brief upside follow-through before reversing sharply.

TAO/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

In the last three similar crossovers, TAO dropped by roughly 38.50%, 32.50%, and 45.50% within five-six weeks. That amounts to an average drawdown of about 40%, raising Bittensor’s odds of falling to $200 by early May if the pattern repeats.

TAO’s downside risk is rising further as its relative strength index (RSI) has stayed above the 70 overbought threshold for weeks. The reading suggests the recent rally may have gone too far, too fast, raising the risk of profit-taking or a short-term cooldown.

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Broader macro conditions add to the bearish case, as the escalating US–Iran war lifts oil prices, fuels inflation risks, and weakens the case for near-term Federal Reserve easing.

TAO rally still lacks euphoric retail sentiment

TAO’s rally has triggered a sharp increase in online discussion without the kind of euphoric sentiment that typically marks local tops, according to data resource Santiment.

Social volume across X, Reddit, Telegram, and other platforms has climbed to its second-highest level in six months, trailing only the frenzy seen near TAO’s $529 peak in November.

TAO social volume and positive/negative sentiment. Source: Santiment

At the same time, sentiment remains relatively subdued, with only 1.5 positive comments for every negative one.

“This is generally a good sign that the rally can continue, with little interference from greedy traders that typically signal forming tops,” Santiment said.

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Related: AI and stablecoins are winning despite 2026 crypto market slump

Still, TAO’s golden cross fractal suggests that even rallies driven by improving sentiment can turn into bull traps.

In the last three similar golden-cross setups, TAO still rallied by roughly 15.6%, 5.7%, and 42.6% before reversing lower.

TAO/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

That puts the average post-cross upside at around 21.30%, hinting at a short-term Bittensor price rally toward $420 or higher before exhaustion sets in.