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Ethereum Price Bottom In? $18 Billion Whale Buying Reveals More

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ETH Price Drop

Ethereum price is up about 3.4% in the past 24 hours, continuing a rebound signal that first appeared on technical charts yesterday.

But this recovery may be more than a simple bounce. A deeper look shows a quiet positioning shift that many traders might have missed. Ethereum whales have been aggressively accumulating during the recent crash, even as leverage collapsed and fear dominated the market.

Ethereum Whales Added 9 Million ETH Even as Price Crashed and Leverage Collapsed

Ethereum’s recent crash wiped out both price and leverage. Between January 27 and February 6, the Ethereum price fell about 43%. During the same period, total open interest fell from $15.9 billion and is currently holding around $8.73 billion. Open interest measures total leveraged futures positions, so this $7.17 billion drop confirms a massive leverage flush.

ETH Price Drop
ETH Price Drop: TradingView

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A leverage flush happens when leveraged traders are forced out of positions, usually during sharp price drops. This removes speculative pressure from the market.

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But while traders were force exiting, whales were doing the opposite.

Large Ethereum holders increased their holdings from 104.48 million ETH on January 27 to 113.39 million ETH now, barring a few smaller dumps in between. This means whales net added 8.91 million ETH during the crash. At an estimated average price near $2,100 during this period, that equals roughly $18.7 billion worth of accumulation.

Whales Buy As Leverage Collapses
Whales Buy As Leverage Collapses: Santiment

This shows whales were not panic-selling. Instead, they were absorbing supply during forced liquidations. This type of behavior usually signals long-term positioning rather than short-term trading.

Long-Term Holders and Exchange Flows Now Align With Whale Accumulation

Whales alone do not confirm a structural shift. Long-term ETH holders must also show conviction.

Initially, long-term holders showed uncertainty. The HODLer Net Position Change metric stayed negative through most of early February, showing selling pressure even among experienced investors. The price dip seems to have scared them off eventually,

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But this behavior has recently changed.

On February 21, long-term holders began accumulating again. By February 24, they added 9,454 ETH in a single day. This shift suggests long-term investors are starting to align with whale accumulation after weeks of hesitation. Exchange flow data adds another important layer.

Hodler Net Position Change
Hodler Net Position Change: Glassnode

Exchange Net Position Change remained negative throughout the crash. Negative values mean coins are leaving exchanges rather than entering them. This shows investors were moving ETH into private wallets instead of preparing to sell.

For example, exchange outflows reached 227,300 ETH on February 23. Although outflows have slowed to 109,631 ETH on the next day, the trend still shows net accumulation rather than panic selling.

Netflows Negative
Netflows Negative: Glassnode

And also, the reduced outflows can be good news. Here is how:

Short-term holders also appear to be exiting.

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The share of Ethereum supply held by short-term holders, defined as those holding for less than one week, dropped from 3.2% in early February to 2.1% now. This trend was revealed using the HODL Waves metric, which segregates cohorts by time held.

This confirms speculative traders have been flushed out of the market. That could also explain the lower outflow number.

Short-Term Holders: Glassnode

When weak hands exit and strong hands accumulate, markets often move toward structural bottoms. This supports the bullish market shift thesis discussed earlier.

Ethereum Price Now Tests Structural Reversal Zone After Whale Accumulation

Ethereum’s price structure is now beginning to reflect these accumulation signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), which measures momentum, is showing a bullish divergence. Between November 21 and February 24, the Ethereum price formed a lower low, but the RSI formed a higher low.

This signals that selling pressure is weakening even though the price has not fully recovered, a technical bullish sign we mentioned earlier in the intro.

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ETH Divergence
ETH Divergence: TradingView

A similar divergence appeared on February 19, but it probably failed because long-term holder support was weaker at that time. The current setup differs because accumulation is now occurring across whales, long-term holders, and exchange flows. This increases the probability of a stronger rebound attempt, if not a theoretical reversal.

Ethereum is now testing a critical recovery zone.

The first resistance sits at $1,990. If Ethereum breaks above this level, the next target becomes $2,050. A move above $2,240 would confirm a larger recovery and signal that the structural bottom may already be in place. This would represent about a 20% move from current levels. However, downside risks remain.

Ethereum Price Analysis
Ethereum Price Analysis: TradingView

If Ethereum falls below $1,740 before rebounding higher, the structural bottom thesis would fail. This would signal that whales may have accumulated at a local bottom, while the broader downtrend remains active.

For now, the data shows a rare alignment. Whales added nearly 9 million ETH during a $7 billion leverage collapse. Long-term holders have resumed accumulation. Exchange outflows remain dominant, and weak hands are exiting. Ethereum’s next move will now decide whether this accumulation marks the beginning of a true structural bottom or just another temporary pause in a larger downtrend.

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Polymarket to rebuild engine, launch native dollar stablecoin

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Polymarket banned in Argentina after regulatory probe

Polymarket will rebuild its core engine, introduce a hybrid CLOB, and launch Polymarket USD, a USDC‑backed stablecoin on Polygon aimed at cheaper, more institution‑friendly trading.

Summary

  • Prediction market Polymarket plans its “largest infrastructure upgrade” in the next 2–3 weeks, overhauling its matching engine and smart contracts.
  • The upgrade will introduce a new hybrid CLOB model and a native stablecoin, Polymarket USD, pegged 1:1 to USDC on Polygon.
  • The changes aim to cut gas costs, boost efficiency, and make the platform friendlier to institutions via EIP‑1271 and multi‑sig support.

On‑chain prediction market Polymarket will roll out what it calls “the largest infrastructure upgrade since its launch” in the coming 2–3 weeks, rebuilding its core trading engine and debuting a native dollar stablecoin, Polymarket USD, according to plans shared with The Block. The company said the overhaul will “completely reconstruct” its matching engine via a new CTF Exchange V2 smart‑contract system, while introducing a native stablecoin pegged 1:1 to USDC to replace the current bridged USDC.e on Polygon. Existing order books will be cleared during the migration, with Polymarket promising to give users at least one week’s notice before maintenance begins.

At the heart of the upgrade is a redesigned Central Limit Order Book that uses a hybrid model of off‑chain order matching combined with on‑chain, non‑custodial settlement. In technical documentation for its CTF Exchange, Polymarket describes the architecture as a “hybrid‑decentralized model” where an operator handles off‑chain matching while settlement remains on‑chain, a setup it says optimizes “performance and security” for high‑volume event markets. The Block reports that CTF Exchange V2 will introduce new matching logic and order‑data structures intended to improve matching efficiency and reduce gas costs for traders.

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Polymarket has grown into one of the largest fully on‑chain prediction venues, recently drawing hundreds of millions of dollars in liquidity and a $600 million strategic investment from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) as part of a broader bet on decentralized betting markets. ICE said its combined $1.6 billion of direct and secondary investment is not expected to be material to its financial results but positions the exchange operator as a key backer in what it calls a “David and Goliath battle” to bring prediction markets into the financial mainstream.

On the asset side, Polymarket USD formalizes a shift already underway in partnership with Circle to move from bridged USDC.e to native USDC on Polygon for all trading, order placement, and settlement. Circle has said native USDC, redeemable 1:1 for US dollars through its regulated entities, offers a “capital‑efficient” and more secure alternative to bridged tokens by eliminating cross‑chain bridge risk and tying collateral directly to its reserves. In line with that, Polymarket USD will be pegged 1:1 to USDC and used as the core collateral across the platform, with deposits from networks such as Ethereum, Solana, Arbitrum, and Base automatically converted into the new stablecoin on Polygon.

Polymarket will also add support for the EIP‑1271 (ERC‑1271) standard, allowing smart‑contract wallets such as Safe to validate signatures and trade directly, a move aimed at “expanding use cases for institutions and advanced users.” EIP‑1271 lets contracts define an isValidSignature method with arbitrary logic, making it easier for DAOs, funds, and multi‑sig setups to participate in non‑custodial markets without relying on externally owned accounts. The upgrade comes as competition in prediction markets intensifies, with Polymarket using performance, native dollar liquidity, and institutional‑grade wallet support to defend its lead in what it brands “The World’s Largest Prediction Market.”

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Bitcoin Profit Takers Keep BTC Price Action Away From $70,000 Reclaim

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Bitcoin Profit Takers Keep BTC Price Action Away From $70,000 Reclaim

Bitcoin found familiar resistance as it crossed the $70,000 mark to hit new April highs, with analysis blaming “profit-taking pressure.”

Bitcoin (BTC) coiled below $70,000 at Monday’s Wall Street open as analysis blamed profit taking for price inertia.

Key points:

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  • Bitcoin and stocks wobble as the US trading session begins amid nerves over the US-Iran war outcome.

  • Profit taking activity is keeping BTC price action away from a $70,000 reclaim, says research.

  • A Trader says $71,000 will act as fuel for a surge $10,000 higher.

BTC price meets “profit-taking pressure”

Data from TradingView showed BTC price action consolidating after hitting new April highs of $70,275 on Bitstamp.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Market nerves over the US-Iran war resulted in uncertain trading, with US stocks treading water at the open.

Speaking to the media at a military event, US President Donald Trump reiterated earlier comments that Iran would “have no bridges” and “no power plants” unless a deal was reached.

“I won’t go further because there are other things that are worse than those two,” he told reporters.

Trump previously stated that the deadline for a deal was 8pm Eastern time on Tuesday.

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With price pinned below the $70,000 mark, onchain analytics platform Glassnode pointed to internal market forces as the reason for the lack of continuation higher.

“As price probed the $70K region, Realized Profit/hour spiked above $20M, signalling a local exhaustion,” it noted in a post on X

“A pattern consistent since February 2026: Every approach to the $70k–$80K band meets thin liquidity and profit-taking pressure, capping the bounce.”

Bitcoin realized profit chart. Source: Glassnode/X

Pseudonymous trader LP added that Mondays and Thursdays had seen the upper and lower end of the week’s trading range throughout 2026.

“Price pushed higher into Monday, increasing the probability of this pivot forming a weekly high. If the correlation continues to play out, this would suggest Thursday forms the low of the week,” they told X followers. 

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“Watch price action closely today and tomorrow, it will confirm whether this intra-week pivot resolved as a high or a low.”

BTC price chart. Source: LP/X

Bitcoin trader eyes $71,000 springboard

Continuing, crypto trader Michaël Van de Poppe said the line in sand for bears lay slightly higher than Monday’s current peak.

Related: First real bull signal since 2025? Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

“Pretty strong momentum on the markets of Bitcoin,” he wrote on X about the initial move to $70,000. 

“Volatility picking up, and I think it’s fireworks during this week as we might be getting to the end stage of the entire situation in the Strait of Hormuz. If Bitcoin breaks $71K, then markets are in for a test at $80K.”

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Michaël Van de Poppe

Van de Poppe further cautioned on following blanket market consensus over new lows coming next.

“Given that all the markets are so oversold at this point, all on-chain indicators are looking overextended and are at similar levels to the bottom areas in 2018, 2020 and 2022, I wouldn’t be surprised that we’re getting a relief run that’s going to turn the sentiment quickly,” he concluded.