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EU Committee Moves Forward on Digital Euro Rules After Vote

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The European Parliament’s Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee (ECON) has approved its position on a European digital euro legislative package, bringing the EU’s central bank digital currency effort closer to formal negotiations. The committee vote is a meaningful procedural milestone for shaping the legal framework around the issuance, use, and privacy safeguards of a potential central bank digital currency (CBDC), with direct implications for financial institutions and payments providers operating across the euro area.

According to a European Parliament announcement, ECON endorsed the draft position by 43 votes to 14. The approval sets key policy parameters that the EU will use as it advances the package toward final legislation, while the European Central Bank (ECB) continues to target a future launch—an approach that has been repeatedly delayed by unresolved legislative details in prior stages.

Key takeaways

  • ECON approval is an early legislative milestone for the EU digital euro framework, helping define the rules that will govern issuance and use.
  • Privacy and offline payments are central design goals, including an account-based model for online payments and offline functionality using local device storage.
  • Holdings and interest rules are designed to limit financial stability risks, with caps on individual holdings, no interest on the digital euro, and time-limited business holdings.
  • Distribution would involve multiple regulated intermediaries, including banks, payment providers, and potentially post offices and e-money institutions.
  • Compliance and institutional readiness become more concrete as the EU moves toward final technical rules, pilots, and a multi-year rollout period.

ECON’s vote narrows the policy parameters

In its approved position on the digital euro package, ECON advanced the EU’s stance on how the digital euro would work in practice and what boundaries would apply. The European Parliament announcement framed the draft as protecting citizens’ choice in payment methods, emphasizing that the digital euro would be intended to complement cash rather than supplant it.

From a regulatory perspective, the committee’s endorsement matters because CBDC rules are not limited to technological specifications. They also determine legal allocation of responsibilities across the EU’s financial ecosystem—particularly with respect to privacy safeguards, financial stability controls, and the role of supervised intermediaries. For banks and payment service providers, this can affect licensing considerations, vendor contracting, system integration timelines, and customer onboarding processes.

The vote also sits in a broader context: the ECB began laying groundwork for a CBDC in 2020 and has previously indicated a long-term timeline for a potential launch. The institution has also pointed to the need for alignment with legislative processes, which have contributed to delays. Reuters has reported that ECB policymaking figures have continued to project a later-than-anticipated start, with September projections pointing to 2029 as a likely horizon.

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Privacy-by-design and offline functionality

The draft approved by ECON describes a digital euro that would be issued by the ECB and support both online and offline payment modes. For online transactions, the model would be account-based. For offline payments, the proposal indicates functionality through local device storage, aiming to replicate key aspects of cash use while maintaining the digital euro’s central bank backing.

Importantly for user protection and compliance planning, the European Parliament announcement states that offline functionality would be designed to be equivalent to physical cash in terms of control: losing the device would mean losing the offline money, and the text indicates that no refund would be possible. That approach creates operational and consumer-protection implications for wallet providers and intermediaries, including the scope of support obligations and incident-handling processes.

The draft also incorporates privacy-by-design features. It references cryptographic techniques such as zero-knowledge proofs (ZKPs) to verify transactions without exposing personal data. The announcement further states that the ECB would not have access to personal identification data. For institutions, this can affect how compliance reporting, auditability, and supervisory access are implemented—especially where AML/CFT frameworks require traceability and risk-based monitoring. Even when privacy is enhanced at the payment layer, firms would still need to ensure that their end-to-end systems can meet legal reporting and supervisory expectations.

Financial stability limits, no interest, and business restrictions

Beyond privacy and offline use, the ECON position includes measures intended to mitigate risks to financial stability. The draft proposes holding limits for individuals, with caps to be set by the European Commission based on ECB recommendations and subject to regular review. The digital euro would not pay interest, another element designed to reduce incentives for large-scale substitution away from deposits.

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The proposal also addresses how businesses could hold digital euros. Businesses would generally be allowed to hold digital euros only temporarily to accumulate incoming payments for a limited period—up to 24 hours as described in the announcement. In addition, businesses would be generally expected to accept the digital euro, though exceptions would apply for very small firms and self-employed operators that do not already accept digital payments.

Service pricing is also reflected in the draft position. Basic services such as account access and payments would be free, while additional services could carry capped fees for providers. Offline transactions would remain free under the proposal. These provisions are relevant for compliance teams and governance because they set expectations for cost allocation across the intermediated payments chain.

Rollout through regulated intermediaries and technical readiness

The approved position outlines a distribution model that would rely on intermediaries across the euro area. According to the announcement, banks and payment providers would play a role, and post offices and e-money providers could also distribute the digital euro. For regulated firms, this creates a likely pathway for integration work within existing frameworks for accounts, payments, and supervision.

Before any launch, the ECB would need to finalize technical rules, run pilot tests, and coordinate with payment providers and other stakeholders. The rollout period described in the draft would last at least two years after the final law is approved, underscoring that institutional preparation—testing, controls, and operational documentation—could be expected well before any consumer-facing deployment.

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That extended implementation window is significant for institutional and regulatory planning. It provides time to align internal systems with expected wallet and payment flows, update contractual terms with vendors, and prepare for supervisory engagement around AML/KYC procedures, transaction monitoring, and incident response. It also reduces the risk of abrupt operational changes that can create compliance gaps during live deployment.

Digital euro policy momentum alongside regulated stablecoin initiatives

While the digital euro effort advances through EU legislative processes, European private-sector work on regulated digital money continues. Last month, Qivalis—a consortium of European banking institutions developing a regulated euro stablecoin—expanded to 37 member institutions. The statement shared with Cointelegraph indicated that the group added 25 new banks across 15 countries, including ABN AMRO, Rabobank, Nordea, and Intesa Sanpaolo, and targeted a second-half 2026 launch.

In an email response to Cointelegraph, MEP Fernando Navarrete Rojas said Europe does not have to choose between a digital euro and private payment solutions, arguing for a “dual approach” in which existing standards and infrastructure should be reused where possible and new standards should be open and accessible to banks, payment providers, and innovative solutions. For institutional observers, that statement signals that policymakers may seek coordination between CBDC design choices and the evolution of regulated stablecoin ecosystems—particularly in areas such as data protection, stability considerations, and interoperability.

Regulatory comparisons also remain unavoidable. Stablecoin offerings can intersect with AML/CFT obligations, prudential and consumer-protection concerns, and cross-border supervision challenges. The EU’s approach to a CBDC, including privacy design and holding restrictions, may influence expectations for how private issuers structure controls—especially where stablecoin use could compete with, or complement, central bank-issued payment instruments.

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Closing perspective

ECON’s approval is a concrete step in turning the digital euro from a conceptual project into a legislatable framework, with privacy, offline functionality, and financial stability constraints already taking shape. The next decisive phase will be the finalization of EU legislation and the ECB’s technical rulemaking and pilots—areas where timelines, supervisory expectations, and compliance integration will likely determine how quickly institutions can operationalize readiness.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Pump.fun Parent Baton Corporation Recruiting CLO at Up to $5M Base Salary

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Pump.fun Parent Baton Corporation Recruiting CLO at Up to $5M Base Salary


Baton Corporation, the UK-headquartered development company behind Pump.fun, is recruiting a Chief Legal Officer at a base salary of $1M to $5M, co-founder Alon Cohen posted Wednesday on X. A $1M base floor for a CLO is well above the median for senior in-house legal executives at most crypto… Read the full story at The Defiant

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Upheaval at the foundation has some of crypto’s biggest names feeling bullish

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‘What's happening at the EF?’ Ethereum community looking for answers after high-profile departures

Yakovenko’s comments stood out because they came from one of Ethereum’s most prominent competitors. While debates between Ethereum and Solana supporters have often been contentious, Yakovenko’s reaction reflected a view shared by many currently at the top of the industry: that leaner organizations can sometimes make better decisions than larger, more bureaucratic ones.

The emergence of EthLabs is particularly significant because it arrived the day before the foundation’s layoffs and budget cuts, underscoring what supporters see as a broader trend: Ethereum’s research and development ecosystem increasingly extending beyond the foundation itself.

“I feel that the job cuts at the EF were necessary for their budget, longevity, and CROPs alignment,” said Hudson Jameson, head of ecosystems at CertiK and a former employee at the Ethereum Foundation. “As sad as the layoffs are, it was an inevitability to keep the EF lean long term.”

Jameson described EthLabs’ launch as exciting, noting that its founding team includes respected veterans of Ethereum’s research and development community. “The founding team at EthLabs are long-time, well-respected members of the Eth R&D community,” he said. “I can’t wait to see what they will accomplish.”

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For years, critics and supporters alike have debated whether Ethereum relies too heavily on the Ethereum Foundation. As the ecosystem has grown into a global network of developers, infrastructure providers, layer-2 networks, institutions and companies, some leaders have argued that the foundation should become less central rather than more influential.

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Ethereum Price Prediction: Kiyosaki Still Eyeing ETH, Solana Founder Bullish on EF Staff Cuts

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Ethereum price is not looking good, and its prediction is at rock bottom, but it’s also holding attention from two directions at once. The Ethereum Foundation just confirmed 54 layoffs and a 40% budget reduction, but Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko called it bullish. Meanwhile, Robert Kiyosaki is still publicly accumulating ETH, with bombastic targets.

The Foundation’s restructuring is deliberate. Co-founder Vitalik Buterin acknowledged concrete trade-offs: a smaller Devcon, the wind-down of Privacy and Scaling Explorations, and reduced scope beyond core Ethereum work. The organization now runs on a seven-cluster structure focused on protocol security, censorship resistance, and privacy.

Its treasury policy caps annual spending at 15% of holdings, with a 2.5-year cash buffer and a glide path to a 5% endowment baseline by 2030, funded increasingly by staking and DeFi yield rather than ETH sales. According to Yakovenko, a foundation that spends less and ships its priorities more tightly moves faster. But will price follow?

Discover: The Best Token Presales

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Ethereum Price Prediction: Push Toward $4,500 After Foundation Reset?

ETH is trading at around $1,660 right now, and the key Fibonacci structure sits well above the current spot. The support clusters are at around the 23% retracement at $1,300, with the 62% level around $1,900 acting as meaningful resistance on any sustained rally. Until ETH reclaims that $1,800 buy-zone, the mid-term technical picture remains constructive only on a relative basis.

The bull case is straightforward: Foundation restructuring reads as a catalyst for faster protocol execution, Yakovenko’s public endorsement pulls cross-ecosystem attention, and Kiyosaki’s continued accumulation commentary, framing $4,000 ETH as “the next Bitcoin moment,” keeps retail sentiment tilted toward accumulation. Targets in that scenario run $2,000 near-term, with institutional consensus from firms like Citi and Fundstrat clustering in the $5,440–$15,000 range for 2026.

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However, invalidation arrives if ETH loses key support below $1,500 on volume, which would reopen the lower consolidation range and neutralize the Foundation narrative entirely. Ethereum’s price structure still hinges on whether protocol momentum translates into fee revenue and network demand, not on any single pundit’s call.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

Bitcoin Hyper Positions Where Both ETH and Solana Are Pointing

The Ethereum Foundation restructuring and Yakovenko’s bullish take on it highlight a convergence traders should track: Bitcoin’s security model, Ethereum’s programmability ambitions, and Solana’s execution speed are no longer cleanly separate value propositions. Early-stage infrastructure projects are already trying to collapse that gap.

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Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is one presale worth examining in that context. It is the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) integration, meaning smart contract execution at sub-Solana latency, anchored to Bitcoin’s security.

The project has raised $32 million at a current price of just cents, $0.0136821, with staking available at a high APY for early participants. The core pitch: programmable Bitcoin, fast enough to compete with Solana on throughput, without abandoning BTC’s trust model.

A Decentralized Canonical Bridge handles BTC transfers natively (no wrapped-token workarounds). That’s a technically differentiated position.

Research HYPER’s Full presale details here.

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The post Ethereum Price Prediction: Kiyosaki Still Eyeing ETH, Solana Founder Bullish on EF Staff Cuts appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Kalshi Challenges Illinois Rules Limiting Prediction Markets

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Crypto Breaking News

Prediction markets firm Kalshi has filed a lawsuit against Illinois state officials, arguing that newly enacted legislation in the state “expressly bans sports event contracts” on its platform unless Kalshi complies with a licensing regime. The company says the law conflicts with federal oversight of prediction markets and could force it to make operational changes that would be costly and ultimately unrecoverable.

In a Tuesday filing in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois, Kalshi named Illinois Governor JB Pritzker, Attorney General Kwame Raoul, and other officials connected to the state’s gaming board. The complaint asserts that the measure signed last week—Illinois Senate Bill 3019—improperly intrudes on authority Kalshi says belongs to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) under federal law. Kalshi is seeking to block the statute from taking effect on July 1.

Key takeaways

  • Kalshi alleges Illinois Senate Bill 3019 conflicts with federal CFTC authority over prediction markets, including event contracts.
  • The company argues compliance would force it to stop offering sports event contracts in Illinois or face potentially unlawful enforcement.
  • Kalshi claims the July 1 start date could cause “irreparable harm,” including non-recoverable technical and compliance costs.
  • The case adds to an ongoing federal-versus-state jurisdiction dispute over prediction markets and whether they fall under commodities rules.
  • Legal experts cited in earlier coverage say these fights may ultimately reach the U.S. Supreme Court.

Illinois law brings prediction markets under sports betting rules

Illinois’ SB 3019 was signed as part of the state budget package for fiscal year 2027, according to earlier reporting by Cointelegraph. Among other provisions, the package included a 0.2% tax on crypto transactions, which drew significant criticism from parts of the industry.

The central issue for Kalshi is how SB 3019 changes the state’s definition of an “exchange wager.” The bill amends that definition to include “an agreement, contract, transaction, or swap” that is offered, traded, or executed on a prediction market tied to a sporting contest or event. Kalshi argues this effectively subjects prediction market companies to the same kind of regulatory framework applied to sports betting operators.

In its complaint, Kalshi contends that the state legislation violates federal requirements and infringes on the CFTC’s claimed role in regulating event contracts on prediction platforms. The company’s filing describes a scenario in which following the new Illinois rules could place Kalshi in conflict with what it characterizes as the CFTC’s “uniformity requirements.”

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Kalshi warns of costly compliance hurdles and enforcement risk

Kalshi’s lawsuit frames the timing and practical implications as urgent. The company says it would be “irreparably harmed” when SB 3019 takes effect on July 1 if it is required to comply.

According to the complaint, Kalshi would face a difficult choice: either stop offering its sports event contracts in Illinois to meet the new state licensing and regulatory requirements, or attempt to continue but implement complex systems to restrict access to Illinois. Kalshi argues that building and operating such technology would be expensive, and it asserts that those costs would not be recoverable even if it ultimately prevails in the lawsuit.

The filing also highlights enforcement risk. Kalshi states it cannot simply ignore the state law because an Illinois enforcement action could expose the company to criminal penalties. “Irreparable harm” in this context is tied not just to immediate business restrictions, but also to compliance engineering, operational complexity, and the legal peril of being out of step with either federal or state frameworks.

A continuing jurisdiction fight: CFTC vs. state gaming regulators

This lawsuit is part of a broader dispute that has repeatedly surfaced across U.S. jurisdictions: whether prediction markets that trade on sports outcomes are primarily regulated as commodities under the Commodity Exchange Act—or instead should be governed through state-by-state sports betting rules.

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Kalshi’s complaint centers on the CFTC’s position. The filing notes the regulator’s claim that it has exclusive authority over the relevant companies because Kalshi’s “event contracts” are “swaps” within the CFTC’s jurisdiction. The CFTC has pursued legal action against state authorities that, in its view, have moved beyond their role by restricting prediction market offerings.

Earlier coverage by Cointelegraph described CFTC lawsuits aimed at state governments following prediction market laws in places such as Kentucky. In those cases, the pattern has been consistent: state gaming officials assert that prediction market contracts tied to sports outcomes should be treated like sports betting products under state frameworks, while the CFTC argues that federal commodities rules control the market structure and offerings.

Illinois’ new approach, by tying prediction market activity tied to sports events to the definition of an “exchange wager,” is expected to intensify the same federal-state tension. Kalshi’s filing suggests that the state’s method of regulation—licensing and restrictions aligned with sports wagering—collides with federal claims of uniformity and CFTC jurisdiction.

What happens next, and why the outcome matters

Experts have previously suggested that the recurring jurisdictional battles could eventually end up before the U.S. Supreme Court, given the opposing legal theories coming from federal regulators and state gaming officials. Earlier Cointelegraph reporting on the legal trajectory of Kalshi’s dispute highlighted that possibility, particularly as courts grapple with how prediction markets should be classified.

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For investors, traders, and the companies building prediction market infrastructure, the stakes are practical and immediate. If more states follow Illinois’ model, platforms could face a patchwork of licensing requirements and access restrictions—while the CFTC continues to argue for a federal, uniform regulatory approach. The legal outcome will likely influence whether the U.S. prediction market landscape can scale with consistent rules or remains fragmented by state-by-state compliance burdens.

Readers should watch SB 3019’s implementation status alongside court responses to Kalshi’s claims of “irreparable harm,” because early rulings on whether the statute can be enforced—or must be paused—could set an important precedent for other jurisdictions preparing to regulate sports-linked prediction markets.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Bitcoin’s Network Is Booming Even as Prices Remain Below Record Highs

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Bitcoin network activity remains close to record highs, according to CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Network Activity Index, even though the cryptocurrency is still trading below its all-time high.

The index tracks metrics such as active addresses, transaction volumes, unspent transaction outputs (UTXOs), and demand for block space to measure actual activity on the network.

Network Usage Surges

The Network Activity Index line is rising again and is moving back toward the levels seen during the 2024-2025 peak. It remains above its 365-day moving average, further indicating that network usage is stronger than its long-term average. According to CryptoQuant’s analysis, this trend differs from previous market cycles, in which rising prices were usually the main driver attracting new users. Instead, current network growth appears to be taking place independently of BTC’s price performance.

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Source: CryptoQuant

The report said that new applications built on Bitcoin are helping drive this increase in activity. Ordinals have enabled users to permanently attach images, text, and non-fungible tokens to individual satoshis. This has created a native digital asset ecosystem on the Bitcoin blockchain. BRC-20 tokens, which use the Ordinals protocol, have also allowed the creation of meme coins and community tokens without relying on smart contracts.

Meanwhile, Runes, a token standard developed by Ordinals creator Casey Rodarmor, uses Bitcoin’s UTXO model to improve efficiency while reducing network overhead.

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These developments have increased demand for block space and expanded Bitcoin’s function beyond simple payments. The crypto analytics firm added that Bitcoin is increasingly being used to store and verify data, while network adoption continues to grow even as broader market factors such as ETF flows, institutional demand, and macroeconomic conditions continue to influence price movements.

Pressure on BTC

Bitcoin was trading below $63,000 on Wednesday as investors remained cautious about risk assets. The decline was also driven by continued outflows of money from spot Bitcoin ETFs, which are now on track for a seventh straight week of withdrawals.

So far this week, US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded nearly $182 million in net outflows, adding further pressure on the crypto asset’s price.

Geopolitical risks have also not disappeared, even as US-Iran talks in Switzerland moved into a negotiation phase. Bitunix analysts believe that investors may first need to see a turning point in broader liquidity conditions for crypto to attract meaningful new inflows. In a statement to CryptoPotato, the analysts explained

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“In the near term, easing geopolitical tensions should help contain energy prices. But the next phase for risk assets will be determined less by whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open and more by whether markets become convinced that the Federal Reserve is preparing for another tightening cycle. That shift suggests that market volatility in the weeks ahead will increasingly be driven by inflation reports, labor market data, and Fed policy signals rather than developments on the geopolitical front.”

The post Bitcoin’s Network Is Booming Even as Prices Remain Below Record Highs appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Explore how the Condorcet paradox exposes the limits of perfect fairness in blockchain consensus.

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Explore how the Condorcet paradox exposes the limits of perfect fairness in blockchain consensus.

Consensus guarantees today, focus on two properties: Consistency and Liveness. Consistency requires that all nodes eventually agree on the same set and sequence of transactions, while liveness ensures the system continues to process new transactions. What they do not address is whether the agreed-upon transaction order totally reflects fairness.

In public blockchains, transaction ordering has direct economic consequences. The order in which transactions execute determines who captures value and who pays the cost, particularly as validators, block builders, or sequencers can exploit their privileged role in block construction for financial gain. This practice is known as maximal extractable value (MEV) and includes the profitable frontrunning, backrunning, and sandwiching of transactions. Prima facie, there is no obvious way to prevent MEV extracting practices because block proposers hold unilateral power over transaction ordering, and no protocol rule inherently constrains how they exercise that power.

To address this, transaction order-fairness has been proposed as a third essential consensus property. A protocol is transaction order-fair if no participant can systematically bias transaction ordering beyond what objective network conditions and protocol rules imply. By limiting how much power a block proposer has to reorder transactions, fair-ordering protocols move blockchains closer to being transparent, predictable, and MEV-resistant.

However, even this intuitive idea of fairness encounters a structural limit. In an asynchronous distributed system, there is no globally defined reception order because each node observes messages at different times, and no shared clock exists. Therefore, no protocol can guarantee execution strictly according to a single universal arrival sequence. This limitation follows from the basic constraints of distributed consensus under asynchronous communication, not from any particular design choice.

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The Condorcet Paradox and the Impossibility of Perfect Fairness

The most intuitive and strongest notion of fairness is called Receive-Order-Fairness (ROF). It simply means “first-come, first-served.” ROF dictates that if most nodes receive transaction A before transaction B, then A should be processed before B.

That sounds simple and fair. However, the problem is that nodes do not all see transactions at the exact same time. Messages travel at different speeds. Some computers might receive A first. Others might receive B first. Because of this, it is impossible to guarantee perfect “first-come, first-served” fairness unless every node can communicate instantly with no delays. In real networks, that never happens.

There is also a deeper problem called the Condorcet paradox. This idea comes from voting theory. It shows that even when each person (or node in this case) has a clear and consistent order in their own mind, the group as a whole can end up with a loop that makes no sense.

For example:

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  • Most nodes see A before B
  • Most nodes see B before C
  • Most nodes see C before A

This produces a majority preference cycle (A→B→C→A), meaning no single ordering satisfies the majority view across all pairs. The network cannot construct one sequence that matches what most nodes observed first.

Because perfect ROF is unachievable under these conditions, practical systems adopt some weaker fairness guarantees as outlined in the sections below.

Hashgraph’s Fairness Model: Graph of Hashes,  Median Timestamps, and aBFT Consensus

Hedera, which employs the hashgraph algorithm, approaches the fairness problem through a directed acyclic graph (DAG) of cryptographically linked events. It is a leaderless consensus algorithm that operates in a fully asynchronous setting and achieves Asynchronous Byzantine Fault Tolerant (aBFT). Under this model, honest nodes eventually reach agreement on the same transaction log even under unbounded message delays. Consensus ordering emerges from network-wide observation through a virtual voting process: the order is calculated collectively by nodes rather than assigned by a designated block producer.

When a node receives a transaction, it packages it into a message called an event and gossips it to peers. When another node creates a subsequent event, it records the hash of the events it has already seen and digitally signs the new event. This provides cryptographic proof that the node had seen prior events before signing the new one. The hashgraph, therefore, enforces causal order: once a node publishes an event, the ancestry embedded in that event proves which transactions preceded it.

This linkage can be represented as an edge in the DAG. If one event is a direct or indirect ancestor of another, a downward path exists between them in the graph, and the protocol provides a cryptographic guarantee that the ancestor event was created first. Transactions connected by such paths are ordered according to their causal relationships in the graph. When two events have no ancestor relationship, they are concurrent, and the protocol resolves their relative order through the round-received mechanism. Each event is assigned a round based on when a supermajority of nodes, defined as more than two-thirds, can be shown to have strongly seen it through the DAG structure. Events assigned to earlier rounds are ordered first.

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For events that share the same round-received, the protocol uses median timestamps to determine ordering. Each node records a local timestamp when it first receives an event. The consensus timestamp assigned to an event is the median of the timestamps reported across the node set. This timestamp is not derived from arbitrary local clocks in isolation. It is constrained by the gossip ancestry preserved in the hashgraph: a node cannot claim to have received an event before its causal predecessors without producing a detectable inconsistency in the DAG.

Under the standard aBFT assumption that fewer than one-third of nodes are Byzantine, the median falls on an honest timestamp or between two honest timestamps, which prevents adversarial nodes from shifting the median beyond a bounded range.

The Condorcet paradox can still apply to concurrent events, specifically those with no ancestor relationship in the DAG, where different nodes may observe them in different orders. The DAG structure eliminates this ambiguity for causally linked events: no contradictory causal paths can exist because each event’s ancestry is cryptographically fixed at creation. Because gossip propagation typically causes new events to become descendants of prior events within fractions of a second, most transactions fall into clear causal chains. The remaining concurrent events are resolved through round-received assignment and median timestamps as described above.

However, the hashgraph’s fairness guarantees have a bounded adversarial surface. A node still determines when to gossip an event, which events to relay first, and how long to delay relaying. These choices reshape the first-seen patterns that feed into median timestamp computation. The DAG cannot misrepresent the causal order it records, but it can be strategically shaped by gossip behavior before that order is recorded.

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BOF Protocols: Fairness Through Batch Aggregation

BOF protocols define a “block” as the set of transactions forming a single Condorcet cycle, and then order these blocks fairly while ignoring the ordering inside the block. The BOF criterion was first introduced by Mahimna Kelkar et al. (2020) in “Order-Fairness for Byzantine Consensus,” which formalized the Aequitas family of protocols. In Aequitas, BOF requires that if a γ-fraction of nodes observe block (b) before block (b′), then no honest node may output (b) after (b′). The γ-fraction is the proportion of nodes that must agree on a block ordering for that ordering to be considered “fair” and enforced by the consensus protocol.

For BOF, if the fairness predicate indicates that a transaction tx should precede tx′, then tx cannot appear in a later block than tx′. When the fairness relation becomes cyclic, the protocol collapses the entire strongly connected component into a single block, because BOF treats that block, not the individual transaction, as the atomic fairness unit. Under γ-BOF, the only forbidden outcome is placing tx′ in a strictly earlier block than tx when a directed constraint tx→tx′ exists. The protocol permits both transactions to appear in the same block and places no restrictions on their ordering inside that block.

For example, Figure 2 below, is a Condorcet cycle of 30 transactions, so they would be in a single block. Sorting by hash might place 30 before 1 in the final ordering. However, a γ-fraction of nodes observed transaction 1 before transaction 30, yet placing 30 before 1 is still considered “fair” under γ-BOF. Because 1 and 30 are in the same block, and this notion of fairness only considers the order of the blocks, not the order of the transactions within a block.

When no cycles exist, BOF coincides with the strong form of ROF. When Condorcet cycles emerge, all transactions participating in the cycle are placed into a single block, and a deterministic method, such as a hash-based rule, orders events within that batch.

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The protocol proceeds through three coordinated stages to ensure consistent transaction ordering across the network: the Gossip stage, the Agreement stage, and the Finalization stage.

In the gossip stage, nodes use FIFO broadcast to disseminate transactions in the order they were locally received per sender, preserving per-sender sequence so that each peer maintains a comparable transaction view. Once gossiping stabilizes, the agreement stage begins, where nodes execute a Set Byzantine Agreement (Set-BA) protocol to reach consensus on a unified set of local orderings that will serve as the foundation for the global order. In the finalization stage, nodes construct a dependency graph that captures transaction ordering relationships. Any transactions forming a cycle within this graph are grouped into the same strongly connected component and finalized together within a block.

However, Aequitas suffers from weak liveness, as its high communication cost and strict fairness constraints require the protocol to wait for the entire Condorcet cycle before finalizing the collapsed SCC. Because Condorcet cycles can chain indefinitely, this waiting period can grow without bound. Thus, transaction delivery can be delayed for an arbitrarily long time, and creates the “freeze” risk that defines Aequitas’ weak-liveness guarantee.

Themis was introduced to solve this. It preserves the same γ-BOF property while resolving these liveness and communication issues. Like Aequitas, Themis also constructs a dependency graph and collapses SCCs during its “FairFinalize” stage. The SCCs represent the same non-transitive Condorcet cycles underlying the γ-BOF relaxation, and Themis uses the condensation graph to derive the batch structure of the final output. The key difference is that Themis does not wait for a full cycle to complete. Instead, it uses deferred ordering and batch unspooling to output SCCs incrementally while allowing new transactions to continue flowing. This preserves γ-BOF but upgrades Aequitas’ weak liveness to standard liveness, and guarantees delivery within a delay bound.

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In its standard form, Themis requires each participant to exchange messages with most other nodes in the network. As the number of participants increases, the amount of communication grows rapidly, roughly proportional to the square of the network size. However, in its optimized version, SNARK-Themis, nodes use succinct cryptographic proofs to verify fairness without needing to communicate directly with every other participant. This reduces the communication load so that it grows only in direct proportion to the number of nodes, thus allowing Themis to scale efficiently even in large networks.

If a malicious proposer attempts to exploit the situation by proposing an empty block, Themis employs deferred ordering, where the partially ordered batch (B₁) is still accepted, and the final, precise order of its transactions is determined later by the next honest proposer. That proposer finalizes the order based on verifiable transaction relationships, not personal discretion. This design ensures finalization depends only on bounded network delay, not on the arbitrary behavior of the current proposer, thus closing a key liveness gap that Aequitas could not guarantee.

This structure guarantees that every transaction is both included and executed deterministically, even in the presence of conflicting arrival orders. Because Themis leverages the internal dependency graph and SCC condensation to extract a final ordering, it is resilient to adversarial manipulation. Attackers cannot simply reorder or front-run other users’ transactions once they are included in the batch. Any attempt to alter dependencies would break the verified graph consistency.

In an empirical analysis by Mahimna Kelkar et al., γ-BOF resists adversarial reordering more strongly than timestamp-based approaches in geo-distributed networks. However, it requires significantly more computational and protocol complexity, which can also be seen as a downside.

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Conclusion:

Perfect fairness in transaction ordering is structurally unattainable in distributed systems that lack synchronized clocks and instantaneous communication. The Condorcet paradox ensures that majority preferences can conflict in ways no single linear order can satisfy. The real question is how to find the most realistic and useful trade-offs.

Hashgraph and BOF represent two coherent answers. Neither approach is inherently superior. Both embed fairness directly into the consensus mechanism rather than relying on trust or authority. Both approaches demonstrate that fairness is not a binary property but a spectrum of trade-offs defined by formal impossibility results. Where synchrony is unavailable, and clocks are untrusted, the choice between median-timestamp aggregation and batch-order collapsing reflects different but equally principled responses to the same underlying constraint.

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Binance Looks Beyond Greece for EU MiCA Authorization

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Binance Looks Beyond Greece for EU MiCA Authorization

[Update 14:47 UTC, June 24: Updates with comments from Binance beginning in first paragraph.]

Crypto exchange Binance is withdrawing its MiCA application with Greece’s Hellenic Capital Market Commission (HCMC) and intends to pursue authorization in another member state just days before the deadline for EU licensing.

“When we are ready to announce that Member State, we will do so publicly,” the company said in a statement on Wednesday.

Earlier, Gillian Lynch, Binance’s head of Europe and the United Kingdom, told Reuters that the exchange is “not leaving Europe” and would pursue authorization in another EU jurisdiction if its application in Greece does not move forward.

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Lynch said Binance contacted other regulators but submitted a formal application only in Greece. The exchange reportedly held talks with Ireland, Latvia and Greece but encountered resistance over its past money-laundering penalties, international structure and what officials viewed as a risk-taking culture. 

The move comes days before the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) transitional period ends on July 1, a key deadline for crypto firms seeking to operate across the EU. The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) said on Tuesday that crypto service providers that remain unauthorized by the deadline must take “immediate” steps to wind down their EU activities.

On June 16, Binance pushed back against an earlier Reuters report that EU regulators were preparing to reject its MiCA application, saying Greece’s Hellenic Capital Market Commission had reviewed the application and considered it compliant, subject to further review by ESMA. The exchange said at the time that it expected the process to advance toward authorization.

EU customers could see changes

In its statement, Binance said it plans to take the necessary steps before July 1 to remain “compliant with applicable requirements.”

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“This means some users may be impacted, and we will communicate directly with affected users to provide clear information on next steps,” the representative said. “All user funds remain safe and secure. Our priority is to minimize disruption, provide clarity to users, and continue building a trusted and compliant digital asset ecosystem globally.”

The representative did not provide additional details.

MiCA deadline puts Binance’s European reach at risk 

On Monday, CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn told Cointelegraph that euro-denominated pairs account for about 1% of Binance’s global spot trading volume, suggesting that a European licensing setback may have a limited effect on the business.

Source: CryptoQuant

However, Binance remains a significant trading venue for European users, handling between about $100 million and $250 million in daily euro-pair volume in 2026, with occasional spikes of about $600 million. 

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Binance held an estimated 18.5% share of euro-denominated spot trading during the year, placing it second behind Kraken’s 43.3% share, according to CryptoQuant’s data.

Exchanges emerge as MiCA compliance gatekeepers

Binance’s licensing difficulties could also affect token issuers, as authorized exchanges increasingly prepare and notify MiCA white papers for assets they list.

In a LinkedIn post, Ryan King, creator of the EU Crypto Register, said at least 380 of 867 white-paper entries he tracked were notified by third parties rather than token issuers. He said Kraken, LCX, OKX and Bitstamp accounted for 271 notifications, or about 31% of the total.

Related: Binance’s Yi He warns of alleged impersonation scam, CoinUp denies ties

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King told Cointelegraph that the model was “symbiotic” because exchanges employ MiCA-trained compliance teams, maintain regulator relationships and retain large law firms. He added that exchanges increasingly request white papers during onboarding and may offer to prepare them, even for tokens covered by transitional arrangements. 

“They also use standard templates,” King told Cointelegraph, recalling that one exchange told a token project to “fill it in and we’ll handle the rest.”

Magazine: Japanese pension fund tips 1% in crypto, G7 urges action on NK hackers: Asia Express

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Solana Price Prediction: SOL Dominating On-Chain With Little to No Volume in Perpetual Trading

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Solana price is trading at $68, with spot volumes dominating onchain. However, its perp activity is conspicuously absent. Why?

Solana price is trading at $68, with a $40 billion market cap, as its spot volumes dominate onchain. However, its perp activity is conspicuously absent.

If we laid out the structural case, Solana holds 25% of the total on-chain DEX share, with mainstream asset spreads compressed to 0.4–1.6 bps on large trades. Solana is approaching CEX-level efficiency driven by PropAMM architecture.

Solana price is trading at $68, with spot volumes dominating onchain. However, its perp activity is conspicuously absent. Why?

Meanwhile, HyperLiquid commands over 47% of perpetual OI and volume share, exposing a gap that Solana’s current infrastructure lacks. The root issue isn’t throughput, but deterministic sequencing. Solana’s Leader scheduling can’t guarantee cancellations are prioritized over fills, which forces market makers to widen spreads and pull depth.

Spot thrives. Perps suffer. But maybe it’s what Solana is for.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

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Can Solana Price Hit $295 and Beyond This Week?

At under $70, SOL is consolidating inside a contracting triangle on the hourly chart, with immediate resistance clustered between $82. A decisive close above it opens the next leg, though the more meaningful test sits much higher.

On the daily timeframe, our analysts identify support in the $65 zone and a hard resistance wall near $75, a level that has rejected multiple breakout attempts. The 20-day moving average is sloping upward, RSI is climbing from mid-range, and each dip has been absorbed by spot buyers rather than triggering perp-driven liquidation cascades.

Solana (SOL)
24h7d30d1yAll time

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If SOL clears $72 with volume, reclaims $75 on the daily, it then could target the $80 supply zone. ETF-related inflows or a major DeFi launch could accelerate that path. But a clean break below $65 on elevated volume would compromise the current structure and likely flush toward the $50-$55 range. This pattern of on-chain activity diverging from derivatives participation has appeared in other assets recently.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as Solana Tests Key Levels

SOL’s spot dominance is real, but at the current price, the upside to $80 requires clearing multiple resistance bands and a macro tailwind. The asymmetry that existed at $20 is structurally different from the risk/reward at the current price.

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Traders who already have SOL exposure and want earlier-stage leverage on the same SVM thesis are increasingly looking at infrastructure plays still in price discovery. Bitcoin Hyper is the angle drawing attention here.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioned as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with full SVM integration, executing faster than Solana itself, with sub-second finality. It is powered by a Decentralized Canonical Bridge for native BTC transfers and low-cost smart contract execution, inheriting Bitcoin’s security model.

The presale has raised close to $33 million at a current price of $0.0136, with staking available at high APY for early participants. The composability angle is directly relevant: if Solana’s long-term moat is DeFi composability and ecosystem flywheel, a Bitcoin-native chain running SVM unlocks that same playbook for the largest liquidity pool in crypto.

Research Bitcoin Hyper here before the presale ends.

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The post Solana Price Prediction: SOL Dominating On-Chain With Little to No Volume in Perpetual Trading appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Microsoft Copilot AI Predicts Incredible Solana Price by The End of 2026

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Microsoft Copilot AI Predicts Incredible Solana Price by The End of 2026

Microsoft Copilot AI just outlined a target predicts for Solana price prediction that swings from believable to extreme depending on how the next two quarters play out. The model sees $250 to $400 as the base bull range by the end of 2026, with a blow-off scenario stretching as far as $600.

The bull case rests on three concrete developments rather than vague optimism. The Alpenglow upgrade is boosting validator efficiency and throughput, which directly strengthens Solana’s core pitch as the fastest chain in the room.

Spot ETF inflows have already crossed the billion-dollar mark, a real number rather than a projection, showing institutional money is genuinely moving in.

Source: Copilot AI Solana Price Prediction

Real-world adoption is showing up too, with Western Union integrating Solana-based stablecoin payments into its network, a use case that goes well beyond crypto native trading.

Developer momentum backs all of this up, since Solana’s share of active builders keeps climbing, reinforcing its position as the leading high-performance chain in the space. If validator improvements, ETF demand, and enterprise adoption continue to compound, the model sees a path toward the $250 to $400 zone, with $600 possible if everything lines up at once.

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The bear case is not subtle about what is missing. DeFi total value locked has halved from 2025 highs, memecoin-driven fee revenue has essentially collapsed, and those billion-dollar ETF inflows have not yet translated into any sustained price strength.

If macro conditions tighten further or the network runs into fresh stress, Solana could simply retrace back into the $60 to $70 zone and consolidate there for a while instead of breaking out.

Bitcoin (BTC)
24h7d30d1yAll time

Solana Price Prediction: SOL Waits On ETFs To Finally Show Up In Price

The daily chart shows solana at $69.41 after a long decline from highs above $250 set last summer. That move down has been one extended downtrend with only shallow relief rallies breaking it up along the way.

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Price recently bounced off a low near $60 in early June and has been climbing modestly since, currently sitting just under $70. That kind of higher low forming after such a steep drop is often an early signal that sellers are losing momentum.

Resistance sits first near $90, then a tougher wall around $100 where price stalled out on multiple occasions earlier this year. Support holds at $60, the same level defended during the most recent dip.

RSI is reading 42.58 against a signal line of 43.79, putting momentum just below its own average and essentially flat after the recent bounce. That tight gap suggests the rebound off the lows has not fully confirmed into real strength yet.

Overall momentum looks like it is stabilizing rather than trending hard in either direction. Given how disconnected those billion-dollar ETF inflows are from price right now, Solana likely needs a clean break above $100 before the larger $250 target starts to feel grounded rather than aspirational.

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You Might Like What Copilot AI Predicts About This New Layer 3 Called LiquidChain

Large caps are not in trouble. They are just out of the room. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP have been testing the same ceilings for weeks with nothing breaking through.

Every macro catalyst has a new arrival date. Every institutional wave has a new quarter attached to it. Holding assets where the next leg depends entirely on someone else’s decision is not a trade. It is a waiting room.

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The money that wins cycles never announces where it is going.

The capital that actually moves in cycles relocates before the destination has a name.

Small market cap infrastructure plays operate on physics that large caps simply cannot replicate. A rotation that would not register as a rounding error at Bitcoin’s scale can reprice an undiscovered project by multiples.

The opportunity lies in the distance between what something is genuinely worth and what the market has assigned it so far. That distance shrinks to zero the moment discovery happens. Before that moment, it is fully capturable.

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Multi-chain fragmentation is one of the most consistently expensive problems in DeFi, and it has never been solved. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana exist as completely isolated systems. No shared architecture. No native interoperability. Every time value moves between them, the disconnection extracts its cost in fees, slippage, and failed transactions. That cost hits every single crossing every single time.

LiquidChain makes the crossing free, as Copilot AI predicts. All 3 networks inside one execution environment. Single deployment. Complete ecosystem access. No tax on any interaction.

The presale is at $0.01454 with just over $860,000 raised. Early and undiscovered.

Execution is unproven. Adoption is unknown. Established assets offer predictability toward a ceiling that the market already sees. LiquidChain is an entry point that does not exist once the market finds it.

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Explore the LiquidChain Presale

The post Microsoft Copilot AI Predicts Incredible Solana Price by The End of 2026 appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Bitcoin Price Crashes Below $60K as Strategy’s MSTR Plunges 10%

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Bitcoin can’t catch a break these days as the rejection from $67,200 at the beginning of the previous week continues to haunt it and push it south.

In alignment with Strategy’s stock price, the primary cryptocurrency has plummeted below the crucial support at $60,000.

BTCUSD_2026-06-24_20-16-15
Source: TradingView

It was just over a week ago that the overall sentiment in the crypto industry was much more positive, as U.S. President Donald Trump promised a deal with Iran that was supposed to be signed by June 19.

The actual confirmation didn’t arrive; instead, the two sides clashed again, and the POTUS made new threats over the weekend of further attacks.

Meanwhile, investor exodus from the spot Bitcoin ETFs continued as net outflows continue to dominate daily.

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Fear Around MicroStrategy Mounts as Stock Price Plunges

Perhaps the most crucial part of the current market environment is Michael Saylor’s Strategy as the firm’s STRC shares still trade below their peg of $100.

FUD around the largest corporate BTC accumulator continues. Some analysts believe the company would have to sell at least 50,000 BTC in the next few years, while others urged Strategy to halt its bitcoin purchases for now.

The company has indeed begun announcing smaller BTC purchases while it focuses on rebuilding its USD reserves.

However, its main stock price has also taken a major beating, plunging by 10% daily to $93 as of press time. This marks a 2-year low.

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With most alts following BTC on the way south, the total value of liquidated positions across derivatives markets is around $650 million, according to data from Coinglass.

The post Bitcoin Price Crashes Below $60K as Strategy’s MSTR Plunges 10% appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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