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Global M2 Hits New Highs as Central Banks Quietly Expand Money Supply Across Six Major Economies

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Global M2 is pushing toward new highs, with China, Europe, and the US all recording monthly gains in money supply.
  • China’s M2 has reached $49.96T, and its liquidity flows into global commodities, emerging markets, and risk assets.
  • Germany and the UK have already hit record M2 levels, while Japan remains the only major economy yet to expand.
  • Bitcoin historically follows global M2 with a three-to-four month lag, meaning current gains may not yet be priced in.

Global M2 is climbing again across the world’s six largest economies, and the data is pointing in one direction. Central banks have continued to speak about keeping policy tight, yet money supply figures tell a different story.

China, Europe, and the United States have all recorded monthly gains. Germany and the United Kingdom have reached new record levels. Japan remains the lone exception in this otherwise synchronized expansion cycle now underway.

Money Supply Data Contradicts Central Bank Messaging

The numbers across major economies reflect a clear and consistent shift this month. China leads with an M2 reading of $49.96 trillion, marking a 2.73% rise in one month. Europe follows closely at $19.4 trillion, up 2.71%, while the United States sits at $22.67 trillion, gaining 1%.

Crypto market analyst Bull Theory brought attention to this pattern in a recent post. The account stated that central banks are expanding money supply again while still maintaining that policy remains tight.

Germany and the United Kingdom have already moved past previous highs in their respective money supply readings.

M2 is a measure of the total money circulating within an economy. When that figure rises, more capital flows into financial markets and begins chasing available assets. When it falls, liquidity tightens and asset prices tend to adjust lower accordingly.

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This same dynamic played out between 2020 and 2022. During the 2020–2021 period, aggressive M2 expansion drove rallies across stocks, crypto, and real estate.

The 2022 tightening cycle reversed those gains, with nearly all major asset classes correcting sharply. US M2 has since recovered and moved back to all-time highs.

China’s Liquidity Expansion Reaches Beyond Its Own Borders

China’s position in this cycle carries weight beyond its domestic market. At close to $50 trillion in M2 with continued monthly growth, China has been consistently adding liquidity to its financial system. That capital does not stay confined to Chinese markets.

Through commodities, emerging markets, and risk assets, Chinese liquidity moves into the broader global financial system.

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This flow contributes to overall financial conditions across regions and tends to push capital toward higher-risk assets over time.

Bull Theory also pointed to the historical relationship between global M2 and Bitcoin specifically. According to the account, Bitcoin tends to follow global M2 movements with a lag of roughly three to four months. That pattern, if it holds, means current liquidity growth has not yet fully appeared in crypto prices.

Stocks and gold historically track alongside M2 more closely than Bitcoin does. However, all three asset classes tend to respond as liquidity conditions shift over time.

With global M2 now pushing toward new highs, market participants are watching whether this expansion follows the same pattern seen in previous cycles.

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Aave launches on OKX’s X Layer to expand on-chain lending access

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Aave launches on OKX’s X Layer to expand on-chain lending access

Decentralized lending protocol Aave has officially launched on Ethereum layer 2 X Layer.

Summary

  • Aave has launched on X Layer, enabling OKX Wallet users to lend, borrow, and earn yield directly on the network without bridging assets.
  • X Layer, developed by OKX, has seen limited growth so far, with about $25 million in total value locked.

According to the official announcement, the launch will allow OKX Wallet users and DeFi participants to directly supply assets, borrow against collateral, and earn yield on the network without having to use a separate wallet or bridge assets across chains.

X Layer was developed by OKX and launched in 2024, but network growth has been relatively slow so far, with the chain holding only about $25 million in total value locked as of press time.

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Onboarding Aave could significantly strengthen liquidity and expand the network’s DeFi capabilities.

“With a multi-year track record across more than a dozen blockchain networks and a 60% market share of DeFi lending, Aave is the largest and most trusted onchain lending network, with over $46 billion in supply & borrow. Its arrival on X Layer brings that same battle-tested infrastructure to OKX’s L2 ecosystem, permissionless, non-custodial, and accessible directly from OKX Wallet,” OKX said.

As part of the expansion, users can supply assets including USDT0, USDG, GHO, xBTC, xETH, xSOL, xBETH, and xOKSOL to earn yield that compounds automatically while retaining custody of their tokens.

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Further, users will be able to borrow assets such as USDT0, USDG, GHO, xBTC, xETH, and xSOL against their collateral without any credit check or intermediary.

To access the service, OKX Wallet users just need to open the wallet, navigate to Aave through the DApps section, and connect to the X Layer network.

The latest expansion follows the launch of Orbit, a social trading platform that the crypto exchange introduced earlier this month.

As previously covered, Orbit is designed to combine social media-style interaction with trading tools, allowing users to share strategies, discuss market developments, and follow experienced traders in real time.

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Around the same time, OKX disclosed a strategic investment from Intercontinental Exchange, with the deal set to give ICE a seat on the company’s board.

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Ripple Researchers Propose Privacy-Preserving Transfers for XRPL Multi-Purpose Tokens

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The Ripple research team has published a paper on adding transaction privacy to the XRP Ledger (XRPL). 

The paper introduces Confidential Transfers for Multi-Purpose Tokens (Confidential MPTs). The goal is to enable institutional and regulated use cases, with issuer controls such as freezing and clawbacks.

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The paper is authored by Murat Cenk, Aanchal Malhotra, and Joseph Ayo Akinyele. The Confidential MPTs would be a cryptographic extension of the XLS-33 token standard, which went live on the XRPL mainnet in October 2025

The protocol replaces plaintext per-account balances with EC-ElGamal ciphertexts. Furthermore, it uses non-interactive zero-knowledge proofs to enforce transfer correctness and balance sufficiency without requiring decryption by validators. 

Meanwhile, sender and receiver identities remain visible, preserving XRPL’s account-based model

“To accommodate regulatory and institutional requirements, Confidential MPTs provide cryptographic auditability through an on-chain selective-disclosure model based on multi-ciphertext balance representations and equality proofs, while remaining compatible with simpler issuer-mediated audit models,” the abstract reads.

The timing aligns with shifting regulatory attitudes toward on-chain privacy. In a recent report submitted to Congress in early March, the US Treasury Department acknowledged that lawful users of digital assets may rely on mixers when transacting on public blockchains.

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The privacy paper arrives as Ripple simultaneously strengthens the network’s security foundation. The firm recently outlined an AI-driven security strategy for XRPL.

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The post Ripple Researchers Propose Privacy-Preserving Transfers for XRPL Multi-Purpose Tokens appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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DeFi Tokens Face Pressure as CLARITY Act Targets Stablecoin Yields

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Takeaways

  • Proposed legislation would prohibit stablecoins from generating yields, limiting them to payment functions exclusively
  • The change would redirect yield opportunities toward traditional banking and money market instruments
  • Popular DeFi platforms including Uniswap, Aave, and Compound may encounter stricter regulations on value distribution
  • Trading volumes, liquidity depth, and token demand across DeFi could decline significantly
  • Regulated stablecoin issuers like Circle stand to gain from tighter integration with payment systems

The most recent iteration of the CLARITY Act has sparked significant discussion around its stablecoin provisions. Industry experts warn that decentralized finance tokens may bear the brunt of the legislation’s consequences.

Under the proposed framework, stablecoins would be prohibited from providing yields or any similar incentive structures, including balance-based rewards. This restriction would fundamentally transform stablecoins into payment instruments rather than blockchain-based savings vehicles.

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Markus Thielen, who established 10x Research, indicated that the legislation would effectively channel yield opportunities back into conventional financial systems. Traditional banks, money market vehicles, and compliant financial products would capture these benefits, while cryptocurrency-native services would lose competitive advantage in offering returns.

Initial speculation suggested that DeFi platforms might actually attract more users if centralized crypto services were prevented from distributing yields. The theory presumed capital would migrate toward onchain alternatives.

However, Thielen challenged this assumption. He explained that the CLARITY regulatory structure would probably apply to user-facing platforms and token economics, especially when fee structures or governance mechanisms begin resembling equity instruments.

Potential Impact on DeFi Platforms

This regulatory approach places numerous DeFi initiatives under scrutiny. Decentralized trading venues and lending services may encounter fresh restrictions governing their operations and value distribution mechanisms.

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Platforms such as Uniswap, Sushi, and dYdX face potential consequences, alongside lending services like Aave and Compound. Enhanced regulatory oversight might trigger diminished trading activity, thinner liquidity pools, and decreased token valuations, the 10x Research analysis suggests.

The fundamental question centers on whether these platforms can maintain fee distribution or incentive programs for token holders without triggering new stablecoin-focused regulations.

Thielen observed that distinguishing between governance tokens and regulated financial instruments grows increasingly complex within this regulatory framework.

Circle Positioned for Potential Gains

The legislation wouldn’t create obstacles for every cryptocurrency entity. Circle, which issues the USDC stablecoin, might emerge as a beneficiary under the proposed rules.

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Thielen characterized the regulation as fundamentally favorable for infrastructure providers like Circle. Should stablecoins become embedded within payment networks, issuers maintaining robust regulatory compliance would secure advantageous positions.

The CLARITY Act continues advancing through the legislative pipeline. Congress has not yet enacted a final version.

While stablecoin provisions dominate policy discussions in Washington, industry analysts emphasize that the ripple effects across DeFi ecosystems deserve equal attention.

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White House App Sparks Privacy Fears Over Tracking and Data Collection

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Business, Technology, Privacy, Adoption, White House, Applications

A new app from the US government has sparked concerns among users and researchers over potential location-tracking features, security vulnerabilities and data collection.

The White House launched the app on Friday as a way for users to get a “direct line to the White House,” including receiving breaking news alerts on major government announcements, watching livestreams and keeping up to date on “policy breakthroughs.”

However, users on X have raised concerns about the permissions required to use the app, including access to the device’s location, shared storage and network activity, though these claims have not been independently verified.

While many apps often request location permissions and can log user data, an app launched by the federal government requesting this information can invite additional concerns. 

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However, both listings on the Google Play Store and Apple’s App Store currently do not display these warnings.

A White House app privacy policy said it automatically stores information about the originating Internet Protocol (IP) address and other basic information, while it can retain names and email addresses of subscribers, though these are not required to use the app.

Business, Technology, Privacy, Adoption, White House, Applications
Source: Tyler Oakley

Cointelegraph has contacted the White House for comment.

Security engineer says GPS tracking is part of the app

On the app’s Google Play Store page, it states that personal data, including phone numbers and email addresses, may be collected through download and use. Apple’s App Store, meanwhile, directs users to the White House’s privacy policy.

A software developer using the X handle Thereallo, along with Adam, a security engineer and infrastructure architect, say they have identified code suggesting the app could access a device’s GPS for tracking.

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While the feature is common across a number of apps, Adam said it is unusual for location-tracking services to be in software that does not appear to need them.

“There is no map, no local news, no geofencing, no events near you, no weather. Nothing in the app that requires location,” he added.

Concerns of GPS tracking every 4.5 minutes

Thereallo made a similar claim that the app includes code that could enable tracking a device every 4.5 minutes in the foreground and 9.5 minutes in the background, though this has not been independently verified.

Business, Technology, Privacy, Adoption, White House, Applications
Source: Thereallo

They found that it still requires permission but warned that it is only “one call away from activating,” and that the tracking “infrastructure is there, ready to go.”

Related: Trump advisory council draws Coinbase co-founder, tech leaders

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At the same time, Thereallo said the app is collecting other data such as notification interactions, in-app message clicks and phone number.

Security could be broken, researcher says

Adam said the app’s security may also be weak enough for a technically skilled person to intercept its data or alter its functionality

“Anyone on the same Wi-Fi network, say, at a coffee shop, an airport, or a congressional hearing room, can intercept API traffic with a proxy. Anyone with a jailbroken device can hook and modify the app’s behavior at runtime,” he said.

“No servers were probed. No network traffic was intercepted. No DRM was bypassed. No tools were used that require jailbreaking. Everything described here is observable by anyone who downloads the app from the App Store and has a terminal.”

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