Connect with us

Crypto World

Historic mining capitulation nears end, pointing to bitcoin price stabilization

Published

on

Historic mining capitulation nears end, pointing to bitcoin price stabilization

The worst of bitcoin’s 50% drawdown may already be behind us.

The Hash Ribbon indicator is close to signaling the end of a three month miner capitulation. One of the longest capitulations on record, according to Glassnode data.
The metric compares the 30 day and 60 day moving averages of hash rate and is based on the observation that bitcoin often bottoms when miners are under maximum financial stress. Capitulation occurs when mining revenue drops below operating costs, forcing less efficient miners to shut down machines and sell BTC reserves to fund electricity, debt, and overhead. That combination reduces hash rate and adds sustained sell pressure to the market.

A recovery signal is triggered when the 30 day hash rate moving average crosses back above the 60 day, indicating miners are returning online and network stress is easing and that moment is approaching. Historically, when this crossover aligns with improving price momentum, it has marked strong accumulation zones.

Since late November, when the metric first inverted, bitcoin has fallen from around $90,000 to a low near $60,000 in early February, before rebounding to roughly $65,000 as of press time.
Such major corrections are typical during miner stress events. Since 2011, there have been about 20 mining capitulations, most coinciding with local or major bottoms, including January 2015, December 2018 and December 2022.

Advertisement

Hash rate which is the total computational power securing the network is now rebounding, signaling renewed confidence among miners.
At the same time, bitcoin is now trading below its estimated average production cost of $66,000, a level often associated with deep value, according to checkonchain data. The last time this occurred was November 2022, when BTC bottomed near $15,500.

Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Crypto World

Why is the crypto market rallying today? (Feb. 25)

Published

on

Why is the crypto market rallying today? (Feb. 25)

The crypto market cap rebounded 2.7% to $2.32 trillion on Wednesday after recovering some of the previous days’ losses as investors bought the dip.

Summary

  • The crypto market recovered from Tuesday’s losses as institutional investors capitalized on the dip.
  • A rally in tech stocks and improving geopolitical conditions have acted as a tailwind for risk assets like crypto.

Bitcoin (BTC), the industry’s primary bellwether, climbed 5.5% to hit an intraday peak of $66,233 before consolidating near $65,000, a level now serving as a vital psychological floor. 

Ethereum (ETH) followed suit with a 4% rise, stabilizing around $1,900, while other major assets, including XRP, Tron (TRX), and Dogecoin (DOGE), recorded more modest gains between 1% and 3%. 

Advertisement

Leading the large-cap pack, Solana (SOL) outperformed with a surge of nearly 7% and had successfully reclaimed the $80 threshold at the time of writing.

Crypto prices rebounded amid millions of liquidations across leveraged markets. Data from CoinGlass shows that around $154 million in short positions were liquidated across the futures market. Over the past 24-hour session, nearly $343 million was liquidated from the broader market, with the majority coming from short liquidations. 

When short positions get liquidated, they force the exchange’s liquidation engine to buy back the underlying assets at current market prices to close out the positions, and thus result in an upward short squeeze that accelerates the price recovery.

Advertisement

Crypto market rebounds amid institutional dip buying 

The crypto market recovery was primarily supported by investors buying into the recent dip.

Notably, Bitcoin plunged more than 7.5% yesterday, as it moved closer to the critical $60,000 support level. The move sparked a relief bounce, during which BTC successfully reclaimed the $65,000 threshold. The biggest tailwind for the jump was a surge in institutional buying spearheaded by Michael Saylor’s Strategy, which acquired additional BTC during the pullback.

Another key catalyst fueling the market rally came in the form of the Coinbase Premium becoming positive for the first time in 40 days. A positive reading on this metric means Bitcoin is more expensive on Coinbase than on global exchanges. Such a significant price gap is a classic signal of strong buying pressure from American investors and institutions.

As Bitcoin reclaimed the support that analysts believe is essential to avoid more downside volatility, the positive momentum rippled across the broader market.

Advertisement

Market rebound was supported by tech stocks rally

Crypto prices also rose after several Asian tech stocks rallied. South Korea’s KOSPI Index rose to record highs, signaling a broader risk-on sentiment among investors across global markets.

Major traditional U.S. stock indices, such as the S&P 500 and Russell 2000, also stood higher on the day. Cryptocurrencies often tend to rally when such equity markets show signs of strength and stability.

Meanwhile, the crypto market’s tight correlation with technology stocks remained evident, with software shares (IGV) rebounding nearly 1.7% over the past day after recent losses triggered by fears that generative AI tools could disrupt traditional software business models.

However, these concerns are easing as industry leaders like Intuit and DocuSign announce strategic partnerships with AI firm Anthropic, signaling that established companies may successfully adapt to the technology rather than being displaced by it.

Advertisement

Hopes of de-escalation in U.S. and Iran conflict

Another major catalyst for today’s rally is market hopes of a potential de-escalation of conflict between the U.S. and Iran. Reports cited that Iran’s deputy foreign minister has hinted that the country is looking to take any required step to reach a deal with the U.S., reducing fears of an imminent military conflict.

Earlier last Thursday, U.S. President Donald Trump had threatened to launch an attack within ten days from that time, spooking investors and reducing risk-on appetite.

With the latest positive headlines, investors are likely taking a breather as they await more clarity on the diplomatic front. As the geopolitical tensions eased, traditional safe-haven assets such as gold and crude oil lost the momentum they had been riding on, giving crypto assets the room to regain footing.

Advertisement

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Bitcoin Depot announces mandatory ID check for every crypto ATM transaction across U.S.

Published

on

Bitcoin investors face ‘harvest now, decrypt later’ quantum threat

Bitcoin Depot has been implementing a new requirement across its crypto ATM network in the United States, and now requires users to provide identification for every transaction.

Summary

  • Bitcoin Depot now requires identification for every transaction across its U.S. crypto ATM network.
  • The rollout began in early February, with the company stating that continuous verification will help flag suspicious activity.

According to the official announcement, the new policy has been live since early February as it hopes to strengthen “safeguards against potential misuse.”

“By requiring identification for every transaction, the enhancement adds another layer of protection designed to help prevent account sharing, identity theft, and account takeover attempts as deployment continues,” the company said.

Advertisement

According to the firm’s CEO, Scott Buchanan, using continuous verification will help detect suspicious activity based on “customers, locations, or transaction amount.”

The mandate comes as Bitcoin Depot faces increased scrutiny from regulators. Earlier this month, the Massachusetts Attorney General Andrea Campbell sued the company for not implementing proper safeguards to prevent scams.

Bitcoin Depot was also targeted by Iowa Attorney General Brenna Bird last year for similar reasons.

Advertisement

According to data from Coin ATM Radar, Bitcoin Depot is the largest crypto ATM operator in the U.S., with 9,019 kiosks in operation. It first started implementing ID requirements in October, but the measure was limited to new users only.

Reports from the FBI and other third-party agencies have warned that bad actors have continued to misuse crypto ATMs to conduct fraud, impersonation scams, and other illicit transfers, often targeting elderly victims and pressuring them to convert cash into digital assets that are difficult to trace or recover. As a result, lawmakers across the U.S. have moved to tighten oversight.

Last year, Washington’s Spokane city implemented a ban on all crypto ATMs. Elsewhere, in North Dakota, a bill was introduced to implement daily transaction caps and mandatory fraud warnings. Nebraska has also taken similar steps.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Crypto bank takes stake in Strategy’s STRC

Published

on

Crypto bank takes stake in Strategy’s STRC

Anchorage Digital, the federally chartered U.S. crypto bank, signaled deepening institutional conviction in Bitcoin by disclosing it holds perpetual preferred stock issued by Strategy on its balance sheet.

Summary

  • Anchorage Digital disclosed holdings of Strategy’s Nasdaq-listed perpetual preferred stock (STRC), signaling strategic alignment with the leading corporate Bitcoin treasury firm.
  • Strategy recently completed its 100th Bitcoin purchase, bringing total holdings to over 717,000 BTC and reinforcing its role in institutional Bitcoin accumulation.
  • The move follows Anchorage’s $100 million equity investment from Tether and may support its broader strategic initiatives ahead of a potential IPO.

Anchorage Digital backs Strategy’s Bitcoin play with STRC bet

CEO Nathan McCauley framed the move as a meaningful alignment between the company that “operationalizes Bitcoin infrastructure” and the firm that has become synonymous with corporate Bitcoin accumulation.

McCauley posted on social platform X that the investment in STRC, Strategy’s perpetual preferred security, underscored conviction rather than casual interest in digital assets.

Advertisement

STRC is a Nasdaq-listed perpetual preferred security that pays an attractive annual dividend, roughly 11.25% before expenses, and is closely tied to Strategy’s Bitcoin treasury strategy.

Strategy, led by executive chairman Michael Saylor, has aggressively expanded its Bitcoin holdings through regular purchases funded by equity and preferred stock offerings. The firm recently marked its 100th Bitcoin acquisition, adding another 592 BTC and bringing its total to more than 717,000 coins, roughly 3% of all Bitcoin in circulation.

McCauley’s post was met with affirmation from Saylor himself, who echoed the sentiment that “conviction is contagious,” offering a rare glimpse into how significant institutional actors are positioning around Bitcoin beyond simple custodial services or trading exposure.

Advertisement

Anchorage Digital declined to disclose the size or timing of its holdings, but McCauley described the move as more than symbolic, suggesting that when a regulated crypto bank puts capital alongside the world’s largest dedicated corporate Bitcoin holder, it speaks to confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term relevance.

The bank’s move follows a $100 million equity investment from stablecoin issuer Tether and precedes Anchorage’s planned IPO.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Hong Kong expands crypto licensing, stablecoin regime in 2026-27 budget

Published

on

Hong Kong expands crypto licensing, stablecoin regime in 2026-27 budget

Hong Kong will introduce sweeping reforms to strengthen its position as a global digital asset hub, Financial Secretary Paul Chan announced in his 2026-27 Budget speech, outlining new licensing rules, stablecoin approvals and tokenization initiatives.

Summary

  • Hong Kong will introduce a bill this year to establish licensing regimes for digital asset dealers and custodians as part of its expanded regulatory framework.
  • The government confirmed the first batch of fiat-referenced stablecoin issuer licenses will be granted next month, marking a key milestone in its crypto roadmap.
  • Authorities will support tokenized bond issuance, enhance digital asset market liquidity, and implement the OECD’s Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework to boost tax transparency.

The government will table a bill this year establishing licensing regimes for digital asset dealing platforms and custodian service providers, expanding the city’s regulatory perimeter beyond exchanges.

The move follows Hong Kong’s second policy statement on digital assets, which aims to create what officials describe as a “comprehensive regulatory framework” for innovation and investor protection.

Advertisement

Chan also confirmed that Hong Kong has implemented a licensing regime for issuers of fiat-referenced stablecoins, with the first batch of licenses set to be issued next month. Authorities said they will work with approved issuers to explore compliant, risk-controlled use cases, signaling a shift from policy design to real-world deployment.

The Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) will take additional steps to deepen liquidity in the city’s digital asset market, particularly for professional investors. The regulator plans to broaden the range of products and services available and launch an accelerator program aimed at fast-tracking innovation within regulatory guardrails.

Tokenization is another key focus. The government will publish guidance clarifying that debenture holder registers can be maintained using distributed ledger technology, while exploring electronic signatures for bond issuance documents and the digitalization of bearer bonds.

Advertisement

In parallel, Hong Kong will amend its Inland Revenue Ordinance to implement the OECD’s Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework and updated Common Reporting Standard over the next two years. The changes, with a bill expected in the first half of this year, are designed to enhance tax transparency and combat cross-border tax evasion.

Together, the measures mark one of Hong Kong’s most comprehensive digital asset policy pushes to date, reinforcing its ambition to compete with major global crypto financial centers.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Ethereum Roadmap Targets 2-Second Blocks and Quantum Safety

Published

on

Ethereum Roadmap Targets 2-Second Blocks and Quantum Safety

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has added to a newly released roadmap outlining how Ethereum plans to dramatically speed up the production of new blocks and the confirmation of transactions.

Vitalik’s comments on Thursday offered more detail on a visual public roadmap called “Strawmap” released by the Ethereum Foundation’s Protocol team. 

“Fast slots are off in their own lane at the top of the roadmap, and do not really seem to connect to anything,” said Buterin, noting that the rest of the roadmap is “pretty independent of the slot time.” 

Slot time is the time it takes for Ethereum to produce new blocks, currently around 12 seconds. The roadmap aims to get this down to as fast as 2 seconds, so the blockchain feels more like a live, responsive system rather than something that has to be waited for.

Advertisement

“I expect that we’ll reduce slot time in an incremental fashion,” said Buterin, suggesting reductions following a roughly square-root-of-two formula from 12 seconds down through 8, 6, 4, and eventually as low as 2 seconds.

He also suggested that p2p improvements, or upgrades to how Ethereum nodes communicate with each other — such as sharing new blocks and data without the need to download repeated data — can greatly reduce block propagation time, “making shorter slots viable with no security tradeoffs.” 

Ethereum Strawmap depicts a four-year roadmap. Source: Ethereum Foundation 

Finality from minutes to seconds 

The second major improvement in the roadmap is to finality, or the point at which a transaction is mathematically guaranteed to be irreversible, which is currently around 16 minutes. 

The future goal is finality between 6 and 16 seconds, achieved by replacing the current complicated confirmation system with a cleaner, simpler one that’s also quantum-resistant.

Related: Ethereum Foundation lists ‘quantum readiness,’ gas limits as 2026 priorities

Advertisement

“The goal is to decouple slots and finality, to allow us to reason about both separately,” explained Buterin. 

He said this was a “very invasive set of changes,” so the plan is to bundle the largest step in each change with a “switch of the cryptography, notably to post-quantum hash-based signatures.”

Quantum resistance of slots before finality

Buterin said that a consequence of this approach would be quantum-resistant slots before finality. 

“One interesting consequence of the incremental approach is that there is a pathway to making the slots quantum-resistant much sooner than making the finality quantum-resistant.” 

The network might “quite quickly” get to a regime where, if quantum computers suddenly appear, “we lose the finality guarantee, but the chain keeps chugging along,” he said. 

Advertisement

“Expect to see progressive decreases of both slot time and finality time,” Buterin summarized.

The “component-by-component replacement” of Ethereum’s slot structure and consensus will produce a “cleaner, simpler, quantum-resistant, prover-friendly, end-to-end formally-verified alternative.”

The timescale for these changes is over the next four years, with seven forks planned roughly every six months. Glamsterdam and Hegotá are already confirmed and slated for later this year. 

Magazine: Bitcoin may take 7 years to upgrade to post-quantum: BIP-360 co-author

Advertisement