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How Low Will Bitcoin Price Drop This Cycle?

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Bitcoin Relative Unrealized Loss

Bitcoin recently experienced a sharp sell-off that nearly dragged the price down to the $60,000 level before a swift bounce followed. Dip buying helped BTC stabilize near current levels, but this rebound alone does not confirm a trend reversal. 

Instead, the move appears more like a temporary pause within a broader corrective phase, leaving investors questioning whether further downside lies ahead.

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This Is What Bitcoin Signals Suggest

One defining characteristic of bear markets is elevated Relative Unrealized Loss, which measures the dollar value of underwater coins relative to total market capitalization. During Bitcoin’s drop toward $60,000, this ratio surged to roughly 24%.

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That level sits well above the typical bull-bear transition zone, placing the market firmly in bearish territory.

While the metric signals an intense bear regime, it remains below extreme capitulation levels historically seen above 50%. This suggests Bitcoin is undergoing an active capitulation process rather than reaching its final bottom. Selling pressure is widespread, but not yet exhausted, implying further volatility as the market seeks equilibrium.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

Bitcoin Relative Unrealized Loss
Bitcoin Relative Unrealized Loss. Source: Glassnode

Another lens into investor behavior is the distribution of Bitcoin supply among wallet sizes. Data shows wallets holding less than 0.01 BTC have been steadily increasing their share of supply. This group represents small retail participants who often react emotionally to price swings but are currently accumulating.

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At the same time, wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC have shown mild net distribution during the dip. This divergence is notable because public sentiment on social platforms remains overwhelmingly bearish.

Despite negative commentary, small traders are quietly adding exposure, signaling belief that current prices offer value.

Bitcoin Smart vs Small Retail Money
Bitcoin Smart vs Small Retail Money. Source: Santiment

This imbalance suggests optimism has not fully reset. Ideally, deeper bear phases see retail capitulation align with bearish social metrics.

Until small retail supply begins declining, rebounds may struggle to gain lasting traction, limiting the upside of near-term recovery attempts.

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Bitcoin Continues To Witness Support

Despite price weakness, network activity presents a contrasting signal. Bitcoin has seen a sharp rise in new addresses over the past week. The number of investors conducting their first on-chain transaction increased by roughly 37%, indicating fresh participation entering the network.

Such growth reflects continued interest in Bitcoin as prices correct. New entrants often emerge during periods of volatility, attempting to position early for potential recoveries.

While not a guarantee of immediate upside, rising address activity suggests confidence in Bitcoin’s longer-term value proposition remains intact.

Bitcoin New Addresses
Bitcoin New Addresses. Source: Glassnode

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This influx of new users can provide support during consolidation phases. However, if macro pressure persists, even strong network growth may struggle to offset broader risk-off conditions across financial markets.

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BTC Price Levels To Watch

Bitcoin price is trading near $69,077 at the time of writing after rebounding from the $63,007 support during the recent crash. Aggressive dip buying prevented a deeper slide toward $60,000. This defense highlights strong demand at lower levels, at least in the short term.

Despite this bounce, downside risk remains elevated. The broader macro outlook suggests Bitcoin may still face further breakdowns in the coming weeks. A loss of the $63,007 support would reinforce a bearish continuation, with the next major downside target near $55,500 based on historical support zones.

Bitcoin Price Analysis.
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

A short-term recovery remains possible if fresh capital inflows persist. Rising new address activity could help Bitcoin consolidate and reclaim $71,672 as support. Securing that level would invalidate the immediate bearish setup and signal stabilization, though it would not fully negate the broader bear market structure.

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EvoCash Launches Web3 Wallet-to-USD Account Bridge

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EvoCash Launches Web3 Wallet-to-USD Account Bridge

[PRESS RELEASE – Singapore, Singapore, March 11th, 2026]

FinCEN-registered platform enables seamless connection between Web3 wallets and compliant USD accounts, providing global users with instant access to fiat financial services.

EvoCash has officially launched its Web3 financial services platform, offering a Web3 wallet-to-USD account bridge that connects cryptocurrency wallets directly to compliant USD accounts. Registered as a Money Services Business (MSB) with the U.S. Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) under the Bank Secrecy Act, the platform provides access to real-time USDT-to-USD conversion and comprehensive fiat on-ramp and off-ramp financial services for users worldwide.

The platform addresses a common challenge in the cryptocurrency ecosystem: converting digital assets into fiat efficiently. Traditional financial institutions often apply additional scrutiny to cryptocurrency-related transactions, which can lead to delays or service limitations for some users — particularly international freelancers, digital nomads, and cross-border businesses. EvoCash provides a crypto-to-fiat infrastructure designed to support these users within a compliance-focused framework.

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MSB Registration and Global Compliance Framework

EvoCash’s MSB registration with FinCEN enables legal operation of money transmission and currency exchange services in the United States and internationally. The platform operates under comprehensive Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and Know Your Customer (KYC) procedures aligned with regulatory requirements, enabling global user access without geographic banking restrictions.

Web3-compliant USD accounts are provided through partnerships with financial institutions using For Benefit Of (FBO) account arrangements, keeping user funds safeguarded at the partner bank and clearly segregated from company assets, while maintaining the speed and accessibility crypto users demand — particularly valuable for international users seeking crypto-to-fiat bridge solutions. This structure provides users with access to USD accounts without the restrictions typical of traditional banking.

Key Platform Features for Global Users

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EvoCash offers an integrated suite of financial services:

  • Real-Time USDT-to-USD Conversion: Instant conversion between stablecoins and fiat currency without multi-day bank delays
  • Fiat On-Ramp and Off-Ramp: Bidirectional flows between crypto and traditional currency
  • Web3-Compliant USD Accounts: Compliant fiat accounts connected directly to Web3 wallets via partner financial institutions in the U.S.
  • Trading and Exchange Services: Multi-asset crypto trading integrated within the platform
  • Global Onboarding: Accessible to users worldwide without requiring local banking relationships — critical for international freelancers and digital nomads
  • Multichain Support: Asset management across multiple blockchain networks
  • Cross-Border USD Payments: Seamless international payment processing
  • Access to Traditional Instruments: Holdings in precious metals like gold alongside crypto assets

Solving Banking Friction Globally

Cryptocurrency users worldwide regularly experience frozen bank accounts, delayed withdrawals, and sudden account closures when attempting to convert digital assets to fiat. This challenge is particularly acute for international users across multiple jurisdictions.

EvoCash eliminates these barriers by providing regulatory-compliant infrastructure specifically designed for crypto-native transactions and global operations. Traders can convert profits immediately without waiting periods. Freelancers receiving crypto payments can access USD for everyday expenses instantly — regardless of where they’re located. Digital nomads can maintain USD accounts globally without local banking requirements.

Future Expansion with Visa Integration

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The platform is pursuing approval for a Visa card linked to stablecoins, currently under review with issuing partners. Once approved and launched, the card will enable users to spend crypto-backed USD balances at merchants worldwide through integrated stablecoin payments functionality, further bridging digital assets and traditional commerce globally.

EvoCash’s compliance-first approach combined with purpose-built infrastructure for cryptocurrency users positions the platform as a leading crypto-to-fiat bridge connecting Web3 and traditional financial systems.

About EvoCash

EvoCash is a Web3 financial services platform registered as a Money Services Business (MSB) with FinCEN under the Bank Secrecy Act. The platform operates as a crypto-to-fiat bridge connecting decentralized finance and traditional financial systems through Web3-compliant USD accounts, real-time USDT-to-USD conversion, fiat on-ramp and off-ramp services, trading and exchange services, and multi-asset financial tools. EvoCash provides users with access to real-time stablecoin-to-USD conversion, global onboarding, cross-border USD payments, and multichain support, all within a secure, compliance-focused infrastructure. USD‑denominated accounts are provided through partner financial institutions in the U.S. using FBO account structures, so client funds are held and safeguarded at the partner bank and kept separate from EvoCash’s own funds. For more information, users can visit evocash.org.

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Wyden Adds VALR to its Global Liquidity Network, Expanding Institutional Digital Asset Access in South Africa and Beyond

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Wyden Adds VALR to its Global Liquidity Network, Expanding Institutional Digital Asset Access in South Africa and Beyond

[PRESS RELEASE – Zurich/Johannesburg, Switzerland/South Africa, March 12th, 2026]

Wyden, the global leader in institutional digital asset trading technology, today announced the integration of VALR, the largest crypto exchange in Africa by trade volume, into its market-wide network of liquidity connectors.

The partnership marks a significant milestone in Wyden’s strategic growth in South Africa. Through this integration, Wyden’s institutional clients gain seamless, direct access to VALR’s deep liquidity pools, including the world’s deepest ZAR-denominated crypto markets. VALR’s extensive offering of 100+ crypto assets, including tokenized stocks and private credit as well as crypto bundles, will now be accessible through the Wyden trading platform.

By combining Wyden’s end-to-end trade lifecycle automation, Smart Order Routing (SOR), and best execution capabilities with VALR’s comprehensive range of crypto assets spanning spot margin, perpetual futures, and OTC services, financial institutions can now navigate the South African and global digital asset markets with increased efficiency and reduced operational risk.

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The integration ensures that Wyden clients can execute large-scale trades with best execution while maintaining the rigorous compliance standards required by European regulators and the FSCA, under which VALR is licensed.

Commenting on the integration, Andy Flury, Wyden’s Founder and President of the Board, said: “South Africa represents a strategically vital market as we continue to expand our global institutional footprint. By integrating VALR, we are providing our clients with unparalleled access to the deepest liquidity in the region and a broad range of innovative assets. VALR’s commitment to regulatory excellence and institutional-grade infrastructure aligns perfectly with Wyden’s mission to provide banks and brokers with the most reliable and efficient trading technology available.”

Farzam Ehsani, Co-Founder and CEO at VALR, added: “This integration with Wyden represents a major step forward in bridging global institutional demand with Africa’s deepest crypto liquidity. It further solidifies VALR’s position as a leading infrastructure and liquidity provider not only across the continent but also on the international stage, empowering institutions, businesses, and individuals with seamless, compliant, and secure access to our comprehensive range of digital assets.”

As South Africa continues to establish itself as a sophisticated regional hub for digital asset regulation and trading, the partnership provides a robust gateway for global and local financial institutions.

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About Wyden

Wyden is the global leader in institutional digital asset trading technology. By covering the entire trade lifecycle and supporting seamless custody, core banking, and portfolio management system integration as well as full trade lifecycle automation, the Wyden platform streamlines digital assets trading. Engineered by a team of trading system veterans and crypto asset experts, Wyden offers best-in-class integrated infrastructure solutions that meet the highest institutional needs. Headquartered in Zurich, Wyden runs several product hubs in Poland and has offices in Singapore and New York.

To learn more, visit www.wyden.io

About VALR

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Founded in 2018 and headquartered in Johannesburg, VALR is backed by leading investors including Pantera Capital, Coinbase Ventures, GSR, and Fidelity’s F-Prime Capital. As a global crypto exchange, VALR offers a comprehensive suite of products—including Spot Trading, Spot Margin, Derivatives, Staking, Crypto Bundles, Borrowing & Lending, OTC services, VALR Invest, and VALR Pay. Licensed by South Africa’s FSCA and with regulatory approval in Europe, VALR serves over 1.7 million users and 1,800 corporate and institutional clients worldwide. The exchange is dedicated to advancing a just financial future that upholds human dignity and the unity of mankind.

For more information, visit valr.com.

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US Prosecutors Oppose Sam Bankman-Fried’s New Trial Bid: Report

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US Prosecutors Oppose Sam Bankman-Fried’s New Trial Bid: Report

Bloomberg reported Thursday that US prosecutors urged a federal judge to reject Sam Bankman-Fried’s request for a new criminal trial, arguing that the former FTX chief failed to meet the legal standard for a retrial.

According to the report citing court documents, prosecutors said Bankman-Fried’s claim that new witnesses could undermine the government’s case does not meet the legal standard required to grant a retrial. 

Prosecutors reportedly argued that testimony cited by Bankman-Fried from former FTX executives Ryan Salame and Daniel Chapsky did not amount to newly discovered evidence because both men were known to the defense before the 2023 trial.

The prosecutors’ response marks the latest procedural step in Bankman-Fried’s effort to overturn his conviction tied to the collapse of FTX, the crypto exchange whose failure triggered one of the industry’s biggest scandals.

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Related: SBF seeks new FTX fraud trial, citing new witness testimony

Court has yet to rule on retrial request

Bankman-Fried filed the motion for a new trial in February, arguing that testimony from former executives could challenge the prosecution’s account of FTX’s financial condition before its collapse.

The defense argued that testimony from Salame and Chapsky could weaken the government’s narrative presented to jurors during the trial. Judge Kaplan later ordered prosecutors to respond to the motion by March 11.

The judge has not yet ruled on whether the motion will proceed. Bankman-Fried separately continues to appeal his conviction in the US Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit.

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Related: Hollywood star-turned-skeptic releases trailer for anti-crypto doc

A jury convicted Bankman-Fried in November 2023 on seven counts of fraud and conspiracy related to the misuse of customer funds at FTX and its sister trading firm, Alameda Research. He was later sentenced to 25 years in prison.

Pardon speculation runs alongside court challenges

Bankman-Fried’s court efforts have unfolded alongside public speculation that he may be seeking a presidential pardon. 

On Feb. 1, the former FTX CEO praised US President Donald Trump’s crypto stance in social media posts, adding to scrutiny over whether he was trying to build political support while pursuing legal relief.

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That speculation has so far gone nowhere publicly. On Jan. 9, Trump reportedly told The New York Times he had no intention of pardoning Bankman-Fried, leaving an appeal and retrial motion as his main avenues for overturning his conviction.

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