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How to Build Event-Driven & Prediction-Ready Crypto Exchange Software?

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Rolling Out Crypto Neo Banking in Poland with White Label BaaS

When TradFi Launches Prediction Markets, Exchange Design Changes

Robinhood rolled out its YES/NO event contracts, and it wasn’t a quirky new trading format experiment. Traders aren’t just seeking exposure to prices, but also to outcomes.

“Will the Fed cut rates?”

“Will a Bitcoin ETF get approved?”

“Will a protocol ship its upgrade on time?”

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These aren’t random casino questions but decision markets. And they’re far more intuitive, engaging, and scalable than yet another spot or perpetual pair.

For founders building cryptocurrency exchange software in 2026, this matters because price-based trading markets are getting saturated. Fees are compressing, UI differences barely make a difference, and liquidity is expensive to bootstrap.

Event-based trading opens a new frontier for cryptocurrency exchange development, including new markets, users, and revenue streams. Major market trading platforms already sensed the air and have already launched their event contracts trading platforms.

Major Crypto Trading Platforms & Their Prediction Market Strategies 

Platform Status The Engine (Provider) Key Details & Differentiator
Coinbase Live (Jan 2026) Kalshi (Partnership) Integrated Kalshi markets directly into the main app. Users trade election/econ events alongside their spot crypto portfolio.
Webull Live Kalshi (Partnership) Focuses on “Hourlies” (e.g., Will S&P 500 be up at 2 PM?) and Sports. Targets active retail traders with short-term outcomes.
Crypto.com Live (B2B) CDNA (Own Exchange) Instead of just a retail app, they use their CFTC-regulated exchange (CDNA) to power other platforms. Currently powering Truth Social’s “Truth Predict” and High Roller casino.
Gemini Live (Dec 2025) Gemini Titan (Own Exchange) Built their own CFTC-licensed exchange (Gemini Titan). They frame predictions as a serious asset class (“Gemini Predictions”), not a game.
Kraken Planned (2026) Small Exchange (Acquisition) Acquired Small Exchange (a regulated futures exchange) to build a native event contract product from scratch, aiming for lower fees than the Kalshi partners.
ForecastEx Live Interactive Brokers (Subsidiary) A dedicated CFTC exchange for “Forecast Contracts.” Key Feature: They pay interest on the collateral you lock up in positions, attracting institutional hedging flow.
Jupiter Live (Feb 2026) Polymarket (Integration) Became the first Solana UI to natively integrate Polymarket. Allows Solana users to trade Polymarket events without bridging to Polygon.
Hyperliquid Live (HIP-4) Native L1 (Outcome Trading) Launched native “Outcome Trading” on their high-speed L1. Uses their massive perpetual liquidity to seed prediction markets, solving the “chicken and egg” liquidity problem.

What Is YES/NO Event-Based Trading?

Event-based trading lets users trade outcomes rather than assets. Each market is framed as a simple YES/NO question tied to real-world or crypto-native events. Traders take positions based on conviction; the truth unfolds when the event concludes, and settlement is immediate. 

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Unlike traditional crypto exchange software, there’s no long-term holding, no complex leverage math, and no dependence on continuous price movement. The trade is binary, time-bound, and information-driven.

They are also called binary markets because they strip away all complexity and leave traders with only two possibilities. Unlike a stock or digital asset price, which can go up, down, or stay the same, a binary event contract has no middle ground. The event either happens (YES) or it doesn’t (NO). 

How Event Contracts Trading Differs From Spot, Perpetual, and Prediction Markets?

Dimension Spot Trading Perpetuals & Futures Prediction Markets Event-Based Trading
What users trade Asset price Leveraged price exposure Forecasts Event outcomes (YES/NO)
Complexity Low High (funding, liquidation) Medium Low
Time horizon Open-ended Continuous Often long Short, predefined
Risk profile Capital-intensive Liquidation risk Thin liquidity Capped, transparent
User intent Hold or speculate High-frequency speculation Forecast accuracy Decision-driven trading
Exchange advantage Commoditized Liquidity wars Niche usage High engagement, new markets

For those planning retail-focused crypto exchange development, integrating these event tap trading games improves engagement and diversifies revenues, without adding leverage risk or launching tokens.

How Event-Driven Trading Fits Crypto Exchange Development?

Cryptocurrency exchange software is structurally built for event contracts trading. On-chain or hybrid trading software enables near-instantaneous settlement, global participation, and round-the-clock access, exactly what short-duration, outcome-based markets require. Like the spot or perpetual crypto markets, traders react to news and volatility in real time. Event-based trading only gives that behavior a cleaner, more explicit trading surface. 

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However, this model shifts the focus away from endless price charts toward outcome-driven markets with clear questions and resolution. Instead of asking whether BTC ticks up or down, cryptocurrency exchange software can list events such as ETF approvals, network upgrades, governance votes, or regulatory decisions. This way, YES/NO event trading merges into the existing exchanges and brings higher engagement, faster trader cycles, and diversified revenue. 

Core Modules Required to Support Binary Event Contracts Trading At Scale

If you’re planning to integrate event contracts trading into cryptocurrency exchange software development, you must ensure to build and implement the following modules:

1. Event Lifecycle Engine

The backbone of the event contracts trading system.

  • Event creation (question framing, expiry, resolution source)
  • Status transitions: Market opens → the stakes on YES/NO are locked → event resolves → markets settle
  • The event-trading system enforces non-negotiable technical locks once an event reaches its cutoff time.

Without deterministic lifecycle rules, outcome markets lose trust fast.

2. YES/NO Market & Pricing Logic

Each event spawns two tradable positions – YES and NO.

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  • People buy YES if they think it’ll happen.
  • People buy NO if they think it won’t.
  • The price moves based on how many people believe each side. If more people bet YES, it gets expensive, and if confidence drops, YES gets cheaper.

There’s no Bitcoin price here like in crypto exchange software. The price simply reflects belief and probability, not charts and candles.

3. Resolution & Oracle Layer

This layer is responsible for feeding the event contracts trading system with information about whether the event happened or not. 

  • The system checks a trusted source, which may be an official announcement, blockchain data, or a regulator notice. 
  • If needed, it checks more than one source.
  • Only in rare cases do humans step in, and that action is recorded publicly.

If outcomes are disputed or distorted, users leave the cryptocurrency exchange software featuring event contracts trading instantly. This layer ensures the result is boring, obvious, and defensible.

4. Risk & Exposure Controls

These mechanisms impose limits that stop people or whales from breaking the market. The limits ensure the following:

  • One user can’t bet unlimited money on one event.
  • One event can’t grow so big that it threatens the platform.
  • Some events are hidden or blocked in certain countries.

Unlike crypto spot and perpetual markets, event markets don’t require leverage but guardrails. They keep the platform defensible and prevent whale distortion.

5. Settlement and Payout Engine

This exchange software development module is responsible for closing the market and paying winners. This is what happens at the settlement stage:

  • Event ends.
  • Outcome is confirmed.
  • Winners get credited automatically.
  • Losers are done.

No positions are ongoing after the event ends. There’s no waiting and no funding fees. The settlement in these event-based tap trading models is fast, clean, and without any drag or mess. 

6. Admin and Compliance Layer

For centralized and hybrid settings, this dashboard lets the admin control:

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  • Which events go live?
  • Audit trails for resolution decisions.
  • Region-based market visibility

For regulated prediction markets and event contracts trading platforms, this control panel is the regulators’ first choice.

How Founders Can Build event contracts trading Platform Using White Label Crypto Exchange Software?

As stated above, event-trading infrastructure fits perfectly within the crypto exchange software, as the trading logic remains the same. By opting white label crypto exchange software that supports derivatives trading, exchanges can build outcome-driven trading modules. Here’s the blueprint:

1. Start With an Event-Native Core

  • Businesses can choose white label crypto exchange software that supports event lifecycles, not just asset pairs.
  • Events must have:
    • fixed start and end times
    • immutable rules once live
    • deterministic settlement logic

If the platform treats events like “just another trading pair,” walk away.

2. Define Events as Financial Contracts (Just like Robinhood)

  • Each event must be:
    • binary (YES / NO)
    • objectively verifiable
    • time-bounded
  • Resolution sources must be locked before trading opens.

3. Plug Event Markets Into the Existing Matching Engine

  • Reuse your order-matching or liquidity logic
  • Replace price feeds with probability-driven pricing
  • Ensure markets auto-freeze at expiry

At this stage, you leverage an existing white label crypto exchange infrastructure to build outcome markets that feel native and not bolted on.

4. Use a Controlled Oracle, Resolution, and Risk Limiting Layer

As stated above, these layers ensure the following:

  • Pre-approved data sources only
  • Multi-source validation, where possible
  • Public audit trails for every resolution
  • Cap exposure per user per event
  • Max open interest per market
  • Region-specific event visibility

5. Automate Settlement and Setup Admin and Compliance Layer

As said above, the settlement layer ensures fast and efficient settlement of the events and automates payouts. The administration and compliance layer, on the other hand, ensures that event workflows are supervised, immutable, and can be stopped anytime during an emergency.

How to Ensure that Event Contracts Trading Doesn’t Seem Like Gambling?

If you’re building event-based trading into your cryptocurrency exchange software development, this question will come up from partners, regulators, and even internal teams. The answer depends on how you design the product.

Robinhood didn’t present YES/NO events as entertainment or betting. It framed them as financial contracts linked to verifiable outcomes. Similarly, these are the factors that differentiate gambling platforms, unregulated prediction markets, and event-based trading. 

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Aspect Gambling Platforms Unregulated Prediction Markets Event-Based Trading
What users act on Chance Opinions Known events
Outcome logic Random / house-defined Often subjective Predefined & verifiable
Risk exposure Open-ended Unclear Capped upfront
Settlement House-controlled Inconsistent Rule-based & automatic
Product intent Entertainment Forecasting Trading decisions

If outcomes are random or house-controlled, regulators call it gambling. If outcomes are unclear or poorly governed, it lands in grey territory.

Event contracts trading avoids both if structured correctly.

Founders seeking regulatory defensability while building event trading into cryptocurrency exchange software development must ensure the following:

  • Events are tied to objective, externally verifiable facts.
  • Resolution rules are defined before trading starts.
  • No post-expiry changes happen ever.
  • Clear limits on exposure and participation are imposed.
  • Full audit trails are maintained for event approval and settlement

Monetization Models Founders Can Actually Scale

  • Per-event trading fees: This is usually a small and flat fee per YES/NO trade. It ensures predictable revenue without relying on leveraged volume.
  • Event creation fees: The event trading enabling crypto exchange software charges projects, institutions, and DAOs for launching custom or premium events 
  • Liquidity incentives: The event contracts trading platform rewards early market makers on high-value events to ensure tight spreads and faster price discovery.
  • Institutional & B2B event markets: The cryptocurrency exchange software featuring YES/NI event contracts may also charge funds, DAOs, enterprises, or research firms for private or permissioned events.
  • Revenue diversification advantage: Earnings come from several events and engagements, not just raw trading volume, reducing dependence on fee wars.
Expand tradeable markets with YES/NO binary event trading

Closing: Build Before the Giants Dominate

Event contracts trading platforms aren’t for pure meme exchanges or platforms without risk or compliance maturity, but if you’re any of the following, you must start building event contracts trading infrastructure:

  • Exchange operators seeking differentiation
  • Web3 startups fighting fee compression
  • Fintechs expanding into crypto trading

Many market giants have launched event-based trading as a core-primitive and not a side feature. Even if you’re leveraging white label crypto exchange software to build your event contracts trading platform, you must not treat it as a side feature. This is why Gemini, Kraken, Hyperliquid, and ForecastEx launched separate platforms for outcome-driven trading. This way, event-based exchanges look more like:

  • Information markets
  • Decision markets
  • Outcome-based financial layers

Robinhood and other major event contracts trading platforms just validated a direction, and the rest of the founders can blaze the trail with product differentiation. They can also target new trader segments or create stronger engagement loops by partnering with an exchange software development company that specializes in digital asset trading infrastructures as well as prediction markets.

Antier delivers enterprise-grade white label crypto exchange software with native event-contract trading infrastructure, engineered for compliant, outcome-driven markets at scale.

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UNI Crypto Prediction: CEX Resurfaced as Crypto Recovers

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UNI crypto is having a healthy 4.5% gain. However, with CEX sector clawing back relevance in a recovering market, UNI is under pressure.

Uniswap’s governance token is holding on and looking good. UNI crypto is now priced at $3.50, with a healthy 4.5% intraday gain. However, the real story is structural, with centralized exchanges clawing back relevance in a recovering market, and UNI sits at a critical technical junction that will define its next $1 move in either direction.

The CEX versus DEX debate has sharpened considerably in early 2026. Kraken’s anticipated IPO is positioning the exchange as the compliance gold standard, while Coinbase continues to dominate retail onboarding. Uniswap v4, meanwhile, is competing as a programmable liquidity layer rather than a simple swap venue, a pivot that changes its valuation calculus entirely.

The question now is whether crypto’s recovery provides a second attempt or whether UNI fades further.

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Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

Can UNI Crypto Price Reclaim $4 Before April?

UNI is consolidating inside a $3.10–$3.95 range, with moving averages stacked in mild bearish alignment. The 7-day SMA sits at $3.71, the 20-day at $3.83, and the 50-day at $3.68, all above the current price.

An analyst, Tony Kim, set a slightly more aggressive target earlier this month: “Potential move toward $4.22 resistance if current support levels hold through March.”

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UNI crypto is having a healthy 4.5% gain. However, with CEX sector clawing back relevance in a recovering market, UNI is under pressure.
UNI USD, TradingView

In a bull scenario, daily volume breaks above $5.2M, RSI pushes past 53, and UNI reclaims the $3.7 50-day SMA, opening a run toward $4.15.

However, the bear can argue that there could be an invalidation. A close below $3.3 flips short-term structure negative, potentially dragging price toward the $3.25 weekly low f

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

LiquidChain Targets Early-Mover Upside as Uniswap Tests Key Levels

UNI at $3.50 offers a known asset at compressed valuation, but with the 200-day SMA at $5.85 as a realistic ceiling, the upside math is bounded. Early-stage infrastructure presales offer a different risk profile entirely.

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LiquidChain is positioning itself as a Layer 3 cross-chain liquidity layer, fusing Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana liquidity into a single execution environment, a direct infrastructure play on the fragmentation problem that makes multi-chain trading expensive and slow.

The project’s Unified Liquidity Layer and Deploy-Once Architecture mean developers write once and access all three ecosystems simultaneously, reducing the bridging friction that has historically hemorrhaged value from DEX traders.

The presale is currently priced at $0.0144, with more than $600K raised to date. Liquid also offers a huge 1700% APY as staking rewards, and launched with a Certik audited contract.

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Research LiquidChain here.

This article is not financial advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research before investing.

The post UNI Crypto Prediction: CEX Resurfaced as Crypto Recovers appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock: Aletheia Capital Projects 63% Rally on AI Infrastructure Boom

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AMD Stock Card

Key Highlights

  • Aletheia Capital maintains Buy recommendation on AMD with $330 price objective
  • Server CPU revenues expected to expand at 45% CAGR through 2028
  • Data center business projected to surge from $17B in 2025 to $77B by 2028
  • Company has evolved into comprehensive AI compute solutions provider
  • CEO Lisa Su joins Trump administration’s science and technology advisory council

Advanced Micro Devices ($AMD) continues to attract bullish sentiment from Wall Street analysts, with Aletheia Capital maintaining its Buy recommendation and establishing a $330 price objective for the chipmaker. Trading at $201.99, the stock presents substantial appreciation potential based on the firm’s analysis.


AMD Stock Card
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc., AMD

The investment case from Aletheia focuses heavily on AMD’s positioning within the emerging agentic AI landscape. The research firm contends that central processing units — rather than solely graphics processing units — represent the optimal semiconductor architecture for agent-based computational tasks, positioning AMD favorably to capitalize on this shift.

Aletheia’s financial projections anticipate AMD’s server CPU business will achieve a remarkable 45% compound annual growth rate spanning 2025 through 2028. This aggressive expansion forecast forms the foundation of the firm’s optimistic outlook.

Regarding data center operations, the analyst firm forecasts revenue climbing from $17 billion in 2025 to $58 billion by 2027, ultimately reaching $77 billion in 2028. This trajectory represents approximately 4.5-fold growth over a three-year period.

Aletheia employed a sum-of-the-parts methodology to derive its $330 valuation. For comparison, InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis places AMD at $225.24, which still exceeds current trading levels.

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The company delivered 34% revenue growth over the trailing twelve months. This performance validates the thesis that AMD is capturing increased market share within the AI computing sector.

Aletheia’s perspective on AMD has broadened beyond viewing the company as merely an alternative GPU supplier. The firm now characterizes AMD as a “comprehensive AI compute provider” — terminology that underscores the company’s strategic transformation.

However, the firm acknowledged several risk factors including end market demand volatility, execution challenges, and geopolitical uncertainties. These considerations carry significant weight given current macroeconomic conditions.

Wall Street Consensus Strengthens

Wolfe Research similarly maintains an Outperform stance on AMD with a $300 price objective. The firm emphasized AMD’s conviction in its AI accelerator development timeline and sustained server market traction.

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Seaport analyst Jonathan Golub observed that semiconductor sector valuations, including AMD’s multiple, have contracted since July. He interprets this compression as creating attractive entry opportunities.

Corporate Updates and Strategic Moves

AMD and Celestica unveiled the Helios rack-scale AI platform designed for data center infrastructure applications. This collaboration capitalizes on Celestica’s engineering and production expertise.

The company also finalized a multi-year licensing arrangement with Adeia Inc. This agreement provides AMD access to Adeia’s semiconductor intellectual property library while settling all pending legal disputes between the parties.

CEO Lisa Su secured an appointment to President Trump’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology. This role positions her among influential leaders guiding U.S. technology and scientific policy direction.

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AMD communicated concerns regarding its client computing and gaming divisions due to escalating memory component costs. These segments have demonstrated weaker performance relative to the robust data center business.

InvestingPro designates AMD as a “prominent player in the Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry.” The stock declined 0.87% during the trading session at time of publication.

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Oil Price Prediction: Trading Oil With Crypto? Is It Time to Long Oil?

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Oil just posted its biggest monthly price gain, and traders are watching both the oil and crypto positions before making any prediction.

Brent crude oil just posted its biggest monthly price gain on record, 51% since the opening day of the month, and crypto traders are watching both the oil chart and their crypto positions simultaneously before making any prediction.

Bitcoin rebounded 2% intraday to $67,000 even as oil shockwaves rattled equities, raising a question active traders are increasingly asking: is the real opportunity in oil, crypto, or something built on top of both narratives? The answer depends heavily on what happens in the Strait of Hormuz over the next 72 hours.

Brent closed Friday at $112.57 per barrel, up from $72.48 on February 27, the day before the US-Israeli strike on Iran, and briefly tagged $119.50 intraday, its highest since June 2022. BloombergNEF estimates 9 million barrels per day have been knocked offline by the conflict, with Iran all but closing the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly one-fifth of global oil and gas normally flows.

A coordinated 400-million-barrel emergency reserve release on March 11 barely dented the rally. Trump’s 10-day ultimatum to Iran to reopen the strait was met by a rising oil price and falling stock markets, not exactly the negotiating leverage the White House projected.

Total crypto market capitalization has reached $2.4 trillion despite the macro turbulence, suggesting digital assets are absorbing the geopolitical shock. The macro correlation between Treasury yields, risk assets, and crypto is tightening, and oil is now the single most consequential variable in that equation.

Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

Oil Price Prediction: Will Oil Blast Pass $200?

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WTI crude surged above $110 per barrel on March 9 and has held elevated since, with 10-year futures still pricing around $57 per barrel, a signal that markets expect eventual normalization but have no timeline for it.

Oil just posted its biggest monthly price gain, and traders are watching both the oil and crypto positions before making any prediction.
Brent Crude Oil, TradingView

Bitcoin is currently trading in a defined $62,000–$73,000 channel. Resistance sits at $73,000, tested and rejected recently; support is intact at $62,000. The brief touch of $74,000 before the pullback signals buyers are present at highs, but conviction is thin.

Rising import prices, up 1.3% in February, combined with oil above $110, are the inputs feeding that rate-hike probability. Watch Tuesday’s API Crude Oil Stocks and ADP Employment data as the next directional catalysts.

Once the Strait of Hormuz opens for business, oil will likely start to normalize. Is this the time to long oil? The answer lies more in geopolitics right now, not much in chart structure.

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

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Bitcoin Hyper is Targeting A movement Similar to Oil

BTC at $67,000 inside a known range is a respectable position, but at this market cap, the asymmetric upside that early crypto cycles delivered is structurally compressed.

The Iran deadline extension is already weighing on risk assets, and spot BTC traders are essentially betting on a macro resolution they cannot control. For traders hunting for leverage on the Bitcoin ecosystem without the channel ceiling, the infrastructure layer is where some rotation is happening.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) integration, combining Bitcoin’s security model with sub-Solana-speed execution and low-cost smart contracts.

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The presale has raised $32 million at a current price of just $0.0136, with 36% staking rewards live for early participants. The core pitch: Bitcoin’s programmability problem (slow transactions, high fees, no native smart contracts) gets a direct fix, while the security layer stays intact.

Research Bitcoin Hyper before the presale window closes.

This article is not financial advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile. Do your own research before investing.

The post Oil Price Prediction: Trading Oil With Crypto? Is It Time to Long Oil? appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Here’s Why Bitcoin Analysts Say BTC Price Will Bottom at $40K

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Here’s Why Bitcoin Analysts Say BTC Price Will Bottom at $40K

Bitcoin (BTC) buyers made a tepid comeback on Monday, pushing BTC price to its intraday high of $67,860. Analysts said that Bitcoin remains in a bear market, with several metrics pointing to a potential bottom below $50,000.

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin price turns $70,000 into resistance, clearing the path for a deeper correction.

  • Bitcoin’s short-term holder realized price bands moved lower, with a potential bottom around $46,000.

  • Historical retracement levels and a bear flag breakdown point to $39,000–$41,000 as the final low for BTC price this cycle.

Bitcoin’s “path of least resistance” is downward

Data from TradingView captured ongoing BTC price gains, up 1.5% on the day to trade at $67,750, as $69,000-$70,000 became new resistance.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Analyzing Bitcoin’s price action on lower time frames, Telegram trading resource Technical Crypto Analyst said losing the $68,000-$69,000 support “confirms short-term bearish momentum,” adding:

“Unless price quickly reclaims $69K–$70K, the path of least resistance remains downward toward the $65K demand zone.”

Related: Worst six months since 2018? Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

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“Great bounce upwards, but nothing confirmed as of yet on Bitcoin,” MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe said in a Monday post on X.

It “all depends on macroeconomic events; however, I’d rather see a breakout above $71K for confirmation,” he added.

“On the other hand, a classic little sweep to $65K just before the push upwards would signal that we’re going to get that momentum.”

BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: X/Michael van de Poppe

Analyst Kyle Chassé said that with the Fear and Greed index still in the “extreme fear zone” and the order books showing more shorts than longs, the market leans “towards more downside.”

Crypto fear and greed indeed. Source: X/Kyle Chassé

Where will the Bitcoin price bottom?

Bitcoin’s 46% drawdown from its $126,000 all-time high has seen the cost basis of short-term holders (STH) — the average price of entities who have held BTC for less than 155 days — drop from $113,500 to $83,200.

“​​This is a sign that the pricing for a potential bottom has also moved lower,” said CEO and founder at Alphractal Joao Wedson in an X post on Monday.

Similarly, the lower line of the STH realized pricing bands (blue line) has also moved “even lower, which could confirm that Bitcoin may form a bottom around $50K or slightly below,” Wedson added.

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The chart below shows that Bitcoin bottomed out just below the lower band of the STH realized price during the 2022 bear market. 

Bitcoin STH realized price bands. Source: Alphractal

Analyst Willy Woo said that the bear market bottom for Bitcoin could be between its realized price, currently at $54,000, and the Cumulative Value-Days Destroyed (CVDD), now at $45,500.

“Old school onchain models suggest a BTC bottom between $46K-54K. ”

Bitcoin pricing models. Source: X/Willy Woo

The CVDD measures the cumulative value of “Coin Days Destroyed” (long-term holders selling) relative to the market’s age, creating a rising “floor” price during bear markets. 

Crypto analyst Crypto Jelle said Bitcoin’s bear market lows have historically formed between the 0.618 and the 0.786 retracement levels, which are at $57,600 and $39,000, respectively.

BTC/USD weekly chart. Source: X/Jelle

As Cointelegraph reported, the current “last stages” of the bear market are producing predictions of as low as $41,000, based on a bear flag breakdown.