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Hyperliquid Emerges Winner Amid US Iran Geopolitcal Tensions

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Hyperliquid's HIP-3 Platform's Open Interest.

Hyperliquid emerged as a rare winner amid the sudden escalation of military hostilities in the Middle East between the US, Israel, and Iran.

This weekend, the exchange saw a surge in commodities-focused derivatives trading, with open interest for these assets reaching an all-time high of more than $1.1 billion.

Hyperliquid Rallies 13% as US and Iran Tensions Roil Markets

The uptrend can be attributed to traders seeking to hedge geopolitical risks while traditional financial markets were closed for the weekend.

As a result, market participants pivoted to the blockchain-based platform to trade synthetic perpetual futures contracts tied to oil, gold, silver, and US equities.

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This continuous trading was facilitated by HyperLiquid Improvement Proposal 3, or HIP-3, an upgrade implemented last year.

HIP-3 allows developers to deploy permissionless perpetual futures markets for any asset with a reliable public price feed, provided the creator stakes 500,000 of the platform’s native HYPE tokens.

Driven by the weekend volatility, HIP-3’s open interest eclipsed its previous record of $1.06 billion.

Hyperliquid's HIP-3 Platform's Open Interest.
Hyperliquid’s HIP-3 Platform’s Open Interest. Source: Flowscan

Overall, the broader Hyperliquid platform has accumulated nearly $5.5 billion in total open interest, securing an estimated $1.06 million in protocol earnings over a 24-hour period, according to data from DeFiLlama.

Additionally, data provider Messari reported that HIP-3 markets have generated $4.4 billion in weekend trading volume in February alone.

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The platform’s ability to capture traditional market volume drew the attention of prominent industry figures. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of the crypto exchange BitMEX, highlighted the structural shift on the social media platform X.

“Where price discovery happens when TradExchanges sleep…It’s the weekend, [stuff’s] going down, TradExchanges are closed, but Hyperliquid is open for business,” Hayes wrote.

However, the platform’s lack of compliance guardrails could introduce substantial legal hurdles in the future.

Offering synthetic US equities to retail investors without “know your customer” (KYC) protocols or a registered broker-dealer license poses significant regulatory risks.

These practices could draw future scrutiny from the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission

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Despite this looming threat, the platform’s native token responded positively to the weekend influx.

BeInCrypto data show that HYPE’s price rose 13% over the last 24 hours, trading above $30 as of press time. Notably, this makes it the best-performing asset among the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization.

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BTC surges 5% to $71,000 as Trump postpones Iran escalation

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Trump's cyber strategy vows to 'support the security' of cryptocurrencies and blockchain

Crypto prices have surged on Monday on news that U.S. President Trump said to escalate attacks against Iran.

Trump said in a Truth Social post that the two countries held “very good and productive conversations regarding a complete and total resolution of our hostilities in the Middle East.”

Attacks against Iran’s infrastructure will be postponed for a five day period, Trump said in the post.

Bitcoin rebounded almost 5% above $71,000 in the early morning U.S. hours on the news after sinking below $68,000 overnight. Ether (ETH), , solana (SOL and Chainlink were up 5% over the past 24 hours as cryptocurrencies jumped across the board

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Gold has nearly erased almost all its earlier losses, now down just 1% on the day and rebounding to $4,440 per ounce. The U.S. dollar index, DXY, has slipped to 99.3.

Bond yields have declined globally, with the U.S. 10 year yield falling by 100 basis points to 4.3%.

Meanwhile, WTI crude is down 11% on the day, trading below $88 per barrel, while Brent crude has dropped 8% to around $100 per barrel. Tokenized Brent crude futures saw $62.4 million in liquidations on Hyperliquid. CoinGlass data shows $62.41 million in liquidations on the XYZ:BRENTOIL contract over the past 24 hours, with $61.69 million of that hitting longs and just $717,000 from shorts.

Galaxy Digital (GLXY) is up 2%, while Coinbase (COIN) and IREN (IREN) have also gained around 2% each.

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Trump’s five-day postponement doesn’t end the war, however, as Iran continues to strike targets across the Gulf.
Meanwhile, Strategy (MSTR), the largest corporate holder of bitcoin, is up more than 3% in pre-market trading.

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Bitcoin sinks under $67.5K while SIREN defies crash

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Bitcoin sinks under $67.5K while SIREN defies crash

Bitcoin (BTC) moved lower on Monday as traders reacted to new pressure from the Middle East crisis and a weaker tone across risk assets. The asset fell below $67,500 earlier in the day before recovering part of the loss, while most major altcoins also traded in the red.

Summary

  • Bitcoin dropped below $67,500, hitting a two-week low as geopolitical tension triggered broader market selling.
  • Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin fell alongside Bitcoin as risk appetite weakened across crypto markets.
  • SIREN surged against the trend, posting sharp gains while the broader crypto market remained under pressure.

Bitcoin started last week on a stronger note and climbed above $76,000 on Tuesday, marking its highest level in about six weeks. That rally faded later in the week as traders reacted to the Federal Reserve’s latest policy decision and Chair Jerome Powell’s comments on inflation and uncertainty. The Fed left rates unchanged on March 18 and said inflation is likely to rise in the near term.

Selling pressure grew again over the weekend as the market focused on the Middle East conflict. Rising war risks and higher oil prices pushed investors away from risk assets, while U.S. stock futures also fell as markets assessed new threats tied to Iran and the Strait of Hormuz.

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Live market data showed Bitcoin trading at $68,435 after dropping as low as $67,436 during the session. That intraday low placed the asset at its weakest level in roughly two weeks before buyers pushed it back above $68,000.

The market remains sensitive to macro news. Bitcoin fell to about $67,806 as crypto prices tracked the wider risk-off move linked to the Middle East conflict. The report said the drop came as oil prices stayed high and investors reduced exposure to volatile assets.

Major altcoins follow bitcoin lower

Ethereum (ETH) also moved down during the same period. Live market data showed ETH at $2,044 after falling to an intraday low of $2,026. XRP traded at $1.37, Solana at $85.80, and Dogecoin at $0.0898, with all of them posting daily losses.

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The broad decline matched the tone across the rest of the crypto market. Reports on Monday said traders had reduced long exposure as geopolitical risk increased. That shift left several large-cap tokens under pressure and limited the rebound seen late on Sunday.

While most large tokens moved lower, SIREN continued to trade against the wider trend. CoinMarketCap data showed the BNB Chain-based token reached a record high of $3.83 on March 22 before pulling back. The same page showed the token remained far above its earlier levels despite the latest retracement.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Bitcoin Price Holds $68,500 as Gold Extends Nine-Day Slide and Asian Stocks Drop

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btc logo

Gold is crashing. Equities are bleeding. Bitcoin price does not care.

BTC is trading at $68,500, up 1.5% in 24 hours while gold logs its ninth straight daily loss, dropping to around $4,360. Asian equities fell for a third consecutive session, pushing major indices toward correction territory.

Everything is selling off at once. Traditional safe havens and risk assets are getting hit simultaneously. Bitcoin is holding its ground anyway.

  • BTC Stability: Bitcoin is up 1.5% daily, firmly holding the $66,000 floor that has withstood every war-driven sell-off since February 28.
  • Gold Slide: Prices have collapsed to $4,360 in a nine-day losing streak, the asset’s longest consecutive decline in years.
  • Asian Equities: Stocks dropped for a third session as climbing bond yields signal central banks may favor rate hikes over cuts.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Can BTC Hold Support at $68,500?

Buyers are defending $68,500 hard.

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Price has been range-bound but constructive, bouncing off the $66,000 floor that has held through the entire Iran conflict.

Losing that level and $62,000 opens up, which kills the decoupling thesis entirely. To flip the bias bullish, price needs to reclaim $70,000 and close above the range high.

Bitcoin (BTC)
24h7d30d1yAll time

Derivatives are telling an interesting story. Alexander Blume, CEO of Two Prime, says BTC derivatives have held up well given the backdrop.

His firm is positioning for higher funding rates, which means smart money is betting on an upside surprise, not a breakdown. Whales are absorbing sell pressure from short-term speculators around these exact levels.

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Until $66,000 breaks, the trend is sideways to bullish.

Gold Price Nine-Day Losing Streak: What Is Driving the Slide?

Gold is in freefall.

Down to roughly $4,360, shedding around 18% from recent highs and logging its longest losing streak in years. This is not how gold is supposed to behave during a geopolitical crisis. The safe haven playbook is broken.

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Rising bond yields and a strengthening dollar are driving the sell-off. War in the Middle East is escalating and gold is still dropping.

Tether Gold (XAUT)
24h7d30d1yAll time

The institutional buying that fueled the earlier rally is gone. Alexander Blume points out that the move up was structural, driven by China decoupling from the dollar. That bid has evaporated as liquidity becomes the priority over safety. With the Fed now pressured to hike rather than cut to fight war-stoked inflation, the cost of holding a non-yielding asset like gold has spiked.

Bears are eyeing $4,300 next. The breakdown is confirmed until price proves otherwise.

Asian Equities and the Risk-Off Context

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Asian stocks are down for a third straight session. S&P and European futures point to more losses. Risk-off sentiment is global.

Bitcoin is not following.

Crypto usually trades like a high-beta tech stock in environments like this, selling off hard and fast. Not today. BTC is holding green while everything else bleeds, and the divergence is showing up across the crypto board too.

Ether is up 2.7% to $2,059. But Solana is down 2.5% to $86.54 and Dogecoin is the worst performer among majors, down 7.4% on the week. Capital is rotating into Bitcoin and Ether. A flight to quality within crypto itself.

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The next 24 hours have a specific catalyst. Monday evening marks the deadline on Trump’s ultimatum to hit and obliterate Iran’s power plants if the Strait of Hormuz stays closed. Brent crude is already at $113 a barrel. Goldman Sachs is calling the potential disruption the largest-ever supply shock.

Traders are watching $68,000 heading into that deadline.

Hold support through the ultimatum, and the structural breakout thesis gets validated. Drop below $66,000, and the liquidity drain has finally caught up to crypto. Neither side has clean control right now.

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But compared to gold and equities, Bitcoin’s path of least resistance looks stubbornly higher.

Discover: The best new crypto in the world

The post Bitcoin Price Holds $68,500 as Gold Extends Nine-Day Slide and Asian Stocks Drop appeared first on Cryptonews.

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BTC clings to monthly gains, historic losing streak still in play

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BTC 200WMA (Glassnode)

With just over a week left in the month of March, bitcoin is narrowly on track to avoid a historic losing streak. The asset is up around 2% on the month, holding above $68,000. However, a late pullback would see bitcoin close six consecutive months in the red, matching the longest negative streak on record, last seen between August 2018 and January 2019.

From a technical standpoint, the 200-week moving average, (200WMA), remains a key level to watch. This metric, which tracks bitcoin’s long-term trend by averaging its closing price over the past 200 weeks, has historically acted as strong support during bear markets.

In the current cycle, the 200WMA sits near $59,000. bitcoin dropped to as low as $60,000 in early February and has since consolidated above this level for nearly two months, suggesting continued strength at this key support. Notably, the 2022 bear market remains the only cycle where bitcoin spent a prolonged stretch below the 200WMA, from June through December.

BTC 200WMA (Glassnode)
BTC 200WMA (Glassnode)

Beyond USD price action, bitcoin is also beginning to show relative strength against gold. It is on track to post its first positive monthly candle versus gold in eight months, with the bitcoin to gold ratio currently around 16 ounces. Gold, meanwhile, is trading near $4,200 after recently dropping towards $4,000, 5% down on the day. Gold is now down over 25% from its January all time high, wiping out $7.5 trillion in market cap value.

Historically, each cycle has seen smaller drawdowns in the bitcoin to gold ratio from its peak. In this cycle, bitcoin declined roughly 71% against gold from its all-time high in December 2024. These peak to trough cycles have typically lasted around 400 days, suggesting the current downturn may be over denominated in this ratio.

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If bitcoin can maintain support above the 200WMA while regaining strength against gold, it would reinforce the view that the broader uptrend remains intact.

BTCUSD/XAUUSD (TradingView)
BTCUSD/XAUUSD (TradingView)

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Crypto market rattled by $400 million liquidations as bitcoin dips to $68,000: Crypto Markets Today

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Crypto market rattled by $400 million liquidations as bitcoin dips to $68,000: Crypto Markets Today

Bitcoin is trading near $68,250, returning to a price range that dates back to early February after multiple failed attempts to convincingly surpass $75,000.

The most recent selloff occurred on Saturday, after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to “obliterate” Iran’s power plants unless the country opened the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours.

The weekend price action led to a CME gap — the difference between the price of bitcoin when futures on the exchange end the week on Friday and when they resume trading on Sunday evening. That gap would be filled if bitcoin recovers to $70,000 on Monday.

Gold and silver took another leg down on Monday with January’s record highs now seemingly confirmed as a result of speculative mania rather than a genuine safe-haven move.

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In contrast, the Dollar Index (DXY) is back trading above 100, buoyed by inflation fears and a halt to the Fed’s interest-rate-cutting cycle.

The altcoin market has underperformed bitcoin since midnight UTC, with decentralized finance (DeFi) tokens ETHFI, HYPE and SKY losing around 3% while BTC is in the black after falling on Saturday and Sunday.

Derivatives positioning

  • Over $400 million worth of leveraged crypto futures bets have been liquidated in the past 24 hours. More than $280 million were longs, the most since Feb. 25, a sign bullish bets have taken a sizeable hit due to bitcoin’s Sunday drop.
  • Open interest (OI) in futures tied to gold token PAXG has increased 4% in 24 hours as investors pulled capital from futures on major cryptocurrencies, including BTC. Ether’s OI increased by just under 1%.
  • On decentralized exchange Hyperliquid, Brent crude, WTI crude, gold and silver perpetuals rank among the top 10 perpetual contracts by open interest, surpassing major tokens such as XRP. Volume profiles show a similar bias for traditional commodities.
  • Funding rates paint a mixed picture of the market sentiment. Traders seem to be chasing bearish exposure in tokens such as XRP, BNB, SOL, TRX, DOGE and ADA, as evidenced by their negative funding rates. Meanwhile, rates for BTC, BCH, HYPe, XMR, and LINK remain positive, indicating strong sentiment.
  • BCH and LINK also boast a positive 24-hour cumulative volume delta. This, coupled with positive funding rates, points to sustained net buying pressure, with leveraged traders positioning for further upside in both tokens.
  • BTC’s 30-day implied volatility index, BVIV, has bounced to 60% from 53% on Wednesday, indicating renewed uncertainty and fear as the Iran war drags on and major banks point to a sustained oil price rally ahead.
  • Ether’s volatility index, EVIV, jumped to 84% on Sunday, the highest since early February.
  • On Deribit, BTC put options are priced at a premium of eight volatility points to call options out to the June-end expiry. This indicates a strong demand for hedging against potential price declines.
  • Block flows featured an outsized demand for BTC put spreads, a bearish strategy and ETH straddles, a bet on volatility.

Token talk

  • CoinDesk’s DeFi Select Index (DFX) is the worst-performing benchmark on Monday, losing 0.75% since midnight UTC, while the CDMEME and SCPXC are down by around 0.4%
  • Privacy tokens bucked the bearish trend, with DASH, NIGHT, and XMR all rising by 3% to 5% over the past 24 hours. The sector performed well at the tail end of 2025, buoyed by improving sentiment around anonymous transactions and improved regulatory clarity.
  • CoinMarketCap’s “Altcoin Season” index is at 49/100, receding slightly from last week’s high of 53, but substantially higher than last month, when it dipped to 22.
  • One reason to be optimistic is the average relative strength index (RSI), which is currently in “oversold” territory, suggesting a bounce for several altcoins could be on the cards this week.

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Meta Platforms (META) Shares Decline Amid Zuckerberg’s AI Leadership Experiment

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META Stock Card

Key Points

  • Mark Zuckerberg is creating a personal AI executive assistant to streamline information access and minimize reliance on middle management
  • The AI system is currently operational in its early stages and aims to flatten organizational hierarchies
  • Meta is deploying enterprise AI solutions across its approximately 78,000 employees, featuring MyClaw and Second Brain (powered by Anthropic’s Claude)
  • META shares started trading at $593.66, declining roughly 2.1%, notwithstanding impressive Q4 results (EPS $8.88 versus $8.16 forecast, revenue increased 23.8% YoY)
  • Executive stock sales persist, with COO Javier Oliván and Director Robert Kimmitt both offloading shares on March 16th at approximately $632

Mark Zuckerberg is constructing an artificial intelligence assistant designed to support his leadership at Meta — and this isn’t speculative fiction. The Wall Street Journal disclosed this past Sunday that Meta’s chief executive is actively utilizing a preliminary version of this system to access company information more efficiently, eliminating the requirement for multiple staff layers to fulfill such requests.

This AI assistant represents a component of Meta’s comprehensive initiative to integrate agentic artificial intelligence throughout its entire organizational structure. Far from being an isolated trial, this development embodies a company-wide transformation that Zuckerberg has been signaling for more than twelve months.


META Stock Card
Meta Platforms, Inc., META

During Meta’s January quarterly earnings conference call, Zuckerberg identified 2026 as the pivotal year when artificial intelligence would begin substantially transforming the company’s internal operations. This executive AI assistant directly implements that strategic vision.

The system enables Zuckerberg to obtain internal company data more rapidly without channeling requests through numerous departments. Initial implementation indicates it’s already accelerating executive-level decision-making processes.

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Meta’s workforce of approximately 78,000 employees is simultaneously gaining access to novel AI-powered tools. MyClaw provides staff members with entry to internal documentation, communication histories, and collaboration platforms, while also facilitating connections with AI agents or human colleagues.

Another application, designated Second Brain, was developed utilizing Anthropic’s Claude. This tool operates as an artificial intelligence executive assistant for staff members — assisting with task organization and rapidly surfacing pertinent information.

AI Systems Designed to Reduce Organizational Hierarchy

The underlying strategy focuses on achieving greater productivity with reduced administrative overhead. Meta aims to function more similarly to AI-first startup companies, which typically maintain leaner operational structures than established technology corporations.

By equipping individual contributors with AI-powered tools, Meta seeks to minimize the coordination stages between conceptualization and implementation. Reducing handoff points inherently decreases the personnel required to oversee those transitions.

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This approach aligns with Zuckerberg’s earlier articulated objective of reducing team hierarchies. The executive AI assistant arguably represents the most prominent manifestation of this philosophy being implemented at the organization’s highest levels.

Despite considerable internal progress on artificial intelligence initiatives, META stock began Monday’s session at $593.66, declining approximately 2.1%. The shares are trading substantially beneath their 50-day moving average of $649.23 and their 200-day average of $672.42.

This decline occurred despite exceptional Q4 financial performance. Meta delivered EPS of $8.88, surpassing the $8.16 analyst consensus by $0.72. Revenue reached $59.89 billion, representing a 23.8% year-over-year increase.

Executive Stock Sales Create Additional Headwinds

Portion of the stock pressure may be attributable to insider transaction activity. On March 16th, COO Javier Oliván divested 926 shares at $632.02, decreasing his position by 6.1%. Director Robert Kimmitt sold 580 shares on the identical date at the same price point, reducing his holdings by 11.58%.

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Throughout the preceding three months, company insiders have collectively sold $103.4 million in stock. This represents a significant overhang for shares already trading beneath their moving averages.

Wall Street analyst perspective remains predominantly optimistic. The consensus price target stands at $846.63, supported by 39 buy recommendations and merely 7 hold ratings. Evercore recently elevated its target to $900, while both Guggenheim and Mizuho adjusted their targets to $850.

QP Wealth Management LLC additionally revealed a fresh position comprising 6,103 shares valued at approximately $4 million, establishing META as its seventh-largest holding representing 3.6% of the portfolio.

The stock maintains a 52-week trading range between $479.80 and $796.25, and currently trades at a P/E ratio of 25.26 with a market capitalization of roughly $1.50 trillion.

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Gold Price Falls to 2026 Low

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Gold Price Falls to 2026 Low

As the XAU/USD chart indicates, today, shortly after the start of the trading week, gold fell below $4,150 (the low of the year). The last time prices were at this level was in early December 2025, before the rally towards the all-time high.

Why Is Gold Declining?

Gold prices are being pressured by a combination of factors, including:

→ expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer;
→ rising inflation risks driven by elevated oil prices.

In such conditions, market participants may shift capital into bonds, which appear more attractive than gold, as the metal does not generate yield.

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Technical Analysis of XAU/USD

On the morning of 16 March, while analysing gold’s price movements, we identified a sequence of lower highs and lower lows (A–B–C–D–E). In addition:
→ key technical support levels were broken;
→ the outline of a descending channel was established;
→ we suggested that if bears maintained control, the price could move towards the lower boundary of the channel.

As the XAU/USD chart shows, by 18 March a renewed bearish impulse had emerged. Price not only declined towards the lower boundary (as marked by the arrow) but also broke below it, providing grounds to expand the descending channel. However, the lower boundary of the extended channel has so far held against selling pressure.

The current situation appears highly stressed:
→ from the March high, gold has lost around 25%;
→ media reports point to the worst week since 1983;
→ virtually any oscillator indicates strong oversold conditions;
→ the ATR indicator has surged to extremely high levels, which may signal cascading liquidations of long positions.

In this environment, traders should take into account the heightened volatility in gold prices in order to manage risk more effectively. A slowdown in the decline cannot be ruled out, supported by:
→ the proximity of the psychological $4,000 level;
→ an elevated geopolitical backdrop, primarily driven by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Faraday Future (FFAI) Clears SEC Probe: AIxCrypto (AIXC) Soars 70% on Regulatory Relief

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FFAI Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • Faraday Future (FFAI) has received confirmation that the SEC investigation has concluded without any enforcement action against the company or individuals involved.
  • The investigation focused on the company’s 2021 SPAC merger and PIPE financing transactions, including previously issued Wells Notices that have now been resolved without charges.
  • Management says the company can now concentrate on operational priorities and explore strategic funding opportunities and partnerships.
  • AIxCrypto (AIXC), with FFAI as its majority controlling shareholder, noted the conclusion eliminates significant regulatory uncertainty.
  • AIXC shares surged approximately 70% during premarket trading hours following the announcement.

Faraday Future Intelligent Electric (FFAI) just received potentially its most significant positive development in recent memory. The Securities and Exchange Commission has officially terminated its inquiry into the electric vehicle company without pursuing any enforcement measures against FFAI or its leadership team.


FFAI Stock Card
Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc., FFAI

The regulatory agency had previously delivered Wells Notices connected to FFAI’s 2021 private investment in public equity (PIPE) deal and its business combination through a special purpose acquisition company. Wells Notices represent formal indications that SEC staff may recommend enforcement proceedings — making a no-action conclusion particularly significant.

The electric vehicle manufacturer confirmed the development through an official disclosure, noting that the SEC’s extensive investigation spanning multiple years has reached its conclusion.

According to FFAI’s announcement, the company now operates with “regulatory clarity” and can dedicate full attention to core operational activities. Management emphasized the ability to pursue strategic capital raises and forge new business partnerships moving forward.

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This represents a considerably clearer path than the company has enjoyed recently.

AIxCrypto’s Response

AIxCrypto (AIXC), where FFAI holds a majority controlling stake, issued its own acknowledgment of the SEC’s determination. The firm indicated that this resolution eliminates uncertainty and creates a more favorable environment for executing its strategic roadmap.

AIXC reiterated commitment to its three-tier ecosystem architecture spanning infrastructure, protocol, and application components. This encompasses development in AI Agents, Embodied AI technologies, blockchain-based coordination systems, and digital connectivity linked to tangible assets.

Market participants responded decisively. AIXC stock rocketed approximately 70% higher in premarket session following the disclosure.

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FFAI shares, meanwhile, were trading down 10.34% at publication time, potentially indicating that some market participants had already anticipated a favorable resolution or are responding to broader factors affecting the security.

Investigation Scope and Context

The SEC’s inquiry examined transactions associated with FFAI’s public market entry. The company went public through a SPAC transaction in 2021, a pathway that attracted considerable regulatory examination throughout the electric vehicle industry.

PIPE financing — representing private capital invested in public companies — constituted another component of the SEC’s review. Such arrangements proliferated during the SPAC market surge and subsequently drew increased regulatory oversight.

The delivery of Wells Notices had signaled the investigation had reached an advanced phase, rendering the no-enforcement determination a particularly meaningful outcome for the organization.

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FFAI emphasized that with regulatory proceedings concluded, the company stands ready to execute on business objectives without the burden of pending regulatory matters.

The 70% premarket surge in AIXC demonstrates the market’s perception of how intimately that company’s prospects were connected to the regulatory standing of its majority owner.

Based on current available data, no enforcement measures have been pursued against FFAI, its management team, or any associated individuals regarding this investigation.

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AUD/USD Falls Below Key Support

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AUD/USD Falls Below Key Support

As the AUD/USD chart indicates, the Australian dollar is showing weakness against the US dollar at the start of the week. Notably, we are seeing a bearish breakout below the lower boundary of an important ascending channel that had been in place since December 2025.

Among the key bearish factors:

→ increased demand for the US dollar as a safe-haven asset amid the United States’ involvement in large-scale military actions against Iran. US President Donald Trump has threatened strikes on Iranian power infrastructure if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, while Tehran has warned of potential attacks on key US and Israeli facilities;

→ a decline in Asian equity markets, which are sensitive to disruptions in energy supplies from the Middle East. In turn, the value of the Australian dollar is closely tied to commodity exports from Australia to China;

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→ traders’ expectations ahead of inflation data due to be released on Wednesday.

Technical Analysis of AUD/USD

On 24 February, we confirmed the validity of the ascending channel, within which we:
→ identified signs of weakness during the formation of highs A and B;
→ suggested a potential break below the channel median with a move towards the psychological level of 0.7000.

Indeed, the price failed to surpass high B and moved into the lower half of the channel in early March. As shown by the first arrow, on 3 March it briefly dipped below the psychological 0.7000 level before quickly rebounding, signalling strong demand.

However, the underlying weakness near highs A and B persisted. Between 10–12 March, bulls attempted to break through these resistance levels but failed to hold above the new high. From a Smart Money Concept perspective, this resembles a liquidity grab in the buy-side liquidity (BSL) zone — a bearish signal.

In the short term, a rebound from the March low (around 0.6950) is possible. However, when considering a broader outlook, traders should not rule out:
→ the 0.7000 level turning into resistance;
→ further development of a downward trend within an increasingly well-defined descending channel.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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BTC’s most reliable crash signal has triggered again

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Bitcoin's daily price swings in candlestick format with the MACD histogram. (TradingView)

Bitcoin bulls should be on their toes: A key momentum indicator that has been disturbingly accurate at flagging selloffs since the largest cryptocurrency hit a record high in October has just triggered.

The indicator is the moving average convergence divergence histogram, better known as the MACD. It’s just crossed below zero for the third time, indicating a renewed bearish shift in momentum.

What is MACD anyway?

Before we dive into the market signal, let’s see how the MACD works.

The indicator uses two lines. The first is the MACD line, calculated by subtracting the 26-day exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-day EMA. The gap between the two helps indicate momentum.

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The other is the Signal line, which is the nine-day exponential moving average of the MACD line itself.

The really interesting part, though, is the histogram. That plots the difference between the MACD and Signal lines.

When the histogram turns positive, it signals bullish momentum; when it turns negative, as now, it signals bearish momentum. In both cases, the slope’s steepness indicates how strong the momentum is.

The indicator is popular because it cuts through market noise to provide a clear picture of trend strength and changes. And right now, it’s screaming “bearish.”

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Bitcoin's daily price swings in candlestick format with the MACD histogram. (TradingView)
Bitcoin’s daily chart with the MACD histogram. (TradingView)

BTC gets crushed when MACD turns red

Since bitcoin topped out above $126,000 in October, MACD has developed an almost-perfect track record. When it turned bearish, bitcoin crashed hard. When it flipped bullish, there were weak bounces that went nowhere.

The evidence is damning. Bitcoin’s weekslong back-and-forth trading above $100,000 came to an abrupt end after the histogram crossed below zero on Nov. 3. Prices plummeted from around $106,000 to $80,000 by Nov. 21.

A brief bounce followed, as the MACD turned positive. But it was short-lived. Just two months later, on Jan. 20, the MACD flashed bearish again with bitcoin around $90,000. The result was the same as before — a face-ripping decline to nearly $60,000 by Feb. 6, once again followed by a minor bounce, backed by a positive MACD with upside capped at around $75,000.

So far, every bullish MACD cross has produced nothing but disappointing bounces that quickly fade, paving the way for deeper selloffs once the indicator turns red. It’s a strong signal that sellers are firmly in control, capable of crushing any attempts by the bulls to regain momentum.

And now, the indicator is flashing red again. Sure, past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. But when a signal with such a strong track record is flashing red, traders are better off paying heed than throwing caution to the wind. Bitcoin’s resilience during the war with Iran may be about to crumble.

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