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Indian investors have matured, buying BTC in shift from speculative tokens

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Indian investors have matured, buying BTC in shift from speculative tokens

Indian crypto investors have shed the speculative itch and are buying the dip in bitcoin price like seasoned pros, Mumbai-based CoinDCX exchange told CoinDesk.

“Indian investors are maturing. They’re no longer driven purely by sentiment or headlines; instead, they’re focused on fundamentals and the long-term potential of the asset class,” CoinDCX’s CEO Sumit Gupta said in an email.

“We’re seeing it in their behavior: regular bitcoin systematic investment plans (SIPs), deliberate market orders, and thoughtfully placed limit orders,” he added, naming ether , solana and XRP as other favorites.

The latest trend contrasts with the frenzied trading in 2021 when newbies chasing 100x pumps dabbled with clones and other smaller tokens.

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“It’s clear that participation is becoming more strategic and measured, rather than reactive. Increasingly, investors are looking at Bitcoin for portfolio diversification and long-term wealth creation,” Gupta said.

Bitcoin’s price has dropped to $75,000 after having hit a high of over $126,000 in October. The broader market has followed suit, with altcoins registering bigger losses. Coincidentally, the Indian national rupee (INR) has depreciated against the U.S. dollar in recent weeks, hitting a record low of 92 per USD.

Yet trading volumes have picked up on the exchange, rising from about $269 million in December to roughly $309 million in January, he said, adding that the activity has been more balanced. “We see profit-taking from short-term traders who bought near recent lows, but at the same time, steady accumulation from long-term investors who view these levels as an opportunity,” he noted.

India, the world’s fastest-growing major economy, maintains a cautious, regulatory-focused stance on digital assets, treating them as taxable Virtual Digital Assets (VDA) rather than legal tender. The annual budget announced over the weekend maintained a 30% tax on crypto gains, with no loss set-offs, and a 1% transaction tax deducted at source.

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Regulations issued by the Financial Intelligence Unit also mandate strict KYC requirements, including regular and accurate reporting of user transactions by exchanges. These measures are aimed at bolstering compliance and countering money laundering and terrorist financing.

“The Union Budget 2026 proposes strengthening compliance for crypto platforms over lapses in transaction disclosures, aiming to curb tax evasion in virtual digital assets,” Gupta said.

We remain fully committed to working with policymakers to support the development of a safe, innovative, and globally competitive VDA ecosystem, as the regulatory landscape continues to evolve.

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Crypto World

Polymarket Traders See 73% Chance of Hormuz Strait Reopening by May 31

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Bitcoin Price, Iran, United States, Donald Trump, Polymarket, Prediction Markets

Polymarket prediction market odds of the Strait of Hormuz “returning to normal” by the end of May spiked to 73% on Friday, following news that Iranian officials have temporarily opened up the Strait of Hormuz as part of a ceasefire deal.

The odds climbed to a high of 82% on Friday, after Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi announced that the Strait of Hormuz is open. Since that time, the odds have fallen back down to 73%. He said in an X post:

“The passage for all commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open for the remaining period of the ceasefire, on the coordinated route as already announced by the Ports and Maritime Organization of the Islamic Republic of Iran.”

Bitcoin Price, Iran, United States, Donald Trump, Polymarket, Prediction Markets
Polymarket odds for oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz returning to normal by the end of May 2026. Source: Polymarket

However, traders on the platform placed the odds of the Strait returning to normal activity by the end of April at just 40%.

The war in Iran sent shockwaves through financial markets, impacting crypto and energy prices, as investors and financial analysts react to political developments in the ongoing conflict. 

Related: Iran conflict hints Bitcoin’s addressable market could exceed gold: Bitwise

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Bitcoin rises on the ceasefire news, but the truce is “fragile”

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) surged on Friday in response to the temporary reopening of the Strait under the ceasefire, briefly tapping $78,000 before climbing down to about $77,358, the price at the time of publication.

Bitcoin Price, Iran, United States, Donald Trump, Polymarket, Prediction Markets
The price of Bitcoin surged after Iranian officials announced that the Strait of Hormuz would remain open during the ceasefire. Source: TradingView

Crypto market analyst Nic Puckrin told Cointelegraph that the ceasefire between the US and Iran announced in April is “fragile” and that core issues remain unresolved.

The fallout from the conflict will likely cast a shadow over financial markets for most of 2026, pushing back any interest rate cuts to Q3 2026 at the earliest, if rate cuts materialize at all this year, Puckrin said.

“A ceasefire that results in the end of geopolitical tensions, a sustained drop in oil prices toward $80, and ideally also softer-than-expected economic data that calms stagflation fears” are all needed for BTC to reclaim the $90,000 level, he said.

US President Donald Trump said on Friday that the US naval blockade on Iran would “remain in full force and effect” until the “transaction with Iran is 100% complete.”

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Magazine: Should users be allowed to bet on war and death in prediction markets?