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Is Lucid (LCID) Stock a Buy Ahead of Earnings Tuesday

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LCID Stock Card

TLDR

  • Lucid reports Q4 2025 earnings Tuesday, February 24, with options traders expecting a 14.87% swing either way.
  • Analysts forecast a loss of $2.67 per share and revenue of ~$459.5 million, up ~96% year-over-year.
  • Lucid announced a 12% U.S. workforce reduction ahead of the print, targeting margin improvements.
  • LCID is down 10% year-to-date and holds a consensus Moderate Sell rating from Wall Street.
  • Profitability is not expected until 2026–2027 as the Gravity SUV ramp continues.

Lucid Group heads into Tuesday’s Q4 2025 earnings report with its stock under pressure and the options market flashing a warning sign.


LCID Stock Card
Lucid Group, Inc., LCID

Traders are pricing in a 14.87% move in either direction after the release. For context, LCID’s average post-earnings swing over the past four quarters has been 7.73% — making this implied move nearly double the norm.

The stock is down 10% year-to-date, sitting around $9.59, while the broader auto manufacturing segment has climbed 7.1% over the same stretch.

Analysts expect a Q4 loss of $2.67 per share, steeper than the $2.20 loss recorded in Q4 2024. On the revenue side, the forecast sits at roughly $459.5 million — a 96% year-over-year jump.

Despite that growth projection, Lucid has a history of falling short. It has missed revenue estimates multiple times in the last two years, including last quarter when it posted $336.6 million — up 68.3% year-over-year but still below expectations.

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Lucid Cuts 12% of U.S. Workforce

Just days before the earnings release, Lucid confirmed it is laying off roughly 12% of its U.S. workforce. The cuts target non-hourly and salaried roles.

Hourly workers at its Arizona manufacturing facility, plus logistics and quality teams, are not part of the reduction. Lucid said the move is aimed at improving gross margins and pushing the company closer to profitability.

Analyst Targets and Ratings

Benchmark analyst Mickey Legg held his Buy rating and $30 price target on Lucid going into the report. He noted Q4 deliveries came in slightly ahead of his estimates and said the focus on Tuesday will be margins tied to the Gravity SUV ramp, cost control, and cash runway.

Legg does not expect the company to reach profitability until 2026 or 2027.

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The broader analyst consensus is less upbeat. LCID carries a Moderate Sell rating, drawn from two Hold calls and one Sell over the past three months. The average price target stands at $12.67, implying roughly 30% upside from current levels.

How Peers Fared

General Motors posted a 5.1% revenue decline, missed estimates, but still gained 6.9% after its report. Autoliv topped estimates yet dropped 4.7% — showing that earnings reactions in the auto sector can be unpredictable.

Lucid’s Q4 2025 earnings are scheduled for Tuesday afternoon, February 24.

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Crypto World

Tally to Wind Down DAO Platform, Scraps Planned ICO

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Tally to Wind Down DAO Platform, Scraps Planned ICO

Decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) governance platform Tally is shutting down after five years of operations, citing a lack of sustainable business models for governance tooling in the crypto market. 

Tally co-founder and CEO Dennison Bertram said the company will begin winding down at the end of March. He added that the company is not moving forward with a planned initial coin offering (ICO), concluding that it could not confidently deliver on the expectations that would come with selling tokens to investors. 

Tally’s closure comes despite years of activity on its platform, which supported governance for hundreds of organizations and processed more than $1 billion in payments, according to Bertram. At its peak, the company said it helped secure up to $80 billion in value and served more than 1 million users.

Tally launched in 2021 as a software platform for on-chain organizations. According to startup intelligence platform Tracxn, the company raised a total of $15.5 million across three funding rounds. 

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Related: Vitalik Buterin proposes using AI to strengthen DAO governance

The shutdown reflects the challenges facing DAO-focused platforms after years of development and adoption. It highlights the pace of change in the industry, where even substantial achievements may prove insufficient to support a venture-backed business in DAO governance tooling.

Source: Tally

Industry reflects on DAO challenges amid Tally shutdown

Following the announcement, builders and operators across the ecosystem pointed to a broader reassessment of DAO governance, with some describing Tally’s closure as part of a wider shift in how coordination tools are being developed and monetized. 

Oku Trade CEO Getty Hill said DAO development has not met the expectations set during earlier growth phases.

Related: DAOs may need to ditch decentralization to court institutions

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“While stablecoins have achieved the greatest product-market fit in crypto, I still believe DAOs will ultimately get there, though maybe not for another 3-10 years,” he wrote. 

Meanwhile, Oasis Onchain founder Stefen Deleveaux described the shutdown as “the end of an era,” reflecting on a wave of early DAO tooling projects that emerged during the 2020–2021 cycle but struggled to sustain themselves over time.

Realms DAO chief technology officer Adrian Brzeziński pointed to the stats highlighted by Bertram, saying that the “hardest truth” in crypto infrastructure is that usage does not equate to revenue. “The next wave of governance won’t look like voting portals. It’ll look like capital coordination,” Brzeziński wrote. 

DAOs are “difficult” to operate

On March 11, Aave founder Stani Kulechov said DAOs, in their current form, are “extraordinarily difficult” to operate. He pointed to internal conflicts and proposals that can take weeks of forum posts, temperature checks and multiple votes to pass. 

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