Connect with us
DAPA Banner
DAPA Coin
DAPA
COIN PAYMENT ASSET
PRIVACY · BLOCKDAG · HOMOMORPHIC ENCRYPTION · RUST
ElGamal Encrypted MINE DAPA
🚫 GENESIS SOLD OUT
DAPAPAY COMING

Crypto World

Japanese Pension Fund Plans Crypto Allocation to Hedge Dollar Risk

Published

on

JPY to USD Spot Exchange

A Japanese pension fund plans to shift about 1% of its assets into cryptocurrency from fiscal 2026, treating Bitcoin (BTC) as a hedge against a weakening dollar rather than a bet on price gains.

The National Business Corporate Pension Fund, based in Okayama, manages around $136 million for about 1,200 small and medium-sized firms. Few Japanese pension funds have invested directly in digital assets.

A Currency Hedge, Not a Price Bet

The fund’s executive director of investment, Aiyu Kiguchi, said the US dollar may lose its global reserve status. So the fund is trimming dollar exposure instead of adding to it.

Meanwhile, the yen trades near 161 per dollar, ranging within the lower segment while eroding a portfolio still four-fifths held in yen.

Advertisement
JPY to USD Spot Exchange
JPY to USD Spot Exchange. Source: FRED

That concern is not unfounded. The dollar’s share of global reserves has eased to about 57%, from roughly 71% in 2001, IMF data shows.

Bitcoin shows little correlation with the dollar index, which the fund treats as protection against currency debasement. The token will sit beside gold and emerging-market currencies in a small diversification sleeve.

The fund will not buy crypto directly. Instead, it plans to gain exposure through a passive, multi-token fund run by a major hedge fund.

The shift cuts its yen holdings from 80% to 70%, with developed-market currencies and the crypto stake filling the gap.

Why the Japanese Pension Fund Move Matters

Japan’s giant Government Pension Investment Fund only sought details on Bitcoin and gold in 2024 and never committed.

Advertisement

This far smaller fund is the one actually acting. It grew from a pension plan for Okayama’s machinery and metal makers, industries long exposed to currency swings.

The contrast with the United States is sharp. The State of Wisconsin Investment Board established a Bitcoin ETF position valued at about $321 million.

It then sold all of it within months, according to its SEC filings. Most US pension exposure has come through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as a tactical trade, not Japan’s currency-hedge logic.

Kiguchi reached his decision after about six years of study, concluding the market had matured.

Advertisement

The move reflects Japan’s growing interest in Bitcoin as the country moves to regulate crypto as a financial instrument.

The Okayama fund is already studying multi-token arbitrage, a sign its 1% position could grow if other small-business plans follow.

The post Japanese Pension Fund Plans Crypto Allocation to Hedge Dollar Risk appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

Japanese Pension Fund Makes Historic Crypto Move After 6 Years

Published

on

Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • A ¥21.3 billion Japanese pension fund plans its first crypto allocation during fiscal year 2026.
  • The fund spent nearly six years researching digital assets before approving the investment.
  • Portfolio changes will reduce yen exposure while adding crypto, gold, and global currencies.
  • Japanese institutions continue exploring crypto products amid evolving regulatory discussions.

A Japanese pension fund is preparing to enter the cryptocurrency market through a dedicated portfolio allocation in fiscal year 2026. The move marks one of the first known crypto investments by a pension fund in the country. 

The decision follows several years of internal research and a broader review of diversification strategies. It also arrives as Japan’s financial sector explores new digital asset products and regulatory changes.

Japanese Pension Fund Adopts Crypto Allocation Strategy

The Nationwide Business Corporate Pension Fund plans to allocate approximately 1% of its assets to cryptocurrency next year. According to reports from Nikkei, the fund manages roughly ¥21.3 billion, equivalent to about $130 million.

The pension fund serves around 1,200 small and medium-sized businesses across Japan. Rather than purchasing individual digital assets directly, it intends to invest through a passive fund managed by a large hedge fund.

The selected investment vehicle holds multiple cryptocurrencies. The approach allows exposure to the broader crypto market rather than relying on a single asset.

Advertisement

Diversification sits at the center of the strategy. Information shared by Sui Intern and details reported by Japanese media indicate the fund aims to reduce its dependence on traditional currency exposure.

Currently, around 80% of assets are linked to the Japanese yen. Another 15% is tied to the U.S. dollar, while the remaining 5% covers other currencies.

Beginning in fiscal 2026, the fund plans to reduce yen exposure to 70%. It will also introduce allocations to developed market currencies, emerging market currencies, gold, and cryptocurrencies.

Advertisement

According to fund executive director Ayumi Kiguchi, the organization views digital assets as a potential diversification tool due to their lower correlation with some traditional currency holdings.

Crypto Adoption Gains Ground Across Japan’s Financial Sector

The decision follows nearly six years of research into cryptocurrency markets. During that period, the fund monitored industry development, investor participation, and market maturity before proceeding.

Pension fund involvement in crypto remains uncommon in Japan. While some institutions have explored the sector, direct allocations have remained limited.

The fund is also studying additional crypto-related opportunities. Reports indicate it is examining arbitrage-focused investment strategies that seek to capitalize on price differences across digital assets.

Advertisement

Broader industry developments are unfolding at the same time. Japanese regulators continue reviewing rules that could expand access to crypto investment products.

The Osaka Exchange is reportedly considering the introduction of Bitcoin futures contracts in 2028. Exchange officials have linked those discussions to future regulatory developments.

Major securities firms are also evaluating crypto-related offerings. Reports have named SBI Securities and Rakuten Securities among companies considering new digital asset products.

Other financial institutions, including Nomura Securities and Daiwa Securities, are also reviewing future opportunities tied to cryptocurrency markets. These developments coincide with a gradual increase in institutional participation across Japan’s digital asset sector.

Advertisement

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Wall Street’s Tokenization Race Heats Up as SEC Reviews New Rules

Published

on

Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Major U.S. banks are building tokenized deposit networks for interbank settlement and clearing.
  • DTCC plans tokenized equity and Treasury trades before a broader platform launch in October.
  • Tokenized stocks surpassed $1.5 billion in value after growing more than 3,300% since 2024.
  • SEC discussions around tokenized stock rules signal growing regulatory engagement with the sector.

Tokenization is moving deeper into mainstream finance as major banks, asset managers, and regulators advance new blockchain-based initiatives. 

Recent developments span tokenized deposits, securities settlement, stablecoin reserve funds, and tokenized equities. 

The activity comes as tokenized stocks continue to record rapid growth across digital asset markets. Together, the moves highlight how traditional financial institutions are increasing their involvement in tokenized finance.

Tokenization Expands Across Banks and Financial Infrastructure

Several of the largest U.S. banks are pushing forward with tokenized payment infrastructure. 

According to information shared by Ondo Finance, The Clearing House is developing a shared tokenized deposit network for interbank clearing and settlement.

Advertisement

The initiative involves major institutions including JPMorgan, Citi, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo. The proposed network aims to streamline transfers between participating banks through tokenized deposits.

Momentum is also building in securities infrastructure. The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation, commonly known as DTCC, plans to begin limited production trades involving tokenized Russell 1000 equities, major ETFs, and U.S. Treasuries in July.

DTCC expects a broader platform launch in October. The organization stated that more than 50 firms have participated in development efforts, including BlackRock, JPMorgan, and Ondo Finance.

Advertisement

Asset managers are also expanding their presence in tokenized markets. According to data highlighted by Ondo Finance, State Street launched a dedicated money market fund designed for stablecoin issuers.

The fund launched with approximately $121 million in assets under management. State Street joins BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and BNY in offering products aimed at supporting stablecoin reserve requirements.

Tokenized Stocks Growth Draws SEC Attention

Tokenized stocks continue to emerge as one of the fastest-growing sectors in digital assets. Data from RWA.xyz shows the market exceeded $1.5 billion in value by mid-June.

The sector has expanded more than 3,300% since January 2024. That growth has pushed tokenized equities and ETFs into a more prominent position within crypto markets.

Advertisement

Regulators are increasingly examining the trend. According to Reuters, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is evaluating an innovation exemption that could create a modified framework for tokenized stock platforms.

The proposal faced delays after exchanges raised concerns during discussions earlier this year. Reuters reported that revisions to the framework are expected in the coming months.

At the same time, Ondo Finance continues expanding access to tokenized securities. Ondo Global Markets recently added 173 tokenized stocks and ETFs.

The expansion increased the platform’s offering to more than 430 tokenized stocks and ETFs. The assets are available across Ethereum, Solana, and BNB Chain, further broadening access to blockchain-based financial products.

Advertisement

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Crypto Executive Disputes Claims Anthropic’s Mythos Breached NSA Systems

Published

on

Crypto Executive Disputes Claims Anthropic’s Mythos Breached NSA Systems

BitGo CEO Mike Belshe has rejected a viral claim that Anthropic’s Mythos model breached nearly all of the National Security Agency’s classified systems, calling the story false as it spread across X this weekend.

His pushback targets posts that recast the government shutdown of a three-day-old model as a real-world hack. The fuller record is less dramatic.

Where the Mythos NSA Breach Claim Came From

The claim originated with Senator Mark Warner, vice chair of the Senate Intelligence Committee. The Economist reported his account of what the NSA director told him.

Warner said General Joshua Rudd, who leads the NSA and US Cyber Command, described the tool in stark terms.

Advertisement

“This tool broke into almost all of our classified systems, not in weeks, but in hours,” the Economist wrote, citing Warner.

Warner raised the example while praising Anthropic, not condemning it. He used it to argue for faster pre-release testing of frontier models.

The detail that went missing online is simple. This was an authorized red-team test on the agency’s own networks, not an outside intrusion.

Shashank Joshi, the Economist editor who published the quote, later cautioned it should not be read literally. He said it depended on Mythos working alongside other tools in particular conditions.

The US government was already a Mythos partner. Anthropic had deployed the model to government cyber defenders through Project Glasswing since April.

Belshe and Others Question the Framing

Belshe, the co-founder and chief executive of digital-asset custodian BitGo, answered one of the threads bluntly.

“I’m calling BS on this,” he challenged.

Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens

He was not alone. Zack Korman mocked how the claim moved from senator to journalist to social media unchecked.

Advertisement

Analyst Kyle Chase noted the break-in was a test. He said a separate jailbreak flagged by Amazon was the real trigger.

Anthropic’s own statement supports them. It said the flagged jailbreak simply asked the model to read a codebase and fix flaws.

The technique surfaced a few minor, already-known bugs that rival models like OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 can also find.

The company disabled both models on June 12 to meet a US export-control directive, not because of any battlefield breach. It objected to recalling a model used by hundreds of millions of people over one narrow flaw.

Advertisement

Whether the test justified pulling the models is still contested. AI researcher Pedro Domingos argued the export controls were responsible, given the model’s powerful hacking capabilities.

Anthropic itself calls Mythos the strongest cyber model in the world. Yet it says recalling a tool over one flaw would freeze new releases across the industry.

The company is now working to restore access, and is drafting a shared risk framework with the White House.

The post Crypto Executive Disputes Claims Anthropic’s Mythos Breached NSA Systems appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Are perps swaps? A quick look at that CME suit: State of Crypto

Published

on

Are perps swaps? A quick look at that CME suit: State of Crypto

CME is arguing that perps are harmful to its long-dated futures products. The lawsuit alleges that the CFTC did not consider the ramifications of approving perps, and that these products are actually “swaps” as defined by the Dodd-Frank Act, and not “futures.”

Each term carries implications for how the products themselves are to be regulated and what the requirements are for the companies issuing them are. CME CEO Terrence Duffy, who recently announced he’s stepping down next year, told CNBC last week that the distinction mandates different rules for participants.

“The CFTC did not engage in its own analysis of whether its approval of Kalshi’s Bitcoin perpetual as a future is consistent with law,” CME’s lawsuit said. “The CFTC did not even mention the relevant Dodd-Frank provision defining ‘swap.’ Indeed, the word ‘swap’ appears nowhere in the Order.”

The CFTC instead just “rubberstamped Kalshi’s application,” the lawsuit claimed.

Advertisement

What’s interesting is that the actual landscape of companies securing designated contract market (DCM) approvals and moving into perps is growing quite rapidly. On the same day the CFTC granted Kalshi’s application, it sent a no-action letter to Coinbase, seemingly opening the door for that exchange to list perps as well — albeit through an offshore intermediary.

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Sui Claims 1M Ops Per Second, and AI Agents Noticed First

Published

on

Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Sui’s reported 1M operations per second milestone sparked fresh discussion around blockchain scalability.
  • Community posts highlighted Sui’s focus on supporting large-scale AI agent activity on-chain.
  • CoinMarketCap data showed SUI gaining 0.79% over the past 24 hours amid rising attention.
  • Network throughput claims intensified competition among high-performance blockchain platforms.

Sui is drawing fresh attention after claims that its network reached one million operations per second, adding momentum to discussions around blockchain scalability and AI-driven activity. 

The milestone surfaced through posts from prominent members of the Sui ecosystem and quickly spread across crypto markets. 

Network performance has become a key focus as developers prepare for growing machine-to-machine interactions on-chain. Meanwhile, SUI posted a modest price increase over the past 24 hours despite broader market uncertainty.

Sui Network Scalability Claims Put AI Agent Demand in Spotlight

Discussion around Sui accelerated after posts from the Sui Community account highlighted the network’s reported ability to process 300,000 transactions per second. 

The post stated that the network has no hard scalability ceiling and was designed for a future where AI agents could outnumber human users on-chain.

Advertisement

The claim referenced comments from Sui co-founder Adeniyi Abiodun and research discussions involving Grayscale’s research team. According to the shared information, Sui’s architecture was built with large-scale autonomous activity in mind.

Attention intensified after Crypto Banter shared separate comments attributed to Abiodun. 

The post stated that the network had reached one million operations per second and that activity from stablecoin systems and automated agents appeared among the earliest indicators of the increased throughput.

The distinction between operations and transactions remains important. However, the figures quickly became a talking point across crypto social media as traders evaluated the implications for future blockchain demand.

Sui has increasingly positioned itself as a network focused on high-speed execution and scalable infrastructure. Those features have become more relevant as AI-powered applications begin interacting directly with blockchain networks.

Advertisement

SUI Price Edges Higher Following Throughput Milestone

The scalability discussion arrived alongside a positive move in the SUI token price. According to CoinMarketCap data, SUI traded at approximately $0.7087 at the time of reporting.

The token recorded a 0.79% gain over the previous 24 hours. The move was relatively modest, yet it coincided with heightened attention around the network’s performance claims.

Trading activity remained active as market participants reacted to the reports circulating across social platforms. The throughput figures generated significant engagement among developers, investors, and infrastructure-focused projects.

Interest in AI-related blockchain infrastructure has expanded throughout the digital asset sector. As a result, claims involving large-scale processing capacity often attract immediate attention from traders. 

Advertisement

Posts from the Sui Community account and Crypto Banter helped amplify the discussion, placing network performance at the center of the conversation. The reported milestones also arrived as competition among high-throughput blockchain networks continues to intensify across the crypto market.

Advertisement

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

ADGM Approves First Tokenized Securities Admission to Official List

Published

on

Crypto Breaking News

Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM) has approved the first admission of tokenized digital securities to its Official List, alongside permission for the instruments to trade on a recognized exchange venue. The development signals that tokenized assets can be structured and regulated within an established securities framework, rather than operating only as over-the-counter products or experimental pilots.

The legal filing and regulatory steps were guided by law firm Gibson Dunn, which advised Btech Holdings Limited. According to the firm, the Financial Services Regulatory Authority (FSRA) of ADGM approved the relevant prospectuses on 11 June 2026 under the market and financial services rules that apply to securities listings.

What ADGM approved, and why it matters

ADGM’s announcement centers on the admission of tokenized securities referred to as bStocks. The instruments were characterized under ADGM regulation as securities for the purposes of the Financial Services and Markets Regulations 2015 (FSMR). They were structured as Certificates over Shares, a design choice intended to fit the tokenized product into conventional securities categories.

After FSRA approval of the prospectuses, the securities were admitted to ADGM’s Official List of Securities with effect from the same date, and they were also set to be traded on the Recognized Investment Exchange (RIE) operated by Nest Exchange Limited.

Advertisement

In institutional capital markets, listing and trading rules are critical for liquidity, investor protections, and market integrity. By tying tokenized securities to an official listing process and prospectus approval, ADGM is effectively aligning part of the tokenization market with the same regulatory benchmarks used for traditional listings.

Regulatory pathway: prospectus approval and admission to the Official List

Per Gibson Dunn’s account, FSRA approval was granted for prospectuses drafted by the firm. The approval was described as being provided pursuant to section 61 of FSMR and Rule 4.6 of the Market Rules (MKT), including a reference to meeting requirements under MKT 4.5.

This matters because prospectus regimes are typically designed to ensure disclosures are comprehensive and consistent, covering issuer details, the nature of the instrument, risk factors, and other information required for public market participation. For tokenization to move into mainstream financing channels, regulators and exchanges generally need to ensure tokenized structures still satisfy disclosure and governance expectations.

How the product is structured: certificates over shares

The tokenized instruments were described as securities that fall under FSMR, structured as certificates over shares. The certificate-over-share structure is relevant in regulatory terms because it can help define the rights embedded in the tokenized instrument, including the economic linkage to the underlying shares.

Advertisement

While tokenization often involves distributed ledger infrastructure, the key regulatory question is how the product maps to existing legal definitions. ADGM’s approach, as reflected in this admission, indicates a willingness to treat tokenized securities as regulated securities when the instrument’s legal characteristics are clear and the issuer complies with disclosure and admission requirements.

Implications for tokenization in the UAE and beyond

Institutional tokenization is still searching for scalable market infrastructure and consistent regulatory standards. Regions that can demonstrate repeatable pathways for approvals, listing, and regulated trading have an advantage when issuers and financial intermediaries decide where to deploy tokenized capital markets activity.

ADGM’s step also points to a broader industry trend: regulators are increasingly focused on whether tokenized assets can meet established securities principles, including transparency, market conduct expectations, and investor protections.

In this case, the admission to ADGM’s Official List and the ability to trade on the RIE operated by Nest Exchange potentially reduce operational uncertainty for market participants evaluating tokenized instruments. It may also encourage other issuers considering tokenization to pursue structured, regulated listings rather than limiting activity to private placements.

Advertisement

Role of legal counsel

Gibson Dunn stated it advised on multiple phases of the mandate, including structuring the issuance, preparing prospectuses approved by FSRA, and handling the applications for admission to the Official List and to trading on the RIE.

The firm said the team was led by partners Sameera Kimatrai and Jade Chu, supported by associates Aliya Padhani and Holly Alderton. The matter was also described as involving other partners including Hagen Rooke, Mellissa Duru, and Lauren Cook Jackson.

What to watch next

This admission provides a regulatory reference point for tokenized securities that aim to be integrated into exchange-based trading. Going forward, market observers will likely focus on whether additional tokenized issuances follow the same pathway, how liquidity develops on the trading venue, and whether the market structure attracts issuers and intermediaries at scale.

For investors, the practical value of tokenized securities will depend on execution quality, transparency, custody and settlement mechanics, and ongoing compliance. For issuers, the central question will be whether regulated listing and trading can reduce barriers to issuance while still supporting innovation in how assets are tokenized and distributed.

Advertisement

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Could Keir Starmer’s Exit Open the Door to Britain’s Most Crypto-Friendly Labour Leader?

Published

on

Andy Burnham Fronted As Possible Next UK PM in 2026

Andy Burnham’s landslide by-election win has handed Labour’s most crypto-friendly figure a clear route to challenge Keir Starmer for the party leadership.

The Greater Manchester mayor will be sworn in as an MP this week, removing the last barrier to a leadership bid. His enthusiasm for Web3 sits awkwardly beside Starmer’s recent crackdown on crypto.

Burnham’s Win Reopens the Leadership Question

Burnham took the Makerfield seat on June 18 with 54.8% of the vote. He beat Reform UK by a majority of more than 9,200, on a turnout that climbed to almost 59%.

By-election turnouts usually fall, so the result reads as a genuine mandate.

Advertisement

He is due to be sworn in within days. On Polymarket, the crypto-settled prediction market, traders have wagered more than $11 million on the succession and make Burnham the clear favorite to take over.

Andy Burnham Fronted As Possible Next UK PM in 2026
Andy Burnham Fronted As Possible Next UK PM in 2026. Source: Polymarket

Starmer insists he will fight any challenge.

Weekend reports suggested the prime minister was weighing his future, though his office dismissed talk of an imminent exit.

Cabinet ministers, union leaders and party donors have all joined talks about the timing of a handover.

Advertisement

A Pro-Web3 Voice Against a Crypto Crackdown

Burnham ranks among the few senior Labour figures to openly back digital assets. He told about 100 Web3 founders at a Stand With Crypto event that he was “bought in.”

“Manchester was the home of the Industrial Revolution. Let’s make it the home of the web3 revolution,” Andy Burnham, Mayor of Greater Manchester, in remarks to crypto founders.

That tone clashes with the national party. In March, Starmer’s government imposed a moratorium on crypto donations to political parties.

The independent Rycroft Review had warned that crypto’s anonymity could mask foreign money entering UK politics.

Even so, Burnham’s support looks regional and pragmatic, tied to Manchester jobs rather than markets.

Advertisement

Reform UK is Britain’s most crypto-forward party, and one of only three that had agreed to accept crypto at all.

Its leader, Nigel Farage, has bought Bitcoin (BTC) himself and pitched a national reserve.

Markets Watch the Handover

The political risk has already reached bond markets. The 10-year gilt yield rose to about 4.8% on Friday.

UK 10-Year Bond
UK 10-Year Bond. Source: Trading Economics

Investors are weighing a Burnham government they expect to borrow and spend more freely, and sterling weakened alongside it.

For crypto, the signal is fainter. Bitcoin traded near $63,900, up less than 1% on the day but down about 17% over the month and 38% on the year.

Advertisement

It sits well below its October record near $126,000, so the turmoil has produced no clear safe-haven bid.

Bitcoin Price Performance
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

Any read-through also depends on a retail base that is shrinking. Crypto ownership among UK adults has slipped to about 8%, down from 12% a year earlier, the FCA found.

A Burnham premiership could still soften the tone toward Web3 after a year of tighter UK crypto rules, though bond investors look more worried about his spending than his digital-asset views.

His swearing-in and any leadership timetable this week will set the near-term direction. A warmer crypto stance surviving Britain’s fiscal squeeze is the real question for a shrinking crypto electorate.

The post Could Keir Starmer’s Exit Open the Door to Britain’s Most Crypto-Friendly Labour Leader? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Why Capital Is Flowing Into XRP, SOL, and HYPE Instead of BTC and ETH

Published

on

In times when investors are pulling funds out of the spot exchange-traded funds tracking ETH and especially BTC, their behavior toward XRP, HYPE, and SOL has been entirely contrasting.

The ETFs following the three altcoins’ performances continue to see more net inflows even as the market stagnates and uncertainty builds.

XRP, SOL, HYPE ETFs Keep Gaining Capital

CryptoPotato has repeatedly reported on the Ripple ETFs’ impressive performance over the past several weeks, in which most assets, including XRP, recorded fresh losses and dipped to multi-year lows. However, investors using the Wall Street-trading financial vehicles have remained active, with net inflows dominating for months. In fact, there have been only two weeks in the red since mid-March.

The last one, which had only four trading days, also ended in the green. The ETFs attracted $2.82 million on Monday, $5.30 million on Tuesday, and $2.55 million on Thursday. Since Wednesday was a $0.00 day, according to SoSoValue data, that means that the week ended with net inflows of $10.66 million. The cumulative net inflows have tapped a new all-time high of $1.45 billion.

Advertisement

The Solana ETFs also attracted over $7 million in net inflows in the past week, following a red one with $2.58 million in net outflows. HYPE and its ETFs continue to be the current market superstar. The funds saw their third-best week to date, with almost $28 million entering. Moreover, the HYPE ETFs have been on a six-week streak of net inflows since their inception in mid-May.

Their performance has been particularly promising since they have attracted nearly $185 million in net inflows in six weeks. The same six weeks have been highly emotional and full of FUD for the entire crypto market, especially June’s start when most assets tumbled to multi-year lows.

Net Inflows Spot HYPE ETFs. Source: SoSoValue
Net Inflows Spot HYPE ETFs. Source: SoSoValue

BTC, ETH ETFs Deep in Red

And while the aforementioned altcoins continue to enjoy fresh ETF capital, the same cannot be said for the funds tracking the two largest cryptocurrencies by market cap. As reported earlier, the spot BTC ETFs bled more than $226 million in the past week, and are down by roughly $5 billion in the same six weeks in which the HYPE and XRP ETFs have been only in the green.

The spot Ethereum ETFs are in no better shape. In fact, they are on the same six-week negative streak, pushing the total inflows down by nearly $1 billion. So the question now is whether investors are simply seasonally rotating from larger-cap digital assets into smaller altcoins, or have they completely abandoned BTC and ETH for the new kids on the block.

The post Why Capital Is Flowing Into XRP, SOL, and HYPE Instead of BTC and ETH appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

50% US market crash could push Bitcoin toward $24K

Published

on

Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin’s downside risks are again back in focus as analyst Jesse Olson laid out a worst-case technical scenario that could send BTC sharply lower if a broader macro shock hits US markets. In a Sunday post, Olson pointed to a multi-week chart setup that, in his view, leaves Bitcoin vulnerable to a move toward $23,980—a level he frames as a key target in the event of a severe stock-market sell-off.

The bearish case is not only technical. Olson’s outlook aligns with what multiple market indicators have been signaling so far in 2026: institutional participation appears muted, with a persistently weak Coinbase premium reading and ongoing spot Bitcoin ETF outflows described by market data providers. Together, these factors suggest that when risk appetite falls, Bitcoin could face stronger selling pressure than what retail alone might typically drive.

Key takeaways

  • Olson’s chart work suggests BTC could fall toward $23,980 if US equities undergo a macro downturn of roughly 50%+.
  • A negative Coinbase premium is consistent with weaker professional demand rather than aggressive institutional accumulation.
  • Since May, SoSoValue data shows US spot Bitcoin ETFs have logged $4.68 billion in net outflows.
  • On-chain analyst Darkfost argues institutions tend to wait for confirmation and performance, making them less likely to “buy the bottom” prematurely.

Olson’s worst-case BTC level and the macro trigger

Olson shared a two-week Bitcoin chart outlining a potential pathway for downside under stress conditions. His level is derived from a proprietary Market Sniper Pro VWAP indicator, using a long-term support line based on an anchored, volume-weighted average price (aVWAP) concept.

In the chart framing Olson used, the line appears anchored from the 2022 bear-market bottom. As the chart progresses, that methodology effectively creates a sloping reference zone that traders can watch for whether price is respecting a longer-term “average” support framework—or breaking away from it.

Olson presented $23,980 as a base-case target in a “severe macro sell-off” scenario that includes a US stock market drop of more than 50%. The implication is straightforward: Bitcoin has often traded like a high-risk asset during periods when leveraged positions are unwound and liquidity becomes expensive.

Advertisement

The macro timing risk Olson warns about is not confined to crypto technicals. The article context also references calls from established market observers who have warned about speculative excess or heightened recession risk. For example, GMO co-founder Jeremy Grantham has argued the current AI-led market surge resembles a major speculative bubble, while economist Gary Shilling has warned a US recession is “almost inevitable” by year-end, with stocks potentially declining by 20%–30%. (Those perspectives are cited via links embedded in the original reporting.)

Against that backdrop, the logic for Bitcoin is that a broad equity shock could accelerate crypto de-risking. In practical trading terms, that can mean earlier longs are forced to reduce exposure, and new dip-buying interest—particularly institutional—may take longer to reappear.

Coinbase Premium stays negative, signaling weak “professional” appetite

Beyond chart levels, the report highlights the Coinbase Premium Index—a metric that compares Bitcoin’s price on Coinbase versus Binance. The underlying idea is that when the premium is positive, it often reflects stronger US institutional demand (or at least more aggressive buying pressure on regulated venues). When the reading stays negative, it can point to weaker professional accumulation or heavier selling on Coinbase relative to Binance.

According to the report’s description, the Coinbase premium has been largely negative so far in 2026. That matters because it suggests that, at least in this period, institutional-style demand has not stepped in with the same urgency seen during stronger risk-on phases.

Advertisement

The key tension for traders is that BTC’s price can still rise without sustained premium strength—especially if retail-driven flows dominate. But if the market later shifts into “risk-off,” a lack of steady institutional bid can make drawdowns more abrupt, because there is less natural demand to cushion sell pressure.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs record $4.68B in outflows since May

The institutional-demand picture is reinforced by spot Bitcoin ETF flow data cited from SoSoValue. The report states that since May, US-based spot Bitcoin funds have accumulated $4.68 billion in net outflows.

ETF flow trends are closely watched by many participants because they aggregate buying and selling behavior across traditional brokerage accounts and investment platforms. Net outflows, in that sense, can be read as ongoing caution from professional allocators and advisers rather than a one-off profit-taking event.

While the report doesn’t attempt to forecast ETF flows forward, the combination of negative Coinbase premium and ETF outflows fits the same broader narrative: there isn’t clear evidence, at least in the period referenced, that major institutional channels are actively leaning against weakness.

Advertisement

Why institutions may wait for “confirmation,” not a potential bottom

One reason analysts often provide for institutional behavior under stress is that these players may not buy based on technical “support” signals alone. Instead, they may wait for confirmation—whether that’s stabilization in broader markets, improved volatility conditions, or sustained improvements in inflows.

In a Sunday post cited in the report, Darkfost, a CryptoQuant-associated on-chain analyst, said: institutions “don’t act like retail” and typically operate under “permanent risk management logic.” Darkfost’s point, as quoted, was that institutions are “not looking to buy a potential bottom” but rather for confirmation and performance—adding that the conditions for that are “not the case yet.”

This helps explain why Olson’s downside framing could matter even if the $23,980 area is technically meaningful. If institutional demand is missing—or if ETF outflows continue—then market moves toward lower support zones may be driven less by “buying opportunity” narratives and more by positioning adjustments and liquidity constraints.

Earlier coverage referenced in the report also aligns with the idea that a stock-market crash could push Bitcoin below $30,000. While those earlier remarks are not elaborated in detail here, they strengthen the broader theme: macro shocks can overwhelm crypto’s internal narratives and magnify downside through forced de-risking.

Advertisement

For readers, the key watch items are straightforward: whether BTC’s technical structure actually breaks toward the $23,980 target, and whether institutional indicators change character—specifically the Coinbase premium trend and whether spot Bitcoin ETFs shift from net outflows to inflows. If those signals remain weak, the market may continue to treat rallies as temporary while waiting for broader risk conditions to improve.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Trump Issues Fresh Iran Threat as US-Iran Talks Enter Critical Phase

Published

on

US Iran deal MOU

US Vice President JD Vance opened direct US-Iran talks at Switzerland’s Bürgenstock resort on Sunday, even as President Donald Trump threatened fresh military strikes if Tehran fails to rein in Hezbollah.

The talks implement a 14-point memorandum that Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian signed on June 17. It set a 60-day ceasefire to end a war that began on February 28 and to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

US Iran deal MOU
US-Iran deal MOU

US-Iran Talks Open Under Pressure

Vance leads the US side, with Iranian chief negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf heading Tehran’s team. Pakistan and Qatar are mediating in a four-way format.

The talks nearly fell apart first. Iran suspended them on Friday over Israel’s strikes in Lebanon, then agreed to meet on Sunday. Vance expects only a couple of days of negotiations.

Advertisement

Washington wants fast movement on Iran’s nuclear program. Tehran wants the fighting in Lebanon to stop first. It is also seeking sanctions relief, the unfreezing of assets, and an end to the US naval blockade.

The truce is fraying. Israeli strikes killed dozens in Lebanon over the weekend, and five Israeli soldiers have died since the deal. The turmoil has even split crypto traders over whether the ceasefire holds.

Bitcoin (BTC) could swing again if the war reignites, a risk analysts have already war-gamed for crypto. Trump, meanwhile, escalated on Truth Social, warning Tehran over its Lebanese proxies.

“Iran must immediately stop their highly paid PROXIES in Lebanon from causing trouble. If they don’t, we’ll hit Iran very hard again, just like we did last week, only harder!!!” Donald Trump, US president, via post.

Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens

Advertisement

Why Crypto Markets are Watching Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz is the reason markets care. About 20 million barrels of oil cross it daily. That is close to a fifth of global supply and more than a quarter of seaborne trade.

Iran’s Revolutionary Guard declared the waterway shut on Saturday, citing Israel’s attacks. Yet US Central Command said 55 tankers still passed through that day, carrying more than 17 million barrels.

After the signing, oil fell sharply, and equities set records. Brent crude slipped to about $78 a barrel, and US gas hit $3.99 a gallon, its lowest since March. GasBuddy analyst Patrick De Haan expects sub-$3 gas by early 2027 if the truce holds.

For crypto, the signal runs through oil. Cheaper energy cools inflation and revives rate-cut bets, the script Bitcoin has followed all year.

Yet Bitcoin barely reacted to the deal, holding near $64,000. Last June, a similar Iran ceasefire sent it above $105,000.

The next few days of talks will test whether the ceasefire survives in Lebanon. For crypto, the bigger tell may be oil, not the nuclear file.

The post Trump Issues Fresh Iran Threat as US-Iran Talks Enter Critical Phase appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2025