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Kevin Warsh holds rates steady despite fresh inflation fears

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Kevin Warsh holds rates steady despite fresh inflation fears

This article was updated with additional details from the Federal Reserve’s latest dot plot projections and voting results.

The Federal Reserve has kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75% for a fourth consecutive meeting as policymakers continue monitoring inflation risks across the U.S. economy.

Summary

  • The Federal Reserve unanimously kept interest rates at 3.50%–3.75% for a fourth straight meeting.
  • Fed projections showed nine officials expect at least one rate hike this year, signaling persistent inflation concerns.
  • Bitcoin fell to $65,430 as investors assessed the Fed’s hawkish outlook and Kevin Warsh’s policy stance.

According to the Federal Open Market Committee, officials voted unanimously to leave rates unchanged at the conclusion of the June meeting, keeping the federal funds target range at 3.50% to 3.75%

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The decision extended a pause that has remained in place throughout 2026 and matched market expectations, with investors widely anticipating no change in policy despite continued concerns about inflation.

Attention has now turned to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first post-meeting press conference, where investors are looking for clues about how policymakers view inflation and whether tighter monetary policy could still be required later this year.

Inflation concerns continue to shape policy outlook

Although the Fed left rates unchanged, concerns about inflation remain central to the policy discussion. In its statement, the Committee cited ongoing uncertainty surrounding price pressures as officials weigh future decisions.

Among the firms adopting a more cautious view, Citadel Securities has warned that inflation may be becoming entrenched across the economy. As previously reported by crypto.news, the firm pointed to supportive financial conditions, labor market resilience, supply-chain disruptions, and rising investment tied to artificial intelligence as factors that could keep inflation elevated.

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Citadel also highlighted recent economic data showing a growing share of core Consumer Price Index components increasing more than 3% year over year. The firm noted that headline CPI reached 4.2% in May, while Producer Price Index inflation accelerated to 6.5%, indicating continued cost pressures for businesses.

Based on those conditions, Citadel expects the Federal Reserve under Warsh to maintain a hawkish stance. The firm estimates that at least five Fed officials could signal support for future tightening and argues that an inertial Taylor Rule framework would justify roughly 75 basis points of rate increases during 2026.

Under Citadel’s forecast, rate hikes could arrive in September and December 2026, followed by another increase in March 2027. While the firm does not expect an immediate move, it said Warsh’s assessment of inflation risks will be critical for markets.

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Adding to the debate, BNP Paribas recently abandoned its expectation for stable policy and now forecasts three rate hikes beginning in December. The bank cited persistent inflation, strong employment data, and inflation risks associated partly with geopolitical tensions involving Iran.

Fresh economic projections released alongside the decision suggested many policymakers remain concerned about inflation. According to the Fed’s updated dot plot, nine of 18 officials expect at least one rate hike before the end of the year.

Six of those officials projected multiple increases, while only one participant forecast a rate cut. One official did not submit a projection, a position widely assumed by market observers to belong to Chair Kevin Warsh.

Markets await signals from Warsh

Recent developments in energy markets have complicated the inflation outlook. Following the initial U.S.-Iran agreement, oil prices moved lower, reducing one source of inflation pressure. Even so, several analysts continue to argue that price increases have spread beyond energy and into other parts of the economy.

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Political pressure has also remained in focus. President Donald Trump has repeatedly called for lower interest rates, although he recently suggested he would not pressure Warsh to cut rates in the same manner he publicly challenged former Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Financial markets showed a muted reaction following the announcement, although risk assets weakened after investors reviewed the Fed’s projections. According to data from crypto.news, Bitcoin fell 0.6% over the previous 24 hours to around $65,430, while Ethereum declined 1.4% to roughly $1,770.

Most other top-100 digital assets traded near flat levels, posting only modest gains or losses. The total cryptocurrency market capitalization slipped 0.7% to approximately $2.33 trillion at press time as traders continued assessing the implications of the Fed’s decision and the possibility of future policy tightening.

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$400M Wiped Out in Hours as Bitcoin Crashes After FOMC and Warsh Speech

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Bitcoin’s price is losing ground once again, as the asset was rejected at over $66,000 earlier today and dumped to $64,000 minutes ago, shortly after the conclusion of the latest FOMC meeting and the subsequent press conference by the new Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh.

Unlike what many expected when he replaced Jerome Powell, Warsh maintained a very hawkish tone during his speech, which caught investors by surprise.

Not The Easy-Money Chairman

DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach noted in an interview with CNBC that the new Fed Chair will aim for price stability instead of being the ‘easy money Chairman’ people thought.

“He is absolutely telling you that he plans on delivering on price stability. So that means we’re not going to have such easy money policy as everybody thought maybe Chairman Warsh would do back in the first quarter of this year when everyone was counting on rate cuts. He doesn’t sound like that today at all.”

Warsh’s hawkish speech came shortly after the US Federal Reserve maintained the interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive meeting.

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BTC Slides Further

Bitcoin’s price already dipped after the initial Fed decision, but its situation only worsened following the press conference. The asset had dropped from an intraday high of $66,400 to $65,000, but rebounded to $65,500 before it slumped again to $64,000 minutes ago.

BTCUSD June 17. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD June 17. Source: TradingView

Most altcoins have followed suit. Ethereum is down by 3% daily to under $1,740, BNB has lost the $600 support, while XRP has fallen further below the $1.20 line. Expectedly, these intense price moves in the span of just a couple of hours have impacted the liquidations.

Data from CoinGlass shows that the total value of wrecked positions in the past 24 hours is up to over $400 million, with almost half of those coming in the past 4 hours. Longs are responsible for the lion’s share, with $280 million daily. Moreover, $79 million out of the $82 million in liquidated positions in the past hour alone are from longs.

Nearly 100,000 traders have been wiped out daily, with the largest liquidated position occurring on Binance. It was worth $5 million.

Liquidation Data on CoinGlass
Liquidation Data on CoinGlass

The post $400M Wiped Out in Hours as Bitcoin Crashes After FOMC and Warsh Speech appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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FIFA wanted Avalanche’s blockchain to help curb World Cup ticket scalping. Here’s how it’s going

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FIFA wanted Avalanche's blockchain to help curb World Cup ticket scalping. Here's how it's going

Beyond new revenue opportunities, the model gives FIFA more visibility into who ultimately attends its events. In the traditional ticketing ecosystem, much of that information is controlled by secondary marketplaces.

“The actual administrator of those tickets, FIFA, has no idea who the people are buying,” Carbonaro said. “That data sits with SeatGeek, StubHub, Ticketmaster, Vivid Seats.” He argued that FIFA Collect’s RTB and RTT system gives FIFA greater insight into how ticket rights change hands within its own ecosystem, rather than relying on third-party platforms that typically control the customer relationship.

With RTBs and RTTs, FIFA can better track how fans move through the ticketing process while keeping personal information offchain and using blockchain records as a verification mechanism.

That data component may ultimately prove as valuable as the ticketing functionality itself. Sports organizations increasingly view direct fan relationships as strategic assets, particularly as AI tools make first-party data more valuable.

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Whether FIFA’s ticketing model becomes a template for future tournaments remains to be seen. Critics could argue that introducing tradable purchase rights simply creates another layer between fans and tickets.

Either way, the World Cup offers a glimpse of where blockchain adoption may be heading next. Instead of asking consumers to embrace crypto, projects like FIFA Collect are attempting to hide it altogether. And for Avalanche, that may be the most important test of all.

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XRP Price Prediction: Africa Stablecoin Drive Fuels Hopes of a Breakout

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🚨

A fresh strategic investment in Flutterwave’s Series E round positions RLUSD as the stablecoin spine of continental payments infrastructure. It’s bullish for XRP price prediction, but markets are still digesting the implications.

Meanwhile, the macro backdrop is forcing traders to hold their breath: the Fed holds rates today, but Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference on forward guidance, with inflation sitting at a three-year high, carries more weight than the decision itself.

Ripple’s Reece Merrick was direct about the intent: “Our investment will establish RLUSD within that infrastructure, with Flutterwave driving stablecoin flows over the XRPL and deepening its role as a settlement layer for real-world payments across the continent.”

Flutterwave is not a minor player. They are one of Africa’s dominant blockchain-based enterprise infrastructure providers. Plugging RLUSD into that pipeline targets a corridor where Sub-Saharan on-chain flows topped $205 billion over the past 12 months.

RLUSD itself carries weight: a $1.6 billion market cap, ranked 10th among stablecoins globally. But XRP price has yet to reflect any of it.

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Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

XRP Price Prediction: Break Up or Down

XRP is holding a recent range of $1.20–$1.25, with a spot price near $1.20 and a market cap close to $75 billion. The weekly print of 8% looks constructive on the surface, but the technical setup underneath is less comfortable than it appears.

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Chart watchers flagging a developing head-and-shoulders pattern have identified $1.18 as the line in the sand; lose that zone and the pattern confirms, opening a path toward $1.1 and potentially under a dollar.

On the upside, resistance clusters in the $1.28-$1.30 band. A clean break there could ignite a run toward the $1.80 swing level that longer-term technical frameworks are watching. 21Shares assigns a 30% probability to XRP reaching $2.69 by 2026, with a base case near $2.45 contingent on ETF inflows and utility traction, both of which the Flutterwave deal nudges forward.

Xrp (XRP)
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One data point worth anchoring: Binance’s estimated XRP leverage ratio is down roughly 78% from mid-2025 highs. This means violent liquidation cascades are materially less likely than they were. The setup is cleaner.

Discover: The Best Token Presales

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Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside While XRP Tests Key Levels

XRP’s Africa stablecoin thesis is compelling, but at an $75 billion market cap, the asymmetry is limited even in a bull scenario. Traders rotating into infrastructure narratives at earlier stages are looking at a different risk-reward profile entirely. That’s the opening Bitcoin Hyper is trying to fill.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) integration, targeting the three structural weaknesses that have capped Bitcoin’s DeFi utility for years: slow transactions, high fees, and no native programmability.

The architecture delivers sub-second finality and low-cost smart contract execution while inheriting Bitcoin’s security layer. The presale has raised $32.8 million at a current price of $0.0136, with staking active for early participants.

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The Decentralized Canonical Bridge handles BTC transfers without the risk of centralized custody. This is a meaningful design distinction in a space where bridge exploits remain a recurring liability.

Research Bitcoin Hyper before the presale stage concludes.

The post XRP Price Prediction: Africa Stablecoin Drive Fuels Hopes of a Breakout appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Blockchain.com Expands On-Chain Stock Offerings as Tokenized Equities Grow

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Crypto Breaking News

Blockchain.com is widening its tokenized real-world assets lineup through a partnership with Ondo Finance, adding 173 tokenized stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to its marketplace. The expansion takes Blockchain.com’s catalog of tokenized traditional assets to more than 430 offerings spanning Ethereum, Solana and BNB Chain.

In a Wednesday announcement, Blockchain.com said the newly listed products include tokenized exposure to private-company shares, actively managed ETFs, US Treasury-related offerings, and covered-call income strategies—highlighting SpaceX’s SPCX token among the additions. It also added themed baskets linked to areas such as AI infrastructure, energy, robotics, autonomous vehicles and quantum computing, alongside income-focused products from Global X and other issuers.

Key takeaways

  • Blockchain.com expanded its tokenized stocks and ETF catalog by 173 items via Ondo Finance, bringing total offerings to 430+ across Ethereum, Solana and BNB Chain.
  • The new list ranges from private-company shares and active ETFs to Treasuries and covered-call strategies, with SpaceX’s SPCX token called out by name.
  • Blockchain.com says the assets are available immediately, using Ondo’s routing and liquidity infrastructure to support trading across all 173 listings at launch.
  • Tokenized equities have accelerated this year: RWA.xyz data cited by the company shows distributed value is up to about $1.57 billion, roughly fivefold from around $330 million a year ago.
  • Regulatory momentum for DeFi-style access to US equities has become a focal point after a US SEC proposal was described by Galaxy’s Alex Thorn as a potential “unlock” for tokenized stock trading.

Blockchain.com’s Ondo partnership grows across major chains

Blockchain.com’s latest move reinforces its strategy of bringing institutional-style market access into crypto rails. The firm positioned the onboarding as an “immediate” availability update, stating that Ondo’s routing and liquidity infrastructure supports trading across all 173 new tokenized assets from the time of launch.

Ondo is described by market-data provider RWA.xyz as one of the larger tokenization platforms by asset value. According to RWA.xyz figures cited in the announcement, Ondo has roughly $3.8 billion in distributed assets across 267 tokenized products. While those figures are platform-level totals rather than limited to equities, they underscore the scale of the infrastructure now being leveraged for broad catalog expansion.

What’s new in the 173-token slate

While tokenized equities have largely focused on making public-company shares transferable on-chain, Blockchain.com’s additions widen the scope of what investors can hold in token form. Among the specific categories it highlighted are:

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  • Private company shares, offering on-chain exposure beyond traditional publicly listed equities.
  • Active ETF exposure, indicating continued demand for tokenized access to strategies managed by ETF issuers.
  • US Treasury products, bringing fixed-income exposure into the same trading ecosystem.
  • Covered-call strategies, which aim to generate income by holding an underlying asset while selling call options.
  • Themed baskets tied to sectors such as AI infrastructure, energy, robotics, autonomous vehicles and quantum computing.

Blockchain.com singled out SpaceX’s SPCX token as one of the additions. That comes as tokenized SpaceX-related products have already drawn significant retail and institutional attention, even as the sector has encountered execution problems in some launches.

Tokenized equities keep climbing—though competition is intensifying

RWA.xyz data cited alongside Blockchain.com’s announcement suggests the tokenized equities segment has been gaining traction. The report referenced by the article places tokenized equities at approximately $1.57 billion in distributed value, up nearly fivefold from about $330 million a year ago.

The same data set referenced the variety of assets now circulating on-chain, including tokenized shares of public companies, ETFs, and private-firm equity. It also mentioned several large holdings by value, naming Strategy, Circle, Nvidia and Exodus shares as examples.

That growth has also attracted more rivals. Earlier this month, Exodus launched a marketplace for more than 200 tokenized stocks, ETFs and other real-world assets, also through a partnership with Ondo Finance—illustrating how Ondo-linked distribution is becoming a common foundation for new onchain “tradfi-like” trading experiences.

Beyond dedicated tokenized stock platforms, mainstream crypto venues have also pursued high-profile tokenized equity themes. Binance, for instance, said its tokenized IPO offering tied to SpaceX drew more than $557 million in USDC deposits from users seeking exposure to the listing.

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SpaceX hype meets real-world frictions—and regulatory change could matter

Alongside growing interest, the SpaceX IPO storyline revealed operational and allocation challenges that have periodically constrained tokenized offerings. According to the earlier coverage referenced in the article, several exchanges—including Binance, Bybit, Bitget Wallet and MEXC—were reported to have canceled tokenized SpaceX offerings and refunded users after failing to secure share allocations. Those products, the article notes, relied on Kraken-owned xStocks for distribution and settlement infrastructure.

The reporting also pointed to the IPO’s reported oversubscription, citing Reuters coverage that demand for a $75 billion offering had reportedly reached more than four times that level and attracted more than $250 billion in investor demand. For tokenization firms and their partners, these dynamics highlight a recurring tension: onchain distribution can be fast, but underlying access to shares can remain constrained by traditional market mechanics.

At the same time, regulatory discussions may shape how these products evolve. The article references a US Securities and Exchange Commission proposal described by Galaxy head of research Alex Thorn as “one of the biggest unlocks yet for tokenized stocks.” Thorn’s comments were tied to the SEC’s proposal to rescind two National Market System rules, which he argued would remove “one of the biggest structural barriers to tokenized US equities trading in DeFi.” The linked SEC proposal appears to frame the issue as a rule change within market structure regulation, though the ultimate impact for onchain trading will depend on how the SEC proceeds and what replacement frameworks—if any—follow.

For investors using onchain equities platforms, the immediate practical takeaway is straightforward: more tokenized stock and ETF listings are now arriving through established infrastructure, but the sector’s next test will be whether liquidity, settlement reliability and regulatory clarity can keep pace with demand. Watch for how exchanges and wallet providers handle upcoming high-profile offerings—especially those that require constrained allocations—and for any follow-through from the SEC proposals that could expand the ways tokenized equities can be integrated into DeFi trading.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Fidelity joins Wall Street’s race to manage stablecoin reserves

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Fidelity joins Wall Street's race to manage stablecoin reserves

The GENIUS Act, signed into law last year, established the first federal framework for payment stablecoins in the United States. Among other requirements, issuers must hold reserves in cash, short-term Treasury securities and certain government money market funds.

The legislation has created an opportunity for traditional asset managers to offer regulated vehicles that stablecoin issuers can use to manage those reserves while generating yield.

Fidelity’s fund will invest in U.S. Treasury bills, notes and bonds with maturities of 93 days or less, cash, overnight repurchase agreements backed by Treasuries and other government money market funds that comply with the law.

“Fidelity has a longstanding history in fixed income and money markets, making us uniquely positioned to offer a money market fund for stablecoin issuers that is compliant with the new GENIUS-Act legislation,” said Robin Foley, Fidelity’s head of fixed income, in a statement.

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While Fidelity’s announcement focused on reserve management, State Street framed its launch as part of a broader push into tokenized finance through partnerships with crypto firms such as Anchorage Digital and products designed for onchain liquidity management.

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Trump to Return Iran’s Frozen Money to Protect the Dollar

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Trump’s AI Ownership Plan Could Benefit Anthropic at OpenAI’s Expense

President Donald Trump said the United States will hand back Iran’s frozen money rather than seize it, warning that keeping the funds would destroy global confidence in the U.S. dollar.

His comments at the G7 summit touched a nerve central to crypto, where the threat of asset seizure is a core argument for holding neutral, borderless reserves like Bitcoin.

Returning the Frozen Money

Trump made the remarks at a G7 conference in France, responding to a question about whether Washington would unfreeze Iranian assets.

He drew a sharp line between paying Iran and releasing money the U.S. had frozen.

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“It is not our money. It is their money. And we froze it at a certain point in time.”

Trump said he had personally weighed keeping the funds before deciding against it. A recent report indicated that the US had reached $1 billion in cumulative seizure of Iranian crypto assets as of late May.

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A Warning About Dollar Confidence

Trump argued that holding seized money would damage the dollar’s standing and its dominance as the world’s reserve asset.

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“If we did not get back, no one would ever invest in the dollar again.”

He linked the decision to the currency’s strength under his administration.

“The dollar has become very strong under me.”

Trump also stressed the U.S. is not financing Iran directly, contrasting the deal with past cash transfers.

“We are not putting up money. Only if they are doing things right.”

Why Crypto is Watching

The seizure question sits at the center of Bitcoin’s appeal. Each time Washington weaponizes the dollar, it strengthens the case for a neutral store of value beyond any government’s reach.

That logic drives the debasement trade, where investors treat Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat risk and money printing.

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Trump himself has floated a strategic reserve to strengthen the country’s position.

The post Trump to Return Iran’s Frozen Money to Protect the Dollar appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Bitcoin (BTC) layer-2s face a bear-market reality check

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Bitcoin (BTC) layer-2s face a bear-market reality check

The distinction matters. Wrapped bitcoin products such as WBTC, Coinbase’s cbBTC and Circle’s recently announced synthetic bitcoin product already allow BTC to circulate in DeFi. But Tse said many bitcoin holders dislike giving up custody in exchange for synthetic tokens.

“Most users, many users, do not like it,” he said. “They don’t want to give up title, they don’t want to give up custody.”

Bitcoin layer-2s

Orkun Mahir Kılıç, co-founder and CEO of Chainway Labs, developer of Citrea, offered a blunter critique of the sector’s earlier ambitions.

“Trying to do the same things as Solana the day you launch doesn’t make any sense,” he said.

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Bitcoin layer-2s should stop pitching themselves as general-purpose blockchains, he added. The market already has mature ecosystems for trading, lending, consumer applications and perpetual futures.

Instead, Kılıç said, Bitcoin layer-2s should focus on products “uniquely enabled by Bitcoin security and settlement.”

There are still things that wait to be solved on the Bitcoin layer-2 markets,” he said. “But definitely general-purpose ecosystem focus, like trying to compete with Ethereum applications on your day one, is a little bit hard to achieve.”

Diego Gutierrez Zaldivar, CEO and co-founder of Rootstock Labs, said Botanix’s closure reflects another lesson: building a blockchain ecosystem is much harder than solving the technical problem.

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Here is how Coinbase plan to survive the crypto winter by ditching its reliance on trading fees

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Here is how Coinbase plan to survive the crypto winter by ditching its reliance on trading fees

Coinbase’s (COIN) latest product launch event may not have changed Wall Street’s near-term earnings forecasts, but it reinforced a growing belief among analysts that the crypto exchange is steadily transforming itself into a broader financial platform with revenue streams that extend beyond bitcoin’s price cycles.

At Tuesday’s System Update event in New York, Coinbase unveiled products spanning derivatives, tokenized stocks, stablecoin payments, lending and artificial intelligence. While the announcements covered a wide range of businesses, analysts focused less on the individual products and more on what they reveal about the company’s long-term strategy.

For years, Coinbase’s fortunes have been closely tied to crypto trading activity. When bitcoin rallies and retail investors return to the market, trading revenue tends to surge. During slower periods, that revenue can fall sharply. Analysts increasingly view Coinbase’s product expansion as an effort to reduce that dependence.

“The new features are aligned with the company’s effort to become the ‘everything’ exchange,” Barclays analyst Benjamin Budish wrote following the event, adding that the company is seeking to capture a larger share of customers’ financial activity as crypto trading volumes remain relatively subdued.

Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Ramsey El-Assal struck a similar tone. While acknowledging softer conditions across crypto markets, he said Coinbase’s “innovation engine hasn’t skipped a beat” and argued that the company is positioning itself to benefit from a future where consumers manage investing, spending and borrowing through a single app or wallet.

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‘The prize’

What stood out to analysts among Coinbase’s myriad new product launches was derivatives.

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Did Coinbase doxx its first bitcoin mortgage customer?

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Did Coinbase doxx its first bitcoin mortgage customer?

Coinbase has hit back at claims that it doxxed a customer who made use of the exchange’s first crypto-backed mortgage.

During a June 16 event, at which Coinbase unveiled 21 new products, the company shared a photo of the house apparently backed by the mortgage, describing the owner as someone who owns a lot of bitcoin (BTC).

However, a critic soon claimed to have pulled up the buyer’s Zillow listing — not ideal, given that BTC’s parabolic price increase over the past 17 years and the fact that keys instantly confer ownership make owners appealing targets for thieves.

Attempting to downplay any fears, a Coinbase spokesperson told Protos, “During the exciting process of closing on the home, Coinbase and Better worked closely with the homeowner on a mindful way to share the news while maintaining their privacy.

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“We received a picture of the house, taken by the homeowner, and took steps to anonymize the house by removing and changing key identifiers and features.

“We then received their express permission to use the altered image in both Better’s press release and Coinbase’s recent showcase.”

Despite these steps, Protos staff was able to determine the address of the house, which we will withhold out of respect for the owner’s privacy.

Read more: Coinbase changed lawsuit rules a day before disclosing data breach, report

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Clearly a customer’s house

Although it is digitally altered, the house is not a stock photo. On the original press release as well as during Coinbase’s launch event this week, the company clarified that the house is, despite modifications, a photo of the house of the customer.

A caption on the original image reads, “First home purchased with Better and Coinbase’s BTC-backed mortgage.”

The crypto-backed mortgage program is a joint effort between Coinbase and Better Home & Finance, a Nasdaq-listed lender run by Vishal Garg. The two companies announced the home purchase in March as the first bitcoin-backed, GSE-conforming mortgage.

The whole arrangement became possible after Federal Housing Finance Agency then-Director Bill Pulte ordered GSE companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to count crypto as a mortgage-qualifying asset in 2025.

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Under the program, lenders have counted pledged BTC at roughly 40% of its value, a steep 60% haircut, whereas USDC gets about 80% credit. Liquidation kicks in only after a borrower goes 60 days delinquent.

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on XBluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

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Jeffrey Gundlach says Fed’s Warsh is not going to be the ‘easy money’ chairman many hoped for

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Jeffrey Gundlach: Kevin Warsh may not be the easy money chairman people thought
Jeffrey Gundlach: Kevin Warsh may not be the easy money chairman people thought

DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh struck a more hawkish tone than many investors expected, underscoring his commitment to restoring price stability and signaling less appetite for easy monetary policy.

“He is absolutely telling you that he plans on delivering on price stability. So that means… we’re not going to have such easy money policy as everybody thought maybe Chairman Warsh would do back in the first quarter of this year, when everyone was counting on rate cuts,” Gundlach said on CNBC’s “Closing Bell.”  “He doesn’t sound like that today at all.”

The comments came after the Fed’s policy statement declared that “the Committee will deliver price stability,” language that echoed a theme Warsh repeatedly returned to during his press conference. He reiterated that the Fed is committed to bringing inflation back down to 2%, a level it hasn’t been at for a half decade, a fact he lamented.

“The commitment to deliver is strong, unanimous, and unambiguous, and that’s I think an important message we’ve missed for five years, and we’re going to fix that,” Warsh said.

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The tone was perhaps stiffer on inflation than investors and economists hoped for from President Donald Trump’s handpicked nominee for the role. The previous chair, Jerome Powell, faced a barrage of attacks from Trump for keeping rates too high.

Warsh also declined to submit an individual interest-rate projection in the central bank’s closely watched dot plot and signaled a broader review of the Fed’s communications framework.

Gundlach said Warsh’s emphasis on price stability lowers the risk that the Fed will pursue overly accommodative policies that could reignite inflation. That strengthens the case for owning long-term U.S. Treasuries, he said.

“I think there’s a greater reason to own long-term Treasuries today now that the new sheriff is in town,” Gundlach said. “If you’re going to get price stability, and if he doesn’t deliver on something that can be characterized as price stability, he’s basically announced today that he would be considered a failure.”

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The billionaire bond investor said Warsh had effectively staked his credibility on bringing inflation under control, making aggressive rate cuts less likely.

“So he’s got to get that inflation rate down,” Gundlach said. “We don’t have to worry about the over-easing or overly accommodative rates that would put further pressure on the long bond.”

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