Crypto World
Macro headwinds push Bitcoin to $82.9K despite historical 365-day breakout pattern
Bitcoin’s recent price surge has triggered a possible bullish signal for even larger gains.
That signal is the price topping its 365-day rolling simple moving average.
On Sept. 22, bitcoin rose above its 365-day average near $80,900 for the first time in 310 days, Ryan Horst and Joni Zhuleku, founders of Altcoin Pro, said in an email conversation.
Altcoin Pro found that bitcoin was higher 12 months later in each of the five previous instances in which it regained its 365-day average after spending at least 90 days below it. The gains ranged from about 59% to more than 1,400%, though the largest increase came in 2012, when bitcoin was a fringe asset.
Horst said the pattern is not fail-safe. When the firm included shorter periods below the line, it found two failed breakouts, in July 2018 and March 2022, when bitcoin fell about 27% and 59%, respectively, within 90 days.
“This September’s move is encouraging, especially after 310 days below the line, but we want to see it hold,” Horst said. “It is a signal, not a guarantee.”
Crypto World
Trump and Xi Meet Ahead of State Dinner With Top A.I. Leaders

Amid a fast-growing international debate over regulating artificial intelligence, President Trump and Chinese President Xi met at the White House for several hours on Thursday ahead of a state dinner where several of the biggest players in A.I. were set to attend.
“We had a great meeting,” Trump said later that afternoon at the Southern Portico, where he gave Xi a tour of the South Lawn Helipad.
“He’s an expert on stones, and he loves good granite,” Trump said of Xi.
The day began with remarks from both Trump and Xi at the grand foyer of the White House. Afterward, Trump and Xi participated in a military review at the Rose Garden and took part in hours of meetings before Trump led a tour of parts of the White House.
While both leaders mentioned AI in their opening remarks, Xi stressed that the development of AI always needs to be “under human control.”
Trump was set to host a state dinner for Xi Thursday evening, joined by a slate of tech leaders. Amazon Executive Chairman Jeff Bezos, Google CEO Sundar Pichai, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Tesla CEO Elon Musk were set to attend the dinner, a White House official confirmed.
According to Chinese state media, President Xi raised the issue of Iran during the bilateral meeting, saying that he hoped the US and Iran would resume negotiations and that China would support the two countries recommitting to the 14-point memorandum of understanding reached months ago.
On Taiwan, Xi said he hopes the U.S. would maintain its position of opposing Taiwan independence. The U.S. has not officially endorsed Taiwan’s independence, but has previously sold weaponry to the island and is widely viewed as a key player if China were to ever invade the self-ruling island.
Earlier on Thursday, Xi urged more cooperation between the two countries. During his remarks, he called for more direct flights between the U.S. and China and invited 100,000 American students for cultural exchange in the next five years. And continuing a longtime diplomatic tradition stretching back to the Nixon era, he announced two pandas, Ping Ping and Fu Shuang, will be delivered to Zoo Atlanta in the coming days.
“China and the United States must hold the line of no conflict and no confrontation between us, and we can certainly find the right path for two great countries to get along on this planet we both call home,” Xi said.
This is the first time a Chinese leader has made a second formal state visit to America. The last time Xi conducted a formal state visit in Washington, D.C. was at the invitation of President Obama in September 2015, three years after he succeeded as the General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party.
Trump and Xi first met in 2017, during Trump’s first term, at the President’s home base of Mar-a-Lago, Florida. The pair last met in May during a two-day state visit by Trump to Beijing, where the U.S. and China delegations discussed a range of topics including tariffs, rare mineral trade, as well as the Strait of Hormuz. The two leaders used the visit to announce the launch of a so-called Board of Trade intended to lower tariffs on products that aren’t considered a national security risk. In June, the Office of the United States Trade Representative asked the public to weigh in on which types of products would benefit from this new mechanism. The Administration has offered few updates on the board since then.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Holds Steady as ONDO Gains Amid US Treasury Yield Surge
Bitcoin’s performance during US hours was marked by sharp interest-rate-driven swings, as the yield on the US 10-year Treasury note pushed to its highest level in nearly two decades. BTC briefly slipped below $83,000 before stabilizing around the mid-$84,000s, underscoring how quickly macro headlines are feeding into crypto sentiment.
Among altcoins, Ondo’s token stood out. ONDO reclaimed the $0.50 area for the first time since December 2025, moving higher as BlackRock-backed Ondo Intelligent Portfolios launched on both Ethereum and BNB Chain.
Key takeaways
- Bitcoin dipped briefly below $83,000 before attempting to regain $84,500 as US Treasury yields rose.
- The US 10-year yield reached 5.18%—its highest since July 2007—while the 30-year yield hit 5.46%.
- ONDO returned to $0.50, supported by the launch of BlackRock-linked Ondo Intelligent Portfolios.
- The new Ondo offering supports non-US users and deploys portfolio settlement via CoW Protocol and CoW DAO.
- FX pressure in Japan, highlighted by a prominent macro voice, adds another layer of risk to Treasury-market sensitivity.
Treasury yields rise again as BTC struggles to hold key levels
Thursday’s volatility aligned closely with a renewed move higher in US bond yields. According to TradingView data cited in the report, the 10-year Treasury yield rose more than 4 basis points to 5.18%, the highest level since July 2007. The 30-year yield also climbed to 5.46%, reclaiming highs last seen in 2004.
One catalyst mentioned for the day’s bond-market dynamics was a scheduled US Treasury buyback of up to $6 billion in bonds maturing in roughly 20 to 30 years—part of a broader effort to improve liquidity in long-dated debt markets. Even with that planned operation, yields still pushed higher, reflecting persistent demand for safety assets at higher return levels rather than easing conditions for risk markets.
Higher yields tend to pressure non-yielding assets like Bitcoin by increasing the opportunity cost of holding risk. However, the report also notes that BTC has continued its August rally and has challenged earlier bearish expectations tied to Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle.
Japan’s yen weakness could feed back into US yields
Beyond the US, the article points to growing sensitivity in international bond and currency markets. It notes that global bond markets weakened while the Japanese yen faced renewed pressure.
Mohamed A. El-Erian, president of Queen’s College Cambridge, wrote on X that the yen has weakened back toward 159 per US dollar and is approaching a zone where FX intervention has historically occurred. He added that Japanese foreign exchange intervention often involves selling US securities to buy yen, which could in turn add yield pressure to a Treasury market already described as sensitive.
For crypto traders, this matters because currency-driven moves can reinforce rate volatility. If intervention risks rise, the knock-on effect can be higher US yields, tighter financial conditions, and renewed caution toward assets that compete with yields for capital.
ONDO rebounds to $0.50 as Ondo Intelligent Portfolios go live
While Bitcoin traded in a narrow but uneasy band, ONDO showed a clear bid. CoinGecko data cited in the report indicates ONDO rose back to the $0.50 level in the last 24 hours, a psychologically important break as the token hadn’t traded there since December 2025.
The rally came despite political uncertainty around the US cryptocurrency regulatory environment, with the article referencing the failure of the CLARITY Act to pass a procedural vote in the US Senate. (That development can influence broader risk appetite, even if it is not directly tied to tokenized-real-world-assets.)
More directly, ONDO’s move was tied to a product launch: the report says BlackRock-backed Ondo Intelligent Portfolios started trading on Thursday. It also highlights the positioning of the offering: while many tokenized real-world asset products focus on tokenizing individual stocks or commodities, this new structure is designed to let non-US users purchase tokenized shares in diversified portfolios.
Ethereum and BNB Chain deployment, with settlement via CoW Protocol
The article specifies that the Ondo Intelligent Portfolios tokens went live on both Ethereum and BNB Chain. Settlement is handled through CoW Protocol and CoW DAO, per a statement attributed to CoW’s X account.
Three portfolio tokens were named as tracking model strategies developed by BlackRock for Ondo: BLKHIon (High Income), BLKDIGon (Diversified Growth), and BLKGRWon (High Growth). The launch ties ONDO’s near-term narrative to demand for regulated-style portfolio access rather than single-asset tokenization alone—an important distinction for investors watching the RWA sector’s maturation.
For ONDO holders, the market impact to watch is whether this product-driven momentum can sustain beyond the initial listing effect. RWA tokens can be sensitive to onboarding and liquidity conditions, so traders often look for follow-through in volume and sustained trading activity after the first days of a launch.
Looking ahead, investors should monitor whether rising Treasury yields persist after the recent move to 5.18% on the 10-year, and whether yen weakness continues to escalate FX-intervention risk. On the RWA side, the key question is how quickly Ondo Intelligent Portfolios build traction with non-US users and whether Ethereum and BNB Chain liquidity supports durable demand for the $0.50 reclaim.
Crypto World
Hyperliquid Gets Dedicated Fiber Market Data via DoubleZero
DoubleZero has launched a dedicated market data feed for Hyperliquid, giving professional trading firms access to the decentralized exchange’s full order book over fiber rather than through its public APIs.
The feed includes Hyperliquid’s native perpetual futures and markets operated by trade[XYZ], which uses Hyperliquid’s infrastructure to offer perpetual contracts tied to assets including oil, gold and silver. The Hyperliquid feed was developed with validator operators and ecosystem partners including Hyperion DeFi, MAVAN and Kinetiq.
DoubleZero said the service delivers a continuous, ordered stream of market data for market makers, quantitative trading firms, and proprietary trading firms that need faster, more consistent order book updates.
Previously, firms seeking a complete view of Hyperliquid’s order book had to assemble the data themselves through public API responses or operate their own Hyperliquid nodes. DoubleZero said changes to Hyperliquid’s public APIs have reduced the frequency and depth of updates available through them.
DoubleZero operates a global fiber network designed to move data quickly between participants in blockchain networks and other distributed systems. Hyperliquid is the third venue available through its Edge market-data service, following Solana and prediction market Kalshi.
Related: Bitwise launches first Lighter ETP amid Hyperliquid rivalry
Onchain market infrastructure starts to resemble traditional exchanges
Hyperliquid’s market data infrastructure is beginning to resemble what traditional electronic exchanges use as professional trading moves onchain, according to Hyperion DeFi CEO Hyunsu Jung.
Jung told Cointelegraph that CME, Nasdaq and other major exchanges distribute professional market data over dedicated networks, allowing automated trading firms to receive a consistent stream of ordered data at high speeds.
“Hyperliquid data can now be consumed through the same basic model: publish once, distribute simultaneously over dedicated fiber,” he said.
However, significant differences remain. Traditional exchanges allow trading firms to place their systems close to the infrastructure that processes trades, while Hyperliquid executes trades onchain. DoubleZero’s service only delivers market data; it does not place or execute trades for firms.
“So the convergence is not Hyperliquid becoming CME,” Jung said. “It is onchain markets adopting the market-data infrastructure that professional trading firms already use.”
“It does not eliminate latency differences,” Jung said. “A firm in Tokyo will still have a physical advantage over one in New York.”
Magazine: Kyle Samani predicts SOL flippening, claims ‘no one’ uses ETH
Crypto World
Surveys Show More Americans Warming to China
“It’s easy when you’re unhappy with things at home to instead look at your peer rival,” Ho says.
Kishore Mahbubani, a Singaporean diplomat and former President of the United Nations Security Council, tells TIME that, against the backdrop of the U.S. withdrawing from the global stage, China has come across as a more dependable partner for much of the Global South.
Meanwhile, Chinese consumer brands and cultural exports have found new audiences abroad, like Pop Mart’s Labubu dolls. On TikTok, which is owned by Chinese company ByteDance outside the U.S., users have embraced Chinese customs, like drinking warm water and practicing tai chi as part of the “Chinamaxxing” trend.
Ho points to social media exposure as a significant factor in driving youth opinion. He notes that China has toned down its assertive “wolf warrior” diplomacy in favor of a more flexible approach. Many positive depictions of China online appear to be organic, although media watchdogs previously reported that Beijing has used international broadcasting and advertising campaigns to spread propaganda.
Crypto World
US Treasury Yields Hit Multi-Decade High as BTC Steadies and ONDO Rallies
Bitcoin (BTC) had a volatile Thursday during US hours as the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note climbed to its highest level in nearly two decades. After briefly falling below $83,000, BTC struggled to reclaim $84,500. Ondo Finance (ONDO), meanwhile, was among the top-performing altcoins.
Key points:
- Bitcoin briefly fell below $83,000 before stabilizing near $84,500 amid rising bond yields.
- Ondo’s token reclaims $0.50 for the first time since December 2025 as BlackRock-backed Ondo Intelligent Portfolios launch on Ethereum and BNB Chain.
- The US 10-year Treasury yield climbs to 5.18%, its highest since July 2007, while the 30-year yield reaches 5.46%.
US 10-year Treasury gains 70 basis points this month, hits 5.18%
The US 10-year Treasury yield rose more than 4 basis points to 5.18% on Thursday, its highest level since July 2007, according to TradingView data. The 30-year yield hit 5.46%, reclaiming 2004 highs.

The climb came on the day the US Treasury was scheduled to buy back up to $6 billion in bonds maturing in roughly 20 to 30 years, part of an expanded program aimed at improving liquidity in long-dated debt markets.
International bond markets also weakened, while the Japanese yen (JPY) came under renewed pressure. Mohamed A. El-Erian, president of Queen’s College Cambridge, wrote on X: “Flying under many radars for now, but probably not for long: The Japanese Yen has weakened back to 159 per U.S. dollar (CNBC chart), approaching the established FX intervention zone.”
He continued: “This matters far beyond Japan for a key reason right now: Japanese foreign exchange intervention typically involves selling US securities to buy Yen, potentially adding yield pressures to an already sensitive Treasury market.”
Higher yields make government bonds more attractive and can weigh on non-yielding assets such as Bitcoin. Even so, BTC has extended its August rally, challenging bearish predictions tied to Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle.
ONDO token among top performers, reclaims $0.50 level
The tokenized real-world asset (RWA) token ONDO was among the top gainers in the last 24 hours and rose back to the psychological $0.5 level, according to CoinGecko data.

Despite the recent failure of the CLARITY Act to pass through a procedural vote in the US Senate, the token managed to reclaim a level last traded in December 2025.
Related: CLARITY vote failure could stoke more crypto PAC spending in key races
The rally came as BlackRock-backed Ondo Intelligent Portfolios launched on Thursday. While most RWA products focus on tokenizing individual stocks and commodities, the new offering allows non-US users to buy tokenized shares in diversified portfolios.
The tokens went live on Ethereum and BNB Chain, with settlement handled through CoW Protocol, CoW DAO said on X. The first three tokens track model portfolio strategies developed by BlackRock for Ondo: BLKHIon (High Income), BLKDIGon (Diversified Growth) and BLKGRWon (High Growth).
Crypto World
AMD and Micron Get New Price Targets as Taiwan Chip Exports Hit Record $30.8B
Taiwan chip exports climbed to a record $30.8 billion in the latest monthly print, up 60% from last year. Stock prices for both Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Micron Technology (MU) broke out of long consolidations this month.
This is crucial evidence that AI demand remains underpriced, according to Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards.
Taiwan Chip Exports Set a Record on AI Demand
Taiwan’s Ministry of Finance reported $30.797 billion in integrated circuit exports for August. This is the fastest year-over-year growth since 2020.
Chips accounted for 37.4% of Taiwan’s total exports during the month. That share stood at 34.9% in July, so concentration is still climbing.
Regional data corroborates the trend. South Korean chip exports rose 259% during the first 20 days of September. TSMC reported August revenue growth of 53.3%, while Taiwanese export orders climbed 71.4%.
Skeptics argue that prices already reflect much of this demand. Similar bubble warnings have followed the memory rally throughout the year.
AMD Price Prediction: Can It Reach $691?
- AMD has broken above a key resistance level and recently hit a record high of $624.84. If the rally continues, the next major target is around $691, roughly 13% above the current price.
- A stronger rally could push AMD toward $827. However, the stock already looks relatively overbought, with its RSI above 70. That means a short-term pullback is possible even if the broader trend stays positive.
- The main support to watch is around $585. If AMD falls below that level, the breakout would look weaker. The next major support areas sit near $550 and $435.
Micron Price Prediction: $1,032 Is the Key Level
- Micron is holding above an important support level at $1,032. Buyers have already defended this area twice this week. Staying above it would keep the recent breakout intact.
- The next major upside target is Micron’s record high of $1,255. The stock is still about 16% below that level, while its RSI near 60 suggests it has more room to rise than AMD before looking overheated.
- A drop below $1,032 would weaken the outlook. The next support levels would be around $895 and $783. Micron’s September 30 earnings could be the next major trigger, with options markets expecting a move of roughly 10%.
The post AMD and Micron Get New Price Targets as Taiwan Chip Exports Hit Record $30.8B appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Strive Outpaces Saylor’s Strategy With $86 Million Bitcoin Treasury Push
Strive built its Bitcoin treasury by raising $85.88 million in three trading days. The firm completed three SATA sessions between September 21 and September 23. Analysts estimate the raise funded roughly 1,001 additional coins for its Bitcoin treasury.
Strive’s Bitcoin Treasury Grows Session By Session
Strive opened the week with $27.69 million in net proceeds on September 21. The company sold about 284,000 shares to fund its Bitcoin treasury that day. Trackers estimate the session added 321.97 coins at an average price of $86,001.
The pace accelerated on September 22, and the Bitcoin treasury expanded further. Strive raised $36.08 million and sold roughly 370,000 shares. The session added an estimated 418.27 coins at an average price of $86,266.
September 23 brought a smaller but steady gain for the Bitcoin treasury. Strive raised $22.11 million and sold about 226,700 shares. The tracker values that day’s addition at 261.43 coins, priced near $84,556.
Strategy’s Bitcoin Treasury Faces A Funding Gap
Michael Saylor’s Strategy runs a larger Bitcoin treasury but has hit a financing wall. Its preferred stock, STRC, has traded below the $100 par value since June. The shares fell as low as $73.62 during that stretch.
Because STRC has failed to raise new capital since June, Strategy shifted tactics. The company turned to STRC buybacks instead of fresh share sales. Even so, Strategy still expanded its Bitcoin treasury during the September 14-20 week.
Strategy added 950 coins that week for $75.7 million. The average purchase price came to $79,670 per coin. Its total Bitcoin treasury now holds 846,000 coins, bought for about $63.8 billion at an average cost of $75,416 each.
A Widening Gap Between The Two Companies
Strive’s Bitcoin treasury has outpaced Strategy’s buying rate in recent weeks. Between September 14 and 18, Strive purchased 1,355 coins for $107.7 million. Its total holdings reached 26,355 coins at that point.
Warrant exercises added extra fuel to Strive’s fundraising engine. Those exercises generated $21.2 million in gross proceeds last week. More than half of Strive’s total capital raised has come through SATA proceeds since the program began.
The contrast highlights two different paths for building a Bitcoin treasury. Strive leans on ATM share sales and warrant activity to keep buying. Strategy, meanwhile, now depends on buybacks and other funding sources while STRC remains under par.
Crypto World
Mighty Mike and the scam-coded future
A bizarre drama played out on YouTube this past week, when a channel called Mighty Mike Plays posted a video explaining how nine-year-old “Mighty Mike” apparently got a hold of his father Dave’s company card and spent $118,000 on a YouTube ad campaign.
However, the story immediately appeared to have a number of holes, and within a few days there were too many red flags for influencers, who had initially boosted the story’s reach, to ignore.
Just a kid and his dad
Mighty Mike Plays, which features Roblox and Minecraft videos, was created in June of 2024 but only started posting videos in August of this year.
Over the past month, the channel has uploaded 175 long and short form videos — a considerable number for a child of nine.
When it suddenly started reaching the front page of YouTube ads, people began to comment that Mike was going to get in trouble with his father. They were, in fact, being played by the marketing.
On September 14, the channel released a video titled “Message from Dad… Mighty Mike Plays is Over.”
In the video, Dave speaks while Mike plays Minecraft. He states that Mike had spent $118,000 on the YouTube ad campaign and worst of all that the charges were on his company card and now he might get fired.
Dave didn’t explain why he would ever use a company card for anything but company purchases or how using the card even for a $20 ad campaign — as he stated was his intention — wasn’t illegal, but no red flags outside of this were obvious yet.
Read more: Kalshi’s AI ad turned an Asian YouTuber into ‘a white dude’
99 problems and the vid is one
On September 18, a new video was released, once again with Mike playing Minecraft and Dave speaking. Unfortunately, this time the video was nothing but red flags. Dave states that he’s been fired from his job and that the company has demanded that he pay back all $118,000 within 30 days.
He doesn’t clarify what will happen in 30 days if the company isn’t paid back.
Dave doesn’t show any proof of ad spend or any emails with his colleagues where they discuss the circumstances. Instead he suggests that the family will soon lose their home because he’ll have to sell it within the 30-day period.
All of this sounds like fiction, but it only gets more absurd.
Dave states that he doesn’t want to start a GoFundMe or Kickstarter to support his family and doesn’t specify a reason, though it’s thought that if you lie about the reason you need funds on these websites you can get sued and the money can get clawed back.
Instead, he says, he wants to sell merchandise online to try to raise the funds himself — a bizarre decision.
Slop merch, slop campaign
Dave’s website is filled with AI-created merchandise, all selling for immense prices (nearly $100 for t-shirts that say “118k” and “67 wassup chat”), some supposedly already sold out.
And, as eagle-eyed YouTubers quickly pointed out, the terms of service, which previously promised that returns would be allowed within 30 days, now state that ALL SALES ARE FINAL.
It’s unclear if this is legal or binding to anyone who bought the merchandise before the change.

Needless to say, it’s now Dave who’s claiming that he’s going to be suing numerous influencers and YouTubers for suggesting that he’s a scammer, emailing them to say he’s hired a lawyer and will be taking them to court for libel — an expensive move for a man who supposedly just lost his job and owes $118,000.
Regardless, Mike and Dave are posting videos again but have yet to address any of the previous red flags littering their videos.
Protos will follow the story for more information if anything changes.
Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on X, Bluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.
Crypto World
Bullish, Alpaca and Apex Fintech form coalition to push issuer-backed tokenized stocks
A recent dispute between AMC Entertainment CEO Adam Aron and Robinhood highlighted that issue, centering on whether synthetic or tokenized products may leave investors with economic exposure to a stock but without the same legal rights as registered shareholders. Issuer-sponsored models aim to narrow that gap by tying the token directly to the issuer’s records.
“The architecture we establish now matters and that is why we are bringing together this group of leading firms to chart the course,” said Tom Farley, CEO of Bullish.
Alpaca said it plans to contribute to interoperability between traditional securities and onchain markets through its Instant Tokenization Network.
“Tokenization creates an opportunity to connect issuers and investors in ways that weren’t possible with traditional market infrastructure,” said Arush Sehgal, head of digital assets at Alpaca. “Getting it right means preserving shareholder rights and ensuring onchain markets remain connected to the markets they’re built on.
Apex Fintech Solutions, which provides infrastructure for broker-dealers and other financial firms, said the group could help establish standards that enable tokenized markets to connect with existing systems.
The coalition said its work follows last week’s U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission exemption allowing limited onchain trading of U.S.-listed equities under certain conditions.
Crypto World
AI Arrived at the Worst Possible Moment

AI is not arriving in a world capable of receiving it. Instead, it is coming into a world that has spent the last two decades systematically dismantling the very foundations that would allow us to deploy such a powerful technology responsibly. Institutional authority, shared truth, and information integrity have been battered. We are building the most sophisticated cognitive technology in human history atop the most fractured trust landscape in modern memory.
If you wanted to design the worst possible moment for AI to emerge, you might create a moment like this one.
From post-truth to post-trust
A decade ago, we worried about living in a “post-truth” world. Oxford Dictionaries selected “post-truth” as its Word of the Year in 2016, defining it as circumstances in which objective facts are less influential in shaping public opinion than appeals to emotion and personal belief. Post-truth describes a world where facts still exist but are often overshadowed by emotional narratives.
What we are experiencing now goes deeper. I call this the “post-trust era:” a world where the very mechanisms that allow us to establish trust have broken down. It is not just that emotions sometimes trump facts. It is that we have lost shared foundations for deciding what counts as a fact in the first place.
Look at what has happened to our information ecosystem over the past two decades. We moved from a world in which truth was curated by editors, printed by presses, and distributed by a small number of recognizable intermediaries, to a world in which anyone can publish, amplify, distort, or fabricate. Data exploded, and social media fragmented audiences. Algorithms began optimizing for clicks, engagement, and sensationalism. The incentives shifted from accuracy to attention: virality over veracity, outrage over nuance, speed over scrutiny.
The numbers tell their own story. Nearly 8 in 10 people get directed to their news primarily through algorithmic systems such as social feeds, search engines, and aggregators, effectively outsourcing their information diet to systems they neither understand nor fully trust. In the United States, trust in the federal government has fallen from over 70% in the late 1950s to under 20% today. Confidence in mass media has dropped: fewer than one-third of Americans express even a “fair amount” of trust. Religious institutions, financial systems, healthcare organizations, and even science itself have seen trust erode.
Post-truth describes a distortion in how people weigh facts and feelings. Post-trust describes a deeper fracture: the loss of shared procedures for determining what is real.
When the first photographs appeared in the 1830s, people marveled at their fidelity. For nearly two centuries, seeing was believing. A picture was not perfect, but it was evidence.
In early 2023, an AI-generated image of Pope Francis wearing a stylish white puffer jacket spread across social media platforms. It was compelling because it sat in a narrow band between familiar and unexpected. The photo’s style, posture, and lighting borrowed credibility from decades of real photography. Many accepted it as real before they had time to question it.
Within two years, AI-generated images, voices, and video had become so pervasive and so convincing that the question was no longer “can you spot the fake?” but “can you trust anything you see?”
The ability to fabricate convincing “evidence” at scale has arrived just as our information ecosystem is most fragmented. Research from Duke and NYU shows that exposing people to opposing political views on social media can increase polarization rather than reduce it. A landmark study in Science found that false news spreads significantly faster and more widely than trustworthy news online. Neuroimaging research suggests that when people encounter information challenging their political beliefs, brain regions associated with negative emotion light up, while confirmatory information activates reward pathways. We are not only divided about facts. We are wired to process confirming and disconfirming information through different cognitive channels altogether.
That is the substrate into which AI arrives: a world where information is abundant, but trust is scarce, where consensus reality has splintered, and where the mechanisms for establishing shared truth have broken down.
A different kind of intelligence
Into this fractured substrate arrives something genuinely new. Not just another tool, but the first technology in history whose core competence is cognition.
Past technologies extended our capabilities while remaining subordinate to human thought. The printing press amplified the words we chose to print. Electricity transformed the energy we decided to harness. Combustion engines replaced the muscle power we used, and computers executed calculations we programmed. The internet distributed the messages we wrote.
AI breaks that pattern. It no longer merely executes tasks. It generates arguments, synthesizes information, makes recommendations, and produces creative work that feels, at a human level, like someone else’s thoughts. A single model can write an essay, summarize a legal transcript, translate a medical note, draft code, plan a marketing campaign, and compose music.
At the heart of most of these systems is an architecture that learns by predicting what comes next, a word, pixel, or token, in a sequence. These models do not know “truth” in the way humans understand it. They discover patterns, frequencies, and correlations in whatever data they are given.
And here is where the timing becomes critical: the data they are given is generated in a post-trust world.
AI is trained on our news stories, our social media feeds, our digitized books, our biased archives, our polarized debates, our conspiracy theories, our scientific breakthroughs, and our misinformation. It absorbs not only our knowledge but our distortions. It learns not only our facts but also our conflicts about those facts.
The result is a strange mirror. AI reflects us to ourselves, refracted through statistical patterns and scaled by computation. It gives us answers we cannot easily audit, based on training data we cannot thoroughly inspect, optimized for objectives we do not always control.
A new kind of cognitive infrastructure is emerging at the precise moment our social infrastructure for trust is under strain.
Excerpted from The Trust Code with permission from Tiffany Xingyu Wang.
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