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Market Analysis: EUR/USD Breakout Builds, USD/CHF Slides Lower Again

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Market Analysis: EUR/USD Breakout Builds, USD/CHF Slides Lower Again

EUR/USD started a fresh surge above 1.1740 and 1.1780. USD/CHF declined further and is now struggling below 0.7850.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/CHF Analysis Today

· The Euro started a major increase from 1.1665 against the US Dollar.

· There is a contracting triangle forming with support near 1.1775 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.

· USD/CHF declined below the 0.7840 and 0.7825 support levels.

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· There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7840 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.1665 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.1700 barrier to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar.

The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1750. Finally, the pair cleared 1.1765 and 1.1780. A high was formed near 1.1811 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a minor pullback toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1664 swing low to the 1.1811 high.

An Immediate bid zone on the downside is near a contracting triangle at 1.1775. The next area of interest could be near 1.1755 and the 50-hour simple moving average.

A downside break below 1.1755 might send the pair toward 1.1740. Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.1700.

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If there is a fresh increase, an immediate hurdle on the EUR/USD chart is 1.1800. The first major pivot level for the bulls could be 1.1810. An upside break above 1.1810 might send the pair to 1.1850. The next selling zone could be 1.1880. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward 1.2000.

USD/CHF Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from well above 0.7880. The US Dollar dropped below 0.7850 to move into a negative zone against the Swiss Franc.

The bears pushed the pair below the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.7825. Finally, the bulls appeared near 0.7790. A low was formed near 0.7789, and the pair is now consolidating losses. There was a minor recovery toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.7934 swing high to the 0.7789 low.

On the upside, the pair could face bears near 0.7825. The first major resistance sits near the 50-hour simple moving average at 0.7840 and a key bearish trend line.

The main barrier for an upside break could be near the 50% Fib retracement at 0.7860. A daily close above 0.7860 could start a fresh increase. In the stated case, the pair could rise toward 0.7880. The next stop for the bulls might be 0.7935.

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On the downside, immediate support on the USD/CHF chart is 0.7800. The first major breakdown zone could be 0.7790. A close below 0.7790 might send the pair to 0.7740. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move toward 0.7700 in the coming days.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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MSTR treasury companies emerge on STRC success

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MSTR may have paused it's BTC accumulation last week

A new class of crypto treasury companies is emerging around Strategy’s high-yield stock, STRC, drawing in firms looking to capture both exposure to bitcoin and additional income.

STRC is a security issued by Strategy, the largest publicly traded holder of bitcoin, as a funding vehicle to support its ongoing bitcoin accumulation strategy. The company raises capital by offering investors an annualized dividend of 11.5%, paid monthly in cash, with proceeds primarily used to purchase BTC.

Such is the stock’s popularity that it registered a record-breaking trading volume on Tuesday, with more than $1.6 billion in shares changing hands.

STRC, the new base layer

As trading volumes surge, a growing number of companies and decentralized finance protocols are accumulating STRC to capture its yield while gaining indirect exposure to bitcoin.

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STRC is now being used as a base layer for new financial products that add leverage, tokenization and structured yield.

Saturn Credit, a bitcoin-backed yield platform, accumulated $15 million in STRC within six days of launch. Apyx, an onchain credit protocol, has built a position of 800,000 shares after purchasing an additional 200,000 STRC, with plans to become one of the largest holders.

BitStrategy is taking a similar approach. Co-founder and Head of US Ryan McGinnis said the firm aims to accumulate Strategy securities, with the long-term goal of becoming the world’s largest Strategy shareholder.

On-chain, nearly $200 million in tokenized STRC now exists on Ethereum, with close to $100 million trading on Pendle. Pendle is a decentralized finance platform that allows users to trade and separate yield from underlying assets, creating markets for future income streams.

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Ex-dividend date pushes STRC below par value

During Wednesday’s pre-market trading, STRC dropped to $99.39, falling below its $100 par value, a reference price set by the company, often tied to how it issues new shares. This happened after the stock went “ex-dividend,” which means new buyers are no longer eligible to receive the upcoming dividend payment.

Because the price is now below $100, the company will temporarily stop selling new shares through its at-the-market (ATM) program.

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Why is Bitcoin price falling today? (April 15)

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Bitcoin price has formed a descending triangle pattern on the daily chart.

Bitcoin price fell nearly 3% on Wednesday as investors booked profits following its sharp rally above $75,000 the previous day amid renewed hopes of U.S.-Iran peace talks. 

Summary

  • Bitcoin fell about 3% to an intraday low of $73,617 after a 7% rally the previous day, as traders took profits following the surge above $75,000.
  • Market sentiment was influenced by renewed hopes of U.S.-Iran peace talks, though geopolitical uncertainty and delays in negotiations kept volatility elevated.
  • Technical indicators remain bullish, with an ascending triangle pattern in play and key resistance near $76,000, while downside risk emerges below $72,000.

Bitcoin’s price fell today as investors booked profits following the sharp rebound yesterday. It is quite common for investors to take some profits, especially when such a sharp upside occurs after days of intense volatility amid geopolitical conflict situations.

The risk-off sentiment is not confined to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies alone, as traditional safe-haven assets such as gold and silver have also fallen a bit today after crude oil prices moved up again following the sharp drop under $100 yesterday. 

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According to data from crypto.news, Bitcoin (BTC) price fell 3% to an intraday low of $73,617 on Wednesday after paring off some of its gains from the previous day when the bellwether rose 7% to nearly $76,000.

The rebound occurred amid renewed hopes of a more concrete ceasefire in place between the U.S. and Iran after reports emerged that Iran was ready to negotiate new terms regarding its nuclear program and maritime conduct.

Most recently, U.S. President Donald Trump told Fox News that the war is “close to over” after he hinted at a second round of face-to-face talks with Iran in Islamabad in the next two days. However, with Pakistan’s prime minister out of the nation till April 18, the talks could face some delays. 

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The diplomatic push follows after the U.S. initiated a naval blockade at the Strait of Hormuz to halt economic trade on all seaborne cargo going into and out of Iran.

The Iranian government had previously called the move state-sanctioned piracy, while they themselves implemented a controversial toll system in the area, reportedly to recoup losses for nearly $270 billion in direct and indirect damages on the nation since the start of the US-Israel war on Feb. 28.

Despite Bitcoin’s slight pullback today, its market structure continues to present a bullish bias for the coming sessions. 

On the daily chart, Bitcoin’s price action has been forming an ascending triangle which is a bullish continuation pattern if the price breaks out above the resistance level. At press time, Bitcoin’s price action was hovering closer to the upper horizontal trendline of the pattern, which suggests that a decisive move by bulls could confirm the pattern.

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Bitcoin price has formed a descending triangle pattern on the daily chart.
Bitcoin price has formed a descending triangle pattern on the daily chart — April 15 | Source: crypto.news

Technical indicators further support this bullish outlook. Notably, the MACD lines have pointed upwards while the RSI bounced back from neutral threshold to 60, showing there is still room for further appreciation before hitting overbought territory.

Hence, the next key resistance for Bitcoin lies at $76,000. A break above the trendline could trigger a rally toward the $80,000 mark.

On the contrary, if Bitcoin price were to fall below $72,000, it could invalidate the current bullish setup and lead to a retest of support near $70,000.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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SocGen-FORGE Brings MiCA-compliant USD Stablecoin to MetaMask

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Cryptocurrencies, France, Europe, Adoption, Stablecoin, MiCA, MetaMask

Societe Generale-FORGE, the digital asset arm of French banking giant Societe Generale, has integrated its Markets in Crypto Assets Regulation (MiCA)-compliant USD CoinVertible (USDCV) stablecoin into MetaMask, giving the wallet’s millions of users access to a regulated dollar token issued by a major European bank.

The company said in a release on Wednesday that under the partnership with Consensys, USDCV, which is backed by cash and cash-equivalent reserves and issued under French electronic money regulations, will be surfaced in MetaMask on mobile and web. The token is redeemable 1:1 in dollars and will be made available for functions including trading, decentralized finance interaction and fiat on-ramping, with Transak serving as the on-ramp provider.

The move expands access to one of the few dollar stablecoins issued by a major European bank. It also comes as regulated issuers seek to turn MiCA compliance into a commercial advantage by distributing tokens across widely used crypto platforms. SG-FORGE CEO Jean-Marc Stenger said the MetaMask rollout is intended to broaden access to compliant digital assets.

Under the European Union’s new framework, a growing but still relatively small pool of approved stablecoin issuers, with around 10 entities authorized so far, is competing for market share, making integrations with wallets like MetaMask increasingly important.

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Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin said in the release that stablecoins are becoming a more important part of digital financial infrastructure.

Cryptocurrencies, France, Europe, Adoption, Stablecoin, MiCA, MetaMask
Societe Generale -FORGE partners with Consensys for MetaMask integration. Source: Societe Generale-FORGE

Cointelegraph reached out to Societe Generale-FORGE and Consensys for comment but had not received a response by publication.

Related: ECB backs tokenized EU capital markets with strict guardrails

SG-FORGE expands multichain stablecoin strategy

SG-FORGE also issues EUR CoinVertible, a MiCA-compliant euro stablecoin first launched on Ethereum (ETH) in 2023. The token has since expanded as part of a multichain strategy to Solana, the XRP Ledger and Stellar, while USDCV is available on Ethereum and Solana and listed through several exchanges and partners, according to SG-FORGE.

The euro-denominated token has been part of broader efforts by Societe Generale-FORGE to test tokenized financial infrastructure, including participation in experiments involving tokenized bonds and settlement through blockchain networks.

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Magazine: Singapore isn’t a ‘crypto hub’ — it’s something better: StraitsX CEO