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Master These Core Principles to Elevate Your Investment Game

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Takeaways

  • Successful investing relies on consistent discipline rather than market forecasting.
  • Strategic diversification minimizes losses from incorrect investment decisions.
  • Growing economic downturn worries underscore the need for stronger risk management.
  • Market analysts increasingly emphasize defensive positioning, quality assets, and liquidity.
  • Successful investors stick to systematic approaches and resist emotion-driven choices.

Superior investment performance doesn’t come from accurately predicting market movements. Instead, it emerges from cultivating consistent practices that enhance decision-making quality, particularly during periods of heightened uncertainty and negative sentiment.

This approach proves especially relevant today. Economic downturn anxieties have intensified amid inflationary pressures, elevated oil prices, and international conflicts affecting economic projections. Recent Reuters coverage highlighted Goldman Sachs increasing its U.S. recession probability forecast to 30%, while Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson acknowledged dual risks facing employment stability and price levels.

Prioritize methodology over speculation

Many market participants assume winning strategies depend on identifying ideal securities at opportune moments. However, accomplished investors typically achieve results through consistent, systematic frameworks that eliminate common pitfalls undermining portfolio performance.

This requires understanding your rationale for each holding, recognizing its function within your overall allocation, and identifying potential failure scenarios. It demands acknowledging that perfect accuracy remains impossible.

Warren Buffett emphasized this principle when noting that “temperament is also important,” highlighting how emotional discipline significantly influences investment outcomes. This wisdom endures because many devastating portfolio errors occur when panic or euphoria drives decision-making.

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Among the most valuable practices investors can develop is documenting the thesis behind each acquisition. When you cannot articulate your investment case concisely, you likely haven’t achieved sufficient comprehension.

Acknowledge downside scenarios and diversify strategically

Sophisticated investors don’t fixate exclusively on potential gains. They seriously consider outcomes when their assumptions prove incorrect.

This consideration becomes critical amid heightened recession concerns. Late March Reuters reporting indicated Morgan Stanley reduced global equity exposure while increasing allocations to cash and U.S. Treasuries as market participants adopted more protective stances. Reuters additionally noted American financial advisors expressing elevated concern regarding volatility, inflation, and geopolitical uncertainty entering the second quarter.

Diversification stands among the most accessible yet powerful mechanisms available to investors. While it won’t eliminate losses entirely, it prevents isolated errors, sector-specific troubles, or single macroeconomic themes from inflicting excessive harm.

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This entails distributing capital across varied asset categories, sectors, and geographic markets. Resilient portfolios typically blend growth-oriented positions with stability-focused holdings rather than concentrating everything in fashionable themes.

Gold may serve a function within this framework. Reuters recently cited UBS Global Wealth Management’s Solita Marcelli stating, “Gold continues to play its historical role as a haven during periods of currency debasement and inflation.” While gold shouldn’t constitute an entire strategy, modest protective positions offer value when risk factors intensify.

Maintain consistency during market turbulence

Investment’s greatest challenge frequently isn’t security selection. Rather, it’s maintaining rational strategies when markets gyrate wildly and emotions intensify.

This difficulty appears to be escalating. April 8 Reuters coverage reported volatility-focused funds liquidated approximately $108 billion in equities since early March, amplifying market fluctuations during an anxious period. Such selling creates pressure for investors to respond quickly, even when immediate action proves counterproductive.

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This explains why systematic discipline proves essential. March Reuters reporting highlighted BlackRock CEO Larry Fink encouraging clients to maintain market exposure despite volatility, while recognizing that artificial intelligence gains and broader market advances may distribute unevenly. This guidance provides value by combining prudence with persistence.

Several straightforward practices generate meaningful improvements. Contribute according to predetermined schedules rather than attempting to time entries perfectly. Rebalance at established intervals instead of responding to every news cycle. Maintain adequate cash reserves so downturns present opportunities rather than crises. Reduce portfolio review frequency if constant monitoring triggers poor choices.

Concluding Perspective

Top-performing investors rarely exhibit the most aggressive behavior or loudest predictions. Instead, they demonstrate composure, acknowledge risk parameters, implement thoughtful diversification, and adhere to systematic processes during uncertain conditions. With recession probabilities rising yet forecasts remaining ambiguous, this moment favors prioritizing disciplined execution over prediction attempts. This fundamental reorientation can substantially enhance long-term investment performance.

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Tether Prints $1 Billion Q1 Profit, But Its $8.23 Billion War Chest Remains Contested

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Tether Prints $1 Billion Q1 Profit, But Its $8.23 Billion War Chest Remains Contested

Tether reported $1.04 billion in net profit for the first quarter of 2026 and lifted its reserve buffer to a record $8.23 billion, even as global markets churned through fresh volatility.

The figures come from a quarterly attestation by accounting firm BDO. They confirm USD₮ liabilities sit near $183 billion against $191.77 billion in assets, leaving over $8.2 billion in surplus capital.

Treasury yields drove the Q1 profit

The reserves are concentrated in short-duration government paper. Direct and indirect exposure to U.S. Treasury bills reached approximately $141 billion as of March 31.

This ranked Tether the 17th-largest holder of U.S. government debt globally, according to the company.

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That position is also the engine. With Treasury bills yielding above 4%, $141 billion in exposure throws off multi-billion-dollar annual interest income, the same dynamic that drove first-quarter profitability.

The $8.23 billion buffer is, in practical terms, accumulated yield rather than externally injected capital.

A sustained drop in short-term rates would compress the model directly.

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Gold and Bitcoin Sit Outside the Safety Net

Beyond Treasuries, Tether holds roughly $20 billion in physical gold and $7 billion in Bitcoin (BTC). Together they account for around 14% of the reserve base.

The company frames the mix as a deliberate hedge against macroeconomic stress, but unlike Treasuries, both assets trade daily and can swing the surplus figure either way.

Bitcoin alone has experienced quarterly drawdowns above 30% in past cycles.

Token supply held near $183 billion through the quarter, with USD₮ in circulation up more than 5 billion units into early Q2 alongside the launch of the Tether Wallet self-custody product.

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The unresolved question sits at the bottom of the press release. Tether says its long-pending full audit has “formally commenced” this quarter, the first time the company has placed that process inside an attestation.

Until the work concludes, the $8.23 billion buffer remains an attested figure, not an audited one.

The post Tether Prints $1 Billion Q1 Profit, But Its $8.23 Billion War Chest Remains Contested appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Bitcoin (BTC) market cap to hit $16 trillion by 2030, driven by institutional demand: Ark Invest

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Bitcoin (BTC) market cap to hit $16 trillion by 2030, driven by institutional demand: Ark Invest

Bitcoin , the largest cryptocurrency, is set to surge in the next four years, propelling its market capitalization to $16 trillion by 2030, Ark Invest said in its annual research report, Big Ideas.

The more than 10-fold growth — market cap is currently about $1.5 trillion — will be driven by accelerated institutional adoption and crypto’s evolution into an asset class that features in investment portfolios worldwide, the Cathie Wood-led investment company said. That’s a compound annual rate of roughly 63%.

Bitcoin’s increased popularity will help drive the broader digital asset market to around $28 trillion by the end of the decade, according to the report. It’s currently about $2.7 trillion, according to CoinDesk data. It also means the price could surge: Even if all 21 million BTC were in circulation by then, which they wouldn’t be, one bitcoin would be valued at more than $730,000.

Wood has long been bullish on bitcoin. In January, Ark Invest forecast a price range of $300,000-$1.5 million by 2030. In February, Wood reiterated its appeal as a hedge against inflation and deflation, driven by technological acceleration.

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“Bitcoin is maturing as the leader of a new institutional asset class,” the report said, buoyed by adoption across exchange-traded funds (EFTs), corporate treasuries and sovereign entities.

Institutional ownership of, primarily, bitcoin is already rising quickly. U.S. ETFs and public companies held about 12% of the total bitcoin supply at the end of last year, an increase from about 9% a year earlier, the report said.

The move reflects a shift in how bitcoin is perceived. Once seen primarily as a speculative asset, it is increasingly being considered “digital gold,” a macro hedge and a reserve asset alongside traditional stores of value.

It adds that even a modest penetration into institutional holdings, as low as 2.5% of an estimated $200 trillion global portfolio excluding gold, could contribute about $5 trillion to bitcoin’s total valuation.

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The report also predicts that bitcoin will capture an estimated 40% of gold’s total market value, which it estimated at just over $24 trillion currently, implying nearly $10 trillion in additional upside from the “digital gold” narrative alone.

Other contributions to bitcoin’s growth would come from emerging demand for a neutral reserve asset, where even just a 0.5% penetration of a lower $68 trillion monetary base could add about $339 billion in value, along with allocations from nation-states and corporate treasuries that could each contribute hundred of billions of dollars more.

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Carrot’s TVL Collapses 93% in a Month Following Drift Hack

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Carrot's TVL Collapses 93% in a Month Following Drift Hack

Solana-based decentralized finance yield protocol Carrot said Thursday that it is shutting down permanently, becoming one of the first DeFi protocols to fall due to contagion from the Drift Protocol exploit in early April. 

In an X post on Thursday, Carrot said the Drift exploit was “catastrophic” for the protocol and had left it financially unable to continue operating. The platform set a May 14 deadline for users to withdraw remaining funds. It said it will continue to help recovery efforts related to Drift and distribute assets once they become available.

“We are setting May 14th as the deadline to withdraw any remaining funds from Boost, Turbo, and CRT before we will then begin to deleverage the system. Your deposited funds are still yours, but all leverage will be reduced to zero, freeing up all liquidity for CRT redemption,” the protocol’s team said.

The Drift protocol exploit on April 1 was the second-largest in 2026. It was a highly coordinated attack that involved months of social engineering by a group of hackers who gained admin control and drained more than half the protocol’s total value locked. 

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The contagion spread to several affiliated projects such as the yield protocol Gauntlet, the lending and borrowing platform PrimeFi and the crypto fund Elemental DeFi. 

Related: Insider trading backlash forces Polymarket to step up surveillance

Carrot was integrated with Drift’s infrastructure and used its pools to generate yield for its users. Its TVL collapsed after the Drift Protocol hack. 

According to data from DefiLlama, Carrot’s total value locked was around $28 million before the Drift hack, and is currently $1.99 million, marking a decrease of roughly 93%.

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Carrot’s sharp TVL drop after the Drift hack. Source: DefiLlama

DefiLlama data also shows nearly $630 million worth of digital assets were stolen in April across 25 incidents, making it the month with the largest losses since February 2025, when $1.47 billion was stolen.

The $293 million hack on liquid staking protocol Kelp is the largest exploit of 2026 so far. The Drift hack is close behind at $285 million. Together, these two attacks account for more than 90% of all crypto stolen in April.

Magazine: AI-driven hacks could kill DeFi — unless projects act now

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Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.

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MoonPay targets AI payments with Mastercard stablecoin card

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MoonPay targets AI payments with Mastercard stablecoin card

MoonPay has introduced the MoonAgents Card, a virtual Mastercard product that allows AI agents and users to spend stablecoins directly from onchain wallets. 

Summary

  • MoonAgents Card lets AI agents spend stablecoins at merchants that accept Mastercard.
  • The card connects onchain wallets with real-time crypto-to-fiat payment conversion.
  • MoonPay’s Sodot acquisition supports its wider institutional crypto services expansion.

The card enables real-time crypto-to-fiat conversion at checkout and works with merchants that accept Mastercard.

The product is built for programmatic use through MoonPay’s agent infrastructure. It allows users to authorize AI agents to initiate payments without moving funds off-chain or preloading balances.

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MoonPay CEO Ivan Soto-Wright said, “Agents are already managing wallets… now they can spend.”

AI agents gain non-custodial spending tools

The MoonAgents Card connects with MoonPay’s broader AI framework. The company earlier launched a non-custodial system that allows AI agents to manage wallets, execute trades, and move assets autonomously.

The card extends that system by adding merchant payments. AI agents can now operate across trading, transfers, and real-world spending within one workflow.

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MoonPay said its developer tools have processed millions of commands, showing growing usage of AI-driven crypto transactions.

Additionally, MoonPay’s AI and payments rollout comes alongside a broader institutional expansion. The company recently acquired Sodot, a digital asset security firm, to launch a new business unit focused on institutional clients.

The new division, MoonPay Institutional, is designed to support banks, asset managers, and trading firms. It offers infrastructure for payments, custody, trading, and tokenized assets.

Sodot’s technology handles key management and has supported billions in transactions across major platforms.

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Stablecoin services and partnerships grow

MoonPay has also been expanding stablecoin services with enterprise partners. Its infrastructure supports stablecoin issuance, cross-border payments, and integrations with major financial platforms.

The company has worked with payment providers and fintech firms to connect stablecoins with global payment systems. This includes enabling businesses to launch custom stablecoins and use them in payments and treasury operations.

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Pentagon signs Nvidia, Microsoft, AWS for classified AI programs

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The U.S. Department of Defense has expanded its push into artificial intelligence, securing fresh agreements with several major technology firms to deploy advanced AI systems across classified military networks.

Summary

  • Pentagon signs Nvidia, Microsoft, Reflection AI, and AWS to deploy AI tools on classified military networks, expanding its roster of tech partners.
  • New agreements add to existing deals with SpaceX, OpenAI, and Google, with the Pentagon confirming its Google partnership for the first time.
  • Push comes amid a dispute with Anthropic over safeguards on its Claude models, as the Defense Department seeks alternative AI systems for military use.

According to a report released Friday, Nvidia, Microsoft, Reflection AI, and Amazon Web Services have all signed agreements to provide operational capabilities, the Pentagon said in a statement. Two defense officials familiar with the matter also confirmed the agreements.

The latest additions place them alongside SpaceX, OpenAI, and Google, which had already committed to supplying AI tools for classified use. The announcement also serves as the first formal confirmation from the Pentagon of its agreement with Google, which had surfaced in earlier reports this week.

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“These agreements accelerate the transformation toward establishing the United States military as an AI-first fighting force,” the department said.

Officials said the agreement with Amazon Web Services was finalized late Thursday, indicating that negotiations had continued up to the final stages before the announcement.

Efforts to build a network of private-sector partners come as the Pentagon looks for alternatives to systems developed by Anthropic, particularly its Claude models. That search follows a dispute between the company and defense officials over how its technology could be used in military settings.

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Anthropic had pushed back against requests to relax safeguards that limit the use of its models in areas such as autonomous weapons and domestic surveillance.

The disagreement deepened over time, with the Defense Department at one point classifying the company as a “supply chain risk,” despite continued internal interest in its systems.

Pentagon officials have maintained that there are no plans to deploy AI for mass surveillance of U.S. citizens or to enable fully autonomous weapons. At the same time, the department has emphasized that “any lawful use” of artificial intelligence should remain accessible to government agencies under these agreements.

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SBI to Make Bitbank a Subsidiary in Japan Crypto Consolidation Push

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SBI to Make Bitbank a Subsidiary in Japan Crypto Consolidation Push

Tokyo-based SBI Holdings has opened talks to acquire shares in cryptocurrency exchange Bitbank and make it a consolidated subsidiary, extending its push to consolidate regulated crypto trading platforms in Japan as the country moves toward securities-style rules for digital assets.

The financial conglomerate said Friday it is considering a share acquisition as part of a potential capital and business alliance with Bitbank. The deal remains subject to due diligence, negotiations and internal approvals, SBI said.

The talks come a month after SBI VC Trade absorbed Bitpoint Japan on April 1, with SBI VC Trade becoming the surviving company. A Bitbank acquisition would give SBI a larger position in Japan’s crypto exchange market at a time when policymakers are preparing to bring crypto assets under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act.

SBI said the potential deal would help the group establish an “overwhelming position in the domestic cryptocurrency industry,” citing Japan’s planned regulatory shift for crypto assets.

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Japan’s Cabinet approved a bill on April 10 to amend the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act and the Payment Services Act, according to the Financial Services Agency. The bill is intended to strengthen market fairness, transparency and investor protection while revising rules for crypto assets.

Crypto assets are currently regulated by the FSA under the Payment Services Act as a means of payment. The proposed changes would move crypto closer to Japan’s traditional financial market framework, with stronger disclosure, exchange oversight and rules targeting unfair trading.

Cointelegraph asked SBI Holdings for comment on the proposed Bitbank acquisition and how Japan’s shifting crypto rules are affecting the group’s exchange strategy, but had not received a response by publication.

Bitbank company profile. Source: SBI Group

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Bitbank is one of Japan’s major crypto exchanges. It ranks as Japan’s leading cryptocurrency exchange by Coingecko’s trust score, which measures the legitimacy of crypto exchanges based on liquidity, trading activity, cybersecurity and operational scale.

It ranks third among cryptocurrency exchanges by daily trading volume, behind bitFlyer and Coincheck.

Top Japanese crypto exchanges by trust score. Source: Coingecko

The proposed deal would add to SBI’s broader digital asset footprint. SBI made a $50 million investment in Circle’s IPO in June 2025. In previous years, SBI also made strategic investments in other crypto-native companies, including BITPoint Japan, Sygnum Bank and crypto exchange TaoTao, which later merged into SBI VC Trade. 

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Japan brings crypto under TradFi umbrella, targets ETFs by 2028

Japan’s regulatory shift comes as institutional interest in digital assets continues to grow and policymakers reassess how crypto should fit within the country’s financial markets.

Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama first signaled the intent to bring crypto under the same umbrella as traditional finance assets in January, to ensure that citizens will “benefit from digital and blockchain-based assets.”

Related: South Korea’s Shinhan Card taps Solana to test real-world stablecoin payments

The country is also planning to legalize the launch of cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by 2028, according to a January report. Large financial conglomerates like SBI Holdings and Nomura are among the first companies expected to develop crypto-linked ETFs

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Magazine: Singapore isn’t a ‘crypto hub’ — it’s something better: StraitsX CEO

Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.

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WHITE TECH joins Croatia’s first MiCA-approved crypto firms

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WHITE TECH joins Croatia’s first MiCA-approved crypto firms

WHITE TECH has received authorization from Croatia’s Financial Services Supervisory Agency, HANFA, to operate as a crypto-asset service provider under MiCA.

Summary

  • WHITE TECH received MiCA authorization from Croatia’s HANFA regulator.
  • The approval allows crypto exchange, custody, administration, and transfer services.
  • WHITE TECH joins Croatia’s early MiCA-approved firms as EU crypto rules expand.

The company is part of the W Group ecosystem and is majority-owned by Volodymyr Nosov, founder and CEO of WhiteBIT. The approval allows WHITE TECH to offer regulated crypto services under the EU’s common framework.

WHITE TECH supports crypto exchange services, fiat-to-crypto conversion, and crypto-asset transfers for businesses and users.

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Under the MiCA approval, the company can provide exchange services, custody and administration of crypto assets, and transfer services. It must also follow EU standards for governance, risk controls, and customer protection.

Croatia’s MiCA market takes shape

WHITE TECH is among the first companies in Croatia to receive MiCA authorization. The approval places the firm inside the EU’s unified regulatory system at an early stage.

Croatia has already started licensing crypto firms under MiCA. Electrocoin received HANFA approval in April, becoming the first company registered under the country’s crypto licensing process.

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MiCA creates common rules for crypto firms across EU member states. The framework covers transparency, authorization, supervision, and user protection for crypto-asset service providers.

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XRP to $10,000? Ripple CTO emeritus rejects bold claim

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XRP to $10,000? Ripple CTO emeritus rejects bold claim

Ripple CTO Emeritus David Schwartz has dismissed claims that XRP could reach $10,000. 

Summary

  • David Schwartz said the $10,000 XRP prediction does not match normal market behavior.
  • Schwartz said old XRP comments were about liquidity needs, not a future price promise.
  • He also rejected claims of hidden government XRP deals, calling them conspiracy theories.

His comments came during an online debate about old XRP price discussions and market valuation models.

Schwartz said the idea does not match normal market behavior. He argued that if even a small chance of such a move existed, wealthy and rational investors would already be buying XRP heavily.

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Old XRP comments return to focus

The debate followed renewed attention on a 2017 post in which Schwartz discussed XRP liquidity. Some users treated the old comments as a price target, but Schwartz said the post explained transaction needs, not a future price promise.

He had said XRP could not be “dirt cheap” if it handled very large payment flows. Schwartz later clarified that the point was about liquidity, market depth, and settlement size.

Additionally, Schwartz has also rejected claims that XRP is part of secret government or central bank plans. He described such claims as a “conspiracy theory” and warned investors against relying on hidden signals.

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He said Ripple’s non-disclosure agreements relate to normal business privacy. According to Schwartz, they do not prove hidden government XRP deals or secret settlement plans.

Ripple seeks clearer market debate

Schwartz also addressed claims tied to Ripple’s escrow holdings. He said the escrow system remains visible on-chain and can be tracked by anyone.

The comments come as Ripple’s native token remains a major topic in crypto markets. XRP (XRP) traded near $1.37 to $1.38, with a market cap above $84 billion, according to crypto.news price data.

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CEO Sundar Pichai Finally Reveals Google’s AI Direction

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Crypto’s AI Agent Boom Comes With a Twist: Users Are Tightening the Leash

Google CEO Sundar Pichai said personalized AI agents will reshape how people manage their daily tasks. He framed the technology as the next major phase in artificial intelligence adoption.

Pichai told Time magazine that agents can handle email triage, scheduling, and continuous monitoring of personal interests. He said internal Google teams have been working on agentic AI for years.

Pichai’s AI Agent Workflow Hints at Google’s Direction

Pichai described querying Gemini before executive meetings to surface what might be on a counterpart’s mind. He said decisions that previously required days of internal research now resolve in seconds.

The CEO said the tools have made him more productive in coding work. He argued that prompt-driven workflows free up time for higher-value tasks.

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Such agentic tools have become integral to executive workflows at Google.

“It’s a command away. It’s a prompt away,” he stated.

Comments Follow Gemma 4 Release and Open Source Push

The interview lands days after Google’s April 2 release of Gemma 4. The family of open-source multimodal models was published under Apache 2.0.

The launch includes variants ranging from edge devices to a 31 billion parameter dense model. Each model targets a different deployment scenario, from phones to cloud data centers.

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Pichai pointed to the release as evidence that no single company can build AI alone. He flagged energy infrastructure, cybersecurity, deepfake detection, and workforce reskilling as the immediate policy priorities for Google.

The comments arrive as AI agents drove more than 9,000 tech layoffs across 2026. Crypto teams are simultaneously racing to build identity layers for autonomous agents interacting with financial rails.

Pichai’s pitch suggests Google plans to anchor that shift rather than cede it. His timeline for the personalized agent era looks shorter than the broader industry consensus.

The post CEO Sundar Pichai Finally Reveals Google’s AI Direction appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Paris Blockchain Week 2026. Arcanum and Mercuryo on institutional capital, MiCA, and crypto market maturity

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Paris Blockchain Week 2026. Arcanum and Mercuryo on institutional capital, MiCA, and crypto market maturity

At Paris Blockchain Week 2026, the conversation around digital assets felt different. The old divide between traditional finance and crypto-native firms appeared less relevant, replaced by discussions around capital deployment, regulation, execution, and market structure.

BeInCrypto spoke exclusively with Arcanum and Mercuryo to understand what institutional players want now, where Europe stands after MiCA, and how the market may evolve over the next two years.

What surprised you most at PBW, and what does European institutional capital want from crypto?

Michael Ivanov, Chief Executive Director at Arcanum Foundation: What struck me most was how the “us versus them” dynamic between traditional finance and crypto-native firms has effectively dissolved. It felt like a structural change, rather than a sentiment change.

The buy-side interest at PBW was precise. Privacy and composability on-chain are essential for serious institutional capital flows. European institutions are asking whether the market can support the accountability requirements they operate under. That is a fundamentally different conversation, and one that demands market-level answers rather than product pitches.

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What from Arcanum Pulse’s retail roots still matters to institutions?

Michael Ivanov: More than most assume. The discipline of public, real-time verifiability — every trade on record, no black box — emerged from a retail context where trust has to be earned daily. What we are seeing now is institutional compliance teams arriving at the same requirement from a different direction. A live, auditable track record is not a retail feature. It is what a risk committee needs before it can approve an allocation.

What retail also forced us to do early was pass real scrutiny. To operate as an Official Broker on Bybit across our product line, we went through full KYB verification — the kind of institutional-grade compliance review most algo products never face because they never seek formal recognition from a regulated exchange.

That process matters. It means the trading statistics are not the only thing validated. The entity behind them has been validated too.

The architecture did not need to change for institutions. The framing around it did, but the compliance setup was already there. When a risk committee asks, “Does it perform?” and “Who is running this, and can we trust the structure around it?” we have answers that go beyond the chart.

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During October’s liquidations, none of your clients lost deposits. What worked in the architecture?

Michael Ivanov: The strategy does not use stop-losses. What protected clients was the opposite of what most systems do under stress. Instead of cutting exposure, the algorithm read the volatility as an entry signal and executed diversified buys into the drawdown.

By the time markets recovered through the night, those positions were already in profit. That month ended with over 6% average return — one of the strongest in our track record, and it came precisely because of the liquidation event, not despite it.

The architecture is built to treat volatility as information, not threat. The risk management is in the entry logic and position sizing, not in exits. That distinction matters more than most people realise. A system that exits under pressure locks in losses. A system sized and diversified correctly from the start can stay in and capture the recovery.

What has MiCA changed in institutional demand, and where is the main bank-to-exchange bottleneck now?

Arthur Firstov, Chief Business officer at Mercuryo: The introduction of MiCA has provided much-needed legal grounding for institutions to adopt digital token services. The legislation has removed the ambiguity that existed before.

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MiCA has opened the door for digital token services to be adopted in so-called TradFi payment systems. As for bottlenecks, here lies the opportunity, as fully compliant connectivity services remain critical for the industry to grow. It is in the linkages between TradFi and DeFi services where the battle will be won, and in this regard Mercuryo is playing an important role.

Is algorithmic trading becoming standard in crypto, or is this still a different market?

Michael Ivanov: It is becoming standard, but the conditions that make it reliable are still maturing. Liquidity depth in major pairs now supports serious algorithmic systems. The missing piece sits around custody arrangements, counterparty transparency, and jurisdiction-specific compliance.

In traditional markets, algos run on rails built over decades. In crypto, operators are stress-testing those rails in real time. That asymmetry is both the risk and the opportunity. The funds that build rigorous systems now will have structural advantages that are difficult to replicate once the market normalises.

How do you navigate regulatory fragmentation across Europe, the U.S., and Asia, and what risk is still being ignored?

Michael Ivanov: Regulatory fragmentation is not just a compliance problem. It is a product design problem.

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Our decision to operate through Bybit, and to restrict access for users in the U.S. and EU, was not a workaround. It was a deliberate choice to stay within legally clear boundaries rather than test grey zones that could put clients at risk.

That discipline costs you some markets. It also means you are not carrying hidden regulatory exposure that surfaces at the worst possible moment.

What we observe across Asia, and particularly in Hong Kong, is a regulatory environment actively constructing frameworks to attract institutional capital. That is where we are building.

The risk still being ignored more widely is counterparty concentration. Most funds have not seriously stress-tested what happens if their primary exchange faces a liquidity event. Regulatory conversations focus on disclosure and custody. Operational concentration risk often sits outside that discussion.

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Where do retail and small-fund infrastructure needs overlap, and where do they split?

Arthur Firstov: Retail and small fund infrastructure needs overlap more than people assume. Both require reliable on- and off-ramps, secure custody, compliant payments, clear reporting, and a user experience that reduces operational friction.

Nobody wants fragmented rails, settlement uncertainty, or systems that demand specialist knowledge to operate safely. These principles shape how Mercuryo thinks about its infrastructure, and why building for intuition, trust, and workflow integration sits at the centre of everything we do.

The differences emerge at the level of complexity, control, and accountability. Retail infrastructure is about simplicity and confidence. The priority is ease of use, fast transactions, and protections that limit the risk of user error.

Small funds need something different. Their infrastructure has to support multi-step approvals, role-based permissions, auditability, reconciliation, and more sophisticated reporting. They are managing mandates, controls, counterparties, and fiduciary obligations. That means the infrastructure has to support operational precision.

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Retail can tolerate standardisation in a way small funds cannot. A retail user is well served by a streamlined product with limited choices. A small fund may need to tailor workflows around execution, custody arrangements, treasury policies, or jurisdiction-specific compliance requirements.

The overlap is secure, seamless, compliant infrastructure. The divergence is how much complexity the product needs to expose. For retail, good infrastructure hides complexity. For small funds, good infrastructure manages it. The strongest platforms are those that can serve both without treating them as the same user.

What needs to change by PBW 2028 for the institutional adoption story to look different?

Michael Ivanov: The products that matter by 2028 will not be the ones that solved a single problem well. They will be the ones that built the connective tissue between trading infrastructure, distribution, and on-chain capital flows — and did it in a way that scales across different types of participants, from individual allocators to institutional funds to exchanges building their own branded offerings.

That is the trajectory Arcanum Foundation is on. Arcanum Pulse was never meant to be a standalone bot. It is the foundation layer of a broader infrastructure — one that already powers white-label products for exchanges and funds, and that we are actively extending.

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In the coming months, we will be bringing new products to market that expand what that infrastructure can do and who it can serve. We are not announcing them today, but the direction is consistent. We are building the layer others build on, not just a product they allocate to.

By 2028, the institutional adoption story looks different when the infrastructure is invisible — when the rails are so embedded in how capital moves through crypto markets that the question stops being “should we use algorithmic infrastructure” and starts being “which layer of it do we want to sit on.” We intend to be that layer.

The post Paris Blockchain Week 2026. Arcanum and Mercuryo on institutional capital, MiCA, and crypto market maturity appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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