Crypto World
Meta is building a prediction markets app. These stocks are falling
Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg exits Los Angeles Superior Court in Los Angeles, California, Feb. 18, 2026.
Kyle Grillot | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg has directed staff to create a prediction markets platform, a person familiar with the company’s plans who asked not to be named confirmed to CNBC.
The New York Times was first to report the development on Tuesday.
The person familiar, who was not authorized to speak on the record about the company’s plans, also confirmed to CNBC that the prediction markets app would not use actual money to trade on the platform, a contrast to other prediction markets where traders use cash to speculate on future events.
The Times report said Meta’s app would instead rely on a video game-style points system, but that money may be used on the app in the future.
Two employees with knowledge of the plans told the Times the app — referred to internally as “Arena” — would be separate from Meta’s social media platforms, Instagram and Facebook. Meta would seek to leverage its Facebook and Instagram user base to direct potential traders to the platform, the report said.
The company declined a request to comment from CNBC.
DraftKings shares Tuesday
Sports betting platform DraftKings fell more than 2% after the report was released, reaching its low of the day. The stock was last down 1.5%. FanDuel parent Flutter Entertainment also fell nearly 2% after the report, but was still positive on the day, up 1%.
Flutter and DraftKings have both struggled over the past year on worries about how prediction market platforms — which offer sports-related event contracts — could disrupt their sports gambling businesses.
Trading platform Robinhood, which offers contracts from various prediction market platforms, also declined after the Times’ initial report.
Crypto World
Ric Edelman predicts CLARITY Act may unlock crypto floodgates
Ric Edelman has predicted that up to 95% of institutions without crypto exposure could enter the market if the CLARITY Act becomes law.
Summary
- Ric Edelman said up to 95% of institutions without crypto exposure could invest if the CLARITY Act becomes law.
- Edelman identified regulatory certainty as the main factor preventing larger institutional crypto allocations.
- The CLARITY Act faces Senate scrutiny as critics raise concerns about anti-money laundering safeguards in DeFi provisions.
In a recent interview, Edelman said the disconnect between crypto prices and industry activity has become increasingly noticeable as large financial firms continue expanding their blockchain and tokenization efforts.
While cryptocurrency markets have struggled to maintain momentum amid regulatory uncertainty, Edelman said major Wall Street institutions, including BlackRock, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Franklin Templeton, State Street, Invesco, and Fidelity, continue building products and services tied to digital assets.
“Crypto prices are not reflecting what’s happening in the world of crypto,” Edelman said, pointing to rising institutional engagement even as investors remain cautious.
Institutional demand continues to build
Drawing attention to recent industry surveys and conversations with market participants, Edelman said many institutions that currently have no crypto exposure are preparing to enter the sector.
According to Edelman, 95% of institutions that do not currently own crypto expect to make their first allocation this year. He added that roughly three-quarters of institutions that already hold digital assets intend to increase their existing exposure.
Even with those expectations, capital has not yet entered the market at the scale many industry participants anticipated. Edelman attributed part of that hesitation to uncertainty surrounding U.S. crypto legislation, periodic Bitcoin ETF outflows, and continued political opposition from lawmakers such as Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren.
Career risk also remains a factor, according to Edelman, who said many decision-makers at financial firms remain more concerned about the professional consequences of adopting crypto than the potential long-term opportunities associated with the asset class.
Regulatory clarity remains the key catalyst
At the center of Edelman’s outlook is the CLARITY Act, a market structure bill that would establish rules governing digital assets and define regulatory responsibilities across the industry.
According to Edelman, many institutional investors view the legislation as the event that could finally provide the certainty needed for large-scale participation from traditional finance firms. He said passage of the bill would give companies clearer guidance on how to operate in the sector and could remove one of the biggest barriers to adoption.
His comments come as Senate lawmakers continue evaluating the legislation ahead of a narrowing legislative calendar. Although the U.S. House has scheduled a hearing on the bill for July 17, the Senate has not yet announced a floor vote date.
Additional scrutiny has emerged in recent weeks. The Alliance to End Human Trafficking (AEHT) has urged Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer to revisit Section 604 of the legislation, which would incorporate the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act.
In a letter to lawmakers, the organization argued the provision could create gaps that make it harder for authorities to track financial activity connected to crimes such as human trafficking and called for stronger anti-money laundering safeguards before the bill advances.
Despite those debates, Edelman noted that White House crypto adviser Patrick Witt had indicated the legislation could pass by July 4.
According to Edelman, a successful vote could encourage traditional financial institutions to become fully engaged in the crypto market. He also warned that delays or failure could weigh on sentiment as investors react to lost legislative momentum.
Looking beyond regulation, Edelman said he remains optimistic about digital assets and expects Bitcoin could eventually reach $150,000 or higher, although he added that regulatory developments are likely to play a major role in determining market performance this year.
Crypto World
Trump’s Iran Deal Crushed Oil Prices, But Veteran Trader Sees a $135 Shock
The oil market is treating Trump’s Iran deal as the end of the war scare. One veteran trader’s oil price prediction says that the read is wrong.
Brent crude looks calm, but the calm may be the setup. The futures curve and the physical market seem to back him.
Trump’s Deal Reset the Oil Mood
Brent crude oil (BRN) and WTI crude (CL) both fell hard this month as a US-Iran deal took shape.
Vice President JD Vance led the talks in Switzerland and announced several breakthroughs. The two sides built a mechanism to keep the Strait of Hormuz open.
Vance called the framework a classic Trump deal. He said any unfrozen Iranian assets would buy American soy, corn, and wheat rather than send cash to Tehran.
Traders read all of this as supply relief. If the Strait reopens and Gulf output returns, the war premium in oil should fade. That logic drove the recent drop.
The deal is far from sealed, though. Trump threatened fresh strikes over the weekend, briefly rattling the talks.
The Lebanon ceasefire piece remains, in Vance’s words, a work in progress. So the market is pricing a peace that has not fully arrived.
One Veteran Trader Sees a Spike Instead
Dan Dicker is not buying the calm. The veteran energy trader warns that oil could jump from about $75 to $135 within a month. His condition is simple.
If inventories stay drained and supply fails to recover, the physical market forces a sharp repricing.
Dicker’s call is a tail risk, not a base case. But it frames the stakes. A deal that slips, or a strait that stays choked, could turn a quiet tape into a violent one. For now, though, the fast money is leaning the other way.
Crypto Traders Are Shorting Oil, but It Stays Local
Crypto markets now trade oil, too. On Hyperliquid, a large derivatives venue, the Brent perpetual draws real volume. Positioning there has turned firmly bearish.
Smart money, the wallets with strong track records, sits net short by about $1.1 million. Public figures and influencers are shorter still. One whale that shorted near the war highs, around $110, is up roughly $400,000.
The funding rate, the recurring fee between longs and shorts, sits at a positive near 10% a year. That means longs are still paying to hold, even after the oil price drop. The stubborn bulls are squeezed, but they are not letting go.
There is a catch for the bears, though. This perp is a small market, with about $140 million in open positions. A short squeeze here can move the perp, but not global Brent.
The real price is set in the physical and futures market, not on a crypto venue. The options market tells a more divided story.
The Options Book Is Hedging, Not Flipping
The United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) allows American investors to trade Brent via an exchange-traded fund. Its options carry a useful sentiment gauge. The put-call ratio compares bets on a fall to bets on a rise.
A reading below 1 means calls dominate, which leans bullish.
The two readings are split this week. Fresh option volume turned cautious, with the put-call ratio jumping from 0.06 to 0.32. So traders rushed to buy downside protection as Brent fell.
The standing positions told the opposite story. The open interest put-call ratio eased from 0.09 to 0.07, an even more call-heavy book.
That gap is hedging, not surrender. The lasting positions stayed long while the fresh flow bought insurance. It points to bulls protecting gains rather than flipping bearish. The physical market sends the clearest message of all.
The Curve and the Clock Say Tight
The Brent futures curve refuses to confirm the all-clear. Front-month Brent still trades above the next month, a condition known as backwardation.
Backwardation means buyers will pay more for oil now than for later, a classic sign of tight supply. That spread has thinned to its lowest since December 2023. Yet it has stayed positive rather than flipping into oversupply. The physical market still says barrels are scarce.
Prediction markets back that view and align with Dan Dicker’s choked Hormuz possibility. On Kalshi, traders see only about a 51% chance that Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September.
Full confidence does not arrive until 2027. That timeline aligns with the EIA, which expects flows to resume in the third quarter and output to recover by early 2027.
The cushion is thinning too. The US emergency oil reserve fell 9.1 million barrels last week to 331.2 million, its lowest since 1983.
So the stockpile that would soften any new spike is shrinking, not refilling, also in line with Dicker’s oil hypothesis. Iran is adding pressure of its own, now floating mandatory insurance for any ship crossing the Strait. That keeps a floor under oil even as the war scare fades.
The Whale Is the Tell
Watch the trader who called the top on oil price. The position shorted from $110, per Nansen data, and now sits deep in profit. That entry is a live gauge of conviction. As long as the short stays open, smart money still expects oil to be lower.
A move to close it would be the first real sign the bearish bet is cracking.
The longs tell the other half. They keep paying funding, so the stubborn bid has not quit. If the supply squeeze returns and those longs are right, $135 stops being a warning and starts being a path. Wednesday’s US inventory update is the next clue on which way it breaks.
Another steep draw would back the oil price bulls, while a surprise build would hand the peace trade its proof.
The post Trump’s Iran Deal Crushed Oil Prices, But Veteran Trader Sees a $135 Shock appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Brazil Bans Crypto Campaign Donations, Citing Transparency Gaps Ahead of October Elections
TLDR:
- Brazil has prohibited cryptocurrency campaign donations to parties and candidates since December 2019.
- The TSE’s Resolution 23.607/2019 requires all donations to be fully identifiable by oversight agencies.
- Online crowdfunding is permitted on TSE-authorized platforms, provided every donor is fully identified.
- Violations carry fines, mandatory Treasury repayments, and potential economic power abuse charges
Brazil has prohibited political parties and candidates from accepting cryptocurrency campaign donations under electoral rules that have been in force since 2019.
The Federal Public Ministry confirmed the ban applies to all virtual currencies, citing transparency as the core justification.
With the first election round scheduled for October 4, the reminder comes at a critical point in Brazil’s campaign finance calendar, as candidates and parties prepare to mobilize funding.
Why Brazil Prohibits Cryptocurrency Campaign Donations
The Superior Electoral Court’s Resolution 23.607/2019 established the legal basis for the prohibition. Under the resolution, all electoral donations must be fully identifiable, with clear records linking funds to their source. Cryptocurrencies, by their pseudonymous design, make that level of traceability difficult to achieve consistently.
Brazil’s Federal Public Ministry published its explanation as part of the recurring “Explain me, MPF!” series. The ministry stated that electoral legislation “does not allow financial donations to candidates and parties with the use of virtual currencies,” framing transparency as the governing principle behind the rule. That publication arrived ahead of campaign season, which officially opens August 16.
Accepted donation methods remain limited to bank transfers with registered CPF identification and PIX transactions.
All received contributions must be reported and proven in each candidate’s or party’s electoral accountability filings. Regulators require that documentation to confirm funds originated from permissible sources.
Parties and candidates that accept prohibited donations face fines, mandatory repayment to the National Treasury, and potential charges of economic power abuse.
The Electoral Public Prosecutor’s Office holds authority to investigate illegal contributions, omitted records, and irregular resource use throughout the campaign period.
Crowdfunding Remains Permitted Under Strict Identification Rules
Brazil’s prohibition on cryptocurrency campaign donations does not extend to online crowdfunding, which regulators treat as a separate category.
The MPF drew a clear distinction, noting that “virtual currency is different from virtual kitty or crowdfunding,” with the latter permitted on TSE-registered platforms since May 15. That clarification is intended to prevent candidates from conflating the two fundraising methods.
Every crowdfunding contribution still requires full identification of the donor, maintaining the same transparency standard applied to traditional bank transfers.
The ministry confirmed that “every donation needs to identify who donated,” and that funds can only be used after formal candidacy registration. That sequencing ensures oversight agencies can review contributions before they enter active campaign use.
The Central Bank of Brazil broadened its regulatory approach in April by banning prediction markets tied to election outcomes.
That decision directly affected platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi, which were already facing regulatory resistance in other jurisdictions, including the United States.
Brazil’s elections cover races for state deputy, federal deputy, senator, governor, and president in the first round on October 4. A second round for governor and president, if required, follows on October 25.
As campaign activity intensifies, the prohibition on cryptocurrency campaign donations is now a firmly established compliance requirement that all participating political entities must observe.
Crypto World
Bitcoin’s June fall below $60,000 highlights new institutional headwinds: Deutsche Bank
Bitcoin’s fall below $60,000 on June 5, its lowest level since late 2024, reflects a convergence of macroeconomic and structural pressures, according to Deutsche Bank (DB), which said BTC is increasingly trading like an institutional risk asset rather than a retail-driven speculative bet.
The investment bank said bitcoin’s renewed sell-off was driven by a hawkish shift in Federal Reserve expectations, sustained outflows from U.S. spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), a confidence shock following Strategy’s (MSTR) first BTC sale since 2022, and a broader rotation of investor capital into artificial intelligence.
“Bitcoin is not disappearing; it is maturing into an institutional asset whose price is set by fund flows, Fed expectations, competing risk themes, and legislative outcomes,” analyst Marion Laboure said in the Tuesday report.
BTC has struggled in recent weeks, briefly falling below $60,000 on June 5 before rebounding to around $62,000-$63,000. Bitcoin remains more than 50% below its October 2025 record high, pressured by a hawkish shift in Federal Reserve expectations, persistent outflows from spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds and a broader pullback in risk appetite.
Crypto World
Prediction market traders’ expectations for the NY primaries
From left, Assemblymember Claire Valdez, a Democrat from New York and U.S. House candidate; Brad Lander, former New York City comptroller and U.S. House candidate; Zohran Mamdani, mayor of New York; and U.S. House candidate Darializa Avila Chevalier, during a “Get Out The Vote” rally ahead of a primary election at Kings Theater in the Brooklyn borough of New York, June 18, 2026.
Adam Gray | Bloomberg | Getty Images
On Tuesday night, New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani faces his first major electoral test since his election in November 2025. While Mamdani isn’t on the ballot, his power to swing voters is.
Mamdani has endorsed three candidates in competitive congressional primaries in the city: former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander in New York’s 10th Congressional District, state Assemblymember Claire Valdez in the 7th District and first-time candidate Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 13th District.
Traders on prediction market platform Kalshi think the mayor will go two for three.
Speculators place 54% odds that Valdez and Lander will be victorious, while Chevalier will lose. They also give a 28% chance that all three candidates win and a 20% chance that only Lander wins.
Those odds are based on combo contracts, where all three events of each individual candidate either winning or losing need to happen for the trades to resolve to “yes.” Outcomes on the combo contracts are verified from the New York State Board of Elections.
Odds and gambling platforms do not use methodologies used by traditional political polling, and therefore are not substitutes for political polls.
Lander, an ally of Mamdani, is challenging Democratic incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman. Goldman has been under fire from left-leaning critics for his support of Israel in the district that includes downtown Manhattan and Park Slope in Brooklyn.
On a contract that asks if a candidate will win the democratic nomination in New York’s 10th District, Kalshi traders give Lander a near-certain chance of winning the Democratic nomination. Outcomes on individual nominee contracts are verified from the Democratic Party.
Valdez is seeking to replace retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez in the 7th — which includes Williamsburg in Brooklyn and Long Island City in Queens — though Velázquez endorsed Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso. Reynoso has the backing of the progressive Working Families Party, while Valdez has the backing of the Democratic Socialists of America.
Traders on Kalshi think Valdez is favored; they are giving her a nearly 80% chance of winning the Democratic nomination.
Lastly, Chevalier — also backed by the Democratic Socialists of America — is seeking to oust incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat, chair of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus. The 13th District covers Harlem and Washington Heights in Manhattan, as well as parts of the Bronx. Traders on Kalshi give Espaillat two-in-three odds of fending off the challenge from Chevalier.
Meanwhile, there’s another contentious primary in New York’s 12th District, which covers midtown, the Upper East Side and the Upper West Side in Manhattan. Mamdani didn’t endorse a candidate in that race.
Rivaling artificial intelligence super PACs are seeking to affect the candidacy of Alex Bores, a New York state Assemblyman, who has been a fervent supporter of AI regulations. OpenAI-backed Leading the Future has spent $8 million opposing Bores, while Anthropic-backed Public First Action has spent $11 million supporting him.
However, Kalshi traders think that fellow state Assemblymember Micah Lasher is favored in the12th, giving him a 74% chance of winning the Democratic nomination.
Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes customer acquisition and a minority investment.
Crypto World
Zuckerberg Orders Meta to Build Standalone Prediction Market App, Codenamed Arena

Mark Zuckerberg has directed a small internal Meta team to build a standalone prediction-market app codenamed "Arena," a move that puts the social media giant on a collision course with crypto-native platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. According to reporting by the New York Times, citing two… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
Crypto isn’t the Problem with the US Economy, Says Senator
Cody Carbone, CEO of the cryptocurrency advocacy group The Digital Chamber, received a largely muted response to his testimony at a Senate Banking Committee hearing on affordability.
In a Tuesday hearing titled The Affordability Agenda, Carbone said that the digital asset industry could help solve affordability problems in the United States, including through faster and cheaper transactions, putting “competitive pressure” on existing payment systems, and reducing barriers to “owning and transferring assets.”
However, the majority of lawmakers present did not question Carbone directly or inquire about digital assets, with the exception of Indiana Senator Tim Banks and Louisiana Senator John Kennedy. Banks asked the Digital Chamber CEO about the costs related to foreign remittances compared to US dollar-pegged stablecoins, while Kennedy largely dismissed Carbone’s testimony.
“Mr. Carbone, you seem to be here to promote cryptocurrency,” said Kennedy. “I love cryptocurrency, but I don’t think that’s the problem with our economy.”

The Digital Chamber CEO Cody Carbone speaking on Tuesday. Source: Senate Banking Committee
Carbone’s remarks centered around the US Senate moving forward on the Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, which the banking committee advanced in May. The full chamber is expected to vote on the legislation in a matter of weeks, but many lawmakers are calling for additional ethics provisions, potentially complicating passage in the Senate.
Related: Crypto lobby urges Congress to pass staking and mining tax bill as is
CLARITY Act still in limbo amid pushback from interest groups
In addition to lawmakers’ concerns about ethics in the crypto market structure bill, last week gambling industry groups called for the Senate to clarify that the legislation would not allow the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to oversee sports betting in prediction markets. The financial regulator, under Chair Michael Selig, has claimed “exclusive jurisdiction” over platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
Some lawmakers expect that the CLARITY Act will pass through the Senate before the chamber breaks for an August recess. As of Tuesday, no floor vote was scheduled in the Senate.
Magazine: Japanese pension fund tips 1% in crypto, G7 urges action on NK hackers: Asia Express
Crypto World
Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Risks Drop Toward $55K as $60K Support Comes Under Pressure
Bitcoin remains trapped beneath a major resistance cluster after failing to sustain last week’s recovery. The latest price action has shifted back in favor of the bears, with BTC breaking below its short-term rising structure and once again moving toward the lower boundary of its recent range.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
On the daily timeframe, BTC continues to trade below the first major supply zone between $65K and $68K. After briefly recovering into this area, sellers regained control and pushed the market lower, reinforcing the importance of this resistance region.
The recent rejection also keeps BTC below the 100-day moving average near $73K and well below the 200-day moving average around $77K, maintaining the broader bearish structure.
The most important support remains the $59K to $61K demand zone, which has repeatedly attracted buyers throughout June. However, each rebound from this area has produced a lower high, suggesting that bullish momentum is gradually fading.
As long as BTC remains below $68K, the market remains vulnerable to another test of the $60K support region. A decisive breakdown beneath this zone could expose the next major support area around $54K to $56K.

BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart
The 4-hour chart paints a more bearish picture in the short term. BTC recently broke below its ascending recovery channel after another rejection from the $65K to $68K supply zone.
More importantly, the latest recovery attempt failed to produce a new high and instead formed another lower high near $65K before sellers stepped back in. Price is now trading around $63K and moving toward the lower end of the recent range.
The loss of the rising trendline is a notable development because it signals weakening short-term momentum. Unless buyers quickly reclaim the $64K to $65K area, the probability of another move toward the $60K to $61K support zone remains elevated.
The immediate resistance remains the $65K to $68K supply region, while the blue support zone around $60K is the key level that bulls must defend.

Sentiment Analysis
The Binance BTC liquidation heatmap highlights a substantial concentration of liquidity beneath the current market price, making the downside particularly interesting from a liquidity perspective.
While liquidity exists above the market around $70K, $75K, and higher levels, the most significant and closest cluster is located below the current price action. Large liquidation pools can be seen around the $59K to $60K region, with even larger concentrations extending toward $55K and roughly $50K to $52K.
Since markets often gravitate toward large liquidity concentrations, this setup suggests that downside liquidity remains largely untapped. The repeated failures beneath the $65K to $68K supply zone further increase the risk that BTC eventually breaks below the $60K support area to target these lower-liquidity pockets.
In other words, while the $60K region continues to act as support, it is also sitting directly above a substantial liquidity vacuum. If sellers manage to force a decisive breakdown, the move could accelerate as the market seeks larger liquidation clusters between $55K and $50K.
For now, the key battle remains at $60K to $61K, but the heatmap suggests that the larger liquidity incentive currently resides below the market rather than above it, leaving the risk skewed toward an eventual downside sweep if support fails.

The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Risks Drop Toward $55K as $60K Support Comes Under Pressure appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Chainlink and Global Banks Launch Project Pangea to Rebuild Cross-Border FX Settlement
TLDR:
- Project Pangea unites 47+ European and Korean banks to pursue atomic T+0 FX settlement via stablecoins.
- Chainlink CCIP, Data Streams, and the Runtime Environment form the project’s core connectivity layer.
- FairSquareLab’s Pangea L1 enforces oracle-first transaction ordering for real-time interbank FX swaps.
- Qivalis and its 37-bank euro stablecoin consortium serve as the EUR anchor for Project Pangea flows.
Chainlink has joined forces with European and South Korean banking consortia to launch Project Pangea, a working group targeting real-time T+0 foreign exchange settlement through stablecoin infrastructure.
A Multi-Trillion Dollar Push for Atomic FX Settlement
Project Pangea brings together Chainlink, FairSquareLab, UniKA, and Qivalis under one strategic task force. The coalition collectively represents over $10 trillion in assets under management.
UniKA’s steering committee includes Shinhan Bank, JB Bank, Kbank, FairSquareLab, and OBDIA. More than ten additional Korean commercial banks are participating in the initiative alongside them.
The global FX market processes over $9.6 trillion in daily trading volume. Despite this scale, the traditional infrastructure remains fragmented and slow.
Cross-border transactions often require institutions to convert capital through intermediary currencies, causing delays.
Project Pangea targets this bottleneck directly through atomic Payment-versus-Payment swaps of regulated EUR and KRW stablecoins.
Chainlink Labs President of Capital Markets Fernando Vazquez described the launch as a structural shift rather than an incremental upgrade, saying the project “upgrades the fragmented foreign exchange model of today with direct, atomic currency swaps using stablecoins.”
The initiative uses ISO 20022 messaging standards and existing Swift infrastructure to bridge legacy systems with blockchain rails.
This means participating banks do not need to overhaul internal payment operations to connect. Vazquez added that Project Pangea represents “a clear signal that global finance is increasingly moving onchain.”
FairSquareLab CEO Joonhong Kim pointed to a broader strategic outcome for South Korea, stating that “for Korea, Project Pangea is more than an efficiency gain — it opens a path for the Korean won to connect more directly with global currency markets.”
The initiative also aims to reduce the won’s dependence on intermediary currencies in cross-border flows. Kim noted that FairSquareLab, leading the UniKA alliance alongside Qivalis and Chainlink, is “building a network that brings the Korean banking sector into a new era of real-time, cross-border settlement.“ That alone marks a structural change for Korean institutions operating across international corridors.
Three-Layer Architecture Powers the Settlement Network
The technical design of Project Pangea is built across three distinct layers. The banking layer handles Swift and ISO 20022 payment messaging.
The connectivity layer runs through Chainlink’s CCIP and Data Streams infrastructure. Settlement occurs at the third layer through Pangea AMM smart contracts deployed on Ethereum, Polygon, and the Pangea L1 network.
FairSquareLab’s Pangea L1 is a settlement-dedicated blockchain operating from neutral ground, independent of any single country or participating bank.
At the protocol level, oracle data updates execute ahead of every other transaction in each block. This design ensures all FX swaps settle against the current market price without manipulation risk.
Banks continue using familiar payment messaging, with instructions translated into onchain settlement actions through Chainlink CCIP.
Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol handles secure EUR stablecoin transfers between native networks and the KRW settlement chain. Data Streams feed real-time FX market data into the Proactive Market Maker engine.
The Chainlink Runtime Environment serves as the orchestration layer between Swift and the blockchain settlement stack.
Together, these components allow institutions to plug into onchain finance through their existing messaging systems.
Qivalis Head of Partnerships APAC Jean-Luc Gustave outlined the capital efficiency case for global institutions, saying that “migrating to a friction-free cross-border model could unlock significant capital efficiency by eliminating traditional settlement risk and reducing intraday liquidity costs.”
He framed the project as proof that next-generation infrastructure can “optimize international trade corridors” beyond theoretical use cases.
Qivalis’s euro stablecoin consortium, backed by 37 European banks, stands to become a core currency layer within the network.
The initiative positions regulated stablecoins as institutional-grade instruments for high-volume FX flows between Europe and Asia.
FairSquareLab’s onchain FX engine anchors price discovery to trusted oracle quotes rather than bonding curves, while per-asset depletion barriers protect pool liquidity from exhaustion during large interbank conversions.
The result is a predictable settlement structure built to handle institutional scale. Enterprise fees within the Chainlink ecosystem are programmatically converted to LINK tokens and stored in the Chainlink Reserve to support long-term network sustainability.
Project Pangea is designed to scale into a multi-currency settlement network as additional corridors and institutions join the working group.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Caught in Crossfire as Tech Stocks Unravel
Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 2% today alongside a 1.1% decline in S&P 500 futures, while South Korean tech stocks tanked as much as 10% before trading was briefly halted.
The past few weeks have spelled trouble for tech valuations overall with June 5th seeing the biggest daily drop for the Nasdaq since April 2025, falling well over 4%
The atmosphere has created strong risk-off sentiment, which has spilled over into crypto, leading Bitcoin and Ethereum to drop 4% and 6%, respectively.
Market factors
U.S. chip manufacturing giant Broadcom failed to meet quarterly sales expectations earlier this month, causing some uncertainty in the market. Sentiment is not aided by the major debt backing the massive AI expansion seen this year, with $750 billion worth of enterprise investment in AI and tech leaving the industry exposed to borrowing costs.
With the market now anticipating a potential interest rate hike in October, the future earning potential of AI companies for investors is now up for debate.
The SOX index measuring semiconductor stocks has now hit extreme volatility levels matching those seen in the 00’s dot com bubble, another concerning signal for tech investors.
Risk-off sellers offload crypto
Bitcoin has seen heightened correlation with tech stocks since 2025. BTC plunged below $62,000 earlier today in line with the drop in tech stocks, with Kalshi prediction market investors now favoring a decline below $60k this year.
Bearish sentiment has also stemmed from a stronger dollar, major ETF outflows earlier this year, and the executive order on quantum technologies signed by Donald Trump yesterday. ETH is now down 35% from its 2026 highs, while the broader altcoin market has often seen drops of over 50%.
While today’s price correction by no means spells doom for global markets, the price action is a firm reminder that the AI hype seen over the last year still relies on future profits rather than current revenues.
The post Bitcoin Caught in Crossfire as Tech Stocks Unravel appeared first on CryptoPotato.
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