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Money Is Rotating Back Into Bitcoin, On-Chain Data Shows

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Capital Rotation Between Stablecoins and Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing early signs of a liquidity rotation, with on-chain metrics and futures positioning both pointing to a gradual shift in investor behavior.

The move comes as BTC’s price has seen a modest recovery amid the conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran.

Stablecoin-to-BTC Pipeline Reopens

In a post on X (formerly Twitter), analyst Darkfost noted that at the end of February, Bitcoin’s realized cap hit an extreme low of -$28.7 billion. At the same time, stablecoin market capitalization grew to over $6 billion.

This reflected defensive positioning by investors looking to preserve capital without fully exiting the market. According to the analyst,

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“This marked the first time such a rotation had been observed since the previous bear market. At that stage, this configuration signaled a clear intention from investors to protect their capital.”

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Capital Rotation Between Stablecoins and Bitcoin
Capital Rotation Between Stablecoins and Bitcoin. Source: X/Darkfost

However, the picture has since shifted. Bitcoin’s realized cap has recovered to -$3 billion. Meanwhile, stablecoin capitalization has declined to -$1 billion. Capital that once sat on the sidelines appears to be flowing back into the largest cryptocurrency.

Futures Positioning Mirrors 2023 Pre-Breakout Setup

Derivatives data support the optimism. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe noted that speculators are now net long on Bitcoin.

“Very similar to previous cases where we’ve seen the same before a big breakout in 2023. Commercials’ Net Position has been net short on the markets, which is the inverse of the speculators,” Poppe said.

Bitcoin Commercials and Speculators’ Position. Source: X/Michaël van de Poppe

Van de Poppe suggested that BTC could reach $80,000- $85,000. He cautioned, however, that the data points to elevated volatility rather than a guaranteed directional move.

“Now, this doesn’t guarantee that we’re going to be breaking upwards massively. It does say that there’s a significant chance for volatility, also knowing that we’ve been ranging in this area for two months and markets refused to fall down,” he wrote.

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The timing of these shifts is worth noting. Darkfost stated that it began as uncertainties surrounding the Iran conflict reached their peak. 

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“Almost as if some investors are starting to view Bitcoin as an edge against inflationary and economic risks stemming from the situation,” he remarked.

Bitcoin has gained over 10% since the war began on February 28. For now, the recovery remains modest, but Darkfost suggested that if the rotation continues, the asset’s recovery could continue.

BeInCrypto Markets data showed that BTC gained over 1% over the past day as ceasefire negotiations continue in Pakistan. At press time, the cryptocurrency traded at $72,900.

Bitcoin Price Performance
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto Markets

The post Money Is Rotating Back Into Bitcoin, On-Chain Data Shows appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Private Credit Funds Face Rising Redemptions as Withdrawal Limits Expand in Q1 2026

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Private credit funds saw sharp redemption requests in Q1 2026, affecting every major fund segment
  • Carlyle and Blue Owl funds reported high withdrawal demand, with strict caps limiting investor payouts
  • Major firms imposed withdrawal limits to manage liquidity amid rising investor exit pressure
  • Concerns over software borrowers and tighter lending standards drove increased redemption activity

Private credit markets faced rising redemption pressure in the first quarter of 2026, as investors accelerated withdrawals.

Several major funds limited withdrawals, reflecting growing strain across a market valued between $1.8 trillion and $2.0 trillion.

Redemption Pressure Builds Across Private Credit Funds

Recent data shared in a widely circulated market update on social media pointed to sharp increases in redemption requests across leading private credit funds. Carlyle’s $7 billion Tactical Private Credit Fund reported requests totaling 16% of its shares during the first quarter.

That figure placed Carlyle among the most affected funds, though it trailed two Blue Owl vehicles. Blue Owl Technology Income recorded redemption requests at 41%, while Blue Owl Credit Income reached 22%. These figures placed both funds at the top of the industry in terms of withdrawal demand.

Despite the surge, Carlyle fulfilled only a portion of investor requests. The fund capped withdrawals at 5%, which translated to roughly $240 million paid out. Investors had sought to redeem close to $750 million during the same period.

The update noted that such restrictions were not isolated. Other major firms, including Apollo, Ares, Morgan Stanley, and BlackRock, also introduced similar limits on withdrawals. These measures appeared across multiple private credit business development companies and interval funds.

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At the same time, the broader industry experienced a uniform trend. Every private credit BDC and interval fund reported elevated redemption requests during the quarter. No fund segment avoided the wave of withdrawal activity.

Market Strains Linked to Borrower Risks and Lending Conditions

The same market update connected the surge in redemptions to growing concerns around borrower stability. In particular, attention centered on software companies that rely heavily on private credit financing. Investors expressed caution as artificial intelligence developments began to reshape the sector.

As a result, fears around potential disruption to software revenue models gained traction. This shift raised questions about the strength of loan portfolios tied to such borrowers. Consequently, investor sentiment turned more cautious across private credit allocations.

At the same time, lending conditions tightened across the market. Funds adopted stricter standards, which limited new credit issuance. This approach reflected efforts to manage risk exposure while addressing rising uncertainty in borrower performance.

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The combination of redemption demand and tighter lending created additional pressure. Funds needed to balance liquidity management with maintaining portfolio stability. Withdrawal caps became a common response, allowing managers to control outflows.

Meanwhile, the broader private credit market faced conditions not seen before. The scale of redemption requests, combined with sector-specific concerns, contributed to heightened stress levels. Market participants continued to monitor developments closely as conditions evolved.

These dynamics placed private credit under sustained scrutiny during the opening months of 2026. Investors adjusted positions while fund managers implemented measures to manage liquidity and risk exposure within their portfolios.

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Bitcoin signals potential seller exhaustion as realized losses decline

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Bitcoin signals potential seller exhaustion as realized losses decline


On-chain data points to easing selling pressure, with realized losses falling and spot markets shifting toward net buying.

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Kaspa Price Near Key Support as Compression Signals Imminent Breakout Move

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TLDR:

  • Kaspa trades near critical support as price compression signals a potential high volatility breakout soon
  • Descending resistance continues to cap price while buyers defend the $0.033 support zone repeatedly
  • A move above $0.05 could shift momentum and open upside toward $0.07 and higher resistance levels
  • Failure to hold support may trigger a sharp drop toward the next demand zone near $0.025 levels

Kaspa’s daily price structure is approaching a critical moment as the price compresses near long-standing support. Market participants are closely watching whether the asset can reclaim higher levels or extend its broader downtrend after months of sustained selling pressure.

Kaspa Price Structure Signals Tight Compression

A recent tweet from market analyst JACKIS draws attention to Kaspa’s evolving chart structure across multiple phases.

The asset previously experienced a sharp rally, climbing from near $0.005 to above $0.20. That move formed a classic expansion phase, supported by higher highs and strong momentum.

However, price action later transitioned into a choppy range between $0.12 and $0.20. This phase showed repeated rejection near highs, suggesting weakening momentum. As a result, distribution likely took place before the market shifted direction.

Selling pressure then took control, forming a prolonged downtrend with consistent lower highs. The chart now shows a descending resistance trendline stretching from near $0.18 toward current levels around $0.04. At the same time, support has held near the $0.033 to $0.035 zone.

This structure resembles a descending triangle combined with a falling wedge. Such formations often appear during late-stage trends where price compresses tightly. As volatility decreases, the likelihood of a sharp move increases.

The analyst notes that Kaspa is now sitting directly on key structural support. Price has tested this level multiple times without a decisive breakdown. Even so, buyers have yet to produce a strong reversal move.

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Breakout Conditions Define Near-Term Direction

The current setup places Kaspa at a decision point where both bullish and bearish scenarios remain possible. A move above the descending trendline near $0.045 to $0.05 would shift short-term momentum. That step could open the path toward reclaiming the $0.06 to $0.07 range.

If that level is recovered, price may continue toward $0.07 to $0.08 as the first resistance zone. Further strength could bring the $0.10 to $0.12 area back into focus. This region previously acted as support before turning into resistance.

On the other hand, failure to hold the $0.033 support level could trigger a sharp decline. The chart shows limited structure below this range, which may lead to faster price movement downward. The next demand zone is projected near $0.025 to $0.028.

The tweet also points to the absence of strong bullish momentum so far. While support has held, there has been no impulsive bounce to confirm accumulation. This keeps downside risk active as price remains compressed near the lower boundary.

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At the same time, repeated tests of support suggest buyers are still present. Compression near key levels often leads to sudden expansion. The direction of that move depends on whether resistance breaks or support fails.

JACKIS suggests that a move above March highs could support a broader recovery during the second quarter. However, confirmation remains essential before any trend shift is established.

For now, Kaspa remains locked within a tightening structure. Market participants are watching closely for a breakout signal that defines the next phase.

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Binance Dominates 2026 Crypto Trading as Futures Volume Surges Past Spot Markets

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TLDR:

  • Binance nears $1T in spot volume, maintaining a clear lead over competitors like MEXC and Bybit in 2026.
  • Perpetual futures volumes reach up to $24T, showing consistent growth across cycles and stronger market participation.
  • Futures trading activity stands nearly four times larger than spot, driving liquidity and short-term price movement.
  • Competing exchanges like OKX and Bybit show steady growth, though Binance still controls the largest share.

Binance continues to dominate global crypto trading activity in 2026, with cumulative volumes far ahead of competitors.

Data from CryptoQuant shows strong growth across both spot and perpetual futures markets, reinforcing Binance’s position despite rising competition from other major exchanges.

Spot Market Cycles Show Repeating Patterns

A recent tweet from CryptosRus points to Binance nearing $1 trillion in spot trading volume. This figure stands well above MEXC and Bybit, which trail at much lower levels. The data reflects a clear concentration of liquidity within one dominant platform.

The CryptoQuant chart shows spot trading volumes forming repeated cycles over time. Each cycle begins with steady accumulation, followed by a rapid upward surge. After reaching peak levels near $5–6 trillion, volumes reset sharply before starting a new phase.

This pattern suggests that spot trading activity responds strongly to market momentum. During bullish periods, participation rises quickly. However, once activity peaks, volumes drop as trading slows and positions are reduced.

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Binance consistently accounts for the largest share across these cycles. Other exchanges such as OKX, Bybit, and Coinbase International, contribute smaller portions. Their presence grows gradually, yet they remain secondary in overall volume distribution.

At the same time, the structure of these cycles indicates that spot markets do not expand in a straight line. Instead, activity builds in waves, shaped by changing market conditions and trader behavior.

Futures Market Expansion Outpaces Spot Growth

While spot trading shows cyclical movement, perpetual futures markets display much larger scale and faster expansion. Binance has reached $4.5 trillion in cumulative perpetual futures volume, exceeding competitors by a wide margin.

The lower chart from CryptoQuant tracks several growth phases in futures trading. Early cycles peak near $8–10 trillion, while later cycles push toward $20–24 trillion. Each phase ends with a reset, similar to the spot market structure.

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However, the overall trend shows increasing peak levels over time. This indicates that futures trading continues to expand with each cycle. As a result, derivatives now represent the dominant share of crypto market activity.

Binance remains the leading exchange in this segment as well. Still, OKX and Bybit show steady growth, gradually increasing their share of total futures volume. Coinbase International also appears in the data, though at a smaller scale.

The gap between spot and futures volumes remains wide. Futures trading reaches nearly four times the size of spot activity at peak levels. This difference points to a market where leverage and short-term positioning play a central role.

Moreover, the consistent rise in futures volumes suggests deeper participation from both retail and institutional traders. As trading strategies evolve, derivatives continue to attract more activity across multiple exchanges.

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Overall, the data shows a market shaped by cycles, expanding participation, and strong exchange competition. Binance leads both segments by scale, while other platforms steadily build their presence in a growing trading environment.

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XRP Holds Key Support as Bottom Signals Emerge

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Crypto Breaking News

XRP’s price action has been in an extended downtrend for eight months, but a convergence of on-chain signals is drawing attention to a potential bottoming narrative. The XRP/BTC pair’s RSI sits deep in the oversold zone, with readings around 24, a level that has historically aligned with macro bottoms and subsequent recoveries. Data tracked by TradingView, and summarized in recent coverage, suggest this could be more than a temporary squeeze for the cross-pair.

Beyond the RSI, on-chain analytics are flashing a similar signal. XRP’s MVRV Z-score, a gauge that compares market value to realized value, is hovering near zero—a cadence historically associated with accumulation phases and capitulation-driven bottoms. Glassnode’s metrics indicate that such coordinates often precede meaningful rallies, echoing a pattern seen in prior cycles in 2021, 2022 and again in 2024 before pronounced upside moves.

To place these signals in a market context, a Cointelegraph chart that overlays XRP/BTC price action against the broader market shows that the last bottom in XRP/BTC around this zone in June 2025 preceded a substantial rally: a 61% rebound in the XRP/BTC ratio and a 92% surge in XRP/USD to a multi-year high of roughly $3.66. The chart’s yellow bars emphasize how these zones have repeatedly acted as macro bottoms for the XRP/BTC pair.

Key takeaways

  • RSI for XRP/BTC at about 24 signals an oversold condition that historically marks macro bottoms and the start of new uptrends.
  • MVRV Z-score for XRP is near zero, a level that has preceded accumulation phases and subsequent rallies in multiple prior cycles.
  • Glassnode heatmaps show a substantial cost-basis distribution around the $1.30 area, with about 1.73 billion XRP bought near that price band.
  • The XRP/USD price must hold above a key support zone of $1.25–$1.30; losing this zone could open a path toward a lower demand area, including the $1.15 region and the 200-week moving average.
  • Historical patterns suggest that bottoms from these levels have been followed by meaningful rallies, though macro conditions and market sentiment remain critical filters.

On-chain signals point to a potential bottoming process

From a technical standpoint, XRP’s recent price action is painting a familiar picture: a prolonged downtrend cooled by deep oversold momentum. The RSI reading in the XRP/BTC pair has rarely dropped further in recent cycles without a subsequent phase of consolidation before a bounce, and in this cycle, the indicator sits at levels that have historically preceded risk-off capitulation turning into a recovery phase. While RSI alone is not a predictor, when paired with the on-chain landscape, it reinforces a stance that selling pressure might be ebbing.

Complementing the RSI, the MVRV Z-score provides a more long-horizon perspective. The score near zero implies that many investors are near breakeven and may be less inclined to rush toward the exit. That dynamic can reduce downside pressure and enable a more stable base to form, a hallmark of accumulation zones that precede rallies. The last time XRP’s MVRV Z-score revisited these levels, similar to late-2024 and early-2025, the market accrued strength before resuming gains.

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Analysts have tied these signals to a broader narrative about XRP’s cycle. An observed pattern from prior cycles shows that whenever these on-chain indicators align with oversold momentum, they often pave the way for a multi-month recovery in price. This is not a forecast but a lens through which traders are evaluating risk and opportunity at current levels.

“If this zone continues to hold, then a short-term bounce towards $1.45 can’t be ruled out.”

That perspective, voiced by a trader on X, reflects a plausible near-term pathway if the current support remains intact and buyers step in at the zone around $1.25–$1.30. The emphasis is on the zone’s integrity: a sustained hold here would be a signal that demand could reassert itself and push XRP toward higher ground, even before evaluating macro catalysts.

Support, resistance, and what could unfold next

From a price-structure standpoint, the immediate floor lies in the $1.25–$1.30 band. This zone has held since early February 2026 and has acted as a crucial pivot point for the bull-bear balance. If demand persists in defending this range, a measured rebound could unfold, potentially aiming toward the $1.45 area and beyond. Traders eyeing a return to higher levels would look for a continued rejection of shorts at these thresholds, coupled with improving on-chain signals and stabilizing price action.

However, a breach below the zone would raise the risk of a more extended downside move. The next line of defense sits near the $1.15 area, where the 200-week simple moving average has hovered. A break below this level could trigger a swift re-pricing, pushing XRP toward the bear-flag target around $0.80, a level that would reframe the risk-reward for bulls in the near term. In practice, this setup makes the $1.30 region a critical fulcrum for bulls and bears alike.

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Beyond the immediate levels, market observers note that the long-run trajectory will hinge on a confluence of factors: the capacity of XRP to sustain on-chain health, macro risk appetite, and regulatory developments that could influence crypto liquidity and sentiment. The broader narrative of XRP’s cycle has historically shown that bottoms in this zone have not been isolated events; they have often coincided with stronger macro flows and renewed buying interest from longer-horizon holders.

On the price trajectory, the charted path hints at upside potential if the zone holds. Prior episodes have demonstrated that a bottom in this region can coincide with a shift in momentum and a fresh phase of accumulation, eventually leading to fresh highs once the market reasserts confidence. In this context, observers see the possibility of XRP moving toward the $1.70 level or higher if buyers maintain control and the macro environment remains favorable.

Context, history, and what anchors traders are watching

Historical context matters for investors seeking to gauge risk. The rally pattern that followed the June 2025 XRP/BTC bottom—characterized by a 61% improvement in the XRP/BTC ratio and a 92% surge in XRP/USD to a multi-year high—offers a concrete example of how a bottom can translate into meaningful upside within a relatively short timeframe. While past performance is not a guarantee of future results, the alignment of on-chain signals with price action in that period reinforces a cautious optimism among market participants.

Another anchor is the cost-basis distribution. Glassnode’s heatmap shows that roughly 1.73 billion XRP were accumulated near the $1.30 price level, suggesting a robust base of investors with meaningful exposure in that band. This concentration can provide a ballast to price during volatility but may also attract selling pressure if the price falters, given the number of coins purchased at or near the same level. The dynamics underscore the importance of the $1.25–$1.30 support as both a technical and a psychology-driven threshold.

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For readers seeking corroboration, the broader narrative has drawn on a mix of price charts and on-chain metrics, including references to XRP’s performance in other cycles and the behavior of the XRP/USD and XRP/BTC cross-pairs. Notably, Cointelegraph has highlighted past instances where XRP’s bottom against Bitcoin in that zone preceded sharp rallies, illustrating how cross-market relationships can amplify a rally even when the USD price remains at modest levels. These data points provide a framework for assessing risk in the current environment, rather than a single-point forecast.

What to watch next

Investors should keep a close eye on whether XRP can sustain the $1.25–$1.30 support zone in the near term. A stable hold would bolster the case for a bounce and could draw in momentum traders seeking a breakout above the immediate overheads. Conversely, a break below $1.15, with a potential retest of the 200-week moving average, would shift the outlook toward a more cautious stance and raise the odds of revisiting the lower $0.80 region.

In addition to price actions, market participants should monitor the evolving on-chain narrative around MVRV Z-scores and holder cost bases. A continued alignment between on-chain metrics and price strength would be a meaningful signal that the market is re-accumulating effectively. As always, macro conditions—liquidity, risk appetite, and regulatory clarity—will shape the pace and duration of any nascent upturn.

Readers should watch for further developments in XRP’s cross-market dynamics, including how the XRP/BTC pair behaves around the current consolidation range and whether the broader crypto market conditions provide the catalysts needed for a sustained move higher. If the zone holds and macro sentiment improves, a path toward higher levels—potentially toward the $1.70 area or beyond—could emerge as part of a broader re-pricing of risk in the months ahead.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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WLFI Token Hits New Lows as Unlock Plan and Lending Activity Raise Market Concerns

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TLDR:

  • WLFI token dropped to new lows following plans to unlock tokens for early holders, raising supply concerns.
  • The project is managing about $150M in stablecoin loans, increasing pressure on collateral stability.
  • Reports claim billions in WLFI were used as collateral to borrow $75M within a concentrated liquidity setup.
  • High pool utilization near 93% may limit withdrawals, raising concerns about liquidity access for users.

World Liberty Financial’s WLFI token has dropped to new lows amid concerns around liquidity use and governance decisions.

The decline follows reports of a planned token unlock for early holders while the project manages about $150 million in stablecoin loans.

WLFI Token Pressure Grows Amid Unlock Plans

A recent update shared on X by Coin Bureau stated that the WLFI token reached fresh lows. The drop came after the project signaled plans to unlock tokens for early holders. At the same time, it continues to defend a large stablecoin borrowing position.

The proposed unlock has raised concerns about added selling pressure. Early holders gaining access to tokens may increase circulating supply. As a result, market participants are closely watching price stability.

At the same time, the project is managing around $150 million in stablecoin loans. This creates a balancing act between maintaining collateral value and handling liquidity needs. If token prices weaken further, the position could face added stress.

The timing of the unlock proposal has drawn attention. Market conditions remain fragile, and liquidity levels appear tight. This combination has kept traders cautious as the situation develops.

Lending Activity and Liquidity Concerns Surface

Additional discussion emerged from a widely shared thread by StarPlatinum. The post described how billions of WLFI tokens were reportedly used as collateral. Around $75 million in stablecoins was borrowed through a lending protocol.

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The thread claimed that WLFI accounts for about 55% of the protocol’s liquidity. This concentration raises concerns about how withdrawals may function under pressure. With nearly 93% of the stablecoin pool already utilized, available liquidity appears limited.

The structure described suggests a closed system. Tokens are deposited, borrowed against, and supported within the same ecosystem. As long as token prices hold, positions remain stable. However, any sharp decline could strain the setup.

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The thread also noted links between the lending platform and individuals connected to WLFI. This has raised questions about the relationship between borrowers and infrastructure. While no formal violations were confirmed, the overlap has drawn attention.

Further attention focused on reported fund movements. Over $40 million was said to have moved to Coinbase Prime shortly before a major announcement. The timing has led to speculation, though the team has denied wrongdoing.

These developments come as liquidity conditions tighten. Retail users may face delays if withdrawal demand rises. With most funds already deployed, flexibility within the system appears limited.

Market participants continue to monitor both price action and protocol health. The combination of token unlock plans and lending exposure remains a key focus. Any changes in collateral value or liquidity could influence the next phase.

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For now, the WLFI token remains under pressure. Traders are assessing risk levels while waiting for further clarity from the project. The coming updates may shape how the market responds in the short term.

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Ethereum Tokenized Treasury Funds Surge Past $22.5B as Institutional Adoption Accelerates

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TLDR:

  • Tokenized treasury funds on Ethereum exceed $22.5B, dominating 71.9% of blockchain fund markets globally.
  • JPMorgan, BlackRock, and Franklin Templeton expand on-chain funds, increasing institutional capital flow.
  • Market growth accelerated sharply after 2024, rising from $10B to over $20B within a short timeframe.
  • Ethereum evolves into a key platform for tokenized money markets and short-term yield instruments.

Tokenized treasury funds on Ethereum have climbed past $22.5 billion, according to data shared by Token Terminal.

The chart tracks steady growth since 2021, with recent expansion tied to institutional activity and new on-chain money market products.

Institutional Capital Drives On-Chain Treasury Growth

A tweet from Etherealize noted that tokenized treasury products now dominate blockchain-based fund markets. Ethereum accounts for 71.9% of total tokenized fund assets across networks. The data places the network at the center of institutional-grade capital flows.

Recent entries from major financial firms support that trend. JPMorgan launched its MONY market fund on Ethereum in early 2026. It joined offerings from BlackRock and Franklin Templeton, both already active on-chain.

These products replicate traditional money market exposure using blockchain rails. They provide yield-bearing instruments accessible without brokerage accounts. As a result, they align with the needs of automated capital systems operating on-chain.

The chart shows a sharp rise in total value after these institutional entries. Assets moved from roughly $10 billion to above $20 billion within a short period. The upward move coincides with broader adoption of tokenized treasuries and short-duration instruments.

Moreover, the presence of established financial institutions signals a shift in how capital interacts with blockchain infrastructure. Traditional funds now operate within permissionless systems, expanding access to liquidity tools.

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Market Structure Shifts From Experimentation to Expansion

The Token Terminal chart outlines a multi-year transition in tokenized fund adoption. Early activity between 2021 and 2022 remained limited, with total value declining below $1 billion. That phase reflected early testing and low institutional participation.

Conditions changed during late 2022 and 2023. The market formed a base between $0.5 billion and $2 billion. Gradual growth during that period indicated early infrastructure readiness for tokenized financial products.

Momentum accelerated through 2024 and early 2025. Total value broke past $5 billion, then $10 billion, marking a clear structural shift.

Growth during this stage followed a steeper trajectory, supported by increasing adoption of real-world asset tokenization.

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By 2025, expansion entered a faster phase. The chart shows a move from $10 billion to over $20 billion, with a brief pullback near $18 billion. The recovery that followed pushed totals to approximately $22 billion.

Key structural levels appear across the timeline. The $10 billion mark acted as a major breakout point. Meanwhile, the $20 billion range serves as a psychological threshold tied to liquidity expansion.

The data also points to Ethereum’s evolving role in financial markets. The network now supports large-scale treasury operations, moving beyond its earlier use cases. This shift reflects growing demand for on-chain yield and capital efficiency.

At the same time, tokenized funds continue to expand across treasury bills and money market structures. These instruments offer stability while maintaining blockchain accessibility. As adoption grows, the chart suggests continued alignment between traditional finance and decentralized infrastructure.

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Ethereum Holds $2.2K Support as Bullish Momentum Builds While Whale Accumulation Slows

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TLDR:

  • Ethereum trades between $2.1K and $2.3K as momentum indicators turn bullish after February’s sharp market correction.
  • RSI climbs above 60 and MACD shows a bullish crossover, signaling improving momentum in Ethereum’s daily chart.
  • CryptoQuant data shows ETH benefiting from capital inflows and tightening supply during the current market phase.
  • Whale accumulation pace is slowing, suggesting the accumulation phase may be ending before a possible rally.

Ethereum is showing early recovery signs after months of decline, as recent data points to renewed market activity and stabilizing price action.

Analysts note a shift in momentum, although price remains within a tight range below key resistance levels.

Ethereum Shows Early Recovery as Momentum Indicators Turn Positive

CryptoQuant noted that Ethereum is currently benefiting from capital inflows, reduced supply pressure, and steady ecosystem growth. These combined factors are positioning ETH as relatively stronger during the current market phase.

At the same time, market data shows Ethereum rebounding from its February lows near the $2,000 level. Price action has since stabilized between $2,150 and $2,300, forming a consolidation range. The latest daily candle closed at $2,243.7, reflecting a modest gain of 2.46%.

Technical indicators are also shifting. The Relative Strength Index is now at 60.05, moving above the neutral 50 level. This change signals improving momentum after rebounding from oversold conditions seen earlier in the year.

In addition, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator has turned positive. The MACD line remains above the signal line, while the histogram continues expanding in positive territory. This pattern reflects strengthening bullish momentum after a prolonged bearish phase.

Despite these developments, Ethereum remains below immediate resistance between $2,250 and $2,300. A sustained move above this zone is still required to confirm a broader recovery trend. Until then, the price continues to trade within a defined range.

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Whale Activity Slows as Market Watches for Next Direction

While indicators suggest improving conditions, whale behavior is showing a different pace. According to CW, the rate of Ethereum accumulation by large holders is slowing. This shift may signal the end of the recent accumulation phase.

Historically, accumulation phases often precede upward price movements. However, they can also mark transition points where large holders begin distributing assets at higher levels. This creates uncertainty around the next market direction.

At the same time, Ethereum’s broader trend remains influenced by its earlier decline from near $5,000 in August 2025. The asset experienced consistently lower highs and lower lows before reaching its February bottom. That larger trend still frames current price action.

Support levels remain firm around $2,100, with the $2,000 level acting as a psychological floor. On the upside, resistance extends beyond $2,300 toward $2,800 and $3,000, where previous breakdowns occurred.

For now, Ethereum continues to move sideways within its current range. This phase reflects a balance between recovering demand and cautious market sentiment. Traders are closely watching for a breakout or rejection at nearby resistance.

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As conditions evolve, Ethereum’s next move will likely depend on whether buyers can sustain momentum above current levels. Until then, consolidation remains the dominant structure in the short term.

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Japan Advances Crypto Law With Tax Cuts, Trading Rules, and Bank Custody Plans

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TLDR:

  • Japan proposes classifying crypto assets under financial law to align them with traditional market regulations.
  • A flat 20% crypto tax replaces higher rates, while allowing traders to carry losses forward for three years.
  • Insider trading rules will now apply to crypto, aiming to improve fairness and transparency in trading activity.
  • Banks may soon offer crypto custody services, while new rules could support the launch of spot crypto ETFs.

Japan is moving to reshape its crypto sector through a new legal framework that places digital assets under financial regulation.

The proposed bill introduces trading rules, tax changes, and institutional access, marking a shift in how the country manages crypto markets.

New Legal Structure for Crypto Markets

Japan’s Financial Services Agency has submitted a bill that classifies cryptocurrencies as financial instruments. This move places digital assets under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act. As a result, crypto trading will follow rules similar to traditional financial markets.

The update gained wider attention after a post shared by Crypto Patel on X outlined the key changes. The tweet described new restrictions, disclosure rules, and tax adjustments tied to the proposed legislation. It also pointed to broader institutional participation in crypto markets.

One major update involves a ban on insider trading related to cryptocurrencies. This rule aligns crypto markets with existing financial regulations that govern stocks and other assets. It aims to reduce unfair trading advantages and increase trust among participants.

At the same time, the bill requires disclosures for 105 tokens, including Bitcoin and Ethereum. These disclosures are expected to improve transparency and provide clearer information for investors. Market participants will have access to standardized data, which may support more informed decisions.

The classification of crypto as a financial instrument also signals stricter oversight. Exchanges and related service providers may need to adjust operations to meet regulatory standards. This includes compliance measures tied to reporting and investor protection rules.

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Tax Reform and Institutional Access

The proposed framework introduces a flat 20% tax on crypto gains, replacing rates that previously reached up to 55%. This change simplifies the tax structure and aligns it more closely with traditional investment taxation.

In addition, traders will be allowed to carry forward losses for up to three years. This provision offers flexibility for those managing volatile portfolios. It also brings crypto taxation closer to systems used in equity markets.

Another key point from the shared tweet is the potential for banks to hold and custody cryptocurrencies. If approved, this would allow financial institutions to directly engage with digital assets. It may also expand services available to both retail and institutional clients.

The bill also opens the possibility for more spot crypto exchange-traded funds. These products could provide regulated exposure to digital assets through traditional investment channels. This development may attract new participants who prefer structured financial products.

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Taken together, these changes show a coordinated effort to integrate crypto into Japan’s financial system. Regulatory clarity, tax adjustments, and institutional access are all addressed within the same framework.

The proposed law now awaits parliamentary review, where further discussions may shape its final form. Market participants are closely watching the process as Japan refines its approach to digital asset regulation.

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Crypto World

$1.6 billion Ether Machine SPAC deal collapses over unfavorable market

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Pharos raises $44 million in Series A to power real-world asset tokenization

A planned $1.6 billion SPAC merger between Dynamix Corporation (DYNX) and crypto firm The Ether Machine has been terminated, over unfavorable market conditions, The Ether Machine said Friday.

The agreement, first unveiled in July 2025, aimed to take ether (ETH) treasury firm The Ether Machine public on Nasdaq under the ticker ETHM.

The company is designed to act as an Ethereum treasury and yield vehicle, generating returns through staking and decentralized finance strategies while holding large reserves of ether. It currently holds 496,712 ETH worth more than $1.1 billion, according to CoinGecko data.

Initially, the deal stood out for its scale. It included a $1.5 billion fully committed PIPE financing deal, described as the largest all-common-stock raise of its kind since 2021, alongside roughly $170 million held in Dynamix’s trust account.

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The combined company was expected to launch with more than 400,000 ETH on its balance sheet, backed in part by a contribution from co-founder Andrew Keys.

The merger has now been called off due to what the companies described as unfavorable market conditions. According to The Ether Machine, the two firms “mutually agreed to terminate” the deal. As part of the termination agreement, Dynamix will receive a $50 million payment within 15 days, according to a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

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