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MSTR stock eyes rebound, Strategy’s Michael Saylor: Bitcoin’s not for sale

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mstr stock

The MSTR stock price remains in a deep bear market amid the ongoing crypto winter.

Summary

  • The MSTR stock price could be on the verge of a strong bullish breakout.
  • Michael Saylor insisted that Strategy will not sell Bitcoin.
  • Instead, he believes that the company will keep buying Bitcoin forever.

Strategy was trading at $138 on February 10, down sharply from the all-time high of $542. Its market capitalization has slumped from a record high of over $133 billion to the current $39 billion.

Technical analysis: MSTR stock poised for rebound 

The weekly timeframe chart shows that the MSTR share price has remained in a bear market in the past few months as Bitcoin (BTC) has plunged from its all-time high of $126,300 to the current $69,000.

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There are signs that the stock is about to bottom. The most important sign is that the Relative Strength Index has plunged to 27, its lowest level since June 2022. 

Strategy, previously known as MicroStrategy, jumped by over 2,700% the last time the RSI moved to this level. It jumped from ~$20 to a record high of $542.

The spread of the two lines of the Percentage Price Oscillator has narrowed, a sign that a bullish crossover is possible. 

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At the same time, the stock has settled at the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level, a sign that a rebound may happen soon.

If this happens, the next key target to watch will be the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level at $216 followed by $232, its lowest level in March and April last year. 

mstr stock
MSTR stock price chart | Source: crypto.news

Saylor confirms Strategy will not sell Bitcoin 

Meanwhile, Saylor, the company’s founder and chairman, maintains his bullish outlook on Bitcoin, arguing that claims over whether the company would sell were unfounded and that he will continue buying.

Strategy bought 1,142 coins last week, bringing the total holdings to 714,644, which are now valued at over $49 billion. The company remains in the red, with an average cost per Bitcoin of $76,052.

Strategy’s balance sheet also has over $2.4 billion in cash, which is enough to cover dividends and debt maturities. He said:

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We have two-and-a-half years’ worth of dividends in cash, our net leverage ratio is investment grade. We will not be selling. Instead, I believe we will be buying Bitcoin every quarter forever.

Saylor believes that Bitcoin will eventually bounce back as it has done in the last crypto bear markets. He also expects the coin to outperform traditional assets such as gold and the stock market.

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Crypto World

Ether Funding Turns Negative, But Bears Remain In Control: Why?

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Ether Funding Turns Negative, But Bears Remain In Control: Why?

Key takeaways:

  • Ether price struggled as investors pulled $225 million from the spot ETFs, and Ethereum staking rewards underperformed compared to stablecoin yields.

  • Recent Ethereum network upgrades and plans for improved wallet security are positives, but fail to kickstart demand for Ether.

Ether (ETH) price has repeatedly failed to sustain levels above $2,100 over the past month, gradually eroding traders’ confidence in the altcoin. Even with a 7% rise between Monday and Tuesday, ETH derivatives metrics suggest a lack of interest in leveraged bullish positions, potentially signaling that bears remain in control.

ETH perpetual futures annualized funding rate. Source: Laevitas.ch

ETH perpetual futures dipped into negative territory on Tuesday, signaling increased demand for short (bearish) positions. More importantly, this metric has remained below the neutral 6% to 12% range for the past month. Part of this investor disappointment stems from a 54% price decline over six months, even though cooling onchain activity has also played a significant role.

Weekly base layer fees on the Ethereum network averaged $2.3 million over the past month, down from an $8 million peak in early February. While 7-day transaction counts stabilized near 14 million, the current industry focus on layer-2 rollup scalability has so far failed to generate fresh demand for native Ether.

ETH 30-day options delta skew (put-call). Source: Laevitas.ch

Contrary to perpetual futures markets, the ETH options risk gauge hovered near the neutral -6% to +6% range on Tuesday. Put (sell) options traded at a 7% premium relative to call (buy) instruments, suggesting confidence is slowly returning among Ether bulls. Furthermore, no competitor has yet challenged Ethereum’s $56 billion in total value locked (TVL).

Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw $225 million in net outflows between Thursday and Monday, reversing the $169 million in inflows seen on Wednesday. This metric serves as a proxy to institutional demand, which is currently held back by the 2.8% native staking reward rate. By comparison, stablecoin yields on Sky Lending (formerly MakerDAO) sat higher at 3.75%.

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Weak spot ETH ETF demand and concerns with Ethereum’s roadmap

Excitement surrounding the ETF staking approval in the US, which occurred in late 2025, has not yet translated into sustainable demand. One could argue that the negative outcome was simply a result of bad luck, as the launch coincided with a broader crypto market downturn that began in early October after total market capitalization neared a $4 trillion all-time high.

Related: Was Ethereum ‘ultrasound money’ a mistake? ETH down 65% vs. BTC since pivot

ETH/USD (blue) vs. total crypto capitalization (orange). Source: TradingView

ETH has underperformed the broader cryptocurrency market since October 2025, and there are no signs that a reversal is underway. Investor sentiment is also impaired by a staggering $735 million net loss from the Ethereum treasury firm Sharplink (SBET US) in 2025. The company, chaired by Ethereum co-founder Joseph Lubin, released these financial results on Monday.

The pace of native chain scalability might have contributed to Ether’s negative performance. For instance, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin said on Saturday that account abstraction, equivalent to smart accounts, will likely be shipped “within a year,” after more than a decade under development. Transactions will be able to reference each other’s data, enabling quantum-resistant wallets.

Another advantage of the upcoming Ethereum Hegota fork is paying gas fees in non-ETH tokens using special-purpose decentralized exchanges, while adding a “general-purpose public mempool” and removing “public broadcasters” in privacy platforms such as Railgun and Tornado Cash. Buterin also said that he expects “progressive decreases” of slot time and finality time in the long term.

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Overall, ETH derivatives and onchain activity point to low conviction in a bullish breakout above $2,200, but at the same time, there is no indication of worsening conditions or domination from bears.