Crypto World
One year ago today, the House passed CLARITY
In one week of July 2025, the House passed three crypto bills. One is law. One is law by accident and the President will not sign it. The third has not had a Senate vote in 365 days, and it was supposed to be the important one.
Summary
- On July 17, 2025, the House passed the CLARITY Act 294-134 with more than 70 Democrats crossing over, the strongest congressional endorsement of digital asset legislation in American history. It has not received a Senate floor vote in the year since.
- It was the middle bill of Crypto Week, when the House passed three digital asset measures in rapid succession. Tracking all three one year later produces a scorecard nobody in the industry wants to read aloud.
- GENIUS became law on July 18, 2025 and hits its first major rulemaking deadline tomorrow. The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act cleared the House 219-217, stalled, then reached law by riding inside a housing bill the President is refusing to sign.
- CLARITY is stuck on ethics. The merged Senate draft released July 14 omits the provision Democrats named as their price, and three senators declared opposition the same day.
- The pattern across all three is the same: what passed was what could be attached to something else or what nobody had a personal stake in blocking. CLARITY is neither.
Washington called it Crypto Week. In a handful of days in July 2025, the House of Representatives passed three digital asset bills in succession, and the industry treated the sequence as the moment its lobbying decade finally paid. The CLARITY Act cleared 294-134 on July 17. The GENIUS Act cleared 308-122 the same day and was signed into law on July 18. The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act squeaked through 219-217. Three bills, one week, one chamber, and a widespread assumption that the Senate was a formality. Today is the one-year anniversary of the first of those votes. Exactly one of the three arrived where it was supposed to. Tracking what happened to the other two explains more about how crypto legislation actually works than any amount of vote-counting on the bill still pending.
The bill that made it
GENIUS is the success case, and it is worth being precise about why, because the reason is not that it was the best bill.
It passed the Senate 68-30 in June 2025, cleared the House 308-122 on July 17, and was signed into law on July 18, creating the first federal framework for payment stablecoins. It reaches its first major rulemaking deadline on July 18, 2026, one year to the day. White House digital assets adviser Patrick Witt has repeatedly pointed to that anniversary as proof that coordinated action produces results, which is true and also somewhat beside the point.
GENIUS passed because almost nobody with power had a reason to stop it. Banks wanted rules for stablecoins because stablecoins were happening regardless and they preferred a framework they could live inside. The industry wanted legitimacy. Regulators wanted reserve requirements. The politics of requiring an issuer to hold full reserves in liquid assets and disclose them monthly are not politics at all; they are housekeeping. There was no ethics dimension, no jurisdictional turf war between agencies, and no obvious way for anyone in office to profit from the outcome in a manner that made colleagues uncomfortable.
That is the template for what Congress can pass on crypto. Narrow scope, clear beneficiary, no personal stakes. Note how little of that describes CLARITY.
The bill that made it by accident
The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act is the strangest entry on the scorecard, and its path is worth tracing because it shows what happens when a crypto bill cannot pass on its own.
It cleared the House by two votes, 219-217, which is not a mandate. Then it stalled. A promise to attach it to the defense authorization bill went unkept, which in Washington is a soft burial. It should have died there.
Instead it reached law by an unlikely route: a provision barring the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency through 2030 rode inside the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, a bipartisan housing package that passed the Senate 85-5 and the House 358-32. The crypto industry got its anti-CBDC win as a passenger on a bill about construction permitting.
And then the President refused to sign it. Not over the CBDC provision, which he supports, having argued that a central bank digital currency would threaten financial stability, individual privacy, and American sovereignty. He is withholding signature over the SAVE America Act, an unrelated elections bill demanding proof of citizenship and photo identification for federal voting. The housing measure becomes law without his signature once the ten-day window closes, so the maneuver functions as leverage instead of a veto. The CBDC ban arrives regardless, delivered by a President who declined to sign the vehicle carrying it.
The lesson is not subtle. A crypto priority that could not pass on its own merits became law by attaching itself to something that could, and then survived the President’s own obstruction because the mechanism did not require his cooperation. That is three separate accidents in a row producing the right outcome, and it is not a strategy anyone can repeat on purpose.
The bill that did not
Which brings us to CLARITY, and to the number that should embarrass everyone involved: 365 days on the Senate side with no floor vote.
The bill did not stall for lack of support in the abstract. It passed the House with more than 70 Democrats, which is the strongest bipartisan showing any crypto legislation has ever produced. It cleared the Senate Banking Committee 15-9 on May 14, 2026. On June 1 it was placed on the Senate Legislative Calendar under General Orders as Calendar No. 423, making it eligible for a floor vote at any moment leadership chooses to schedule one. Nobody has scheduled one.
The arithmetic explains part of it. Cloture requires 60 votes. Republicans hold roughly 53 seats, so the bill needs at least seven Democrats. Only two crossed over in committee, Ruben Gallego and Angela Alsobrooks, and both subsequently warned that their committee votes do not guarantee floor support absent further progress. The Republican margin has since narrowed further: Senator Lindsey Graham died on July 11 and Mitch McConnell has been absent, which leaves the conference almost no room for error.
But the arithmetic is downstream of the actual obstacle, which is ethics. Democrats have conditioned their votes on provisions restricting government officials from profiting from the industry they regulate. The reason such a provision exists is that the President’s most recent financial disclosure showed roughly $1.4 billion in crypto-related income, including about $636 million from the memecoin bearing his name and more than $500 million tied to World Liberty Financial. The merged Senate draft combining the Banking and Agriculture texts was released on July 14 and omits any ethics provision. That same day, Senators Chris Murphy, Chris Van Hollen, and Jeff Merkley held a press conference formally opposing the bill.
The rest of the picture is a machine running out of track. Majority Leader John Thune has pledged a floor vote before the August recess, with the week of July 20 under active discussion. The House leaves July 23; the Senate leaves around August 7. A high-level White House meeting was convened on July 15 to hash out the ethics section, with the President himself in attendance. The White House crypto adviser begins military leave on July 27, inside the closing window. A House field hearing convenes at Federal Hall today. Prediction markets have priced 2026 passage in the mid-20s to upper-30s percent range, down from above 70% earlier in the year, and Galaxy’s research head cut his estimate to roughly 50% from 75% in late May. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig has publicly complained that ethics additions are derailing the bipartisan opportunity, calling it mission creep.
The bull case for the anniversary meaning nothing
The optimistic reading is that a year is not long by legislative standards and the anniversary is a media artifact rather than a signal.
Major financial legislation routinely takes multiple Congresses. Dodd-Frank was a crisis response and still consumed most of a year with a supermajority. The fact that CLARITY sits on the calendar eligible for a vote, with committee work finished in both relevant committees, is genuinely further than any market structure bill has ever reached. House Agriculture’s digital assets subcommittee chair has said the House will move fast on whatever the Senate produces, which removes one procedural obstacle entirely: if the Senate delivers a passable text, the House has committed to compressing its own timeline to nothing.
The negotiation is also live rather than dead. A White House meeting with the President attending is not what a corpse looks like. Senators from both parties, including Gillibrand, Lummis, Boozman, and Scott, are described by House Financial Services Chair French Hill as working to get to yes. Kristin Smith of the Solana Policy Institute points to returning lawmakers and fresh bill text as evidence momentum is building. Three working weeks is short but it is not zero, and Congress passes things in the final hours as a matter of institutional habit.
And crucially, the absence of CLARITY has not left a vacuum. The SEC and CFTC joint interpretation of March 17, 2026 classified 16 named digital assets, including Bitcoin, Ether, and XRP, as digital commodities under a five-category taxonomy. That framework is binding on both agencies and is already being cited in fund registration statements. The industry has a working rulebook. The bill would improve it; the bill’s absence has not stopped the market from operating.
The bear case for the anniversary meaning everything
The pessimistic reading is that a year of failure on a bill with 70 Democratic House votes tells you the obstacle is structural, and structural obstacles do not resolve because a calendar page turns.
The compliance cost is the part the vote-counting misses. Businesses cannot build durable compliance programs against jurisdictional lines that remain uncertain, which means the gridlock is not a political story but an operating one, and it has now run for a full year. Firms have responded exactly as they have since 2018, by domiciling offshore, which means the activity continues and American oversight does not.
The taxonomy that makes the bull case is also the bear case. It is administrative action. Any future administration can direct its agencies to reinterpret without a congressional vote. So the industry’s working rulebook is a reversible one, and the entire argument for CLARITY is that a reversible rulebook is not a rulebook. If the bill dies, what protects Bitcoin, Ether, and XRP from a future enforcement posture is one interpretive release from an agency whose position changed once already because its leadership changed.
Then there is the political clock, which does not reset. If CLARITY misses the August recess, it lands in a fall calendar that runs directly into November midterms, when legislative activity slows and the bill’s outlook becomes hostage to a chamber composition nobody can predict. The lame-duck session is the theoretical fallback and it is where well-positioned bills go to be forgotten.
And the ethics impasse has no natural resolution. Democrats argue it is incoherent to build a federal framework for digital assets while the sitting President earns his largest income stream from those assets with no enforceable restriction. The White House position, per Witt, is that it will accept ethics language applying across the board, from the president to the intern, but nothing targeting the President’s holdings specifically. Both positions are internally consistent. Together they are irreconcilable without a concession, and the July 14 draft showed which way the drafting is currently leaning.
The thing a year of delay actually cost
Vote math is the wrong lens for the anniversary, because it measures whether the bill will pass instead of what its absence has already done. A year is long enough for the delay itself to become the story.
Start with the offshore drift, which is not theoretical. Firms domicile where the rules are legible. For a year, American builders have faced a jurisdictional question with no statutory answer, and the rational response has been to incorporate elsewhere, serve American users through structures designed by lawyers, or simply exclude Americans outright. Robinhood’s Stock Tokens are the clean illustration: tokenized equity products available across more than 120 countries and barred to US persons, built by an American brokerage. That is not a company fleeing regulation. It is a company reading the rules that exist and concluding that the safest jurisdiction for its newest product is anywhere else.
Then the compliance cost, which Forbes framed correctly this week: the gridlock has stopped being a political problem and become an operating one. A firm cannot build a durable compliance program against lines that may move. It cannot hire against them, budget against them, or sign multi-year vendor contracts against them. Every quarter of delay is a quarter in which the responsible actors, the ones who would comply if told how, spend money on legal opinions instead of product, while the irresponsible ones proceed exactly as before. Regulatory uncertainty is a tax that falls hardest on the firms most inclined to follow rules.
Then the institutional opportunity cost, which is the largest and least visible. The March taxonomy unlocked a great deal: fund issuers now cite it in registration statements, and accredited investors can structure compliant holdings without waiting for GENIUS implementation in November. But an interpretive release is not what a pension committee wants underneath a multi-decade allocation. Institutions do not ask whether an asset is currently permitted. They ask whether it will still be permitted after the next election, and the honest answer today is that nobody can promise it. That question has a statutory answer or it has no answer, and for a year it has had no answer.
The rebuttal deserves stating: none of that stopped the market. Spot volumes on centralized exchanges rose for the first time in five months in June, climbing 15.3% to $1.11 trillion, and real-world-asset perpetual volumes hit a record $311 billion. Tokenized Treasury products passed $15 billion. The industry is not waiting politely for permission, and the argument that legislation is existential looks weaker every quarter the sector functions without it.
Both readings are true, which is the uncomfortable part. The market does not need CLARITY to operate. The market needs CLARITY to stop rebuilding its legal assumptions every time an administration changes. Those are different needs, and only one of them shows up in a volume chart.
What the scorecard actually shows
Line the three bills up and a pattern emerges that is more useful than any individual vote count.
GENIUS passed because it was narrow and nobody with leverage had a personal reason to block it. The anti-CBDC provision passed because it stopped trying to pass and hitched a ride on something that could, then survived presidential obstruction because it did not need his signature. CLARITY has not passed because it is broad, it touches agency turf, and the one person whose endorsement it carries most loudly is also the reason its opponents will not vote for it.
The uncomfortable implication is that the American legislative system handled crypto’s easy questions and has not handled its hard one. Stablecoin reserves are an easy question. Whether the Fed can issue a digital dollar is a question with a clear partisan valence and an available vehicle. Who regulates the entire digital asset market, and whether the officials writing that answer may personally profit from it, is a hard question, and hard questions require someone to give something up.
A year ago today, the House answered the hard question 294-134 and the industry declared victory. The Senate has spent the twelve months since proving that the House vote was the easy part. Whether the next three weeks change that will come down to a room in the White House and whether anyone in it is willing to trade. If they are not, the anniversary that matters will not be this one. It will be the second one.
Disclaimer: This article is for information and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. It describes pending legislation and the political debate around it, and legislative outcomes are inherently uncertain. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Always do your own research. Information is accurate as of July 17, 2026, and this situation is developing quickly.
Frequently Asked Questions
What happened one year ago today?
On July 17, 2025, the House of Representatives passed the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act by a vote of 294-134, with more than 70 Democrats joining Republicans. It was the strongest congressional endorsement of digital asset legislation in American history and part of what Washington called Crypto Week, during which the House passed three crypto bills in rapid succession.
What was Crypto Week?
A stretch of July 2025 in which the House passed the CLARITY Act 294-134, the GENIUS Act 308-122, and the Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act 219-217. GENIUS was signed into law on July 18, 2025. The anti-CBDC measure stalled before reaching law inside a housing bill. CLARITY passed to the Senate and has not received a floor vote since.
Did the GENIUS Act become law?
Yes. It passed the Senate 68-30 in June 2025 and the House 308-122 on July 17, 2025, and was signed on July 18, 2025, creating the first federal framework for payment stablecoins. It requires US payment stablecoin issuers to hold full reserves in liquid assets and disclose composition monthly, and it reaches its first major rulemaking deadline on July 18, 2026.
What happened to the anti-CBDC bill?
It cleared the House 219-217, then stalled when a promise to attach it to the defense bill went unkept. A provision barring the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency through 2030 later rode inside the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act. The President has refused to sign that package over an unrelated elections bill, but it becomes law without his signature once the ten-day window closes.
Why has CLARITY not had a Senate vote?
Primarily ethics. Democrats have conditioned support on provisions restricting officials from profiting from the crypto industry, prompted by the President’s disclosure of roughly $1.4 billion in crypto income. The merged Senate draft released July 14 omitted any ethics provision, and Senators Murphy, Van Hollen, and Merkley announced opposition the same day. Disputes over DeFi developer protections and stablecoin yield also remain live.
What are the odds it passes in 2026?
Traders have grown sharply more pessimistic. Prediction markets priced 2026 passage in roughly the mid-20s to upper-30s percent range in mid-July, down from above 70% earlier in the year. Galaxy’s research head cut his estimate to about 50% from 75% in late May. Those figures move quickly and should be checked against current markets.
What is the deadline?
The House leaves for recess on July 23 and the Senate around August 7. Majority Leader John Thune has pledged a floor vote before the recess, with the week of July 20 under discussion. After that, the bill lands in a fall calendar running into November midterms, when the outlook becomes considerably harder to predict.
What governs crypto in the meantime?
The SEC and CFTC joint interpretive release of March 17, 2026, which classified 16 named assets including Bitcoin, Ether, and XRP as digital commodities under a five-category taxonomy. It is binding on both agencies and is cited in fund registration statements. But it is administrative action, not statute, so a future administration could direct a reinterpretation without any congressional vote, which is the central argument for passing the bill.
Crypto World
Trump targets Brazil’s payments system while dollar stablecoins are quietly overtaking country’s payments
Dollar-linked stablecoins already account for roughly 90% of crypto transaction volume in Brazil, most of it used for payments and settlement, according to tax authority data.
Brazil processes between $6 billion and $8 billion in crypto each month, much of it using dollar-denominated stablecoins instead of the country’s own currency.
However, even as dollar stablecoins have proliferated, Brazil’s central bank has moved to limit their role in regulated cross-border payments. Resolution 561, effective October 1, is set to bar payment firms from settling cross-border payments in stablecoins or other crypto, closing a back-end channel that had routed reais through dollar tokens. The central bank has cast stablecoins as a threat to monetary sovereignty, tax enforcement and anti-money laundering controls.
Pix now faces pressure from both sides after Washington named it a trade barrier, while Brazilian regulators shield it from growing competition from dollar-backed stablecoins.
Pix, however, may not be competing with stablecoins.
“In practice, they are complementary,” Rodrigo Caggiano, founder of Brazilian real-world asset monitoring platform RWA Monitor, told CoinDesk. “Pix has addressed domestic instant payments well, while stablecoins expand what is possible by operating on blockchain networks.”
U.S. pressure is likely to accelerate Brazil’s regulatory debate on stablecoins and digital financial infrastructure, Caggiano said, as the central bank builds its own tokenized-settlement system, Drex, on similar programmable rails.
Crypto World
DeFi users are missing out on $150 million a year. Here’s why
Around 54% of liquidity in positions below $1,000 was out of range, compared with 26% for positions above $1 million. Yet positions worth more than $1 million accounted for 47% of all idle capital, or roughly $260 million.
While contract-managed positions stayed within a more consistent range, individual wallets accounted for between 82% and 94% of the attributed idle capital on Uniswap v3, depending on the chain. That suggests liquidity deposited directly by users and requiring manual adjustments is more likely to go unattended and fall out of range.
Dune estimated that these out-of-range providers, that are sitting idle, could be missing roughly $150 million in fees each year, based on a blended in-range fee APR of about 35%.
Liquidity providers deposit token pairs that decentralized exchanges use to complete swaps. They earn a share of the fees paid for trades using that liquidity pool while their positions remain in the range they set.
However, the research said that the figure is not guaranteed recoverable income. Keeping positions active can add transaction costs, execution risk and exposure to unfavorable price movements.
1inch commissioned the research ahead of the planned launch of Aqua, a new liquidity protocol. Dune said it developed the methodology and reached its conclusions independently.
Crypto World
Meta Reportedly In Talks With Anthropic Over a $10 Billion AI Deal
Meta is reportedly in talks to lease computing power to Anthropic in a deal worth as much as $10 billion over two years, according to the New York Times.
The arrangement would open a new business line for Meta while easing Anthropic’s desperate hunt for compute.
Inside the Reported Meta and Anthropic Compute Deal
Computing power, or compute, refers to the data center capacity used to train and run artificial intelligence models. The Anthropic proposal, first announced in June, would let the startup rent Meta’s excess infrastructure rather than build its own facilities.
According to the NTY, Anthropic would pay Meta in monthly installments over the two-year period, with an early-exit clause available to either party.
The scale still looks modest by industry standards. The proposal runs about a third of the deal Anthropic signed with Elon Musk’s SpaceX in May.
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Under that agreement, the AI firm pays roughly $1.25 billion monthly, or $45 billion over three years, for computing power. Similar early-exit provisions reportedly applied to that larger contract as well.
The talks remain in early stages and may still collapse before closing. Both Anthropic and Meta declined to comment on the reported negotiations.
The context explains the urgency. Leading AI companies are racing to secure compute, while Meta, Google, and Microsoft pour hundreds of billions into new data centers worldwide.
That construction boom has unsettled Wall Street. Investors increasingly question whether such extraordinary levels of spending can ever be justified by real returns.
“Anthropic needs a lot of compute, and Meta has a lot of compute. Anthropic has really good models. Meta, until very recently, didn’t have very good models, and now they have, you know, I would say an A-minus to B-tier frontier model,” MTS’s Theo Jaffee said.
Why Would Meta Rent Compute to a Direct Rival
For Meta, a potential deal would carry unusual weight. It could create fresh revenue and ease pressure from shareholders skeptical of the company’s aggressive infrastructure budget.
Mark Zuckerberg has said Meta will spend as much as $145 billion this year, most of it on AI. That figure more than doubles the $72 billion spent the previous year.
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Doubts about Meta’s own models add another layer. The company has admitted it might build more data centers than its AI products currently require.
Selling that surplus offers an obvious fix. Zuckerberg hinted on a May investor call that outside firms regularly ask to buy compute at a premium.
He said Meta had resisted so far because it still expected to use the capacity internally. Overbuilding, however, would make leasing the surplus a far more logical option.
The growing scarcity of compute has pushed direct rivals toward cooperation. Anthropic, valued near $1.2 trillion and preparing to go public, has seen demand surge since launching Claude Code.
Meta itself already rents capacity elsewhere, including a $21 billion CoreWeave deal and a $27 billion agreement with Nebius. Rising compute prices now let the company consider renting its own centers out to others.
The post Meta Reportedly In Talks With Anthropic Over a $10 Billion AI Deal appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
France Blocks Polymarket Ahead of World Cup 3rd Place Match
France’s gambling regulator has ordered internet providers to block access to Polymarket. The order comes days before Les Bleus face England in the FIFA World Cup 2026 bronze medal match.
The National Gambling Authority, known as the ANJ, has labeled the platform an illegal betting operation. It also flagged manipulation risks just as the prediction interest around the fixture builds.
France’s Regulator Moves to Cut Off Access
The ANJ’s president instructed French internet providers to block Polymarket entirely, calling the platform’s offering illegal. The regulator said Polymarket attracts a particularly large audience while promoting an illegal gambling and betting offering.
The agency also flagged manipulation risks tied to some Polymarket wagers. That adds pressure on a platform facing scrutiny across Europe’s Polymarket bans. The Netherlands already threatened steep fines earlier this year.
A Pattern Stretching Well Beyond France
France now joins a lengthening list of regulators pushing back. Kentucky’s attorney general filed a prediction market lawsuit against Polymarket and Kalshi this year. Australia tightened gambling ad restrictions around live sports broadcasts.
Polymarket, meanwhile, has kept courting friendlier jurisdictions. The company is reportedly pursuing a Japan approval push, targeting Tokyo by 2030.
The split shows a clash between wary regulators and Polymarket. Regulators worry about consumer harm. Polymarket insists its contracts serve legitimate price discovery, not gambling.
Bettors Still Favor Les Bleus
None of that scrutiny has cooled interest in today’s third-place playoff. That mirrors a broader surge in World Cup prediction markets throughout the tournament. Polymarket’s live market prices France at 67 cents to beat England. That implies roughly a 67% chance for Les Bleus.
The French ban does not reach bettors abroad. But it signals regulators are no longer willing to wait for prediction markets to police themselves. Whether Polymarket adapts its French offering or simply walks away remains an open question heading into kickoff.
The post France Blocks Polymarket Ahead of World Cup 3rd Place Match appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Here Are Four Important Crypto Stories You Might Have Missed This Week
It’s easy to get lost in the sea of news coming daily in the cryptocurrency world, from bitcoin price volatility to regulatory battles in Washington and everything in between. Sometimes, interesting stories are just passed by.
Here are four of the most intriguing news developments that went live in the past week and you might have missed.
North Korea-Linked Dev at MetaMask
According to an internal script obtained by Drop Site News, Consensys, the entity behind the popular Ethereum wallet MetaMask, confirmed that a consultant introduced through a third-party provider was later found to have links to North Korea. The reason for concern is that the country’s authorities have long employed hackers to infiltrate popular cryptocurrency projects, find or insert vulnerabilities, and later exploit them for their own benefit.
The developer in question worked with MetaMask for about a month and contributed to code related to the wallet before their access was terminated. Consensys said it temporarily suspended product releases to investigate the incident but found no evidence that assets or data were stolen, malicious code was deployed, or users were affected.
Knaken Goes Bankrupt
A Rotterdam court declared the local crypto exchange Knaken bankrupt after prosecutors alleged that approximately €7 million ($7.6 million) in customer funds were missing and could not be accounted for. Users were unable to access the platform for approximately a month since it halted operations in June.
The court concluded that Knaken did not have enough assets to repay all customers. This collapse comes at an intriguing time as the European Union just implemented its MiCA requirements, and it raises questions about how effectively the new regulatory framework can protect customers from platforms operating without the required authorization.
Injective Submits TA-1
The team behind the popular blockchain project said they submitted Form TA-1 to the US SEC to register as a transfer agent. If approved, Injective could maintain official ownership records for tokenized securities directly on-chain.
Transfer agents traditionally record ownership changes, process transfers, and help issuers maintain shareholder records. However, Injective’s new approach aims to represent a practical attempt to connect public blockchains with regulated US capital markets rather than simply using unregulated stock representations.
Injective has filed its transfer agent registration with the SEC, marking a major step towards becoming a leading blockchain with a regulated pathway to issue securities onchain.
This advances RWA market infrastructure in the New Internet Economy, right here in the US. pic.twitter.com/u97CMk1rBT
— Injective
(@injective) July 16, 2026
Robinhood Chain Gains ETH Traction
Robinhood Chain’s first couple of weeks of existence have been quite overwhelming, especially for Ethereum. Reports emerged a few days ago that over $70 million worth of the altcoin was already bridged to the newly launched chain.
These significant early inflows suggest impressive interest in the new ecosystem, but the real test will be whether the liquidity remains after this initial hype period and develops into sustained trading and application usage. Is this indeed demand for tokenized assets rather than short-term speculative activity?
The post Here Are Four Important Crypto Stories You Might Have Missed This Week appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
$2.5 billion in BTC call spreads target $72,000 by the month end when the Fed meets
“This week we have seen some large blocks in BTC topside call spreads,” Jean-David Péquignot, chief commercial officer at Deribit, told CoinDesk.
Options flow of this size and repetition often reflects institutional positioning rather than retail activity, given the capital required and the precision of the strike selection.
The timing is notable for two reasons. First, it suggests confidence in bitcoin’s recent bounce to $64,000 from under $58,000 earlier this month. More importantly, the trade targets the July 31 settlement, two days after the Federal Reserve’s July 29 interest rate decision. The call spread flow suggests that at least some large traders expect the meeting to serve as a catalyst for a move toward $72,000.
Fed funds futures currently point to a hold at the July meeting, with most trackers putting the probability of the central bank keeping its benchmark rate unchanged at 3.5%-3.75% in the 75%-80% range. The remaining odds are split between a rate hike and, to a lesser extent, a cut.
Rate-hike fears have ebbed following June inflation data, which showed a sharp deceleration in price pressures at both the consumer and producer levels. Much of the relief traces to a sharp pullback in oil prices during the month, tied to a ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran; core inflation, which strips out food and energy, was flat.
Crypto World
Analyst Says Long-Term Bullish Setup Could Take Ethereum to $22K
Ethereum (ETH) could be entering the final stage of a long-term bullish pattern that eventually sees it go as high as $22,000, according to new analysis shared by pseudonymous crypto commentator NoName on July 17.
While the projection is highly speculative, it has added to a growing debate over whether ETH’s June lows marked the start of a broader recovery.
Analyst Points to Long-Term Chart Patterns After ETH Rebound
According to a chart the market watcher shared on X, since 2021, Ethereum has been building what technical analysts call an expanding diagonal, consisting of five waves, with each successive wave becoming larger than the last one. They pointed out that the first four waves were already done, with the fourth having found support between $1,072 and $1,385.
“That’s the floor this entire structure was building toward,” NoName explained, adding that expanding diagonals often end with a fifth wave that breaks above the previous cycle high. They also compared ETH’s structure to a historical Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) fractal and said that both charts have a similar formation and could produce a similar breakout. Based on that interpretation, the projected target is anywhere from $12,000 to $22,000.
“Same structure, same resolution,” wrote the analyst. “Wave 5 target: 12k-22k.”
They also described ETH as “one of the most underpriced assets on the market” currently, suggesting that many people had given up on it, which could create an opportunity for long-term investors.
Another analyst, Crypto Patel, reached a similar conclusion using a different framework. In his version, he said that Ethereum has been following a Wyckoff accumulation pattern that could eventually lift the asset toward $10,000 by 2027 or 2028, provided the recent swing low around $1,500 remains intact. The trader also identified resistance between $2,400 and $2,600 and called it the first major hurdle the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency will have to overcome before any larger advance in its price could begin.
CryptoQuant contributor CW8900 also struck an optimistic note, sharing data showing that Ethereum wallets holding more than 100,000 ETH have gone back to green following the latest rebound. According to him, whales have only fallen into loss during major market bottoms, and their return to profit on many occasions has coincided with either a sustained rally or a meaningful short-term recovery.
The Other Side of the Coin
In June, ETH went very close to the $1,500 level, but softer-than-expected US inflation data released this week helped push it up to its highest level in a month and a half at $1,940 before sellers dragged it back below $1,900.
At the time of writing, CoinGecko data showed the asset trading close to $1,800, having dropped by about 5% in 24 hours but still up more than 3% during the past week.
But while those recent gains have improved sentiment, the market is not all rowing in the same direction. According to analyst Crypto Rover, a repeating 1,369-day cycle points to a scenario where ETH could move back below $1,500 before a lasting bottom forms.
The post Analyst Says Long-Term Bullish Setup Could Take Ethereum to $22K appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
AI Future Forum 2026 in Dubai!
On December 1–2, 2026, in Dubai, alongside Blockchain Life 2026 — one of the world’s largest events for Web3, crypto, mining, and AI — the all-new AI Future Forum takes the stage.
Expect visionary founders, global investors, breakthrough AI projects, robotics, and the technologies that will shape the next decade of the digital economy.
With 15,000+ attendees from 130+ countries and 200+ industry-leading speakers, the AI Future Forum is set to become the world’s premier destination where AI, Web3, and crypto leaders come together to shape what’s next.
What awaits participants?
🔹 A full week of live networking with key players from around the world: 2 days of the forum, hundreds of side events, exclusive meetings, and the Formula 1 Grand Prix Final.
🔹 200+ top speakers: leading AI experts, founders of technology companies, investors, representatives of top AI startups, and leaders of the digital industry. The focus will be on the practical application of AI, its integration with crypto and business, and the technologies shaping the new digital economy.
🔹 A large-scale expo zone: 200+ leading companies in robotics, AI development, Web3 projects, and the most progressive startups.
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Crypto World
Tokenization has become a strategic priority for 84% of financial firms
On Wednesday, DTCC completed its first live production trades involving tokenized securities, marking a major step toward bringing blockchain technology into traditional financial markets.
Broadridge’s findings suggest those efforts are influencing the broader industry. Sixty-eight percent of respondents said tokenization will at least partially reshape financial markets within the next three to five years, while nearly one-third plan to increase investment in tokenization projects by 26% to 50% or more over the next two years.
The survey also found firms are not preparing for an all-onchain future. Instead, 92% expect digital and traditional assets to coexist for the foreseeable future, and 69% plan to integrate tokenization into existing infrastructure rather than build separate blockchain-native systems.
That mirrors the approach taken by many large financial institutions, which have generally focused on connecting blockchain networks to existing trading, custody and settlement systems instead of replacing them.
Adoption remains uneven across the industry. Forty-four percent of capital markets firms said they already have tokenization initiatives in production or operating at scale, compared with 20% of asset managers and 9% of wealth managers.
The survey also pointed to where firms expect tokenization to gain traction first. About 80% of respondents believe tokenized mutual funds and money market funds will play a meaningful role within five years, reflecting the rapid growth of tokenized Treasury products. By comparison, only about half expect tokenized equities to achieve similar adoption over that period.
Crypto World
Kaspersky Flags Malware Framework Targeting Crypto Investors
Cybersecurity researchers are flagging a fresh wave of malware tactics aimed at people who hold, build, and advise on crypto-related software. Kaspersky, for instance, says it has discovered a new malware framework—dubbed OkoBot—that targets cryptocurrency investors by combining social engineering with data theft capabilities.
At the same time, SlowMist warns of a separate intrusion campaign that targets Web3 developers through seemingly legitimate recruitment messaging on LinkedIn, pushing victims to run poisoned code hosted on GitHub. Together, the incidents underscore how attackers are increasingly using everyday work routines—interviews, code trials, and app installs—as delivery mechanisms for malware.
Key takeaways
- OkoBot is designed to steal crypto-related data by harvesting wallet files, browser information, credentials, and injected browser or extension activity.
- Kaspersky says it has observed multiple OkoBot-linked attacks since January 2026, and that the framework evolved from an earlier campaign called TookPS.
- OkoBot’s infrastructure reportedly routes all payload delivery through an SSH tunnel, enabling remote data transport to attacker-controlled systems.
- SlowMist reports LinkedIn-based “recruiter” scams that deliver malicious GitHub repositories disguised as technical interview tasks for Web3 developers.
- The recruitment workflow mirrors legitimate developer interviews closely enough to lower suspicion, increasing the chance victims will run the malicious code.
OkoBot targets crypto holders through wallet and browser theft
In a report released this week, Kaspersky described OkoBot as a malware framework that kickstarts an infection chain using social engineering and “malicious app” delivery tactics. According to Kaspersky, the initial entry includes tricks such as ClickFix, which aims to persuade users to execute harmful commands, as well as trojanized GitHub applications that can introduce a backdoor to a compromised device.
Once a system is under attacker control, Kaspersky says OkoBot is capable of collecting sensitive information that is directly relevant to crypto ownership. The company reports that the malware can:
- Harvest cryptocurrency wallet files.
- Extract browser data and user credentials.
- Inject malicious extensions.
- Capture wallet application windows, potentially enabling theft through on-screen or session-related data.
Kaspersky also stated that it identified multiple attacks using this malware family since January 2026. For investors, the practical concern is not only that wallets could be accessed, but also that browser activity and stored authentication data can be used to move faster toward account takeovers or transfer operations.
How the infrastructure works: payload orchestration via SSH
A notable detail in Kaspersky’s analysis is that OkoBot allegedly differs from prior campaigns by how it manages its malicious payloads. Kaspersky said the framework orchestrates all 20 malicious payloads via an SSH tunnel, which supports remote transport of data from compromised computers to systems controlled by attackers.
That matters because it points to an operational model where the attacker retains strong control over follow-on stages after initial compromise. Instead of relying solely on static behavior, a tunneled architecture can help attackers adapt to victims and collect information more reliably, depending on what the malware finds on each host.
Kaspersky also described OkoBot as an evolution of TookPS, a malware campaign first identified in 2025 that distributed a Trojan downloader through fake software websites. By evolving from an earlier delivery approach and adding more coordinated payload handling, the OkoBot framework appears positioned to increase both infection success and post-compromise effectiveness.
LinkedIn recruitment scams push Web3 devs into running poisoned repositories
Separate research from SlowMist focuses on a different target set: Web3 developers. In a report published on Saturday, the firm said attackers are reaching developers through LinkedIn messages that impersonate Web3 recruiters.
SlowMist’s description of the workflow suggests attackers are deliberately choosing a high-trust, familiar entry point. After initial contact, victims are sent what appear to be fake GitHub repositories, framed as a “minimum viable product” that the developer should install and try before an interview.
The technique is effective, SlowMist argues, because it resembles a real technical interview process. The report notes that a legitimate developer workflow often involves pulling code, installing dependencies, and launching a project—steps victims naturally perform while preparing for an interview. In that environment, malicious code can be less obvious, especially if the victim does not expect a security risk from a repository “connected” to a recruiting conversation.
What attackers aim to steal from developer systems
SlowMist said the end goal is to deliver a complete remote access trojan to the victim’s device. Once established, the malware could enable attackers to steal sensitive materials associated with development and operations, including project keys, cloud credentials, or data tied to wallet extensions.
SlowMist also emphasized that the recruitment approach is part of a broader pattern: attackers are increasingly leveraging scenarios such as recruitment, code reviews, and project collaborations to trick developers into running malicious repositories. In other words, this is not only about deception, but also about timing—waiting for the moment a developer is likely to execute code as part of normal work.
Importantly, this LinkedIn-focused warning came after SlowMist reported another campaign targeting macOS users. That earlier effort, as SlowMist described it, aimed to steal credentials and hijack Telegram sessions in order to coerce victims into submitting wallet recovery phrases through fake websites. While the TTPs differ between the campaigns, both point to the same underlying threat: attackers are methodically chaining social engineering and credential theft to ultimately compromise crypto access.
Going forward, both reports suggest readers should watch for more “legitimate-looking” pathways into compromise—especially where code execution is requested via recruiters, interview workflows, or third-party repositories. For investors and developers alike, the immediate question is not only whether malware is present, but whether attackers can leverage everyday trust and authenticated sessions to reach wallet-relevant secrets quickly.
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(@injective)
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