Crypto World
Polymarket signs LeBron James for football campaign
LeBron James teased an upcoming partnership with Polymarket on Sept. 5, placing the NBA star alongside a growing group of athletes and professional leagues working with prediction-market companies.
Summary
- LeBron James confirmed an upcoming Polymarket partnership through a 14-second social media teaser Saturday publicly.
- CNBC reported the initial campaign will focus on American football, not rugby, citing one source.
- Neither James nor Polymarket has disclosed payment terms, ownership interests or campaign responsibilities yet publicly.
- NBA rules permit non-basketball endorsements while restricting player ownership stakes in NBA-related wagering companies directly.
- Polymarket has expanded sports partnerships across MLB, MLS, NHL, ATP Tour and individual teams recently.
James shared a 14-second video showing him entering a fictional Polymarket headquarters and selecting a floor marked for sports. “Welcome to Polymarket HQ. Coming soon,” he wrote.
The post confirms that a partnership exists but provides no details about James’s role. Neither James nor Polymarket has disclosed the duration, compensation, ownership terms or specific promotional commitments.
CNBC reported that the companies are preparing a larger marketing campaign focused initially on American football. The outlet cited one person familiar with the plans who was not authorized to speak publicly.
The campaign is therefore not confirmed as rugby-related. The available report specifically identifies American football, while James’s public teaser refers only to Polymarket’s broader sports business.
The confirmed announcement remains limited to a teaser
James’s post is the only direct public confirmation from either party. Representatives for James and Polymarket declined to provide CNBC with further comments beyond the video.
The anonymous source said additional details could emerge during the week beginning Sept. 7. Until then, descriptions of James as a shareholder, brand ambassador or permanent spokesperson would go beyond the available evidence.
The video shows James arriving at “Polymarket HQ” before entering the sports section. It does not display a particular league, team, contract or market.
An American football campaign would let James promote Polymarket without directly advertising markets connected to NBA games. That distinction matters because the NBA’s collective bargaining rules place tighter limits around wagering businesses offering basketball-related products.
The partnership arrives before the start of the 2026–2027 NBA season in mid-October. James is preparing for his 24th NBA season after joining the Philadelphia 76ers, according to CNBC’s report.
Polymarket has hosted markets related to James, including contracts tied to his next team and retirement. No available statement explains whether those markets will change or whether James’s agreement restricts his involvement with NBA-related contracts.
NBA rules restrict how players can join wagering companies
The NBA’s current collective bargaining framework allows active players to endorse sports-betting and fantasy-sports companies through general brand campaigns or promotions focused on non-NBA sports.
Players may also hold passive, non-controlling interests in companies offering NBA-related wagers, but such ownership is generally limited to less than 1%. James has not said that his Polymarket agreement includes equity.
The undisclosed structure is important because prediction markets offer event contracts tied to sports outcomes. Polymarket describes these instruments as tradable contracts, while state gaming regulators have argued that many sports markets function like conventional wagers.
James is not the first NBA player to work with a prediction-market company. Giannis Antetokounmpo became a passive shareholder in Kalshi in February and agreed to participate in marketing and live events.
Kalshi said Antetokounmpo would not trade contracts tied to NBA outcomes. James and Polymarket have not announced comparable restrictions, although existing NBA gambling rules continue to apply.
Prediction markets also create a possible conflict when platforms offer contracts about their own athlete partners. Polymarket previously listed a market tied to James’s next team that attracted substantial trading activity. The company has not said whether it will introduce additional markets concerning James during the partnership.
The NBA has separately asked federal regulators to address sports event contracts. In a submission to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the league called for stronger integrity protections and raised concerns about products tied to individual player performance.
Polymarket is expanding before the football season
Polymarket has been reorganizing its marketing operation ahead of the fall sports calendar. The company hired Bird founder Travis VanderZanden as chief growth officer during the summer.
VanderZanden previously worked at Uber and Lyft before founding the electric-scooter company. In announcing his new role, he said many people still viewed prediction markets mainly as tools for elections and sports, while he saw a broader opportunity.
The LeBron campaign could give Polymarket access to an audience beyond active prediction-market traders. James had more than 50 million followers on X, and his teaser attracted millions of views after publication.
The marketing push follows strong growth across the wider prediction-market sector. Combined monthly volume across Polymarket and Kalshi had risen from less than $5 billion in September 2025 to around $24 billion by April 2026. Coinbase later described event contracts as its fastest-growing product, with prediction-market volume expanding faster than its earlier services.
Polymarket is also reportedly seeking approximately $1 billion from investors at a valuation near $21 billion. The proposed round is not complete, and its final valuation could differ. A Donald Trump Jr.-linked investment firm reportedly plans to lead the round.
Intercontinental Exchange, the owner of the New York Stock Exchange, is already Polymarket’s largest institutional backer. ICE has invested in the platform and indicated it could participate again if its involvement assists a future financing.
Sports partnerships now cover leagues and teams
Polymarket has expanded beyond individual marketing campaigns by signing agreements with sports leagues, data providers and professional teams.
Its partnerships include Major League Baseball, Major League Soccer, the National Hockey League, UFC and the ATP Tour. It has also worked with the New York Yankees and New York Rangers.
The platform’s MLB agreement was followed by a broader data partnership with Sportradar covering around 300,000 matches annually across more than 20 leagues and competitions. The arrangement expanded Polymarket’s access to official data used for pricing and resolving sports contracts.
Polymarket’s recent growth included an estimated $1 billion annualized revenue rate and wider distribution across U.S. sports. However, at least 20 states have challenged sports prediction markets as forms of unlicensed gambling.
State regulators argue that federal derivatives oversight should not override local gaming laws. Prediction-market operators maintain that event contracts fall under the CFTC’s exclusive jurisdiction when offered through federally regulated infrastructure.
Congress has also examined proposals that could restrict sports event contracts. Gaming groups urged U.S. lawmakers to stop platforms from offering products resembling sportsbook wagers, while industry representatives defended the federal framework. A House hearing examined whether sports contracts require tighter restrictions.
The regulatory dispute does not invalidate James’s partnership. It does mean the campaign will operate while courts, states and federal regulators are still determining where prediction markets may offer sports contracts.
More partnership details are expected this week
The next confirmed milestone is the release of the broader campaign. CNBC’s source said details were expected during the coming week, but neither company announced a precise date.
The disclosure could clarify whether James is serving as a general ambassador, participating in specific football promotions or receiving an ownership interest. It may also explain any restrictions involving basketball markets.
Polymarket must balance the campaign’s reach against the integrity concerns created when active athletes promote platforms that offer contracts tied to professional sports.
The choice of American football would provide some separation between James’s NBA role and the first promotional events. However, only the final agreement and campaign materials can establish the scope of that separation.
Until those details arrive, the confirmed news remains narrow: James publicly announced an upcoming Polymarket partnership, and CNBC reported that its first major campaign is expected to focus on American football.
Crypto World
Stablecoins could enter M1 or M2, Fed study says
Federal Reserve researchers proposed a framework on Sept. 4 for deciding how stablecoins and other blockchain-based financial products could fit within U.S. money supply statistics.
Summary
- Federal Reserve researchers said payment stablecoins could eventually qualify for inclusion within M1 or M2.
- Everyday payment use would support M1 classification, while short-term value storage would point toward M2.
- Tokenized bank deposits already appear within existing monetary aggregates because they remain legally conventional deposits.
- Retail tokenized money market funds are already included within M2 alongside traditional retail funds today.
- Stablecoin measurement still faces reporting, reserve double-counting and global circulation problems before any statistical inclusion.
Payment stablecoins are not currently included in M1 or M2, but their future classification could depend on how households and businesses use them.
The authors, Kristen Payne and Mary-Frances Styczynski, examined payment stablecoins, tokenized bank deposits and tokenized money market funds in a Federal Reserve study. They considered both the economic function of each asset and whether reliable data could be collected without counting the same money twice.
The authors stressed that the paper reflects their personal views. It does not represent a Federal Reserve policy decision or an active deliberation over changing the monetary aggregates.
Payment stablecoins could fit in M1 or M2
The Federal Reserve publishes three monetary aggregates. The monetary base covers physical currency and bank reserves. M1 includes highly liquid money that can be spent on demand. M2 includes M1 plus less liquid savings products, such as small time deposits and retail money market funds.
Under the researchers’ framework, an asset used mainly as a medium of exchange would normally belong in M1. An asset used primarily for short-term savings would be more consistent with the non-M1 portion of M2.
Payment stablecoins could fall into either category. Tokens used for household purchases, business payments or instant transfers would share the transactional features of M1. Stablecoins used primarily to trade cryptocurrencies or store value temporarily would resemble assets placed in M2.
The researchers used USDC as the closest existing comparison, while noting that few payment stablecoins currently operate under the GENIUS Act framework. USDC is widely used as an on-chain settlement asset, but users also hold it between trades or place it in products offering indirect rewards.
The distinction cannot be settled by the technology alone. A dollar token can move instantly while still functioning mainly as a savings or trading instrument. The researchers therefore proposed observing its dominant use before assigning a classification.
This functional approach also explains why the Federal Reserve previously changed its definitions. In 2020, savings deposits moved into M1 after regulatory changes made them more readily transferable. The latest H.6 release continues to measure M1 and M2 according to liquidity and economic use.
Stablecoin reserves create a double-counting risk
Adding stablecoins to M1 or M2 would not be as simple as counting every token in circulation. Issuers hold reserve assets supporting those tokens. Some of those assets may already appear elsewhere in the monetary aggregates.
A stablecoin reserve can contain bank deposits, Treasury bills and other permitted liquid instruments. Bank deposits already appear in M1 or M2. Retail government money market funds may also form part of M2. Counting the stablecoin alongside those reserve holdings could inflate the measured money supply unless statisticians make an adjustment.
Treasury bills do not form part of M1 or M2. As a result, the size of the adjustment would depend on each issuer’s reserve composition rather than the stablecoin’s total circulation alone.
The GENIUS Act’s disclosure requirements could provide part of the necessary data. The law requires permitted issuers to publish information about their reserve holdings. However, regulators still need common reporting standards that identify circulating supply, reserve composition and potentially inaccessible or frozen tokens.
Implementation remains unfinished. The OCC’s proposed regulations address reserves, redemptions, risk management and issuer supervision. The agency has not completed the final rule, as covered in crypto.news’ report on the delayed GENIUS Act rulemaking process.
Stablecoin circulation also extends beyond U.S. borders. A token issued by a regulated U.S. company can pass between wallets anywhere. Public blockchains normally reveal addresses and transactions, but not the holder’s reliable geographic location. The researchers said separating domestic circulation from international use may therefore require additional reporting.
Tokenized deposits are already counted as money
Tokenized deposits require different treatment because they remain liabilities of regulated banks. Tokenization changes how the deposit is recorded and transferred, but does not automatically change its legal or economic character.
A tokenized checking deposit remains immediately accessible and can function as a medium of exchange. It is therefore included in M1 alongside conventional checking deposits. A tokenized small time deposit would remain a savings product and enter the non-M1 portion of M2.
However, banks already report these balances through the same regulatory forms used for traditional deposits. The Federal Reserve does not currently separate tokenized balances from deposits maintained through conventional banking systems.
The researchers found no additional double-counting problem for tokenized deposits. Their underlying bank assets, including loans and securities, are generally outside the monetary aggregates. Vault cash is already adjusted when the Federal Reserve calculates currency held by the public.
Separate reporting could still become useful. Tracking tokenized deposits independently would give researchers a clearer view of how quickly banks and customers are adopting blockchain settlement. Several institutions are already testing this model, including projects covered in crypto.news’ examination of the differences between tokenized deposits and stablecoins.
More recent banking initiatives have also explored shared networks for programmable deposits and corporate payments. Unlike stablecoins, these instruments represent direct claims against an issuing bank, as explained in related coverage of U.S. banks developing shared deposit tokens.
Tokenized money market funds remain in M2
Tokenized money market funds represent shares in regulated investment funds rather than bank deposits or payment stablecoins. Investors hold a security backed by short-term assets and receive the income produced by the portfolio.
Retail money market funds already form part of M2. Tokenizing their shares does not remove them from that category. They remain commingled with traditional fund shares in data supplied through the Investment Company Institute.
The researchers classified these funds mainly as stores of value. Although blockchain transfers can occur quickly, converting fund shares into cash still requires redemption. That process typically takes one or two business days.
Tokenized funds are increasingly used as collateral, in cross-border transactions and for on-chain lending. If direct payment use eventually becomes their main function, the authors said their classification could be reconsidered. That is a conditional assessment, not a planned change.
The products also differ from stablecoins in who receives the return. Tokenized money market funds generally pass portfolio income to shareholders, while payment stablecoin issuers retain reserve income under the model examined by the researchers. Crypto.news has further explained the legal and economic structure of tokenized money market funds.
Any change requires data standards and a Fed decision
The research does not create a timetable for adding stablecoins to M1 or M2. It instead identifies the tests that would need to be satisfied before the Federal Reserve could publish reliable figures.
Officials would need standardized circulation data, a consistent reporting channel and a method for deducting reserve assets already captured elsewhere. They would also need to decide whether the statistics should include global holdings of U.S.-issued tokens or only holdings associated with domestic users.
Stablecoin use would then need to be assessed over time. Predominantly transactional use would support M1, while trading and savings behavior would support M2. A mixed pattern could require a more detailed statistical treatment.
Until those questions are resolved and the Federal Reserve formally changes its methodology, payment stablecoins remain outside the published U.S. monetary aggregates. The Sept. 4 paper offers an analytical path, but it does not establish new policy.
Crypto World
Bitcoin at $80K Is Stronger Than It Looks: BTC Is Surviving a Perfect Storm of Bearish News
Bitcoin tried and failed on several occasions to decisively break above the crucial $80,000 level, but perhaps the more important question is why it hasn’t dumped much further.
After all, the macro landscape is anything but bullish given the renewed attacks between the US and Iran, the hawkish Fed, and the surprisingly strong jobs data.
BTC Should Be Hurting
The latest geopolitical developments arrived this weekend as the two warring parties exchanged fresh attacks after Iran’s Revolutionary Guard launched ballistic missiles against two US Navy vessels. The US subsequently struck three Iranian crude oil carriers, while the Middle Eastern country also targeted tankers and US-linked vessels in waters around the Strait of Hormuz.
The escalation matters far beyond geopolitics as Brent crude climbed toward $100 per barrel again amid renewed concerns about energy supplies. Higher oil prices can directly feed into inflation, making the Federal Reserve’s decision next week even harder.
The US central bank has become another issue for BTC. Chair Kevin Warsh adopted a distinctly more hawkish tone at Jackson Hole last week, emphasizing that inflation remains too high and that the Fed could still have “work to do.”
The odds for a September rate hike jumped after the speech and went even higher after Friday’s jobs report. It showed that the US economy added 162,000 jobs in August, almost triple expectations of 56,000, while unemployment remained unchanged at 4.1%.
Although that’s good news for the economy, risk assets do not benefit as the hope for easier monetary policy fades given the higher inflation.
September rate hike odds jumped to 65% at their peak. The two-year Treasury yield reached its highest level since January 2025, the greenback strengthened, and stocks came under pressure.
Bitcoin dropped by $3,000 initially, but rebounded swiftly.
Absorbing Bad News
All of the above creates an atmosphere highly unfavorable for risk-on assets like BTC. Yet it remains at $80,000 even during the weekend when the attacks in the Middle East resumed, and it’s up roughly 25% over the past month.
Part of the explanation for why the cryptocurrency has performed so well comes from the ETF performance. The funds continue to attract significant amounts, with Thursday being a prime example. Over $730 million entered the ETFs, the highest single-day level since January.
What’s even more impressive is that gold has lost a significant portion of its gains charted after the mid-August rally, while BTC holds strong. However, this doesn’t guarantee that BTC cannot fall. In fact, there are two major threats in the next 10 days or so.
First, it’s the CPI, which arrives on September 11. A hotter-than-expected inflation reading, especially after the rise in oil prices, could push expectations for a rate hike even further.
Then it’s the conclusion of the FOMC meeting on September 16. An increase in the rates combined with hawkish guidance from Warsh could finally push BTC through key support levels, as discussed yesterday.
The post Bitcoin at $80K Is Stronger Than It Looks: BTC Is Surviving a Perfect Storm of Bearish News appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Arbitrum co-founder defends Robinhood’s 90% fee share
Offchain Labs co-founder Steven Goldfeder and Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko exchanged competing views on Sept. 6 over why Robinhood built its blockchain using Arbitrum technology instead of operating applications directly on Solana.
Summary
- Offchain Labs co-founder Steven Goldfeder said Robinhood retains roughly 90% of net chain revenue generated.
- Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko argued Robinhood could instead monetize users through application-level fees directly itself.
- Robinhood Chain routes 10% of net protocol revenue to the broader Arbitrum ecosystem under agreements.
- Eight percentage points go to Arbitrum DAO, while two support its developer guild funding program.
- Robinhood Chain recorded $6.04 million daily fees, retaining approximately $5.44 million after costs and sharing.
Goldfeder argued that Robinhood can retain roughly 90% of its chain revenue under the Arbitrum Expansion Program. A Solana-based application would pay network fees without receiving the underlying chain’s revenue, he said.
“Robinhood chose Arbitrum so they could be a landlord and not a tenant,” Goldfeder wrote. His comment responded to Yakovenko’s position that Robinhood could subsidize Solana transaction fees while charging users through its own application.
The debate followed a sharp rise in Robinhood Chain activity. The network recently collected $6.04 million in daily transaction fees and retained about $5.44 million after expenses and its Arbitrum revenue-sharing obligation.
Robinhood keeps 90% of net revenue, not gross fees
Goldfeder’s 90% figure reflects the Arbitrum Expansion Program’s share of net protocol revenue. It should not be interpreted as Robinhood automatically retaining 90% of every gross fee paid by users.
Under the program, Robinhood Chain sends 10% of its net protocol revenue to the Arbitrum ecosystem. Eight percentage points go to the Arbitrum DAO treasury, while two percentage points fund the Arbitrum Developer Guild.
Net revenue is calculated after relevant network expenses, including the cost of posting transaction data to Ethereum. Robinhood’s actual retained amount therefore depends on gross transaction fees, Ethereum data costs, infrastructure expenses and the Arbitrum payment.
The arrangement has already produced measurable results. Robinhood Chain collected a record $6.04 million in transaction fees during its latest 24-hour reporting period and retained approximately $5.44 million. The figures show the network keeping about 90% after associated costs and allocations.
The network also generated $20.33 million in revenue over seven days. Maintaining that rate for a full year would produce approximately $1.06 billion, but such annualization is only a projection based on a brief period of unusually high activity.
The latest Robinhood Chain fee record followed rapid growth in memecoin trading, token launches and decentralized exchange volume. GMGN, Pons and Uniswap accounted for much of the application activity.
Yakovenko says applications can collect fees on Solana
Yakovenko’s argument focuses on the application layer. Robinhood could deploy its services on Solana, subsidize transaction costs and charge customers through its interface, avoiding the expense of operating a separate Layer 2 network.
This approach could work for transactions initiated through Robinhood’s application. Brokerages can charge commissions, spreads, subscription fees or service fees without controlling the blockchain underneath their products.
Goldfeder countered that this model would not capture value from activity occurring outside Robinhood’s interface. Third-party wallets, trading bots, decentralized exchanges and token launchpads can interact directly with blockchain contracts.
Robinhood would pay to subsidize transactions initiated by its customers on Solana but would receive none of the network fees produced by independent users. Solana validators and stakers would receive those fees instead.
On Robinhood Chain, the company operates the network’s sequencing infrastructure. This allows it to collect transaction fees from activity across the chain, including transactions that bypass Robinhood’s front end.
Recent data supports Goldfeder’s point about outside activity. Memecoin launchpad Pons and trading platform GMGN have become large contributors to Robinhood Chain’s traffic. Many transactions generated by those applications do not originate through Robinhood’s brokerage interface.
The economic distinction is therefore broader than the cost of individual transactions. Yakovenko’s model lets Robinhood monetize its customers at the application level. Goldfeder’s model lets Robinhood capture revenue generated across an entire network.
Robinhood Chain still pays Ethereum and Arbitrum
Robinhood does not retain all the value generated by its blockchain. Robinhood Chain is an Ethereum Layer 2 built using Arbitrum Orbit, rather than an independent Layer 1.
The network uses ETH as its native gas token and posts transaction data to Ethereum using blobs, according to Robinhood’s documentation. Each transaction includes an execution component and a data-availability component.
The L2 execution fee covers computation performed on Robinhood Chain. The L1 data fee pays for publishing transaction information to Ethereum. Both components are bundled into the amount presented to users.
Robinhood also pays the Arbitrum ecosystem’s 10% share of net protocol revenue. Consequently, the “landlord” description refers to Robinhood’s control over its own chain and sequencer, not complete independence from outside infrastructure.
As an earlier examination of the revenue-sharing arrangement reported, Robinhood received a branded network, EVM compatibility, existing Ethereum tools and technical support in exchange for part of its net revenue.
Building a new Layer 1 could theoretically allow Robinhood to retain more revenue. It would also require the company to develop and maintain its own execution, consensus, bridging and security infrastructure.
Using Solana would remove the need to operate those components. However, Robinhood would become an application on infrastructure it did not control and would not collect the network’s transaction fees.
Gas subsidies complicate the revenue comparison
Robinhood launched its chain with a 90-day gas subsidy for transactions conducted through Robinhood Wallet. The subsidy is scheduled to expire on Sept. 29.
The promotion means eligible wallet users do not directly pay gas during the subsidy period. Robinhood covers those costs. However, the subsidy does not necessarily cover every transaction conducted by independent applications and wallets across the network.
That distinction is central to the founders’ debate. Goldfeder argued that much of Robinhood Chain’s activity now occurs beyond the Robinhood front end. The company can collect fees from those transactions because it operates the underlying chain.
Robinhood Chain’s activity increased rapidly during the subsidy. Its daily decentralized exchange volume recently reached approximately $1.71 billion, while total value locked in native protocols stood near $1.17 billion.
The network has also exceeded Solana in daily chain revenue during some reporting periods. However, direct comparisons require caution because the networks have different cost structures, subsidies, fee markets and validator arrangements.
The Robinhood Chain and Solana comparison identified the subsidy’s expiration as a major test. User activity could fall when customers begin paying gas, or Robinhood could extend or restructure the program.
The fee debate will become clearer after Sept. 29
The first major test arrives when the gas subsidy expires. Post-subsidy data will show how many Robinhood Wallet users continue transacting when they must pay their own network costs.
It will also show whether independent activity from Pons, GMGN, Uniswap and other applications remains strong. These applications have contributed heavily to the network’s recent fee growth.
A detailed onchain investigation by Bitquery found that Robinhood Chain’s gas price increased roughly 25-fold within 11 days. The report attributed much of the additional demand to a limited group of heavily active wallets.
The concentration creates uncertainty over whether current fee revenue is sustainable. A decline in activity from several large addresses could reduce transaction fees even if total user numbers continue rising.
Robinhood has not publicly announced whether it will extend the subsidy beyond Sept. 29. It also has not disclosed how network revenue will appear in its financial reporting.
There was no verified movement in HOOD, SOL, ETH or ARB directly attributable to the founders’ exchange. Linking broader market fluctuations to their comments without additional evidence would be speculative.
The commercial question will remain whether owning a Layer 2 produces more value than deploying an application on an existing Layer 1. Robinhood Chain’s first unsubsidized operating period will provide the clearest evidence.
Crypto World
Uniswap V4 leads tokenized stocks with $59M TVL
Uniswap V4 held $59.1 million in tokenized stock deposits as of Sept. 6, making it the largest decentralized finance venue for the category, according to Token Terminal.
Summary
- Uniswap V4 held $59.1 million in tokenized stock deposits, leading Token Terminal’s latest market snapshot.
- Kamino Lend ranked second with $41.7 million, while Uniswap V3 held another $20.9 million overall.
- The three platforms controlled approximately 63% of the category’s reported $192.6 million DeFi TVL combined.
- Solana hosted $79.1 million in deposited tokenized stocks, the largest blockchain total reported overall currently.
- Robinhood-issued stocks contributed $73.1 million, while xStocks supplied $63.9 million across DeFi venues combined overall.
Solana-based Kamino Lend ranked second with $41.7 million. Uniswap V3 followed with $20.9 million, Token Terminal’s data showed. Together, the three venues accounted for $121.7 million, or approximately 63.2% of the measured category.
Total tokenized stock DeFi TVL stood at approximately $192.6 million. The figure measures equity-linked tokens deposited into decentralized exchanges, lending markets and related applications. It does not represent the total value of tokenized equities issued across blockchains.
Token Terminal defines total value locked as the value of onchain deposits and, in some cases, the tokenized value of user deposits made offchain. The metric changes when assets enter or leave protocols and when the prices of the underlying shares move.
Uniswap V4 leads through tokenized stock liquidity
Uniswap V4’s $59.1 million primarily represents tokenized shares supplied to liquidity pools. Users deposit paired assets into these pools so other participants can trade without relying on a conventional order book.
Uniswap V3 held another $20.9 million, bringing the two versions’ combined tokenized stock deposits to $80 million. That equals approximately 41.5% of the $192.6 million measured by Token Terminal.
The comparison between Uniswap and Kamino requires context. Uniswap is a decentralized exchange, meaning its deposited assets primarily support token swaps and market liquidity. Kamino Lend is a lending protocol where tokenized stocks can serve as supplied assets or collateral.
Both activities count toward DeFi TVL, but they perform different functions. Exchange liquidity supports trading. Lending deposits let holders borrow against their positions or receive interest from borrowers. TVL alone does not measure trading volume, borrowing demand or revenue.
The growth forms part of a broader rise in productive uses for tokenized assets. Real-world asset deposits across decentralized applications increased from $2.3 billion to $7.4 billion between the second quarters of 2025 and 2026. During that period, tokenized asset spot volume grew approximately 220% even as wider decentralized exchange activity declined.
Tokenized stock DeFi TVL remains concentrated
The three leading venues controlled more than three-fifths of the measured category. All remaining applications collectively held approximately $70.9 million in tokenized stock deposits.
That concentration creates operational dependencies. A technical failure, pricing problem or major liquidity withdrawal at one leading venue could affect a considerable portion of the market. However, the deposits remain distributed across separate smart contracts and blockchains.
Token Terminal’s network breakdown showed that Solana hosted $79.1 million in tokenized stock DeFi deposits, the largest total among tracked blockchains. Kamino accounted for a substantial share, alongside other Solana trading and lending applications.
Robinhood Chain and Ethereum also hosted material deposits. Robinhood launched its mainnet in July as an Ethereum Layer 2 supporting equity-linked tokens and decentralized applications. Eligible users can trade tokenized stocks and deploy them within DeFi, including through lending pools and decentralized exchanges.
Token Terminal’s issuer data showed another form of concentration. Robinhood-issued stocks contributed $73.1 million to DeFi TVL, while xStocks accounted for $63.9 million.
Together, Robinhood and xStocks supplied $137 million, or approximately 71.1% of the category total. Other issuers and tokenization providers accounted for the remaining $55.6 million.
Issuer concentration has also appeared in ownership data. In July, the number of tokenized equity holders across five platforms reached 752,000, following 92% growth over 30 days. Robinhood held a 44% share of those users, while Ondo and xStocks led by issued asset value.
Deposits do not always provide direct share ownership
Tokenized stocks use different legal structures. Some are backed by conventional shares held with custodians. Others are structured as debt instruments or contractual claims designed to track an equity’s economic value.
Owning a token therefore does not always provide voting rights, dividends or the legal status of a conventional shareholder. Rights depend on the issuer’s terms, reserve structure, jurisdiction, custody arrangements and redemption process.
Token Terminal describes Robinhood’s tokenized SoFi product as providing one-to-one price exposure to the U.S.-listed company. Its description of Ondo’s tokenized ASML product says the asset is structured as a debt instrument whose payable value changes with the underlying security.
Robinhood’s products have attracted scrutiny over this distinction. AMC Entertainment CEO Adam Aron said his company had no role in Robinhood’s AMC-linked token. The products provide economic exposure without giving holders direct ownership in the represented companies, as AMC sought legal advice over unauthorized stock tokens.
Other providers are developing models intended to confer stronger ownership rights. Base and Coinbase have said they are preparing tokenized equities backed one-to-one by underlying shares. However, key custody and transfer details remain undisclosed, and no launch date has been confirmed.
These differences matter when tokens enter lending pools. Users assume the smart-contract risk of the DeFi venue alongside the custody, legal and counterparty risks attached to the underlying token.
DeFi deposits remain below total equity issuance
The $192.6 million held in DeFi represents only part of the broader tokenized stock market. CoinShares and Token Terminal estimated that approximately $2.2 billion in equities had been tokenized during the second quarter.
The difference shows that most issued tokenized equities have not been deposited into decentralized lending or trading applications. Assets may remain in customer wallets, centralized platforms or issuer-controlled systems.
Tokenized stocks were already one of the fastest-growing real-world asset categories by holder count. However, onchain equities remain small beside global stock markets, which are valued in excess of $100 trillion.
FWDI and SPYx ranked among the largest individual assets deposited across the tracked venues, according to Token Terminal’s asset breakdown. Their positions indicate that both individual-company and broad-market products can attract onchain liquidity.
Trading has also become concentrated in particular products. Tokenized QQQ generated much of the category’s decentralized trading activity in July, when tokenized stock volume increased by 288%.
More tokenized equities could enter DeFi
The range of assets available to DeFi applications is expected to grow. Payward plans to tokenize the 100 largest London-listed equities through its xStocks framework.
The London Stock Exchange intends to support the products through its planned LSE 24 venue, subject to regulatory approval. The collaboration will also examine issuer-sponsored equity tokens. The London Stock Exchange and Payward partnership could expand xStocks beyond its existing U.S., European and Asian-linked products.
The new London-listed xStocks are expected to appear on Kraken and other supporting platforms before the planned exchange integration. They are not currently available to U.K. investors, and their addition does not guarantee immediate deposits into Uniswap or lending protocols.
Future data will show whether Uniswap V4 retains its lead or whether lending markets capture more tokenized equity deposits. Relevant measures include pool liquidity, borrowing demand, collateral performance, trading volume and issuer concentration.
There was no verified market reaction directly attributable to Token Terminal’s report. UNI and KMNO respond to wider market conditions, while the deposited assets do not represent revenue belonging to either token’s holders.
Crypto World
Hyperliquid burns $830K in HYPE near record high
Hyperliquid repurchased and burned approximately 9,730 HYPE tokens during the 24 hours ending Sept. 6, according to blockchain data published by Onchain Lens.
Summary
- Hyperliquid bought and burned 9,730 HYPE worth approximately $829,500 during the latest 24-hour reporting period.
- The purchases averaged $85.27 per HYPE, according to Onchain Lens’s public blockchain tracking data snapshot.
- Cumulative burns reached approximately 48.42 million HYPE, equal to 4.84% of maximum token supply overall.
- HYPE traded near $86 after the report, remaining below its latest record high price level.
- Hyperliquid’s Assistance Fund converts most eligible trading fees into automated open-market HYPE purchases and burns.
The transactions were worth about $829,500 at an average purchase price of $85.27 per token. The latest activity increased the amount of HYPE classified as burned to approximately 48.42 million tokens.
That total represents about 4.84% of HYPE’s original maximum supply of 1 billion tokens. At a price of roughly $85.50, the cumulative balance would be valued near $4.14 billion.
The $4.14 billion figure is a mark-to-market calculation. It does not represent the amount Hyperliquid spent acquiring the tokens. The Assistance Fund purchased HYPE at different prices over time, and Onchain Lens did not publish a cumulative acquisition cost in its latest update.
Hyperliquid burns HYPE through its Assistance Fund
Hyperliquid uses an automated mechanism called the Assistance Fund to direct most eligible protocol fee revenue toward open-market HYPE purchases. The tokens are then removed from circulating and total supply under the network’s burn framework.
The protocol’s current documentation states that HYPE held by the Assistance Fund is burned permanently. Hyperliquid’s validators formally recognized the fund’s accumulated HYPE as burned following a governance process in December 2025.
Before that decision, the Assistance Fund accumulated tokens at a system address that lacked a conventional private key. Although market observers often treated those tokens as removed from circulation, the governance decision formally committed validators against approving an upgrade that could restore access.
The mechanism links token purchases directly to activity on Hyperliquid. Greater trading volume and fee generation provide more resources for HYPE purchases. Lower activity reduces the amount available. The program therefore has no fixed daily repurchase level.
An earlier examination of Hyperliquid’s fee-funded buyback mechanism found that roughly 97% to 99% of applicable protocol fees were directed to the Assistance Fund, depending on the market and fee category.
Priority fees follow a different process and are burned directly. The Assistance Fund should also not be confused with HLP, the protocol’s separate market-making vault.
The 48.42 million HYPE figure needs context
Multiplying 48.42 million HYPE by the reported $85.27 average produces approximately $4.13 billion. However, $85.27 was the average price for the latest 9,730-token purchase, not the historical average cost of all burned tokens.
The reported $4.14 billion total instead reflects what the cumulative tokens would be worth at current market prices. It can rise or fall without additional burns because HYPE’s market value changes continuously.
The supply calculation is more direct. Dividing 48.42 million by the original 1 billion maximum supply produces 4.842%, matching the approximately 4.84% reported by Onchain Lens.
Current data providers may display a maximum or total supply below 1 billion because previously burned tokens have already been deducted. CoinGecko, for example, listed HYPE’s fully diluted supply near 955 million tokens on Sept. 6 rather than the original maximum.
Those differences do not mean additional tokens disappeared without explanation. They reflect whether a data provider uses the original authorized maximum or a burn-adjusted supply figure. Writers comparing burn percentages should specify which denominator they use.
The burn also does not transfer cash directly to HYPE holders. HYPE is not company stock, and token ownership does not provide a legal claim on Hyperliquid Labs’ revenue. The mechanism reduces token supply and creates open-market demand, but it does not guarantee a higher price.
HYPE traded near its record after the burn
HYPE traded around $86 on Sept. 6, according to market data from CoinGecko. It gained approximately 2.6% over 24 hours and remained less than 2% below its reported record of $88.06.
CoinGecko recorded about $865 million in 24-hour trading volume and placed HYPE’s circulating market capitalization near $19.2 billion. Other platforms showed prices between approximately $85 and $87 during the same period, reflecting normal differences between venues and collection times.
The price increase occurred alongside the latest burn, but the timing alone does not prove that the 9,730-token purchase caused the movement. HYPE also responds to derivatives activity, broader market conditions, token unlocks, demand for network staking and expectations surrounding protocol revenue.
At an average price of $85.27, the latest $829,500 purchase represented a small fraction of HYPE’s daily trading volume. Its immediate price effect therefore cannot be isolated from other orders without more detailed market data.
The broader buyback program is more material because it operates repeatedly. Research published in May found that the Assistance Fund had been buying approximately $1 million in HYPE per day on average, although the amount varied with protocol revenue and token prices.
Crypto projects collectively spent a record amount on repurchases during 2026, with Hyperliquid and Pump.fun accounting for most tracked buybacks. The programs differ in funding sources, implementation and treatment of repurchased tokens.
Additional revenue could fund future HYPE burns
Hyperliquid added another potential source of Assistance Fund revenue through its aligned quote asset framework in August. AQAv2 directs most cost-adjusted reserve yield from eligible stablecoins toward the protocol.
For USDC, approximately 90% of cost-adjusted reserve income is expected to reach the Assistance Fund. Coinbase acts as the treasury deployer, while Circle provides the stablecoin’s issuance and cross-chain infrastructure.
The USDC reserve-yield arrangement began operating in August, but the first payment is scheduled for Oct. 3 because of an initial grace period and the framework’s settlement schedule.
The payment amount remains unknown. It will depend on the USDC supply deployed on Hyperliquid, prevailing reserve yields, operating costs and other terms. Any estimate before the first transfer would be forward-looking.
Until then, trading fees remain the main observable driver of Assistance Fund purchases. Daily burn totals will continue to change with platform activity and HYPE’s market price. A higher token price allows the same dollar amount to purchase fewer HYPE tokens, while a lower price increases the number removed for an equal expenditure.
Future burn reports should therefore be assessed through three separate measures: the number of HYPE removed, the money spent during the period and the token’s prevailing price. Combining them into a single dollar figure can obscure how the mechanism is performing.
Crypto World
Binance launches PONS and Hajimi perpetual futures
Binance Futures launched two USDT-settled perpetual contracts on Sept. 6, adding markets for Pons (PONS) and the Chinese meme coin 哈基米, commonly rendered as Hajimi.
Summary
- Binance Futures launched PONSUSDT and HajimiUSDT perpetual contracts on September 6, settled entirely in USDT.
- Both contracts trade continuously, require five USDT minimum notionals and settle funding every four hours.
- PONS previously joined Binance Alpha, while neither futures launch guarantees a Binance Spot listing afterward.
- Binance’s announcement conflicts on PONS leverage, publicly showing both twenty times and three times limits.
- Hajimi rose about 248% in the initial snapshot, while PONS gained approximately 24% daily.
The PONSUSDT contract opened at 06:45 UTC. HajimiUSDT followed at 07:15 UTC, according to Binance’ announcement. Both products allow eligible traders to take leveraged positions without owning the underlying tokens.
The launches followed sharp price increases for both assets. At the time of the initial report, PONS traded near $0.891 after gaining about 23.9% over 24 hours. Hajimi was quoted near $0.0584 following an approximately 248.5% increase.
Later information on Binance Alpha showed Hajimi near $0.070 and up more than 330% over 24 hours. The difference reflects the token’s rapid movement and the timing of each price snapshot. These figures describe past trading conditions and do not establish a continuing trend.
Binance futures contracts use USDT settlement
PONSUSDT and HajimiUSDT are USDⓈ-margined perpetual contracts settled in USDT. Perpetual contracts have no scheduled expiration date. They use recurring funding payments to help keep their prices aligned with the relevant underlying markets.
Binance set the minimum order at one token for each contract. Each order must have a notional value of at least 5 USDT. The PONSUSDT tick size is 0.0001, while HajimiUSDT uses a smaller 0.00001 tick.
Both markets operate continuously, subject to maintenance and risk controls. Their funding rates are initially capped at positive or negative 2%, with funding settled every four hours. The cap does not mean traders will always pay or receive 2%. The applicable rate changes according to conditions in each market.
Multi-Assets Mode is supported. This feature lets eligible traders use approved assets other than USDT as margin, subject to Binance’s collateral haircuts and account rules. Binance said it would also make the contracts available for Futures Copy Trading within 24 hours of their launch.
Binance’s PONS leverage details contain a conflict
The published material provides inconsistent information about maximum PONSUSDT leverage. Its introductory summary says PONSUSDT offers up to 20x leverage and HajimiUSDT offers up to 3x.
However, the contract specifications table lists 3x as the maximum for both markets. That discrepancy remains material because leverage determines the amount of collateral required and how quickly an adverse price movement can trigger liquidation.
Until Binance corrects or clarifies the notice, traders should check the leverage and margin brackets displayed on the live PONSUSDT trading interface. Those operational settings determine which positions users can actually open.
Binance also reserves the right to change leverage, initial margin, maintenance margin, funding rates and tick sizes in response to market risk. Any later adjustment could therefore replace the limits shown in the launch announcement.
Even 3x leverage can create substantial losses in highly volatile markets. A roughly 33% adverse move can theoretically consume the starting margin of a fully leveraged 3x position before fees and maintenance requirements are considered. Liquidation can occur earlier because exchanges require positions to retain maintenance margin.
PONS futures follow its earlier Binance Alpha addition
Pons describes itself as a non-custodial token launchpad built on Robinhood Chain, an Ethereum Layer 2 network. Its native PONS token was added to Binance Alpha several days before the futures launch.
The Alpha addition gave Binance Wallet users access to the token but did not amount to a regular Binance Spot listing. The new perpetual contract also does not change that status. Binance explicitly says that futures and spot listing decisions are separate.
Pons had already recorded fast growth before the derivatives announcement. The protocol reported $5.95 million in daily fees in early September, while its token reached a then-record price above $0.52. The project also recorded more than $719 million in cumulative decentralized exchange volume at the time.
The figures were covered when Binance Alpha added PONS and FLORK. PONS subsequently climbed above the level reported in that earlier coverage. Crypto.com showed the token near $0.890 with approximately $200 million in daily trading volume on Sept. 6, broadly supporting the price cited around the Binance futures launch.
In related coverage, Uniswap Labs purchased PONS without disclosing the size, price or structure of the purchase. That transaction should not be interpreted as a guarantee of demand or future performance.
Hajimi’s rapid rally raises liquidation risk
Hajimi is a meme coin whose name is written as 哈基米 in Binance’s contract specifications. The announcement describes it simply as a Chinese meme coin and does not identify additional utility, revenue or governance functions.
Binance Alpha data showed Hajimi trading near $0.070 after the derivatives market opened. Its recorded 24-hour range extended from about $0.016 to $0.145. That spread demonstrates the difficulty of relying on a single price when an asset is moving rapidly.
The same data showed approximately $30.3 million in 24-hour volume and an estimated $70 million market capitalization. Those figures are snapshots and can change quickly. Market capitalization is also based on reported supply and token price, rather than cash held by the project.
A futures listing can increase access to an asset by allowing traders to take long or short exposure. It does not show that the exchange has endorsed the token’s value, security or long-term prospects. It may also increase volatility as leveraged positions build and liquidations produce forced orders.
Previous meme coin futures launches have produced similarly abrupt market moves. For example, Fartcoin rose following a Binance futures announcement, although historical reactions cannot predict how PONS or Hajimi will trade.
Funding rates and leverage updates are the next checks
The first operational data to watch are open interest, trading volume and four-hour funding rates. Positive funding generally means long positions pay short positions. Negative funding normally reverses that transfer. Extreme rates can show that positioning has become concentrated on one side.
Binance may alter the funding interval or capped rate during volatile conditions. It may also change position limits and margin tiers. Traders should use the live contract page rather than the original announcement when the two provide different specifications.
Futures Copy Trading support was scheduled to arrive within 24 hours of launch. Binance did not announce conventional Spot listings for either asset. PONS and Hajimi therefore remain separate cases from tokens admitted to Binance’s main spot exchange.
Regional restrictions also apply. Binance said the announced products may not be available in every jurisdiction. Users remain responsible for checking whether derivatives trading is permitted where they live.
Crypto World
Ripple Swell adds former RBI governor Raghuram Rajan
Ripple has added former Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan to the opening program for Swell 2026, its annual conference focused on payments, digital assets and financial infrastructure.
Summary
- Raghuram Rajan will open Ripple Swell week during an invitation-only institutional summit on October 27.
- Swell 2026 runs from October 27 through 29 at The Shed in Manhattan, New York.
- Ripple will combine Swell and XRPL Apex for the first time across three conference stages.
- Organizers expect more than 1,500 attendees, 75 speakers and 50 sessions across the three-day program.
- Rajan co-leads a Federal Reserve task force reviewing costs and benefits of balance sheet policy.
The company announced on Sept. 4 that Rajan will participate in the Institutional Summit on Oct. 27. The invitation-only gathering will open Swell week before the wider conference program runs through Oct. 29.
Swell 2026 will take place at The Shed in New York City. Ripple is combining Swell with its developer-focused XRPL Apex conference for the first time, bringing institutional finance and XRP Ledger development into one event.
Ripple has not disclosed Rajan’s discussion topic, session time or appearance format. The event website lists him as a speaker but does not indicate whether he will deliver a keynote, join a panel or participate in a moderated discussion.
Ripple Swell begins with an institutional summit
The Institutional Summit is scheduled for Oct. 27 and requires prospective attendees to request an invitation. Ripple is positioning the program toward representatives of banks, asset managers, payment companies and other financial institutions.
Rajan brings experience spanning central banking, international finance and academic research. He led the Reserve Bank of India from September 2013 until September 2016 and previously served as chief economist of the International Monetary Fund.
He is currently the Katherine Dusak Miller Distinguished Service Professor of Finance at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. Ripple’s official lineup identifies Rajan by his academic position.
His addition gives the summit a direct central banking perspective as financial institutions examine stablecoins, tokenized assets and blockchain-based settlement. However, Ripple has not said whether Rajan will address any of those specific subjects.
The speaker announcement also does not indicate that Rajan is advising Ripple, endorsing XRP or supporting any company product. His confirmed involvement is limited to participating in the conference program.
Rajan also co-leads a Federal Reserve policy review
Rajan’s appearance comes as he serves as one of three external leaders of the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet Policy task force. Harvard professors Karen Dynan and Jeremy Stein are the other leaders.
The Federal Reserve established the group to examine the costs, benefits and institutional consequences of its current balance sheet regime. The central bank said the task force would operate independently with support from Federal Reserve staff.
Its findings are intended for the Federal Open Market Committee. The group is one of five task forces examining areas including monetary policy communication, inflation frameworks, economic data, productivity and employment.
Rajan’s position on the task force does not make him a Federal Reserve official or policymaker. He serves as an external adviser alongside other economists, former central bankers and business leaders.
The task force role nevertheless adds a current U.S. monetary policy connection to his Swell appearance. The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet affects bank reserves and financial-market liquidity, subjects that overlap with institutional discussions about new settlement infrastructure.
No official source has connected Rajan’s Federal Reserve work with his participation at Swell. Any suggestion that his appearance represents Federal Reserve involvement in Ripple’s conference would therefore be unsupported.
Swell 2026 combines institutional and developer programs
Ripple expects more than 1,500 people to attend Swell 2026. The organizer is advertising more than 75 speakers and over 50 sessions across three stages.
Those figures are conference projections and may change before October. Ripple continues to add speakers, while the complete session-by-session schedule has not yet been published.
The 2026 program will combine Swell and XRPL Apex. Swell has traditionally focused on institutional payments, regulation and capital markets. XRPL Apex has centered on developers, researchers and companies building on the XRP Ledger.
Bringing the events together gives institutional participants access to technical sessions while allowing developers to hear directly from banks, exchanges and market-infrastructure providers.
The announced subjects include stablecoins, tokenization, payments, exchange-traded funds, decentralized finance, privacy, artificial intelligence, quantum computing and XRP Ledger development.
The combined Swell and XRPL Apex program will also feature actor and Water.org co-founder Matt Damon. Ripple previously named Damon as a keynote speaker but has not disclosed the subject or timing of his address.
Ripple’s lineup spans banking, markets and technology
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, President Monica Long and CTO Emeritus David Schwartz are included in the speaker lineup. Their session topics have not all been published.
Other listed speakers include Bullish Chairman and CEO Tom Farley, Tradeweb CEO Billy Hult and Susquehanna Crypto CEO Chase Lax. BNY Global Head of Markets Laide Majiyagbe and Intercontinental Exchange executive Michael Blaugrund are also scheduled to participate.
Robinhood’s crypto business will be represented by Johann Kerbrat. The roster also includes Jenny Just, co-founder of financial technology company PEAK6, and Gary White, CEO and co-founder of Water.org.
The official speaker page lists Nasdaq Chair and CEO Adena Friedman, New York State Department of Financial Services official John Melican and U.S. Representative Ritchie Torres. Patrick Witt, executive director of the White House President’s Council of Advisors for Digital Assets, is also listed.
Participants from the XRP Ledger ecosystem include representatives of the XRPL Foundation, XRPL Commons and related development organizations. Academics from Chicago Booth, Columbia, Cornell, Carnegie Mellon, Wharton and several European universities appear on the roster.
Their inclusion does not indicate endorsement of Ripple or its products. It reflects the range of speakers that Ripple has scheduled for discussions across finance, policy and blockchain development.
The complete Swell agenda remains pending
The next confirmed step is publication of the detailed conference agenda. Ripple still needs to disclose Rajan’s session title, timing and format.
The same uncertainty applies to several other announced speakers. Conference listings confirm their planned participation but do not reveal what they will discuss.
Swell 2026 begins with the Institutional Summit on Oct. 27. The main conference and XRPL Apex sessions will continue through Oct. 29 at The Shed, located in Manhattan’s Hudson Yards district.
Standard registration is listed through Oct. 5, followed by a final registration period ending Oct. 20. Access to the Institutional Summit is handled separately through an invitation request.
Rajan’s participation adds a former central bank governor and current Federal Reserve task force adviser to Ripple’s expanding lineup. The substance of his appearance will become clearer once Ripple publishes the full agenda.
Crypto World
CZ says YZi Labs’ crypto winter bets may outperform
Binance founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao said on Sept. 4 that YZi Labs’ recent investments could become some of the firm’s best performers because it deployed capital during a broad crypto market downturn.
Summary
- CZ says YZi Labs investments made during recent market weakness could become top performers eventually.
- YZi Labs manages more than $10 billion and invests across Web3, artificial intelligence and biotechnology ventures.
- RoboForce secured $52 million while AEON raised $8 million in separate rounds led by YZi Labs recently.
- Predict.fun received follow-on funding alongside Susquehanna Crypto after reporting $1.8 billion in cumulative trading volume.
- TermMax received an undisclosed investment after joining EASY Residency, taking total funding above $8 million overall.
“I strongly believe the YZi Labs investments over the last few months will be some of the best performing because those investments were done during the depth of the crypto winter,” Zhao wrote.
The statement is Zhao’s opinion, not a verified performance result. Neither Zhao nor YZi Labs published acquisition prices, current valuations or investment returns supporting the prediction.
Publicly verified YZi Labs investments during 2026 include robotics company RoboForce, digital asset custodian BitGo, prediction market Predict.fun, artificial intelligence payments protocol AEON and fixed-rate lending platform TermMax. Several deal values remain undisclosed.
YZi Labs expanded beyond conventional crypto investments
YZi Labs describes itself as an investment vehicle focused on Web3, artificial intelligence and biotechnology. The organization emerged from the rebranding of Binance Labs and says it manages more than $10 billion in assets.
The firm operates independently from Binance and manages capital associated with Zhao and Binance co-founder Yi He. It invests across multiple business stages and also runs the EASY Residency incubation program for early-stage founders.
Zhao previously said Web3 still represented roughly 70% to 80% of YZi Labs’ portfolio. However, the firm has increased its exposure to technologies connecting blockchain systems with artificial intelligence, robotics and institutional finance.
In May, Zhao said YZi Labs preferred investing in infrastructure that supports artificial intelligence rather than competing directly with heavily funded AI model developers. That approach was reflected in the firm’s robotics and autonomous-payment investments.
His latest comments connect the investment strategy to market timing. Crypto valuations came under pressure during the first half of 2026 as Bitcoin and other digital assets traded well below their previous peaks.
Bitcoin was trading near $79,945 on Sept. 6, based on current market data. It had recovered from lower levels recorded earlier in 2026, but remained below its prior record. That recovery alone does not establish whether YZi Labs’ private investments have appreciated.
RoboForce received the largest disclosed 2026 round
YZi Labs led RoboForce’s $52 million financing round in March. The robotics company said the oversubscribed transaction raised its total funding to $67 million.
RoboForce develops physical AI systems for industrial work in sectors including solar power, data centers, manufacturing, mining and logistics. The company is building robots designed to perform labor-intensive tasks in challenging environments.
The $52 million figure represents the entire funding round rather than YZi Labs’ individual contribution. Neither company disclosed how much capital YZi Labs provided, the valuation assigned to RoboForce or the equity stake received.
RoboForce also said it had secured letters of intent covering more than 11,000 robots. That figure represents prospective demand claimed by the company, not completed deliveries or recognized revenue.
The investment is different from YZi Labs’ traditional blockchain portfolio because RoboForce is primarily an industrial robotics company. However, it matches Zhao’s stated interest in businesses supplying infrastructure for artificial intelligence.
Whether the investment becomes a leading performer will depend on RoboForce converting prospective orders into commercial deployments. No independently audited revenue or return figures accompanied the funding announcement.
YZi Labs backed custody and prediction-market infrastructure
YZi Labs also invested in BitGo around the digital asset custodian’s January listing on the New York Stock Exchange. The investment amount and purchase terms were not disclosed.
The firm said regulated custody infrastructure would become increasingly important as institutional capital entered digital assets. BitGo’s public listing offered YZi Labs exposure to a regulated U.S. financial infrastructure provider rather than an early-stage token project.
The investment accompanying BitGo’s NYSE debut also created a clearer route to price discovery than YZi Labs’ privately held investments. Publicly traded shares can be valued continuously, while private holdings depend on financing rounds, secondary sales or company disclosures.
In April, YZi Labs announced a follow-on investment in Predict.fun alongside Susquehanna Crypto. Predict.fun had previously participated in the second season of YZi Labs’ EASY Residency program.
The parties did not disclose the investment amount or Predict.fun’s valuation. YZi Labs said the platform had processed more than four million orders and surpassed $1.8 billion in cumulative volume.
Predict.fun operates a self-custodial prediction market on BNB Chain. Users trade contracts linked to outcomes involving politics, sports, cryptocurrency prices and economic events.
The platform has continued developing its infrastructure since the investment. It introduced a self-service developer dashboard in September for generating application programming interface keys, monitoring usage and managing trading limits.
However, its reported growth beyond $1.8 billion in volume supports YZi Labs’ description of expanding activity. Volume, however, does not establish profitability or the current value of the investor’s position.
AEON and TermMax extend the portfolio into payments and lending
YZi Labs led an $8 million pre-seed financing round for AEON in May. IDG Capital, HashKey Capital, Stanford Blockchain Builders Fund and several other investors participated.
AEON is developing payment infrastructure intended to let artificial intelligence agents execute and settle transactions. The company describes its product as a settlement layer connecting autonomous software with blockchain-based and real-world payment systems.
The $8 million represents the complete round. AEON did not disclose its valuation, YZi Labs’ individual investment or the ownership received by participating investors.
TermMax received a separate strategic investment from YZi Labs in August. The fixed-rate lending protocol previously joined EASY Residency Season 3 and has raised more than $8 million across its financing rounds.
TermMax operates fixed-rate lending markets across several Ethereum-compatible blockchains. It offers lending pools, strategy vaults and products designed to give borrowers and lenders more predictable rates than variable-rate DeFi markets.
The amount supplied by YZi Labs was not disclosed. Recent crypto venture funding disclosures therefore exclude the TermMax transaction from funding totals that require confirmed deal values.
CZ’s performance forecast remains untested
Zhao’s argument rests on the idea that lower market valuations create better entry prices for long-term investors. That can improve future returns when selected companies survive the downturn and grow. It does not ensure that every investment made near a market low will succeed.
Private investment performance also cannot be measured from token prices alone. YZi Labs may hold equity, warrants, tokens or other contractual rights, depending on each transaction. Most of those terms have not been made public.
The five publicly identified investments cover substantially different markets. RoboForce depends on industrial adoption. BitGo competes in custody and financial infrastructure. Predict.fun relies on prediction-market liquidity, while AEON and TermMax target payments and lending.
No common performance benchmark can accurately measure all five businesses. YZi Labs would need to disclose entry valuations, subsequent financing prices, exits or realized distributions before Zhao’s view could be tested.
The firm has not announced when it will publish portfolio performance information. Its next measurable developments will come from financing rounds, public filings, product adoption figures and possible liquidity events involving individual portfolio companies.
Crypto World
Bitcoin’s Link to Gold Hits a 6-Year High as Tech Correlation Fades: Why It Matters
The correlation between the leading cryptocurrency and the largest financial asset, gold, has climbed to its highest level since the 2020 pandemic, while its relationship with the Nasdaq has weakened significantly.
The shift comes as concerns about debt, deficits, and currency debasement return to the spotlight after the latest developments in the US.
Closer to Gold
The change started to occur following the mid-August rally, which was propelled by the US Treasury Department’s announcement that it would at least double the maximum size of liquidity-support buybacks for longer-dated government debt, going from $2 billion to $4 billion per operation.
BTC rocketed from under $65,000 to over $80,000 within days, while the bullion went from $4,350/oz to $4,700/oz before it was rejected.
The analysts at the Kobeissi Letter argued that BTC’s increasing correlation with the precious metal accelerated following the Treasury’s move, with investors increasingly treating both as protection against currency debasement, even though gold has lost a major chunk of its gains.
Grayscale’s Head of Research, Zach Pandl, supported this narrative, noting recently that the bitcoin-gold correlation has climbed from near zero at the beginning of the year to over 50%. At the same time, the Nasdaq relationship has moved in the opposite direction.
US federal debt going past $40 trillion, persistent government deficits still existing, and concerns about the long-term purchasing power of fiat currencies have brought the so-called “debasement trade” back into focus.
Both BTC and gold have limited supply characteristics that can make them attractive under that thesis, despite the cryptocurrency’s infamous volatility.
Further Away From Nasdaq
The other part of the equation could be equally important since BTC’s 90-day correlation with the Nasdaq 100 has fallen from over 60% to around 30%-33%. This is a major change from earlier periods, when the cryptocurrency frequently behaved like a high-beta tech asset, jumping alongside growth stocks when financial conditions eased and vice versa.
The August rally was a striking example of the opposite, with BTC gaining over 20% in days, while US equities struggled. As previously reported, bitcoin had underperformed the S&P 500 on roughly two-thirds of trading days over the preceding three months before it suddenly reversed that trend.
This divergence suggests investors are increasingly valuing bitcoin for its scarcity and monetary properties rather than simply treating it as a speculative risk asset.
However, this substantial trend change does not mean that the relationship with equities has fully flipped. The Friday reaction to the strong US jobs report hinted at a higher correlation between the two as both asset classes slipped.
The post Bitcoin’s Link to Gold Hits a 6-Year High as Tech Correlation Fades: Why It Matters appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Fed Rate Hike Could Hit XRP Hard: ChatGPT Reveals How Low Ripple’s Price Could Go
The monetary landscape in the United States changed in the past week or so, first after the hawkish stance taken by the current Federal Reserve Chairman, Kevin Warsh, and then following last Friday’s strong US jobs report.
As such, the expectations have changed, with investors and experts pricing in a potential rate hike for the next FOMC meeting scheduled to take place on September 15-16. After answering how this could impact BTC, we turned our focus to XRP, whose case was described as “arguably more interesting than bitcoin’s,” by ChatGPT.
What Happens to XRP Then?
With the current odds on prediction markets at well over 50% for a rate hike in September, the warning signs for risk-on assets are fully flashing. This was felt on Friday briefly after the jobs report, with BTC dropping by $3,000 and XRP slumping from $1.45 to under $1.40, where it found support.
ChatGPT estimated that the cross-border token is likely to react “more violently to a Fed hike” even though it has two cushions: strong ETF demand and the CLARITY Act process. The initial reaction to a 25 bps increase on September 16 would be a 4%-8% decline, the AI predicted. From the current levels, this would materialize in a dip below $1.30.
The situation could worsen in the following days and weeks, with $1.20 emerging as the first major support to be tested. If Warsh takes an even more hawkish approach in his post-FOMC meeting speech, XRP could “fall further toward $1.05-$1.15.”
One of the cushions mentioned above, the CLARITY Act, has not made any real progress lately. It was delayed once again in early August, and its September vote, scheduled for just a day before the conclusion of the FOMC meeting, is no longer guaranteed after the latest developments. As such, XRP could be primed for even more painful performance in case of a rate hike.
The Dark Horse
ChatGPT believes that the spot XRP ETFs could be the silver lining for the underlying asset, as they have remained relatively solid even during market distress, and their performance has picked up after the August rally. The cross-border token could quickly bounce after the initial shock if the Fed signals no immediate second hike and the ETF demand is still intact.
If that’s the case, $1.50-$1.60 will come into focus as this level has halted many of XRP’s previous breakout attempts. However, if the Fed surprises the market and raises rates by 50 bps, while Warsh goes fully hawkish, the altcoin’s future could quickly deteriorate, with another leg down to and even below $1.00, ChatGPT warned.
The post Fed Rate Hike Could Hit XRP Hard: ChatGPT Reveals How Low Ripple’s Price Could Go appeared first on CryptoPotato.
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