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Ripple’s Garlinghouse Fires Back After Jamie Dimon Targets Coinbase and CLARITY ACT

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Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has criticized JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon over his recent remarks attacking the CLARITY ACT.

He reminded that Dimon has consistently dismissed the crypto industry for years while misrepresenting the purpose of the legislation.

Clash Over Crypto Regulation

Speaking during an interview with Fox Business host Maria Bartiromo, Garlinghouse responded directly to comments Dimon made earlier this month, where the banking executive accused Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong of pushing the bill in Washington and claimed the proposed legislation weakens protections against money laundering and Bank Secrecy Act violations.

The Ripple exec said that Dimon was either intentionally trying to undermine support for the bill or misunderstanding what the legislation actually does.

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“As much as we can talk about whether or not Brian Armstrong is representing the industry, he is not; he is representing Coinbase, and in certain ways he is going to look out for Coinbase’s best interest. But at the end of the day, I think what Jamie Dimon did was a disservice. He’s representing that this reduces compliance concerns, that it makes it easier to do bad things. That’s just not true. It’s either intentional misrepresentation or even negligent to try to make support for the Clarity Act go away.”

Even during his appearance at the Reagan National Economic Forum last month, Dimon said banks would not accept the current form of the bill and lashed out at Armstrong.

“He’s the only one, and he’s spending hundreds of millions of dollars in Washington on this thing. He’s full of shit.”

Economist Peter Schiff also slammed Dimon’s comments and said that stablecoin issuers should not face the same banking rules as traditional lenders. Despite being a longtime crypto critic, Schiff said that banks operate with FDIC insurance and risky lending practices, while fully backed stablecoins invested only in US Treasuries serve a legitimate purpose.

CLARITY Act Progress So Far

The CLARITY Act is moving through Congress but is facing growing opposition from major banks. The bill aims to clarify which US regulator oversees different types of cryptocurrencies by dividing responsibilities between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It is designed to reduce confusion around crypto regulation in the United States.

After passing the House in 2025, the legislation advanced through the Senate Banking Committee last month, but it still faces additional debate in the full Senate. One of the major sticking points involves stablecoin yield provisions that banks argue could allow crypto firms to offer interest-like rewards without following the same regulatory requirements imposed on traditional financial institutions.

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Trump Claims a Gas Price Win, But Oil Reserves at 43-Year Low

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The peace deal has helped gas prices fall.

Americans are staring down gas prices under $4 for the first time in nearly two months, after the US and Iran agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The White House is claiming it as a Trump victory, but analysts say the global oil market still has a long road back to normal.

Gas now looks to be heading under $4 a gallon, but prices had already been falling for three weeks before the June 14 deal. Since May 21, the national average dropped from $4.56 to $4.12 as crude oil settled below $100 a barrel.

The Iran agreement is pushing prices below the $4 mark, but gas remains 28% higher than this time last year, when Americans paid $3.13 a gallon.

Gas Prices Fall as Iran Deal Takes Hold

The agreement covers the Strait of Hormuz, a waterway through which a fifth of the world’s oil typically flows. Brent crude, the international benchmark, fell 5% to $83.13 on Monday, June 15, down roughly 30% from its March 9 peak of $119.50.

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The peace deal has helped gas prices fall.
The peace deal has helped gas prices fall, but not by that much. Image Source: GasPrices

A senior White House official said tanker traffic should begin rising immediately, climbing to 50 ships per day shortly, compared with 25 currently. Before the war began, about 130 ships passed through daily.

Trump’s Win, and the Risk He Owns

The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve has fallen to its lowest level since 1983, according to the US Energy Information Administration, leaving the market with almost no buffer for the next shock.

Bob McNally, president of Rapidan Energy and a former energy adviser to the George W Bush White House, warned the market still needs to absorb a “historic 1.5 billion barrel supply loss” that will take “many weeks and months” to work through.

The timeline also complicates the White House’s framing. Prices had already fallen 44 cents over three weeks before Sunday’s deal was announced. The Iran agreement contributed roughly 13 cents of that total drop.

What Cheaper Oil Means for Rates and Crypto

Consumer inflation rose from 2.4% in February to 4.2% in May, its highest level since April 2023. The Federal Reserve, now under new chair Kevin Warsh, meets this week, and analysts expect it to hold rates steady, but the central bank may drop language suggesting a bias toward cutting borrowing costs.

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Falling oil prices reduce pressure on the inflation numbers, which could ease the path toward rate cuts later this year. For Bitcoin and broader crypto markets, lower rates and easing inflation are among the clearest reasons investors shift toward riskier assets.

For now, Americans are paying less at the pump. Whether that relief lasts depends on whether a deal signed in Switzerland holds up in the real world.

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Kevin Warsh Opens First Fed Meeting: What Crypto Traders Must Watch

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The ECB’s Rate Hike Could Force the Fed’s Hand

Kevin Warsh opens his first Federal Reserve meeting on June 16, and for crypto traders, the stakes are real. The new Fed Chair is hawkish on inflation, personally divested of all crypto, and committed to saying less than his predecessor.

Warsh took over from Jerome Powell in May, and his financial disclosures showed more than 20 crypto-linked investments, including Solana, Compound, dYdX, and a stake in Bitcoin payments startup Flashnet. Under Federal Reserve ethics rules, he sold all of it before taking the job.

The Dot Plot and Rate Hike Risk

Markets price in a near-certain rate hold at 3.50% to 3.75% for June 17, but the updated Summary of Economic Projections, the dot plot, is the real signal. May CPI came in at 4.2%, with energy prices surging due to the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions accounting for most of the monthly rise.

If the dot plot shows Fed officials penciling in a hike rather than a cut, Bitcoin faces a familiar headwind: tighter liquidity moves traders away from risk assets. Prediction markets currently put the odds of at least one 2026 rate hike at 50%-65%, and the dot plot could reprice it quickly.

Warsh Plans to Talk Less

Warsh has long criticized the Fed’s habit of over-communicating. Charles Schwab’s analysis of his policy stance notes he sees excessive forward guidance as a credibility risk, not a market service. His first post-meeting press conference will likely be shorter, less prescriptive, and less generous with rate-path hints than Powell’s.

Crypto markets move sharply on Fed signals, and when that anchor disappears, volatility tends to follow. The Fed’s standard signal that its next move is more likely a cut than a hike, known as an easing bias, may be the first thing to disappear from the statement, and markets will read its absence as hawkish.

The Pro-Crypto Paradox

Warsh sold all of his digital asset holdings, confirmed by Bloomberg in a certificate of divestiture from the Office of Government Ethics, before taking the job. The crypto-fluent Fed Chair many expected is now constrained by macro orthodoxy and ethics rules.

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What actually matters for the industry is whether his worldview, which includes an anti-central bank digital currency (CBDC) position and openness to stablecoin legislation, translates into formal policy. Crypto’s clearest tailwind from Warsh will come not from rate cuts but from stablecoin oversight and approvals for banks to issue tokenized assets.

Warsh’s first press conference on June 17 is the test: if he signals rates higher for longer, crypto will feel it fast.

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Exploit-Driven TVL Drop Pushes DeFi Leverage Back to 2021 Levels

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DeFi Leverage Rising to 2021 Levels.

On-chain leverage ratio across Decentralized Finance (DeFi) has climbed to levels last seen in 2021, according to Binance Research.

While the metric may suggest elevated risk, the increase was driven largely by a decline in total value locked (TVL) rather than a surge in borrowing demand.

What Pushed DeFi Leverage to 2021 Levels

The on-chain leverage ratio measures the extent of borrowing and leveraged activity relative to the capital locked in DeFi protocols (TVL). It rose to about 38%, driven by TVL compression.

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DeFi Leverage Rising to 2021 Levels.
DeFi Leverage Rising to 2021 Levels. Source: X/Binance Research

The drop in TVL followed a series of major DeFi security incidents in April. BeInCrypto reported that hackers stole about $606 million during the month.

Most of the damage came from attacks targeting Kelp DAO and Drift Protocol, with the Kelp DAO exploit alone resulting in losses of approximately $292 million.

The breaches prompted investors to withdraw capital from DeFi platforms, leading to a sharp contraction in value locked across multiple blockchain ecosystems.

“April’s DeFi exploits triggered ~US$13B in TVL outflows,” the post read.

Consequently, the rise in the on-chain leverage ratio reflected a shrinking pool of collateral rather than a fresh increase in borrowing activity or in traders’ risk-taking.

Despite the broader market pullback, meaningful deleveraging has yet to materialize, Binance Research said. 

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As leverage remains elevated relative to a shrinking DeFi capital base, the market could remain vulnerable to further liquidations and position unwinds if prices weaken further.

For now, DeFi sits in a fragile balance. Leverage looks elevated even as borrowing activity has not risen proportionally, and the system has yet to reset after the spring outflows.

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GAO Urges FDIC to Coordinate Crypto Oversight on Blockchain Risks

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Crypto Breaking News

The U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) has urged the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) to strengthen coordination with other federal regulators to manage risks associated with blockchain-based financial products. In a letter made public on June 8, GAO recommended that the FDIC develop an ongoing mechanism to help agencies identify, assess, and respond to emerging blockchain-related threats more consistently.

GAO also pressed the FDIC to revisit how it assigns supervisors to institutions, arguing that changes to case manager rotation could improve supervisory independence and reduce the risk that oversight outcomes are compromised. The recommendations arrive as lawmakers and regulators continue to work through the supervisory gaps created by the cross-border and rapidly evolving nature of crypto and stablecoin activities.

Key takeaways

  • GAO urged the FDIC to coordinate with other federal agencies through an ongoing mechanism for addressing blockchain risks.
  • GAO cited findings from 2023 that regulators lacked a continuous coordination structure while blockchain-related financial services grew significantly.
  • GAO recommended rotating FDIC case managers to strengthen supervisory independence.
  • GAO linked supervisory questions to the 2023 failures of several crypto-exposed banks, in the aftermath of the FTX collapse.
  • Policy developments under the GENIUS Act and proposed broader crypto legislation shape the regulatory context for stablecoin and wider crypto market oversight.

GAO calls for cross-agency coordination on blockchain risk

In its June 8 letter to FDIC Chairman Travis Hill, GAO said it first raised the issue of blockchain risk coordination as a priority matter in May of the prior year. GAO described blockchain technology as an area of concern that it placed on its “High Risk List,” reflecting difficulties regulators face in overseeing blockchain-based financial products and the potential effects on U.S. markets.

GAO’s position is grounded in an earlier assessment it conducted in 2023. The agency found that financial regulators did not have an “ongoing coordination mechanism for addressing blockchain risks,” despite the growing scale of blockchain-related products and services. In practice, GAO argued that without a durable coordination channel, agencies may identify similar risks at different times or respond inconsistently—an issue that becomes more acute when crypto-related activities span multiple regulated entities and regulatory authorities.

GAO maintained that establishing the coordination mechanism it recommended would enable the FDIC and other regulators to collectively identify risks and implement regulatory responses in a timely manner. The emphasis on timeliness is particularly relevant for compliance monitoring: blockchain-linked products can evolve quickly, and regulatory responses often depend on rapid information-sharing across agencies responsible for distinct parts of the financial system.

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Stablecoin oversight under GENIUS and the broader legislative push

The FDIC’s role in blockchain-related oversight is closely tied to stablecoins. Under the GENIUS Act passed last year, the FDIC serves as the main regulator for stablecoin issuers that are subsidiaries of banks under FDIC supervision. That framework positions the FDIC as a key gatekeeper for a segment of the crypto market that directly intersects with the banking system.

GAO’s call for coordination therefore has both immediate supervisory implications and longer-term policy relevance. The letter comes as Senate lawmakers consider a bill intended to clarify how federal agencies would regulate the wider crypto market beyond the stablecoin context. As described by Cointelegraph, lawmakers are looking to pass legislation that would outline the regulatory approach across federal bodies—an effort that underscores the current fragmentation problem regulators face when crypto activity cuts across agency mandates.

For institutional stakeholders, the coordination question is not only about enforcement readiness; it also affects compliance design. Firms operating stablecoin-related products, custody services, or other blockchain-based financial offerings may need to map evolving obligations across regulators. A clearer coordination mechanism could reduce the chance of duplicative requests, shifting interpretations, or gaps where risks fall between agencies.

Supervisory independence: GAO urges rotation of case managers

Beyond coordination, GAO recommended a supervisory process change: rotating case managers assigned to banks. GAO said that in 2024 it found the FDIC did not require supervisors to rotate to different banks. According to GAO, a lack of rotation could compromise supervisor independence and interfere with supervision outcomes.

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GAO further reasoned that a rotation requirement could mitigate threats to independence. While the specifics of supervisory staffing and governance vary by institution, independence concerns are central to bank oversight. If supervisors become too closely embedded with particular institutions over extended periods, the ability to challenge management assessments and respond objectively to emerging risks may be weakened.

GAO also linked the staffing concern to what it described as unanswered questions raised by bank failures in 2023, particularly whether bank watchdogs took sufficient action to ensure institutions “promptly addressed supervisory concerns.”

Lessons cited from 2023 bank failures tied to crypto exposure

GAO pointed to the collapse of several banks in 2023—Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate Bank, and Signature Bank—as events that raised questions about the robustness and timeliness of supervisory actions. All three failed in less than a week in March 2023, following the bankruptcy of FTX, which contributed to severe disruption across crypto markets.

From a policy and enforcement standpoint, GAO’s emphasis suggests that supervisors may face heightened risk signals when banks have significant exposure to crypto-linked counterparties, custody arrangements, or related liquidity and asset-liability pressures. GAO’s recommendation to strengthen oversight processes—through both improved interagency coordination and enhanced supervisory independence—aims to address systemic vulnerabilities that can surface during periods of market stress.

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At the same time, unresolved questions remain. GAO’s findings do not automatically specify what a “blockchain risk response” should look like in every scenario, nor do they replace the need for agency-specific rulemaking or supervisory guidance. For compliance teams, this means expectations may evolve incrementally as regulators operationalize coordination mechanisms and adjust supervisory staffing practices.

What to watch next

GAO’s letter adds pressure for measurable procedural follow-through at the FDIC, including how coordination with other regulators will be structured and how supervisory staffing will be implemented in practice. The trajectory of broader federal crypto legislation will also influence how these recommendations interact with stablecoin-specific oversight and the wider regulatory landscape.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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India Restricts Telegram Access Until June 22 Ahead of NEET Re-Exam

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India Restricts Telegram Access Until June 22 Ahead of NEET Re-Exam

India has blocked Telegram nationwide until June 22 after the National Testing Agency said cheating rackets allegedly used the platform to defraud candidates ahead of the NEET medical entrance re-examination set for June 21.

The Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology issued the order under Section 69A of the Information Technology Act. That provision lets the union government restrict online access in the interest of national sovereignty and integrity.

Telegram Banned in India Ahead of NEET 2026 Re-Examination

The National Eligibility cum Entrance Test (NEET) carries enormous weight in India. It decides admission to the country’s undergraduate medical and dental seats. About 2.2 million people sat in the original round on May 3.

However, the National Testing Agency (NTA) cancelled that test on May 12. Officials scrapped that round due to an alleged paper leak. A fresh examination was then scheduled for June 21.

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In addition to the restriction, the government has also ordered Telegram to turn off message editing in India until June 30. The NTA framed both steps as public-order measures, prompted by “organised use of the platform by cheating rackets to defraud candidates.”

“NTA acknowledges that the access restriction issued by MeitY affects lakhs of citizens who use the Telegram platform for legitimate personal, educational, professional, and informational purposes, and sincerely regrets the inconvenience caused to them. The access restriction is, by its express terms, confined to the period ending 22 June 2026 – i.e., the day after the examination,” the statement read.

The government has moved aggressively to keep the June 21 retest on track. Notably, officials have deployed the Indian Air Force to transport the question papers.

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Whether the measures hold back exam fraud will become clearer once the June 21 retest concludes. BeInCrypto has reached out to Telegram for comment.

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Why crypto traders are watching Japan

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Why crypto traders are watching Japan

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate by 25 basis points on June 16, moving the target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate to around 1.0%. 

Summary

  • BOJ raised rates to 1.0%, putting yen liquidity and crypto market exposure back in focus.
  • Oil-driven inflation risks pushed Japan’s central bank toward another step away from easy monetary policy.
  • BOJ tightening adds pressure to yen carry trades, putting Bitcoin and wider digital assets back in focus.

The new rate takes effect on June 17 after a 7–1 vote by the Policy Board. The move lifted Japanese rates further from the ultra-low levels that shaped local and global markets for years.

“The Bank will encourage the uncollateralized overnight call rate to remain at around 1.0 percent,” the BOJ said in its policy statement

The central bank also raised the interest rate on the complementary deposit facility to 1.0% and set the basic loan rate at 1.25%. 1.0% marks Japan’s highest policy rate since 1995. Market participants now watch how the move shapes the yen, bonds, and crypto risk appetite in coming sessions.

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Inflation risk drives the BOJ decision

The BOJ said Japan’s economy continues to recover at a moderate pace, even as higher crude oil prices weigh on activity. It said strong corporate profits, better jobs data, and income growth still support the economy. The bank also said government steps to reduce the household burden from energy costs will continue to help demand.

The central bank also pointed to rising price pressure. It said price pass-through from higher crude oil costs has moved at a relatively fast pace in business-to-business transactions. It added that this pressure may spread to consumer prices across many items. The BOJ said underlying CPI inflation may move above its 2% price stability target if medium- to long-term inflation expectations keep rising.

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Meanwhile, crypto.news reported before the decision that a move to 1.0% could bring renewed attention to global liquidity and the yen carry trade. The carry trade uses cheap yen borrowing to fund higher-yielding assets. Higher Japanese rates can make that trade less attractive and may push investors to reduce exposure to risk assets.

In addition, that matters for Bitcoin and other digital assets because crypto markets trade around the clock and can react quickly when leveraged positions unwind. Bitcoin fell roughly 3% within hours after the BOJ raised rates to 0.75% in January 2026. The report also said Bitcoin would likely face the first wave of selling because of its deeper liquidity, while smaller tokens may see sharper moves.

Japan’s crypto policy remains active

The rate hike comes as Japan continues to reshape its digital asset rules. Crypto.news reported on June 11 that Japan advanced a bill that would cut crypto gains tax to 20%, open a path for crypto ETFs, and treat digital assets more like stocks. That policy track gives Japan a second crypto story beyond monetary tightening.

In May, Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party advanced an AI-blockchain finance plan focused on tokenized deposits, yen stablecoins, and programmable settlement. 

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These reforms show that Japan is tightening monetary policy while still building clearer digital finance rules. “The Bank will continue to raise the policy interest rate and adjust the degree of monetary accommodation,” the BOJ said, while noting that future moves will depend on economic activity, prices, and financial conditions.

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CFTC chair pushes back on criticism of crypto perpetual futures contracts

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What crypto and stock traders should compare before choosing one

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has responded to four common criticisms of perpetual futures contracts, citing more than 100 public comments submitted during a 2025 consultation process as regulators continue expanding oversight of digital asset markets.

Summary

  • CFTC Chair Michael Selig said perpetual futures contracts do not require a fixed expiration date under existing U.S. law or regulatory interpretations.
  • Selig stated that CFTC regulated perpetual futures face the same leverage limits as other U.S. futures contracts, rejecting claims that they permit 250x leverage.
  • More than 100 public comments were submitted during the CFTC’s 2025 consultation on perpetual contracts, while the agency said funding rates help keep prices aligned with spot markets.

According to a post published on X by CFTC Chair Michael Selig, several misconceptions have emerged around perpetual futures contracts and the agency’s recent approvals of such products, including concerns related to contract duration, leverage, public consultation, and funding rates.

Among the issues addressed was the argument that perpetual futures fall outside the legal definition of a futures contract because they do not have a fixed expiration date. Selig said neither the Commodity Exchange Act nor CFTC regulations explicitly define the term “futures contract” in a way that requires a fixed expiration or delivery date.

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Instead, he said the criteria used to determine whether an instrument qualifies as a futures contract come from court decisions and commission interpretations, neither of which requires a contract to expire on a predetermined date.

CFTC defends leverage limits and funding mechanism

Attention has also focused on leverage after some critics claimed the agency had approved a product that would allow U.S. traders to access leverage of up to 250x through the recently approved BTCPERP contract.

Addressing those concerns, Selig said extreme leverage has historically been associated with offshore trading venues rather than the perpetual futures structure itself. Perpetual contracts operating under CFTC oversight, he said, remain subject to the same leverage restrictions that apply to other regulated futures products in the United States.

Questions surrounding industry participation were also raised following the approval process. In response, Selig pointed to an April 2025 request for comment covering both perpetual contracts and 24/7 trading, which drew more than 100 responses from market participants, including numerous firms already registered with the commission.

Funding rates, another frequently debated feature of perpetual futures, received separate attention in the statement. According to Selig, critics have argued that the mechanism creates high costs for traders and encourages harmful market behavior.

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His explanation was that carrying a position in traditional futures contracts can generate similar annualized costs once traders account for the expenses associated with repeatedly opening and rolling expiring contracts. He added that funding rates help keep perpetual futures aligned with the underlying spot market rather than encouraging misconduct.

The comments arrive as the CFTC continues to take a prominent role in digital asset regulation while Congress debates legislation that could redefine the responsibilities of the CFTC and SEC.

As previously reported by crypto.news, the commission recently appointed former SEC crypto task force adviser Donald Battle as chief data innovation officer. In announcing the hire, the agency highlighted Battle’s experience in blockchain analytics, financial investigations, artificial intelligence, and data science.

Beyond cryptocurrency markets, the commission has remained active in disputes involving prediction markets and event contracts. Court filings cited by the agency show it recently challenged New Mexico officials over efforts to apply state gaming laws to contracts listed on Kalshi, arguing that federally regulated event contracts fall under CFTC jurisdiction.

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At the same time, the regulator is collecting public feedback on a proposed framework for sports event contracts, a process that could influence how federal authorities oversee sports-related prediction markets in the future.

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Anthropic Ban Drives Demand for Decentralized AI Tokens

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Anthropic Ban Drives Demand for Decentralized AI Tokens

Anthropic’s decision to shut down access to its latest artificial intelligence models after a US order to suspend access to foreign nationals highlights the risks of centralized control in AI, which could increase demand for decentralized alternatives, says Grayscale. 

Grayscale head of research Zach Pandl said in a note on Monday that the order to cut access to Anthropic’s Fable 5 and Mythos 5 shows “the centralized control of frontier AI technology and drives home the need for decentralized alternatives.”

“We expect demand for decentralized AI, like Bittensor and its TAO token, to continue to rise as investors seek alternatives,” Pandl said.

The US government on Friday directed Anthropic to suspend access to the models for foreign nationals over national security concerns. Anthropic subsequently disabled access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all users to comply with the order.

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Pandl noted that in the 12 hours after Anthropic cut access to its latest models, Bittensor’s TAO token climbed 30% as users sought out a decentralized alternative, climbing to a three-week high of $283 on Monday.

TAO has outperformed the wider crypto market over the past week. Source: CoinGecko

Pandl explained that Bittensor offers an “alternative vision for AI based on decentralized principles,” aiming to provide access to AI resources through an open, global, decentralized network. 

“Think of it as Bitcoin for AI.”

“Access to artificial intelligence is becoming an increasingly important economic resource,” Pandl added. “As AI capabilities continue to improve, governments and AI labs will play an increasingly important role in determining who can access these tools and under what conditions.”

Anthropic suspension sets a precedent

Colton Malkerson, co-founder of EdgeRunner AI, argued that this event is a breaking point for corporate data independence.

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“We’ve been saying for a while that companies are ‘renting’ their intelligence from the big labs, but this is even worse,” he said in a note to Cointelegraph. 

“It’s like renting your intelligence, just like if you’re renting a house and the landlord can cancel your lease whenever they want, kick you out, and look at all your property while you’re a tenant.”

Related: Amazon warning triggered US crackdown on Anthropic AI models: Reports

Tech entrepreneur and author Brett Hurt said in a note to Cointelegraph that the US order for Anthropic to cut off access to its models “was a precedent.” 

“The moment a government can silence a commercial AI model overnight, with no public hearing, no technical disclosure, and no appeals process, every lab in America is now operating under an invisible ceiling.”

Magazine: How AI just dramatically sped up the quantum risk for Bitcoin

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Uniswap’s UNI could surge 40x to $100 by 2030, Standard Chartered says

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Uniswap's UNI could surge 40x to $100 by 2030, Standard Chartered says

Uniswap’s UNI token has been projected to climb from about $2.70 to $100 by the end of 2030 as tokenized assets increasingly enter decentralized finance, according to a new forecast from Standard Chartered Bank.

Summary

  • Standard Chartered has projected UNI could reach $100 by 2030 as tokenized assets and DeFi activity continue to expand.
  • The bank estimates assets locked in DeFi could grow to $2.7 trillion by the end of the decade, positioning Uniswap to benefit from rising onchain trading volume.
  • Standard Chartered said Uniswap’s fee burn model, declining token supply, and potential partnerships with traditional finance firms could support higher valuations over time.

Standard Chartered Bank initiated coverage of Uniswap (UNI) on Monday and said the decentralized exchange could be one of the biggest beneficiaries of growth in tokenized assets and on-chain financial activity over the rest of the decade.

The bank expects tokenized assets on public blockchains to expand from roughly $340 billion today to $4 trillion by the end of 2028. At the same time, Standard Chartered projects the share of those assets being used in DeFi applications to rise from 3.5% to 30% by the end of 2030. Combined with growth in crypto-native assets, the bank estimates total assets locked in DeFi could reach about $2.7 trillion, nearly 37 times current levels.

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Geoffrey Kendrick, Global Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered Bank, said he sees decentralized finance as the next major wealth-creation opportunity in digital assets. Based on that outlook, the bank believes Uniswap’s liquidity pools could eventually have access to roughly 37 times more assets for trading than they do today.

Under Standard Chartered’s forecast, UNI could reach $6.50 by the end of 2026, $20 by the end of 2027, $40 by the end of 2028, $65 by the end of 2029, and $100 by the end of 2030. The bank also expects UNI to outperform both Bitcoin and Ether during that period.

Fee burns and token supply changes support the thesis

Part of the bank’s optimism comes from changes made to Uniswap’s economic model over the past year. Before December 2025, swap fees generated on the protocol were distributed entirely to liquidity providers. A protocol upgrade known as UNIfication introduced protocol fees and a mechanism that burns UNI tokens, while later governance decisions expanded fee collection across additional liquidity pools.

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According to Standard Chartered, Uniswap has generated roughly $21 million in protocol fees since the fee switch was activated and has burned about 5 million UNI tokens, equivalent to an annual burn rate near 1%.

Token supply has also declined. The bank noted that a one-time burn of 100 million UNI, combined with ongoing burns, has reduced total supply from 1 billion to 895 million tokens, while circulating supply has fallen to about 622 million.

Recent activity on the network has reinforced that trend. Earlier this month, the UNI Burn Bot reported a record daily burn of 134,000 UNI through the UNIfication system. The mechanism requires users claiming protocol fees from TokenJar contracts to burn an equivalent value of UNI through the Firepit contract, permanently removing those tokens from circulation.

Uniswap governance has also expanded the burn framework. Proposal 96, approved in May, extended fee collection and UNI burns to BNB Chain, Polygon, and Celo, increasing the number of supported chains to 11.

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Alongside those governance changes, Uniswap Labs has rolled out wallet services, cross-chain swaps, portfolio tracking tools, and multichain portfolio views. The company said nearly half of new traders on Ethereum, Arbitrum, and Base who completed swaps in 2026 made their first transaction through Uniswap.

Bank sees valuation gap with Coinbase narrowing

In its report, Standard Chartered compared Uniswap’s business model with Coinbase and argued that the decentralized exchange remains undervalued relative to the volume it processes.

The bank described Uniswap as similar to YouTube because users create and supply liquidity, while Coinbase was compared to Netflix because it operates and manages its own centralized platform infrastructure.

According to the report, that structure gives Uniswap lower capital requirements since liquidity comes from users rather than the protocol itself. The bank also expects the platform to remain competitive in markets involving closely related assets such as stablecoins, liquid staking tokens, and eventually tokenized real-world assets.

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Although Uniswap handles transaction volumes that are comparable to Coinbase, Standard Chartered said the protocol trades at a much lower market capitalization-to-transaction fee multiple. Geoffrey Kendrick said stronger commercialization efforts and partnerships with traditional financial institutions could help narrow that gap over time if Uniswap successfully scales its business.

Risks remain. Standard Chartered warned that specialized decentralized exchanges could develop products better suited for certain markets, while capturing tokenized asset activity will require stronger relationships with traditional finance firms. The bank also noted that Uniswap V4’s hook system has not yet been tested at the scale anticipated in its long-term projections.

Looking ahead, Standard Chartered said regulatory developments such as the expected passage of the U.S. Clarity Act or future guidance from the Securities and Exchange Commission could help address some of those challenges and support wider adoption of decentralized finance infrastructure.

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How Hyperliquid Did $1.4 Billion in SpaceX as 3 Major Exchanges Ran Out of Shares

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The price of HYPE has been rising since the SpaceX IPO.

Three of crypto’s largest exchanges canceled their SpaceX products on the biggest IPO day in history, blaming share shortages and hidden lockups. Hyperliquid cleared $1.4 billion in SPCX perpetual futures without owning a single share.

Bybit, Binance, and Bitget had all offered tokenized SpaceX products ahead of the listing, but canceled them on the day when they could not source enough real shares. A separate issue caught preStocks users off-guard: a 180-day lockup on their allocations that only became visible after trading opened.

Why Tokenized Products Failed

Hyperliquid’s SPCX perpetual contract, a synthetic instrument that tracks the share price without requiring actual stock, had no such problem.

Yet three major exchanges that canceled on SpaceX day were relying on xStocks, a Kraken product that converts real equities into blockchain tokens. When xStocks received no IPO allocation, all three platforms collapsed simultaneously.

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The preStocks problem was different as the platform had sold exposure to SpaceX shares ahead of the IPO, but buyers discovered the lockup restriction after trading opened, meaning they could watch the stock gain 19% without being able to touch it.

How Crypto Perps Avoided the Chaos

Hyperliquid’s SPCX perpetual contract had no allocation problem to solve. The contract uses funding rates to stay anchored to the real market price. No shares needed, no lockup possible.

On IPO day, SPCX perps generated $1.4 billion in volume on Hyperliquid, around 30% of all HIP-3 ecosystem trading that session. HYPE, Hyperliquid’s native token, gained roughly 10% on the day. HIP-3 stock perps had already posted $18.8 billion in volume in the first half of June, outpacing WTI and Brent crude perpetuals on the same platform.

The price of HYPE has been rising since the SpaceX IPO.
The price of HYPE has been rising since the SpaceX IPO. Image Source: BeInCrypto

$1.4B: Decent Volume, Not a Nasdaq Rival

SpaceX’s Nasdaq debut saw around 500 million shares change hands. At an average price near $161, that translates to roughly $80 billion in equity volume on day one. The $1.4 billion in Hyperliquid perps represents about 1.7% of that, decent for a single decentralized product, but not a rival to equity markets.

What the number does show is which crypto model held up when the alternative broke. Synthetic perpetual futures cannot run out of shares because they never needed them. Tokenized equity, built on real-share custody, carries a structural ceiling that showed up exactly when demand peaked.

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ICE CEO Jeffrey Sprecher called Hyperliquid “bigger than Nasdaq” earlier this year, a claim that overstates the case, but the SpaceX episode offered concrete evidence of one genuine structural advantage: when there are no real shares to source, synthetic perps cannot run out.

The post How Hyperliquid Did $1.4 Billion in SpaceX as 3 Major Exchanges Ran Out of Shares appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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