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Saylor Reacts to MSTR Bear Market

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MSTR CMF

Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, remains locked in a persistent bear market. The Michael Saylor-led company has struggled to regain momentum as its stock mirrors Bitcoin’s decline.

As Bitcoin corrects, Strategy stock follows, reinforcing volatility and heightening sensitivity to digital asset sentiment shifts.

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MSTR Is Breaking Out

About a week ago, the Chaikin Money Flow formed a bullish divergence against price. While MSTR recorded a lower low, CMF posted a higher reading. This divergence signaled improving capital inflows despite falling prices, suggesting selective accumulation beneath the surface.

The short-term impact was visible as the MSTR price rebounded roughly 20% across Friday and Monday trading sessions. However, the broader technical structure remains fragile. Macro indicators still lean bearish, and sustained upside depends on stronger conviction returning to Bitcoin markets.

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MSTR CMF
MSTR CMF. Source: TradingView

Can The Oversold Stock Mirror 2022 Recovery?

The Relative Strength Index has hovered near oversold territory since November 2025. A brief improvement appeared in January before RSI fell below 30.0 again last week. An RSI below 30 often signals oversold conditions, which historically precede technical rebounds.

A similar setup occurred in May 2022. At that time, MSTR rebounded 123% after entering oversold territory. That rally unfolded despite Bitcoin experiencing uneven momentum. Investors treated Strategy as a distinct equity with its own growth narrative.

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MSTR RSI
MSTR RSI. Source: TradingView

This cycle differs materially. Strategy’s corporate identity is now deeply connected to its Bitcoin holdings strategy. Demand for MSTR shares increasingly reflects sentiment toward Bitcoin accumulation.

MSTR Follows Bitcoin

In prior downturns, the MSTR price occasionally moved independently of Bitcoin. During earlier oversold phases, the stock rallied even as Bitcoin corrected. That divergence highlighted investor confidence in Strategy’s enterprise software operations and balance sheet flexibility.

Today, correlation metrics show stronger alignment between MSTR and Bitcoin price action. Since November 2025, Bitcoin’s steady decline has exerted downward pressure on Strategy shares. Market participants increasingly treat the stock as a Bitcoin-linked instrument rather than a standalone tech equity.

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MSTR vs BTC Price
MSTR vs BTC Price. Source: TradingView

As a result, Strategy’s outlook now depends heavily on Bitcoin’s next move. If Bitcoin stabilizes or enters accumulation, MSTR may follow. Conversely, extended crypto weakness could prolong the bear phase in Strategy stock despite internal accumulation policies.

Saylor Remains Bullish

Michael Saylor, founder of Strategy, is unbothered by the decline in MSTR’s value. During an interview with CNBC, Saylor highlighted that the company is far from affected by BTC’s decline. He stated that volatility is the bug, but volatility is also the feature. He further strengthened the company’s outlook of accumulation over selling.

“We will not be selling. Instead, I believe we will be buying Bitcoin every quarter forever,” Saylor stated.

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Thus, Strategy will likely continue buying BTC, and MSTR will continue following its trajectory until the market changes drastically for one of them.

MSTR Price Targets Identified

MSTR price trades near $133, hovering around the $137 region aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This technical zone acts as a critical inflection point. Future direction will likely depend on Bitcoin price stability and broader crypto market sentiment.

If bearish conditions persist, recent gains could fade quickly. A drop below $122, corresponding to the 0.786 Fibonacci level, may expose $104, the February low. Should selling intensify further, the next structural support lies near $83.

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MSTR Price Analysis.
MSTR Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the upside, the immediate recovery target sits near $157. Reclaiming that level would offset recent losses and improve technical structure. If Saylor maintains Strategy’s Bitcoin accumulation stance, sustained commitment could attract renewed investor interest and support a stronger rebound in MSTR shares.

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RENDER Down 76% From Peak While Processing 1.5M Frames Monthly: Capitulation or Opportunity?

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21Shares Introduces JitoSOL ETP to Offer Staking Rewards via Solana

TLDR:

  • RENDER processes record 1.5M frames monthly while token crashes 76% to $1.30 from May 2025 peak of $5.50 
  • Network burned 1.04M tokens with 35% of all-time frames rendered in 2025 alone despite brutal price action 
  • AI rendering launch and Dispersed.com platform expand services while trading volume collapses 87% in 30 days 
  • 5,600 active GPU nodes and partnerships with Nvidia, Apple signal strong fundamentals amid $671M market cap

 

RENDER token crashes to $1.30 after plummeting 76% from its May 2025 high of $5.50, creating a stark disconnect between price action and explosive network growth.

The cryptocurrency’s market capitalization sits at $671 million following a 66% collapse from previous peaks, while the platform processes record-breaking 1.5 million frames monthly.

Trading volume of $28.7 million reflects an 87% monthly decline, yet network fundamentals surge to unprecedented levels across multiple metrics.

Price Crashes While Network Usage Explodes

The contrast between price performance and network activity reaches extreme levels. RENDER bleeds across all timeframes with a 3.59% drop in 24 hours, 17.63% decline over seven days, and catastrophic 49.97% collapse in 30 days.

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Meanwhile, the network hit a monumental milestone of 67 million total frames rendered since inception. The data reveals something remarkable: 35% of all-time frames were processed in 2025 alone, making it the strongest year in platform history.

Network infrastructure expanded dramatically during the price decline. Active GPU nodes grew to 5,600 contributors powering the distributed rendering network.

Token burns reached 1.04 million RENDER tokens through network fee mechanisms. Monthly frame processing hit an all-time record of 1.5 million, demonstrating actual usage growth while token holders suffer massive losses. The divergence between utility metrics and price creates a puzzling scenario for market participants.

Social indicators suggest accumulation despite the carnage. Sentiment analysis shows 80% positive outlook among community members.

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Social dominance spiked 158% while AltRank climbed 270 positions in just 30 days. Volume collapse of 87% over the past month signals capitulation-level selling or complete trader exhaustion. The question becomes whether this represents final washout or further downside ahead.

GPU demand for artificial intelligence workloads surges globally while RENDER prices tank. The platform sits at the intersection of two massive narratives: AI infrastructure and decentralized physical infrastructure networks.

Enterprise-grade hardware onboarding through RNP-021 brings NVIDIA H200 and AMD MI300X chips to the network.

These developments target professional-grade computational workloads worth billions in traditional cloud markets.

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AI Expansion Launches as Token Holders Face Pain

RENDER launched AI rendering capabilities on January 26, 2026, marking a strategic pivot beyond traditional graphics rendering.

The Dispersed.com platform went live, aggregating global GPU resources for machine learning and AI model training.

This infrastructure directly addresses exploding demand for computational power in the AI sector. Partnerships with Nvidia, Apple, and Stability AI validate the technical approach and market positioning.

The fundamentals tell an insane story of growth. Processing 1.5 million frames monthly while burning over one million tokens creates deflationary pressure amid increasing utility. Network activity proves real users pay real fees for real computational work.

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Enterprise GPU integration brings institutional-grade hardware to a decentralized network. The technical roadmap advances with Octane 2026 integration scheduled and RenderCon 2026 event planned.

Price action tells a brutal counter-narrative. The 76% collapse from $5.50 to $1.30 destroys holder value across the board. Market capitalization evaporated from roughly $1.9 billion to $671 million in less than a year.

Trading volume contraction suggests either accumulation by strong hands or complete market disinterest. Traditional investors face cognitive dissonance: fundamentals scream strength while charts scream weakness.

The setup creates a classic value versus momentum dilemma. Bears point to relentless selling pressure and macro headwinds crushing all risk assets.

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Bulls highlight record network usage, strategic partnerships, and positioning in high-growth AI markets. The 87% volume decline could signal final capitulation or prolonged bear market ahead.

Either scenario presents radically different outcomes for current price levels and future potential.

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Strategy CEO Seeks More Preferred Stock to Fund Bitcoin Buys

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) treasury company Strategy will lean more heavily on its perpetual preferred stock program to finance additional Bitcoin purchases, moving away from a reliance on issuing common stock. CEO Phong Le outlined the pivot during Bloomberg’s The Close, explaining that the company intends to shift from equity capital to preferred capital as a core funding channel. The move centers on Stretch (STRC), Strategy’s perpetual preferred offering launched in July, which targets investors seeking steadier returns through an annual dividend north of 11%. The instrument has been positioned as an alternative to diluting the company’s stock while it continues to amass BTC holdings. The development comes as Strategy eyes a broader rollout of STRC later in the year, signaling a potential shift in how corporate treasuries wield equity-like instruments to grow crypto reserves.

Le emphasized that the preferred stock will “take some seasoning” and marketing before traders fully embrace the product, but he remained upbeat about STRC’s trajectory. He told The Close that, in the course of this year, Stretch could become a cornerstone offering for Strategy as it seeks to fund further Bitcoin acquisitions. The company’s financing strategy has repeatedly leaned on STRC to finance BTC purchases since its inception, providing a mechanism to accumulate digital assets without triggering immediate dilution of common equity. The approach is part of a broader class of crypto treasuries that use perpetual preferreds to balance income generation with asset accumulation.

STRC, which was introduced to market as Strategy’s fourth perpetual preferred instrument, was explicitly designed to appeal to buyers seeking long-term stability. It carries an annual dividend and is marketed as a capital-structure play rather than a plain equity raise. The instrument’s structure aims to deliver predictable income while enabling Strategy to keep building its Bitcoin stack. The narrative around STRC has fed into a wider discussion about how corporate treasuries are managing liquidity, risk, and exposure to crypto markets without immediately triggering shareholder dilution. Critics, however, have warned that the space has grown crowded and that some companies’ holdings now exceed their market capitalization, raising questions about concentration risk and governance.

Strategy could restart offerings as STRC hits $100

In late trading, STRC regained its par value of $100 for the first time since mid-January, a development Le described as the “story of the day.” The move back to par could unlock renewed appetite for STRC issuances, potentially enabling Strategy to fund additional Bitcoin purchases without issuing new common shares. Earlier this month, the stock traded under $94 when Bitcoin briefly slid below $60,000, underscoring how BTC price dynamics can influence the attractiveness of STRC as a funding mechanism. With Bitcoin trading roughly around $66,800, the market environment remains relatively constructive for asset accumulation through alternative financing vehicles, even as volatility lingers on near-term horizons.

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Bitcoin’s price trajectory has been steady but not spectacular in the immediate term, hovering around the mid-$66,000s after peaking above $68,000 intraday. The price backdrop supports narratives that corporate treasuries can pursue more disciplined, income-generating avenues for finance, while still chasing the long-term upside of BTC exposure. The evolving dynamics around STRC and similar instruments come as crypto returns and risk sentiment influence decisions across corporate balance sheets, with issuers seeking to optimize cost of capital and dilution concerns in parallel.

Buying Bitcoin treasury rivals a “distraction”

Analysts have cautioned that the crypto treasury space is becoming crowded as several firms vie for a relatively small pool of traders and investors. In a crowded market, some observers warn that corporate treasuries could face diminishing marginal value as more players announce similar funding structures. The fragmentation raises questions about price discovery, liquidity, and the true strategic value of perpetual preferreds in maintaining BTC accumulation over the long run.

Related: Saylor’s Strategy buys $90M in Bitcoin as price trades below cost basis

Beyond pure competition concerns, Le dismissed the notion that Strategy would pursue aggressive consolidation through acquisitions of underperforming peers. He argued that focusing on the core STRC product is preferable to pursuing opportunistic takeovers, likening the approach to other technology or finance markets where companies emphasize product development over opportunistic acquisitions. “In any new market, whether it be electric cars or AI or SaaS software, you want to focus on your core product,” Le said. “It would be a distraction to go buy, at a discount to net asset value, another digital asset treasury company.”

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As the wider market digests these developments, Strategy’s stock, traded as MSTR, closed down more than 5% at $126.14, reflecting a sentiment that remains cautious in the near term even as STRC gains traction. The price action underscores the delicate balance investors weigh between funded BTC accumulation and the potential dilution risk associated with new equity or preferred stock offerings. The discussion around STRC also feeds into broader debates about how corporate treasuries manage risk, yield, and the opportunity cost of capital when BTC becomes a strategic asset rather than a speculative instrument.

To contextualize the conversation, industry observers have pointed to a broader trend: as more companies adopt crypto treasuries, the market could see consolidation through mergers and acquisitions or more aggressive share-issuing strategies when faced with capital needs. Yet Strategy’s leadership seems intent on refining its preferred-stock route rather than chasing rapid expansion through bolder balance-sheet moves. The decision to prioritize a steady, dividend-bearing instrument aligns with a philosophy of measured growth and risk control, even as BTC remains a volatile, high-beta asset that can swing strategic outcomes in a single trading session.

In parallel, the crypto treasury sector has become a focal point for investors seeking visibility into how corporate treasuries navigate liquidity, risk, and regulatory constraints. Analysts suggest that while the category has matured in some respects, it remains a moving target shaped by Bitcoin’s price action, macroeconomic conditions, and evolving market structure. The emergence of streaming discussions around STRC and similar products indicates a willingness among issuers to experiment with bespoke capital-structure solutions as legitimate means of funding crypto purchases. The question remains: how durable will these instruments prove in different market regimes, and will investor demand stabilize as more issuers publish performance data and governance disclosures?

Why it matters

For investors, Strategy’s pivot toward preferred stock as a primary funding mechanism highlights a shift in how crypto treasuries can balance income with exposure to Bitcoin outright. The STRC instrument promises yield and stability, potentially reducing the pressure to issue more common stock and mitigate dilution. If STRC continues to perform and attract sufficient investor interest, Strategy could emerge as a case study for how treasuries combine traditional fixed-income features with crypto exposure to create a hybrid financing model.

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From a market perspective, the development reinforces the idea that institutional players are increasingly treating BTC as a fundamental corporate asset rather than a speculative risk. The use of perpetual preferreds could provide a template for other issuers seeking to augment BTC reserves without triggering immediate equity dilution. Yet the crowded nature of the space also invites closer scrutiny of governance, risk management, and the alignment of incentives between a company’s treasury activities and shareholder interests. The balance between discipline in funding and the pursuit of BTC upside remains a central tension, one that Strategy appears intent on navigating with caution and clarity.

For builders and researchers, the case raises questions about the transparency of crypto-treasury deals, the long-term performance of perpetual preferreds in crypto contexts, and how such instruments should be regulated as they gain traction in mainstream finance. The evolving narrative around STRC and related products could influence product design, disclosure standards, and investor education as more firms explore innovative capital-structure solutions to support digital-asset accumulation.

What to watch next

  • Progress in STRC marketing and adoption, including any new issuances or marketing milestones (dates to watch).
  • Bitcoin price movements and any corresponding shifts in Strategy’s BTC purchase cadence or balance-sheet disclosures.
  • Regulatory developments affecting corporate crypto treasuries and preferred-stock financings.
  • Q3 and Q4 earnings context for Strategy (or related entities) that could reflect changes in capital-raising strategies.
  • Market sentiment indicators for crypto treasuries, including liquidity and trading volumes for perpetual-preferred products.

Sources & verification

  • Bloomberg – Phong Le interview on The Close discussing Strategy’s move from equity capital to preferred capital and STRC’s role (YouTube link provided in original coverage).
  • Cointelegraph – Strategy raises $2B in preferred stock to back Bitcoin purchases (article detailing STRC launch and purpose).
  • Cointelegraph – Why Saylor’s Strategy keeps buying Bitcoin: Long-term investment rationale and treasury approach.
  • Cointelegraph – Saylor/Strategy buys $90M in Bitcoin as price trades below cost basis (context on BTC purchases and treasury activity).
  • Cointelegraph – Crypto treasury more merger/acquisition cycle mature (analysis of competitive dynamics in the treasury space).

What to watch next

Market development and official disclosures in the coming quarters will be critical to assess STRC’s effectiveness as a funding tool and Strategy’s broader strategy for growing its BTC holdings through preferred-stock issuances.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Bankers Urge OCC to Slow Crypto Trust Bank Charters

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Bankers Urge OCC to Slow Crypto Trust Bank Charters

The American Bankers Association (ABA) is urging the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) to slow its approval of national trust bank charters for crypto and stablecoin firms until the regulatory landscape under the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act is clearer. 

In a Wednesday comment letter on the OCC’s national bank chartering notice of proposed rulemaking, the trade group warned that recent and future applicants engaged in stablecoin and digital asset activities face still‑unsettled oversight from multiple federal and state regulators. 

The ABA said that the OCC should not advance applications where an institution’s full regulatory obligations, including under forthcoming GENIUS Act rulemakings, are not yet fully defined.

​The association warned that uninsured, digital asset‑focused national trusts raise unresolved safety and soundness, operational and resolution issues, particularly around the segregation of customer assets, conflicts of interest and cybersecurity. 

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Related: OCC boss says ‘no justification’ to judge banks and crypto differently

It also cautioned that national trust charters could be used to avoid registration and scrutiny by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) when firms engage in activities that would otherwise trigger securities or derivatives regulation. 

Banks lobby OCC over crypto trust bank charters. Source: ABA

The ABA urged the OCC to be “patient,” resist applying traditional timing expectations to these applications, and ensure each charter applicant’s regulatory responsibilities “come fully into view” before moving applications forward. 

​The association further called for greater transparency around how the OCC calibrates capital, operational and resilience standards in conditional approvals for crypto‑related charters, and pressed the agency to tighten naming rules so that limited‑purpose trust banks that are not engaged in the business of banking cannot use “bank” in their names. 

That, it argued, would reduce the risk of consumer confusion about the status and safety of obligations at uninsured entities.

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Related: Stablecoin rewards provisions face industry test in Senate crypto bill

​Warning after new crypto trust charters

The intervention comes less than two months after the OCC granted conditional national trust bank approvals to five crypto firms: Bitgo Bank & Trust, Fidelity Digital Assets, Ripple National Trust Bank, First National Digital Currency Bank, and Paxos Trust Company.

On Dec. 12, 2025, the OCC greenlighted a path for these companies to hold and manage customer digital assets under a federal charter while remaining outside the deposit-taking and lending business. 

The same banking lobby is also pressing Congress, through pending crypto market structure legislation such as the Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, to curb stablecoin rewards, contending that yield‑bearing stablecoins and affiliate “rewards” programs would function as bank‑like products without being subject to the full bank regulatory regime.

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