While bitcoin BTC$63,329.86 and ether (ETH) are under pressure, their prices remain above their respective 50-day averages, a bullish sign. The broader market isn’t so lucky.

The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is widely tracked as a near-term trend gauge. Price breaks above that level are taken as a sign that bullish momentum is building. Right now, only 29 of the top 100 coins, including the two largest, are trading above their respective 50-day averages. So the breadth remains decisively bearish.

It looks even worse when compared with the Nasdaq 100 breadth. As of Monday, 47 stocks from the index traded above their 50-day SMAs.

This shows that the stability seen since the BTC selloff stalled below $58,000 on June 1 has yet to spill over into the wider crypto market. But there is hope. Ether, the bellwether of altcoins, has recently outperformed bitcoin, raising hopes that soon other coins could catch a strong bid.

A lot depends on the Fed’s interest-rate decision due Wednesday and the cues (if any, given Chair Kevin Warsh’s reticence to provide forward guidance) about the interest-rate trajectory.

IMF has called for closer oversight of Brazil’s stablecoin market as cross-border crypto flows outpace traditional capital movements.

According to the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) latest Financial System Stability Assessment, Brazil’s crypto asset market has expanded rapidly since 2017, with U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoins becoming a major part of that growth. 

The report says cross-border crypto transactions have increased faster than conventional capital flows and now require closer regulatory attention because of their growing links with the country’s financial system.

The assessment says stablecoin purchases respond much more strongly to global financial shocks than traditional portfolio investment or foreign direct investment. 

Based on the IMF’s analysis, purchases of dollar-backed stablecoins are two to three times more sensitive to external market events, raising concerns over how quickly international volatility could spread through crypto markets.

Brazil’s stablecoin market has drawn IMF attention

Brazil has emerged as one of the world’s more active crypto markets, with stablecoins accounting for a significant share of digital asset activity. The IMF said the country’s crypto ecosystem has become increasingly connected with the traditional financial sector, making regulatory oversight more important as adoption continues to rise.

The report acknowledges that Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) has already introduced measures to regulate crypto asset service providers. Even so, the IMF said several areas still need stronger rules, including customer asset protection, stablecoin issuance requirements, and compliance with anti-money laundering (AML) and counter-terrorist financing (CFT) standards.

While discussing financial stability risks, the IMF did not call for restrictions on stablecoins. Instead, it recommended strengthening the regulatory framework as crypto markets become more integrated with existing payment and financial infrastructure.

Cross-border crypto flows have grown faster than traditional capital

One of the report’s central findings is the pace at which crypto is moving across borders. According to the IMF, cross-border crypto flows have increased steadily over recent years and are now expanding faster than conventional international capital movements.

The assessment says stablecoin transactions react more sharply during periods of global market stress than portfolio investment or foreign direct investment. Such sensitivity, the IMF said, could make capital movements through crypto markets more volatile during external financial shocks.

The institution linked those risks to the growing use of dollar-backed stablecoins, which continue to dominate Brazil’s crypto market. Earlier comments from BCB Governor Gabriel Galípolo have also pointed to stablecoins accounting for about 90% of the country’s reported crypto flows, with regulators monitoring possible tax, money laundering and reserve-related risks.

Existing rules already separate crypto from regulated payment channels

The IMF’s recommendations come after Brazil introduced new rules governing how digital assets interact with the country’s regulated foreign exchange system.

In April, Banco Central do Brasil published Resolution BCB No. 561, which amended regulations for electronic foreign exchange (eFX) providers. Under the updated framework, payments and receipts between regulated eFX providers and foreign counterparties must be completed through foreign exchange transactions or movements in non-resident Brazilian real accounts.

The regulation also prohibits the use of virtual assets to settle transactions inside those supervised cross-border payment channels. At the same time, the measure does not prohibit crypto trading or stablecoin transfers more broadly. Instead, it separates regulated international settlement from private crypto activity conducted through exchanges, wallets and other digital asset services.

Transitional provisions allow firms that have not yet received authorization as eFX providers to continue operating if they apply for central bank approval before May 31, 2027. Those firms must still comply with the same settlement restrictions during the transition period.

Earlier regulatory proposals have also examined stablecoins issued outside the central bank’s supervision. In technical comments submitted to Brazil’s Congress, the BCB warned that offshore-issued stablecoins, particularly real-denominated tokens beyond its oversight, could raise concerns around monetary sovereignty, regulatory consistency and capital flows.

Stablecoins remain central to Brazil’s payment landscape

Regulatory scrutiny has increased even as stablecoins continue gaining ground alongside Brazil’s domestic payment infrastructure.

Recent reporting by crypto.news showed that Tether-backed payment platform Oobit integrated Pix, allowing users to deposit Brazilian reais, hold USDT and complete payments through Pix keys or QR codes. The development illustrates how dollar-backed stablecoins can operate alongside Brazil’s widely used instant payment system without replacing it.

The latest IMF assessment also arrives shortly after trade tensions between Brazil and the United States brought the country’s payment ecosystem into focus. 

A Section 301 investigation by the Office of the United States Trade Representative cited Brazil’s Pix payment system among several practices considered unfair to U.S. electronic payment companies, although the resulting 25% tariffs targeted Brazilian imports rather than the payment network itself.

Ethereum price fell 5% from $1,973 to $1,873 on July 28 after another rejection below $2,000 triggered forced selling and pushed ETH into a key technical support zone.

• Ethereum price dropped below $1,900 after buyers failed to break the $1,975–$2,000 resistance zone.
• Leveraged positions accelerated the decline as ETH moved through several long-liquidation clusters.
• ETH is testing the lower boundary of a rising wedge near $1,870 on the 4-hour chart.
• The next large concentration of downside liquidity sits around $1,840–$1,850.

Ethereum price falls below $1,900 after $2,000 rejection

According to data from crypto.news, Ethereum (ETH) price traded near $1,875 at the time of writing, down from an intraday high close to $1,973. The decline erased most of the gains from the previous session, when ETH reached its highest level since early June.

Selling intensified after buyers failed to push the price through the $1,975–$2,000 resistance range. The rejection trapped traders who had opened leveraged long positions in anticipation of a breakout above the psychological threshold.

ETH subsequently moved below $1,900, activating stop-loss orders and forcing position closures. The price reached approximately $1,873 before stabilizing around the lower end of the daily range.

Despite the decline, Ethereum remains above its early July low near $1,560. The token has gained roughly 20% from that level, meaning the wider recovery has weakened but has not yet been invalidated.

Leveraged longs accelerate the ETH sell-off

Derivatives positioning appears to have increased the speed of the decline. Bullish traders had built exposure as Ethereum approached $2,000, leaving the market vulnerable when spot demand failed to sustain the move.

The one-week ETH liquidation heatmap shows that the price passed through multiple areas of leveraged exposure between $1,950 and $1,890. Forced closures likely added sell orders as Ethereum broke through those levels.

The heatmap now shows a larger concentration of liquidity around $1,840–$1,850. Price can gravitate toward such areas because liquidations produce additional trading activity, although the data does not guarantee that ETH will reach the zone.

Transfers from large wallets to centralized exchanges may also have added to the pressure. Exchange deposits increase the amount of ETH available for sale, but they do not confirm that the holders have liquidated their assets.

Broader weakness across technology stocks contributed another source of pressure. Concerns about the financial returns from heavy artificial intelligence spending have increased volatility across global equities, encouraging investors to reduce exposure to risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

ETH tests rising support near $1,870

Ethereum’s 4-hour chart shows the price testing the lower boundary of a rising wedge near $1,870. The trendline has supported the recovery since the middle of July, making the current area important for the token’s next move.

A decisive close below the trendline would weaken the rebound and could send ETH toward the $1,850–$1,840 liquidity zone. Failure to hold that area would expose the 100-day simple moving average near $1,758.

Momentum indicators support a cautious short-term outlook. The 4-hour relative strength index has fallen to 42.22, below its moving average of 57.68. The reading shows weakening demand but remains above the oversold threshold of 30.

The moving average convergence divergence indicator has also turned bearish. The MACD line has fallen below its signal line, while the histogram has moved into negative territory, showing that sellers retain short-term control.

On the daily chart, Ethereum price remains above its 20-day SMA, currently near $1,864, offering immediate support around the present price. The 50-day SMA stands lower at approximately $1,759.

On the upside, ETH must first recover $1,900. Further resistance sits between $1,950 and $1,975, where the recent high and the 200-day SMA near $1,954 create a stronger supply zone.

A daily close above $1,975 would weaken the bearish setup and give buyers another chance to test $2,000. Until that happens, rebounds into the resistance zone may continue to attract selling.

Analysts identify $1,840 as the decisive support

Crypto analyst Ted Pillows described the current trading area as a key support zone for Ethereum.

“ETH is back into its key support zone. As long as this holds, Ethereum will continue to outperform Bitcoin.”

Pillows’ chart places support around $1,840, followed by possible recovery levels near $1,956, $2,030, and $2,195. A breakdown below the current zone, however, could shift attention toward approximately $1,700 and $1,530.

Market commentator Rain pointed to corporate accumulation as a potential source of longer-term demand. Rain noted that BitMine added nearly 10,000 ETH during the previous week, taking its reported holdings to approximately 5.79 million ETH.

Rain also said ETH had gained about 2.4% over the week while Bitcoin declined roughly 0.7%, pushing the ETH/BTC ratio to a three-month high. The relative strength suggests some investors continue to favor Ethereum despite the latest intraday correction.

Corporate buying may support ETH over longer periods, but it cannot prevent short-term volatility when leveraged positioning becomes crowded. The immediate outlook still depends on whether buyers can defend the $1,840–$1,870 region.

Fed expectations add pressure for US traders

US investors are also monitoring Treasury yields and expectations surrounding Federal Reserve policy. Higher risk-free yields can reduce demand for speculative assets and make Ethereum’s staking yield less attractive relative to government bonds.

Demand for US-listed spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds represents another key variable. Continued institutional inflows could help absorb exchange-based selling, while sustained outflows would remove a source of demand that supported the July recovery.

Regulatory uncertainty around staking services and liquid staking products remains relevant for US holders. Changes to the treatment or availability of those services could affect institutional demand and the way investors value Ethereum’s yield.

For now, $1,840 remains the principal downside level, while $1,950–$1,975 is the range bulls must reclaim. Holding support would preserve Ethereum’s July recovery structure, but a daily close beneath it could expose the 100-day SMA near $1,758.

Lido, the major liquid staking protocol for Ethereum, has announced an upgrade to its staking infrastructure aimed at improving validator efficiency while keeping decentralization on the roadmap. The change is introduced through a new component called Curated Module v2, which Lido says brings broader support for Ethereum’s newer withdrawal credential format.

According to a Lido update published on Monday, the upgrade adds support for Ethereum’s 0x02 withdrawal credentials. The practical upshot is that validators operating through Lido infrastructure can raise their effective balance from 32 ETH to as much as 2,048 ETH, while still being orchestrated within the protocol’s staking framework.

Key takeaways

• Curated Module v2 adds support for Ethereum’s 0x02 withdrawal credentials within Lido’s staking setup.
• Lido projects validator counts could fall from about 880,000 to roughly 628,000, a drop of around one-third, based on its internal assumptions.
• Lido says the migration has not started yet; the numbers reflect projections rather than realized outcomes.
• The upgrade is expected to reduce messaging and participation needs on the consensus layer, while not targeting changes to the execution layer fee and gas activity.
• New accountability measures for node operators include bonding and penalty mechanisms, with future stake allocation potentially influenced by performance and ecosystem contribution.

What Lido’s Curated Module v2 changes

Lido’s model relies on smart contract coordination and a network of node operators that run Ethereum validators. The protocol’s announced upgrade centers on expanding how those validators are configured, specifically through withdrawal credentials that Ethereum supports via the 0x02 format.

Lido states that this credential support enables validators to operate with a larger effective balance—up to 2,048 ETH. In systems like Ethereum’s staking architecture, larger effective balances can translate into fewer independent validator instances needed to steward a given amount of stake.

Importantly for stakers, Lido emphasized that users do not need to take action. Since Lido is a liquid staking protocol, stakers hold stETH, and Lido said the migration will be handled at the protocol level.

Projected impact on Ethereum validator counts

Lido’s update includes a quantification of what the migration could look like. The protocol said the shift could reduce Ethereum’s validator count from approximately 880,000 to about 628,000, implying a roughly 33% reduction.

Lido also stressed that the migration is not underway yet. The figures are based on the protocol’s projections rather than results that have already been observed on-chain.

From an investor and market-structure standpoint, validator-count changes matter less for token price mechanics and more for how efficiently the network runs under load. If fewer validators and fewer validator messages are required to maintain consensus, it can lower certain overhead costs and complexity—particularly during periods when validator participation is highly dynamic.

Consensus layer efficiency—without changing execution-layer fees

Beyond the raw validator count, Lido expects the upgrade to affect Ethereum’s consensus layer by reducing the number of validators and validator messages required for the network to operate.

Lido also drew an explicit boundary around what the upgrade does not intend to change: it is not designed to alter execution-layer activity. The execution layer is where transaction fees and gas costs arise, so the protocol’s stated aim is to improve consensus-side operational characteristics rather than influence fee markets directly.

For users watching network performance, this distinction is crucial. Upgrades that affect validator messaging and participation typically influence consensus efficiency, while execution-layer changes are the ones most directly tied to the user experience around gas and transaction inclusion.

New operator accountability: bonds, penalties, and weighting performance

Lido’s announcement also goes beyond infrastructure configuration by outlining additional accountability measures for its node operators. The protocol said the upgrade introduces bonding and penalty mechanisms, intended to increase alignment between operator behavior and protocol expectations.

According to Lido, operator incentives will evolve as part of this framework. Lido further suggested that future stake distribution could place more weight on a broader set of factors—potentially including operator performance, fees, and contributions to the broader Ethereum ecosystem.

In other words, the upgrade is not only about reducing how many validator entities are used; it is also about changing how operators are evaluated and economically constrained. That matters for decentralization, since more robust accountability mechanisms can help ensure that operator quality and reliability are not treated as afterthoughts when scaling staking infrastructure.

Lido described Curated Module v2 as a “next major step” in the evolution of its architecture, citing new operator incentives, bond-based security mechanisms, and governance improvements.

What stakers and observers should monitor next

As Curated Module v2 moves from announcement to migration execution, the main things to watch are how quickly Lido completes the change and whether the projected reduction in validator count and messaging levels comes close to the protocol’s stated estimates. Since Lido says the migration is handled at the protocol level, the practical signal for stakers will likely be tracking network-level behavior during and after the rollout—especially consensus-layer efficiency metrics—while keeping in mind Lido’s assertion that execution-layer fee dynamics are not the target of this upgrade.

Decentralized exchange (DEX) aggregator 1inch opened Aqua, its shared liquidity protocol, to users across 13 Ethereum Virtual Machine-compatible chains.

Aqua lets liquidity providers use the same wallet balance across multiple positions instead of splitting their assets among separate pools, with tokens remaining in the provider’s wallet until a matching swap executes.

The protocol allows “tokens to stay in your wallet, under your control, while one balance backs multiple positions across different strategies rather than being split between smart contract deposits,” 1inch co-founder Sergej Kunz told CoinDesk.

A $100,000 balance could support three positions quoting a combined $300,000, according to 1inch. That is quoted liquidity rather than additional capital, and orders can only execute against assets held in the wallet, and a swap fails if the balance cannot cover it.

1inch first unveiled Aqua last year, including its software development kit, libraries and documentation. The public interface lets users create full-range, concentrated or pegged positions across chains including Ethereum, Base, BNB Chain, Arbitrum and Robinhood Chain.

The rollout follows research commissioned by 1inch that found 85% of $1.84 billion tracked across major concentrated-liquidity exchanges was underutilized in the first half of 2026.

Bitcoin BTC$63,371.84 has lost 0.53% since midnight UTC, having shed around 2% during the U.S. session overnight.

Two catalysts are weighing on sentiment.

First, chipmaking stocks tumbled in South Korea, dragging the benchmark Kospi stock index down 11%. The drop, one of its worst single-day declines in years, sent shockwaves across global risk assets.

And on the regulatory front, the U.S. Senate shelved the Crypto Clarity Act for now, opting to prioritize a Russia sanctions bill and federal nominations with just two weeks remaining before the summer recess begins on Aug. 8. The bill’s fate this year is now genuinely uncertain.

Ether (ETH) fell 0.56% to $1,880 having failed to rise through the psychological level of $2,000 on Monday. Both the Fed’s interest-rate decision on Wednesday and the Senate’s remaining floor time loom large over the market this week.

Traditional markets are broadly lower, with Nasdaq 100 index futures down 0.70%, gold shedding 0.93% and silver off 1.50%.

Derivatives positioning

• Taker volume flips bearish: The taker long/short volume in futures has flipped gloomy, with shorts, or bearish plays, now at 51.5%. This marks a complete turnaround from the bullish bias seen in recent days. A taker is a market participant that trades at prevailing prices.
• XRP open interest rises: XRP’s futures open interest has risen to 2.35 billion tokens, up nearly 6% from a day ago. Meanwhile, open interest has held steady in BTC, ETH and SOL futures. That’s been the trend in majors mostly, with participation remaining modest through the price bounce from early June lows.
• Other tokens see outflows: Futures linked to other tokens, such as SHIB, AVAX, LINK and DOGE, have seen open interest decline in a sign of capital outflows.
• CVD turns negative: Other metrics, like the 24-hour open interest-adjusted cumulative volume delta, also paint a bearish picture. For the first time in at least three weeks, the top 25 coins have negative CVDs. That means bears are leading the price action by shorting via market orders rather than passive limit orders.
• Funding rates shift: Funding rates for BTC hover near 0%, a sign of balanced positioning. Meanwhile, those for ETH, SOL, XRP and TRX have flipped negative, a sign of growing bias for bearish plays.
• Volatility remains calm: While key events such as the Fed meeting and the core U.S. PCE inflation figure are due this week, BTC and ETH volatility surfaces do not show any sign of traders pricing genuine stress. BTC and ETH’s 30-day implied volatility indexes remain near recent lows, a sign of market calm.
• Options show put bias: In Deribit-listed options, BTC and ETH put-call skews have climbed slightly, consistent with the overnight losses in the spot price. The bias for puts in ETH options is considerably lower than in BTC. However, volume rankings show puts or downside protection taking the top spot in both BTC and ETH.

Token talk

• Lighter (LIT) is the crypto market’s standout gainer, rising 3.97% to $2.21 as it continues to rebuild after last week’s profit-taking, with the $2.10 support level being defended for the third time this month.
• MORPHO$1.9759 and ethena (ENA) are among the few other tokens in the green, gaining 1.54% and 1.46%, respectively, and maintaining a run of DeFi resilience even as broader sentiment sours.
• FET led the losses over 24 hours, falling 9.48%, with NEAR, HYPE and WLD all shedding 8%-9%. AI and layer-1 tokens took the brunt of the overnight selloff.
• PUMP$0.002067 gave back 3.07% after Monday’s strong session. It is still higher than where it was over the weekend as speculators begin to take profit.
• CoinMarketCap’s “Altcoin Season” indicator is hovering at 53/100, down slightly from Monday but higher than where it has been for the majority of July.

Lido, one of the largest liquid staking platforms on Ethereum, has rolled out an upgrade to its staking infrastructure aimed at improving how validators operate while supporting greater decentralization. The change centers on Curated Module v2, a new component within Lido’s validator system.

According to a Lido update published Monday, the upgrade adds support for Ethereum’s 0x02 withdrawal credentials. That support is expected to let validators raise their effective balance from the familiar 32 ETH threshold to sizes of up to 2,048 ETH, depending on how validators are configured.

Key takeaways

• Curated Module v2 is designed to improve validator efficiency by enabling validator effective balances to scale up to 2,048 ETH via Ethereum’s 0x02 withdrawal credentials.
• Lido projects the migration could reduce validator count from about 880,000 to roughly 628,000—a drop of around one-third.
• The upgrade is expected to impact Ethereum’s consensus layer (validator set size and related messages) rather than execution-layer activity like transaction fees.
• Lido is adding bonding and penalty accountability mechanisms for node operators as part of the upgrade.
• Lido says no staker action is needed because the migration is handled at the protocol level.

What Curated Module v2 changes

At the core of the upgrade is the introduction of 0x02 withdrawal credentials support. Lido says this enables validators to increase their effective balance, moving beyond the 32 ETH effective balance commonly associated with how validators are structured.

Lido’s update frames this as a step toward a leaner, more efficient validator footprint. By allowing validators to operate with larger effective balances, Lido expects fewer validators are needed to secure and attest on the network at comparable levels of staked participation.

Importantly, Lido emphasizes that the change is not meant to alter the execution layer—the part of Ethereum responsible for ordering transactions and determining gas costs and fee levels. Instead, Lido says the upgrade should primarily affect how the consensus layer is maintained, including the number of validator messages required to keep the network running.

Projected validator count reduction—based on Lido estimates

Lido said the migration has not started yet and that the figures it shared are projections from its modeling. Under those assumptions, Lido expects the validator count could fall from around 880,000 to about 628,000, representing an approximate 33% decrease.

The practical implication for investors and network participants is that a smaller validator set can change the operational dynamics of staking at scale. Even if overall security assumptions remain grounded in Ethereum’s consensus rules, the structure of who participates and how often messages are produced can differ when fewer validators are responsible for the same underlying economic weight.

Still, because these are Lido’s projections and the migration has not begun, the direction and magnitude of real-world change may depend on how validators and the wider ecosystem adopt and configure the new credentials over time.

Accountability upgrades for node operators

Beyond changing validator sizing, Lido’s update introduces new accountability measures for its node operators. Lido specifically mentioned bonding and penalty mechanisms, indicating that operator security and performance expectations may be enforced more directly through economic incentives and disincentives.

The update also suggests future stake distribution could weigh additional factors. Lido said more emphasis could be placed on operator performance, fees, and contributions to Ethereum’s broader ecosystem—signals intended to reward not just participation, but sustained operational quality and active involvement.

For users who rely on Lido’s liquid staking token—rather than operating validators themselves—the significance is indirect but meaningful. Upgrades that adjust operator incentives and monitoring can influence reliability and service continuity, which in turn can affect user confidence in the system’s robustness.

However, Lido’s message does not specify exact parameter thresholds or the detailed mechanics of how the bonding and penalties will be applied over time. Readers should watch for subsequent technical documentation or governance updates that clarify those operational details as the migration approaches.

Protocol-level migration: no staker action required

Lido said Curated Module v2 represents the “next major step” in its evolution toward operator incentives, bond-based security, and governance improvements. In its update, Lido also stated that no action is required from stakers, because the upgrade will be handled at the protocol level.

That matters for the practical day-to-day of stETH holders. If the change is fully protocol-managed, users should not need to redeploy wallets, move assets, or change validator relationships during the transition—reducing the operational risk that often accompanies large staking infrastructure shifts.

At the same time, the migration timing is a key unknown in the near term. Lido has not indicated that the upgrade is already underway, and it noted the validator count changes are based on projections. Once execution begins, the market will likely look for evidence that real validator set changes align with the expectations Lido has laid out.

For now, the most important things to monitor are whether the consensus-layer effects match Lido’s estimated validator reduction, and how the new operator accountability mechanisms perform once validators begin migrating to the configuration enabled by 0x02 withdrawal credentials.