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SEI Drops 94% to $0.06: Can This “Do or Die” Demand Zone Trigger a 100x Recovery?

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TLDR:

  • SEI has dropped nearly 94% from its $1.145 all-time high, now trading near a critical $0.06 demand zone.
  • The $0.065–$0.045 range is flagged as a high-risk accumulation zone based strictly on descending channel structure.
  • A weekly close below $0.040 would fully invalidate the current bullish setup and signal deeper price decline.
  • Analysts outline expansion targets from $0.157 up to $5.05, contingent on a confirmed weekly Change of Character.

SEI is trading near $0.06, testing a critical macro demand zone after a steep price decline. The cryptocurrency has dropped approximately 94% from its all-time high of $1.145.

Technical analysts are now watching the lower boundary of a long-term descending parallel channel closely. Patient investors are being directed toward the $0.065–$0.045 range as a potential accumulation window before any structural trend shift occurs.

SEI Tests Long-Term Channel Support After Historic Markdown

SEI has been confined within a descending parallel channel since its 2024 all-time high. This channel structure has consistently produced lower highs and lower lows across multiple timeframes.

The pattern reflects prolonged selling pressure without any confirmed bullish reversal on higher timeframes. At present, the lower boundary of this channel serves as the only remaining structural reference for traders.

The $0.160 support level, previously a major price floor for SEI, has since flipped into strong resistance. This classic support-resistance role reversal has made recovery attempts difficult for buyers.

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Each rally attempt toward that region has been met with sustained selling activity. The breakdown of all prior historical support levels reinforces the significance of this technical shift.

Crypto analyst Crypto Patel posted on X, stating that SEI was trading “at the lower boundary of a macro descending parallel channel after an aggressive ~94% markdown.”

The post further described this zone as a “Do or Die” demand area for the asset. The framing reflects the absence of any conventional support structure below current prices. Only channel mechanics are defining the structural floor at this stage.

Given this backdrop, the current setup carries elevated risk for traders entering positions. However, the zone between $0.065 and $0.045 is being flagged as a high-risk accumulation region for patient capital.

A weekly close below $0.040 would fully invalidate the current bullish thesis. Traders are advised to watch weekly candle closures for early confirmation signals.

SEI Price Targets Outlined as L1 Narrative Rotation Comes Into Focus

Should SEI successfully hold the current demand zone, the analysis identifies several expansion targets. These levels range from $0.157 upward through $0.351, $0.701, $1.146, $2.013, and ultimately $5.05.

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Each target corresponds to prior structural areas or measured projection levels from the channel. Reaching those targets would require a confirmed market structure shift across higher timeframes.

A potential weekly Change of Character, or CHoCH, is being monitored as a primary confirmation trigger. A CHoCH would signal a shift in price behavior from bearish to early bullish structure.

Without that confirmation, the descending trend technically remains intact and active. Analysts emphasize that buyers need structure to change before positioning aggressively.

The broader 2026–2027 recovery case ties closely to Layer-1 narrative rotation in the crypto market. L1 blockchains have historically attracted capital rotation during mid-to-late altcoin market cycles.

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SEI’s ongoing ecosystem expansion could support renewed interest if market sentiment improves broadly. External macro conditions, however, remain a variable that technical analysis alone cannot address.

Crypto Patel’s analysis also noted that all prior support levels have been invalidated for SEI. The accumulation zone is derived strictly from channel structure and price action, not traditional supply-demand zones.

This makes current price behavior more challenging to interpret using conventional technical frameworks. The channel’s lower boundary remains the sole structural anchor guiding current market analysis.

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Collateral Reputation Tokens: Trust-Driven Lending Across Chains

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Collateral Reputation Tokens: Trust-Driven Lending Across Chains

In decentralized finance (DeFi), the concept of collateral has long been tied to raw asset value—how much crypto a borrower locks up to secure a loan. But what if collateral could carry more than just value? What if it could also carry trust? Enter Collateral Reputation Tokens (CRTs), a groundbreaking innovation that introduces a “trust score” into the lending process, reshaping risk assessment in multi-chain finance.

What Are Collateral Reputation Tokens?

Collateral Reputation Tokens are digital assets that embed a reputation score derived from a borrower’s historical behavior across blockchain networks. Unlike traditional collateral, which is purely quantitative, CRTs incorporate qualitative insights about past loan performance, defaults, and repayment consistency. Essentially, each CRT carries a “trust rating” that lenders can use to evaluate a borrower’s reliability beyond simple asset ownership.

How CRTs Work

  1. Historical Behavior Tracking: Borrowers’ repayment histories, defaults, and liquidation events are recorded and verified across chains. Advanced oracles and decentralized identity protocols consolidate this data into a unified score.

  2. Score Encoding: This behavior is encoded into a CRT, which can then be used as collateral on lending platforms. The higher the score, the more trust the token represents.

  3. Cross-Chain Compatibility: CRTs are designed to be interoperable, meaning a borrower’s reputation on one blockchain contributes to their trustworthiness on another. This creates a global credit profile in DeFi.

  4. Dynamic Adjustment: Scores update in real time as new behavioral data emerges. Timely repayments increase trust, while defaults lower the CRT’s score, affecting its collateral value.

Advantages of Collateral Reputation Tokens

  • Reduced Over-Collateralization: Traditional DeFi loans often require 150–200% collateral. CRTs allow trusted borrowers to access loans with lower collateral ratios.

  • Incentivized Good Behavior: Borrowers have a tangible reason to maintain consistent repayment records, as their trust score directly affects borrowing power.

  • Enhanced Cross-Chain Lending: Lenders can make informed decisions even with borrowers from unfamiliar ecosystems. CRTs function as a portable credit reputation.

  • Efficient Capital Use: By quantifying trust, platforms can allocate liquidity more effectively, potentially reducing interest rates for high-reputation borrowers.

Challenges to Consider

  • Privacy Concerns: Aggregating behavioral data across chains raises questions about user privacy and the handling of sensitive financial information.

  • Score Manipulation: Ensuring CRTs accurately reflect trustworthiness requires robust, tamper-resistant oracles and decentralized identity verification systems.

  • Market Adoption: Lenders and borrowers must buy into the idea of reputation-weighted collateral, which may take time to gain mainstream traction.

The Future of DeFi Lending

Collateral Reputation Tokens represent a shift from purely asset-backed lending to trust-driven finance. By quantifying reliability and extending it across chains, CRTs could pave the way for more sophisticated credit markets in DeFi, where risk is measured not only in tokens but also in proven behavior.

In the evolving DeFi landscape, trust is becoming as valuable as capital—and CRTs might just be the first currency of credibility.

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U.S. stocks wobble as Iran tensions, CPI jitters and dollar slide test risk appetite

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Revolut seeks US banking licence to expand services

U.S. stocks and crypto slipped on Monday as Iran–Israel tensions, CPI sticky inflation and a weaker dollar rattled risk appetite and reinforced JPMorgan’s tactically bearish stance.

U.S. markets are being yanked back into macro reality as rising geopolitical risk, CPI and sticky inflation concerns and a weaker dollar collide with frothy risk assets. JPMorgan’s trading desk warned that an Iran war “could trigger the S&P 500 index to drop by as much as 10% from its peak,” adding that they are now “tactically bearish” on U.S. equities as oil climbs above $100 per barrel.

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At the open, all three major U.S. equity benchmarks moved sharply lower, with the Dow Jones down 1%, the S&P 500 off 0.87% and the Nasdaq losing 0.86%, while large‑cap chip names such as Intel and AMD extended recent declines. Andrew Tyler, head of global market intelligence at JPMorgan, said positioning remains “overall neutral, lacking extreme de‑risking actions,” but argued that in a pullback scenario the S&P 500 could slide toward 6,270, roughly 7% below last Friday’s close. Other strategists echo that caution: “We are tactically cautious as we brace for what could be a prolonged period of heightened uncertainty,” JPMorgan’s team said in a recent note on the U.S.–Iran backdrop.

Inflation expectations are adding another layer of tension. Bank of America said in a client report that February’s CPI print is unlikely to change the Federal Reserve’s near‑term stance, projecting a 0.3% month‑on‑month rise in both headline and core CPI and “moderate growth in consumer prices” overall. That keeps rate‑cut optimism on a short leash and leaves equities more sensitive to growth scares and geopolitical shocks.

The U.S. dollar index DXY has briefly dropped more than 10 points in short order, sliding to around 99.25 as traders rotate into other havens and reassess the U.S. macro premium. In digital assets, bitcoin traded near $68,200, down about 4% over the last 24 hours, while ethereum changed hands around $3,040, lower by roughly 4% on the day. Solana was recently quoted near $85.50, shedding about 3.9% over the same period as liquidity thinned out across majors.

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UPS (UPS) Stock Plummets 5% Amid Oil Price Surge and Transport Sector Turbulence

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UPS Stock Card

TLDR

  • United Parcel Service shares declined approximately 4.9% on March 9, 2026, following an oil price surge beyond $100 per barrel
  • Rival FedEx (FDX) experienced an even steeper decline, losing over 7% during the same trading session
  • Last week, Jefferies upgraded its UPS price target to $135 from $130, suggesting potential upside of 38%
  • Technical indicators show UPS’s RSI at 30.22, approaching oversold levels
  • The company anticipates revenue recovery in 2026 following an approximate 3% contraction in 2025

Shares of United Parcel Service experienced significant downward pressure on Monday as escalating oil prices triggered widespread concern throughout the transportation industry. The stock declined approximately 4.9% to trade near $97.90 during midday Eastern Time.


UPS Stock Card
United Parcel Service, Inc., UPS

Oil prices rocketed past the $100-per-barrel threshold during morning trade, fueled by intensifying geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. While crude retreated modestly from peak levels, prices stayed sufficiently elevated to maintain investor anxiety over fuel expenses.

FedEx (FDX) experienced even more severe losses, plummeting over 7% during the session. Transportation stocks witnessed broad-based selling pressure as market participants reassessed fuel cost vulnerabilities throughout the industry.

The market downturn arrives at an unfortunate moment for UPS investors. Only days earlier, Jefferies highlighted UPS as a preferred investment within its “HALO” strategy — an acronym representing “heavy asset, low obsolescence.” The investment thesis centers on allocating capital toward businesses with substantial physical assets that artificial intelligence cannot readily replace or make redundant.

Accompanying that recommendation, Jefferies elevated its UPS price objective from $130 to $135. Based on Monday’s trading levels around $97.90, that target represents potential appreciation of approximately 38%.

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Oil Pressure Hits Already-Thin Margins

Fuel represents a critical expense category for any logistics operator maintaining a fleet exceeding 500 aircraft and 100,000 ground vehicles. When crude oil experiences rapid increases, the financial impact materializes quickly.

UPS’s current operating margin stands at 8.87%, following a downward trajectory — declining at an average annual rate of roughly 4% over the previous five-year period. Net margin registers at 6.29%. Any prolonged elevation in oil prices complicates efforts to maintain these profitability metrics.

Top-line revenue contracted nearly 3% during 2025. Company leadership has projected a rebound to positive revenue growth for 2026, although that forecast preceded the current oil market volatility.

The organization’s debt-to-equity ratio measures 1.76, representing elevated leverage. While its interest coverage ratio of 7.74 indicates current debt obligations remain serviceable, the leverage profile provides limited cushion against margin deterioration.

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What the Valuation Says

From a valuation perspective, UPS appears reasonably priced at present levels. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 15.6, trading below its historical median of 19.63. The price-to-sales multiple registers at 0.98.

GurFocus estimates fair value at $133.78, characterizing UPS as moderately undervalued relative to current market prices. The RSI reading of 30.22 suggests the stock is approaching technically oversold conditions.

Wall Street analyst consensus averages approximately 2.5 — effectively a hold recommendation — with a mean price objective of $114.40.

The company’s Altman Z-Score calculation of 2.94 positions it within the cautionary grey zone, indicating some degree of financial pressure meriting attention. Recent insider transaction activity has skewed toward dispositions, with 25,014 shares sold during the past three-month period.

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UPS handles approximately 22 million package deliveries daily across global markets. Domestic United States operations generate roughly 65% of consolidated revenue, while international package services contribute about 20%.

The stock’s 52-week trading range extends from $82.00 to $123.70. Monday’s intraday trough touched $97.01, with market capitalization hovering around $86.91 billion.

As of Monday’s midday session, UPS traded at $97.90, offering a dividend yield of 6.41%.

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Anthropic Takes Legal Action Against Pentagon Following AI Security Blacklist

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

Key Points

  • On March 9, 2026, Anthropic launched two separate legal challenges against the Pentagon and federal agencies
  • The Defense Department classified Anthropic as a “supply-chain risk” following the company’s refusal to eliminate AI safety protections
  • President Trump directed all federal entities to cease using Claude, the company’s AI assistant
  • The AI firm contends that government actions breach First Amendment protections and due process requirements
  • Following Anthropic’s blacklisting, OpenAI secured a new contract with the Defense Department

An AI company has taken the unprecedented step of suing multiple U.S. government entities after being placed on a Defense Department security blacklist this week.

The litigation consists of two distinct cases — one submitted to the Northern District of California court and another to the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals. Both filings contest the federal government’s determination that Anthropic poses supply-chain threats.

The controversy emerged from disagreements about military applications of Claude, Anthropic’s AI assistant. Pentagon officials requested unrestricted “lawful use” access to the technology. However, the company maintained its position on keeping protective measures that prevent the system from being deployed for autonomous weaponry or domestic monitoring operations.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth formally issued the supply-chain risk designation on February 27, with official notification reaching the company on March 3.

President Trump escalated the situation through a social media directive, commanding every federal department and agency to discontinue Claude usage, significantly expanding the initial Pentagon action.

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The company characterized the government’s decisions as “unprecedented and unlawful,” asserting that both its “reputation and core First Amendment freedoms are under attack.” According to Anthropic, these measures constitute retaliation for exercising protected speech rights rather than representing genuine national security concerns.

“The Constitution does not allow the government to wield its enormous power to punish a company for its protected speech,” the company stated in court documents.

Financial Impact in the Hundreds of Millions

According to company statements, the security designation is already “jeopardizing hundreds of millions of dollars” in revenue opportunities. The Pentagon has awarded contracts valued at up to $200 million each to leading AI developers including Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google within the last year.

Wedbush analyst Dan Ives cautioned that the blacklisting might prompt corporate customers to suspend Claude implementations pending judicial resolution.

Dario Amodei, Anthropic’s CEO, clarified that he doesn’t categorically oppose AI-powered weapons systems but maintains that existing AI capabilities lack the precision required for completely autonomous military operations. He emphasized that the Pentagon designation has a “narrow scope” and won’t impact business relationships outside the Defense Department.

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A leaked internal communication from Amodei, disclosed by The Information, suggested Pentagon decision-makers were influenced by Anthropic’s failure to offer “dictator-style praise to Trump.” Amodei subsequently issued an apology for the memo’s contents.

The Path Forward

The company indicated that filing lawsuits doesn’t preclude ongoing dialogue with government officials. A Defense Department representative declined to discuss active litigation, while a Pentagon official confirmed last week that direct negotiations between the parties had ceased.

The secondary lawsuit addresses broader supply-chain legislation that could expand the blacklist beyond military applications to encompass civilian federal operations. The reach of such a designation hinges on an interagency assessment still in progress.

Shortly following Anthropic’s blacklisting, OpenAI revealed an agreement to supply its AI systems to Pentagon infrastructure. Sam Altman, OpenAI’s CEO, stated that Defense Department requirements aligned with his company’s guidelines regarding human control over weapons systems and rejection of widespread domestic surveillance.

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Sources indicate that Anthropic’s financial backers are actively attempting to mitigate consequences stemming from the federal government dispute.

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Bitcoin quietly crosses 20 million mined as scarcity era begins

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Bitcoin leverage jumps as open interest spikes near $70k

Bitcoin has passed 20 million mined coins, hardening its ultra‑scarce supply just as macro volatility, lost BTC, and a shift toward fee‑driven security reshape the network’s next century.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) 20 millionth coin has quietly tipped the network into a new structural phase, one where hard‑coded scarcity collides head‑on with a still‑fragile macro regime built on cheap liquidity and leveraged risk.

Supply is (almost) done

According to real‑time data from CloverPool’s Bitcoin explorer, more than 20 million BTC have now been mined, meaning roughly 95% of the protocol’s fixed 21 million cap is already in existence. Analysts notes that as the 20 millionth coin is mined, 95.24% of the total supply will be in circulation, leaving fewer than 1 million BTC to be created over more than a century as halving cycles grind issuance toward zero. Others quoted in a recent market note described the event as “a powerful testament to the resilience and predictability of the protocol,” arguing that Bitcoin has effectively transitioned from a high‑inflation asset to an “ultra‑scarce” monetary instrument.

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That long tail is not trivial: the final satoshi will be mined “around 2140,” with the 2032 halving already cutting rewards to 0.78125 BTC per block and pushing miners further toward a fee‑driven security model, analysts added. On top of that, between 2.3 and 3.7 million BTC may be permanently lost, implying an effective circulating supply closer to 15.8–17.5 million coins rather than the raw on‑chain 20 million headline.

Macro‑driven tape

Price action, meanwhile, still looks more human than the issuance curve. Bitcoin traded around $68,191 at press time, down about 3.95% over the past 24 hours, with a 24‑hour range between $67,790 and $71,520 as spot volumes hovered near $48.5 billion. That keeps BTC pinned in a choppy range even as the structural supply story hardens in one direction only. Ethereum changed hands near $2,000, Solana around $83, and XRP just above $1.33, each slipping or grinding within a few percentage points on the day as majors continue to trade like high‑beta plays on global risk sentiment rather than slow‑moving monetary experiments.

The tension is obvious to anyone watching the order book: issuance is on rails for the next century, but valuations still breathe with every data print and policy whisper. “Scarcity is no longer a thesis, it’s a live parameter,” one analyst said, adding that from here, “macro, positioning, and fees will do more work than block rewards.”

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Zcash Devs Raise $25M From Major VCs After ECC Split

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Zcash Devs Raise $25M From Major VCs After ECC Split

The development team that left Electric Coin Company in January to launch Zcash Open Development Lab (ZODL) has raised over $25 million from the likes of a16z Crypto and Coinbase Ventures to continue building the privacy-focused, self-custodial Zodl wallet.

ZODL was founded by former ECC CEO Josh Swihart and includes the entire engineering and product team that previously worked on the Zodl wallet at ECC. They resigned due to disputes with Bootstrap, the nonprofit that oversees ECC, over how Zcash should function as a privacy protocol.

ZODL said in an X post on Monday that crypto-focused investment firms Paradigm, Winklevoss Capital, Cypherpunk Technologies, Maelstrom, and Chapter One were among the other participants in the $25 million funding round.

Former Coinbase chief technology officer Balaji Srinivasan, Silicon Valley investor David Friedberg and Dragonfly managing partner Haseeb Qureshi also contributed.

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ZODL said the widespread backing “reflects strong conviction from some of the most respected investors in crypto, not only in privacy as a principle, but in the continued growth of the Zcash ecosystem,” adding it would use the funds to expand its engineering team.

Source: Peacemonger

The open-source Zodl wallet is one of the main infrastructures powering the Zcash ecosystem.

Zodl wallet was initially launched by ECC under Swihart’s leadership as Zashi before ZODL renamed it to Zodl wallet in February.

Zcash jumps nearly 10% over 24 hours

Zcash (ZEC) was one of the better-performing privacy tokens last year, rising nearly tenfold from $55.86 to $527.84 amid renewed interest in privacy-focused protocols.

While ZEC has been impacted by the broader crypto market pullback to start 2026, it increased 4.1% to $217.80 on news of the latest funding round, CoinGecko data shows.

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Related: US Treasury report notes legitimate privacy uses for crypto mixers

ZODL said the Zodl wallet facilitated more than $600 million in ZEC swaps since October 2025, while noting that the Zcash shielded pool has grown by over 400% since its launch in 2024.

The Zcash shielded pool is the protocol’s main feature to mix transactions so details of the sender, receiver and amount remain hidden and untraceable.

Magazine: 2026 is the year of pragmatic privacy in crypto — Canton, Zcash and more

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