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Shiba Inu price stabilizes at monthly support as oversold conditions ease

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Shiba Inu price stabilizes at monthly support as oversold conditions ease - 1

Shiba Inu price has reclaimed a key monthly support level after an impulsive sell-off, signaling that oversold conditions may be giving way to a relief rally as buyers begin to step back in.

Summary

  • Monthly support reclaim signals seller exhaustion and short-term stabilization
  • Oversold conditions are easing, supporting upside rotation
  • Holding above value area low favors a move toward range highs

Shiba Inu (SHIB) price action has entered a critical phase after a sharp bearish expansion pushed the token into deeply oversold territory. Following this impulsive decline, SHIB briefly traded below a major high-timeframe support level before quickly reclaiming it, a technical development that often signals seller exhaustion rather than sustained breakdown.

This reclaim has shifted the short-term narrative from risk of continuation to potential stabilization. While broader market conditions remain mixed, SHIB’s ability to recover lost support and hold above it suggests that demand is beginning to absorb supply at lower levels.

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The coming sessions will be key in determining whether this move develops into a larger recovery or remains a short-lived reaction.

Shiba Inu price key technical points

  • Monthly support has been reclaimed, invalidating the recent breakdown
  • Oversold conditions are easing, supporting a relief bounce scenario
  • Holding above value area low increases upside probability, toward range highs
Shiba Inu price stabilizes at monthly support as oversold conditions ease - 1
SHIBUSDT (1D) Chart, Source: TradingView

The recent sell-off in Shiba Inu was aggressive, producing a sequence of lower lows and strong bearish momentum. However, this downside move ultimately pushed the price below a key monthly support level, a zone that has historically attracted demand.

Rather than accepting below this level, the price quickly rebounded and reclaimed support, forming a bullish retest. This type of behavior is often associated with capitulation-style moves, where sellers exhaust themselves and buyers step in aggressively once liquidity is taken.

From a market structure perspective, reclaiming lost support after a brief breakdown weakens the bearish case and increases the likelihood that the move lower was corrective rather than trend-defining.

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Consolidation at value area low

Following the reclaim, SHIB has entered a consolidation phase around the value-area low of the prior trading range. This region represents the lower boundary of fair value and is often where markets pause to rebalance after impulsive moves.

Holding above the value area low is critical. Acceptance above this level would indicate that buyers are defending price and absorbing remaining supply. Conversely, a failure to hold this region would reopen downside risk and call into question the recent reclaim.

At present, price action suggests balance rather than renewed selling pressure, reinforcing the stabilization narrative.

Oversold conditions support a relief rally

Momentum indicators had reached extreme oversold levels during the recent decline, reflecting panic-driven selling rather than orderly distribution. As price stabilizes, these oversold conditions are beginning to ease, a common prerequisite for relief rallies.

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When oversold momentum coincides with a reclaim of high-timeframe support, the probability of a rotational move higher increases. This does not necessarily imply a full trend reversal, but it does open the door for a corrective rally toward higher resistance levels.

Volume behavior will be key in confirming this thesis. Sustained bullish volume during consolidation and early expansion phases would strengthen the case for continued upside.

Upside targets come into focus

If SHIB can hold above the value area low on a closing basis, the next logical upside objective is near the value area high of the previous range. This level represents the upper boundary of fair value and often acts as the first major resistance during recovery phases.

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A move toward this area would complete a clean rotational structure, shifting sentiment from defensive to constructive in the short term. However, failure to reclaim and hold above value would keep the market vulnerable to renewed volatility.

What to expect in the coming price action

From a technical, price action, and market structure perspective, Shiba Inu is showing early signs of stabilization after an oversold sell-off. The reclaim of monthly support and consolidation above the value area low suggest that downside momentum is weakening.

In the near term, traders should watch for continued acceptance above current support levels and an increase in bullish volume. If these conditions persist, a rotational move toward higher resistance becomes increasingly likely.

That said, SHIB remains within a broader corrective environment, and patience is required. As long as price holds above reclaimed support, the path of least resistance favors further upside exploration rather than immediate continuation lower.

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Crypto World

Prediction Markets Working Group Will Support Push For Regulatory Clarity

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Prediction Markets Working Group Will Support Push For Regulatory Clarity

Blockchain advocacy group The Digital Chamber has launched a new unit focused on supporting prediction markets and helping gain regulatory clarity for the sector in the US. 

In an announcement via X on Tuesday, The Digital Chamber unveiled the Prediction Markets Working Group, outlining a multi-year plan to bring clarity to what it called a “misunderstood segment of finance.” 

The Digital Chamber said the first course of action was sending a letter to Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) chairman Mike Selig praising his efforts to maintain federal jurisdiction over prediction markets, while also calling for an end to regulation by enforcement.

“In our letter, we applauded Chair Selig’s recent statements regarding the intent for CFTC staff to provide tailored rulemaking and guidance for this rapidly growing segment of the financial and digital asset industries,” The Digital Chamber said. 

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“For too long, operators in this space have navigated a maze of regulatory ambiguity including unclear overlaps between federal and state regulators,” it added. 

Source: The Digital Chamber 

Moving forward, the group plans to continue engaging with the CFTC, develop policy principles, submit policy recommendations, publish research and build a coalition of industry stakeholders and participants. 

It also mentioned “participating in litigation” via friend-of-the-court briefings to educate courts on what it deems the “CFTC’s historic regulatory exclusivity” over the sector.

Prediction markets are heading to court 

The move comes amid intense scrutiny of the sector from state governments and regulators. 

Kalshi, one of the leading prediction market platforms, was hit with a civil enforcement action by the Nevada Gaming Control Board on Tuesday. The gaming board is calling for an injunction to stop Kalshi from offering “unlicensed wagering” in the state. 

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Both Kalshi and competitor Polymarket have seen multiple state regulators push to stop them from offering markets such as sports contracts in their respective states, arguing that they are offering unlicensed gambling products.  

Last week, Polymarket filed a federal lawsuit against the state of Massachusetts to preemptively block any potential enforcement action, arguing that the CFTC has primary oversight over the sector, not state governments. 

Related: Prediction markets should become hedging platforms, says Buterin

The CFTC chair has also been echoing such sentiments recently, urging state governments to respect the CFTC’s authority and oversight over the sector or risk facing them in court. 

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“Prediction markets aren’t new — the CFTC has regulated these markets for over two decades,” Selig emphasized in a video posted to X on Monday.