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Should Crypto Markets Worry About the SaaSpocalypse?

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Should Crypto Markets Worry About the SaaSpocalypse?

The term “SaaSpocalypse” is trending across financial markets, tech media, and investor circles. It refers to a sudden loss of confidence in software-as-a-service (SaaS) companies after the launch of advanced AI agents capable of automating tasks traditionally handled by enterprise software. 

The term became popular after Anthropic released its Claude Cowork AI platform in late January. Following its launch, nearly $300 billion in global software market value was erased. Stocks of major SaaS firms—including Salesforce, Workday, Atlassian, and ServiceNow—fell sharply as investors questioned whether AI agents could replace large parts of their business.

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AI Agents Trigger Market Panic

The core fear driving the SaaSpocalypse is simple: AI agents can now perform entire workflows autonomously. 

Tools like Claude Cowork can review contracts, analyze sales data, generate reports, and execute multi-step tasks across multiple applications. 

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Instead of employees using five separate SaaS tools, a single AI agent can complete the same work.

This directly threatens the SaaS pricing model, which typically charges companies per user or “seat.” If AI reduces the need for human users, companies may need fewer licenses. Investors reacted quickly to this risk. 

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The S&P 500 Software and Services Index fell nearly 19% in early February, marking its worst losing streak in years. 

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At the same time, capital rotated toward AI infrastructure providers such as Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon, which supply the compute power behind AI agents.

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S&P 500 Software and Services Index Price Chart. Source: Yahoo Finance

Why the SaaSpocalypse Matters Beyond Software

The SaaSpocalypse reflects a deeper shift in how software creates value. Instead of selling tools that humans operate, companies are beginning to sell outcomes delivered by AI. 

Analysts now describe this as a transition from software-as-a-service to “AI-as-a-service.” This shift challenges decades-old business models and forces software companies to rethink pricing, licensing, and product strategy.

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However, this is not necessarily the end of SaaS. Many enterprises will still rely on established platforms for security, compliance, and data management. 

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Instead, the disruption will likely reshape the industry, forcing software companies to integrate AI deeply into their products.

How the SaaSpocalypse Could Impact Crypto Markets

The SaaSpocalypse is already affecting crypto markets indirectly. Both crypto and SaaS are considered high-growth, risk-sensitive sectors. 

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When investors sell software stocks, they often reduce exposure to crypto as well. In early February 2026, Bitcoin fell sharply as software stocks also posted heavy losses.

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More importantly, capital is shifting toward AI. Venture capital invested over $200 billion into AI startups in 2025—far more than crypto received. 

This means fewer resources may flow into new crypto projects, slowing innovation in some areas.

Top AI Coins by Market Cap. Source: CoinGecko

At the same time, crypto could benefit in specific niches such as decentralized computing and AI infrastructure. 

But overall, the SaaSpocalypse signals a major capital rotation. AI is becoming the dominant investment theme, and crypto markets will need to compete for investor attention in this new environment.

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Crypto World

Bitwise files for prediction market-backed ETFs

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Why is crypto down? 6 key factors from Bitwise's Matt Hougan

Bitwise Asset Management has filed with regulators to launch a new line of exchange-traded funds tied to political prediction markets, marking its latest push into alternative investment products.

Summary

  • Bitwise has filed with regulators to launch a new line of ETFs focused on U.S. election outcomes.
  • The proposed funds would give investors regulated access to political prediction contracts through traditional brokerage accounts.
  • Approval is still pending, and regulators continue to review how these products fit within existing securities rules.

The filing was disclosed by Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart, who shared details on social media. According to the preliminary prospectus dated Feb. 17, the proposed funds would operate under the “PredictionShares” brand and remain subject to regulatory approval.

The document states that the offering is incomplete and that the securities cannot be sold until the registration statement becomes effective.

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Election-focused contracts at the core

The filings outline several proposed ETFs linked to U.S. political outcomes. These include separate funds tracking whether Democrats or Republicans win the 2028 presidential election, as well as products tied to control of the House and Senate in the 2026 mid-term elections.

Rather than investing in companies connected to prediction markets, the funds are designed to hold event-based contracts sourced from regulated trading venues. These contracts pay out based on specific real-world outcomes, such as election results.

Bitwise said PredictionShares will serve as a dedicated platform for clients seeking regulated exposure to prediction markets through traditional brokerage accounts. No launch date has been set, and approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has not yet been granted.

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Seyffart noted that similar filings have appeared in recent months and said more are likely to follow as interest in the sector grows.

Growing competition and market interest

Bitwise’s chief investment officer, Matt Hougan, said prediction markets are expanding in both size and relevance, making them difficult for asset managers to ignore. He added that client demand played a key role in the decision to pursue the products.

Other firms have also moved into the space. Roundhill Investments previously filed for similar election-based ETFs, while GraniteShares has submitted competing proposals. None has yet received regulatory clearance.

With platforms like Polymarket reporting heavy trading volume during significant political events, prediction markets have drawn increased attention in recent election cycles. Supporters say these markets often reflect public opinion more quickly than traditional polls.

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Critics, like Vitalik Buterin, warn that they are extremely risky and can behave like speculative bets. Industry analysts caution that funds associated with particular outcomes could lose most of their value if forecasts prove to be wrong.

Additionally, regulators are examining how these products align with current derivatives and securities regulations.

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Trading Platform eToro Q4 Earnings Sends Stock Surging

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Trading Platform eToro Q4 Earnings Sends Stock Surging

Trading platform eToro jumped more than 20% after reporting better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings, with revenue coming mainly from its crypto services.

The company reported on Tuesday that its Q4 net income increased 16% from a year ago to $68.7 million, with earnings per share of 71 cents, compared with analyst expectations of 60 cents.

Fourth-quarter revenue came in at $3.87 billion, down 40% from the prior-year period, with crypto revenue accounting for the bulk of earnings at $3.59 billion.

The earnings beat bucked eToro’s main crypto rivals, Coinbase and Robinhood, whose Q4 earnings both missed expectations as their revenues took a hit amid a crypto market crash late last year.

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Meanwhile, eToro’s full-year 2025 revenue rose more than 9% from 2024 to $13.84 billion, while its net income jumped 12% year-on-year to $215.7 million. Its full-year crypto revenue was $13 billion, up nearly 7% from 2024.

Shares climb on Q4 beat, CEO says it will catch crypto wave

Shares in eToro (ETOR) ended trading on Tuesday up 20.4% to $33.07 on the company’s earnings beat, making it one of the best-performing crypto stocks for the day. The stock fell slightly after-hours to $33.

Shares in eToro were among the best-performing crypto stocks on Tuesday. Source: Google Finance

EToro CEO Yoni Assia said it is “a pivotal moment for financial services” as artificial intelligence and the increasing use of blockchain infrastructure are “reshaping how people invest and interact with markets.”

“EToro is uniquely positioned to capture this opportunity,” he said. “We are positioning eToro for a financial system that is increasingly moving on-chain. With our long-standing leadership in crypto and tokenization, we are well placed to help shape this transition.”

Related: Gemini post-IPO shakeup sees exit of three top executives

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Assia told investors on an earnings call that eToro was seeing some of its crypto-focused customers “suddenly trading commodities” for the first time.

“There’s somewhat of a convergence or a shift from crypto, which now has lower volatility, to now basically gold, silver, and other commodities that have higher volatility,” he said.