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Solana price forecast as bulls fight to keep $80 support intact

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Solana Coin
Solana Price
  • Solana changed hands for around $83 on the morning of March 9, 2026.
  • The cryptocurrency could dip to under $75 if bearish sentiment holds.
  • SOL price has floundered amid macro headwinds but could see another oversold bounce.

Solana (SOL) trades at around $83 in the early hours of Monday, March 9, 2026, up 1.3% in the past 24 hours.

The altcoin may be showing signs of bucking the trend across stocks as Bitcoin also pulls off the $66,000 low.

However, SOL is down by more than 5% in the past month and could revisit recent lows under $80 amid persistent negative funding rates and as the Iran war decimates risk sentiment.

Solana price: market conditions fuel caution

SOL has faced headwinds alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum since sliding from $250 in September 2025.

An acceleration in losses saw SOL drop to lows of $75 on February 5, 2026, and bulls have struggled to break above $90 since.

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The broader macro and geopolitical headwinds have been key downward catalysts year-to-date, with these contributing significantly to the fading memecoin hype that has hit trading volumes hard.

While net inflows into Solana spot ETFs have largely defied the sharp redemptions that hit BTC and ETH products, institutional demand has slowed.

Cumulative SOL ETF assets sit at $958 million.

SoSoValue data shows two consecutive days of outflows last week, with over $8.2 million exiting on Mar 6.

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That saw weekly flows cut to about $24 million from over $44 million the previous week.

Technical analysis

Standard Chartered recently cut its 2026 target for SOL to $250, but analysts at the bank forecast a bullish flip to $2,000 by 2030.

Buyers have the long-term forecast in their favour.

However, struggles below $100 suggest bulls have work to do in the short term if macro and geopolitical headwinds continue to batter sentiment.

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Solana SOL Chart
Solana price chart by TradingView

SOL prices hover in a broader range between $75 and $94, but as broader crypto sentiment weighs on investors amid surging oil prices, the altcoin could flip lower.

Earlier on Monday, oil prices surged to near $120 a barrel amid concerns around the US- Iran war. Prices have since dropped to $100 after reports said the G7 will discuss to release emergency oil reserves.

The RSI and MACD indicators on the daily chart above highlight this possibility.

But could Solana bulls hold $80-$75 as a support zone intact as they eye a bullish reversal?

On-chain data shows funding rates extending in the negative and open interest down to $4.93 billion, down from $8.86 billion in mid-January.

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Prolonged negative funding rates have nonetheless preceded an upside flip for the cryptocurrency.

This positions SOL for a likely short-term uptick, with $118-$120 the primary hurdle above the psychological level of $100.

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Crypto World

Strategy (MSTR) added 17,994 bitcoin last week, bringing total holdings to 738,731 coins

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Michael Saylor's Strategy’s (MSTR) big Q4 loss looks dramatic, but bitcoin would have to fall below $8K to trigger trouble

Led by Executive Chairman Michael Saylor, Strategy (MSTR) made a massive bitcoin purchase last week.

The leading bitcoin treasury company added 17,994 bitcoin to its holdings for a total cost of $1.28 billion, or $70,946 per coin. The company stack now stands at 738,731 BTC acquired for $56.04 billion, or $75,862 per coin.

Bitcoin is currently trading just below $68,000.

Last week’s buys were mostly funded via $900 million in sales of common stock. The company also sold $377 million of its STRC preferred series of stock, according to a Monday morning filing.

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MSTR shares are higher by 0.2% in pre-market trading.

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U.S. Treasury Department says crypto mixers also have legitimate use cases

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U.S. Treasury may boost T-Bill issuance as stablecoins eye $2 trillion market cap: StanChart

After years of opposition to crypto mixers, the onchain services that obfuscate digital asset transactions, the U.S. Treasury Department now says they may have legitimate privacy uses as well as their much-trumpeted criminal applications.

In a report related to the implementation of the Genius Act, the Treasury acknowledged that mixing services can serve lawful purposes on public blockchains. These include shielding personal finances, business transactions and charitable donations from being publicly traceable. The department noted that privacy tools can coexist with compliance when properly designed, for example, through record-keeping or other safeguards.

“As consumers increase their use of digital assets for payments, individuals may want to use mixers to maintain more privacy of their consumer spending habits,” the Treasury noted in the report.

The mixers, which obscure the origin and destination of digital asset transactions by pooling users’ funds together, have long been controversial in Washington. In 2022, the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) blacklisted the Ethereum-based mixer Tornado Cash, accusing it of facilitating the laundering of billions in illicit crypto tied to North Korea’s Lazarus hacking group. The sanctions effectively barred Americans from using the tool and ignited one of the most contentious regulatory fights in crypto.

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In 2025, the government removed Tornado Cash from the list following legal challenges and an appellate court decision questioning the Treasury’s authority to impose sanctions on open-source smart contracts. Although released on bail, Tornado Cash co-founder and developer Roman Storm still faces legal issues as prosecutors claim they have sufficient evidence to demonstrate he built features into the mixer knowing they would aid cybercriminals.

The report doesn’t abandon concerns about illicit finance. It highlights mixers as tools often used to obscure stolen funds and emphasizes the need for stronger anti-money laundering (AML) controls across digital assets. But it also states that privacy technology itself isn’t inherently illegal.

Beyond mixers, the report signals broader policy shifts. Treasury encourages Congress to clarify which decentralized finance (DeFi) actors should fall under AML obligations, explore digital-identity tools that enable compliance without excessive data collection, and consider new authorities allowing institutions to temporarily freeze suspicious digital assets.

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Bybit Pushes Ahead With Middle East Growth Plans

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Bybit Pushes Ahead With Middle East Growth Plans

Crypto exchange Bybit has reaffirmed its commitment to the Middle East amid escalating global conflict, announcing the appointment of a new country manager to increase its presence in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.

Tensions in the Middle East escalated last month after the US and Israel launched strikes on Iran. In response, Iran retaliated against several neighboring countries, including the United Arab Emirates (UAE), the United Arab Emirates (UAE), where Bybit maintains a major regional presence.

Helen Liu, co-CEO of Bybit, said the company has no plans to scale back its Middle East operations in light of the conflict.

“Some companies are reassessing their Gulf exposure right now. We are doing the opposite. We are deepening our presence, our investment, and our commitment to this region,” she said.

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“We continue to invest in local talent, regulatory compliance, and community partnerships. The UAE’s vision to become the world’s leading digital asset hub is not diminished by this crisis. If anything, the resilience this nation is showing only reinforces why we chose to build here.”

Cryptocurrencies are often used in times of crisis, as citizens look to preserve their assets amid fears of instability in traditional banking systems

Iran’s leading crypto exchange Nobitex experienced a sharp rise in withdrawals soon after strikes on Tehran.

Crypto outflows on Nobitex spiked within minutes of the strikes on Tehran. Source: Elliptic

Bybit appoints new MENA country manager

Derek Dai has been appointed the new country manager for Bybit in the MENA region, the exchange announced. His role will include overseeing market expansion, regulatory collaboration, institutional partnerships and localized product development.

Related: UAE central bank says financial system stable amid missile and drone attacks

Bybit said it has also implemented several measures to protect its UAE-based employees, including daily check-ins, real-time safety confirmations and relocation or travel support.

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Dai said the Middle East is becoming a pivotal region for the future of crypto. Over the coming months, Bybit will focus on expanding access to the United Arab Emirates dirham and forging partnerships with banks and payment providers.

“Our priority is to deepen collaboration with financial centers such as the DIFC [Dubai International Financial Centre], and the DMCC [Dubai Multi Commodities Centre],” he said.

Adding that Bybit also wants to strengthen “the infrastructure that connects digital assets with everyday financial services and advancing the development of tokenized real-world assets that bridge traditional finance and the digital asset economy.”