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Solana price near key $75 support as RSI oversold signals potential bounce

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Solana price outlook
Solana price outlook
  • Solana (SOL) currently trades near $83 after a nearly 39% monthly drop.
  • Weekly and daily RSI signal the token is oversold, hinting at a possible short bounce.
  • The key support around $75 is critical to prevent further decline.

Solana (SOL) has been under intense pressure in recent weeks.

The altcoin currently trades around $83, down nearly 39% over the past month.

This decline comes amid broader weakness in the crypto market and low retail engagement.

Technical analysis shows that SOL’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is deeply oversold.

Some are suggesting that the token may have reached a “final dip,” referencing a long-term structural support around the $75 level, and eyes are now on whether this support can hold.

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Solana price technical analysis

From a technical standpoint, Solana’s trading volume remains high, with over $3.9 billion exchanging in the past 24 hours.

But despite this high activity, the token is trading well below key moving averages.

The 50-day and 200-day averages now act as the immediate resistance levels and remain out of reach for now.

Short-term momentum indicators, including the MACD histogram, have flattened, reflecting waning bearish momentum.

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In addition, on the daily and weekly charts, RSI remains near historic lows, indicating extreme oversold conditions.

Solana price chart
Solana price chart | Source: TradingView

This combination suggests potential for a short-term relief bounce, though trend reversal is not guaranteed.

Market sentiment shows a muted retail engagement

Retail interest in Solana remains muted, with recent reports showing low futures open interest, signalling that traders are reducing exposure.

Derivatives funding rates are also negative, suggesting bias toward short positions.

Solana ETFs have also recorded outflows, reinforcing weak institutional participation.

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Analysts note that these factors add to the bearish pressure on the token.

Still, technical indicators hint at a potential stabilisation near critical support zones, with the $75 level having been repeatedly cited as key support in recent forecasts.

Breaking below this threshold could open the door to further downside, possibly toward $67 or even $51 in extreme scenarios.

On the upside, recovery faces resistance around $111 and $138, which would need to be breached to shift the market sentiment positively.

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Long-term Solana market analysis

Long-term forecasts for Solana remain mixed.

Some analysts foresee recovery toward the mid-$100s if support holds and broader market conditions improve.

Bullish projections even extend toward $250, though these are contingent on sustained buying pressure and macro-level stability.

For now, the focus remains on short-term price stability.

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Investors and traders should keep a close eye on the $75 support, viewing it as a potential floor for consolidation.

SOL’s trajectory will likely depend on a combination of market sentiment, institutional flows, and technical momentum.

As it stands, Solana is navigating a critical juncture where its next move could define the tone for the coming months.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Treasury Sell-Off Could Signal Deeper Capitulation Coming: Analyst

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Companies

The value of the Bitcoin treasury company’s holdings peaked at over $711 million in October 2025, when BTC hit an all-time high of about $126,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) treasury company Nakamoto (NAKA) selling its BTC at a loss could signal capitulation of more crypto treasury companies and the start of a “contagion” that could spark a wave of forced selling, according to market analyst Nic Puckrin.

“Cracks are beginning to show in the digital asset treasury (DAT) market,” Puckrin said, adding that the war in the Middle East will likely place further pressure on Bitcoin’s price and treasury companies in a reinforcing cycle. He said:

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“Price is likely to remain below $70,000 for some time and could fall further to a range around $55,700-$58,200 in the coming weeks. This ongoing weakness would put further pressure on DATs, which could in turn exacerbate the sell-off.”

Nakamoto sold 284 BTC in March for $20 million, implying a price of about $70,000 per coin; the company also reduced its stake in the publicly traded Bitcoin treasury company Metaplanet, selling shares at a loss. 

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Nakamoto’s BTC holdings over time. Source: BitcoinTreasuries

At the end of 2025, the company valued its 5,342 BTC treasury at $467.5 million and recorded a $166.1 million loss on the fair value of its digital asset holdings in the fourth quarter, according to the company’s 10-K filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). 

The crypto treasury sector saw a collapse in net asset value premiums during Q3 2025, and stock prices declined even before the crypto market crash in October 2025, which sparked a prolonged bear market and a decline in digital asset prices.

Related: Bitcoin miners offload 15K BTC since October, with more sales expected

MARA also sells BTC in March as market rout continues

Bitcoin mining company MARA also sold 15,133 Bitcoin in March, valued at over $1 billion, to repurchase and retire about $1 billion in convertible debt.

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MARA discloses March BTC sale in SEC filing. Source: MARA

MARA’s vice president for investor relations, Robert Samuels, said the sale does not signal a core shift in the company’s BTC treasury strategy, but is a short-term tactical move. 

“We may buy or sell from time to time, subject to market conditions and our capital allocation priorities. It does not mean we intend to liquidate the majority of our reserves,” Samuels said.

Magazine: Bitcoin’s ‘biggest bull catalyst’ would be Saylor’s liquidation: Santiment founder