Crypto World
SpaceX’s $2 Trillion IPO: Why Tech Giants Nvidia (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), and Microsoft (MSFT) May Face Pressure
Key Takeaways
- June 2026 will see SpaceX debut on public markets with an unprecedented $2 trillion price tag, setting a new record for initial public offerings.
- The aerospace company’s artificial intelligence division hemorrhaged $6.36 billion throughout 2025, with the xAI purchase expected to worsen financial bleeding.
- Sources indicate Anthropic currently spends $1.25 billion monthly for access to unused capacity at xAI’s Colossus computing facilities.
- The massive public offering may compel shareholders to liquidate positions in established technology companies, including Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft.
- Market analysts caution that the listing could push S&P 500 concentration to unprecedented levels, with artificial intelligence behemoths potentially representing approximately 50% of the benchmark index.
The aerospace powerhouse is gearing up for its public market entry scheduled for June 12, 2026, targeting a staggering $2 trillion market capitalization. This figure would shatter all previous records for stock exchange debuts.
With this price point, SpaceX would command a market value exceeding all but half a dozen publicly listed corporations globally.
The organization submitted its registration statement to the Securities and Exchange Commission in recent weeks, offering market observers their inaugural glimpse into the company’s financial performance.
Top-Line Growth Masks Expanding Red Ink
For fiscal year 2025, the company generated $18.7 billion in sales—a 33% year-over-year increase representing robust expansion.
However, expenditures accelerated even faster. The firm’s operating results flipped from a $466 million gain to a $2.6 billion deficit during this timeframe.
A substantial portion of this shortfall stems from artificial intelligence operations. The AI division alone recorded a $6.36 billion operating deficit throughout 2025.
This calculation predates the February 2026 xAI transaction. Industry observers anticipate the acquisition will amplify cash consumption as the company battles OpenAI and Anthropic for engineering talent and computing resources.
Evidence suggests xAI may face challenges maximizing data center utilization. Reports indicate Anthropic currently commits $1.25 billion monthly for computing resources at xAI’s Colossus infrastructure. While this arrangement provides immediate revenue, it simultaneously prevents SpaceX from deploying these resources for its proprietary Grok AI model.
The arrangement includes termination provisions allowing Anthropic to withdraw prior to the 2029 expiration date.
Implications for Established Technology Equities
The public offering targets $75 billion in capital raises. These funds must originate from investor portfolios.
Bank of America research indicates affluent individual investors maintain historically minimal cash positions—merely 9.9% of total assets. Equity allocations stand at 66%.
Consequently, market participants seeking SpaceX exposure will probably need to divest existing positions.
Bob Doll, CEO of Crossmark Global Investments and former equities chief at BlackRock, said the selling could hit other tech names. “Logically, you would think if I’m going to buy a stock in that space, I’ll probably sell a stock in that space,” he said.
MSCI analysis projects Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft will experience the heaviest redemptions as SpaceX and comparable newcomers gain inclusion in major benchmarks like the Nasdaq 100.
Market Concentration Reaches Critical Levels
Following index rebalancing, strategists caution the equity landscape may undergo dramatic transformation.
Artificial intelligence megacaps could constitute nearly half the S&P 500’s total value. Asher Regovy, chief investment officer at Magnifina, highlighted how this positioning creates vulnerability to isolated negative developments—such as disappointing quarterly results—cascading throughout the entire benchmark.
Doll indicated current technology sector valuations remain relatively attractive, tempering immediate concerns. His allocation strategy balances defensive positions with artificial intelligence exposure, emphasizing companies demonstrating superior return on equity metrics.
UBS recently counseled clients to decrease reliance on dominant American technology corporations. The Swiss bank recommended increasing allocations to Japanese, Chinese, and Swiss markets, alongside European consumer discretionary and global healthcare sectors.
Elon Musk has floated the concept of orbital data centers to minimize thermal management expenses. Industry analysts generally characterize this as speculative long-term thinking rather than imminent commercial strategy.
Crypto World
AI Fake or Genuine Leak? Viral Eric Trump UFC Messages Trigger Online Firestorm
Eric Trump says viral screenshots showing him asking UFC commentator Daniel Cormier whether White House fights were rigged are AI-generated fakes. Cormier posted the alleged messages, deleted them within minutes, then questioned the uproar.
The dispute erupted around UFC Freedom 250, staged on the White House South Lawn on June 14. Neither side has produced platform data, so the authenticity of the exchange remains unresolved.
What the Alleged Messages Showed
The screenshots depicted an Instagram-style chat in which Eric Trump appears to probe Cormier for an edge before the fights.
He allegedly asked about injuries, wagering, and then whether any bouts were rigged, singling out the Diego Lopes featherweight fight and adding a “$$” symbol.
Cormier, a former two-division champion and lead UFC analyst, replied that he cannot bet and that nothing was fixed.
The card ran during a Trump-linked White House event marking the country’s 250th anniversary and the president’s 80th birthday.
The fight he allegedly named was real. Lopes, a former two-time title challenger, opened the South Lawn card on June 14 and stopped surging contender Steve Garcia by second-round knockout.
Denials Versus Eyewitness Accounts
Eric Trump addressed the matter directly on X (Twitter), tagging the UFC and Dana White.
“We are aware of the fake, AI generated screenshots being circulated online. I have never spoken to Daniel. He has since deleted his post, which confirms it was clearly fabricated,” wrote Trump.
Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens
He went further in comments to the Wall Street Journal, denying the conversation ever happened.
Kimberly Benza, a Trump Organization communications director, also called the images fabricated.
However, MMA writer Adam Martin said he saw Cormier’s post live before deletion, and a community note argued that deleting a post does not prove the messages were fake.
The UFC has not commented publicly.
Trump’s AI defense is not far-fetched. AI deepfake misinformation has scaled quickly, with deepfake-related crypto scams driving losses of more than $200 million in the first quarter of 2025 alone.
The alleged request landed amid mounting scrutiny of wagering on real-world outcomes.
One Polymarket trader recently netted about $1 million on bets on Google searches, and platforms have since tightened prediction market insider rules after a string of suspicious payouts.
The post AI Fake or Genuine Leak? Viral Eric Trump UFC Messages Trigger Online Firestorm appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Ron Baron bought $1 billion of SpaceX shares in IPO, lifting stake to $25 billion

Early SpaceX investor Ron Baron wasn’t taking profits during its blockbuster stock-market debut. He was buying more.
The billionaire investor said Baron Capital purchased an additional $1 billion worth of SpaceX shares Friday during the company’s initial public offering, increasing the firm’s position in Elon Musk‘s rocket and satellite company to roughly $25 billion.
The purchase marks a fresh vote of confidence from one of SpaceX’s earliest and most enthusiastic institutional backers, even after the company’s valuation soared to $2 trillion.
“I think we’re going to make hundreds of billions of dollars,” Baron said Monday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.” “What they’ve done isn’t possible for anyone else to accomplish. Not possible. And so he’s at least 10 years ahead of everyone else, as far as making satellites, as far as making rockets, as far as building networks.”
Baron said he participated in the IPO to maintain his firm’s ownership percentage as the company sold new shares to the public.
“I didn’t want to get diluted,” Baron said. “I wanted a billion dollars to keep our percentage the same … I’m an investor in a business. I’m not buying and selling or trading.”
Baron first invested in SpaceX in 2017 through employee tender offers when the company was valued at less than $22 billion and has since participated in 27 funding rounds.
As of March 31, SpaceX accounted for 33% of assets in the $10.4 billion Baron Partners Fund and 25.5% of the Baron Asset Fund. Combined with the firm’s sizable position in Tesla, about half of the assets in some Baron portfolios are tied to companies led by Musk.
Baron acknowledged that SpaceX’s valuation has climbed dramatically since his initial investment, but said he believes the company’s growth potential remains vastly underappreciated.
“I think that with now being valued at $2 trillion, I think it’s going to be valued in 10 years at $20 trillion, $30 trillion, $40 trillion,” Baron said.
The veteran investor argued that Musk’s ambitions extend beyond building a successful aerospace company.
“Normally, our economy doubles roughly every 10 years,” he said. “What he thinks is, by the innovations and the work that he’s doing, he’s going to make the economy grow 10 times in 10 years, not double.”
Crypto World
Strive’s Werkman says Bitcoin downturn may force treasury firms to restructure
Bitcoin treasury companies may need to revisit their capital structures if Bitcoin remains under pressure, with consolidation becoming more likely across the sector, according to Strive Chief Investment Officer Ben Werkman.
Summary
- Strive CIO Ben Werkman said prolonged Bitcoin weakness could push some treasury companies toward consolidation, particularly those carrying debt funded accumulation strategies.
- Werkman pointed to balance sheet restructuring efforts at firms such as Nakamoto and cited Strive’s acquisition of Semler Scientific as a sign of what could follow.
- He also defended Strategy’s recent sale of 32 BTC, saying it helped demonstrate Bitcoin’s liquidity even as the company continued expanding its holdings to 846,842 BTC.
Speaking at BTC Prague, Werkman said companies that relied heavily on convertible debt during the bitcoin treasury boom could face increasing strain if Bitcoin remains far below its October peak near $126,000.
While higher Bitcoin prices would ease many of those concerns, he said an extended downturn could leave some firms with difficult choices. Under those conditions, companies may need to sell Bitcoin to fund operations or manage debt obligations, particularly where financing arrangements include collateral or coverage requirements.
Werkman said Strive was “one of the only ones that didn’t take any convertible bonds” when building its bitcoin treasury strategy, explaining that the company relied on equity financing instead. According to him, that approach has allowed Strive to continue expanding through the current market cycle without facing the same pressures as some debt funded peers.
Consolidation could accelerate if market weakness continues
Among the outcomes he expects, consolidation sits near the top of the list.
Pointing to Strive’s acquisition of bitcoin treasury company Semler Scientific, Werkman said more mergers could emerge if financially constrained firms seek alternatives to operating independently. He added that company leaders are often reluctant to sell at discounted valuations, which has limited deal activity so far.
In Semler’s case, Werkman said the transaction came together because Semler Scientific Chairman Eric Semler supported the preferred-stock model that Strive had been developing, even though the proposal failed to gain enough shareholder support at Semler itself.
Elsewhere in the sector, firms have already started adjusting their balance sheets. Werkman cited efforts by Nakamoto to reduce debt burdens and regain operating flexibility, describing those moves as attempts to free companies from financing constraints that accumulated during more favorable market conditions.
The comments arrive as investors continue to examine how bitcoin treasury firms balance aggressive accumulation strategies with debt servicing requirements and shareholder obligations.
Recent developments at Strategy illustrate that debate.
Earlier this month, the company disclosed the sale of 32 BTC, a move that attracted attention because of its long-standing commitment to accumulating Bitcoin. The transaction raised roughly $2.5 million at an average price of $77,135 per coin, according to previous crypto.news reporting.
Questions about the sale intensified after some market participants interpreted it as a departure from Strategy’s accumulation strategy. Company executives later rejected that view.
Strategy CEO Phong Le said the sale was conducted as a test of internal systems rather than a move to generate cash for dividend payments. He added that the company still had access to funding channels such as equity issuance and preferred stock offerings.
Strategy’s bitcoin sale draws attention from treasury firms
Discussing the transaction, Werkman said the sale carried significance beyond its size because it helped demonstrate Bitcoin’s liquidity to credit markets and rating agencies.
According to him, rating agencies currently assign Strategy a rating that effectively treats the Bitcoin on its balance sheet as having no value when assessing creditworthiness. Under those conditions, proving the ability to sell Bitcoin and convert it into cash becomes important for treasury companies that maintain dividend obligations.
He argued that Strategy needed to show investors and lenders that the market could absorb Bitcoin sales if necessary and that the company could access that value when conditions required.
The sale did not prevent Strategy from continuing its accumulation program.
On June 15, Michael Saylor announced that Strategy had purchased 1,587 BTC for approximately $100 million, increasing total holdings to 846,842 BTC. The company also expanded its cash reserve by another $100 million, bringing total dollar reserves to $1.1 billion.
Previous crypto.news reporting noted that Strategy had raised its cash position to $1 billion after acquiring 1,550 BTC during the first week of June. With another purchase now completed, the company has continued adding Bitcoin while simultaneously increasing liquidity.
For Werkman, that approach supports a practical reality facing treasury companies. He said firms cannot build balance sheets around a single asset while refusing to use that asset under any circumstances. In his view, occasional sales, when required, help demonstrate Bitcoin’s resilience as a treasury asset rather than undermine the long-term strategy behind holding it.
Crypto World
Kraken’s FIFA Campaign Proves Crypto Still Doesn’t Know How To Reach New People
Kraken just became the official crypto exchange of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Their marketing message? It’s clearly not for FIFA fans. It’s for people already in crypto. Here’s why that’s the biggest missed opportunity in sports marketing.
The Message That Reveals Everything
Kraken’s FIFA 2026 campaign just dropped. Here’s their pitch:
“Some watch every match; some only the ones that matter. Some are ride-or-die for one team, every win, every heartbreak, for life. Others just love the game, no matter who’s playing. Crypto’s no different. Some study every chart. Some go all-in on one coin and hold for years. Others just want a bit of everything. Kraken is built for all of them.”
Read that carefully.
Who is this message for?
Not FIFA fans discovering crypto. For people who already understand crypto talking about crypto using a soccer analogy.
That’s not a conversion pitch. That’s in-group messaging masquerading as a mainstream campaign.
What A Real Conversion Campaign Would Look Like
If Kraken was actually trying to convert FIFA fans, the billions of people watching the World Cup, the message would be completely different.
It would translate crypto concepts into soccer language:
Option 1 (Direct conversion): “You believe in your team. You invest emotion, time, loyalty. Investing in crypto is the same thing, belief, conviction, loyalty to an asset. Kraken makes that easy.”
Option 2 (Simple Value Prop): “Your national team wins, you celebrate. An investment wins, you profit. Kraken lets you profit from your convictions.”
Option 3 (Accessibility Angle): “Not everyone can afford to buy a team. Everyone can afford to invest in crypto. Kraken makes it accessible.”
What Kraken actually did: Used “hodlers” (a crypto insider term) in a campaign aimed at… FIFA fans?
No. Not FIFA fans. Crypto people who follow FIFA.
The Smoking Gun: “Hodlers”
The word “hodlers” is the tell.
A FIFA fan watching the World Cup has no idea what a “hodler” is. They’ve never heard the term. It means nothing to them.
But a crypto person? They know exactly what that means. It’s the crypto community’s inside joke about holding investments long-term.
Kraken used an insider term in a campaign supposedly designed to reach mainstream sports fans.
That’s not an accident. That’s evidence the campaign was never designed to convert new people.
It was designed to give existing crypto people a campaign they’d recognize and share with other crypto people.
That’s not marketing. That’s community building for people already bought in.
Why This Is A Massive Missed Opportunity
FIFA 2026 is the biggest sporting event in the world. It’s watched by over a billion people.
Kraken has access to all of them.
And what did Kraken do? They created a campaign that only resonates with people who already understand crypto.
Do you know how many potential new crypto users Kraken just failed to convert?
All of them.
Instead of saying “Crypto is like soccer-passion, belief, investment,” Kraken said “We understand your hodling journey, fellow hodlers.”
Those are not the same message. One converts. One reinforces.
The Pattern This Reveals
This isn’t just Kraken. This is crypto’s fundamental problem:
Crypto doesn’t know how to talk to people outside crypto.
Every major crypto campaign makes the same mistake:
- They use insider terminology (HODL, diamond hands, paper hands, rugpull, etc.)
- They assume people already understand the concept
- They communicate to crypto people using sports/culture metaphors
- They act surprised when mainstream adoption doesn’t happen
Kraken just demonstrated this at scale. With a billion-person audience. And a $X million sponsorship budget.
And they wasted it by talking to people who already get it.
What This Actually Reveals About Crypto’s Status
Here’s what Kraken’s campaign accidentally proves:
Crypto has stopped trying to convert mainstream audiences.
Why? Because it failed. The aggressive “mainstream adoption” campaigns of 2022 didn’t work. So now crypto is just trying to:
- Retain existing users
- Extract more value from them
- Use mainstream visibility to communicate insider concepts
That’s not expansion. That’s consolidation.
Kraken didn’t say “FIFA fans should discover crypto.” Kraken said “Crypto people, here’s a FIFA metaphor you’ll understand.”
The audience shifted. The opportunity shrunk. And nobody noticed because the sponsorship was so flashy.
How To Actually Use A FIFA Sponsorship
If I were Kraken, here’s what I’d do:
Phase 1: Convert Target FIFA fans with crypto-as-investment messaging. “Your team wins, you celebrate. Your investment wins, you profit. Here’s how.”
Phase 2: Educate Create FIFA-themed explainers. “How Bitcoin works (explained through FIFA analogies).” “What is a blockchain (using team formations as analogy).”
Phase 3: Onboard Make it stupidly easy for FIFA fans to buy crypto. Remove friction. Simple interface. Clear language.
Phase 4: Retain Once they’re in, communicate in crypto language. Now the insider terminology makes sense.
Instead, Kraken jumped straight to Phase 4 with a billion-person audience.
That’s not strategy. That’s leaving money on the table.
The Uncomfortable Truth
Crypto has accepted that mainstream adoption failed.
Instead of trying again with better messaging, crypto is now:
- Using mainstream visibility to communicate with existing users
- Creating insider-friendly campaigns that alienate newcomers
- Celebrating “official sponsorships” while failing to convert anyone
Kraken’s FIFA campaign is just the clearest example.
A billion-person audience. A chance to convert millions of new users. And the message was: “Fellow hodlers, here’s a crypto metaphor for soccer.”
That’s not a World Cup campaign. That’s a Reddit post dressed up as a major sponsorship.
What Comes Next
Crypto will claim the Kraken FIFA partnership is a victory.
Official sponsorships. Mainstream visibility. Biggest World Cup ever.
But the campaign itself—the actual message Kraken created—reveals the truth:
Crypto isn’t trying to convert new people anymore. Crypto is just trying to extract more value from people already in the ecosystem.
That’s not a sign of maturity. That’s a sign of surrender.
And a billion FIFA fans just learned… absolutely nothing about crypto, because Kraken was never trying to teach them.
The Real Lesson
If you want to reach a mainstream audience with a niche product, you have to translate it into their language.
Kraken had the opportunity. They had the budget. They had the audience.
They just didn’t have the vision to actually try.
Instead, they created a campaign for people who didn’t need converting.
That’s the most expensive way to reinforce what people already know.
What should Kraken’s FIFA campaign have said to actually convert fans? Drop your ideas, but make them actually appeal to someone who knows nothing about crypto.
Crypto World
Ripple-linked token up 8% in first major breakout since June selloff
XRP spent the past two weeks trying to stop going down. Now it’s trying to go higher.
The token pushed through $1.14, then $1.18, and finally reclaimed $1.20 on the strongest volume since the early-June washout, forcing traders to reassess a market that had been priced for further weakness.
The move came as XRP-specific activity accelerated, with South Korea’s Upbit exchange accounting for a growing share of network flows and institutional demand continuing to build through ETF products.
News Background
• Ripple ecosystem activity picked up as traders focused on growing XRP demand across Asia, with Upbit accounting for 31% of XRP wallet-flow dominance by June 14, up from 13% a week earlier.
• XRP ETF products continued attracting capital, extending a run of inflows that has brought cumulative net investment to roughly $1.4 billion since launch.
• Several analysts pointed to bullish RSI divergences and completed correction structures following XRP’s rebound from the $1.05-$1.09 support zone.
Price Action Summary
• XRP climbed from $1.1425 to $1.2307 during the session, gaining roughly 8%.
• The breakout began during the June 14 21:00 UTC session, when volume surged to 107.6 million XRP and drove price through resistance near $1.14.
Crypto World
Bitcoin may have bottomed at $60,000, says Coinbase (COIN) CEO
Coinbase (COIN) CEO Brian Armstrong believes bitcoin may have bottomed near $60,000.
“My instinct is we probably have bottomed at this point, maybe at the sixty K number, but nobody can say for sure,” Armstrong said in a video posted on X on Monday. He added that he remains long bitcoin and expects prices to be significantly higher by 2030.
“I think bitcoin is the new digital gold,” he said.
Bitcoin traded above $66,000 on Monday, up nearly 3% over 24 hours, after the US and Iran reached a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The token touched a low near $59,743 on June 5, its weakest level since October 2024, before recovering.
Armstrong pointed to bitcoin’s four-year halving cycle, which has historically alternated between bull and bear markets at roughly regular intervals, as a framework for reading the current drawdown. Bitcoin is now roughly 50% below its October 2025 all-time high near $126,000.
The Coinbase chief also said last week that the drop in bitcoin’s price was masking broader health in the crypto market. “Derivatives, stablecoins, prediction markets are all up,” he wrote on X on June 5. “It will take some time for this to sink in.”
Crypto World
Trump USD1 Crypto Stablecoin Debuts as Fighter Bonus Currency at White House UFC Event
World Liberty Financial’s USD1 stablecoin paid out $250,000 in fighter performance bonuses at UFC Freedom 250. The mixed martial arts and likely WLFI crypto event is held on the White House South Lawn starting on June 14, President Trump 80th birthday.
WLFI served as the presenting partner of the bonus pool, distributing USD1 across seven matches on the card. It is the most prominent consumer-facing deployment of the Trump stablecoin to date.
The UFC activation did not happen in isolation; it arrived alongside a WLFI token surge of 3% on sponsorship news, a concurrent Binance rewards campaign allocating 178 million WLFI governance tokens to USD1 holders, and a separate $1 million CRO-denominated bonus pool from Crypto.com co-presenting the same event.
The total crypto-based fighter bonuses on the night approached $1.65 million.
Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio
Trump Crypto Venture: How the USD1 Bonus Pool Actually Worked
WLFI funded a $250,000 performance bonus pool denominated in USD1, distributed to fighters across seven bouts based on performance criteria standard to UFC fight-night bonus structures.
Payouts were made in USD1, a dollar-pegged stablecoin backed by cash and short-duration U.S. Treasuries custodied through BitGo. This means fighters received an asset functionally equivalent to dollars, just issued by a Trump family-affiliated DeFi venture.
Todd Phillips, crypto expert at the Klaros Group, framed the commercial logic: “Paying the fighters in the USD1 stablecoin would have the same economic function as writing them a check. Announcing to the world they are doing it in USD1 sounds like they are advertising to the world that USD1 is out there and that it is connected to the UFC and the White House.”
The White House as a Marketing Venue: The Conflict of Interest
Trump political brand has always been inseparable from his crypto and commercial brand, and voters who elected him understood that. A president who openly holds over $50 million in a crypto venture, uses the White House South Lawn to host a UFC card, and pays fighters in his family’s stablecoin is at least being transparent about the integration.
The White House maintains that Trump’s assets are managed through a trust run by his children. That is the administration’s position.
The Trump family reportedly receives approximately 75% of net proceeds from WLFI token sales, plus a share of yields generated on USD1 reserves. The venue for the UFC event is a taxpayer-owned property. The regulatory environment for stablecoins is being shaped in part by an administration with a direct financial interest in a stablecoin issuer.
The SEC issued an investor bulletin specifically flagging USD1 as a privately issued stablecoin affiliated with the sitting president’s family.
The spectacle is effective. Trump understands that crypto runs on attention, and a White House UFC event is attention on an industrial scale. But retail participants holding USD1 in DeFi pools should understand they are operating inside a product whose issuer has already demonstrated willingness to push pool utilization to 93% for its own borrowing needs.
USD1 is in active litigation with Justin Sun over frozen holdings and is simultaneously pursuing a federal banking charter.
Discover: The Best Token Presales
The post Trump USD1 Crypto Stablecoin Debuts as Fighter Bonus Currency at White House UFC Event appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Kalshi traders say SpaceX won’t get to Mars this decade
A Spacex Flacon 9 rocket lifts off from Space Launch Complex 40 on June 12, 2026 in Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, Florida.
Joe Raedle | Getty Images
SpaceX made its debut at the Nasdaq on Friday, climbing more than 19% on its first day of trading and rising above a $2 trillion market valuation. But while the arrival of the company to public markets is squared away, some of its other long-term plans are years in the future.
Elon Musk’s company in its initial public offering prospectus with the Securities and Exchange Commission repeatedly focused on the “Moon, Mars and beyond.” The company’s goal for Mars is so large that Musk won’t get a bonus of restricted shares unless SpaceX establishes a colony on the planet with more than 1 million inhabitants.
But when that will happen is years from now, traders on prediction market platform Kalshi think.
Traders see just an 18% chance that SpaceX launches a human mission to Mars by 2030. Since the event contract first launched in March 2024, traders have never seen more than one-in-four odds of the mission happening this decade.
The event contract will resolve to yes if SpaceX verifies a manned mission to Mars by Dec. 31, 2029.
Traders’ uncertainty mirrors SpaceX’s own plans. In its prospectus, SpaceX made clear it doesn’t have a vision for when a Mars mission may happen.
“Many of our initiatives… involve significant technical complexity, unproven technologies or technologies that do not exist, and such initiatives may not achieve commercial viability,” SpaceX said. “As a result, the timeline for certain of our initiatives involving unproven or new innovations … may be difficult or impossible to determine.”
But while an exact timeline may be unknown, the company’s focus on Mars is clear. The planet was mentioned 63 times in the prospectus itself, and once in a photo caption featured in the document.
Crypto World
Bittensor (TAO) surges 31.9%, leading index higher
CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.
The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 1812.32, up 5.9% (+100.88) since 4 p.m. ET on Friday.
All 20 assets are trading higher.

Leaders: TAO (+31.9%) and NEAR (+22.2%).
Laggards: BNB (+2.5%) and BTC (+4.2%).
The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.
Crypto World
Tom Lee’s BitMine adds ETH again as BMNR stock stalls
BitMine Immersion Technologies said its Ethereum holdings reached 5,620,754 ETH as of June 14, bringing the company closer to its goal of owning 5% of the total ETH supply.
Summary
- BitMine now holds 5.62 million ETH, equal to 4.66% of total Ethereum supply today overall.
- The company says staked ETH stands at 4.72 million, supporting projected annual staking revenue.
- BMNR traded near flat after the update, with shares at $16.11 in midday trading.
In a Monday announcement, the company said the position equals 4.66% of Ethereum’s 120.7 million token supply.
Meanwhile, the company also reported total crypto, cash, marketable securities and “moonshots” holdings of $10.4 billion. Its holdings include 204 BTC, $502 million in cash and marketable securities, a $180 million stake in Beast Industries and an $88 million stake in Eightco Holdings.
Staking operation backs preferred stock plan
BitMine said it has staked 4,718,677 ETH, worth about $8.1 billion at $1,718 per ETH. The company said this makes it the largest Ethereum treasury in the world and the second-largest crypto treasury behind Strategy.
“Over the past week, we acquired 76,881 ETH,” said chairman Thomas “Tom” Lee.
He said BitMine kept a higher buying pace because it believes the recent ETH pullback does not reflect stronger Ethereum fundamentals.
BitMine also closed the sale of 3,500,000 shares of 9.50% Series A Perpetual Preferred Stock on June 10. The company raised about $273.8 million in net proceeds after fees and expenses.
Lee said the preferred stock sale gives BitMine balance sheet diversification. He added that projected annual staking rewards of about $219 million provide recurring cash flow to support dividends on the preferred shares.
BMNR stock reaction stays muted
BitMine’s preferred shares are expected to start trading on the NYSE under the ticker BMNP on June 16. The company also declared a weekly cash dividend of $0.2639 per preferred share, expected to be paid on July 6 to holders of record on June 26.
BMNR stock showed little movement after the update. Google Finance data showed shares near $16.11, down about 0.03%, with a market capitalization of about $7.32 billion at the time checked.

The muted reaction came after several weeks of heavy attention on BitMine’s Ethereum treasury model. The company said BMNR ranks among the most traded U.S. stocks, with average daily dollar volume of about $550 million over five days as of June 12.
Ethereum treasury race gains fresh attention
crypto.news recently reported that BitMine had raised its ETH holdings to 5.42 million tokens after buying 26,497 ETH. The report also noted that the firm had staked 4.72 million ETH and remained one of the largest public Ethereum treasury plays.
Moreover, as crypto.news reported, BitMine had moved closer to its 5% ETH target after further buying activity tied to large wallet transfers. That report also noted pressure on BMNR shares as ETH prices weakened and investors weighed the scale of the treasury bet.
The latest release shows BitMine has continued to add ETH while also building cash reserves and preferred stock financing. The next focus for investors will be whether the company can keep growing ETH per share while meeting weekly dividend obligations.
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